Finding a Winning Business Model in Population Health ... · PDF fileFinding a Winning...

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Finding a Winning Business Model in Population Health Management Zachary Hafner Principal, Oliver Wyman Brendan Baker CFO, CareMore Dr. Scott Mancuso Senior Medical Officer, CareMore Agenda for Today’s Discussion The Volume to Value Revolution Healthcare Value Transformation and Population Health Management The CareMore Case Study: A Model for Population Health Management The CareMore Model Results Lessons Learned and Keys to Success Q&A/Wrap-up 2

Transcript of Finding a Winning Business Model in Population Health ... · PDF fileFinding a Winning...

Page 1: Finding a Winning Business Model in Population Health ... · PDF fileFinding a Winning Business Model in Population Health Management Zachary Hafner – Principal, Oliver Wyman ...

Finding a Winning Business Model

in Population Health Management

Zachary Hafner – Principal, Oliver Wyman

Brendan Baker – CFO, CareMore

Dr. Scott Mancuso – Senior Medical Officer, CareMore

Agenda for Today’s Discussion

• The Volume to Value Revolution – Healthcare Value Transformation and Population Health Management

• The CareMore Case Study: A Model for Population Health Management

– The CareMore Model

– Results

– Lessons Learned and Keys to Success

• Q&A/Wrap-up

2

Page 2: Finding a Winning Business Model in Population Health ... · PDF fileFinding a Winning Business Model in Population Health Management Zachary Hafner – Principal, Oliver Wyman ...

The Volume to Value Revolution Healthcare value transformation and

population health management

National health market tipping point in 2016/17

as more than 30% of the market shifts to value

41M

50M

91M

36M

$268B

$1.5T

$578B

$1.2T

$231B

U.S. Lives Buying Value by Funding Source

2010 - 2025

Value Market Opportunity by Funding Source

2010-2025

Net

New

Lives CAGR

36M 14%

67M 9%

9M 15%

46M 19%

32M 10%

Net

New

Spend CAGR

$231B 17%

$1.0T 14%

$578B 21%

$1.4T 25%

$253B 21%

9M

227M lives in 2025

(63% of total lives)

$3.7T in 2025

(70% of total spend)

The value market will grow from $232B to $3.7T by 2025

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The “volume to value revolution” is

building momentum

Medicare

Employers Medicaid

Consumers

Across populations

Across geographies

Across health conditions

Easy

Personal

Integrated

Error free

Personalized

Mobile/social

Always available

Less invasive

Predictive/ preventative

Accessible

Much better value

Population Health and Lifestyle

Managers rotating over $1 TN towards

higher value

5

Three transformational waves are reshaping

the health marketplace

6

2010 2025

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Fueling development of new patient and

consumer centered business designs

7

Unlocking value throughout the

population pyramid

8

5%

25%

70%

45%-50%

30%-35%

20%

Population Stratification Resource Consumption

Opportunities for total redesign of care

delivery models

Opportunities for dramatically enhanced efficiency

and consistency in care delivery

Opportunities to enhance value through better

access and enhanced patient engagement

Source: Blended MarketScan Commercial , Medicare 5% LDS, and representative payer Medicare data

• ED visits

• Avoidable events

• Readmissions

• Higher acuity episodes

than reqd.

• Complications and

Readmissions

• Unmanaged and

unengaged

• Poly-chronic

• Frail Elders

• End of Life

• At risk for major

intervention

• Healthy/minor

issues

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Population health segments Frail Healthy

Healthy

independent

Health risk

factors

Early stage

chronic

Complex

conditions

Late state or

poly-chronic

Description

No chronic

conditions and

free of key risk

factors

No major chronic

conditions with

one or more risks

Chronic condition

that is well

controlled without

substantially

progression

Systemic or

otherwise complex

condition

1+ chronic

conditions that are

uncontrolled or

advanced

% of

Population 54% 17% 11% 13% 6%

% of Cost 20% 11% 8% 25% 36%

20% of the population and

60% of the costs

For population health players, the top of the pyramid

offers the greatest impact opportunity… this will also

be most disruptive to inpatient and specialty services

9

Source: Interstudy

Funding source

Top 1%

Next 10%

Funding source

Next 5%

Upward

spiral

The top 5% of spenders drive 45%-50% of

total medical spend

10

Average 2012 PMPY by percentile

1st percentile 2nd percentile 3rd percentile 4th percentile 5th percentile

Commercial1 $128k $46k $32k $26k $21k

Medicare2 $207K $118k $93k $78k $68k

Cumulative medical spend by member

Source: Commercial Sample – MarketScan Commercial claims data; Medicare Sample – Medicare 5% sample.

Note: Only those Medicare patients with both Parts A and B were included in the analysis. 1. Trended to 2012 using 7% annual inflation rate. 2. Trended to 2012 using 5% annual inflation rate;

just Medicare Parts A and B, no Rx spend included.

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Not all patients’ needs are identical or require equally intensive

management; patient-centric care must be highly personalized

11

Healthy

At Risk

Early Stage

Chronic

Complex

Condition

Late Stage/

Polychronic

End of Life

• No major chronic conditions, 1+ risks • Hypertension, high cholesterol, obesity

• No chronic conditions/ risk factors • Normal BMI, non-smoker

• Terminally ill patients nearing the last 12 weeks of life

• Uncontrolled, advanced or multiple chronic conditions • Advanced chronics (top 10% of spend), CHF, ESRD

• Systemic or otherwise complex conditions • Cancer, multiple sclerosis, cystic fibrosis

• Chronic condition is well controlled, little progression • Diabetes, Asthma, CAD

Care Delivery: Patient Stratification:

The population health manager will stratify patients to

determine the type and level of care needed to best

treat them…

… and channel

resources accordingly

Few PCP

activities, more

health plan mgmt

Significant PCP

management and

care coordination

Specialists utilized

to assist in

diagnosis and

formulate treatment

plans, rather than in

maintenance of care

Active management of the patients has the potential to significantly

impact both outcomes and costs of care… in short, the total approach

to care

12

Representative Condition Appendicitis Trauma/

Poisonings Pregnancy Orthopedics Stroke CHF Diabetes CAD ESRD Cancer

Late-Stage

Polychronic

% of Total Spend 0.5% 2.2% 5.1% 14% 0.8% 0.4% 3.2% 3.9% 1.0% 11.8% 16%

Active Management Impact N/A Low Low High High High High High Medium High

Patient engagement

Health risk assessment

24/7 virtual access

Genetic testing / biomarkers

Remote monitoring

Integrated treatment plan

Medication management

Early intervention

Care coordination

Post-acute management

Behavioral health integration

Palliative / pain mgmt. integration

Lifestyle Management Impact N/A N/A High N/A Low High High High High High High

Health and wellness education

Nutrition support

Fitness support

Social engagement / social media

Home / environmental review

Clinical Efficiency

Reduction in low value activities

Shift to spend on prevention

Net Ability to Impact Low Low-Med Med Med High High High High High High

Procedural Acute manifestation Chronic Complex/polychronic

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This has significant implications for

sites and types of service

13

Primary

Care Specialists Emergency Ambulatory Hospital Post-Acute R(x)

Current fee

for service

silos

Integrated

episode,

condition and

disease

ecosystems

Population

health and

condition

management

Low High

Concentration

Participating in an integrated, patient-centric care delivery ecosystem will

be a paradigm shift for many of today’s independent-minded

physician practitioners

14

My patients are those who make

appointments with me

Our patients are those who are registered in

our medical home and we take

accountability for optimizing their health

status in a cost efficient manner

Care is determined by today’s problem and

time available today

Care is managed with a proactive plan to

meet patients’ needs without visits

Care varies by scheduled time and memory

or skill of the doctor

Care is standardized according to evidence-

based guidelines and measured on quality,

patient experience and cost

Patients are largely responsible for

coordinating their own care, including visits

to specialists

A team of professionals coordinates every

patient’s care and accepts responsibility for

meeting care needs and obtaining positive

outcomes

It’s up to the patient to tell us what

happened to him/her

We track tests and consultations, and

follow-up after ED and hospital visits, and in

doing so reduce recidivism (readmissions, ER

visits, episode condition flare ups, etc)

Today’s Care Model Patient-Centric Model

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Retailers, payers and wellness companies are increasingly

focusing on the bottom of the pyramid while providers

dominate the top… for now

15

Top-down vs. bottom-up competition for lives

Physician-led Consumer-led

Healthy

Polychronic

Health leadership

He

alt

h s

tatu

s

Chronic and

major

conditions

Provider-led pop manager

Cardiology Orthopedics

ESRD

Diabetes Wellness

Frail elder

Cancer

Biometrics

Lifestyle

Coaching Convenience

Retail/ shopping

Wellness

Minute Clinics

Monitors/ sensors

Apps

Social media

Information

Provider-led models

Retail/New-co

models

Payer-led models

Payer-led model

Risk assessment

Ancillary products

Goods Network

Risk financing

Wellness

Minute Clinics

Financial mgmt.

Coaches

Crowdsourced tools

Provider transparency

Surgical oncology

Radiation oncology

Intervent-ionalist

Open Heart

EP

Retail-led pop manager

In a value-based world, providers have a

range of options of where to play for value

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Pop’n Health Mgr. • PCMH • IOCP • Frail elder

Condition Manager • Cardiovascular • Diabetes • Oncology

Episodic Manager • Orthopedics • Surgical COE

Fee-for-Service • Phys. Office • Outpatient • Ancillary Care • ED/UC • IP Hospital

Pop. Health Mgr. Condition Manager Episodic Manager FFS Provider

Product A superior holistic patient

experience that delivers better

outcomes, lower cost through

engagement and care

coordination

An EBM care experience

that engages/steers

complex & chronic patients

to cost & quality endpoints

A comprehensive care

experience oriented to

deliver a high quality

outcome at a defined

price point

Execution of an activity for

a designated patient with

differentiation based on

service efficiency,

integration

Price Risk adjusted, PMPM

reimbursement with

performance incentives

Risk adjusted, PMPM

reimbursement with

performance incentives

Risk adjusted bundled

payment

Fee-for-service

Place Distribution options:

• Direct to market (ER, Indiv.)

• ACO

• Traditional Payer

Distribution options:

• Pop’n Hlth. Mgr.

• ACO

• Traditional payer

Distribution options:

• Condition Mgr.

• Pop’n Hlth. Mgr.

• ACO

• Traditional payer

Distribution options:

• Episodic Mgr.

• Condition Mgr.

• Pop’n Hlth. Mgr.

• ACO, trad’l payer

Promotion Patient experience, outcomes

and value-oriented branding

Sub-brand of Payer, ACO

Patient experience,

outcomes and value-

oriented branding

Patient experience,

outcomes and value-

oriented branding

Consumer-focused

emotional and/or

credential-based branding

Value-based delivery offerings

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Healthcare is an industry where any

tough-minded insider will convince you

that “more than a third of the

healthcare dollar is wasted today”

OUR CHALLENGE

17

Over the last decade, quiet

innovators have invented and

refined new care models for every

patient population across the country.

They have two things in common: 25%

better outcomes,

20% lower costs

A GLIMPSE OF OPPORTUNITY

18

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Any one of them will tell you exactly the

same thing – they are just getting

started – their stories have richly

informed our roadmap – helping us

understand the change that is

already underway

IGNITING THE REVOLUTION

19

It is an industry that has more new

value growth potential than any

other industry in the world,

including technology

POTENTIAL

20

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The sleeping healthcare giant is

waking up. We are at a most unique

time in the history of the

healthcare marketplace.

MOMENTUM

21

• Patient safety, wellbeing

and dignity

• Healthcare access for

millions of Americans

• U.S. social and

economic stability

• Medicare/Medicaid solvency

• Employer sponsored health

benefits market

• U.S. industry cost and

productivity competitiveness

• U.S. leadership role in global

healthcare marketplace

…The

healthcare

bubble is

bursting

Is there anything

more important

22

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CareMore Case Study: A Model for Population Health Management

The CareMore Model

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Healthcare cost and quality problems are

concentrated….not widespread

Healthy Stable Sick Sickest mostly 1 + Chronic Illness mostly 3 + Chronic Illness

Progressive Illness 2010 Medicare

Spending Projection = $522 B

46 Million Beneficiaries

Spending Per Beneficiary = $11,347

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

$80,000

Annual C

ost/

Beneficia

ry 23 Million Beneficiaries

- Spending $1,130 each

- Total Spending = 5%

($26 B)

16.1 Million Beneficiaries

- Spending $6,150 each

- Total Spending = 20%

($104 B)

7 Million Beneficiaries

- Spending $55,000 each

- Total Spending = 75%

($391 B)

Average

Spending

CHF, DM

85% of Beneficiaries = 25% Spending 15% of Beneficiaries = 75% Spending

ESRD, CANCER

25

The essentials of CareMore’s model

Chronic Care

Management

Acute Care

Management

Predictive Modeling

& Early Intervention

Redefining Primary

Care

Operating Principles

• Clinical Control - CareMore extensivists determine

when a patient requires proprietary services

and programs

• Speedy Deployment - Proprietary services and

programs can be deployed within minutes

• Efficient Allocation of Clinical Resources - The

model replaces physician labor with skilled, allied

health professionals such as NPs, MAs, therapists

and dieticians

• Early Intervention - Proprietary resources and

predictive modeling allow for early intervention to

prevent acute episodes

Secondary

Prevention

Redefined Acute

Care Episode

26

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CareMore solution – new model of care

Predictive

modeling

Integrated IT

infrastructure

Longitudinal patient

record

Point-of-care decision

support

Evidence-based

protocols

Extensivist

Management

Strength

Training

Fall

Coumadin

Exercise

Foot care

Nutritionist

Monitoring

Diabetes ESRD

COPD

CAD

CHF

Palliative

Care

Hospice

Mental

Health

Social

Workers

Pre-Op

Case

Manager/

NP

Extensivist

Clinical

Care Centers

(CCC)

PCP End of Life

Care

Social /

Behavioral

Support

Secondary

Prevention

Risk Event

Prevention

27

Chronic

Disease

Support

Frailty

Support

CareMore model allows for efficient allocation

of clinical resources

28

• Conduct pre-operative exams

• Manage patient

hospitalization decision

• Take control of entire inpatient stay,

including specialist consultation,

diagnostics, PCP communication,

family communication

• Create and manage discharge plan

• Retain lead physician role during

Skilled Nursing stay

• Follow patients on an out-patient

basis until acute episode or

frailty resolves

• Manage high-risk outpatient events,

such as fall prevention programs,

dementia evaluations, transplant

evaluations, bariatric surgery

evaluations

• Create transition to palliative care

and end-of-life teams as appropriate

• Acute Episodes

‒ Take “ownership” of patient at

point of admission

‒ Prepare patient and family for

discharge

‒ Dispatch all services necessary

to avoid readmission

• Long Term Management

‒ “Own” patient for remainder

of life

‒ Dispatch home-based services

‒ Facilitate CCC and other

necessary visits

‒ Facilitate transportation and

other social services

• Chronic Care

‒ Conduct annual health risk

assessments and create care

plans

‒ Micro-manage chronic

conditions and lead

interdisciplinary teams specific to

a patient’s needs

‒ Provide all wound care (diabetic,

ulcerative, post-surgical)

‒ Staff all home wireless

monitoring systems

‒ Available for 24/7 telephonic

patient consultation

• Frailty and Palliative Care

‒ Primary care provider and case

manager for home-bound

patients

‒ Assume primary clinical role for

palliative care patients

• Institutional/Custodial/Assisted Living

Residents

‒ Make weekly visits

‒ Become first point of contact for

facilities and family for ALL

care needs

Extensivists Nurse Practitioners Case Managers

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The CareMore model allows for predictive

modeling and early intervention

• Healthy Start – initial evaluation

‒ Close to 80% of members have appointment within first 30 days of enrollment

‒ 23% referred to a chronic care program

‒ 42% referred to a prevention or other support program

‒ 18% diagnosed with depression

‒ 3% diagnosed with diabetes for the first time

• Healthy Journey – ongoing evaluation

‒ 70% of SNP members undergo annual assessment

‒ 100% update to care plan, medication plan, coding

• Johns Hopkins predictive modeling software

• CARS – identifies sick patients through software

• Ascender – predictive modeling tool identifies targets based on claims data

‒ Monthly run of claims, RX, lab data, age correlated to identify 5% most at-risk members

‒ 72% plugged into appropriate chronic care or frailty program

Predictive Model / Early Intervention

29

CareMore’s information engine

Managed MD’s

• EMR/EPM

• UM Portal

• PQV

• camerone.com

Community MD’s

• Practice Mgmt

• UM Portal

• PQV

• camerone.com

CareMore CCC • EMR/EPM • Portal • PQV • IdealLife • Biometrics

Home Health

• EMR/EPM

• IdealLife

• PQV/CM.com

• Acute Video

• NextMD/PHR

Hospitals

• CHS EMR HIE

• PQV

• Patientkeeper

Members

• camerone.com

• IdealLife

• NextMD/PHR

CareMore CM/UM • CCA CM/DM • EMR • UM Portal • PQV • Patientkeeper

Backoffice Core Systems

Claims Eligibility

Revenue

Cycle MGT Beneficts

Financial Demograp

Billing Provider

Mgmt

Customer

service RX

Auths Referral

Clinical Systems

NG EMR NG EPM

CCA CM CCA UM

PQV IdealLife

Admin. Systems

Ascender Platinum

RAPS SF.com

HRB Emdeon

Quest Lab

Values RX

encounters

Home devices

(ILI)

PQV LPR EMR Pilot OPMR

Applications

Phone

eFax/Fax

Reporting

• Hyperion

• Crystal

• Excel Drilldown

• MS SSRS

Finance

Rebate

Contact

Pharmacy

Prescriber

Drug

Client

Eligibility

Home Delivery

Claims

Enterprise Data

Warehouse

En

terp

ris

e D

ata

Mg

mt.

Pro

ce

ss

Shared Reference Services

30

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Results of the CareMore Model

CareMore model produces superior results

• Superior clinical outcomes

• Low costs

• Unique competitive marketing and sales advantage

• Unique primary care value proposition

• Superior revenue realization

• Replicable and deployable model

CareMore Model

32

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The CareMore model produces dramatically improved

outcomes for several costly chronic diseases and conditions

Many patients with out-of-control diabetes were

not brought in control through insulin use.

Common wisdom was that inability to correctly self administer or improper dosing were driving

results. Further, insufficient support in the areas

of nutrition and exercise were observed

Established insulin “starts” and insulin “camps”.

At the “start” day, patient is trained in all aspects

of self-administration of insulin. At “camps”, patients are brought to the center for a full day to

observe all of their behaviors and

monitor glucose levels at all points of self care. A

personal nutrition counselor was assigned

Average HbA1c for those attending our

diabetic clinic is 7.08, with 7.0 being

considered good control. Patients in the clinic are referred for poor control

50% reduction in hospital admission rate in 5

months

42% fewer admissions than the national average

Established a dedicated case manager and

nurse-practitioner who receive referrals from

centers in lieu of ER referral. Primary/preventive care is provided and all patients are in the

diabetic management program, receiving

monthly preventive access line inspection and, if

needed, cleaning

Half of all ESRD Admissions were the result of

either poor hygiene, poor diabetic control or

vascular access limits/clogs. Dialysis centers provided no primary care and patients were

referred to the ER. Most ER visits resulted in

an admission

56% reduction in hospital admission rate in 3

months

Equip each patient with a wireless scale that

sets off alerts if weight gain is 3 lbs overnight or

1 lb per day for more than 3 days. Same-day visit with clinician if alert is triggered. Proactive

hospice planning with changes in condition

PCPs were not collecting daily weights, a

leading indicator of change of condition. Self-

reported weights were inaccurate. PCPs were not adequately responsive to immediate care

needs of patients who require intervention within

a few hours of onset of symptoms

Diabetes ESRD CHF

Status quo Status quo Status quo

CareMore Redesign CareMore Redesign CareMore Redesign

Result Result Result

33

The CareMore model produces dramatically improved

outcomes for several costly chronic diseases and conditions

(cont’d)

34

70% of hypertensive patients do not have

adequate blood pressure control. This leads to

increased stroke (and other cardiovascular) risk. Blood pressures checked in PCP offices

frequently are inaccurate.

Equipped patients with labile HTN with wireless

blood pressure cuff. CareMore NPs monitor

blood pressure & make appropriate changes according to JNC guideline.

•48% of patients had >10mmHgs drop in blood

pressure

•Patients with SBP>160 or higher had average SBP drop of 23 mmHg

•Patients with SBP b/n 150-160 had average SBP

drop of 19mmHg

Diabetic amputation rate for CareMore members

is 60% less than the national average.

Designed a wound clinic, staffed with wound-

certified CareMore NPs.

PCPs have inadequate time/resources to deal

with diabetic wounds, which results in specialty

(surgical) referrals that delay treatment, increases cost and increases chance of

amputations.

Early diagnosis and then intervention at

CareMore’s mental health centers

(19% of screened)

All new CareMore members receive a

comprehensive health exam that includes PHQ-9

& dementia screen.

Depression is a underdiagnosed problem in

seniors. Underdiagnosed depression leads to a

variety of health problems and costs including ER visits & unnecessary tests.

System Failure System Failure System Failure

Result Result Result

CareMore Redesign CareMore Redesign CareMore Redesign

Stroke Prevention Amputations Depression

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The CareMore model produces dramatically improved clinical

outcomes for several costly chronic diseases and conditions

(cont’d)

35

Inactivity and some staffing issues (one monthly

visit/60 days), lack of primary care in facilities

resulted in wound development or exacerbation (for example bed sores)

Deployed nurse practitioner teams to nursing

homes weekly to proactively tend to skin or

create early intervention in patients likely to develop wounds

CareMore sends a nurse practitioner to the

nursing home once a week to keep patients

stabilized. If an acute event emerges, an NP is available 24x7 for telephonic consultation and in-

person visits if needed

Patients in institutional settings were being

hospitalized at a rate of 5x the general

populations for untreatable conditions, largely because nursing homes do not have skilled

clinical staff to make timely interventions

CareMore assembled a team of clinical social

workers, mental health professionals, lawyers,

physicians and NPs who assume a home-based multi-disciplinary care approach for these

patients

A small fraction of the Medicare population are

hospitalized >10 times per year because of lack

of home-based or social support resulting in falls, malnutrition, dehydration. Most live alone

and suffer from dementia or other mental

illnesses

Wounds Institutional CIT

Status quo Status quo Status quo

CareMore Redesign CareMore Redesign CareMore Redesign

Only one new wound developed in over three

years and more than 600 patients

The usual rate per year for development of pressure ulcers for nursing home patients in

California is 13%

Preventive intervention resulted in reduction

in bedsores and reduction in falls. Hospital

admission rates are 80% less than national norms

Reduced hospital and SNF admissions by 60%.

Resulted in placement rate of >30% for

participants

Result Result Result

Superior clinical outcomes

ALOS Bed days

/1,000

Admit Rate

/1000

Readmission

Rate

3.8 1,052 280 14.7%

% Deaths in

Hospice1

65%

Note: Information above is based on data from January to December 2012

1-Excludes ESRD

36

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Differentiated results in managing care for

chronic and the frail and elderly

Revenue and member acuity

28.0%

13.0%

5.2% 5.2%

2.3% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 1.9%

3.7% 3.4% 3.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9%3.8% 2.8%

2.3%1.9%

2.5%1.7%

2.4%

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0-.6

.6-.8

.8-.9

.9-1

1.0

-1.0

5

1.0

5-1

.1

1.1

-1.1

5

1.1

5-1

.2

1.2

-1.2

5

1.2

5-1

.35

1.3

5-1

.45

1.4

5-1

.55

1.5

5-1

.65

1.6

5-1

.75

1.7

5-1

.85

1.8

5-2

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2.0

-2.2

5

2.2

5-2

.5

2.5

-2.7

5

2.7

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-4.0

4.0

+

PM

PM

% o

f M

M

Raf Score

Grand Total - Revenue and HCC by Raf Score (CY 11)

% of MM Revenue PMPM HCC PMPM

37

Primary care physician value proposition

38

CareMore programs provide the PCP with resources that enable better clinical care

Medical Home (CCC) Chronic programs Preventative

care programs

Increase PCP

Compensation

• Medicare FFS pays the PCP $79 per visit (CPT code 99213) -- an

average of $569 patient / year (assuming 7.2 patient visits a year)

• CareMore guarantees the PCP $569 ($47 PMPM) but visits are only

4.5 per year and we pay $126 per visit or 159% of Medicare

Increases PCP

Schedule Capacity

Better Patient Care

• CareMore clinicians and programs relieve PCPs of their most

complex chronically ill and frail patients

• Increases PCP capacity by 30% to 40% -- can add more patients to

increase pay

• More resources used to support the PCP funded by

CareMore prepayment

Unique PCP value proposition has served CareMore well in new markets

Technology Communications tools

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Coding Advantages

High touch and rapid engagement result in

superior coding accuracy

39

Results

Low HCC Payment

Error Rate

High Chronic

Patient recoding

87% 25%

Significant Year 1

RAF Improvement

We touch the patient We employ and

train clinicians We control coding + +

2.34 payment error

rate at 99%

confidence

Model will help CareMore achieve superior

STAR ratings

2014 Star Rating: 4.0

2013 Star

3.5 Total Score

2014 Star

4.0 Total Score

Control of

HEDIS

Data/Events

*

Direct input into

members’ care

experience

40

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Example of partner medical group performance

41

Year Ending 12/31/12 Total

Total Member Months 23,819

Revenue $1,319.06

Part C RAF 1.34

Professional $207.78

Institutional $344.23

Inpatient Acute

Acute Admits PTMPY 202.52

Acute Days PTMPY 703.19

Acute ALOS 3.47

Pharmacy Costs $117.60

Generic % 86.64%

Total Supplemental $186.15

Provider Performance Bonus $13.42

Risk Share Expense $57.75

Health Care Cost PMPM $855.77

Gross Margin PMPM $463.29

MLR 64.9%

SG&A $143.86

EBIT $319.43

CareMore Expansion Process

& Keys to Success

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Select highly penetrated MA markets to leverage

established demand-Better Product

Superior value proposition to PCPs: both

payment and capacity

Market share movement for Hospital Partners,

lower costs per admission

SNP provide 12 month marketing and targeted

sub populations of seniors

Superior value proposition to Members: Best

benefits in the markets

1,500 members per

neighborhood to B/E

CareMore’s market deployment model

produces superior results

CCC provides for efficient sales, high touch

service, and manageable expansion

30 to 50 PCPs per

neighborhood

15 month to positive

operating cash flow

24 months to profitability

Target 35% ROI

Year 2 lift in revenue due to

Healthy Start improvement

of HCC=25%

43

CareMore has developed a repeatable and

scalable new market entry process

Market Research Network Strategy Provider Contracting

Operational

Transition

Care Center

Development

Expansion Financial

Modeling

• Target high MA penetration • Neighborhood identification • PCP=GMP

• Specialists=FFS

• Hospitals=Per diems

• Market Leadership

• Centralized Services

• Standardization in clinical

systems, training and

protocols

• Integration of actuarial,

operational and clinical

leadership

• Target 35% ROI

44

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Primary Keys to Success

• Provider partner buy-in and cooperation

• Superior benefits and sales execution

• Accurate risk score coding

• CMS Star rating – CHAPS, HEDIS, HOS, Etc.

• Chronic disease management = low admits/k

• Appropriate acute & post acute care = low ALOS & readmissions

• Superior information fosters appropriate network adjustments

• Generic Rx substitution

45

Q&A / Wrap-up