FICCI Project 2020
-
Upload
prasanto-roy -
Category
Business
-
view
162 -
download
2
Transcript of FICCI Project 2020
project project
20202020
Prasanto K Roy
Prasanto K Roy
Oct 2013 | [email protected] | @prasanto
Oct 2013 | [email protected] | @prasantoA strategic direction for Indian industry
A strategic direction for Indian industry
The
Cri
sis
The
Cri
sis
The Rupee crashes.Everything gets expensive.
We import $150 billion of OIL!!
We import $75 billion more than we export.
2013
The
Gap
The
Gap
$$7575BBprojected FY14
projected FY14 Current Account Deficit
Current Account Deficit
$$140140BBOil Import Bill
Oil Import Bill FY12 (31% of
FY12 (31% of India’s imports)
India’s imports)
The
Gap
The
Gap
25% 2003-04
53% 2031-32% of commercial energy use
based on IMPORTS (Planning Commission)H
igh
Hig
h E
nerg
yE
nerg
y
Hig
h H
igh E
nerg
yE
nerg
y 7070%%
India’s energy generation is
India’s energy generation is
from fossil fuels
from fossil fuels4040% Coal% Coal2424% Crude
% Crude66% natural Gas
% natural GasInternational Energy Agency
International Energy Agency
$$5858 bn bnLosses est. from India’s
Losses est. from India’s10% power deficit
10% power deficit
Hig
h H
igh E
nerg
yE
nerg
y
1515%%2020 renewable-energy
2020 renewable-energytarget NAPCC 2008
target NAPCC 2008 Hig
h H
igh E
nerg
yE
nerg
y
Ind
ustr
ial
Ind
ustr
ial
Revo
lutio
nsRe
volu
tions
Convergence of Energy +
Convergence of Energy +
Communication Tech
Communication Tech1.1. Coal/steam engine
Coal/steam engine + press+ press2.2. IC engine + telephony
IC engine + telephony
Centralized power
Centralized power3.3. Internet +
Internet + Distributed power
Distributed power FICCI FICCI MegaTrends 2020 project | Jeremy Rifkin
MegaTrends 2020 project | Jeremy Rifkin
3rd
3rd
Ind
ustr
ial
Ind
ustr
ial
Revo
lutio
nRe
volu
tion Five pillars
Five pillars1.1.RERE2.2.Distributed power
Distributed power3.3.H - and other storage
H - and other storage4.4.Intergrids
Intergrids5.5.EV – buy and sell power
EV – buy and sell power
3rd
3rd
Ind
ustr
ial
Ind
ustr
ial
Revo
lutio
nRe
volu
tion
Make or break
Make or break for India for India1.1.Energy (in)security
Energy (in)security2.2.Economics of industry
Economics of industry3.3.Treat/opportunity
Treat/opportunity4.4.Services: Big shift
Services: Big shift5.5.Automotive
Automotive
The
Futu
re o
f
The
Futu
re o
f W
OR
KW
OR
K
‘‘Rising’ professions,
Rising’ professions,rising productivity
rising productivityheading for a crash
heading for a crash- Software
Software- BPOBPO- Data entry
Data entry- Medical transcription
Medical transcription- Gem polishing
Gem polishing
The
Futu
re o
f
The
Futu
re o
f W
OR
KW
OR
K
33 rdrd Industrial Revolution
Industrial Revolution- Disruptive: millions lose
Disruptive: millions lose
present jobs, but many
present jobs, but many
other jobs created. Huge
other jobs created. Huge
skill gapsskill gaps- Shift up the value chain:
Shift up the value chain:
toward IPtoward IP
Ener
gyEn
ergy It’s not ‘
It’s not ‘climate change
climate change’’
Self-sufficiency
Self-sufficiency key to India’s future
key to India’s future Mega-disruptive
Mega-disruptive Huge
Huge opportunity.opportunity.
FIC
CI
FIC
CI
Proj
ect 2
020
Proj
ect 2
020 ‘‘20/20’ : Industry to
20/20’ : Industry to generate 20% energy RE
generate 20% energy RE An HR strategy based on
An HR strategy based on
tech projections
tech projections A division like CII-ITC
A division like CII-ITC Center, but strategic (vs
Center, but strategic (vs
tactical)tactical)