First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16...

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First Quarter 2016 Results Release Walldorf, Germany Wednesday, April 20 th , 2016

Transcript of First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16...

Page 1: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

First Quarter 2016Results ReleaseWalldorf, GermanyWednesday, April 20th, 2016

Page 2: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 2

Safe Harbor Statement

Any statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “project,” “predict,” “should” and “will” and similar expressions as they relate to SAP are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. SAP undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect SAP’s future financial results are discussed more fully in SAP’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including SAP’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates.

Page 3: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 3

Agenda

Income Statement

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis

Outlook and Additional Information

Appendix

Page 4: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 4

Key performance metrics Q1 2016

* At constant currencies

Operating Profit (€ bn)IFRS Non-IFRS

Cloud Subscriptions and Support Revenue (€ bn)IFRS Non-IFRS

+33%(+33%*)

Software Licenses and Support Revenue (€ bn)IFRS Non-IFRS

+35%0.680.50

Cloud and Software Revenue (€ bn)IFRS Non-IFRS

Q1/15 Q1/16

0.680.51Q1/15 Q1/16

3.173.15

Q1/15 Q1/16

3.173.15

Q1/15 Q1/16

+1%+1%

(+2%*)

+5%(+6%*)+5%3.853.65

Q1/15 Q1/16

3.853.66

Q1/15 Q1/16

+5%(+4%*)

+28%0.64

Q1/15 Q1/16

1.101.06

Q1/15 Q1/16

0.81

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 5

Regional performance1) Q1 2016

EMEA: solid performance– 8% increase in cloud and software revenue

– cloud subscriptions and support revenue grew by 49%

– solid software license revenue growth

Americas: North America, coming off a very strong Q4/15, had slower than anticipated start to the year – cloud and software revenue up 4%

– cloud subscriptions and support revenue grew 29%

– continuing political and macroeconomic instability in Latin America (Brazil in particular) weighed on Q1 performance

APJ: solid execution – cloud and software revenue up by 1%

– cloud subscriptions and support revenue grew 26%

– software revenue performance in line with expectations given a tough prior year comparison with China growing double-digit

1) Revenues calculated based on customer location; All numbers are non-IFRS; Growth rates as reported.

Page 6: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 6

Strong momentum in the cloud continued

Non-IFRS cloud subscriptions and support revenue: +33% yoy to €678m (+33% at cc)

New cloud bookings – key measure for SAP’s sales success in the cloud: +23% to €145m1)

Cloud subscriptions and support backlog2): €3.7bn as of Dec 31, 2015, +45% yoy

Cloud applications total subscribers: ~100 million

SAP Business Network:

– total segment revenue was €451m (€447m at cc) in Q1, yoy +22% (+21% at cc)

– ~2.1 million connected companies trade >$800bn of commerce3) on Ariba network

– ~ 40 million end users process travel and expenses with Concur annually

– customers are managing 2.3m flexible workers with the Fieldglass platform annually

1) New cloud bookings consist of order entry of a given period that is expected to be classified as cloud subscription and support revenue and results from purchases by new customers and from incremental purchases by existing customers. Consequently, orders to renew existing contracts are not included. The order amount must be committed. Consequently, due to their pay-per-use nature, business network transaction fees which do not include a committed minimum consumption are not reflected in the bookings metric (e.g. SAP Ariba and SAP Fieldglass transaction-based fees). Amounts included in the measures are generally annualized.

2) Cloud subscription and support backlog represents expected future cloud subscriptions&support revenue that is contracted but not yet invoiced and thus not recorded in deferred revenue.3) Network spend volume is the total value of purchase orders transacted on the Ariba Networks in the trailing 12 months.

Page 7: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 7

Cloud subscriptions and support revenue by region**Q1 2016€ millions | yoy percent change

Total 677 | +35%

678| +33% |+33%*

Americas

460 | +31%

460 | +29% | +28%*

IFRS Non-IFRS

EMEA

161 | +49%

161 | +49% | +50%*

Asia Pacific Japan

57 | +27%

57 | +26% | +30%*

* At constant currencies ** IFRS and non-IFRS revenue is presented by region based on customer location

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 8

Total 3,850 | +5%

Cloud and software revenue by region**Q1 2016

EMEA

1,686 | +8% | +10%*

Americas

1,584| +4% | +3%*

Asia Pacific Japan

581| +1% | +3%*

* At constant currencies** IFRS and non-IFRS revenue is presented by

region based on customer location

EMEA

1,686 | +8%

Americas

1,583 | +4%

Asia Pacific Japan

581 | +1%

Non-IFRS

Total3,851 |+5%|+6%*

€ millions | yoy percent change

IFRS

Page 9: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 9

Total 4,728 | +5% |

+6%*

Total revenue by region**Q1 2016

EMEA

2,047 | +6% | +8%*thereof Germany

605 | +8%| +8%*thereof rest of EMEA

1,442 | +5%| +7%*

Americas

1,977 | +6% | +5%*thereof United States:

1,606 | +9% | +8%*thereof rest of Americas

371 | -7% | -4%*

Asia Pacific Japan

704 | +0% | +3%*thereof Japan

169 | +9% | +4%*thereof rest of APJ

535 | -2% | +2%*

EMEA

2,047 | +6%thereof Germany

605 | +8%thereof rest of EMEA

1,442 | +5%

Americas

1,977 | +6%thereof United States:

1,606 | +10%thereof rest of Americas

371 | -7%

Asia Pacific Japan

704 | +0%thereof Japan

169 |+9%thereof rest of APJ

535 | -2%

Non-IFRS

Total 4,727 | +5%

* At constant currencies** IFRS and non-IFRS revenue is presented by

region based on customer location

€ millions | yoy percent change

IFRS

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 10

Non-IFRS operating profit up 5% even with a lower than expected license revenue performance

€ millions, unless otherwise stated

Rev enue N umbers Q1/16 Q1/15 ∆% Q1/16 Q1/15 ∆% ∆% at cc

Cloud subscriptions and support 677 503 35 678 509 33 33

Software licenses 609 696 -13 609 696 -13 -10

Software support 2,564 2,454 4 2,564 2,454 5 5

Software licenses and support 3,172 3,150 1 3,173 3,150 1 2

Cloud and s oft ware 3,850 3,653 5 3,851 3,659 5 6

Serv ices rev enue 877 844 4 877 844 4 6

Tot al rev enue 4,72 7 4,497 5 4,72 8 4,502 5 6

O perat ing Ex pens e Numbers

Tot al operat ing ex pens es -3,91 4 -3,859 1 -3,62 4 -3,446 5 6

Profit Numbers

O perat ing profit 81 3 638 2 8 1 ,1 04 1 ,056 5 4

Finance income, net -35 -11 >100 -35 -11 >100

Profit before t ax 743 478 55 1 ,034 897 1 5

Income tax expense -173 -65 >100 -271 -200 35

Profit aft er t ax 570 41 3 38 763 697 9

O perat ing margin in % 1 7.2 1 4.2 +3.0pp 2 3.4 2 3.5 -0.1 pp -0.4pp

Bas ic earnings per s hare, in € 0.48 0.35 38 0.64 0.58 9

IFRS Non-IFRS

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 11

Non-IFRS operating profit increased by 5% in Q1 2016

Non-IFRS operating profit:

+5% to €1.1bn (Q1/15: €1.1bn)

+4% to €1.1bn at cc

Non-IFRS operating margin:

-0.1pp to 23.4% (Q1/15: 23.5%)

-0.4pp to 23.1% at cc

23.4% | 23.1%*-0.1pp | -0.4pp*

23.5%

Non-IFRS, Q1 2016

* At constant currencies

Q1/15 Q1/16

Total operatingexpenses

€3.4bn

Total revenue

€4.7bnTotal operatingexpenses

€3.6bn

Total revenue

€4.5bn

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 12

IFRS operating profit increased by 28% in Q1 2016

IFRS operating profit:

+28% to €0.8bn (Q1/15: €0.6bn)

IFRS operating margin:

+3.0pp to 17.2% (Q1/15: 14.2%)

17.2%+3.0pp

14.2%

IFRS, Q1 2016

Total revenue

€4.5bn

Total operatingexpenses

€3.9bn

Total revenue

€4.7bnTotal operatingexpenses

€3.9bn

* At constant currencies

Q1/15 Q1/16

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 13

Gross margin declined by 70 bpsQ1 2016

Gross Margin67.9% | -0.7pp

Cloud and Software Margin 82.4% | +0.1pp

Services-related Margin4.1% | -4.8pp

* Cloud & Software revenues / expenses

Total revenue

€4.5bn

Q1/15

C&SW* + servicesexpenses

€1.4bn

Total revenue

€4.7bn

Q1/16

C&SW* + servicesexpenses

€1.5bn

C&SW* revenue

€3.7bn

Q1/15

C&SW*expenses

€0.6bn

C&SW* revenue

€3.9bn

Q1/16

C&SW* expenses

€0.7bn

Servicesrevenue

€0.8bn

Q1/15

Servicesexpenses

€0.8bn

Servicesrevenue

€0.9bn

Q1/16

Servicesexpenses

€0.8bn

Non-IFRS, Q1 2016

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 14

Cost ratiosQ1 2016, Non-IFRS

S & Mexpenses

€1.2bn

S&Mexpenses

€1.2bn

R&D as a % of Total Revenue

14.4% | +0.2pp

S&M as a % of Total Revenue

25.4% | -0.3pp

G&A as a % of Total Revenue

4.6% | -0.5pp

Q1/15

R&Dexpenses

€0.6bn

Q1/16

R&Dexpenses

€0.7bn

Q1/15 Q1/16 Q1/15

G&Aexpenses

€0.2bn Q1/16

G&Aexpenses

€0.2bn

Non-IFRS, Q1 2016

Total revenue

€4.5bn

Total revenue

€4.7bn

Total revenue

€4.5bn

Total revenue

€4.7bn

Total revenue

€4.5bn

Total revenue

€4.7bn

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 15

Agenda

Income Statement

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis

Outlook and Additional Information

Appendix

Page 16: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 16

Balance sheet, condensedMarch 31, 2016, IFRS

Assets€ millions

03/31/16 12/31/15

Cash, cash equivalents and other financial assets

6,102 3,762

Trade and other receivables 5,550 5,275

Other non-financial assets and tax assets

716 703

Total current assets 12,368 9,739

Goodwill 21,922 22,689

Intangible assets 3,954 4,280

Property, plant, and equipment 2,177 2,192

Other non-current assets 2,462 2,490

Total non-current assets 30,516 31,651

Total assets 42,884 41,390

Equity and liabilities€ millions

03/31/16 12/31/15

Trade and other payables 954 1,088

Provisions 196 299

Other liabilities 3,293 4,478

Deferred income, current 5,265 2,001

Total current liabilities 9,708 7,867

Financial liabilities 8,640 8,681

Provisions 275 180

Deferred income, non-current 107 106

Other non-current liabilities 1,233 1,262

Total non-current liabilities 10,256 10,228

Total liabilities 19,964 18,095

Total equity 22,920 23,295

Total equity and liabilities 42,884 41,390

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 17

Operating cash flow increased by 5% to €2.5 billion year-over-year

€ millions, unless otherwise stated01/01/16

- 03/31/1601/01/15

- 03/31/15 ∆

Operating cash flow 2,482 2,366 +5%

- Capital expenditure -168 -139 +21%

Free cash flow 2,313 2,227 +4%

Free cash flow as a percentage of total revenue 49% 50% -1pp

Cash conversion rate 4.36 5.73 -24%

Days sales outstanding (DSO in days) 73 67 +6

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 18

€ millions

Total group liquidity improved by almost €2.3bn in the first three months

1) Cash and cash equivalents + current investments2) Includes purchase and sales of equity or debt instruments of other entities and effects of FX rates on cash and cash equivalents3) Group Net Liquidity defined as Total Group Liquidity minus Group debt – for more details see 2015 annual report

Total group netliquidity4)

03/31/16

Other2)

Operating cash flow

Net change

debt

Total group

liquidity1)

12/31/15

+3,558

Total group

liquidity3)

03/31/16

Net proceeds from

treasury shares

+2,482

Group debt

Capitalexpenditure

+5,853

-9,080

Businesscombi-nations

-2+7 -168

-3 -21

-3,227

Page 19: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 19

Agenda

Income Statement

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis

Outlook and Additional Information

Appendix

Page 20: First Quarter 2016 Results Release - SAPQ1/15 C&SW* expenses €0.6bn C&SW* revenue €3.9bn Q1/16 C&SW* expenses €0.7bn Services revenue €0.8bn Q1/15 Services expenses €0.8bn

© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 20

Outlook for the FY 2016

Cloud and software revenue(Non-IFRS at cc)

Basis for Comparison 2015

Operating profit (Non-IFRS at cc) €6.35bn

€17.23bn

Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc)

€2.30bn

+ 6%

Actual Performance

Q1/16

€1.1bn

€676m(+33%)

+ 6% to 8%

SAP’s Outlook FY 2016

€6.4bn to €6.7bn

€2.95bn to €3.05bn(upper end +33%)

20

While the Company's full-year 2016 business outlook is at constant currencies, actual currency reported figures are expected to continue to be impacted by exchange rate fluctuations. If exchange rates remain at the March 2016 average level for the rest of the year, the Company expects its non-IFRS cloud and software revenue growth rate as well as its non-IFRS operating profit growth rate to experience a currency benefit in a range of 0 to 2 percentage points for the second quarter 2016 (1 to 3 percentage points for the full year 2016).

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 21

Additional outlook information and non-IFRS adjustments

IFRS Profit Measure

Revenue adjustments

Share-based payment expenses

Acquisition-related charges

Restructuring charges

Sum of all adjustments

Est. Amounts for FY 2016

<€20m

€650m to €690m

€680m to €730m

€40m to €60m

€1,390m to €1,500m

€1m

€109m

€170m

€11m

€291m

Actual AmountsQ1/16

€6m

€179m

€183m

€51m

€419m

Actual AmountsQ1/15

The company continues to expect a full-year 2016 effective tax rate (IFRS) between 22.5% to 23.5% (2015: 23.4%) and an effective tax rate (non-IFRS) between 24.5% to 25.5% (2015: 26.1%).

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 22

Explanation of non-IFRS measures

SAP has provided its non-IFRS estimates for the full-year 2016. For a more detailed description of all of SAP’s non-IFRS measures and their limitations as well as our constant currency and free cash flow figures see Non-IFRS Measures and Estimates online.

Constant currency revenue figures are calculated by translating revenue of the current period using the average exchange rates from the previous year's respective period instead of the current period. Constant currency period-over-period changes are calculated by comparing the current year's non-IFRS constant currency numbers with the non-IFRS number of the previous year's respective period.

For a more detailed description of all of SAP’s non-IFRS adjustments and their limitations as well as our constant currency and free cash flow figures see Non-IFRS Measures and Estimates online.

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 23

Agenda

Income Statement

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Analysis

Outlook and Additional Information

Appendix

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© 2016 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 24

How to look at cloud subscription dealsKey measures of success (simplified business example)

New and Upsell Bookings (ACV)Period KPI Order Entry measure Logic: Average Contract Value per year Decisive factor: Customer signature

14

0Q1 Y4Q4

5

4

Q3Q2Q1 Y3Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y2Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y131.12.

Renewal

Upsell

New

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Q1 Y4

1

Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y3Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y2Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y131.12.

Renewal

Upsell

NewRevenue Recognition:Period KPI Steadily over the course of the contract

term / delivery

Backlog (unbilled):Point in time KPI Firm future revenue Decisive factors

signed contract Invoicing

0 0 0

312

8 8 8 8

4 4 4 4

Q1 Y4

10

8

2

Q4

15

12

Q3Q2Q1 Y3Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y2Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y131.12.

Renewal

Upsell

New

14 4 4

Q1 Y4

5

4

Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y3Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y2Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y131.12.

Renewal

Upsell

NewInvoicing (Billings):Point in time KPI Invoicing usually once per year upfront

3

2

1

3

2

1

3

2

1 3

Q1 Y4Q3 Q4Q2Q1 Y3Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y2Q4Q3Q2Q1 Y131.12.

Renewal

Upsell

New

Deferred Revenue:Period KPI Revenue recognition needs to be in line

with delivery (IFRS); too early invoiced part of the deal needs to be parked in B/S

0,75

3,75

0,25

1,25

Initial term Renewal term

Renewal signature

Order Entry

Renewal Rate: 100%

Main Cloud performance indicator