Fixed Income Risks

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    RisksAssociatedwithFixed

    IncomeSecuri8es

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    ReturnComponents

    Returnobtainedfrominves8nginafixedincomesecurityfromthedayitispurchased

    tothedayitissoldhastwocomponents:

    ChangeinmarketvalueCashflowsreceivedfromthesecurityduringthe8meitisheld,plusaddi8onalincomefrom

    reinvestmentofthesecashflows

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    RisksAssociatedwithFixedIncome

    Investments Market,orinterestraterisk Reinvestmentrisk Timing,orcall,risk Credit,ordefault,risk Yieldcurve,ormaturity,risk Infla8on,orpurchasingpower,risk Liquidityrisk Exchangerate,orcurrency,risk

    Vola8lityrisk Poli8calorlegalrisk

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    InterestRateRisk

    Mostimportantriskformostfixedincomeinvestors.

    Usually,thevalueofafixedincomesecuritydecreasesasinterestratesrise.

    Sellingwhenrateshaverisenwillresultinaloss. Thereareexcep8ons(e.g.putop8ons). Domes8ctreasuryyieldcurveismostcommonbenchmarkformeasuringratechanges.

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    ReinvestmentRisk

    Returnearnedwhenreinves8ngthecashflowsofafixedincomesecuritydependson

    theprevailingmarketrateswhenthosecash

    flowsarereceived. Theriskisthatrateswillbelowwhencashflowsbecomeavailableforreinvestment.

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    Timing/CallRisk

    Ifthefixedincomesecurityhasacallprovision,thecashflowsreceivedareuncertain.

    Callfeaturesexacerbaterevinvestmentrisk:Bondswilltendtobecalledwheninterestratesarelow(issuercangetcheaperfundingbyrefinancing).

    Aversionofthisriskistheprepaymentriskofmortgagebackedsecuri8es.

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    CreditRisk

    Riskduetoachangeinthecreditworthinessoftheissuer.

    DefaultriskRecoveryrisk

    Migra8onrisk Spreadrisk(oenconsideredapartofmarketrisk).

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    TreasuryEurodollar Spread (TED Spread)

    Source:Wikipedia

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    YieldCurve/MaturityRisk

    Theyieldcurvereferstothecurrentmarketinforma8ongivingtheyieldtomaturityforbondsofdifferentdura8ons.

    Itcanbeusedtomakeassump8onsaboutthefuturebehaviourofinterestrates.

    Investmentdecisionsmaybemadebasedonapar8cularassump8ononthebehaviouroftheyieldcurve.Theobtainedreturnwillbeaffectedbydevia8onsof

    actualinterestratesthatprevailinthefuturefromthoseinferredfromthecurrentyieldcurve.

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    Infla8onRisk

    Infla8onaffectsthevalueoffuturecashflows,whenmeasuredintermsofpurchasingpower.

    Unlessthebondisinfla8onlinked,theholderhasanexposuretothisrisk.

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    LiquidityRisk

    FlighttoqualityscenariosInvestorsrushtothesafestpossiblesecuri8es(e.g.U.S.treasuries)

    Pricesofallothersecuri8esdropdrama8callyE.g.AugustSeptember199,September200

    Wideningbidaskspreads(highertransac8onscostsduetolowerliquidity).

    Fundingliquidityrisk(illiquidvs.insolvent).

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    ExchangeRateRisk

    Receivingcashflows(e.g.fromholdingabond)inacurrencyotherthanthedomes8c

    currencyexposesaninvestortoexchangerate

    risk. Holdingbondsissuedinanothercountryalsoexposesaninvestortotheinterestraterisk

    fromthatcountry.

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    Vola8lityRisk

    Interestratevola8lityaffectsthevalueofop8onsembeddedinbonds(e.g.callable,putablebonds,prepaymentop8onsembeddedinmortgagebackedsecuri8es).

    Thevalueoftheseop8onsincreaseswithincreasingratevola8lity.

    Iftheseop8onsaregrantedtotheissuer(asincallablebonds,MBS)thepriceofthesecuritywilldecreasewhenvola8lityincreases.

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    Poli8cal/LegalRisk

    Taxpolicy Abilitytoenforcebondcovenants Legalstatusofthedebt(e.g.withinbankruptcy,restructuring)

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    EventandSectorRisk

    EventRisk:Theabilityofanissuertomeetitsobliga8onsmightbeaffectedbyaseriousand

    unexpectedchangeduetoasuddenevent.

    NaturalorindustrialaccidentTakeoverorcorporaterestructuring

    SectorRisk:Riskduetothepossibilityofadversedifferen8almovementsofspecific

    sectorsofthemarket.