Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory ([email protected]) Metropolitan Transportation...
44
Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory ([email protected]) Metropolitan Transportation Commission March 23, 2011 Presentation for Regional Modeling Working Group
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Transcript of Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results David Ory ([email protected]) Metropolitan Transportation...
Final First Round Scenario Analysis Results
David Ory ([email protected])Metropolitan Transportation CommissionMarch 23, 2011
Presentation for Regional Modeling Working Group
2
Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
3
Year 2005 (version 0.0).
Year 2020, Current Regional Plans (v 0.0).
Year 2020, Initial Vision (v 0.0).
Year 2035, Current Regional Plans (v 0.0).
Year 2035, Initial Vision (v 0.0).
4
Which scenarios.
GHG first. From air basin to nine counties.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
5
2035
-15.0 percentARB
Target
Initial Vision with T-2035
Initial Vision
-11.2 percent
-11.6 percent
Current Regional Plans
-10.6 percent
6
ARB Target
-8.8 percentCurrent Regional
Plans
-7.0 percent2020
Initial Vision-10.3 percent
7
Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
8
Population Synthesizer
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12
Pri
ce
Quantity
Roadway & Transit Supply
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15Image source: sedonakathy.wordpress.com
Automobile Ownership
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17Image source: flickr.com/sbisson
Scheduling
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2005
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2035 CRP
20
2035 IVS
21Image source: flickr.com/bigtimes
Activity Locations/ Travel Distance
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24Image sources: sedonakathy.wordpress.com; greencar.com
Travel Mode Choice
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2035 CRP
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2035 IVS
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30Image source: flickr.com/SpokkerJones
Transit Utilization
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32Image source: flickr.com/cookieevans5
Roadway Utilization
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Year 2005 VMT by Household Location: http://geocommons.com/maps/56363
Year 2035 Current Regional Plans VMT by Household Location: http://geocommons.com/maps/56379
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41
Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets See Planning Cmte Packet.
Next steps.
Questions.
42
Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
43
Find & Fix Bugs
Find & Fix Bugs
Continue sensitivity tests (HOT & gas prices)
Update runs using model version 0.1
Find & Fix Bugs
Continue RTP analytical work
44
Which scenarios.
GHG first.
Travel model results.
Other targets.
Next steps.
Questions.
