Financial Analysis of two companies in the F&B industry
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Transcript of Financial Analysis of two companies in the F&B industry
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Interpretation of Financial
Statements
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Food and Beverage (F&B) Industry
• Food & beverage services comprise establishments engaged in the sale of prepared food and drinks for immediate consumption.
• Integral part of Singapore’s economy
• Caters to local consumption and tourism industry
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2008 Key Indicators (F&B Industry)
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Background
Information&
SWOT Analysis
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BreadTalk Group LtdIntroduction
• Incorporated in 2000• 26 retail outlets island wide• Listed in 2003• IPO shares offered at S$0.24• 32 million shares bought at S$0.30• 189 times subscribed• Signature food items are chicken
and pork floss buns
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BreadTalk Group Ltd Introduction
(cont’d)• Bakery: BreadTalk, The Icing Room, Toast
Box• Food Atrium: Food Republic• Restaurant: Din Tai Fung, The Station
Kitchen and Cosmopolitan Cafe• Overseas: China, Malaysia, Indonesia,
Philippines, Korea, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Kuwait, Oman, United Arab Emirates and India
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SWOT Analysis
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BreadTalk Group Ltd Internal Strengths
• Well-known brand with strong brand equity
• Sleek transparent glass concept kitchen
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BreadTalk Group Ltd Internal Strengths
• Wide range of innovative products
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BreadTalk Group Ltd Internal Strengths
• Strategic locations• Experienced management
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BreadTalk Group Ltd Internal Weaknesses
• Higher rents and failure to renew existing leases
• Dependence on senior management
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BreadTalk Group Ltd Internal Weaknesses
• Dependence on major suppliers• Individual kitchen in every outlet
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Background
Information &
SWOT Analysis
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Old Chang Kee LtdIntroduction
• Incorporated in 2004• Listed in 2008• IPO shares offered at S$0.20• 25 million shares bought at S$0.18• 5.4 times subscribed• 70 retail outlets island wide• Signature food item is Curry ’O
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Old Chang Kee LtdIntroduction
(cont’d)• Retail outlets locally: Old Chang
Kee, Take 5 and The Pie Kia Shop• Retail outlets overseas: Chengdu
Eatery• Other services: delivery, catering
and O’ My Darling• Overseas: China, Malaysia,
Indonesia and Philippines
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Old Chang Kee Ltd Internal Strengths
Corporate social responsibility Extensive network of retail outlets Diversified customer base
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Old Chang Kee Ltd Internal Strengths
Experienced management team High quality standards Promotions
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Old Chang Kee Ltd Internal Weaknesses
No risk management committee Labour-intensive business
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Old Chang Kee Ltd Internal Weaknesses
Fluctuations in foreign exchange rates
Expansion decisions
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BreadTalk Group Ltd & Old Chang Kee Ltd
Opportunities
• Expansion opportunities• Working capital increment
• Increase outlets
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BreadTalk Group Ltd & Old Chang Kee Ltd
Threats• Outbreak of food-related
diseases• Strong presence of
competitors
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BreadTalk Group Ltd & Old Chang Kee Ltd
Threats
• Changes in consumer response and preferences
• Changes in governmental regulations
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Competitors
• Four Leaves• Prima Deli• Polar Puffs & Cakes Pte Ltd• Jollibean• Mr Bean• Any bakeries and food retail
outlets within the vicinity of their retail outlets
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Interpretation of Ratios
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What makes up revenue?
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RevenueGross Profit MarginNet Profit Margin
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Extract from BreadTalk’s Financial Statements
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Extract from Old Chang Kee’s Financial Statements
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Revenue 2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 212,249,000
156,610,000
35.53%
Old Chang Kee 48,437,000 40,548,000 19.46%
Revenue
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Revenue 2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 212,249,000
156,610,000
35.53%
Old Chang Kee 48,437,000 40,548,000 19.46%
Revenue
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Gross Profit Margin
Gross Profit Margin= Gross Profit / Sales
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Gross Profit Margin
Gross Profit Margin
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 54.39% 55.39% -1 percentage
point
Old Chang Kee 59.61% 58.55% 1.06 percentage
point
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Net Profit Margin
Net Income After Tax / Revenue
http://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/incomestatementanalysis/a/net-profit-margin.htm
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Extract from BreadTalk’s Financial Statements
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Extract from Old Chang Kee’s Financial Statements
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Year /Company
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 3.94% 5.39% -1.45 percentage
point
Old Chang Kee
4.61% 6.52% -1.91 percentage
point
Net Profit Margin
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Cross-Sectional Analysis
• Increase of 35.53% of revenue
• Sales & market diversification strategies
• Grown substantially• Tight rein on expenses
due to economic crisis
• Increase of 19.46% of revenue
• Launched 1st mobile kitchen, O’ My Darling
• Investments have yet to contribute materially
• Future revenue from investments are expected
BreadTalk Old Chang Kee
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Cross-Sectional Analysis
• Increase of 35.53% of revenue
• Sales & market diversification strategies
• Grown substantially• Tight rein on expenses
due to economic crisis
• Increase of 19.46% of revenue
• Launched 1st mobile kitchen, O’ My Darling
• Investments have yet to contribute materially
• Future revenue from investments are expected
BreadTalk Old Chang Kee
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Analysis - Are the Profits of BreadTalk adequate and
sustainable?• Yes, profits are adequate and
sustainable well into future• Well-prepared to face challenges in then
future economy• Secured 2 franchise agreements • Likely to attract more F&B collaborations • Able to generate more revenues in the
near future
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Fixed Asset Turnover
= Sales / Net Fixed Asset Balance
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Extract from BreadTalk’s Financial Statements
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Extract from Old Chang Kee’s Financial Statements
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Year/Company 2008 2007
BreadTalk 3.65 3.49
Old Chang Kee 4.32 4.33
Fixed Asset Turnover
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Cross-Sectional Analysis
• Analysis of ratio• Expansion opportunity
with increasing popularity of bread product of Asia
• Note 10 to financial statement
• More sales will be generated in the future
• Analysis of ratio• Increase and
refurbished local outlets, like Take 5!
• Note 11 to financial statement
• Perform better than BreadTalk
BreadTalk Old Chang Kee
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Cross-Sectional Analysis
• Analysis of ratio• Expansion opportunity
with increasing popularity of bread product of Asia
• Note 10 to financial statement
• More sales will be generated in the future
• Analysis of ratio• Increase and
refurbished local outlets, like Take 5!
• Note 11 to financial statement
• Perform better than BreadTalk
BreadTalk Old Chang Kee
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Is BreadTalk investing enough to safeguard future profitability?
• Yes• The company has put much money in
investing fixed assets • The fixed assets were effectively utilized
to generate more income.
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Debt-Equity Ratios
= Total Liabilities / Shareholder’s Equity
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Extract from BreadTalk’s Financial Statements
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Extract from Old Chang Kee’s Financial Statements
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Year/Company 2008 2007
BreadTalk 1.62 1.45
Old Chang Kee 0.55 0.88
Debt-Equity Ratios
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Interest Coverage
= (Earnings before interest and tax) / Interest expense
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Extract from BreadTalk’s Financial Statements
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Extract from Old Chang Kee’s Financial Statements
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Year/Company 2008 2007
BreadTalk 15.10 13.39
Old Chang Kee 17.90 53.04
Interest Coverage
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Cross-Sectional Analysis
• Debt-equity ratio• Interest coverage
BreadTalk and OCK
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Cross-Sectional Analysis
BreadTalk and OCK
• Debt-equity ratio• Interest coverage
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• Yes.• Increase in debt-equity ratio -> more
aggressive financing and more probability resulting in volatile earnings.
• Increase in interest coverage -> investors will be more confident that they would be able to meet interest obligations.
Analysis - Are the finances of the company sensibly and effectively
structured?
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Interpretation of Ratios
(cont’d)
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BreadTalk
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BreadTalk
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Old Chang Kee
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Old Chang Kee
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NET WORKING CAPITAL
2008 2007
BreadTalk -5,518 -3,907
Old Chang Kee 5,319 1,298
CURRENT RATIO
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 0.93 0.94 - 0.1
Old Chang Kee 1.79 1.21 0.58
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NET WORKING CAPITAL & CURRENT RATIO
BreadTalk• Current liabilities >
current assets• May seem that they
are not able to pay debts when due
• Intercompany loans for financing
Old Chang Kee• Ideal balance
between assets and liabilities
• Able to pay liabilities when they fall due
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QUICK RATIO
BreadTalk• Did not invest too
much on stocks and prepayments
Old Chang Kee• Ideal balance between
assets and liabilities• Able to pay liabilities
when they fall due in the short term
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 0.86 0.87 - 0.1
Old Chang Kee 1.61 1.03 0.58
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ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE TURNOVER
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 44.58 51.74 -7.16
Old Chang Kee 96.11 67.36 28.75
BreadTalk• Relaxed credit
standards
Old Chang Kee• Tightened credit
policies
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INVENTORY TURNOVER
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 24.66 27.88 - 3.22
Old Chang Kee 26.12 31.47 - 5.35
BreadTalk• Might be due to
stock obsolescence• Food wastage
Old Chang Kee• Similar to BreadTalk
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Is the company managing its liquidity position well, will it be able to sustain its operations in the short and medium term?
Yes!• Using intercompany loans to finance liabilities in
short term.• Majority of current assets are receivables and
cash• More expansion plans overseas and locally
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Earnings Per Share
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EARNINGS PER SHARE
BreadTalk• Favourable and
attractive• Advantage over
constant expansion plans
Old Chang Kee• Significant decrease• 25m shares issued
by the Group
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 3.31 3.23 0.08
Old Chang Kee 2.42 3.87 -1.45
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PRICE EARNING (P/E) RATIO
BreadTalk• Investors are paying 20 times
more• Different investors have their
own opinions
Old Chang Kee• Bigger change compared to
BreadTalk• Still lower than BreadTalk and
less attractive
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 22.19 21.98 0.21
Old Chang Kee 9.71 6.07 3.64
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DIVIDEND YIELD
BreadTalk• Share prices
decreased though dividend per ordinary share constant
Old Chang Kee• No dividends paid in
year 2008• Reserve cash for
funding of future overseas expansions
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 9.86 8.45 13.31
Old Chang Kee 0.00 77.77 -77.77
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NET ASSET BACKING PER SHARE
Old Chang Kee
BreadTalk
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NET ASSET BACKING PER SHARE
BreadTalk• Increase in value of
shares
Old Chang Kee• Worth of share
higher due to increase in cash and bank balances
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 17.14 13.84 3.30
Old Chang Kee 22.35 18.77 3.58
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PRICE-BOOK (P/B) RATIO
BreadTalk• Larger decrease than
OCK• Ratio still maintained
at >1
Old Chang Kee• Not a significant
change when compared to BreadTalk and ratio still close to 1
2008 2007 Change
BreadTalk 4.12 5.00 -0.88
Old Chang Kee 1.07 1.23 -0.16
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IS THE CURRENT STOCK PRICE ATTRACTIVE FOR INVESTORS?
Yes!• Ability to bounce back during financial
crisis• Current and potential investors are
confident in BreadTalk’s good prospects• Attractive returns
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LIMITATIONS
• Comparison for both BreadTalk and Old Chang Kee may be different in terms of size of enterprise as BreadTalk has other investments such as restaurants and food courts while Old Chang Kee does not.
• Non-quantifiable items, which could have aided in a comprehensive analysis, not reflected in financial statements such as efficiency and effectiveness of the company’s management.
• 31st December year end for both companies may not represent the position of both companies for whole year from January to December
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ASSUMPTIONS
• For share prices, we took the share price at current
day (20 January 2010) for a more realistic calculation
• Ending trade debtors were used instead of average
debtors
• Components such as discounts allowed and discount
received was not disclosed so it was not included in
the computation of inventory and accounts
receivable turnover.
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CONCLUSION
• Sustainability– Potential collaboration with other companies
in the industry– Secured 2 franchise agreements
• Enough investments to safeguard future profitability– Effective utilisation of fixed assets– Refurbishment of outlets
BREADTALK
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CONCLUSION
• Finance of company– Borrowings are significant but Directors’
have assured that the company will be able to pay
• Liquidity position management– Cash not tied up in stocks and
prepayments
• Attractive stock prices– Steady increase in share prices
BREADTALK
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Citations• http://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/incomes
tatementanalysis/a/net-profit-margin.htm• http://breadtalk.listedcompany.com/sharehol
ders.html
• http://www.oldchangkee.com/ • http://oldchangkee.listedcompany.com/financ
ial_ratios.html
• http://uk.reuters.com/business/quotes/chart?symbol=BRET.SI
• http://uk.reuters.com/business/quotes/chart?symbol=OCKL.SI
• http://liberta.co.za/blog/what-is-net-worth/