Fibre-based innovations for tomorrow's high-tech products F. Miletzky

Paper & Fibre 2030Shaping a sustainable future

02.05.2023

One sector's journey into the future

Sources http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120; http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ; http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg

“Breakthrough technologies" for

reengineering production processes and reducing

CO2 emissionsThe contribution of paper as a material to various

economic sectors

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Declining share prices ...

0

50

100

150

200

250

20142012201020082006200420022000

Share price index (2000 = 100)

MSCI paperand forest products

MSCI world materials

'00-'13

+ 57%

- 33%

Pre-boom

Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream; BCG analysisCourtesy of R. Haslehner (Boston Consult Comp.)

DownturnCommodityboom

Multi-utilitiesGas utilities

SoftwarePaper andforest products

Tobacco

Industry classification

Unp

redi

ctab

ility

Malleability

"Adaptive"

"Classical" "Visionary"

"Shaping"

Note: Unpredictability = market cap return volatility, malleability = industry concentration - return to scale + revenue growth. Rank based on industry environment matrixSource: BCG analysis, Courtesy of R. Haslehner (BCG)

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The paper world is growing dark…

02.05.2023

10 ct/kg

10 ct/kg7,000 €/kg

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1 €/kg

1,500 €/kg

Bridging the gap: value creation!

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• Global growth of P&B based packaging has been forecasted to be approx. 7 % annually within next 10 years accord. to different studies (Capital Mind, Catalyst Corp. Finance).

• Consequently, new construction of paper machines (or rebuilds of former graphic machines) (e.g. Sappi Europe, Heinzel Group Austria, UPM/Leipa Germany,…) for packaging and specialty P&B

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… how is the paper sector addressing this challenge?

02.05.2023

One sector's journey into the future

Sources: http://image.slidesharecdn.com/roadmap2050-120702034623-phpapp02/95/drupa-2012-european-paper-day-road-map-2050-11-728.jpg?cb=1341201120; http://www.paperindustryworld.com/files/2014/02/TheTwoTeamProject.jpg ; http://www.papierverarbeitung.de/wpv-wAssets/img/Cover_Faser_Papier_2030.JPG ; http://unfoldthefuture.eu/images/download-thumb.jpg

“Breakthrough technologies" for

reengineering production processes and reducing

CO2 emissions Ideas for “tomorrow's paper”

The contribution of paper as a material to

various economic sectors

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Motivation for the "Fibre & Paper 2030" project of the future

The paper sector is in a phase of radical change

But: even today there are discernible innovative approaches to paper applications in various sectors with a considerable need for development work

Motivation: What are the markets, fields of business and customer needs of the future for fibre-based materials?

A solid groundwork has been laid: Within the scope of the bio-economy concept, sustainable and bio-based concepts for tomorrow's world are in demand! Source: http://www.leanoffice-evenburg.de/images/zeit%20fuer%20sw.png

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Time for change

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Increase the value added of innovative products and tap into new markets – light-weight construction materials, for example

The outcome: Customise paper for innovative areas of application

The challenge for paper

Source: Biesalski et al. WfP 2015

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Project management:

PTS

FENWIS GmbH = flight controller

Core team:

Depiction of the entire paper value chain:

suppliers, producers, converters

and researchers/developers

Duration:

01/2014 to 03/2015

Joint future project: “Fibre & Paper 2030”

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What? – Project goals:Shape a future with “paper”Anticipate tomorrow‘s requirements todayIdentify new markets with high value added

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Retropolation: systematically looking ahead into the future

today 2030 2050

Future visions of tomorrow and beyond

Documented premises

The currentsetting

“Looking back at tomorrow”

?

Tomorrow's needs

• New applications?• New materials?• New properties?• New business opportunities?

Source: FENWIS GmbH

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02.05.2023

The map of the future: looking back from the future

Retropolation

Trends

Overall picture:

• People

• Customers

• Markets

• Economy

• Technologies

• Environment

• Politics

• Society

Areas of activity

Businessmodels

Business plans

Strategy

Manage-ment

culture

Portfolio

Infra-structure

Training

…

Communication

Business today

Influencing variables

• Future markets• Customer’s

requirements• Need for

innovation• Research

themes• Competence

requirements• Business

models• Laws and

regulations

Food

Health & hygiene

Mobility

ICTE*

Logistics

Future city & architecture

Living & workingGeneral

boundary conditions

Thematic areas

= Corporate tasks

* ICTE = Information, Communication, Training and Expertise

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Source: FENWIS GmbH

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Joint activities on the path to 2030

Source: http://www.bauwelt.ch/sites/default/files/22159_1_chinmegastadt.jpg

Future city & architecture(Sound and climate control in homes, emergency shelters, building material systems, cultivation areas, energy storage systems, …)

Mobility(fibre-based light-weight construction for tomorrow‘s mobility, fireproof equipment, …)

Health & hygiene(Filters, smart dressing materials, implants, prostheses, ...

Living & Working(modular and convertible living room-style elements, functionalised wall coverings and partitions, …)

Food(modular greenhouses, fibre fleece as plant substrate, paper covers for separating arable farming areas, …)

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Premises 2050

Megacities are the most efficient living areas due to modern mobility concepts, energy efficiency and high land use

Buildings and infrastructure make a decisive contribution to local regenerative energy production (solar energy in photovoltaic systems on facades, wind energy, algae production in facades)

Self-cleaning and self-repairing materials prolong service life

Paper-related ideas• Fibre-based materials for thermal

insulation and soundproofing in houses and apartments

• Functionalised fibre-based exterior facades (e.g. with shielding properties, heating functions, …)

• Use of fibres as a building material in concrete, mortar, e.g. for weight reduction and enhanced insulation

Source: https://zukunft2050.files.wordpress.com/2011/10/smart-grid-zukunftsstadt-aus-film-pof_2_2009_34_still_megacity_turm.jpg

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Paper-related ideas in the thematic area Future city & architecture

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Paper as a building material? It works!

Bridge over the river Gardon, France (2007)

Cathedral, Christchurch, New Zealand (2013)

Emergency shelters,Kobe, Japan (1995)

Emergency shelters, Byumba Refugee Camp, Rwanda (1999)

Source: Shigeru Ban

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02.05.2023Source: Kevin Boyack, Dick Klavans, publ. 2006 W. Bradford Paley

Materials science as the interface between mathematics, applied physics, physical and organic chemistry, fluid mechanics and analysis

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Intersectoral networks dominate technological and scientific progress

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Networking activities aimed at implementing the results

Source: http://www.kilory.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/sharing.jpg

Functional & integration networks

Key technology networks

Future visions network

System/subsystem networks

Solutions networks

Application networks

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02.05.2023Source: Final Report Industrie 4.0, April 2013; Publ.. Promotor Group Communication of the Forschungsunion Wirtschaft – Wissenschaft e.V.

Industry 4.0

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What lessons can we learn?

1. The large global themes provide ample opportunity for innovations with paper. Arguments supporting this view are the advantageous material properties of paper and similar products on the one hand. On the other hand, large market volumes can evolve that are adapted to our industry.

2. We have to expand our materials science expertise by improved vocational education and training and create appropriate networks. We must reflect on the vertical range of manufacture in order to participate more from the total value added.

3. Industry 4.0 is creating new prerequisites and regional opportunities, and it is essential that we equip ourselves properly.

4. Our lobbying activities, in particular on behalf of small and medium-sized enterprises, must be intensified especially in the EU Commission, in the national ministries, in funding organisations and in new economic sectors.

5. We, with our range of products and solutions, are welcome if only we wish to be.

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02.05.2023

Prof. Dr. Frank MiletzkyPapiertechnische StiftungHess-Str. 134, 80797 MunichPirnaer Str.37, 01809 HeidenauGermany

Tel: +49 89 12146 184frank.miletzky@ptspaper.de

Thank you for your attention!

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