Financial Management1 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT. Financial Management2 MODERN FINANCE THEORY (Modified...

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Financial Managemen t 1 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Transcript of Financial Management1 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT. Financial Management2 MODERN FINANCE THEORY (Modified...

Page 1: Financial Management1 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT. Financial Management2 MODERN FINANCE THEORY (Modified from Megginson, 1997) FINANCE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO CAPM.

Financial Management 1

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Page 2: Financial Management1 FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT. Financial Management2 MODERN FINANCE THEORY (Modified from Megginson, 1997) FINANCE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO CAPM.

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MODERN FINANCE THEORY(Modified from Megginson, 1997)

FINANCEFINANCE

INVESTMENTINVESTMENT CORPORATE FINANCECORPORATE FINANCE

PORTFOLIOPORTFOLIO

CAPMCAPM

EMHEMH

OPTION PRICING MODELOPTION PRICING MODEL

CAPITAL STRUCTURECAPITAL STRUCTURE

DIVIDEND POLICYDIVIDEND POLICY

AGENCY THEORYAGENCY THEORY

SIGNALING THEORYSIGNALING THEORY

CORPORATE CONTROLCORPORATE CONTROL

FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATIONFINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION

FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONFINANCIAL INSTITUTION

BANKINGBANKING

MISMIS

MARKET MICROSTRUCTUREMARKET MICROSTRUCTURE

Insurance Insurance

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Saving and Investment

• Fisher (1930): how to earn higher return by lending on the capital market than they could by seeking out individual borrowers, and borrowers can obtain inexpensive financing without incurring search costs.

Investment

• Fisher Separation

Theorem Financing Decision

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Portfolio Theory

• Professor Harry Markowitz (1952): “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket”.

• Base concept: unsystematic risk and systematic risk efficient portfolio

• Technique and measuring correlation, covariance, standard deviation, and total variation in portfolio setting.

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Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

• Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Mossin (1966)• Contributions:

1. Trade off risk and return: capital market line

2. Beta (β)• Ross (1976): Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) with

more than one factor that influence the expected return of asset such as economic variables.

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Efficient Market Hypothesis

• Fama (1970): speed and complete of relevant information incorporated in capital market.

• Degree of efficient:

1. Weak form

2. Semi-strong form

3. Strong form

• Basic concept is investors are rational.

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Option Pricing Theory(Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model)

• Black and Scholes (1973)• 8 Assumptions:

1. Market are friction2. Short sales are allow3. No dividend payment or other distribution4. Market on going (continue)5. Stock prices random walk6. Constant variance rate of return7. The option can be exercised only at maturity8. The risk less interest rate is known and constant

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Market Microstructure

• First modern market microstructure study was Ho and Stol (1981) base on Demsetz (1968) and Tinic (1972)

• Market crashed in American capital market in 1987

• Two basic model: spread model and price formation model

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Market Microstructure (continued)

• Using intraday data to study. So, need appropriate application software e.g: SAS

• Some basic empirical model: trade-off between dealer and informed/uninformed trader, evolution of stock prices, trading day vs non trading day, asymmetric information in international capital market, market design, market mechanism, privat vs public information, herding, etc

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Corporate Finance

• The major study of corporate finance are capital budgeting, capital structure, dividend policy and merger and acquisition to maximize shareholder’s wealth.

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Capital Structure

• Modigliani and Miller (1958): M&M irrelevant propositions, called proposition I and proposition II

• Link of the study is asymmetric information such as signaling model, pecking order hypothesis, agency cost/tax shield trade-off model

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Dividend Policy

• M & M irrelevant model

• Empirical model to test the dividend policy: agency cost/contracting model and signaling model.

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Agency Theory

• Jensen and Meckling (1976)

• Contributions:

1. Agency cost model of the firm

2. Compensation policy

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Signaling Theory

• Arkelof (1970) and Spence (1973): the original economics papers on signaling. Leland and Pyle (1977) was the first major financial application of signaling theory.

• Corporate insiders better informed than outside investor

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Corporate Control

• Bradley (1980): Merger and acquisition in business world.

• Later empirical study: stock voting rights, the value of concentrate vs dispersed ownership structure, benefit shareholders on the various compensation plans for company manager, etc

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Financial Intermediation

• Financial Institution: reksadana

• Banking: investment vs commercial banking

• Banking: national banking vs Universal banking

• Insurance: life, investment, pension, education, etc

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Management Information System

• Base idea: unite disparate financial function into a single, integrated system that provide complete visibility into financial system

• MIS functions:1. as a management tool: support of management change2. provide a wide range of financial and non financial information3. as a system: connect, accumulate, process, and then provide information to all parties in the budget system on a continuous basis

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MIS (Continued)

• Main steps in introducing MIS:

1. Preparation

2. Design

3. Procurement

4. Implementation

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Summary

• In pricing assets, only systematic risk matter• Emphasize investment rather than financing• Emphasize cash flow rather than accounting profits• Remember that finance is now a global game• Remember that finance is a quantitative discipline• All theories are based on the principles of informationally

efficient capital markets populated by rational, utility-of-wealth-maximizing investors who can costlessly diversify unsystematic risk and are thus concerned only with pervasive, economy-wide forces. So, where is the behavior finance stand?

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Good luck