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Why is china's stock market in crisis?
By: Gazal Trehan
tock markets in China are tumbling.
A three-week plunge has knocked
about 30% off Chinese shares since
mid-June. China’s securities regulator has
warned of “panic sentiment” gripping
investors, many of whom are individuals
that have borrowed heavily to play the stock
market. Hundreds of Chinese companies
have suspended dealings in their shares in a
bid to arrest a frenzy of selling. The
authorities have stepped in with various
measures, including a surprise interest rate
cut. But so far, their efforts have failed to
stem the rout and some analysts say the
moves by officials have only served to
heighten alarm.
Investors and policymakers around the
world are looking on with growing concern
that turmoil in the stock markets will spill
into China’s real economy, the second-
largest in the world and a huge engine of
global growth.
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But weren’t China’s stock markets soaring
just a few weeks ago?
They were. China’s stock markets had
previously been among the highest
performing in the world, and had hit a
seven-year peak in the middle of June. The
Shanghai stock market had surged more than
150% in 12 months.
What was behind the dramatic rise in
shares?
Investors have been piling in, encouraged by
falling borrowing costs as the central bank
loosened monetary policy. Unlike most
other stock markets, where investors are
mostly institutional, more than 80% of
investors in China are small retail investors.
The rise was also fuelled by a switch away
from property investment following a
clampdown by the government on excessive
lending by banks. Laws liberalizing the
stock market also made it easier for funds to
invest and for firms to offer shares to the
public for the first time. The past six months
have seen a record number of businesses
listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen
exchanges.
Why did the market turn?
Analysts were already warning that the
dramatic rise in China’s stock markets was
driven by momentum rather than
fundamentals. Stocks were looking wildly
overvalued at a time when the Chinese
economy was losing steam. As fears grew
that the rise in many stocks was
unsustainable, the selling started.
Even China’s bullish securities regulators
admitted markets had become frothy before
they turned down.
What is the economic backdrop?
China’s economy was already losing steam.
Its GDP growth rate halved from 14% in
2007 to 7.4% last year. The next GDP
figures in mid-July are expected to show the
slowest growth since before the financial
crisis.
In a sign of softening demand, imports have
been falling in recent months. Exports have
also eased off, despite government measures
to stimulate growth.
But analysts are divided over the scale of the
risk to the real economy from the stock
market turmoil. They question the strength
of links between the two.
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Jasper Lawler, an analyst at CMC Markets,
said: “It goes without saying that
movements in the Chinese stock market
don’t necessarily correlate to China’s
economy. This applied on the way up when
Chinese stocks rallied more than 100% in
the space of a year while economic growth
was the slowest in six years. This should
also be the case on the way down; just
because stocks are crashing, it doesn’t
necessarily have a knock-on effect on
China’s economy.”
BRICS cooperation
helps to build new
international
framework
By: Kaushal Kishore
he New Development Bank
BRICS (NDB BRICS), formerly
referred to as the BRICS
Development Bank, is multilateral
development bank operated by the BRICS
states (Brazil, Russia, India, China and
South Africa) as an alternative to the
existing US-dominated World Bank and
International Monetary Fund. The Bank is
set up to foster greater financial and
development cooperation among the five
emerging markets. Together, the four
original BRIC countries comprise in 2014
more than 3 billion people or 41.4 percent of
the world’s population, cover more than a
quarter of the world’s land area over three
continents, and account for more than 25
percent of global GDP. It is headquartered in
Shanghai, China. Unlike the World Bank,
which assigns votes based on capital share,
in the New Development Bank each
participant country will be assigned one vote
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and none of the countries will have veto
power.
"All the BRICS, (Brazil, Russia, India,
China and South Africa) economies have
become founding members of the AIIB,
while China, India and Russia turned out to
be the three largest shareholders of the
bank," an article titled "BRICS cooperation
helps to build new international framework"
published in the Global Times daily said.
"The establishment of the BRICS New
Development Bank, an emergency reserve
fund, and the AIIB will break the monopoly
position of the International Money Fund
(IMF) and the World Bank (WB)," said the
article written by Liu Zengyi, research
fellow of Shanghai Institutes for
International Studies.
"It will motivate the IMF and the WB to
function more normatively, democratically,
and efficiently, in order to promote the
reform of international financial system as
well as democratization of international
relations, it said.
A characteristic of this year's BRICS
summit at Ufa was the economic and trade
cooperation, especially the collaboration of
development strategy among the BRICS
members.
The meeting endorsed the Russia-initiated
BRICS Strategic Economic Partnership,
which provided a blueprint for the
organization’s economic and trade
cooperation in the coming years, said the
article.
The initiative will push each economy to
advance toward the goal of "setting up deep
integration of markets, multi-level
communication, efficient network of land,
sea and air passages, and closer cultural
exchanges," it said.
During the summit last week, the BRICS
countries conducted dialogues with the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)
and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU),
in which each side discussed the expansion
of exchanges in politics, economy and
culture, it said.
China and Russia have reached an
agreement over connecting the Beijing-led
"One Belt, One Road" initiative and the
EAEU.
"It is a coincidence for the summits of
BRICS and SCO to come together in the
same city and at the same time. But it
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showed that the BRICS countries and
Eurasian nations are eager to build a new
framework of international politics,
economy and security, with more
democracy, equality, openness and
inclusiveness," it said.
While the BRICS group mainly focuses on
economic cooperation, the SCO was
established primarily for mechanism of
security cooperation, it said.
"Regional stability is the basis of the
economic collaboration, while the latter can
boost the development of the former. In light
of this, both the BRICS and the SCO will
jointly and effectively promote stability and
prosperity in Asia and the entire world," the
article said.
CITICOIN and its
parent BITCOIN –
Future Currencies?
By: Rajan Kumar
n 7th July 2015, Citibank
announced its research on their
digital currency ‘Citicoin’ which
is their own version of Bitcoin. The bank is
doing a test run with the currency on three
block chain networks within the lab (we will
get to know about block chain further in the
article)with no real money involved as of
now. This confirms the promising nature of
digital currencies and the opportunities
financial institutions see and can exploit. To
understand the concept of digital currency
we need to understand Bitcoin and its
functioning.
Banks are the backbone of any economy, as
they maintain the money supply and provide
a safe avenue for keeping and investing your
money. There is also a trust factor between
customers and banks for handling savings,
but the 2008 crisis confirms that all banks
may not oblige. Also as we move towards
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ecommerce and buying more and more
things online, why should you pay a cut to
the banks for every online transaction? An
anonymous programmer, Satoshi Nakamoto
invented Bitcoin in 2009 which provides a
solution to above two problems. So, what
exactly is bitcoin?
Bitcoin is the first decentralized digital
cryptographic currency which can be mined
at a fixed rate per day. Currently 25 bitcoins
are mined each day globally. A miner
downloads bitcoin mining software and the
software runs complex algorithmic problems
over the bitcoin miner network on the
internet. Out of 25 bitcoins, units of bitcoin
a miner can mine are proportional to his
computer processor speed divided by
number of miners on the network. The
perceived value behind the bitcoin is the
solution to the algorithmic problem which is
unique for each unit of bitcoin mined. As
per the algorithm only 21 million bitcoins
can be mined ever, out of which 12 million
are already mined. Monetary value of a
bitcoin is dependent on the demand and
supply phenomena and keeps fluctuating. A
bitcoin is worth a whooping amount of Rs
18060 as of today which means Rs 21672
crores worth of Bitcoin money is already
flowing. Instead of mining you can also buy
them from other users or Bitcoin exchanges
present in 229 countries including India.
How is it better? It has zero transaction cost.
You can hold your mined bitcoins in a
wallet which can be an online website,
mobile app, desktop app or a hardware token
and you can transact free of charge. No user,
bank, or country can force a fee and you can
do cross border transactions with ease.
However, only you have the responsibility
to verify the payee before a transaction as a
bitcoin transaction cannot be reversed. Our
banks keep a record of our transactions in a
central ledger, however on a bitcoin
network; the concept of block chain comes
in. On a block chain network all the bitcoin
users record any bitcoin transaction over the
network. If X transacts with Y using
bitcoins, all the bitcoin user devices will
record and verify it. This helps in avoiding
use of copied digital code of the currency
and eliminates double spending of one unit
of bitcoin. Any attempt to fool the bitcoin
community with a faulty transaction will get
rejected.
Bitcoin is not yet extensively used and is
currently in the phase of infrastructure
building for its use. Amazon, Subway,
Wordpress, Victoria Secret and whole host
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of websites along with bars and pubs in
Sydney and London accept bitcoins. Despite
some having their apprehensions about
bitcoin, everyone accepts this revolutionary
invention with a potential to further
improve. Raghuram Rajan in an interview
with Pranoy Roy opinionated his concern
over security of the bitcoin system and its
fluctuating value but foresees its evolution
into a better and safer currency 10-15 years
down the line.
Greece: From Beginning
of mess to a humiliating
agreement with Europe
By: Vishal Sukhija
n 2001, Greece was among the first
countries to approve the new currency
i.e. Euro. The launch of unified
currency Euro was hailed a success as it
surpassed the dollar in value and everything
was going smooth.
And yet for Greece, it seems now to have all
fallen flat. How did it happen?
Greece joined the euro zone before the
launch of the euro at the beginning of 2002.
For joining euro zone it was a condition that
a country had to prove its "economic
convergence" with the other euro zone
members – it was meant to ensure that
different countries would not threaten the
existence of common currency.
When Greece was accepted in euro zone,
warnings were raised. But fake accounts hid
the true extent of its deficit. One of the
economic convergence requirements was
that a country should not have a budget
deficit of more than 3% of GDP. It was a
requirement imposed on all countries, yet
the extent to which Greece hid its economic
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problems from its fellow euro zone members
was huge.
Two years later, a new government came to
power and it took a look at the books. What
it discovered was shocking. The budget
deficit was not 1.5%, as reported, but 8.3% -
- five and a half times higher than thought.
The government faced a dilemma: What
should it do with this awful information?
But as the Olympics approached, it
concealed figures. This was the country's
turn to shine on the international stage as
Olympics were coming back to their
originating country. Instead of revealing the
extent of the deficit -- and starting to deal
with it -- the government covered it up.
In 2007, the financial crisis came. Financial
crisis started from U.S. but it spread around
the world. And it hit countries around the
globe to varying extents. Other European
Union countries were severely affected --
notably Spain and Ireland.
And Greece was hit far harder than many
other countries. With a deep gap between
revenues and expenditures, it was
vulnerable. In 2008, the country's tax
collection, already worse it was, collapsed.
The hole in the budget grew too big to hide.
Greece needed help and the other euro zone
countries, fearing that, if Greece defaulted
on its debts, other euro zone countries' cost
of borrowing would rise to unsustainable
levels -- felt they had no option but to give
that help.
In 2009, international investors, felt cheated
when they came to know about the fact that
Greece's previously announced debt and
deficit figures were inaccurate, they became
worried about the country's ability to pay its
debts.
The country's credit rating was downgraded,
first by Fitch and then by Moody's.
With investor confidence disappearing, the
country's cost of borrowing spiked and the
situation ran the risk of running out of
control. So the other euro zone countries, in
the form of the so-called troika -- the
European Commission, the European
Central Bank and the International Monetary
Fund -- stepped in to cure up the patient.
In May 2010, leaders of the euro zone and
the Greek government agreed on the
conditions for a 110 billion-euro bailout
loan. But the bailout came with strict
conditions -- among them that the
government had to improve its tax collection
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and save money in an effort to bring its
budget into balance.
Saving government money, though, meant
laying off government workers. And that
meant that those workers had less to spend,
so other businesses suffered and lay off
workers, too. Unemployment rose,
depressing government tax revenues.
But still, the bailout medicine didn't do the
trick. In February 2012, the government
accepted another bailout loan, bringing the
total borrowed to 246 billion Euros. A new
austerity (cut social expenditure) plan was
agreed upon as well.
The amount owed to the international
lenders was now 135% of the country's GDP
and things were just getting worse.
Unemployment rose to near 30%. Youth
unemployment soared over 50%.
In 2015, the budget refused to balance. More
money was needed -- and also, debt relief, if
the country were ever again to stand on its
own two feet.
The country was now led by the left-wing
government of Alexis Tsipras. Relations
between representatives of the international
lenders and Tsipras and his finance minister,
Yanis Varoufakis, were poor -- hampering
negotiations.
In June, the negotiations broke off, with
each side apparently daring the other to be
the cause of provoking Greek exit from the
euro zone. At the end of June 2015, Greece
defaulted on a repayment to the International
Monetary Fund.
The banks started to run out of money.
Capital controls were introduced, limiting
the amount of money people could withdraw
each day.
After weeks of discussions, including the
break of negotiations and the holding of a
referendum -- in which the Greek people
voted "No" to more austerity -- a deal to
lend the country more money and cancel
some of its past debt was needed soon to
avoid having the country fall out of the euro.
That would have unknown repercussions --
for Greece, the euro zone and the global
economy.
On 12th July 2015, In exchange for the
package, which could amount to as much as
€86 billion ($95 billion) over three years,
Mr. Tsipras (Greek PM) has had to sign up
to precisely the sort of demands his Syriza
party railed against during its successful
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election campaign in January. The pledges,
on matters like VAT and pension reform,
must be legislated by the Greek parliament
not later than July 15th. A week later further
legislation must follow, including a total
overhaul of Greece’s judicial system.
But that is just the start, as Mrs. Merkel
(German PM) had warned that Greece must
also enact further pension reforms, open up
professions, loosen trading rules, privatize
its electricity network, reform its labor
market and strengthen its banks. Once that is
out of the way, Mr. Tsipras’s government, if
it is still standing, will have to produce plans
for “de-politicizing” the Greek
administration, a task that has eluded every
government since Greece obtained its
independence from the Ottomans in 1832. It
must accept complete oversight from the
hated “institutions” (once known as the
troika) who will return to Athens to oversee
the work of Greek officials. At the insistence
of the Dutch PM, Mark Rutte, it will have to
roll back any legislation it has passed since
taking office that violates previous bail-out
agreements (or compensate for their
consequences by passing new laws). Most
painful of all, it will have to deposit what the
seven-page summit statement calls “valuable
Greek assets” into an independent
privatization fund with the aim of raising
€50 billion over the course of the bail-out.
As for the rest of the euro zone, there will no
doubt they will be relieved that the latest
chapter of the Greek crisis has been closed,
even if many more are to come. But when
they emerge from their post-summit sleep
they will face two awkward questions. First,
how can they expect a government which
was selected in opposition to austerity and
foreign instructions to implement reforms
that prevented its far more influential
predecessors? And second, how can a euro
zone that was created to drive integration
and foster trust between its members thrive
when it appears to have had precisely the
opposite effect?
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Draft IFC: Tussle between Government and
RBI
By: Niladri Ukil
uch has been discussed in the
media about the proposed changes
the Indian Financial Code hopes to
bring in the regulation and structure of the
Indian financial system. The main point of
contention that has risen between the Govt. of
India and the RBI stems from distribution of
responsibility and authority with regard to
inflation targeting. To get a better perspective
we must look at how central banks all over the
world evolved over time and how they discharge
their duties while interacting with respective
local governments. Today, central banks are
public policy institutions whose main goals are
to preserve monetary stability and promote
financial stability. There is a convergence of
views in both developed and developing
economies that price stability has to be the main
objective of monetary policy. According to the
handbook, at the start of 2012, 27 central banks
adopted inflation targeting as their monetary
policy framework. In a majority of these
countries — 15 out of 27 — the inflation target
is decided both by the government and the
central bank. At the heart of any governance
arrangement is the design of decision-making
structures. Human factors will always remain
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important to outcomes, but human behavior is
subject to influence by structural and procedural
aspects of the environment. If central banks
simply implemented the government’s policy
instructions, the preferred arrangement might be
to have a single chief executive responsible for
running the institution – the model for
government departments. Group decision-
making is thought to lead to better, more
accurate decisions – an idea that has both
theoretical and empirical support. Different
individuals may have different mental ―frames
through which they interpret information and
options. Combining those interpretations
through discussion, followed by consensus
forming or voting, effectively allows a group to
base its decisions on a set of concerns,
information and judgments that is much larger
than would be available to an individual. Boards
or committees for decision-making on interest
rates are now very prevalent and have become
the focus of a mushrooming field of research. In
only a handful of countries is the governor still
legally and practically responsible for interest
rate decisions (Aruba, Israel, Madagascar,
Malta, New Zealand and Papua New Guinea). In
some other cases, the governor remains legally
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responsible, but decisions are made within the
context of committee meetings that entail a vote
or consensus forming (Canada, India, Malaysia,
South Africa). Virtually without exception, the
governor, by law, chairs the policy board and the
management board. Because the governor’s role
usually includes that of ―chief policymaker and
thus bears the greatest responsibility for the
policy outcome, it makes sense for the governor
to chair the policy board. The Central Bank has
to maintain a close relationship with the
government to fulfill its objectives. These
interactions may be of both formal and informal
type. In industrialized countries, it is common
for the governor and the minister of finance to
meet one-on-one or in a small group, less so in
emerging market economies.
In contrast, it is far more common in emerging
market economies than in industrialized
countries for a government representative to
participate in meetings of the central bank’s
board or for the governor to participate in
cabinet meetings. Strikingly, for about half of
the central banks from emerging market
economies, the coordination of monetary and
fiscal policy is a key purpose of their high-level
meetings with the government, while none of the
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central banks of industrialized countries say that this is why they meet with government.
The composition of the Monetary Policy
Committee (MPC), as suggested by the revised
draft of the Indian Financial Code, put out by the
Finance Ministry on Thursday, swings in favor
of the Centre. The draft recommends a seven-
member committee, headed by the RBI
Governor, who will have the casting vote in case
of a tie while taking the decision on policy rates.
The panel has suggested two members
(excluding the RBI Governor) from the central
bank — one nominated by the RBI board and
the other by the Governor. The other four
members will be appointed by the Centre. The
recommended composition is in contrast with
the Urjit Patel committee recommendation,
which suggested a five-member team — two
external and three from the RBI.
The idea of a central bank is tied — almost
inextricably — to the notion of functional
independence. The virtue of this is to insulate
the bank, and critical monetary policy decisions
from political interference and pressures of
populism. The idea of government nominees on
the MPC goes beyond the practice followed by
most other countries, where such committees are
made up entirely by representatives of the
central bank and independent members. It is a
veiled attack on the autonomy of the RBI itself
and a method to override the strict fiscal
discipline forced on the parliament to curb
wasteful populist spending. Under the monetary
policy framework the RBI Governor would have
to explain the reasons for not meeting inflation
targets. This responsibility coupled with
proposed misrepresentation of RBI in the MPC
and proposed withdrawal of the veto power of
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the Governor lands him in a situation where
though being held responsible for the success of
inflation targeting he has little control to check
populist policy moves by the Govt. in power. If
the IFC is passed with its current proposals
intact this would foreseeably impact the
financial health of the country in future and
would represent another instance where the will
to control the pillars of society by politicians has
ended up eroding the base of our beautiful
democracy.
.
OLD STRUCTURE
REVISED PROPOSAL
The Monetary Policy Committee will consist of
(a) the Reserve Bank Chairperson, as chairperson of the Monetary
Policy Committee;
(b) one executive member of the Board of the Reserve Bank, as
designated by the Reserve Bank Board;
(c) two members, appointed by the Central Government, in
consultation with the Reserve Bank Chairperson; and
(d) three members appointed by the Central Government.
The Monetary Policy Committee will comprise
(a) the Reserve Bank Chairperson as its chairperson;
(b) one executive member of the Reserve Bank Board
nominated by the Reserve Bank Board;
(c) one employee of the Reserve Bank nominated by the
Reserve Bank Chairperson; and
(d) four persons appointed by the Central Government
The decisions of the Monetary Policy Committee will be binding
on the Reserve Bank, unless such decision has been superseded by
the Reserve Bank Chairperson.
The decisions of the Monetary Policy Committee will be
binding on the Reserve Bank.
In exceptional and unusual circumstances, if the Reserve Bank
Chairperson disagrees with a decision taken at a meeting of the
Monetary Policy Committee, the Reserve Bank Chairperson will
have the right to supersede such decision.
In the event of a tie amongst the members of the Monetary
Policy Committee, the Reserve Bank Chairperson will have a
second and casting vote.
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Effect of IPO on
Competing listed firms.
By: Siddharth Bhan
hile small companies are making
more by going public it’s a win-
win situation for them, but is it
same for the investors? Would an investor gain
by investing in an IPO or he should invest in
competitors, there’s a need to identify the
movement of share price, i.e. can an investor
avail the benefits of an IPO by investing in
competitor or he should invest in an IPO firm. I
found that IPO announcement has a positive
effect on the stock price of listed competing
firms whereas in the case of post listing
performance of an IPO we found that the
investor would have gained if he had invested
the same in the IPO rather that of a competing
firm. I have collected the data from the period
January 2012 to December 2014 i.e. a total of 13
IPO’s with 33 IPO competing firms (i.e. firms
with similar business model). For the purpose of
research I have eliminated those companies
whose market capitalization was less than 500
million. The factors like stock split, Bonus etc.
were all taken into consideration for the purpose
of study. These stocks were having different
value so in order to scale all stocks to same level
I have used share price multiplier base as 100 as
of 6 months from the date of RHP for pre IPO
analysis and second multiplier at the time of
listing for post IPO analysis.
IPO Trends over the years
Let us first take a look at the frequency
distribution of IPOs over our reference period.
Our Sampling period is three years long.
However, the IPO activity across this period
wasn’t uniformly distributed.
It is distinctly seen here that the IPO market
witnessed a slump between jan-2012 and Nov-
2012. There were periods that lasted for months
with less than 3 public offers. In other periods
when the market was “hot” we had even
witnessed multiple issues in a single month. The
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6 months
prior to RHPRHP date Listing date 6 months
after listing
1 week
prior to
RHP
PRE IPO PERFORMANCE
Comparing IPO with
competing firms
POST IPO PERFORMANCE
issue of IPO performance in “hot‟ markets is an
entire research area by itself. The phase between
Jun-2014 and around Oct 2014 was one of those
periods, characterized by a large number of IPOs
and widespread under-pricing. It is similar to a
“boom” period.
IPO TIMELINE
The study sought to find the effects of IPO on
.competing listed firms quoted at BSE & NSE.
The study has been done in 2 parts i.e. Pre IPO
performance & Post IPO performance.
For the purpose of pre IPO performance- A
comparison is made between six months prior to
RHP date to RHP date with the same 1 week
less to find out the effect of IPO announcement.
For the purpose of post IPO performance- A
comparison is made between IPO competing
firm with IPO.
Where: RHP- Red herring prospectus
Pre IPO analysis- Period from six months prior
to RHP to RHP date.
Post IPO analysis- Period from listing date to six
Months after listing date.
PRE & POST IPO ANALYSIS
BSE S&P SENSEX: In case of Pre IPO
performance of stocks net effect of IPO
announcement is 2% i.e. 3%-1% (33 companies)
whereas in case of sectoral indices is concerned
the Media, GOLD & INFRASTRUCTURE
competing firms recorded a real growth of 8%,
7% & 6%. This should be noted that in India
advertising expenditure to GDP is less than 1 %
which is substantially lower to other developed
and under developed countries. Interestingly
print & T.V media contribute over 75% of the
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advertising spent. As Indian economy continues
to develop & media reach increases, advertising
expend to GDP ratio is expected to increase.
Moreover the electronic media industry did not
mature to a considerable extend i.e. digitization
phase 1 & 2, the timely roll out of further phases
will certainly benefit the industry.
SECTORAL INDICES: In case of Finance &
Realty sector competing firms recorded a
stagnant growth. Moreover growth in these
Industries remains at 2% & 8%. A Negative
growth is analyzed for IPO competing firms in
FMCG sector at -10%. The reason for the
stagnant growth of financial services sector was
due to the uneven political climate led to
stagnant economic scenario thereby leading to
lower infusion of capital in core industries,
inflation remain high side, thereby reducing
disposable income & leading to lower demand.
Additionally the FY14 proved to be the most
challenging year for Indian commercial vehicle,
thus vehicle financiers too faced enormous
challenges.
BSE S&P SENSEX: In case of Post IPO
performance a comparative analysis has been
done for the period of 6 months for IPO’s and
their competing firms. An investor would have
gain 50% more returns in an IPO than investing
in competing firm whereas during the same
period SENSEX movement was stagnant at 5%.
SECTORAL INDICES: For the purpose of
deeper analysis we have analyzed each IPO with
their respective sector. There’s a general trend
analyzed when investor Mr. A invested INR RS
100 in IPO and its competing firm, Mr. A gained
considerably high in case he invested in IPO in
comparison to competing firm. The greatest
upward movement is seen in IPO’s over
competing firms of financial services, Realty &
infrastructure sector at 68%, 67% & 57%
whereas during this same period the respective
index moved mere -3%, -9% & 5% respectively.
CONCLUSION:
India is a growing economy; this brings us more
economic opportunities but also increased
competition. We have tried to find out what
opportunities Competing firms bring in for the
competing listed firms. The results should be
interpreted as indicating the markets expectation
of untapped opportunities still lying in the Indian
economy which new companies provide clues to
for the industry as a whole.
.
Page | 19
Crowd-funding: The
next generation Angel
Investor
By: Poulomi Kundu
eb has never stopped to
astound and energize
entrepreneurs, business
people and investors. Up till now, everyone
realized that the web was a real drive to
advance and offer products and services, yet
no one had even the scarcest bit of the
thought that the web could likewise assume
an essential part in creating new
organizations and bringing new ambitious
entrepreneurs to the industry. The uplifting
news is that this is really conceivable now in
India with the most recent and progressive
approach to reserve your current or new
business. This progressive methodology is
called “Crowd-funding”.
What precisely is crowd-funding?
Crowd-funding is a compelling approach to
raise a lot of cash to support a current
business or to begin another wonder. What
makes crowd-funding unique in relation to
other options of masterminding funds for
your business is that here you will be taking
funds from individuals who trust you and
who have faith in your thoughts. Along
these lines, fundamentally, in crowd-funding
platform would help you raise the required
capital in the shortest possible time. You just
have to convince them that your idea is
W
Page | 20
commendable. Really, there are bunches of
businesses that can take advantage of crowd-
sourcing and crowd-funding in India. These
businesses incorporate, however not
constrained to, product or service based
industries, political crusades, potential
craftsmen, creative innovations, or
individuals with terrific ideas, yet not able to
fund those thoughts to execute.
Some of the most important advantages of
crowd-funding are as follows:
No Need of banks for funding: These are
times when it is difficult to get advances
from saving money establishments and other
loaning administrations. This is particularly
valid for little organizations or people who
are looking to kick-start their organizations.
It's so difficult there to persuade the banks
of your creative ideas as they simply
searching for risk free benefits.
Unparalleled exposure: When you utilize
Crowd-funding to back your start-up or
existing business, this accurately implies
that your business would be presented to a
huge number of clients and speculators all
over world. This is the ideal approach to
accomplish awe-inspiring exposure of your
business even before beginning it.
Affirmation that your thoughts are worth
investing: It happens such a variety of times
that a business begins with a wrong thought,
and this thing normally costs a ton of cash to
any start-up ambitious person.
Consequently, it bodes well to present your
thoughts before the overall population, and
know the beat of your clients. In the event
that they fund you it essentially implies that
your thoughts have the capability of earning
you a great deal of money.
Types of Crowd-funding
Crowd-funding can be of three types.
Donation and reward based: The platform
accepts a donation from many backers for
projects. In most cases, the return involves
finished goods like a signed DVD of the
movie backed by the crowd. For example
Ketto is famous for this kind of crowd-
sourcing in India.
Lending based: These crowd funds take
money from different people and facilitate
loans or micro-finance to the needy. Micro-
finance platform Milaap is an example of
such crowd sourcing in India.
Equity based crowd-funding: This mode
of crowd-funding, where donors take a share
Page | 21
of equity in the project or start-up, is not
legal in India yet.
Regulations in Crowd-funding
Crowd-funding ordinarily includes young
ambitious people and small groups of
individuals raising funds for their ventures
through different online stages including
people and additionally associations.
Generally, such stages are additionally being
utilized for launching products that
guarantee certain financial returns to the
patrons.
While it is still in an incipient stage in India,
contrasted with extensive markets like the
US, China and the UK, the trend is getting
up to speed quick particularly in the wake of
development of social networking as a key
stage for such exercises.
International Organization of Securities
Commissions, a group of market regulators
across the world including SEBI, as of late
called for more prominent administrative
checks on 'crowd-funding' investment
products to dodge any potential systemic
dangers in future.
A few focuses SEBI ought to note about
crowd-funding:
All crowd-funding destinations are not
the same:
SEBI needs to recognize something like a
Kick-starter where individuals pay ahead of
time for products and services like RangDe
which is a micro-financing service where
funds are raised by means of crowd-funding.
Don't constrain value into crowd-
funding:
The certainty that SEBI is attempting to
push these rules brings up issues on what
silly minimum guarantees crowd-funding
activities will need to have. It would be ideal
if you let this not be a rehash of the Angel
funding rules.
How to handle fraud?
SEBI needs to elucidate who will be
responsible if an organization tricks
individuals off their cash. There have been a
few cases of individuals setting up false
claims to raise reserves for different tasks
and never conveying. Will the crowd-
funding stage be considered responsible all
things considered? Will these stages need to
screen these tasks ahead of time?
Page | 22
Start-ups focused?
It is great that SEBI needs to help new
businesses raise funds effortlessly through
crowd-funding, however we trust the rules
are not made on account of new companies
alone. As of now the majority of the crowd-
funding tasks in India are craftsmanship
related.
Will just staying online help?
They say that E-business in India just got a
help when they launched the idea of cash on
delivery. Correspondingly, crowd-funding
will need to take a gander at building an
offline base to induce mass awareness and
encouraging larger participation. Platforms
likewise need to take a look at these roads.
We accept that development of crowd-
funding as another Angel Investor in India
will support confidence and business
enterprise. However, if we truly need to
utilize this industry in India, we have to
innovate and look beyond just building up
the platform.
Still depending on your children to sail you through your years after Retirement? By: Shreya Kohli
If yes, do not be! Face the truth right now.
Your child did not exactly have an
alternative while being born except depend
on you for its living. Now that they are big
enough to earn for themselves does not
mean that they would be willing to fund for
you after you retire.
“But why do I need to think about retirement
now? I just had a kid!”
Well of course that’s the first thought that
might occur to you. Its ironic targeting
people in the younger age group while
comfortably ignoring those in their 50’s, but
how would you prepare for retirement if the
Page | 23
luxury of time is no longer available to work
in your favor?
Take for example you manage to keep aside
a crore after all your years of hard-work for
a peaceful life after retirement. With a 9%
rate of interest and an 8% rate of inflation,
you might consider withdrawing around
75,000 per month for the first year. Adding
all your household expenditures, electricity
bill, food supply, transportation and all, it
may prove to be sufficient isn’t it? But what
about the ever persisting inflation? Do you
expect prices to remain the same through
your lifetime? Let’s tabulate it.
Number of years Withdrawal amount
1 75,000
2 81,000
3 87,480
4 94478.4
5 102036.672
6 110199.6058
7 119015.5742
8 128536.8202
9 138819.7658
Number of years Withdrawal amount
10 149925.347
11 161919.3748
12 174872.9248
Plus a few more months and within 12.5
years that’s the end of all your life-long
savings.
That fast? Yes, the killer inflation played its
role brilliantly and finished it all off.
Or maybe if you cut your spending
drastically you might be able to survive it.
Retirement is an event in life which all of us
have to go through. We don’t have a choice
in this matter, do we? Years of patience and
perseverance can help you survive the
golden age of retirement with peace and
comfort. But also, you need to take into
account the unforeseen expenditures you
might have to face, the major one being
medical expenses as your health can take a
turn for the worse at any point.
We need to plan, implement as well as chalk
out a full-fledged itinerary to make the most
of what we have today.
Page | 24
Let’s see how we can get about doing this:
Save more: Start of saving as much as you
can right now! Being young, you could save
much more right now if you are past the
child rearing stage. Since everyone is living
longer, these savings will supplement your
living standard in retirement. Try adding
more to your saved amount every time that
you end up with a bonus or a raise. Also, the
earlier you save the more it gets
compounded, which means you end up with
more than you may have figured of. Go by
the saying-“The early bird surely gets a
better pie.”
Determine your retirement amount
beforehand: There is a retirement target
which you need to predict as of now to make
your journey after retirement comfortably
easy.
As for this you need to know:
Your life expectancy (which can be
estimated by the health status of your
family )
Your current needs and expenditure
The rate of inflation
Maximize your earning: Look for ways to
increase your income which may in turn
increase the amount you might have set
aside for retirement. Work longer, not just
by the hours in a day but by the years in
your life. Also, you can work part time at
some places to generate some extra pocket
money which may come in handy if you are
able to preserve it. Minimizing your taxes
may also be a great way to maximize your
wealth.
Take a little risk in life: You may get
constant interest on your money if you go
dump it in a bank, but then you wouldn’t
retire rich either. Invest your money in
stocks and real estate and even though that
may be a nail biting experience, but that’s
the only way to make big money. Although
be informed about your investment and act
distinguishably, unlike the crowd.
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