Feasibility Study Final Report on FY2014 JCM Large-scale Project for Achievement of a Low
Final Report Feasibility Study on a JCM Project with Japanese Mid ...
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Final Report
Feasibility Study
on a JCM Project with Japanese Mid-size Wind Turbines
in outer islands of the Maldives
(A Study Project of Ministry of Economy, Industry and Trade of Japan)
March, 2015
KOMAI HALTEC Inc.
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INDEX
1. Proposal for Wind Energy Project the Maldives with 300kW turbines ........................................ 4
1.1. Outline of the technology............................................................................................................. 4
1.2. Selection of Projects Sites............................................................................................................ 6
1.2.1. Collection and analysis of existing wind data .................................................................... 6
1.2.2. Electricity Demand in each islands of the Maldives ........................................................ 24
1.2.3. Potentials around Male region........................................................................................... 26
1.2.4. Selected islands for Wind Monitoring ............................................................................... 26
1.3. Conditions of potential site(Kulhudhuffushi) ..................................................................... 27
1.3.1. Information of the existing grid in Kulhudhuffushi......................................................... 27
1.3.2. Land use plan and the siting in Kulhudhuffushi ............................................................. 30
1.3.3. Transportation and Construction conditions in Kulhudhuffushi.................................... 31
1.3.4. Wind monitoring at Kulhudhufushi .................................................................................. 32
1.4. Conditions of potential site(Naifaru) ................................................................................... 37
1.4.1. Information of the existing grid in Naifaru ...................................................................... 37
1.4.2. Land use and siting in Naifaru, Installation and construction....................................... 40
1.4.3. Wind monitoring at Naifaru............................................................................................... 41
1.5. Conditions of potential site(GulhiFalhu)............................................................................. 45
1.5.1. Existing Grid Conditions(GulhiFalhu)......................................................................... 45
1.5.2. Land Use plan(GulhiFalhu) .......................................................................................... 45
1.5.3. Transportation and construction conditions(GulhuFalhu) ......................................... 46
1.5.4. Wind monitoring at GulhiFalhu ........................................................................................ 47
1.6. Other site conditions.................................................................................................................. 49
1.7. System Design ............................................................................................................................ 51
1.7.1. Conditions for the Simulation............................................................................................ 52
1.7.2. Supply Demand Balance Simulation (Long term)............................................................ 55
1.7.3. Control of short term output fluctuation........................................................................... 69
1.7.4. Proposed System design ..................................................................................................... 72
1.7.4.1. Kulhudhuffushi ............................................................................................................... 72
1.7.5. Self-control system of wind turbines ................................................................................. 75
1.8. Evaluaton of the project economy ............................................................................................. 76
1.8.1. Outline of the proposed project.............................................................................................. 76
1.8.2. Project cost (rough estimate) ................................................................................................. 76
1.8.3. Analysis of Project economy................................................................................................... 77
1.9. Implementation Framework ..................................................................................................... 78
1.9.1. Implementation Framework.................................................................................................. 78
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1.9.2. Financing arrangemnt ........................................................................................................... 79
1.10. Timeline for implementaion................................................................................................... 79
1.11. Other potencial sites in the Maldives ................................................................................... 80
2. Policy recommendation................................................................................................................... 81
2.1. Setting technical requirements for wind turbines................................................................... 81
2.2. FIT reflecting the real generation cost of islands.................................................................... 82
2.3. Interconnection of islands for increasing penetration rate..................................................... 82
2.4. Action plan for wind power projects with mid-size wind turbines ......................................... 83
3. MRV Methodology........................................................................................................................... 84
3.1. Eligibility criteria....................................................................................................................... 84
3.2. GHG emission sources ............................................................................................................... 84
3.3. Establishment of reference emissions ...................................................................................... 85
3.4. Emissions from existing diesel generation............................................................................... 85
3.5. Calculation of reference emissions............................................................................................ 86
3.6. Calculation of project emissions................................................................................................ 86
3.7. Monitoring .................................................................................................................................. 87
4. Calculation of GHG emission reductions ...................................................................................... 87
JCM Proposed Methodology Form........................................................................................................ 89
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1. Proposal for Wind Energy Project the Maldives with 300kW turbines
1.1. Outline of the technology
The wind turbine system proposed in this proposal is 300kW wind turbine manufactured by
Komaihaltec Inc, Japan, “KWT300”.
The model has characteristics suitable for the conditions in the Maldives. The outline of features
are described below.
Proposed Wind Turbine Model: a Mid-size wind turbine by Komaihaltec, “KWT300.
Rated output: 300kW
In the world wind market, as the new wind turbines are getting larger and larger, major
manufactured in Europe, U.S., China and India no longer manufacture mid-size models. The French
manufacture Vergnet’s 275kW model is practically the only one other than Komaihaltec in this
capacity class available in the world market. Vergnet has deployed its products mainly to the former
French colonies such as Polynesia and Carrabin countries but none in the Maldives. Moreover, they
usually do not design or propose the micro-grid system, which is essential to the technology transfer
to the Maldives.
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Komaihaltec 300kW wind turbine KWT300
<Remote Monitoring System>
In CDM, the monitoring and verification of renewable energy projects require the evidence of the
utility bills or verification of electric meter on site, which are burdensome especially for small scale
projects. The cost in monitoring and verification in small scale projects might possibly cancel out
the merit of CO2 emission credits. In the system proposed here, the energy generation data will be
collected remotely via existing network of the remote monitoring system of the wind turbine,
which can be monitored and collected in Japan, or in capital cities. This would decrease the cost
and energy of the project owner in monitoring and verification.
JCM
electric
meter
Utility
electric
meter
Grid connection point
To Utility Grid
To Utility Grid
Operation monitoring
Data
Logger
Komaihaltec Project owner
Internet
Internet router
Communication
Cable
Generation data
storage
Download data from data logger
Monitor operation status
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1.2. Selection of Projects Sites
To select 300kW wind turbine project sites in the Maldives, we have investigated two data: 1) Wind
resource potential, and 2) electricity demand of the islands large enough to accommodate a 300kW
wind turbine.
1.2.1. Collection and analysis of existing wind data
We have collected and analyzed the wind resource map of the Maldives developed by NREL of the
U.S., data from the Meteorological Agency in the Maldives, and the data taken on telecommunication
towers collected by Ministry of Environment and Energy in the Maldives.
1)NREL Wind Resource Map
Figure 1-1 NREL Wind Resource Map
Figure 3-1 NREL Wind resource map is developed based on satellite data simulation. Yellow and
the brown areas, northern part of the country indicate annual average wind speed over 6.4m/, whichi
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is relatively higher than other areas of the country.
2)Meteorological Agency data
There are five observatories: Hanimaadhoo, Male
(Hulule), Kadhudhuo, Kaadeshushuoo and Gan.
The wind data is recorded every one hour in case of
Hanimaadhoo.
The original data was in knots, which was converted
to m/s and then summarized. The summary is in chart
3-1. Hanimaadhoo and Male showed higher wind speed
than others.
Location Height Year 2009 Year 2008 Year 2007 average
Hanimaadhoo 12m 3.53m/s 3.40m/s 3.45m/s 3.46m/s
Male(Hulule) 20m 4.51m/s 4.29m/s 4.72m/s 4.51m/s
Kadhdhoo - 3.18m/s 3.30m/s 3.30m/s 3.26m/s
Gan - 3.11m/s 3.16m/s 3.23m/s 3.17m/s
Kaadehdhoo - 2.82m/s 2.93m/s 2.88m/s 2.88m/s
Figure 1-2 Locations of Observatories
and measuring point by MoEE
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Below is the analysis of wind data of Male(Hulule) and Hanimaadhoo observatory.
Hulhule
hulhuleの月平均風速(m/s)
1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 年平均
2009年 6.41 4.48 2.59 3.74 5.49 5.66 3.92 5.16 5.28 2.85 4.89 3.88 4.53
2008年 4.80 3.83 3.95 4.17 4.60 4.34 4.96 4.07 4.20 4.53 3.52 4.50 4.29
2007年 7.38 5.35 3.50 2.90 5.31 4.00 4.81 3.85 4.87 6.16 3.17 5.39 4.72
月別平均 6.20 4.55 3.35 3.60 5.13 4.66 4.56 4.36 4.78 4.51 3.86 4.59 4.51
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Hulhule
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Hulhule
Yr2009 Yr2008 Yr2007 Monthly Average
Avera
ge
Win
dS
pee
d
Year Average Wind Direction at Hulhule
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Wind Direction at Hulhule in January Wind Direction at Hulhule in February
Wind Direction at Hulhule in March Wind Direction at Hulhule in April
Wind Direction at Hulhule in May Wind Direction at Hulhule in June
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Wind Direction at Hulhule in July Wind Direction at Hulhule in August
Wind Direction at Hulhule in September Wind Direction at Hulhule in October
Wind Direction at Hulhule in November Wind Direction at Hulhule in December
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2. Hanimaadhoo
hanimaadhooの月平均風速(m/s)
1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 年平均
2009年 2.97 2.26 2.11 3.02 4.63 5.20 4.28 5.16 4.68 2.49 3.00 2.57 3.53
2008年 2.87 3.09 2.90 2.88 3.68 4.46 5.23 4.10 3.72 2.92 2.44 2.62 3.41
2007年 3.27 2.94 2.51 2.28 3.50 4.30 5.31 3.70 4.53 3.90 2.56 2.61 3.45
月別平均 3.04 2.77 2.51 2.73 3.94 4.65 4.94 4.32 4.31 3.10 2.66 2.60 3.46
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Hanimaadhoo
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Hanimaadhoo
Yr2009 Yr2008 Yr2007 Monthly Average
Avera
ge
Win
dS
pee
d
Year Average Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo
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Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in January Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in February
Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in March Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in April
Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in May Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in June
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Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in July Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in August
Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in September Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in October
Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in November Wind Direction at Hanimaadhoo in December
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写真:Hanimaadhoo Observatory
3)Data of Ministry of Environment and Energy in the Maldives
Ministry of Environment and Energy in the Maldives installed wind speed and wind direction
sensors on telecommunication towers in Villingili and Eydaffushi in 2004. We have analyzed the
data. Since the sensors are installed on the existing telecommunication tower, there might be some
uncertainty in terms of the accuracy of the data, but still, it is a very useful data since it has the data
at 40 meter from the ground.
At Villingili, the annual average wind speed was 5.3m/sat 40 meter height.
The highest average wind speed is in May, followed by January.
The analysis of hourly average wind speed indicates that the wind speed variation is small in
different hours in a day. The most frequent wind speed is East but the wind speed with the most
energy is West.
Vilingili
GulhiFalhuuThilafushi
Male
Hulhule(Airport )
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K.Villingili
※ Difference of sensor 1 and sensor 2 may be caused by some failure in sensor 2 since July 2004.
Villingili 2004年の月平均風速(m/s)
1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 年平均40m高 6.64 4.97 4.23 4.16 8.30 5.68 5.24 4.53 5.77 4.20 4.55 5.34 5.3030m高 6.15 4.58 4.06 4.03 8.18 5.65 5.14 4.42 5.74 4.10 4.38 5.06 5.1320m高 5.27 3.92 3.73 3.72 7.96 5.39 4.96 4.05 5.42 3.83 3.92 4.33 4.71
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Villingili in 2004
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Villingili
Year Average Wind Direction at Villingili Sensor 1
Sensor 2
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Wind Direction at Villingili in January Wind Direction at Villingili in February
Wind Direction at Villingili in March Wind Direction at Villingili in April
Wind Direction at Villingili in MayWind Direction at Villingili in June
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Wind Direction at Villingili in July Wind Direction at Villingili in August
Wind Direction at Villingili in SeptemberWind Direction at Villingili in October
Wind Direction at Villingili in November Wind Direction at Villingili in December
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Villingili地上高40mの時間別平均風速
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 1200 6.55 4.91 4.03 4.14 8.07 5.64 5.21 3.96 5.74 4.51 4.59 5.34 5.2301 6.49 4.80 3.97 4.41 8.21 5.79 5.19 4.10 5.96 4.17 4.62 5.26 5.2602 6.41 4.69 4.07 4.36 8.23 5.83 5.23 4.08 6.09 3.88 4.83 5.16 5.2503 6.46 4.78 4.09 4.26 8.53 5.77 5.59 4.33 6.48 4.10 4.71 5.30 5.3804 6.49 4.83 4.13 4.31 8.46 5.93 5.52 4.39 6.05 4.14 4.51 5.39 5.3605 6.43 4.61 4.27 4.40 8.26 5.84 5.49 4.42 5.90 4.41 4.40 5.16 5.3106 6.32 4.56 4.39 4.31 8.30 5.71 5.14 4.49 5.95 4.34 4.58 5.18 5.2907 6.31 4.66 4.38 4.19 8.02 5.77 5.10 4.52 5.86 4.46 4.51 5.26 5.2708 6.53 4.60 4.31 4.02 8.10 5.59 5.05 4.72 5.74 3.70 4.77 5.35 5.2209 6.69 4.63 4.42 3.99 8.18 5.24 5.07 4.64 5.58 3.70 4.56 5.32 5.1810 6.92 4.84 4.46 3.91 8.15 5.38 5.03 4.81 5.63 3.72 4.57 5.05 5.2211 6.96 5.12 4.38 3.79 8.17 5.35 5.40 4.88 5.78 4.10 5.06 5.20 5.3612 7.05 5.08 4.37 3.75 8.35 5.46 5.41 4.90 5.60 4.25 5.01 5.18 5.3813 6.84 4.94 4.40 3.78 8.54 5.85 5.34 4.65 5.46 4.16 5.02 4.88 5.3414 6.72 5.07 4.42 3.98 8.75 5.71 5.52 4.71 5.77 4.31 4.69 5.14 5.4215 6.49 5.17 4.30 4.05 8.84 5.61 5.33 5.19 5.86 4.46 4.70 5.40 5.4616 6.35 5.11 4.27 4.29 8.74 5.70 5.36 4.91 5.94 4.58 4.72 5.35 5.4617 6.45 5.13 4.31 4.23 8.66 5.80 5.14 4.72 6.01 4.38 4.73 5.58 5.4318 6.75 5.26 4.19 4.06 8.35 5.72 5.69 4.57 5.59 4.13 4.60 5.62 5.3819 6.80 5.13 4.10 4.24 8.24 5.92 5.37 4.49 5.77 4.07 3.99 5.59 5.3220 6.89 5.31 4.11 4.18 8.03 5.68 5.09 4.39 5.47 4.16 4.04 5.62 5.2521 6.95 5.45 4.00 4.39 8.10 5.69 5.13 4.30 5.28 4.24 3.97 5.88 5.2922 6.76 5.42 4.03 4.34 7.93 5.77 4.81 4.30 5.37 4.34 3.95 5.66 5.2323 6.71 5.12 4.05 4.38 7.89 5.60 4.65 4.34 5.53 4.62 4.00 5.39 5.19
6.64 4.97 4.23 4.16 8.30 5.68 5.24 4.53 5.77 4.20 4.55 5.34 5.31
月
時間
平均風速 年間
月別
Villingili地上高40mの風向別風速出現率(%)
N NNE NE ENE E ESE SE SSE S SSW SW WSW W WNW NW NNW0 ≦ V < 1 0.13 0.50 1.10 0.73 0.18 0.07 0.07 0.12 0.05 0.10 0.24 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.08 3.651 ≦ V < 2 0.15 1.17 1.83 1.03 0.39 0.08 0.10 0.30 0.22 0.32 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.06 0.09 0.13 6.522 ≦ V < 3 0.65 1.40 1.73 1.57 0.69 0.18 0.15 0.23 0.45 0.38 0.28 0.24 0.27 0.25 0.18 0.21 8.863 ≦ V < 4 1.08 1.68 2.54 2.84 1.12 0.38 0.13 0.38 0.57 0.24 0.38 0.21 0.32 0.57 0.32 0.38 13.144 ≦ V < 5 0.84 1.59 2.24 2.90 1.32 0.63 0.25 0.29 0.32 0.20 0.37 0.39 0.46 0.62 0.70 0.90 14.035 ≦ V < 6 0.66 2.19 2.33 3.29 1.67 0.53 0.50 0.10 0.32 0.25 0.37 0.52 0.73 0.84 0.98 0.46 15.756 ≦ V < 7 0.24 2.04 1.74 3.25 1.45 0.29 0.47 0.12 0.20 0.27 0.38 0.89 1.08 0.84 0.92 0.20 14.397 ≦ V < 8 0.02 1.26 0.82 2.34 1.32 0.14 0.17 0.05 0.16 0.10 0.29 0.38 1.07 0.75 0.51 0.06 9.448 ≦ V < 9 0.05 0.65 0.28 1.17 0.55 0.12 0.07 0.01 0.08 0.08 0.18 0.08 0.44 0.59 0.33 0.03 4.719 ≦ V < 10 0.01 0.39 0.07 0.69 0.55 0.06 0.08 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.17 0.06 0.48 0.62 0.50 0.01 3.8010 ≦ V < 11 0.00 0.33 0.10 0.39 0.52 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.14 0.13 0.36 0.43 0.02 2.5911 ≦ V < 12 0.00 0.32 0.06 0.29 0.10 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.09 0.25 0.12 0.01 1.3712 ≦ V < 13 0.00 0.17 0.09 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.22 0.17 0.01 0.00 0.8113 ≦ V < 14 0.00 0.05 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.6814 ≦ V < 15 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.2115 ≦ V < 16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.0316 ≦ V < 17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0117 ≦ V < 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0018 ≦ V < 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0019 ≦ V < 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0020 ≦ V < 21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0021 ≦ V < 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0022 ≦ V < 23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0023 ≦ V < 24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0024 ≦ V < 25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
3.96 5.24 4.22 5.38 5.77 4.97 5.50 4.04 4.14 4.37 5.12 5.50 6.91 7.08 6.42 4.44 100.0平均風速(m/s)
風速風向
total
Hourly Average Wind Speed in Villingili
m/s
Month
Hou
rof
the
da
y
year
average
Frequency Distribution of Wind Class in Villingili at 40meter height
Wind Direction
m/s
Average m/s
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Eydhafushi
At Eydafushi, the annual average wind speed was 5.39m/sat 48m height. The highest monthly
average wind speed is recorded in May, June July, and December and January. There is no
significant difference in hours of the day, which indicates the constant wind speed throughout a day.
The most frequent and the strongest wind direction is West followed by East.
Eydhafushi
Eydhaffushi 2004年の月平均風速(m/s)
1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 年平均48m高 6.19 4.15 3.71 3.22 8.42 6.93 6.91 4.99 5.85 4.20 4.04 6.08 5.3928m高 6.06 4.13 3.77 3.31 8.07 6.42 6.83 5.02 5.69 4.14 4.04 5.94 5.2920m高 5.85 4.09 3.63 3.04 7.26 5.73 6.18 4.61 5.14 3.62 3.68 5.63 4.87
←Eydhafushi
Naifaru→
Monthly Average Wind Speed at Eydafushi in 2004
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Monthly Average Wind Speed at Eydafushi
Year Average Wind Direction at Eydafushi Sensor 1
Sensor 2
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Wind Direction at Eydafushi in January Wind Direction at Eydafushi in February
Wind Direction at Eydafushi in March Wind Direction at Eydafushi in April
Wind Direction at Eydafushi in MayWind Direction at Eydafushi in June
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Wind Direction at Eydafushi in July Wind Direction at Eydafushi in August
Wind Direction at Eydafushi in September Wind Direction at Eydafushi in October
Wind Direction at Eydafushi in November Wind Direction at Eydafushi in December
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Eydhafushi地上高48mの時間別平均風速
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 1200 6.22 3.79 3.27 3.20 8.37 6.98 6.93 4.28 6.10 3.69 3.96 5.90 5.2401 6.05 3.62 3.32 3.29 8.45 6.77 7.38 4.61 6.22 3.79 3.65 5.88 5.2702 5.96 3.68 3.16 3.13 8.55 6.62 6.82 4.74 6.10 3.86 4.00 5.92 5.2303 5.85 3.59 3.05 3.09 8.65 6.93 6.69 4.73 6.30 3.96 3.99 5.90 5.2504 5.79 3.62 3.06 3.21 8.83 7.21 6.63 4.77 6.28 4.25 3.79 5.93 5.3005 5.80 3.70 3.24 3.07 8.64 7.07 6.87 4.81 5.96 4.22 4.00 6.05 5.3006 5.84 3.69 3.29 3.19 8.58 7.25 6.57 4.88 5.66 3.97 3.85 6.03 5.2507 6.02 3.69 3.48 3.09 8.33 7.30 6.52 5.13 5.65 3.93 3.84 6.09 5.2708 6.23 3.92 3.58 2.93 8.29 6.99 6.41 4.87 5.55 3.84 3.94 6.04 5.2309 6.37 3.96 3.85 2.94 8.62 7.04 6.57 4.90 5.75 3.81 4.01 6.08 5.3410 6.41 4.24 4.06 3.12 8.13 6.91 6.57 4.94 6.10 4.22 4.33 6.04 5.4411 6.35 4.47 4.24 2.98 8.24 6.86 6.77 5.16 6.17 4.30 4.35 6.06 5.5112 6.27 4.69 4.37 3.18 8.82 7.06 7.00 5.52 5.76 4.25 4.41 6.42 5.6613 6.19 4.78 4.45 3.25 8.73 7.10 7.15 5.56 5.61 4.31 4.43 6.25 5.6714 6.13 4.88 4.36 3.23 8.70 7.08 7.02 5.50 5.81 4.66 4.15 6.25 5.6615 6.13 4.81 4.29 3.24 8.64 7.00 7.82 5.37 6.14 4.66 3.96 6.20 5.7016 6.22 4.59 4.11 3.40 8.82 6.96 7.77 5.55 6.07 4.75 3.99 6.22 5.7217 6.27 4.50 3.91 3.46 8.64 6.98 7.50 5.30 5.95 4.65 4.14 6.03 5.6318 6.27 4.31 4.04 3.21 8.15 6.59 7.24 5.33 5.90 4.53 4.16 6.09 5.5019 6.31 4.34 3.88 3.27 8.26 6.72 7.07 4.80 6.08 4.39 4.38 6.01 5.4720 6.39 4.40 3.74 3.46 7.93 6.76 7.02 4.87 5.66 4.21 4.24 6.33 5.4321 6.46 4.31 3.63 3.51 7.89 6.80 6.66 4.70 5.28 4.33 3.98 6.23 5.3322 6.52 4.00 3.47 3.37 7.93 6.72 6.38 4.78 5.02 4.19 3.60 6.01 5.1823 6.41 3.96 3.25 3.38 7.99 6.59 6.47 4.76 5.40 4.10 3.69 6.05 5.19
6.19 4.15 3.71 3.22 8.42 6.93 6.91 4.99 5.85 4.20 4.04 6.08 5.41
平均風速月
年間
時間
月別
Eydhafushi地上高40mの風向別風速出現率(%)
N NNE NE ENE E ESE SE SSE S SSW SW WSW W WNW NW NNW0 ≦ V < 1 0.60 0.57 0.55 0.45 0.31 0.25 0.33 0.31 0.32 0.29 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.73 0.48 0.46 6.461 ≦ V < 2 1.01 0.47 0.33 0.38 0.34 0.29 0.15 0.41 0.53 0.42 0.22 0.46 0.54 0.55 0.46 0.40 6.962 ≦ V < 3 0.97 0.85 0.58 0.64 0.56 0.19 0.29 0.23 0.21 0.25 0.46 0.58 0.78 0.58 0.69 0.61 8.493 ≦ V < 4 0.73 0.73 1.08 1.20 0.60 0.26 0.24 0.15 0.26 0.37 0.49 0.91 0.79 0.93 0.63 0.81 10.204 ≦ V < 5 0.77 0.88 1.78 2.12 0.89 0.24 0.13 0.14 0.17 0.55 0.48 0.62 0.94 1.46 1.22 0.71 13.105 ≦ V < 6 0.56 0.88 1.36 1.61 1.30 0.26 0.10 0.03 0.14 0.25 0.44 0.89 1.58 1.73 1.54 0.64 13.336 ≦ V < 7 0.24 0.46 0.60 1.02 1.56 0.18 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.58 1.07 1.67 2.52 1.40 0.46 11.917 ≦ V < 8 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.89 1.63 0.17 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.46 0.99 1.65 2.73 1.07 0.19 10.258 ≦ V < 9 0.06 0.00 0.05 0.57 1.15 0.16 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.37 1.20 1.57 1.75 0.92 0.14 7.999 ≦ V < 10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.70 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.69 0.93 1.30 0.55 0.21 4.8910 ≦ V < 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.67 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.32 0.81 0.75 0.18 0.01 3.1411 ≦ V < 12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.31 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 0.37 0.40 0.06 0.00 1.5412 ≦ V < 13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.50 0.14 0.03 0.00 1.0113 ≦ V < 14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.4514 ≦ V < 15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.1715 ≦ V < 16 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.1016 ≦ V < 17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0117 ≦ V < 18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0018 ≦ V < 19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0019 ≦ V < 20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0020 ≦ V < 21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0021 ≦ V < 22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0022 ≦ V < 23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0023 ≦ V < 24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0024 ≦ V < 25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
3.19 3.66 4.12 5.34 6.50 4.41 2.76 2.09 2.46 3.44 5.05 6.07 6.90 6.46 5.63 4.17 100.0
風速風向
total
平均風速(m/s)
Hourly Average Wind Speed in Villingili
m/s
Month
Hou
rof
the
da
y
average
Frequency Distribution of Wind Class in Villingili at 40meter height
Wind Direction
m/s
Average m/s
year
24
1.2.2. Electricity Demand in each islands of the Maldives
To select the potential project site for the 300kWwind turbines , we have selected the islands with
larger electricity demand to avoid extra cost for battery storage system.
Table 3-2 shows the top 30 FENAKA served islandsin terms of annual electricity generation. There
are 13 islands with the daily peak demand larger than 300kW, which is the rated capacity of the
wind turbine. Among these, Kulhudhuffushi and Naifaru are selected since they located northern
part of the country where wind resource is expected to be richer.
Table 1-1 Top 30 FENAKA islands
Atoll Island Population
Min
Demand
kW()
Max
Demand
(kW)
Installed
Capacity
(kW)
Generated Units
(kWh)
CPS (S,Hithadhoo) 23844 1870 3850 6850 1941336
Hdh. Kulhudhuffushi 8947 581 1330 3040 748506
Atoll Fuvahmulah 11857 670 1330 2170 688353
G. Dh.Thinadhoo 7108 560 1051 2320 684574
Ga. Villingili 3460 210 481 1230 534116
Lh. Naifaru 5133 305 580 720 307224
B. Eydhafushi 3123 212 500 750 242149
S. HulhuMeedhoo 2800 210 420 2500 227971
Lh. Hinnavaru 4676 205 410 760 224314
Ha. Dhidhdhoo 3848 160 412 600 191365
Dh. Kudahuvadhoo 2544 163 406 942 180569
Ha. Hanimaadhoo 1885 115 315 770 156243
N. Velidhoo 2500 106 285 586 143121
L.Gan Mathimaradhoo 4385 110 200 275 142609
L. Fonadhoo 2147 360 440 640 138554
G. Dh.Gahdhoo 2953 128 230 550 137036
R. Dhuvaafaru 2520 166 295 750 136644
Ha. Hoarafushi 3277 130 275 650 131193
N. Manadhoo 1802 104 264 368 124200
B. Thulhaadhoo 2795 87 193 650 120223
Ha. Ihavandhoo 2988 100 225 570 118884
Th. Thimarafushi 2548 125 229 510 117892
N. Holhudhoo 2143 102 216 320 114478
Sh. Milandhoo 2280 86 221 862 112595
R. Alifushi 2589 42 193 418 103649
25
Table 1-2 STELCO islands1
Island Max Demand(kW) Total Capacity(kW)
Male 40,000 60,420
Hulumale 2410 4000
Vilingili 1470 2800
Thilafushi 580 1660
Kashidhoo 220 610
Gaafaru 105 390
Thulusdhoo 280 940
Himmafushi 320 1010
Gulhifalhu 32 163
Gulhi 110 360
Maafushi 520 1660
Guraidhoo 235 618
AA. Ukulhas 110 380
AA. Bodhufulhadhoo 67 320
AA. Mathiveri 102 390
AA. Feridhoo 61 224
AA. Maalhos 53 160
AA. Himandhoo 85 428
ADH. Omadhoo 84 370
ADH. Kuburudhoo 40 170
ADH. Dhigarah 65 202
ADH. Dhidhdhoo 17 107
ADH. Fenfushi 80 375
V. Fulidhoo 56 260
V. Thinadhoo 32 170
V. Keyodhoo 66 217
V. Rankeedhoo 24 94
Table 3-3 shows the STELCO served islands. Male is extremely large compare to others followed by
Villingili and Hulhumale. However, these islands are under consideration of interconnection thus,
not considered for the 300kW potential islands, as 300kW wind turbines could offer the best merit
for smaller scale islands.
1 STELCOWebsite より作成
26
1.2.3. Potentials around Male region
As described earlier, Male region has good potential for wind energy project in terms of wind
resources. In the meetings with the Ministry of Environment and Energy, they have showed a large
interest in installing wind turbines around Male, considering that that would be the first commercial
wind turbines in the Maldives, which could bring in significant meaning as a symbol.
We have originally planned to select Thilafushi for the feasibility study, however, due to the delay
in finding the space for wind mast installation, we decided to install wind mast on the adjacent
island of GulhiFalhu in cooperation with MWSC.
However, Thilafushi is still a good potential site for a wind turbine project.
1.2.4. Selected islands for Wind Monitoring
As above, three islands of Kulhudhuffushi, Naifaru, and GulhiFalhu are selected for wind
monitoroing.
27
1.3. Conditions of potential site(Kulhudhuffushi)
1.3.1. Information of the existing grid in Kulhudhuffushi
Table 2-1 Generators in Kulhudhuffushi
Gen.1 Gen.2 Gen.3 Gen.4Capacity , kW 1000 1000 1000 800Power factor 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8frequency , Hz 50 50 50 50Type of governor Electronic Electronic Electronic ElectronicRotational speed, rpm 1500 1500 1500 1500Rated voltage , V 400 400 400 400Manufacturer and Model Cummins Cummins Cummins Cummins
Set Model X14F254705 X14F253711 C1250 D2R C1000 D5EEngine KTA50-G3 KTA50-G3 KTA50-G3 KTA50-G1
Year of manufacture 2014 2014 2010 1990Type of fuels Diesel Diesel Diesel DieselConditions of generator Normal Normal Normal NormalMaximum load/output, kW 1000 1000 1000 800Minimum load/output, kW 501 501 300 240Fuel Consumption, L/h
100% 259 259 261 23075% 200 200 199 17550% 130 130 139 12225% 70 70 76 67
Gen.1
Gen.2
Gen.3
Gen.4
28
(2) Electricity Demand
The electricity demand is increasing at the rate of 5 % a year.
Generated units
[kWh]
Fuel consumption
[L]
Monthly fuel
efficienty
[L/kWh]
Jan-12 667,731
8,766,336
183,605
2,474,269
0.275
Feb-12 657,694 185,230 0.282
Mar-12 735,183 200,369 0.273
Apr-12 760,813 208,971 0.275
May-12 802,519 227,498 0.283
Jun-12 717,964 204,569 0.285
Jul-12 752,422 204,560 0.272
Aug-12 743,906 210,143 0.282
Sep-12 742,442 208,577 0.281
Oct-12 748,506 213,726 0.286
Nov-12 726,313 215,071 0.296
Dec-12 710,843 211,950 0.298
Jan-13 742,442
9,087,079
223,410
2,682,389
0.301
Feb-13 689,249 207,960 0.302
Mar-13 818,459 244,520 0.299
Apr-13 807,638 240,390 0.298
May-13 774,345 231,380 0.299
Jun-13 691,572 206,620 0.299
Jul-13 750,964 224,590 0.299
Aug-13 762,063 225,698 0.296
Sep-13 744,476 211,108 0.284
Oct-13 811,810 232,420 0.286
Nov-13 755,253 217,811 0.288
Dec-13 738,808 216,482 0.293
Jan-14 779,562
8,436,849
222,660
2,425,895
0.286
Feb-14 730,658 206,243 0.282
Mar-14 849,375 238,592 0.281
Apr-14 870,651 245,285 0.282
May-14 909,636 254,470 0.280
Jun-14 870,299 243,445 0.280
Jul-14 912,405 259,990 0.285
Aug-14 824,781 247,055 0.300
Sep-14 828,271 248,580 0.300
Oct-14 861,211 259,575 0.301
Nov-14
Dec-14
29
(3) Load
The daily load curve of 2013. Average load is 1,224kW, Peak load is 2,044kW and the lowest
load of the year is 693kW.
Load Curve of year 2013
Monthly average load
Load Duration Curve
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Po
wer
(kW
)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Avera
ge
Valu
e(k
W)
Scaled data Monthly Averages
Month
max
daily high
mean
daily low
min
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Valu
e(k
W)
Scaled data Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
30
Year average hourly load curve
Monthly averge hourly load curve
1.3.2. Land use plan and the siting in Kulhudhuffushi
In Kulhudhuffushi, there is a wetland in the northern part of the island, it is a plant ecosystem
protection area. On the other hand, in the south part of the island is in the industrial area, and
FENAKA power plant, port, waste disposal facility are located. Therefore, wind power plant
installation site should be near the power plant and around the harbor district, etc.
Wind mast is installed at the location of Wind Turbine1.
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Lo
ad
(kW
)
Daily Profile
Hour
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Jan
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Feb
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Mar
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Apr
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000May
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Jun
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Jul
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Aug
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Sep
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Oct
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Nov
0 6 12 18 240
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Dec
31
Kulhudhuffushi Land Use Plan
WT1 area Port area
1.3.3. Transportation and Construction conditions in Kulhudhuffushi
In Kulhudhuffushi, there is an international port besides jetty port, which is operated by the Port
Authority. At the international port, the facilities are good enough for unloading wind turbine parts.
■Power House
Port Land
Wind Turbine 1●
Wind Mast Position
●Wind Turbine 2
Third Wind Turbine Site
(Port Premises)
Conservation Area
32
The Port authority maintains cranes of 150 ton, 30 ton, and 25 ton capacity, which could be used
for wind turbines installation.
Unloading at the port
150ton Crane
1.3.4. Wind monitoring at Kulhudhufushi
34 meter mast is installed to monitor the wind conditions.
33
Outline of wind monitoroing
Location
Coordinates
Next to power house in Kulhudhuffushi Kulhudhufushi
6°36'46.2"N 73°04'14.8"E
Duration From Dec, 1st
Monitoring items
(ten minutes average)
・average wind speed
・average wind direction
・wind speed deviation
・max wind speed
Sensors 32m: wind speed sensor 1,wind speed sensor 2
30m:wind direction sensor 1
22m:wind speed sensor 3, wind direction sensor 2
Monitoring system Manufacture: NRG
Datalogger: NRG Synphonie
Sensors: NRG
data transfer system: NRG iPack
Image
34 meter tower
Monitored at 2 levels
34
foundation installation Mast assembly
Mast erection Monitoring in progress
<Monitored Data>
No.3 クルドゥフシ 月平均風速
<サイト7886>2015年 2014年 (m/s)1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 平均
CH1Avg(32m) 3.82 3.41 3.58 3.60CH2Avg(32m) 3.84 3.44 3.62 3.63CH3Avg(22m) 3.69 3.24 3.44 3.46
Monthly average wind speed at Kulhudhufushi
35
Wind speed in December
Wind speed in February
Wind speed in January
36
Wind Direction in December
Wind Direction in January
Wind Direction in February
37
1.4. Conditions of potential site(Naifaru)
1.4.1. Information of the existing grid in Naifaru
Table 2-3 Generators in Naifaru
Gen.1 Gen.2 Gen.3 Gen.4Capacity , kW 720 300 640 800Power factor 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8frequency , Hz 50 50 50 50Type of governor Electronic Electronic Electronic ElectronicRotational speed, rpm 1500 1500 1500 1500Rated voltage , V 400 400 400 400Manufacturer and Model Cummins Cummins Cummins Cummins
Set Model C1100 D5B C500 D5B C900 D5 C1100 D5BEngine KTA38-G5 KTA19-G3 QSK23-G3 KTA38-G5
Year of manufacture 2009.01 2002.08 2008.02 2014.12Type of fuels Diesel Diesel Diesel DieselConditions of generator limited output normal normal normalMaximum load/output, kW 600 200 560 800Minimum load/output, kW 350 150 250 240Fuel Consumption, L/h
100% 209 107 161 20975% 161 82 121 16150% 113 57 85 11325% 65 30 46 65
Gen.1 Gen.2 Gen.3 Gen.4
(2) Electricity Demand
38
The demand is increasing at the rate of 5 % a year,
Generated units
[kWh]
Fuel consumption
[L]
Monthly fuel
efficienty
[L/kWh]
Jan-13 306,762
3,855,239
84,905
1,080,538
0.277
Feb-13 282,658 77,516 0.274
Mar-13 338,378 92,398 0.273
Apr-13 344,862 94,804 0.275
May-13 321,926 89,397 0.278
Jun-13 301,363 83,960 0.279
Jul-13 331,352 91,807 0.277
Aug-13 330,886 93,288 0.282
Sep-13 313,698 86,694 0.276
Oct-13 344,601 99,709 0.289
Nov-13 317,350 92,187 0.290
Dec-13 321,403 93,873 0.292
Jan-14 324,877
3,507,194
95,112
995,434
0.293
Feb-14 309,089 88,390 0.286
Mar-14 348,877 100,801 0.289
Apr-14 363,193 103,596 0.285
May-14 368,992 103,343 0.280
Jun-14 360,345 101,072 0.280
Jul-14 384,974 106,745 0.277
Aug-14 352,530 99,392 0.282
Sep-14 336,211 96,256 0.286
Oct-14 358,106 100,727 0.281
Nov-14
Dec-14
(3) Load
The daily load curve of 2013. Average load is594kW, Peak load is 875kW and the lowest load of the
year is 168kW. A few times of blackout are recorded.
39
Hourly load of the year 2013
Monthly average load of 2013
Load duration curve
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Avera
ge
Valu
e(k
W)
Scaled data Monthly Averages
Month
max
daily high
mean
daily low
min
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
Scaled data Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
40
Annual average hourly load curve
Monthly average daily load curve
1.4.2. Land use and siting in Naifaru, Installation and construction.
North of Naifaru is designated to industrial zone where FENAKA power plant, water desalination
plant, and waste management plant are located.
As for the transportation and construction, there are not harbor for large vessels, thus a verge will
be required to transport wind turbine parts for Naifarr. Similarly, there are no cranes in the islands,
thus need to be brought in from other islands.
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000
Lo
ad
(kW
)
Daily Profile
Hour
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Jan
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Feb
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Mar
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Apr
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000May
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Jun
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Jul
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Aug
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Sep
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Oct
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Nov
0 6 12 18 240
200
400
600
800
1,000Dec
41
Verge staying at Naifaru JettyPort
1.4.3. Wind monitoring at Naifaru
40 meter wind mast is installed for wind monitoring.
Power House
Wind Energy Site
42
Outline of wind monitoring
Location
Coordinates
Next to power house in Naifaru
5°26'57.0"N 73°21'57.2"E
Duration From Dec, 1st
Monitoring items
(ten minutes average)
・average wind speed
・average wind direction
・wind speed deviation
・max wind speed
Sensors 40m: wind speed sensor 1, wind speed sensor 2
40m: wind direction sensor 1
30m:wind speed sensor 3, wind direction sensor 2
Monitoring system Manufacture: NRG
Datalogger: NRG Synphonie
Sensors: NRG
data transfer system: NRG iPack
Image
Monitored at 2 levels
43
foundation installation
Mast assembly
Mast erection Monitoring in progress
<Monitored Data>
現在No.1 ナイファル 月平均風速
<サイト7884>2015年 2014年 (m/s)1月 2月 3月 4月 5月 6月 7月 8月 9月 10月 11月 12月 平均
CH1Avg(40m) 5.74 5.20 3.42 4.79CH2Avg(40m) 5.71 5.19 3.39 4.76CH3Avg(30m) 5.68 5.25 3.35 4.76
2015/3/1
Monthly average wind speed at Naifaru
44
Wind speed in December
Wind Direction in January
Wind Direction in Feburary
45
1.5. Conditions of potential site(GulhiFalhu)
1.5.1. Existing Grid Conditions(GulhiFalhu)
For GulhiFalhu, detailed data is not obtained. GulhiFalhu is a newly claimed artificial island
and still landfill is in progress and various development is developing stage. In GulhiFalhu, there is
a power plant of STELCO, but power demand for development is bery limited at this moment.
On the other hand, half of the island is owned by MWSC (Male Water and Sewage Company),
where pipe manufacturing plant is located. In the plant, MWSC uses its own diesel generator of
1MW capacity. Thus, 300kWwind turbines could be operated with the existing diesel generator.
1.5.2. Land Use plan(GulhiFalhu)
The development of GulhiFalhu is led by Global Projects Development Company.
Commercial, residential, industrial and logistics zones are planned but the development of
residential zone in pending due to the air pollution from the Thilafushi waste management facility.
MWSC has a plan to construct water bottling facility and water tanks as well as desalination plant
in GulhiFalhu.
The preliminary wind turbine location is set in a planned green area.
46
MWSC Land Use plan
1.5.3. Transportation and construction conditions(GulhuFalhu)
At this moment in GulhiFalhu, no cargo port is developed yet. Since there is no heavy equipment
on the island, there is a need to carry from such adjacent Male and Thilafushi. To load wind power
equipment, it is necessary to consider to transportation with barges.
Unloading of wind mast
47
1.5.4. Wind monitoring at GulhiFalhu
Originally it was scheduled to start wind monitoring at GulhiFalhu from December, however, due
to some troubles in the installation, the installation is postponed till February.
Outline of wind monitoring
Location
Coordinates
Next to power house in Naifaru
4°11'06.6"N 73°27'34.6"E
Duration From Feb 18th
Monitoring items
(ten minutes average)
・average wind speed
・average wind direction
・wind speed deviation
・max wind speed
Sensors 40m: wind speed sensor 1, wind speed sensor 2
40m: wind direction sensor 1
30m:wind speed sensor 3, wind direction sensor 2
Monitoring system Manufacture: NRG
Datalogger: NRG Synphonie
Sensors: NRG
data transfer system: NRG iPack
Image
Monitored at 2 levels
48
foundation installation マスト Mast assembly
マスト Mast erection Monitoring in progress
Monitored data
49
1.6. Other site conditions
(1)Noise Level
The below chart is the sound level of KWT300.
With a distance of 75m, the noise level is below 55dB, when the background noise is 50dB.
In Kulhudhuffushi and Naifaru, the planned wind turbines locations are farther than 100meter.
Wind Speed in February
Wind direction in February
50
(2)Civil Aviation restriction
Chart 3-3 is the height restriction around Male area by the Maldivian Civil Authority.
In the red area, any construction is restricted, and within the area of 4km diameter, marked as
green, the height is limited below 45meter, and within the blue area, the height limit changes along
with the 5% slope up to 6km. At the east end of GulhiFalhu, 6km away from Male international
aieport, the height limit is 145m.
Both in Kulhudhuffushi and Naifaru, the existing airport is farther enough, however the attention
should be paid to the new airport construction.
Distance at the point of
55dB
Distance at the point of
45dB
Wind turbine itself 55 m 200 m
With 40dB background noise 60 m 240 m
With 50dB background noise 75 m -
45dB
55dB
51
1.7. System Design
With the above-mentioned power supply and demand data and the wind conditions data of
52
Eydafushi, micro grid simulation was carried out.
1.7.1. Conditions for the Simulation
1)Wind condition
【Wind data used for simulation】
・Period:2004/01/01
-2004/12/31
・Location:Eydhafushi
・Height:48m
・Data frequency:Hourly
2004 48m 28m
Jan 6.229 6.059
Feb 4.097 4.135
Mar 3.713 3.774
Apr 3.217 3.307
May 8.423 8.069
Jun 6.928 6.423
Jul 6.910 6.833
Aug 4.804 5.016
Sep 5.855 5.688
Oct 4.116 4.137
Nov 4.035 4.042
Dec 6.084 5.945
Year ave 5.382 5.301
2.Characteristics of the wind
Annual average wind speed is 5.382 m/s, and max wind speed was 16.3 m/s.
Wind speed is relatively higher from May to October due to monsoons.
53
Hourly wind speed of the year
Monthly average wind speed.
Wind Speed duration curve
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
5
10
15
20
Win
dS
peed
(m/s
)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann0
5
10
15
20
Avera
ge
Valu
e(m
/s)
Scaled data Monthly Averages
Month
max
daily high
mean
daily low
min
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
5
10
15
20
Valu
e(m
/s)
Scaled data Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
54
図 3-5 Monthly average Daily wind speed cueve
2)Conditions of wind turbines
(1) Basic specification
Rated outpu 300kW
Hub height 41.5m
Rotor diameter 33m
Rated rotation 40.5rpm
Cut-in wind speed
3.0m/s
Cutout wind speed 25m/s
Survival wind speed
70m/s
Design life
20years
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Jan
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Feb
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Mar
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Apr
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10May
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Jun
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Jul
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Aug
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Sep
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Oct
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Nov
0 6 12 18 240
2
4
6
8
10Dec
55
(2) Power curve of KWt300
KWT300 Power curve
measured and calculated in accordance with IEC 61400-12-1 (1st, 2005-12)
Air Density: 1,225 kg/m3
Power performance measurement is defined according to IEC61400-12.
Power: Ten munities average values at the grid connection point, normalized by the air density of 1225kg/m3
Wind speed: Ten minutes average values measured at the met mast located upwind in the dominant wind direction,
normalized by the air density of 1225kg/m3.
* Values over 21 m/s are only referential values.
1.7.2. Supply Demand Balance Simulation (Long term)
1.7.2.1. Kulhudhuffushi
(1) Simulation protocol
①Operation of diesel generators
・At least one diesel generator should be operated.
・The number of generators will be decided to minimize the fuel consumption.
・The maintenance period of diesel generators are not considered.
②Load curves
Load curves are filtered for the sake of the simulation. The future increase in demand is not
considered.
・Blackout and data loss was replaced with nearby data.
・Three hour averaging was done to eliminated the irregular events.
56
[average load 1224kW, peak load 2044kW, min load 693kW]
Original Load Curve of the year
↓
[average load 1224kW, peak load 1928kW, min load 741kW]
Filtered load curve of the year
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Po
wer
(kW
)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Po
wer
(kW
)
57
(2) Simulation Result in Kulhudhuffushi
Simulation result of One wind turbine, Two wind turbines and Three wind turbines
respectively.
As the number increases, the wind turbines total output and excess energy increases, but will
not exceed the total demand.
Output of the year with ONE WT
Output of the year with TWO WT
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
AC Primary LoadKWT300_Excess Electricity
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
AC Primary LoadKWT300_Excess Electricity
58
Output of the year with THREE WT
The total percentage of the time when a single wind turbine reaches the 300kW output is 0.1%
of the year, more than 200kWis 4.9% , and more that 100kW is 19.2%.
[Average output 51.8kW,Max output 300kW,Annual generation 1,360,325 kWh]
Annual wind turbine output duration curve (ONE unit)
[Average output 103.6kW, Max output 600kW, Annual generation 906,888 kWh]
Annual wind turbine output duration curve (Two Units)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000P
ow
er
(kW
)AC Primary LoadKWT300_Excess Electricity
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
KWT300_ Power Output Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
KWT300_ Power Output Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
59
[Average output155.3kW,Max output900kW,Annual generation453,444 kWh]
Annual wind turbine output duration curve (Three Units)
Excess supply from wind turbines are illustrated below charts for the cases of One units to three
units of KWT300.
The max excess supply for one unit and two units cases is 20.6kW, and that for the three unit
case is 232.4kW.
[Average output0.3kW,Max output20.6kW,Annual surplus electricity generation10,464 kWh]
Annual excess supply duration curve(ONE unit case)
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
KWT300_ Power Output Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
50
100
150
200
250
Valu
e(k
W)
Excess Electrical Production Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
60
[Average output0.4kW, Max output20.6kW, Annual surplus electricity generation3,156 kWh]
Annual excess supply duration curve(TWO units case)
[Average output1.2kW,Max output232.4kW,Annual surplus electricity generation2,608 kWh]
Annual excess supply duration curve(Three units case)
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
50
100
150
200
250V
alu
e(k
W)
Excess Electrical Production Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
50
100
150
200
250
Valu
e(k
W)
Excess Electrical Production Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
61
(3) Recommended System
The issue of excess supply from wind turbines can be solved by limiting wind turbine output,
battery storage or demand control of large electric consumers.
From the below analysis,①Fixed power limitation is recommended since it does not require
extra cost and the loss of energy is not significant.
①Fixed power limitation cases
For one and two units cases, wind turbine’s max output is fixed to 250kW.
For three units case, wind turbine’s max output is fixed to 200kW.
For these fixed output cases, no extra system is required.
cases
Electricity
demand
[kWh]
Wind energy
generation
[kWh]
limited units
[kWh]
Net units
from WTs
[kWh]
Wind
penetration
rate
Capacity
factor of
WTs
One unit 10,723,797 453,444 3,484 449,960 4.2% 17.1%
Two units 10,723,797 906,888 6,967 899,921 8.4% 17.1%
Three
units
10,723,797 1,360,325 52,489 1,307,836 12.2% 16.6%
(For the WT 3 units case, if total output from three units can be limited to 650k, the capacity factor
will be higher.)
②Auto power limitation cases
To have the best possible capacity factor of WTs,(17.3% if no limitation), wind turbine output
will be controlled when there will be excess electricity.
cases
Electricity
demand
[kWh]
Wind energy
generation
[kWh]
limited units
[kWh]
Net units
from WTs
[kWh]
Wind
penetration
rate
Capacity
factor of
WTs
One unit 10,723,797 453,444 2,608 450,836 4.2% 17.2%
Two units 10,723,797 906,888 3,156 903,732 8.4% 17.2%
Three
units
10,723,797 1,360,325 10,464 1,349,861 12.6% 17.1%
③Battery storage cases
For these cases, lead battery storage system will be installed.
cases
Electricity
demand
[kWh]
Wind energy
generation
[kWh]
Loss from
storage
[kWh]
Net units
from WTs
[kWh]
Wind
penetration
rate
Capacity
factor of
WTs
One unit 10,723,797 453,444 391 453,053 4.2% 17.2%
Two units 10,723,797 906,888 473 906,415 8.5% 17.2%
62
Three
units
10,723,797 1,360,325 1,570 1,358,755 12.7% 17.2%
( Battery capacity will be WT1unit: 50kW-150kWh, WT2units: 100kW-300kWh,WT3units
300kW-900kWh)
④Demand control of large electricity user
In Kulhudhuffushi, the water desalination plant is in operation from from 8am to 5pm, which
requires around 50kW electricity. It can be controlled to reduce the excess demand, however, the
above systems 1 -3 are enough to control the grid system, thus the use of desalination plant was
not considered.
1.7.2.2. Naifaru
(1) Simulation protocol
①Operation of diesel generators
・At least one diesel generator should be operated.
・The number of generators will be decided to minimize the fuel consumption.
・The maintenance period of diesel generators are not considered.
②Load curves
Load curves are filtered for the sake of the simulation. The future increase in demand is not
considered.
・Blackout and data loss was replaced with nearby data.
・Three hour averaging was done to eliminated the irregular events.
[Average load 594kW, Max load 875kW,Min load 168W]
Original annual load curve
↓
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
63
[Average load 597kW,Max load 842kW,Min load 353W]
Load curve after filtering
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
64
(2) Simulation result
Simulation result of One wind turbine, Two wind turbines and Three wind turbines
respectively.
As the number increases, the wind turbines total output and excess energy increases. For two
units case, there are some times wind turbine output exceeds the grid demand, and for the three
units case, the frequency of such excess is significant.
Output of the year with One WT
Output of the year with Two WT
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
AC Primary LoadKWT300_Excess Electricity
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Po
wer
(kW
)
AC Primary LoadKWT300_Excess Electricity
65
Output of the year with THREE WT
Below is the output tendency of wind turbines from one units to thre units cases.
The percentage of the time when a single wind turbine reaches 300kW output is 0.1%, larger
than 200kW is 4.9%, and larger than 100kW is 19.2%.
[Average output51.8kW, Max output300kW,Annual generation1,360,325 kWh]
Annual wind turbine output duration curve (For One unit case)
[Average output103.6kW,Max output600kW,Annual generation906,888 kWh]
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
200
400
600
800
1,000P
ow
er
(kW
)AC Primary LoadKWT300_Excess Electricity
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
KWT300_ Power Output Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
KWT300_ Power Output Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
66
Annual wind turbine output duration curve (For two units case)
[Average output155.3kW, Max output900kW, Annual generation 453,444 kWh]
Annual wind turbine output duration curve (For three units case )
Excess energy from wind turbines are described below, for the one WT to three WT cases.
The max excess demand for One unit case is 94.8kW, 372.6kW for Two units case and 551.0kW
for Three units case.
[Average output0.3kW,Max output94.8kW]
Annual excess supply duration curve(For One unit)
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
200
400
600
800
1,000
Valu
e(k
W)
KWT300_ Power Output Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
100
200
300
400
500
Valu
e(k
W)
Excess Electrical Production Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
67
[Average output9.4kW,Max output372.6kW]
Annual excess supply duration curve(For Two units)
[Average output30.6kW,Max output551.0kW]
Annual excess supply duration curve(For Three units)
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
100
200
300
400
500V
alu
e(k
W)
Excess Electrical Production Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,0000
100
200
300
400
500
Valu
e(k
W)
Excess Electrical Production Duration Curve
Hours Equaled or Exceeded
68
(3) Recommended System
The issue of excess supply from wind turbines can be solved by limiting wind turbine output,
battery storage or demand control of large electric consumers.
From the below analysis, ① Fixed power limitation or ② Auto power limitation is
recommended since it does not require extra cost and the loss of energy is not significant.
Since the energy surplus will be large for three units case, it is not recommended.
①Fixed power limitation case
Max output is limited to 200kW for One unit case, 250kW for two units case, and 350kW for
three units case.
case
Electricity
demand
[kWh]
Wind energy
generation
[kWh]
limited units
[kWh]
Net units
from WTs
[kWh]
Wind
penetration
rate
Capacity
factor of
WTs
One unit 5,233,528 453,444 17,496 435,948 8.3% 16.6%
Two units 5,233,528 906,888 149,701 757,187 14.5% 14.4%
Three
units
5,233,528 1,360,325 257,207 1,103,118 21.1% 14.0%
②Auto power limitation case
To have the best possible capacity factor of WTs,(17.3% if no limitation), wind turbine output
will be controlled when there will be excess electricity.
case
Electricity
demand
[kWh]
Wind energy
generation
[kWh]
limited units
[kWh]
Net units
from WTs
[kWh]
Wind
penetration
rate
Capacity
factor of
WTs
One unit 5,233,528 453,444 2,508 450,936 8.6% 17.2%
Two units 5,233,528 906,888 82,542 824,346 15.8% 15.7%
Three
units
5,233,528 1,360,325 268,362 1,091,963 20.9% 13.9%
③安定化蓄電池装置の場合
For these cases, lead battery storage system will be installed.
case
Electricity
demand
[kWh]
Wind energy
generation
[kWh]
Battery loss
[kWh]
Net units
from WTs
[kWh]
Wind
penetration
rate
Capacity
factor of
WTs
One unit 5,233,528 453,444 376 453,068 8.7% 17.2%
Two units 5,233,528 906,888 12,381 894,507 17.1% 17.0%
Three
units
5,233,528 1,360,325 40,254 1,320,071 25.2% 16.7%
69
(Battery capacity should be 100kW-300kWh for WT 1 unit case, 400kW-1200kWh for WT 2 units
case and 600kW-1800kWh for WT3 units case.)
④Demand control
No facility of large enough demand to be controlled is yet to available in Nafaru.
1.7.3. Control of short term output fluctuation
The long term output fluctuation can be handled by the means described in the previous sections,
however, the short term output fluctuation over a few seconds and minuts must be considered as
well. To judge its influence, the response speed of diesel generators are inspected with the load
shut tests at power houses of Kulhudhuffushi and Naifaru.
1.7.3.1. Load dump test(Kulhudhuffushi)
(1)Outline of the test
Test schedule Diesel generators status
(2) Test result
KulhudhuffshiLoad dump test record
generator statuskW
On then off-On
On
Frequency
Frequency
70
KulhudhuffshiLoad dump test record
(3) Analysis
Frequency is changed by switched off the Gen1.
However, due to the limitation of the generators capacity, it is difficult to determine the drid
performance factor.
1.7.3.2. Load dump test(Naifaru)
(1 )Test condition
Test schedule Generators status
(2) Test record
Frequency
Frequency
generator statuskW
OnOn then off
-
-
71
Naifaru Load dump test Record
図 5-4 NaifaruLoad dump test Test
(3) Analysis
The change in frequency is recorded but it was only 0.1Hz and negligible. It is difficult to judge
the grid response factor.
Frequency
Frequency
Frequency
Frequency
72
【Result from the past study】
With the result of Load dump tests in Kulhudhuffushi and Naifaru, it is difficult to judge the
grid response factor, however, the past test result in Eydaffushi, could be a good reference to these
two islands since the diesel generators type is the same with electricity governor with 1500 rpm.
This high speed diesel generators are usually considered to have good response speed .
From the test results of Eydafshi, it was judged that the special system for short term
fluctuation is not necessary if the long term fluctuation control is taken.
If the operator decided to take measures to short term fluctuation, it is recommended to adopt
battery systems of high output and low storage capacity, such as capacitors(EDLC),Lithium ion
capacitor(LiC),Flywheel battery(FWG.
The capacity of these should be 1/2-2/3 of the total capacity of wind turbines.
1.7.4. Proposed System design
1.7.4.1. Kulhudhuffushi
In Kulhudhuffushi, the wind penetration rate will be 4.2%, 8.4% and 12.2% for one , two and
three wind turbines case, for the fixed power limitation system.
Even with three wind turbines, the surplus electricity amount is not significant. The fixed
limitation system with the limit of total wind power station as 650kW is the best recommendation.
To decrease the energy loss, auto power limitation could be attached. For this case, the capacity
factor will be 17.1%, compared to the 16.6% without auto system.
For a security, a capacitor of PCS500kW-EDLC/LiC25kWh is recommended to handle the short
term fluctuation.
The cost of auto power limitation shall be USD 0.4 million, and the cost of the battery system
will be USD0.6 million.
[Fixed power limitation with three wind turbines ]
windturbinesKWT300
200kWfixed
windturbinesKWT300
200kWfixed
windturbinesKWT300
200kWFixed
existingpower house
DEGGEN1-4
Demand
SCADA
Batteryfor short
term
PCS500kWEDLC/LiC25kWh
if necessary
monitoring, start, stop, output
control
extra cost:NoneCapacity factor:16.6 %
Penetration rate :12.2 %
73
[Auto power limitation]
1.7.4.2. Naifaru
In Naifaru, Wind penetration rate will be 8.3%, 14.5% and 21.1% for one, two , three units for
the fixed power limitation system.
For the one unit case, the surplus energy amount is not significant, thus fixed system is
recommended.
For the two units case, as the capacity factor will decrease from 17.3% to 14.4% with the fixed
power limitation system, auto power limitation system is preferable which can increase the
capacity factor up to 15.7%.
To avoid further energy loss, batteries can be installed, PCS400kW lead battery with 1200kWh
capacity. Then the capacity factor increases to 17.0%. The cost for the battery system is USD 1M.
Only for the short term fluctuation purpose, PCS500kW-EDLC/LiC25kWh is recommended.
The cost of auto power limitation shall be USD 0.4 million, and the cost of the battery system
will be USD0.6 million. For the battery system for long term fluctuation, the system cost will bel
USD 1M.
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
existingpower house
DEGGEN1-4
Demand
SCADA
短周期変動対策用蓄電装置
PCS500kWEDLC/LiC25kWh
if necessary
Controlpanel
DEG output
order
monitoring, start, stop,
output control
extra cost:USD0.4 MCapacity factor:17.1 %
Penetration rate :12.6 %
74
Case1:Two units+Auto output control
[Auto power limitation]
Case2: One unit+Fixed output
[Fixed power limitation]
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
existingpower house
DEGGEN1-4
Demand
SCADA
Batteryfor short
term
PCS500kWEDLC/LiC25kWh
if necessary
Control panel
DEG 出力
command
monitoring, start, stop,
output control
windturbinesKWT300200kWFixed
existingpower house
DEGGEN1-4
Demand
SCADA
Batteryfor short
term
PCS500kWEDLC/LiC25kWh
if necessary
monitoring, start, stop,
output control
extra cost:USD0.4MCapacity factor:15.7 %
Penetration rate :15.8 %
extra cost:NoneCapacity factor:16.6 %
Penetration rate : 8.3 %
75
Case 3: Two units+Auto limitation +Battery
[Auto power limitation with battery for long term]
1.7.5. Self-control system of wind turbines
In the place of auto limitation system recommended in the previous sections, it is possible to take
the advantage of the self-control system of the wind turbine. With these, the extra cost of
communication lines and the control panels for the auto limitation system, while the wind turbines
system detects the frequency change by themselves and reduce the output/
The convertor of the wind turbine has the function called, SSL control ( Phase Lock Loop) to
control the frequency and phases.
With this function, for example, when the grid power demand is small and the wind turbine power
output increases, and thus the grid frequency increases, the wind turbine convertor detects the
frequency rise and control the wind turbine output by sending a signal. Therefore, a command from
the power house is not required.
For this system, only a slight program change is needed, and no need for the without
communication lines and control equipment for automatic control, thus extra cost is practically zero.
This system is under development and will be in use in one year time.
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
windturbinesKWT300
300kW
existingpower house
DEGGEN1-4
Demand
SCADA
Batteryfor long
term
PCS400kW-Lead battery 1200kWh
Controlpanel
DEG outpu
Commandmonitoring, start, stop,
output control
extra cost:USD 1MCapacity factor:17.0 %
Penetration rate :17.1 %
command
76
1.8. Evaluaton of the project economy
1.8.1. Outline of the proposed project
Island Location Unit system Annual WT generation
Penetration rate
(for average wind speed
at 5.48m/s)
Kulhudhuffushi South of island
Next to power house
and port
2 300kWwind turbines
+ Output limitation
system
903,732kWh
8.4%
Naifaru North of island
Next to power house
2 300kWwind turbines
+ Output limitation
system
824,326kWh
15.8%
GulhiFalhu MWCS premises 1 300kWwind turbines
+ Output limitation
system
451,866kWh
―
Total Capacity : 300kW×5 = 1500kW
1.8.2. Project cost (rough estimate)
The project cost was roughly estimated as below for FIVE unites of wind turbines installation in
island of the Maldives.
Total cost for five units 7,683 thousand USD
WT generation system 3,750 thousand USD
Grid connection facilities and works 1,000 thousand USD
Transportation and construction 1,550 thousand USD
Foundation works 750 thousand USD
Design services 90 thousand USD
Studies 20 thousand USD
Overhead fee, temporary facilities 523 thousand USD
others 0 thousand USD
Especially foundation construction cost needs more detailed analysis with soil investigation result at
each site.
77
1.8.3. Analysis of Project economy
Twenty years project economy is analyzed, for the case of annual average wind speed of 5.38m/s
and 6.0m/s, and for the case of subsidy rate of 50%, 30% and 0%, for the total of 6 cases.
As a result, even for the worst case with lower wind speed and no subsidy, the pay back years is 15
years.
<Pre-conditions>
item assumtions note
Project size 300kW×5 units Total of three islands
annual average wind speed case1 case2
5.38m/s 6.0m/s
case1 is the Eydafushi value
case2 is an assumption
Annual supply from WTs
Kulhudhuffushi
Naifaru
Gulhifalhu
Total:2,181,522kWh
903,732kWh
824,346kWh
453,444kWh
Surplus energy is not counted
2 units with auto control
2 units with auto control
One unit, no surplus
Total project cost USD 7,683,000
Subsidy rate caseA:50%
caseB:30%
caseC:0%
Subsidy rate for the initial
investment
Interest rate 5% Initial cost not covered by sublidy
will be covered by Borrowing.
Saved cost per unit by WT
generation
0.4USD/kWh (First year) Annual increase rate of 2%
Total saving in fuel
payment
USD872,609 First year
annual average
maintenance fee
USD132,100(first year) 10 % increase for every five years
Insurance premium USD2,000(First year) 1 % decrease for every year
Tax Not considered
<Simulation result>
annual
average wind
speed
Subsidy
rate
Unit cost for wind
turbine generation
Pay back years Project IRR
case1-A 5.38m/s 50% 0.227USD/kWh 8 14.6%
78
case1-B 5.38m/s 30% 0.267USD/kWh 11 9.2%
case1-C 5.38m/s 0% 0.342USD/kWh 15 4.5%
case2-A 6.0m/s 50% 0.273USD/KWh 6 21.6%
case2-B 6.0m/s 30% 0.213USD/kWh 8 14.7%
case2-C 6.0m/s 0% 0.273USD/KWh 11 8.9%
Unit cost for wind turbine generation =(initial investment +maintenance fee+interests)÷ total generaion
1.9. Implementation Framework
1.9.1. Implementation Framework
In general, wind energy projects are managed either by utility company as one of the generation
facilities or private independent power producer as an investment. In micro-grid areas, like in the
Maldives, the existing utilities such as FENAKA, STELCO, MWSC in the Maldives, can enjoy the
most benefit from wind energy project by .
Utilities IPPs
How to use electricity Used in their own grid Sell electricity to the utility
Merit of wind turbine
generation
Wind turbine generation = fuel cost
savings
Power purchase and tariff
agreement is required
Micro-grid control To keep the grid electricity quality,
utility can control wind turbine output.
System design and operation
synchronizing diesel generator and
wind turbines is possible.
Output limitation of wind turbines
should be avoided to avoid the
revenue loss. If the utility has the
right to limit, it will be regarded as
the risk in the project.
No incentives to consider diesel
generator operation.
maintenance Engineers in power house can be
trained to maintain the wind turbines.
Prompt action is possible by inland
engineers.
Special maintenance staff should be
trained. If the maintenance staff
stays inland, the operational cost
will increase.
Finance Limitation of state owned company for
borrowings.
Freely get funds in the market.
Judging from the above comparison, it is strongly recommended for the utility company to be a own
wind energy project.
79
JCM Implementation framework
1.9.2. Financing arrangemnt
Here are possible funding resources.
(1)SREP Investment Plan budget
After getting the wind data of islands, it is required to discuss with ADB for the possible allocation
of SREP budget for wind energy project, which is included in the plan as well.
(2)JBIC finance
JBIC has a program to facilitate JCM
implementation under their export financing scheme.
State own companies such as FENAKA or STELCO
can directly borrow from JBIC or they can utilize the
credit line of JBIC and ICIC bank of India .
JBIC can finance up to 50 or 60 percent of the project
cost, thus it could be a good match up with the initial
subsidy.
1.10. Timeline for implementaion
The wind monitoring will be continued till the end of December.
After the analysis of one year wind data, the final project economy will be decided.
The operation star will be in 2016 at the earliest.
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1.11. Other potencial sites in the Maldives
Here is the list of other potential sites other than three islands mentioned above.
islands unit
FENAKA Eydafushi
Hinnavaru
One each
STELCO Maafushi
Himmafushi
Two
One
MWSC Dhuvaafaru One
Industrial islands Felivaru One or two
Resort islands 10-20 for total
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2. Policy recommendation
2.1. Setting technical requirements for wind turbines
For a JCM project, it is also one of its purpose to spread the superior technology of Japan to the
world. Although, in the market of renewable low-cost systems from the emerging countries are
increasing its share, for a wind energy project where the initial investment is large which must be
paid back by the fuel cost savings of each year, the reliability of the system, little failure as possible,
become very important to maintain the project economy.
In particular, in the small-grid system of the island, etc., the system design based on the premise of
fluctuating renewable energy output is essential. Thus, if the project owner selects a model only
considering the price, the influence of the wind turbines to the grid system will not be analyzed,
which lead to the malfunction of the wind turbines as well as causing damage to the power
generation systems and electric power system, such as existing diesel generator as a result.
It is highly recommended to set the technical requirements to wind turbines described below to be
installed in Maldives to facilitate reliable system.
・ To have International Certification: Wind turbine system must been certified by
international crediting bodies such as Germanisher Lloyd or TUV.
・ To maintain output control system: Wind turbine system must have control system to
limit the output by commands or by programming etc.
・ Remote monitoring and control : Wind turbine system must have SCADA remote
monitoring and remote control.
Remote monitoring system portal
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2.2. FIT reflecting the real generation cost of islands
At this moment, the Maldivian government maintains the Feed In Tariff which set the tariff
according to the regions from USD 0.22/ kWh to USD 0.35/kWh regardless of the source of energy.
On the other hand, the actual cost for generation with diesel generators is higher than FIT tariff.
This lead to the situation where STELCO buys Solar generated electricity from the IPP,
Renewable Energy Maldives Co. Ltd., at the price higher than FIT price, since the actual cost of
energy generation is much higher than FIT price.
In the Maldives, FIT tariff should be set between the cost of diesel generated electricity and the
cost of wind generated electricity.
In setting the tariff, the below items should be considered, and the FIT should be different
depending on the cost of renewable sources, which varies with source of generation, project capacity,
and the location.
1)Source of energy
2)Size of project
3)Location of the project
1) Source of Energy: In general, solar generated power is more expensive than wind generated
power and the cost of biomass power generation power varies a lot among cases. There is a need to
set the price in consideration of the construction costs of each generation type in the Maldives.
2) Size of project: The power generation unit price decreases as the plant scale gets larger, and
increases as the plant scale gets smaller. In very densely inhabited places as the Maldives, the land
area available for renewable power generation is very limited, and the large-scale equipment is very
difficult to be located. Therefore, there is also a need to introduce a large number of small-scale
power generation projects , with which the unit price is higher than large scale single project..
3) Location of the project: In the Maldives, generation cost is higher in smaller islands than larger
islands. The FIT tariff should be set so as to facilitate the renewable energy production if the
generation cost is lower than the existing diesel generated electricity of the planned island. Not to be
judged by the market price.
2.3. Interconnection of islands for increasing penetration rate
All Maldivian islands except for Addu City maintain independent grid system in each island. On
the other hand, the distance between the island and the island is often less than 1km.
If the grid systems are interconnected between nearby islands, grid capacity expands, which
means that the room for installing renewable energy will also increase, also more effectively and
efficiently. Thus, as part of the infrastructure development of renewable energy introduction, the
Government should take initiatives for grid system interconnection between the islands.
83
2.4. Action plan for wind power projects with mid-size wind turbines
In the mainstream wind energy market, large wind turbines (MW machine) are prevailing, while
these are unsuitable for the island of very small scales in the Maldives. Because of the fact that the
wind speed is not so high in Maldives, it seems that the Maldives government and the power
companies have not considered the wind energy project seriously until now.
However, with 300kW wind turbines proposed here, wind energy projects are viable in the Maldives
as well, compared to the very high cost of diesel power generation. The cost reduction by the
introduction of wind power generation is significant even with the lower wind speed in the Maldives.
Throughout this study, such proposals have been recognized by the Maldivian authorities.
84
3. MRV Methodology
Outline of methodology developed is presented below.
3.1. Eligibility criteria
This methodology is applicable to projects that satisfy all of the following criteria. If there is
multiple project sites included in a JCM project, all project sites need to satisfy all the criteria.
Criterion 1 The project shall be the installation of a new wind turbine generator.
Criterion 2 The electricity generated by the project replaces fossil fuel based electricity
generation in the mini-grid under 15MW or electricity generation by diesel based
captive power plant
Criterion 3 The wind turbine system shall be equipped with remote monitoring system that is
connected to a computer system of a single entity responsible for monitoring of all
systems installed by the project.
Criterion 4 The wind turbine generator system installed in the project measures net electricity
supplied.
Criterion 5 The wind turbine systems shall be equipped with an inductive generator and
AC-DC-AC link converter as well as be able to limit the output power by signals
and to control reactive power, to secure the system reliability and smooth output in
vulnerable and low capacity grid.
Criterion 6 The wind turbine generator systems should have obtained a certification of design
type issued by internationally recognized assessment body. (i.e.Germanischer
Lloyd)
3.2. GHG emission sources
In this methodology, the only GHG emission sources are CO2 emissions from electricity generation by diesel
generator system in reference emissions.
Reference emissions
Emission sources GHG types
CO2 emissions from electricity generation by diesel generator system. CO2
Project emissions
Emission sources GHG types
n/a n/a
85
3.3. Establishment of reference emissions
Reference scenario is displacement of diesel based electricity generation by renewable electricity generated by the
project. Reference emissions are calculated as a product of the amount of net electricity generated by the wind
turbine system installed under the project activity and CO2 emission factor of diesel electricity generation system
otherwise operated.
Emission factor is fixed ex-ante as 0.7tCO2/MWh. The detail on how 0.7tCO2/MWh has been determined is
provided in the following section.
3.4. Emissions from existing diesel generation
For two potential project sites, historical data of electricity supply (electricity generation and fuel consumption)
were obtained from respective power operating companies. Based on these data, emission factor per kWh of power
generation was calculated.
=
Fuel
consumptionx NCV / 1,000,000 x
Emission factor
of fuel/
Electricity
generated
(kg/y) (TJ/Gg) (kg/Gg) (kgCO2/TJ) (kWh)
= Emission factor
(kgCO2/kWh)
Parameter Value Unit Source
Diesel density 0.8439 kg/litre IEA
Diesel NCV 41.1 TJ/Gg IPCC (Lower value)
Diesel EF 72600 kgCO2/TJ IPCC (Lower value)
Below summarize the CO2 emission factor calculated using original historical data of electricity supply (electricity
generation and fuel consumption) from two sites.
Kulhudhuffushi Powerhouse
Electricity
generation(kWh)
Diesel consumption
(litre)
CO2 Emission factor
(kWh/CO2kg)
2012 8,766,336 2,474,269 0.7107
2013 9,087,079 2,682,389 0.7433
86
20142 9,012,363.00 2,595,371 0.7252
Naifaru Powerhouse
Electricity
generation(kWh)
Diesel consumption
(litre)
CO2 Emission factor
(kWh/CO2kg)
2013 3,855,239 1,080,538 0.7058
20143 3,743,741 1,062,997 0.7150
The CO2 emission factor calculated are lower than the default value of 0.8kgCO2-e/kWh allowed to apply in the
CDM methodology AMS I.A allows. Therefore, adopting the CO2 emission factor value calculated in this
methodology as default emission factor lead to more conservative approach for reference emissions calculation.
It is suggested to select the lowest CO2 emission factor and round down to one decimal place. Emission factor for
both Kulhudhuffushi and Naifaru will be 0.7kgCO2-e/kWh.
3.5. Calculation of reference emissions
ydieselCOyREFy EFEGRE ,,2,
Parameter Description
REy Reference emissions in year y (tCO2/year)
EGREF,y Amount of net electricity supplied by the project (MWh/y)
EFCO2,diesel,y Emission factor of the electricity displaced by the project (tCO2/MWh)
3.6. Calculation of project emissions
0yPE
There is a very small amount of electricity demand for standby electricity consumption in the wind power
generation. The same meter measures both the amount of electricity generated and electricity consumed for
standby purpose. The electricity consumed standby purpose is counted by deducting the amount of standby
electricity consumption from the about of electricity generated by the wind turbine. Therefore, separated
calculation of project emission due to consumption of standby electricity is not required and project emissions are
2 Does not include Dec 1, 2014 to December 31, 20143 Does not include Nov. 21, 2014 to Dec. 31, 2014.
87
zero (0).
3.7. Monitoring
Monitoring items, measurement method, and frequency are summarized below.
Parameter Measurement method Frequency
EGREF,y Amount of net
electricity supplied by
the project (MWh/y)
Option C Monitored by
electricity meter
Continuously monitored
and accumulated at least
monthly
4. Calculation of GHG emission reductions
Using this methodology, GHG emission reductions from the project is estimated as follows.
ERy = REy
Description of dataERy GHG emissions reduction during the year y(tCO2/year)REy Reference emissions during the year y(tCO2/year)
Below summarize the value and basis of the values applied for calculation of GHG emission reduction.
Item Value Basis Unit
Estimated annual power generation 2,1825 units of 300kW wind turbinesamong 3 islands. Total generationbased on the simulation result.
MWh/year
Emission factor of the dieselelectricity displaced by the project.
0.7 Determined in the methodology tCO2/MWh
Emission reductions will be calculated as follows.
(Reference emissions)
ydieselCOyREFy EFEGRE ,,2,
=2,182 (MWh/year) × 0.7 (t-CO2/MWh)
= 1,527.4≒ 1,527 (t-CO2/year)
88
(Emission reductions)
ERy = REy
= 1,527 (t-CO2/year)
Emission reduction from the project is calculated as 1,527t-CO2/year.
89
JCM Proposed Methodology Form
Cover sheet of the Proposed Methodology Form
Form for submitting the proposed methodology
Host Country Maldives
Name of the methodology proponents
submitting this form
Komai Haltec Inc.
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities,
Co., Ltd.
Sectoral scope(s) to which the Proposed
Methodology applies
1. Energy Industries
Title of the proposed methodology, and
version number
Renewable electricity generation from wind
turbine generator system in Maldives
List of documents to be attached to this
form (please check):
The attached draft JCM-PDD:
Additional information
Date of completion March 9, 2015
History of the proposed methodology
Version Date Contents revised
n/a n/a n/a
90
A. Title of the methodology
Renewable electricity generation from wind turbine generator system in Maldives
B. Terms and definitions
Terms Definitions
Remote monitoring system SCADA(Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition)
system to monitor operational condition and operating
record to operational performance of the turbine
generator. SCADA system analyzes the data and
transfers them to the main system via internet and/or
mobile networks.
C. Summary of the methodology
Items Summary
GHG emission reduction
measures
Electricity is generated by wind turbine generator system in
place of operating diesel electricity generation system.
Calculation of reference
emissions
Reference emissions are calculated as a product of the
amount of net electricity generated by the wind turbine
system installed under the project activity and
CO2emission factor of diesel electricity generation system
otherwise operated.
Calculation of project
emissions
There is no project emission. The project system requires
small amount of standby electricity requirement. However,
here is consumption of non-wind turbine generated electricity
for this purpose, it will be monitored. Project emissions are
calculated as a product of the amount of diesel electricity
consumed and CO2 emission factor of diesel electricity
generation system.
Monitoring parameters - Amount of electricity generated by wind turbine generator
system
91
D. Eligibility criteria
This methodology is applicable to projects that satisfy all of the following criteria.
Criterion 1 The project shall be the installation of a new wind turbine generator.
Criterion 2 The electricity generated by the project replaces fossil fuel based
electricity generation in the mini-grid under 15MW or electricity
generation by diesel based captive power plant
Criterion 3 The wind turbine system shall be equipped with remote monitoring
system that is connected to a computer system of a single entity
responsible for monitoring of all systems installed by the project.
Criterion 4 The wind turbine generator system installed in the project measures net
electricity supplied.
Criterion 5 The wind turbine systems shall be equipped with an inductive generator
and AC-DC-AC link converter as well as be able to limit the output power
by signals and to control reactive power, to secure the system reliability
and smooth output in vulnerable and low capacity grid.
Criterion 6 The wind turbine generator systems should have obtained a certification
of design type issued by internationally recognized assessment body.
(i.e.Germanischer Lloyd)
E. Emission Sources and GHG types
Reference emissions
Emission sources GHG types
CO2 emissions from electricity generation by diesel generator
system.
CO2
Project emissions
Emission sources GHG types
n/a n/a
92
F. Establishment and calculation of reference emissions
F.1. Establishment of reference emissions
Reference scenario is displacement of diesel based electricity generation by renewable
electricity generated by the project.
Reference emissions are calculated as a product of the amount of net electricity
generated by the wind turbine system installed under the project activity and
CO2emission factor of diesel electricity generation system otherwise operated.
Emission factor is fixed ex-ante and presented in Section I of the methodology.
F.2. Calculation of reference emissions
ydieselCOyREFy EFEGRE ,,2,
Parameter Description
REy Reference emissions in year y (tCO2/year)
EGREF,y Amount of net electricity supplied by the project (MWh/y)
EFCO2,diesel,y Emission factor of the electricity displaced by the project
(tCO2/MWh)
G. Calculation of project emissions
Project emission is accounted in reference emissions calculation.
H. Calculation of emissions reductions
Emissions reductions are monitored reference emission.
93
ERy = REy
ERy: CO2 Emission Reduction[tCO2/y]
REy : Reference CO2 emissions[tCO2/y]
I. Data and parameters fixed ex ante
The source of each data and parameter fixed ex ante is listed as below.
Parameter Description of data Source
EFCO2,diesel,y 0.7tCO2/MWh
Emission factor of the diesel electricity
displaced by the project.
Determined and fixed
ex-ante in the methodology
based on the historical
electricity generation and
fuel consumption data
supplied by relevant
Maldivian authority.