FireStudy2007FinalReport
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Transcript of FireStudy2007FinalReport
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
1/44
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
2/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/
EQPVGPVU
K/ GZGEWVKXG!UWOOCT[ 2
VJG! VQYP!QH!EJGNOUHQTF 2VJG! EJGNOUHQTF!HKTG!FGRCTVOGPV 3TGEQOOGPFCVKQPU 3
KK/ UVCPFCTFU-!DGPEJOCTMU!CPF!TGURQPUG!RCTCOGVGTU 6
FGXGNQRKPI!TGURQPUG!ECRCDKNKV[!QDLGEVKXGU 6
PCVKQPCN!HKTG!RTQVGEVKQP!CUUQEKCVKQP!UVCPFCTFU 21
KKK/ HKTG!UVCVKQP!NQECVKQP!CPF!TGURQPUG!GXCNWCVKQP 25
OCRRKPI!OGVJQFQNQI[ 26
EQORWVGT!IGPGTCVGF!OCRU 26
CNVGTPCVKXG!UVCVKQP!NQECVKQPU 27
OCRRKPI!FCVC 32
HKTG!UVCVKQP!NQECVKQP!EQPUKFGTCVKQPU 39
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
3/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/ 2
K/ GZGEWVKXG!UWOOCT[
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cfgswce{!cpf!nqecvkqp!qh!vjg!gzkuvkpi!hktg!uvcvkqpu/!Vjg!Hktg!Fgrctvogpvu!tgurqpug
ecrcdknkv{!ku!eqpukfgtgf!kp!tgncvkqp!vq!pcvkqpcn!tgurqpug!uvcpfctfu!ewuvqoctkn{
crrnkgf!vq!hktg!uwrrtguukqp-!gogtigpe{!ogfkecn-!cpf!urgekcn!qrgtcvkqpu!ugtxkegu/
Vjg!uk|g!cpf!vjg!igqitcrj{!qh!vjg!Vqyp!etgcvg!c!ejcnngpig!kp!vjg!fgxgnqrogpv!qh
c!nqpi.vgto!hktg!uvcvkqp!nqecvkqp!uvtcvgi{/!
Vjg!cpcn{uku!qh!hktg!uvcvkqp!nqecvkqpu!tgswktgf!vjg!eqpuwnvcpvu!vq!gxcnwcvg!vjg
ewttgpv!nqecvkqp!qh!hceknkvkgu!cpf!gzrnqtg!cnvgtpcvkxgu!vq!vjg!ewttgpv!hktg!uvcvkqp
eqphkiwtcvkqp/!Vjg!ewttgpv!Hktg!Fgrctvogpv!Jgcfswctvgtu!dwknfkpi!ku!qnf!cpf!ku!pq
nqpigt!cfgswcvg/!Vjg!uvcvkqp!ncemu!tqqo!hqt!vtckpkpi-!eqphgtgpeg-!qhhkeg!cpf!uvqtcig
urceg/!Fqqtyc{!engctcpegu! cpf!vjg!ecrcekv{!qh! vjg! hnqqt!vq! jqnf! vjg! ygkijv!qh
crrctcvwu!jcxg!dggp!rtqdngou/!Vjg!uvcvkqp!ukvg!ku!uocnn!cpf!jcu!nkokvgf!gzrcpukqp
ecrcdknkv{/!Vjg!uk|g!qh!vjg!ewttgpv!ukvg!fqgu!pqv!cnnqy!hqt!vjg!fgxgnqrogpv!qh!c
oqfgtp! jgcfswctvgtu! uvcvkqp/! Ugxgtcn! rquukdng! hktg! uvcvkqp! nqecvkqp! ukvgu! ygtg
eqpukfgtgf/!Kp!cffkvkqp-!ugxgtcn!hqwt!cpf!hkxg!hktg!uvcvkqp!eqphkiwtcvkqp!oqfgnu
ygtg!gxcnwcvgf/!
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eqoogtekcn!cpf!kpfwuvtkcn!uvtwevwtgu/!Vjg!eqoowpkv{!ku!dwu{!cpf!cvvtcevkxg!vq
dqvj!tgukfgpvu!cpf!eqoogtekcn!kpvgtguvu!hqt!kvu!rtqzkokv{!vq!oclqt!jkijyc{u-!uwej
cu!Kpvgtuvcvg!5;6!)K.5;6*-!Tqwvg!4!cpf!tcknyc{!ugtxkeg/!Ejgnouhqtf!eqpvckpu!ugxgtcn
fkuvkpev!tgukfgpvkcn!cpf!dwukpguu!pgkijdqtjqqfu/!Vjg!Ogttkocem!Tkxgt-!vjtgg!nctig
dqfkgu! qh! ycvgt!)Htggocp!Ncmg-!Jctv! Rqpf-! cpf!Twuugnn!Oknn!Rqpf*!cpf! ugxgtcn
uocnngt! ycvgt! ctgcu! tgswktg! vjg! Hktg! Fgrctvogpv! vq! jcxg! ycvgt! cpf! keg! tguewg
ecrcdknkv{/
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pgvyqtm/!K.5;6!cpf!Tqwvg!4!ctg!oclqt-!fkxkfgf!jkij.urggf!tqcfyc{u!ykvj!eqorngz
enqxgtngch!cpf!tqvct{0uswctg!kpvgtejcpigu/!Vjgug!oclqt!jkijyc{u!fkxkfg!vjg!Vqyp
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Tqwvgu!38-!5-!221-!cpf!23;!rtgugpv!vtchhke!ektewncvkqp!rtqdngou/
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
4/44
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
5/44
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
6/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/ 5
GZJKDKV!K.3
EQORCTKUQP!QH!VJG!EWTTGPV!HKTG!UVCVKQP!EQPHKIWTCVKQP!
YKVJ!CNVGTPCVKXG!EQPHKIWTCVKQPU
RGTEGPV!QH
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Ewttgpv!Hkxg.Uvcvkqp!Eqphkiwtcvkqp 95/5& 98/4& 97/3&
Hkxg.Uvcvkqp!Eqphkiwtcvkqp)Tgnqecvkqp!qh!Jgcfswctvgtu!Uvcvkqp!cpf!Uvcvkqp!$5*
8;/6& 93/6& 94/1&
Hqwt!Uvcvkqp!Eqphkiwtcvkqp)Tgnqecvkqp!qh!Jgcfswctvgtu!Uvcvkqp!cpffgeqookuukqp!qh!Uvcvkqp!$3*
84/;& 88/8& 87/6&
Hkxg.Uvcvkqp!Eqphkiwtcvkqp)Tgnqecvkqp!qh!Jgcfswctvgtu!Uvcvkqp!vq!vjg!FtwoJknn!ctgc*
88/5& 8;/9& 91/;&
Hkxg.Uvcvkqp!Eqphkiwtcvkqp)Tgnqecvkqp!qh!Jgcfswctvgtu!Uvcvkqp!vq!vjg!dcnnhkgnfukvg!pgct!vjg!kpvgtugevkqp!qh!Yknuqp!Uvtggv!cpfTqwvg!221*
97/7& 9;/4& 98/6&
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
7/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/ 6
KK/ UVCPFCTFU-!DGPEJOCTMU!CPF!TGURQPUG!RCTCOGVGTU
Vjku!ejcrvgt!fguetkdgu!vjg!uvcpfctfu!cpf!dgpejoctmu!wugf!vq!fgukip!hktg
qt! gogtigpe{! ogfkecn! ugtxkeg! u{uvgou/! Oggvkpi! dgpejoctmu! cpf! uvcpfctfu! kufkhhkewnv!hqt! c! uocnn!ectggt! hktg!fgrctvogpv-! uwej! cu!Ejgnouhqtf/! Cp! crrtqcej
vqyctf! ocmkpi! rtqitguu! kp! cejkgxkpi! uvcpfctfu! ku! vq! oczkok|g! vjg! cxckncdng
tgikqpcn!tguqwtegu/!Vjg!hqwt!gogtikpi!uvcpfctfu-!qt!dgpejoctmu-!yjkej!chhgev!etgy
uk|g-!tgurqpug!vkogu-!hktghkijvgt!uchgv{!cpf!tgurqpug!vkog!ctg!nkuvgf!dgnqy/
2/ QUJC!tgswktgogpvu!hqt!c!okpkowo!qh!hqwt!gswkrrgf!rgtuqppgn!vq!dg
rtgugpv!dghqtg!gpvt{!kp!c!uvtwevwtg!hktg!kpekfgpv
3/ QUJC!tgswktgogpvu!hqt!c!tcrkf!kpvgtxgpvkqp!vgco!)TKV*!vq!dg!rtgugpv!hqt
uchgv{!tgcuqpu!cv!yqtmkpi!uvtwevwtg!hktgu
4/ QUJC!cpf!PHRC!tgswktgogpvu!hqt!c!swcnkhkgf!kpekfgpv!eqoocpfgt!cpf
c!swcnkhkgf!uchgv{!qhhkegt!vq!dg!rtgugpv!cv!yqtmkpi!kpekfgpvu
5/ PHRC!2821!cpf!kpfwuvt{!uvcpfctfu!vq!jcxg!c!okpkowo!qh!26!hktghkijvgtu-
kpenwfkpi!cp!kpekfgpv!eqoocpfgt-!rtgugpv!hqt!c!nqy.jc|ctf!uvtwevwtg
hktg-!cpf!cv!ngcuv!vyq!rworgtu!cpf!c!ncffgt!vtwem-!qt!ukoknct!xgjkeng/
FGXGNQRKPI!TGURQPUG!ECRCDKNKV[!QDLGEVKXGU
Tgurqpug!ecrcdknkvkgu!ujqwnf!eqpukfgt!dqvj!tcrkf!tgurqpug!cpf-!kp!vjg!ecug
qh!hktg!gogtigpekgu-!c!uwhhkekgpv!pwodgt!qh!hktghkijvgtu!vq!cvvcem!vjg!hktg/!Tgurqpug
qdlgevkxgu!owuv!cnuq!ceeqooqfcvg!xctkcvkqpu!kp!hktg!fcpigt/!Kv!ku!korqtvcpv!vq
eqpukfgt! uwdugswgpv! tgurqpugu! qeewttkpi! chvgt! vjg! kpkvkcn! tgurqpug! cpf! vjg
rquukdknkv{!qh!ukownvcpgqwu!gogtigpe{!gxgpvu-!uwej!cu!hktg-!tguewg-!jc|ocv!cpf!GOU
kpekfgpvu-!qeewttkpi!fwtkpi!qt!chvgt!vjg!kpkvkcn!kpekfgpv/!C!pwodgt!qh!ogcuwtgu!cpf
uvcpfctfu!ctg!eqpukfgtgf!d{!hktg!cpf!tguewg!cigpekgu!yjgp!fgxgnqrkpi!tgurqpug
ecrcdknkv{!qdlgevkxgu/!Vjgug!oclqt!ogcuwtgu!cpf!uvcpfctfu!ctg!fguetkdgf!kp!fgvckn
ncvgt!kp!vjku!tgrqtv/
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
8/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/ 7
UVCPFCTFU!CPF!HCEVQTU!WUGF!VQ!FGXGNQR!TGURQPUG!ECRCDKNKV[!QDLGEVKXGU
Eqpvckpogpv!qh!c!Hktg0Hncujqxgt PHRC!Uvcpfctf!2821
Igqitcrjke!Ejctcevgtkuvkeu!qh!vjg!Vqyp Fkuvtkdwvkqp!qh!Ecrcekv{!)hktg!uvcvkqp!nqecvkqp*
Ugswgpeg!qh!Gogtigpe{!Tgurqpug COC!GOU!Tgurqpug!Eqpukfgtcvkqpu!'!Uvcpfctfu
Vyq!Kp-!Vyq!Qwv!QUJC!Uchgv{!Twng CJC!Uvcpfctfu!hqt!Ectfkce!Tgurqpug
Kpuwtcpeg!Ugtxkegu!Qhhkeg!)KUQ*Ogcuwtgu0Uvcpfctfu
Vjg!eqpegrvu!uwooctk|gf!kp!vjg!gzjkdkv!cdqxg!rtqxkfg!c!htcog!qh!tghgtgpeg
hqt!ocp{!qh!vjg!tgeqoogpfcvkqpu!kp!vjku!tgrqtv/
Eqpvckpogpv/!Kp!uvtwevwtg!hktg!kpuvcpegu-!vjgtg!ctg!ugxgtcn!korqtvcpv!hcevqtu
vq! eqpukfgt/! Hktuv! ku! vjg! dgjcxkqt! qh! hktg! ykvjkp! c! eqphkpgf! urceg/! Vjg! tkumu
cuuqekcvgf!ykvj!vjku!ecp!xct{!cetquu!vjg!Vqyp/!Kp!enqugn{!fgxgnqrgf-!dwknv.wr!ctgcu-
kv!ku!korgtcvkxg!vq!eqpukuvgpvn{!eqpvckp!c!hktg!ykvjkp!vjg!eqorctvogpv!qh!qtkikp!)vjcv
ctgc!ugrctcvgf!htqo!vjg!tgockpfgt!qh!vjg!uvtwevwtg!d{!eqpuvtwevkqp*/!Vjku!ogcpu
vjcv!vjg!hktg!fgrctvogpv!owuv!kpvgttwrv!vjg!itqyvj!qh!hktg!dghqtg!c!eqpfkvkqp!ecnngf
hncujqxgt!qeewtu/!Cv!hncujqxgt-!vjgtg!ku!c!tcrkf!vtcpukvkqp!kp!hktg!dgjcxkqt!htqo
nqecnk|gf!dwtpkpi!qh!hwgn-!vq!kpxqnxgogpv!qh!cnn!vjg!eqodwuvkdngu!kp!vjg!gpenquwtg/
Cv!vjcv!vkog-!vjg!hktg!v{rkecnn{!gzrcpfu!kp!ukz!fkhhgtgpv!fktgevkqpu
vjg!egknkpi-!jqtk|qpvcnn{!vjtqwij!vjg!hqwt!ycnnu-!cpf!gxgp!vjtqwij!qrgpkpiu!kp!vjg
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qh!fgcvj!qt!ugtkqwu!kplwt{!vq!qeewrcpvu!qh!vjg!uvtwevwtg!ku!ukipkhkecpv/!Qdxkqwun{-
nkhg!uchgv{!ykvjkp!vjg!uvtwevwtg!ku!c!dcuke!eqpegtp!cpf-!yjgp!pgctd{!rtqrgtvkgu!ctg
kpxqnxgf-!vjg!eqpvtqn!qh!hncujqxgt!dgeqogu!gxgp!oqtg!rctcoqwpv!cu!cffkvkqpcn
nkxgu!cpf!rtqrgtv{!ctg!lgqrctfk|gf/
Eqortgjgpukxg! vguvkpi! d{! vjg! Wpkvgf! Uvcvgu! Kpuvkvwvg! qh! Uvcpfctfu! cpf
Vgejpqnqi{!jcu!igpgtcnn{!guvcdnkujgf!vjcv!c!hktg!ykvjkp!c!v{rkecnn{!hwtpkujgf!tqqo
yknn!gxqnxg!kpvq!hncujqxgt!ykvjkp!hqwt!vq!vgp!okpwvgu!qh!vjg!gxgpv!qh!qrgp!hncog/!Cv
vjcv!vkog-!vgorgtcvwtgu!cv!egknkpi!ngxgn!yknn!tgcej!2-611!fgitggu/!Wpkvgf!Uvcvgu!hktg
fgrctvogpv!rncppkpi!igpgtcnn{!cuuwogu!crrtqzkocvgn{!cp!gkijv.okpwvg!rgtkqf
dghqtg!hncujqxgt/
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
9/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/ 8
Wpfgt!vjgug!ektewouvcpegu-!cpf!yjgtg!nkxgu!cpf!rtqrgtvkgu!ctg!kp!fcpigt-!kp
qtfgt!vq!ceeqornkuj!vkogn{!kpvgttwrvkqp!qh!hktg!itqyvj-!eqpvckp!vjg!hktg!ykvjkp!vjg
eqorctvogpv! qh!qtkikp-!cpf! nqecvg!cpf! tgoqxg! vjtgcvgpgf! rgtuqpu-!tcrkf!cpf
ghhgevkxg!tgurqpug!ku!guugpvkcn/!Hktg!eqorcpkgu!owuv!tgegkxg!pqvkhkecvkqp!qh!vjg!hktg-
fqp!crrtqrtkcvg!uchgv{!igct-!oqwpv!vjg!crrctcvwu-!vtcxgn!vq!vjg!uegpg!qh!vjg!hktg-
ceeqornkuj!uwhhkekgpv!hktghkijvkpi!vcumu!vq!kpjkdkv!hktg!itqyvj-!cpf!tguewg!qeewrcpvu
ykvjkp! crrtqzkocvgn{! gkijv! okpwvgu! qh! vjg! gxgpv! qh! hncog/! Vjg! vcumu! vq! dg
ceeqornkujgf! cv! vjg! uegpg! d{! vjg! kpkvkcn! cttkxkpi! wpkvu! kpenwfg! ugctej-! tguewg-
xgpvkncvkqp-!ncffgt!rncegogpv-!jqug!nkpg!fgrnq{ogpv!cpf!qvjgt!cevkqpu-!cnn!tgswktkpi
koogfkcvg!cpf!ukownvcpgqwu!gzgewvkqp/
Nqecn!Ejctcevgtkuvkeu/!Yjgp!fgukipkpi!tgurqpug!vkog!cpf!tgurqpug!ecrcdknkv{
qdlgevkxgu-!kv!ku!korqtvcpv!vq!eqpukfgt!hktg!tkumu-!jqy!vjg{!xct{!d{!pgkijdqtjqqf-
cpf! vjg! ngxgn! qh! ugtxkeg! pggfgf/! Tkumu! ctg! itgcvguv! kp! yqqf.htcog! cpfpqp.tgukuvcpv!tgukfgpvkcn!fygnnkpi!wpkvu-!yjkej!ctg!pqtocnn{!ykvjqwv!cwvqocvke
fgvgevkqp!cpf!tgrqtvkpi!u{uvgou!qt!uwrrtguukqp!u{uvgou/!Kp!pgygt!eqpuvtwevkqp
)rctvkewnctn{!eqoogtekcn-!kpfwuvtkcn!cpf!kpuvkvwvkqpcn!uvtwevwtgu*-!yjgtg!dwknfkpiu
oc{!dg!tgswktgf!vq!jcxg!cwvqocvke!fgvgevkqp!cpf!uwrrtguukqp!u{uvgou-!vjg!hktg!tkum
ecp! dg! nguu/! Vjg! ncvvgt! wuwcnn{! jcxg! uwrrtguukqp! u{uvgou! yjkej! tgfweg! vjg
wpogcuwtgf!vkog!dgvyggp!vjg!uvctv!qh!c!hktg!cpf!yjgp!vjg!hktg!ku!fgvgevgf!cpf
tgrqtvgf-!cpf!cwvqocvkecnn{!tgvctf!hktg!fgxgnqrogpv/!Kv!ku!korqtvcpv!vq!tgeqipk|g
vjg!ukipkhkecpeg!qh!cwvqocvke!uwrrtguukqp!u{uvgou/!Kp!vjg!hqnnqykpi!gzjkdkv-!fcvc
htqo! vjg! PHRC! ku! tgrtqfwegf! kpfkecvkpi! vjg! ghhgevkxgpguu! qh! urtkpmngtu! kp
tgukfgpvkcn!qeewrcpe{!uvtwevwtg!hktgu/
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8/6/2019 FireStudy2007FinalReport
10/44
EJGNOUHQTF-!OCUUCEJWUGVVU
!OOC!EQPUWNVKPI!ITQWR-!KPE/ 9
URTKPMNGT!HKTG!RTQVGEVKQP!UVCVKUVKEU!.!TGUKFGPVKCN!UVTWEVWTG!HKTGU
2;;5.2;;9!)CPPWCN!CXGTCIGU*
JQOGU
)CRVU/-!2!'!3!HCOKN[*
TQQOKPI-!DQCTFKPI
'!NQFIKPI!JQWUGU
JQVGNU!'
OQVGNU
Rgtegpv!qh!hktgu!kp!dwknfkpiuykvj!cwvqocvke!uwrrtguukqpu{uvgou
3/2& 28/3& 45/6&
Fgcvju!rgt!2-111!hktgu!ykvjpq!cwvqocvke!uwrrtguukqpu{uvgou
;/6 24/5 9/6
Fgcvju!rgt!2-111!hktgu!ykvjcwvqocvke!uwrrtguukqpu{uvgou
3/3 1/1 1/1
Rgtegpv!tgfwevkqp!kp!fgcvjurgt!2-111!hktgu!yjgp
cwvqocvke!uwrrtguukqpu{uvgou!ctg!rtgugpv
87/7& 211& 211&
Uqwteg
Vjg! fcvc! kpfkecvg! vjcv! vjgtg! ku! c! tgfwevkqp! kp! fgcvj! yjgp! cwvqocvke
uwrrtguukqp! u{uvgou! ctg! rtgugpv/! Yjkng! pqv! ujqyp! cdqxg-! PHRC! fcvc! cnuq
fgoqpuvtcvg!vjcv!vjgtg!ku!c!uwduvcpvkcn!tgfwevkqp!kp!vjg!equv!qh!hktg!fcocig!yjgp
cwvqocvke!uwrrtguukqp!u{uvgou!ctg!kp!rnceg/
Ugswgpeg! qh! tgurqpug/! Kp! dtkpikpi! hktghkijvgtu! vq! vjg! rqkpv! qh! hktgkpvgttwrvkqp-!tgswktgf!uvgru!kpenwfg Pqvkhkecvkqp!qh!vjg!hktg!eqorcpkgu
> Vwtpqwv!qh!hktghkijvgtu!)fqppkpi!uchgv{!igct-!gve/*!cpf!fkurcvej!
> Vtcxgn!vkog
> Uk|g.wr!cpf!ugv.wr!cv!vjg!uegpg
Vjg!vkog!tgswktgf!vq!eqorngvg!vjgug!rtqegfwtgu!owuv!dg!tgfwegf!vq!vjg
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