FEWS NET September 2018 Price Watch PRICE WATCH with ANNEX...• Staple commodity prices were mixed...
Transcript of FEWS NET September 2018 Price Watch PRICE WATCH with ANNEX...• Staple commodity prices were mixed...
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FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
PRICE WATCH September 2018 Prices October 31, 2018
KEY MESSAGES
• In West Africa, the 2017/18 marketing season is ending with favorable harvest prospects for 2018/19, as the rainy seasonconcluded in most countries. Early harvests along with release of carryover stocks from the previous year areprogressively revitalizing market supplies across the region. Month-to-month price variation is stable or declining atbelow last year’s levels. Prices remain above average. Insecurity-related market disruptions persist in the Greater LakeChad basin, northern and central Mali, and the Liptako-Gourma (Page 3).
• In East Africa, markets remain severely affected by insecurity and significant macro-economic challenges in Yemen, South Sudan, and Sudan disrupting market supplies. Deteriorating economic conditions in Ethiopia kept prices elevated. Maizeand sorghum prices were stable or declined because of the impending October-to-January harvest in Ethiopia, Kenya,South Sudan, and Sudan, and ample supplies in Tanzania, Uganda, and Somalia (Page 4).
• In Southern Africa, domestic maize supplies were at normal levels in September. Maize grain prices exhibited mixedtrends, which is typical in September as the lean season begins to approach. Maize grain was generally able to circulatebetween surplus and deficit areas, except for Zambia where restrictions on export permits resulted in negligible formalmaize grain exports compared to average levels. Export parity prices remain competitive in South Africa, encouragingexports to international markets (Page 5).
• In Central America, maize and bean market supplies arenear average and supported by the current Primeraharvest, carryover stocks, and imports. Maize pricesremained above average but seasonally decreased inSeptember in all countries except Nicaragua wheremarket disruptions from the ongoing political crisiscontinued to cause price increases. Bean prices werestable or decreasing and below average across theregion. In Haiti, local maize grain and local black beanprices were mixed across key reference markets whileimported rice and maize meal prices increased. TheHaitian gourde depreciated further against the USD(Page 6).
• Central Asia sustained adequate supplies andintraregional trade continues to fill local wheat deficits within the region. Kazakhstan and Pakistan are expected to have above-average upcoming wheat harvests while Afghanistan is expected to have below-average wheat production. Wheat prices remained stable and below-average in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest exporter (Page 7).
• International staple food markets remain well supplied. Rice, wheat and soybean prices decreased while maize priceswere mixed (Figure 2). Crude oil and global fertilizer prices strengthened further in September and remained above 2017levels (Page 2).
Figure 1. FEWS NET Country Coverage
Source: FEWS NET
Note: Market Watch countries are surplus-producing countries whose impact on global, regional, national, and/or local markets is included in FEWS NET
analysis.
FEWS NET monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.
PRICE WATCH October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 2
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
Current situation • International rice prices fell in September as prospects
remain positive for the main Asian crop, which is expected by the end of the year (InterRice). Rice prices dropped closer to their five-year average levels (Figure 2). Global rice supplies are close to average (Figure 3).
• Global maize prices eased across key reference markets in September but tightened in South Africa. U.S. and Chinese harvest progressed under favorable conditions, while concerns remained over dry conditions in Brazil, the Russian Federation, and parts of the E.U. (AMIS). Maize prices were above 2017 levels but remain below their five-year average levels (FAO and USDA).
• International wheat prices were stable or falling due to stronger export competition, particularly from the Russian Federation (FAO and IGC). Wheat prices were above-average levels as market availability remains adequate, despite tightening supplies (Figure 3).
• Global soybean prices eased marginally in September but remained above average amid expectations for record U.S. yields and bumper Brazilian crops (AMIS and IGC).
• International crude oil prices increased in September as market uncertainties persist despite increased OPEC crude oil production to offset decline in Venezuela and Iran (U.S. Energy Information Administration). Crude oil prices remain above 2017 and average levels. Global fertilizer prices increased further in September and remained above 2017 levels as supply levels were unable to support a steady rise in demand (AMIS).
Outlook • Strong carryover stocks and improved production will support satisfactory global rice supply, while trade is expected to
remain close to record levels observed in 2017 owing to firm demand from Asia and Africa (InterRice and AMIS).
• Global maize stocks are expected to tighten and could potentially push stock-to-use ratio to their lowest in five years. Trade is expected to remain firm as export demand stays strong (IGC and USDA).
• Global wheat production is expected to remain below previous year levels driven by weaker production in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Global wheat stocks are projected to fall for the first time since 2012 (World Bank and AMIS).
• Global soybean utilization is revised downward on subdued demand from China while stocks are revised sharply upwards on higher forecasts for Argentina and the U.S. (IGC and AMIS).
• International crude oil supply disruption risks remain high and could lead to greater price volatility over the coming months (U.S. Energy Information Administration). Global fertilizer prices are expected to continue strengthening from firm demand and higher energy costs (World Bank).
Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international markets, January 2012 – September 2018
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), World Bank
Figure 3. Global Market Indicators, 2018/19 compared to 2013-2017 average
Source: FEWS NET calculations based on USDA 2018
Staple food price trends across the countries monitored by FEWS NET will vary considerably in the coming months in response to local and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 2). Fuel price trends in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation to the U.S. Dollar, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.
PRICE WATCH October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 3
WEST AFRICA
Current situation • As the 2017/18 marketing season concludes in West Africa,
supplies of staple foods remain stable or slightly below average in the Sahel. Early green harvests, recent humanitarian interventions, and release of carryover stocks by traders, as encouraged by good harvest prospects, are gradually reinforcing market supplies.
• Household demand is decreasing, with the new harvest, at a normal seasonal level, except in Senegal where demand for legumes has increased due to a sustained demand and low stocks. Current demand is dominated by urban consumption and exports. Market activities and trade flows remained disrupted in the Greater Lake Chad basin, northern and central Mali, and the Liptako-Gourma area.
• In Nigeria, as the main harvest begins, supplies are increasing across surplus and deficit markets. Thus, with most households consuming own production, cereal prices are gradually declining compared to the previous month. Likewise, cowpea prices, which were trending upwards during much of the previous season, are also declining. Moderate imported rice price increases were recorded due to high demand and current limited local rice supply. Overall, although still above previous five-year average, most staple prices in Nigeria remain below last year’s levels (Figure 4).
• In the Sahel, prices are stable or have started their seasonal decrease with promising 2018/19 harvests. Price levels are, in general, closer or slightly below last year, but above average, except in Chad (Figure 5). Cash crop prices, such as cowpeas and groundnuts, are currently favorable for producers as they are elevated at above-average levels. In coastal countries, while tuber and cereal prices are generally below average, rice prices remain above average in urban areas (non-XOF countries) due to elevated imported rice parity prices and subsequent increased local rice demand.
• The pastoral situation in the Sahel is marked by abundant and above-average pasture and water point levels, except in localized Western basin zones affected by dry spells. Livestock market activities are average following Tabaski holiday. On the other hand, cattle prices remained substantially below average, especially in the Eastern basin, due to the persisting limited export opportunity to Nigeria.
Outlook • In the Sahel, market supplies will be strengthened as new harvests intensify. Demand will be average with seasonal
stocks’ replenishment by market actors. Prices will follow seasonal trends, below last season, where harvests were limited in most areas, but above average. Only institutional purchases could affect price variations, if not well distributed across time and space (e.g., the reported planned bidding in Burkina Faso was earlier than usual).
• In Nigeria, both market food supplies and household stocks will continue to increase substantially in the coming months. Hence, prices will continue to decline until the first quarter of 2019, except for maize prices, which could shift earlier with poultry demand. Localized insecurity and flooding that caused crop losses will limit supply in some areas and will lead to higher prices compared to other parts of the country.
Figure 4. Maize prices in Nigeria, change between September 2017 and September 2018
Source: FEWS NET
Figure 5. Sorghum prices in West Africa compared to five-year average levels
Source: FEWS NET
PRICE WATCH October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 4
EAST AFRICA
Current situation • In East Africa, staple food availability and price trends
varied in September (Figure 6 and Figure 7). Trends were driven by variations in local production and import conditions, as well as conflict and poor macro-economic conditions in countries like Sudan, South Sudan, and Yemen. Livestock prices remained stable at high levels.
• In surplus-producing Tanzania and Uganda, maize, sorghum, dry bean, and cassava prices remained stable or increased across most markets as supplies from the average May-to-August harvest started to tighten. Conversely, staple food prices decreased in surplus-producing areas of Somalia and in Kenya but remained stable in other areas of both countries.
• Staple commodity prices were mixed in both Sudan and Ethiopia. After increasing in previous months, sorghum and millet prices began to decline in most markets in Sudan with the imminent start of the November-to-January harvest. However, prices remained elevated due to worsening economic conditions, including currency depreciation and high inflation. In Ethiopia grain prices varied across the country depending on the start and availability of the October-to-January harvest supplies on markets.
• Prices of staple foods remained stable or began to decline across most markets in South Sudan due to the start of green harvest for the forthcoming October-to-February harvest, seasonal improvement in road conditions, and increased imports from Uganda at lower prices following gradual gains of the local currency against hard and regional currencies with expectations of peace after the recent agreements. In Yemen, the prices of wheat and flour remained elevated and stable or increased because of conflict-related currency depreciation, high inflation, and trade disruptions.
Outlook • Most staple grain commodity prices are expected to start
seasonally declining in October with the imminent or start of the October through January 2019 harvest. In Somalia, the prices are expected to start declining in December because of expectations of increased supply from the January harvest.
• Grain prices in Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya, and Somalia are expected to remain below average levels because of average-to-above average harvests. However, the prices are expected to remain higher than five-year average levels in Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Yemen because of persistent currency depreciation and or high inflation.
• Livestock prices are expected to follow seasonal trends and stabilize at elevated levels across most pastoral markets in the region due to favorable marketing conditions.
Figure 6. Maize prices in East Africa compared to average levels
Source: FEWS NET estimates based on FSNAU, Uganda Bureau of
Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of
Kenya, National Drought Management Authority (NDMA)., SIFSIA, WFP VAM.
Figure 7. Sorghum prices in East Africa compared to average levels
Source: FEWS NET estimates based on Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS), FSNAU, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and
Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), National Drought Management
Authority (NDMA).
PRICE WATCH October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 5
SOUTHERN AFRICA
Current situation • In Southern Africa, maize supplies were at normal levels in
the major markets although localized deficits remain in areas where 2018 production was below average. Formal and informal maize trade ensured the movement of surpluses to deficit areas within the region. In Madagascar, local rice supplies declined seasonally and were augmented with imported rice.
• Maize prices exhibited mixed trends across key reference markets in Southern Africa (Figure 8). Prices were generally above 2017 levels but exhibited mixed trends relative to the five-year average. In USD terms, maize grain prices were highest in Zimbabwe and Madagascar and lowest in South Africa and Tanzania (Figure 9). Prices were mixed for common substitutes such as maize meal, rice and cassava.
• In South Africa, maize supplies remained above average despite a downward revision of 2018 production estimates. Export parity prices for maize grain strengthened for a second consecutive year as fuel prices increased and the rand depreciated further against the U.S. dollar. In Zambia, maize prices exhibited mixed trends and were significantly above average following below average 2018 harvest. Formal maize grain exports remained negligible as the country prioritized stock build up for the Strategic Grain Reserve. As of September, the Food Reserve Agency had procured as estimated 30 percent of its 500,000 MT target. Informal maize grain exports fell roughly 45 percent from their month earlier levels while informal maize meal exports to the DRC were largely unchanged.
• In Zimbabwe, maize grain prices displayed mixed trends at up to 48 above 2017 price levels. Tanzania’s wholesale maize prices were mixed but remained about 50 percent below 2017 and 5-year average levels. In Malawi, maize grain prices were similarly mixed at close to 5-year average levels but were up to 58 percent above 2017 levels. In Mozambique, maize prices exhibited mixed trends and were up to 37 percent above their year earlier levels. Prices remained below their 5-year average levels. In Madagascar, rice prices increased seasonally and were above average levels while maize grain prices exhibited mixed trends. In the DRC, maize meal and cassava flour prices fell and were below their year earlier levels although prices remain significantly above 5-year average levels.
Outlook • Regional maize supply is likely to decline seasonally in October, reaching their lowest levels between January and March
2019. South Africa’s maize supply is expected to remain above average from strong carryover stocks and should satisfy needs in grain deficit countries. Zambia’s maize grain trade with grain deficit countries will likely weaken as the country prioritizes stock build up for the national grain reserve. Maize grain prices are expected to begin increasing in October 2018 and peak by February/March 2019. Prices are expected to remain significantly above 2017 levels but will be marginally above their 5-year average levels. Zambia may be the exception as prices are already significantly above average. In Madagascar, imported rice will continue to play an important role as supply of local rice declines seasonally, while prices will likely tighten further for both local and imported rice partly due to rising fuel prices.
Figure 8. White maize prices in selected markets (USD/kg)
Source: FEWS NET estimates based on data from SADC and
government ministries
Figure 9. Current maize prices in Southern Africa (USD/kg)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of
Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM) of Tanzania, Ministry of Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of
Zambia, SAFEX, WFP, OdR (Madagascar) and FEWS NET
PRICE WATCH October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 6
CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Current situation • In Central America, markets were well supplied with
maize and beans as the Primera harvest reached its peak in September. The harvest is estimated to be average production levels and will come to an end this month, following typical trends, in Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador but is expected to continue through October in Nicaragua. As of July, international import levels were also at average levels in all countries. Informal imports from Mexico continued to support supplies in Guatemala.
• After increasing for several months, maize prices seasonally decreased or were stable in most of the region in September with the arrival of increased supplies from the ongoing harvest to markets (Figure 10). One exception is Nicaragua where prices continued to atypically increase as a result of domestic trade flow disruptions caused by the country’s ongoing political crisis. Maize prices remained above average across the region, driven by increases in international commodity and fuel prices that has led to speculation.
• Bean prices generally seasonally declined in September and were lower than their respective five-year average levels across the region.
• In Haiti, markets were adequately supplied with both local and imported staple foods. Local maize and local black bean prices were mixed across key reference markets. For both staples, prices were falling in areas where early été season harvests had begun but tightened in areas where planting was still ongoing. Imported rice and maize meal prices increased in September. Nationally, staple food prices were above 2017 and 5-year average levels except for local black bean prices, which were on average below September 2017 levels. The Haitian gourde depreciated further against the U.S. dollar (Figure 11).
Outlook • In Central America, the Primera harvests will come to an
end in October across the region. The 2018 Postrera season is expected to start on time in November and produce an average harvest in all countries. Maize prices are expected to continue to seasonally decline in every country until December and remain above average. Bean prices will likely follow seasonal trends as well, remaining stable in October and November, and then begin to decline in December with the arrival of harvest supplies on markets.
• In Haiti, cereal imports are expected to fall from previous year levels but will remain satisfactory for the remainder of MY 2018/19. Economy wide inflationary pressures will likely remain in the coming months from the combination of a weaker currency, tighter global oil prices, and socio-political pressures. This will place upward pressures on the price for imported foodstuff including rice, wheat flour, maize meal and vegetable oil. The price of local staples, particularly maize and beans, are expected to ease in the coming months as été season harvests augment household stocks and overall supply. Staple food prices may tighten in parts of the Artibonite, Nord and Nord Ouest regions that experienced a magnitude 5.9 earthquake on October 6, 2018.
Figure 10. Maize percent price change from previous month, August to September 2018
Source: Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Alimentación
(MAGA/DIPLAN) de Guatemala, Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería de El Salvador y Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de
Honduras (SIMPAH), and Secretaria de Economia de México
Figure 11. Average national staple food prices and exchange rate in Haiti, January 2013 – September 2018
Source: FEWS NET / CNSA
PRICE WATCH October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 7
CENTRAL ASIA
Current situation • Regional availability and price trends varied
considerably across Central Asia with the progression of the 2017/2018 marketing year (MY) (Figure 12 and Table 1). As detailed in the Central Asia Regional Wheat Supply and Market Outlook, localized wheat deficits are expected to be filled through intra-regional trade.
• Wheat grain export prices in Kazakhstan, the region’s largest exporter, remained stable between August and September. Prices are 3.4 percent higher than September 2017 and 11.5 percent below the five-year average.
• In Tajikistan, wheat flour prices increased since June, mainly due to a reduction in the 2018 domestic output and a weakening of the national currency. However, in September 2018, prices were close to their September 2017 values, reflecting stable export prices from Kazakhstan and increased availability of relatively cheap locally produced wheat flour.
• In Lahore, Pakistan, wheat grain prices remained stable while wheat flour prices increased negligibly between August and September by 1.5 percent and decreased only 0.5 percent compared to the five-year average. Rice prices remained stable compared to last month, 2.2 percent higher compared to September 2017, and 3.4 percent higher than the five-year average.
• In Afghanistan, the average price of wheat flour (low quality) increased slightly by 3.4 percent compared to the previous month. The largest increase occurred in Jalalabad by (7.3 percent) and Kandahar (5.5 percent) due to a decrease of supply in source markets. The variation in all other main cities was within a normal range (-1.9 to 4.3 percent). Compared to September 2017, the current average price decreased slightly by 3.1 percent. Compared to the five-year average price for September, price decreased slightly by 4.3 percent.
Outlook • Regional availability and price trends are expected to continue to vary across Central Asia.
• As of July 12, 2018, official estimates from Kazakhstan place MY 2018/2019 wheat production at 14 million metric tons (MMT), 0.8 MMT less than MY 2017/2018. Kazakhstani wheat exports in MY 2018/2019 are forecast at 8.0 MMT, 0.5 MMT less than in MY 2017/2018 due to continuing difficulties meeting export contract quality requirements. As of May 1, 2018, Kazakhstan wheat stocks totaled 9.4 MMT, three percent higher than wheat stocks on May 1, 2017 (USDA/FAS).
• In Afghanistan, due to the below-average precipitation and above-average temperature, wheat production was below average. The cereal import requirements (mainly wheat) in the MY 2018/19 (July/June) were forecast at 3.3 MMT, eight percent higher than the previous year and more than 25 percent above the five-year average. Imported wheat and wheat flour are often blended with domestic wheat to improve its protein content (FAO GIEWS).
• In Tajikistan, due to the below-average precipitation, aggregate cereal production is estimated at 1.1 (MMT), well below the five-year average and the lowest level since 2011. The anticipated decline rests on expectations of lower wheat output, which is set at 700,000 tones, about 22 percent below the 2017 level and a ten-year low. Total cereal import requirements in MY 2018/19 are forecast at 1.23 MMT, about 20 percent higher than the low level of the previous year (FAO GIEWS).
Figure 12. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia
Source: WFP, VAM, APK Inform Agency, Kazakhstan
Table 1. Regional wheat availability and price trends
Country Status Local Availability Price Trends
Kazakhstan Exporter Above-average Below-average
Pakistan Exporter Above-average Above-average
Tajikistan Importer Below-average Above-average
Afghanistan Importer Below-average Above-Average
Source: FEWS NET estimates
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Bohicon Rice (5% Broken) Djibo Sorghum (White)
XOF 425.53 XOF 222.00
$0.76 $0.40
Come Maize Grain (White) Koudougou Maize Grain (White)
XOF 159.57 XOF 185.00
$0.28 $0.33
Rice (5% Broken) Millet (Pearl)
XOF 372.34 XOF 250.00
$0.66 $0.45
Cotonou Beans (White) Sorghum (White)
XOF 670.29 XOF 202.00
$1.19 $0.36
Maize Grain (White) Ouagadougou Gasoline
XOF 219.78 XOF 602.00
$0.39 $1.07
Rice (5% Broken) Maize Grain (White)
XOF 531.91 XOF 194.00
$0.95 $0.35
Malanville Gari Millet (Pearl)
XOF 348.21 XOF 256.00
$0.62 $0.46
Maize Grain (White) Refined Vegetable Oil
XOF 155.26 XOF 790.00
$0.28 $1.41
Parakou Maize Grain (White) Sorghum (White)
XOF 187.50 XOF 235.00
$0.33 $0.42
Rice (5% Broken) Whole milk powder
XOF 402.89 XOF 5450.00
$0.72 $9.70
Bobo Dioulasso Maize Grain (White) Pouytenga Maize Grain (White)
XOF 178.00 XOF 152.00
$0.32 $0.27
Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)
XOF 264.00 XOF 245.00
$0.47 $0.44
Sorghum (White) Sorghum (White)
XOF 213.00 XOF 160.00
$0.38 $0.28
Djibo Maize Grain (White) Solenzo Maize Grain (White)
XOF 219.00 XOF 157.00
$0.39 $0.28
Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)
XOF 220.00 XOF 196.00
$0.39 $0.35
FEWS NET
www.fews.net
-2 -4 16 ► ► ▲-8 -14 0 ▼ ▼ ►
-7 33 32 ▼ ▲ ▲2 3 9 ► ► ▲Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
-5 7 1 ► ▲ ►0 1 26 ► ► ▲
-3 1 11 ► ► ▲
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
-1 -5 18 ► ► ▲
-4 -4 -7 ► ► ▼-1 7 18 ► ▲ ▲
0 0 -1 ► ► ►
Benin
-3 - - ► - -
-4 4 13 ► ► ▲17 - - ▲ - -
0 -11 -12 ► ▼ ▼
Benin
2 - - ► - -
0 -3 15 ► ► ▲11 - - ▲ - -
0 3 22 ► ► ▲
Burkina Faso
0 0 0 ► ► ►
0 0 -10 ► ► ▼0 -20 2 ► ▼ ►
0 0 14 ► ► ▲3 -9 - ► ▼ -Benin
0 -6 19 ► ▼ ▲
▲ ▲Benin Burkina Faso
0 - - ► - -
▼ ▲Benin Burkina Faso
-16 - - ▼ - -
▼
West
Afr
ica
0 -6 14 ►
-6 8 17 ▼
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
0 0 -7 ► ►
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 1 September 2018 Prices October 31, 2018
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United
States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides prices
and price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices are final monthly average prices for September 2018.
Commodities included in the Annex are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed
in the same areas or fuel prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow
denotes an increase of five percent or greater. The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow
denotes price decreases that are five percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and
the five-year average. The “-“ symbol indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.
PRICE WATCH ANNEX
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Solenzo Sorghum (White) Bamako Rice (Gambiaca)
XOF 164.00 XOF 425.00
$0.29 $0.76
Abeche Millet (Pearl) Gao Millet (Pearl)
XAF 432.50 XOF 275.00
$0.77 $0.49
Sorghum (Red) Kayes Millet (Pearl)
XAF 179.10 XOF 300.00
$0.32 $0.53
Mongo Millet (Pearl) Koulikoro Millet (Pearl)
XAF 252.00 XOF 250.00
$0.45 $0.45
Moundou Millet (Pearl) Mopti Millet (Pearl)
XAF 212.67 XOF 250.00
$0.38 $0.45
Sorghum (Red) Segou Millet (Pearl)
XAF 126.67 XOF 225.00
$0.23 $0.40
Moussoro Maize Grain (White) Rice (Gambiaca)
XAF 274.00 XOF 400.00
$0.49 $0.71
Millet (Pearl) Sikasso Millet (Pearl)
XAF 277.00 XOF 250.00
$0.49 $0.45
Rice (5% Broken) Timbuktu Rice (Milled)
XAF 584.00 XOF 361.00
$1.04 $0.64
N'Djamena Maize Grain (White) Boghé Refined Vegetable Oil
XAF 248.00 MRU 35.00
$0.44 $0.98
Millet (Pearl) Refined sugar
XAF 268.00 MRU 20.00
$0.48 $0.56
Rice (5% Broken) Rice (100% Broken)
XAF 510.00 MRU 25.00
$0.91 $0.70
Rice (Milled) Rice (Milled)
XAF 474.00 MRU 22.00
$0.84 $0.62
Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (Taghalit, Mixed)
XAF 200.00 MRU 37.00
$0.36 $1.04
Sarh Millet (Pearl) Wheat Grain
XAF 185.33 MRU 13.70
$0.33 $0.38
Sorghum (Red) Magta-lahjar Refined Vegetable Oil
XAF 138.00 MRU 50.00
$0.25 $1.41
Bamako Millet (Pearl) Refined sugar
XOF 250.00 MRU 25.00
$0.45 $0.70
0 0 9 ► ► ▲
Mauritania
0 -11 6 ► ▼ ▲Mali
0 0 1 ► ► ►-15 -12 -25 ▼ ▼ ▼
8 22 13 ▲ ▲ ▲-8 -22 -24 ▼ ▼ ▼Chad
-1 52 75 ► ▲ ▲- -19 -9 - ▼ ▼
1 10 15 ► ▲ ▲- 0 5 - ► ►
3 2 18 ► ► ▲- 0 -2 - ► ►
-4 -15 -10 ► ▼ ▼
Chad Mauritania
- -12 -11 - ▼ ▼
0 -12 -6 ► ▼ ▼
Mali
- 1 -6 - ► ▼
- 15 17 - ▲ ▲
Mali
-3 -3 - ► ► -
0 -14 11 ► ▼ ▲-4 14 -8 ► ▲ ▼
0 8 15 ► ▲ ▲
Mali
-2 21 -1 ► ▲ ►Chad
-5 -4 16 ► ► ▲
Mali
-35 -32 -37 ▼ ▼ ▼
0 -9 14 ► ▼ ▲
Chad Mali
3 6 -10 ► ▲ ▼Chad
0 2 16 ► ► ▲
▲Mali
-1 10 -5 ► ▲ ►
0 -12 12 ► ▼-3 2 -4 ► ► ►
19 ► ► ▲Chad Mali
► ▲ ▲Burkina Faso Mali
84 121 87 ▲ ▲
▲
West
Afr
ica
0 6 8
▲ 0 0
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
-1 21 30 ► ▲
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
October 31, 2018
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
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9
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Magta-lahjar Rice (100% Broken) Ouallam Millet (Pearl)
MRU 35.00 XOF 350.00
$0.98 $0.62
Rice (Milled) Sabon Machi Cowpeas (Mixed)
MRU 28.00 XOF 241.00
$0.79 $0.43
Sorghum (Taghalit, Mixed) Tahoua Millet (Pearl)
MRU 50.00 XOF 268.00
$1.41 $0.48
Wheat Grain Sorghum (Mixed)
MRU 13.40 XOF 244.00
$0.38 $0.43
Agadez Millet (Pearl) Tillabéri Millet (Pearl)
XOF 302.00 XOF 290.00
$0.54 $0.52
Rice (5% Broken) Sorghum (Mixed)
XOF 500.00 XOF 276.00
$0.89 $0.49
Diffa Cowpeas (Mixed) Dandume Millet (Pearl)
XOF 313.50 NGN 110.52
$0.56 $0.31
Millet (Pearl) Rice (Milled)
XOF 207.00 NGN 227.53
$0.37 $0.63
Sorghum (Mixed) Sorghum (White)
XOF 181.00 NGN 119.27
$0.32 $0.33
Gaya Maize Grain (Mixed) Giwa Maize Grain (White)
XOF 218.00 NGN 100.62
$0.39 $0.28
Maradi Maize Grain (Mixed) Sorghum (White)
XOF 201.00 NGN 99.82
$0.36 $0.28
Millet (Pearl) Ibadan Bread
XOF 193.00 NGN 406.67
$0.34 $1.13
Sorghum (Mixed) Diesel
XOF 196.00 NGN 231.25
$0.35 $0.64
Niamey Maize Grain (Mixed) Gasoline
XOF 196.00 NGN 143.00
$0.35 $0.40
Millet (Pearl) Maize Grain (White)
XOF 279.00 NGN 102.88
$0.50 $0.28
Rice (5% Broken) Palm Oil (Refined)
XOF 450.00 NGN 466.66
$0.80 $1.29
Sorghum (Mixed) Sorghum (White)
XOF 260.00 NGN 136.56
$0.46 $0.38
3 -30 11 ► ▼ ▲-1 -6 4 ► ▼ ►
0 -22 25 ► ▼ ▲0 0 8 ► ► ▲
-22 -5 18 ▼ ► ▲-6 -3 9 ▼ ► ▲
0 -1 26 ► ► ▲-9 -17 -11 ▼ ▼ ▼Niger
2 40 40 ► ▲ ▲-6 -24 -10 ▼ ▼ ▼
-5 9 44 ► ▲ ▲
Niger
-21 -7 -4 ▼ ▼ ► Nigeria
0 -28 7 ► ▼ ▲-9 -16 -8 ▼ ▼ ▼
-17 -22 17 ▼ ▼ ▲-8 -6 -1 ▼ ▼ ►Niger Nigeria
-8 -21 24 ▼ ▼ ▲-30 -8 -18 ▼ ▼ ▼
3 13 - ► ▲ -
Niger Nigeria
-25 -18 -18 ▼ ▼ ▼
-18 -13 24 ▼ ▼ ▲-22 -27 -28 ▼ ▼ ▼
-7 0 11 ▼ ► ▲
Niger Niger
0 0 0 ► ► ►
-10 -1 10 ▼ ► ▲0 -3 -1 ► ► ►
-4 -19 -5 ► ▼ ►
Niger
-13 -1 -6 ▼ ► ▼
-9 -4 -2 ▼ ► ►
► ▼Niger
9 38 87 ▲ ▲ ▲
► -Mauritania Niger
0 7 24 ► ▲ ▲
▲
West
Afr
ica
0 2 - ►
- 0 -19 -
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
0 12 28 ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
10
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Ilela Millet (Pearl) Kaolak Millet
XOF 176.00 XOF 183.00
$0.31 $0.33
Sorghum (Mixed) Rice (100% Broken)
XOF 180.00 XOF 277.00
$0.32 $0.49
Kano Diesel Saint-Louis Millet
NGN 216.25 XOF 275.00
$0.60 $0.49
Gasoline Rice (100% Broken)
NGN 143.70 XOF 288.00
$0.40 $0.51
Groundnuts (Shelled) Tambacounda Millet
NGN 111.93 XOF 220.00
$0.31 $0.39
Maize Grain (White) (W) Ziguinchor Rice (100% Broken)
NGN 99.48 XOF 300.00
$0.28 $0.53
Millet (Pearl) (W)
NGN 107.58
$0.30
Sorghum (White) (W)
NGN 107.00
$0.30
Kaura Namoda Maize Grain (White)
NGN 93.84
$0.26
Sorghum (White)
NGN 117.14
$0.32
Lagos Yams
NGN 174.74
$0.48
Maiadua Millet (Pearl)
XOF 190.00
$0.34
Sorghum (Mixed)
XOF 188.00
$0.33
Saminaka Maize Grain (White)
NGN 75.42
$0.21
Sorghum (White)
NGN 106.30
$0.29
Dakar Millet
XOF 265.00
$0.47
Rice (100% Broken)
XOF 300.00
$0.53
Senegal
0 0 6 ► ► ▲
6 -3 5 ▲ ► ►
Nigeria
9 -28 0 ▲ ▼ ►
-16 -28 4 ▼ ▼ ►
Nigeria
-6 -3 9 ▼ ► ▲
-8 -10 -3 ▼ ▼ ►
3 -10 -14 ► ▼ ▼Nigeria
-3 -23 19 ► ▼ ▲
-13 -19 6 ▼ ▼ ▲Nigeria
1 -29 14 ► ▼ ▲
Senegal
-39 -17 24 ▼ ▼ ▲
0 5 6 ► ► ▲
Senegal
-16 -17 - ▼ ▼ -
1 -14 -1 ► ▼ ►-51 -53 -44 ▼ ▼ ▼
0 0 6 ► ► ▲
▲Nigeria Senegal
0 0 - ► ► -
14 -14 6 ▲ ▼2 22 - ► ▲ -
2 ► ► ►
► ▼ ▼Nigeria Senegal
-8 -17 - ▼ ▼
▼
West
Afr
ica
5 -29 -7
- 0 0
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
-12 -15 -9 ▼ ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
11
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Eldoret Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Bugesera Beans (Mixed)
KES 82.75 RWF 370.00
$0.83 $0.43
Maize Grain (White) (W) Maize Grain (White)
KES 18.00 RWF 251.00
$0.18 $0.29
Potatoes (Irish, White)
(W)
Rice (Milled)
KES 24.10 RWF 844.00
$0.24 $0.98
Sorghum (Red) (W) Kigali City Beans (Mixed)
KES 65.00 RWF 503.00
$0.65 $0.58
Kisumu Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Maize Grain (White)
KES 65.83 RWF 266.00
$0.66 $0.31
Maize Grain (White) (W) Rice (Milled)
KES 27.78 RWF 851.00
$0.28 $0.99
Potatoes (Irish, White)
(W)
Kigali City Beans (Mixed)
KES 26.88 RWF 355.00
$0.27 $0.41
Sorghum (Red) (W) Maize Grain (White)
KES 35.97 RWF 158.00
$0.36 $0.18
Kitui Potatoes (Irish, White)
(W)
Rice (Milled)
KES 55.00 RWF 798.00
$0.55 $0.93
Sorghum (Red) (W) Rubavu Beans (Mixed)
KES 60.00 RWF 401.00
$0.60 $0.47
Mombasa Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Maize Grain (White)
KES 56.14 RWF 187.00
$0.56 $0.22
Maize Grain (White) (W) Ruhengeri Beans (Mixed)
KES 23.33 RWF 450.00
$0.23 $0.52
Sorghum (Red) (W) Maize Grain (White)
KES 25.00 RWF 241.00
$0.25 $0.28
Nairobi Beans (Rosecoco) (W) Rice (Milled)
KES 76.75 RWF 988.00
$0.77 $1.15
Maize Grain (White) (W) Rusizi Maize Grain (White)
KES 24.00 RWF 229.00
$0.24 $0.27
Potatoes (Irish, White)
(W)
Rice (Milled)
KES 30.00 RWF 800.00
$0.30 $0.93
Sorghum (Red) (W) Baidoa Diesel
KES 40.22 SOS 22000.00
$0.40 $0.91
Somalia 0 22 3 ► ▲ ►-5 -31 -6 ► ▼ ▼
3 4 - ► ► -
Rwanda
8 69 12 ▲ ▲ ▲
-1 -55 - ► ▼ --15 -39 -28 ▼ ▼ ▼
-1 -1 - ► ► -4 -8 15 ► ▼ ▲Kenya
-15 -31 - ▼ ▼ --5 -42 -38 ► ▼ ▼
3 - - ► - -
Kenya
-2 -31 -24 ► ▼ ▼ Rwanda
-20 -61 - ▼ ▼ -6 -27 -18 ▲ ▼ ▼
0 - - ► - -
Kenya
0 -22 - ► ▼ - Rwanda
1 -3 - ► ► -19 150 - ▲ ▲ -
-25 -55 - ▼ ▼ -
Rwanda
1 -35 -11 ► ▼ ▼
-1 -21 - ► ▼ -30 92 -4 ▲ ▲ ►
0 1 - ► ► -
Kenya
-4 -48 -29 ► ▼ ▼
-12 -40 - ▼ ▼ --3 -21 -15 ► ▼ ▼
5 1 - ► ► -4 -7 10 ► ▼ ▲ Rwanda
3 4 - ► ► -
▼ -
17 51 36 ▲ ▲ ▲
▼ -Kenya Rwanda
-8 -59 -45 ▼ ▼ ▼
►
East
Afr
ica
0 -24 - ►
0 -41 - ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
-3 -16 4 ► ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
12
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Baidoa Gasoline Gadon Diesel
SOS 22000.00 SOS 22000.00
$0.91 $0.91
Maize Grain (White) Gasoline
SOS 4719.00 SOS 24000.00
$0.20 $1.00
Refined Vegetable Oil Refined Vegetable Oil
SOS 26750.00 SOS 40000.00
$1.11 $1.66
Rice (Parboiled) Rice (Parboiled)
SOS 15000.00 SOS 20000.00
$0.62 $0.83
Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (Red)
SOS 4000.00 SOS 16000.00
$0.17 $0.66
Beled Hawa Sorghum (Red) Galkayo Cowpeas (Red)
SOS 13000.00 SOS 36000.00
$0.54 $1.50
Beled Weyn Sorghum (Red) Rice (Parboiled)
SOS 5000.00 SOS 20000.00
$0.21 $0.83
Bossaso Rice (Parboiled) Sorghum (Red)
SOS 18000.00 SOS 12000.00
$0.75 $0.50
Buale Cowpeas (Red) Garowe Rice (Parboiled)
SOS 28250.00 SOS 18000.00
$1.17 $0.75
Maize Grain (White) Hargeisa Rice (Parboiled)
SOS 7475.00 SLS 6000.00
$0.31 $0.60
Burao Diesel Lugh Maize Grain (White)
SLS 7500.00 SOS 11000.00
$0.75 $0.46
Gasoline Sorghum (Red)
SLS 8000.00 SOS 9750.00
$0.80 $0.40
Maize Grain (White) Merka Cowpeas (Red)
SLS 6000.00 SOS 18975.00
$0.60 $0.79
Refined Vegetable Oil Mogadishu Cowpeas (Red)
SLS 10000.00 SOS 19000.00
$1.00 $0.79
Rice (Parboiled) Diesel
SLS 5000.00 SOS 14000.00
$0.50 $0.58
Sorghum (Red) Gasoline
SLS 4500.00 SOS 16000.00
$0.45 $0.66
El Dhere Cowpeas (Red) Maize Grain (White)
SOS 20000.00 SOS 5475.00
$0.83 $0.23
Somalia -13 -48 -34 ▼ ▼ ▼0 -56 -4 ► ▼ ►
10 3 -20 ▲ ► ▼-10 13 41 ▼ ▲ ▲
0 4 -25 ► ► ▼-17 0 0 ▼ ► ►
-3 -60 -24 ► ▼ ▼
Somalia
0 -23 -18 ► ▼ ▼ Somalia
-5 -47 - ► ▼ -0 20 40 ► ▲ ▲
-7 -25 -8 ▼ ▼ ▼
Somalia Somalia
-11 0 13 ▼ ► ▲
-12 -15 -10 ▼ ▼ ▼0 0 20 ► ► ▲
0 20 20 ► ▲ ▲
Somalia Somalia
3 36 18 ► ▲ ▲ Somalia
0 6 9 ► ▲ ▲-20 13 32 ▼ ▲ ▲
-14 -33 -5 ▼ ▼ ►
Somalia
6 14 23 ▲ ▲ ▲Somalia
0 0 16 ► ► ▲25 -50 -42 ▲ ▼ ▼
-5 -55 2 ► ▼ ►0 -19 -4 ► ▼ ►Somalia Somalia
0 -20 -11 ► ▼ ▼0 -49 -29 ► ▼ ▼
11 0 -2 ▲ ► ►0 0 6 ► ► ▲
0 -29 -28 ► ▼ ▼
▼ ▼
0 11 9 ► ▲ ▲
▼ ▼Somalia Somalia
-13 -40 -26 ▼ ▼ ▼
►
East
Afr
ica
0 -12 -14 ►
0 -20 -10 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
-6 10 -2 ▼ ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
13
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Mogadishu Refined Vegetable Oil Dongola Sorghum (Feterita)
SOS 19750.00 SDG 9.33
$0.82 $0.52
Rice (Parboiled) Wheat Grain
SOS 10500.00 SDG 20.67
$0.44 $1.15
Sorghum (Red) El Fasher Millet
SOS 5950.00 SDG 17.50
$0.25 $0.97
Qorioley Diesel Sorghum (Feterita)
SOS 19750.00 SDG 12.00
$0.82 $0.67
Gasoline Wheat Grain
SOS 19750.00 SDG 28.00
$0.82 $1.56
Maize Grain (White) El Obeid Millet
SOS 3250.00 SDG 23.42
$0.13 $1.30
Refined Vegetable Oil Sorghum (Feterita)
SOS 23500.00 SDG 11.69
$0.98 $0.65
Rice (Parboiled) Wheat Grain
SOS 15000.00 SDG 22.61
$0.62 $1.26
Sorghum (Red) Geneina Millet
SOS 4125.00 SDG 13.18
$0.17 $0.73
Togwajale Sorghum (White) Sorghum (Feterita)
SLS 3500.00 SDG 11.08
$0.35 $0.62
Ad Damazin Millet Nyala Millet
SDG 23.33 SDG 24.63
$1.30 $1.37
Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)
SDG 17.92 SDG 11.95
$1.00 $0.67
Wheat Grain Wheat Grain
SDG 31.67 SDG 25.00
$1.76 $1.39
Al Qadarif Millet Om Durman Millet
SDG 17.54 SDG 19.50
$0.98 $1.09
Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)
SDG 9.76 SDG 9.33
$0.54 $0.52
Wheat Grain Port Sudan Millet
SDG 22.80 SDG 25.83
$1.27 $1.44
Dongola Millet Sorghum (Feterita)
SDG 20.00 SDG 10.42
$1.11 $0.58
Sudan - 141 175 - ▲ ▲- 117 184 - ▲ ▲
11 164 275 ▲ ▲ ▲4 161 229 ► ▲ ▲ Sudan
-42 - - ▼ - --16 197 227 ▼ ▲ ▲
-3 95 150 ► ▲ ▲2 135 202 ► ▲ ▲Sudan Sudan
0 150 244 ► ▲ ▲20 153 321 ▲ ▲ ▲
2 124 229 ► ▲ ▲
Sudan Sudan
5 331 369 ► ▲ ▲
0 127 288 ► ▲ ▲10 126 241 ▲ ▲ ▲
- 30 171 - ▲ ▲
Sudan
0 -5 4 ► ► ►Somalia
- 94 243 - ▲ ▲18 -48 -41 ▲ ▼ ▼
17 170 275 ▲ ▲ ▲0 7 8 ► ▲ ▲
-9 159 207 ▼ ▲ ▲7 -2 -1 ▲ ► ►
21 164 261 ▲ ▲ ▲-8 -50 -34 ▼ ▼ ▼ Sudan
0 211 300 ► ▲ ▲7 16 -14 ▲ ▲ ▼
-5 82 155 ► ▲ ▲
Sudan
7 16 7 ▲ ▲ ▲Somalia
-28 99 198 ▼ ▲ ▲
▲ ▲
0 -36 -21 ► ▼ ▼
▲ ▲Somalia Sudan
-11 -2 -9 ▼ ► ▼
▼
East
Afr
ica
- 87 110 -
- 213 314 -
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
-4 -14 -14 ► ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
14
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Port Sudan Wheat Grain Beni Cassava Flour
SDG 23.33 CDF 699.90
$1.30 $0.44
Arua Cassava Chips Rice (Milled)
UGX 800.00 CDF 1491.65
$0.22 $0.94
Gulu Beans (K124/Nabe 4) Bukavu Cassava Flour
UGX 2200.00 CDF 587.50
$0.59 $0.37
Kampala Beans (Mixed) (W) Maize Meal
USD 0.49 CDF 833.00
$0.49 $0.52
Cooking Bananas Rice (Milled)
UGX 1085.38 CDF 1675.00
$0.29 $1.06
Maize Grain (White) Goma Cassava Flour
UGX 1362.50 CDF 770.83
$0.37 $0.49
Sorghum (Red) (W) Maize Meal
USD 0.14 CDF 602.56
$0.14 $0.38
Lira Beans (K124/Nabe 4) Rice (Milled)
UGX 2100.00 CDF 1512.50
$0.57 $0.95
Masindi Beans (Mixed) (W) Kabalo Rice (Milled)
USD 0.43 CDF 500.00
$0.43 $0.32
Maize Grain (White) (W) Lubumbashi Cassava Flour
USD 0.10 CDF 939.00
$0.10 $0.59
Sorghum (Red) (W) Maize Meal
USD 0.38 CDF 733.00
$0.38 $0.46
Mbarara Beans (K124/Nabe 4) Rice (Milled)
UGX 2125.00 CDF 1964.00
$0.57 $1.24
Cooking Bananas Uvira Cassava Flour
UGX 1076.00 CDF 1200.00
$0.29 $0.76
Soroti Millet (Finger) Maize Meal
UGX 1375.00 CDF 1130.00
$0.37 $0.71
Rice (Milled)
CDF 1250.00
$0.79
Ambovombe Dried Cassava
MGA 500.00
$0.15
Rice (Gasy)
MGA 1850.00
$0.56
-4 6 - ► ▲ -
43 - - ▲ - -Androy (CL)
Madagascar
25 - - ▲ - -
-6 - - ▼ - -
Democratic
Republic of Congo
6 -31 -12 ▲ ▼ ▼Uganda
50 - - ▲ - -46 -10 32 ▲ ▼ ▲
1 9 24 ► ▲ ▲24 -15 -11 ▲ ▼ ▼Uganda
8 13 24 ▲ ▲ ▲28 -35 -10 ▲ ▼ ▼
4 18 35 ► ▲ ▲
Uganda Democratic
Republic of Congo
-8 -59 -59 ▼ ▼ ▼ Democratic
Republic of Congo
0 - - ► - -5 -36 -44 ► ▼ ▼
-2 30 50 ► ▲ ▲17 -13 -8 ▲ ▼ ▼Uganda
-8 -28 9 ▼ ▼ ▲-26 -54 -50 ▼ ▼ ▼
-6 -15 50 ▼ ▼ ▲3 -19 0 ► ▼ ► Democratic
Republic of Congo
-7 29 48 ▼ ▲ ▲42 -13 9 ▲ ▼ ▲
-12 -16 24 ▼ ▼ ▲
Uganda Democratic
Republic of Congo
17 -34 -32 ▲ ▼ ▼Uganda
-16 -27 5 ▼ ▼ ►
- -Uganda
10 -13 -12 ▲ ▼ ▼
- -Sudan Democratic
Republic of Congo
0 -50 -31 ► ▼ ▼
-
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
-31 - - ▼
-3 - - ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
40 - - ▲ -
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
15
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Antananarivo Rice (Gasy) Lunzu Maize Grain (White)
MGA 2050.00 MWK 141.90
$0.62 $0.20
Rice (Milled) Rice (Milled)
MGA 1750.00 MWK 699.47
$0.53 $0.97
Antsirabe I (CL) Dried Cassava Mitundu Cassava
MGA 600.00 MWK 230.33
$0.18 $0.32
Rice (Gasy) Maize Grain (White)
MGA 1900.00 MWK 114.95
$0.57 $0.16
Fianarantsoa I Dried Cassava Rice (Milled)
MGA 500.00 MWK 715.37
$0.15 $0.99
Rice (Gasy) Mzuzu Cassava
MGA 1640.00 MWK 341.80
$0.49 $0.48
Mahajanga I (CL) Rice (Gasy) Maize Grain (White)
MGA 1700.00 MWK 110.13
$0.51 $0.15
Toamasina I (CL) Rice (Gasy) Rice (Milled)
MGA 1700.00 MWK 745.19
$0.51 $1.04
Toliara I (CL) Dried Cassava Nsanje Maize Grain (White)
MGA 600.00 MWK 144.45
$0.18 $0.20
Rice (Gasy) Salima Cassava
MGA 1750.00 MWK 294.47
$0.53 $0.41
Karonga Cassava Maize Grain (White)
MWK 76.71 MWK 120.06
$0.11 $0.17
Maize Grain (White) Rice (Milled)
MWK 99.61 MWK 588.81
$0.14 $0.82
Rice (Milled) Chókwe Cowpeas (Mixed)
MWK 556.55 MZN 50.20
$0.77 $0.84
Lilongwe Cassava Maize Grain (White)
MWK 389.07 MZN 17.14
$0.54 $0.29
Maize Grain (White) Rice (5% Broken)
MWK 156.12 MZN 50.00
$0.22 $0.83
Rice (Milled) Gorongosa Cowpeas (Mixed)
MWK 930.69 MZN 42.63
$1.29 $0.71
Lunzu Cassava Maize Grain (White)
MWK 399.48 MZN 10.88
$0.56 $0.18
Malawi - 5 -15 - ► ▼0 62 126 ► ▲ ▲
- 50 22 - ▲ ▲24 24 65 ▲ ▲ ▲ Mozambique
- 0 27 - ► ▲12 56 - ▲ ▲ -
- 72 22 - ▲ ▲
Mozambique
13 -35 - ▲ ▼ -Malawi
- 26 32 - ▲ ▲13 8 15 ▲ ▲ ▲
-22 2 - ▼ ► -
Malawi
3 -2 -31 ► ► ▼
-10 2 - ▼ ► --17 -6 -14 ▼ ▼ ▼
7 89 - ▲ ▲ -
Madagascar Malawi
0 0 - ► ► - Malawi
-5 21 -3 ► ▲ ►0 20 - ► ▲ -
-1 24 53 ► ▲ ▲
Madagascar
6 -11 - ▲ ▼ -Madagascar
1 29 - ► ▲ -6 -11 - ▲ ▼ -
29 5 - ▲ ► -
(CL)
Madagascar
6 3 - ▲ ► - Malawi
2 10 32 ► ▲ ▲- 67 - - ▲ -
-8 58 - ▼ ▲ -
Madagascar Malawi
12 9 - ▲ ▲ -
4 20 - ► ▲ -
▲ ▲
20 - - ▲ - -
▲ ►Average
Madagascar
Malawi
0 5 - ► ► -
-
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
2 30 0 ►
1 41 44 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
5 8 - ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
16
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Maputo Cowpeas (Mixed) Kasama Roller Maize Meal
MZN 26.84 ZMW 2.34
$0.45 $0.22
Diesel Kitwe Maize Grain (White)
MZN 64.66 ZMW 2.41
$1.08 $0.22
Maize Grain (White) Roller Maize Meal
MZN 17.14 ZMW 2.31
$0.29 $0.21
Maize Meal Lusaka Diesel
MZN 51.67 ZMW 12.01
$0.86 $1.11
Refined Vegetable Oil Maize Grain (White)
MZN 80.00 ZMW 2.04
$1.33 $0.19
Rice (5% Broken) Roller Maize Meal
MZN 50.00 ZMW 2.16
$0.83 $0.20
Nampula Cowpeas (Mixed) Mansa Maize Grain (White)
MZN 22.50 ZMW 1.78
$0.37 $0.16
Maize Grain (White) Roller Maize Meal
MZN 12.29 ZMW 2.44
$0.20 $0.23
Refined Vegetable Oil Mongu Maize Grain (White)
MZN 57.50 ZMW 2.02
$0.96 $0.19
Rice (5% Broken) Roller Maize Meal
MZN 42.50 ZMW 2.74
$0.71 $0.25
Chipata Maize Grain (White) Solwezi Maize Grain (White)
ZMW 1.52 ZMW 1.67
$0.14 $0.15
Roller Maize Meal Roller Maize Meal
ZMW 2.48 ZMW 2.44
$0.23 $0.23
Choma Maize Grain (White) Gwanda Maize Grain (White)
ZMW 2.00 USD 0.38
$0.18 $0.38
Roller Maize Meal Roller Maize Meal
ZMW 2.21 USD 0.50
$0.20 $0.50
Kabwe Maize Grain (White) Harare Diesel
ZMW 1.78 USD 1.28
$0.16 $1.28
Roller Maize Meal Gasoline
ZMW 2.13 USD 1.39
$0.20 $1.39
Kasama Maize Grain (White) Maize Grain (White)
ZMW 1.90 USD 0.34
$0.18 $0.34
17 31 8 ▲ ▲ ▲31 43 29 ▲ ▲ ▲Zambia
0 4 -1 ► ► ►
Zimbabwe
7 10 6 ▲ ▲ ▲
0 7 2 ► ▲ ►-6 7 5 ▼ ▲ ►Zambia
25 -23 -21 ▲ ▼ ▼
Zimbabwe
7 26 7 ▲ ▲ ▲
6 -17 -15 ▲ ▼ ▼44 80 45 ▲ ▲ ▲Zambia
-1 2 11 ► ► ▲
Zambia
9 36 16 ▲ ▲ ▲
0 5 2 ► ► ►0 37 2 ► ▲ ►Zambia
-9 4 9 ▼ ► ▲
Zambia
-11 -3 31 ▼ ► ▲
-9 -9 -5 ▼ ▼ ►5 2 3 ► ► ►
-1 11 9 ► ▲ ▲
Zambia
-28 37 -7 ▼ ▲ ▼
14 14 18 ▲ ▲ ▲-10 -25 -27 ▼ ▼ ▼Mozambique
1 15 6 ► ▲ ▲-9 -9 39 ▼ ▼ ▲
5 -8 4 ► ▼ ►
Zambia
0 -17 12 ► ▼ ▲
0 22 30 ► ▲ ▲
▲
-7 -8 30 ▼ ▼ ▲
0 18 15 ► ▲15 -6 -12 ▲ ▼ ▼
27 ► ▲ ▲Zambia
► ▲ ▲Mozambique Zambia
-3 25 62 ► ▲
►
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
-4 14 8
▲ 0 35
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
0 27 -4 ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
17
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Harare Roller Maize Meal San Jose Beans (Black) (W)
USD 0.50 USD 1.84
$0.50 $1.84
Masvingo Maize Grain (White) Beans (Red) (W)
USD 0.29 USD 2.16
$0.29 $2.16
Roller Maize Meal Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.48 USD 0.65
$0.48 $0.65
Refined sugar (W)
USD 1.05
$1.05
Ahuachapán Beans (Seda Red) (W)
USD 1.24
$1.24
Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.47
$0.47
La Unión Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.52
$0.52
San Miguel Beans (Seda Red) (W)
USD 1.18
$1.18
Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.47
$0.47
San Salvador Beans (Red)
USD 1.30
$1.30
Beans (Seda Red)
USD 1.54
$1.54
Maize Grain (White)
USD 0.55
$0.55
Rice (10% Broken)
USD 0.99
$0.99
San Vicente Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.47
$0.47
Santa Ana Beans (Seda Red) (W)
USD 1.24
$1.24
Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.49
$0.49
Usulután Beans (Seda Red) (W)
USD 1.26
$1.26
El Salvador -3 3 -21 ► ► ▼
-1 81 26 ► ▲ ▲
El Salvador 0 7 -15 ► ▲ ▼
-7 82 26 ▼ ▲ ▲El Salvador
0 0 -4 ► ► ►
0 32 14 ► ▲ ▲
0 1 -15 ► ► ▼
0 -3 -21 ► ► ▼El Salvador
-8 78 24 ▼ ▲ ▲
0 13 -16 ► ▲ ▼
El Salvador
El Salvador
0 86 24 ► ▲ ▲
-2 84 29 ► ▲ ▲
El Salvador 0 6 -15 ► ▲ ▼
-3 -3 -6 ► ► ▼
-2 -7 -9 ► ▼ ▼
► ▼Zimbabwe
0 4 -11 ► ► ▼
► ►Zimbabwe Costa Rica
0 26 -15 ► ▲ ▼
▼
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
-3 -4 3 ►
-2 -3 -13 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
0 19 -10 ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
18
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Usulután Maize Grain (White) (W) Hinche Maize Meal
USD 0.50 HTG 45.93
$0.50 $0.67
Chiquimula Beans (Black) Refined Vegetable Oil
GTQ 11.02 HTG 105.67
$1.46 $1.55
Maize Grain (White) Refined sugar
GTQ 3.59 HTG 102.88
$0.48 $1.51
Guatemala City Beans (Black) Rice (4% Broken)
GTQ 11.02 HTG 146.98
$1.46 $2.15
Diesel Wheat Flour
GTQ 6.07 HTG 42.90
$0.80 $0.63
Gasoline Jacmel Beans (Black)
GTQ 6.90 HTG 132.28
$0.91 $1.94
Maize Grain (White) Maize Meal
GTQ 3.31 HTG 44.09
$0.44 $0.65
Huehuetenango Beans (Black) Refined Vegetable Oil
GTQ 9.92 HTG 118.88
$1.32 $1.74
Maize Grain (White) Refined sugar
GTQ 2.93 HTG 88.19
$0.39 $1.29
Peten La Beans (Black) Rice (4% Broken)
GTQ 12.13 HTG 77.16
$1.61 $1.13
Maize Grain (White) Wheat Flour
GTQ 3.37 HTG 55.12
$0.45 $0.81
Cap Haitien Beans (Black) Jeremie Beans (Black)
HTG 124.70 HTG 88.55
$1.83 $1.30
Maize Meal Maize Meal
HTG 33.34 HTG 29.58
$0.49 $0.43
Refined Vegetable Oil Refined Vegetable Oil
HTG 105.67 HTG 118.02
$1.55 $1.73
Refined sugar Refined sugar
HTG 84.51 HTG 88.19
$1.24 $1.29
Rice (4% Broken) Wheat Flour
HTG 77.16 HTG 36.74
$1.13 $0.54
Hinche Beans (Black) Port-au-Prince Beans (Black)
HTG 102.88 HTG 91.86
$1.51 $1.34
Haiti Haiti -5 -9 4 ► ▼ ►0 0 9 ► ► ▲
0 -38 -14 ► ▼ ▼0 17 38 ► ▲ ▲
0 0 20 ► ► ▲0 -15 29 ► ▼ ▲
0 -1 11 ► ► ▲0 7 11 ► ▲ ▲
-7 -20 10 ▼ ▼ ▲0 1 -13 ► ► ▼
-8 -15 -3 ▼ ▼ ►10 -9 13 ▲ ▼ ▲Haiti Haiti
0 -29 -11 ► ▼ ▼22 35 - ▲ ▲ -
0 22 37 ► ▲ ▲-4 10 - ► ▲ -Terminal (North)
Guatemala
0 14 34 ► ▲ ▲-6 6 -3 ▼ ▲ ►
0 13 29 ► ▲ ▲3 -8 -9 ► ▼ ▼(Western)
Guatemala
0 33 46 ► ▲ ▲20 0 -4 ▲ ► ►
0 20 29 ► ▲ ▲1 13 1 ► ▲ ► Haiti
-2 6 17 ► ▲ ▲4 25 1 ► ▲ ►
167 174 - ▲ ▲Guatemala
▲
0 0 -1 ► ► ► -
▲ 0 -11 23 ► ▼
► ▲ ▲(Eastern)
Guatemala
-2 39 11 ► ▲
► ▲ ▲El Salvador Haiti
0 0 4 ► ►
▲
0
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
0 56 41
► 1 31 18
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
-7 83 28 ▼ ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
19
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Port-au-Prince Maize Meal Mexico City Maize Grain (White) (W)
HTG 33.99 MXN 6.33
$0.50 $0.33
Refined Vegetable Oil Refined Vegetable Oil (W)
HTG 105.67 MXN 23.33
$1.55 $1.23
Refined sugar Refined sugar (W)
HTG 82.67 MXN 12.82
$1.21 $0.67
Rice (4% Broken) Rice (10% Broken) (W)
HTG 73.49 MXN 16.45
$1.08 $0.87
Wheat Flour Managua Beans (Red) (W)
HTG 45.75 NIO 28.76
$0.67 $0.91
Choluteca Beans (Red) (W) Beans (Tinto) (W)
HNL 19.84 NIO 27.70
$0.83 $0.87
Maize Grain (White) (W) Maize Grain (White) (W)
HNL 9.37 NIO 19.54
$0.39 $0.62
Comayagua Beans (Red) (W) Rice (4% Broken) (W)
HNL 19.01 NIO 29.38
$0.80 $0.93
Maize Grain (White) (W) Sorghum (White) (W)
HNL 10.39 NIO 13.89
$0.44 $0.44
Siguatepeque Beans (Red) (W)
HNL 20.39
$0.86
Maize Grain (White) (W)
HNL 10.86
$0.46
Tegucigalpa Beans (Red)
HNL 22.35
$0.94
Maize Grain (White)
HNL 10.31
$0.43
Rice (4% Broken)
HNL 20.17
$0.85
Mexico City Beans (Black) (W)
MXN 20.00
$1.05
Beans (Red) (W)
MXN 16.50
$0.87
Eggs (Fresh, White) (W)
MXN 21.00
$1.10
1 -5 -1 ► ► ►
Mexico
2 -21 -6 ► ▼ ▼
0 -12 23 ► ▼ ▲
2 2 -1 ► ► ►
2 47 14 ► ▲ ▲
-4 22 -13 ► ▲ ▼Honduras
6 - - ▲ - -
-4 - - ► - -Honduras
1 20 30 ► ▲ ▲0 - - ► - -
0 3 10 ► ► ▲-8 - - ▼ - -Honduras
14 150 74 ▲ ▲ ▲-3 47 5 ► ▲ ►
-7 24 -6 ▼ ▲ ▼
Nicaragua
-9 6 -14 ▼ ▲ ▼Honduras
-6 27 -6 ▼ ▲ ▼0 0 16 ► ► ▲
1 10 19 ► ▲ ▲14 33 52 ▲ ▲ ▲
-4 -21 10 ► ▼ ▲
► ▲
0 0 32 ► ► ▲
▲ ▲Haiti Mexico
0 0 14 ► ► ▲
►
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
4 7 16 ►
2 2 15 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
-10 -26 -2 ▼ ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
20
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Faizabad Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 56.88 AFN 24.08
$0.76 $0.32
Wheat Grain
AFN 26.00 AFN 25.03
$0.35 $0.34
Wheat Grain Maimana Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 22.96 AFN 42.00
$0.31 $0.56
Hirat Diesel
AFN 45.00 AFN 22.75
$0.60 $0.31
Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain
AFN 75.00 AFN 20.00
$1.01 $0.27
Rice (Low Grade) Mazar-e-Sharif Diesel
AFN 36.40 AFN 46.75
$0.49 $0.63
Refined Vegetable Oil
AFN 23.75 AFN 77.75
$0.32 $1.04
Wheat Grain Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 19.55 AFN 43.00
$0.26 $0.58
Jalalabad Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 34.00 AFN 22.75
$0.46 $0.31
Wheat Grain
AFN 25.75 AFN 20.00
$0.35 $0.27
Wheat Grain Nili Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 23.88 AFN 71.00
$0.32 $0.95
Kabul Diesel
AFN 52.00 AFN 29.75
$0.70 $0.40
Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain
AFN 71.50 AFN 28.00
$0.96 $0.38
Rice (Low Grade) Karachi Rice (Long Grain, Basmati)
AFN 58.00 PKR 83.05
$0.78 $0.67
Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)
AFN 24.25 PKR 53.73
$0.33 $0.44
Wheat Grain Wheat Flour
AFN 24.50 PKR 43.89
$0.33 $0.36
Kandahar Rice (Low Grade) Wheat Grain
AFN 34.15 PKR 37.50
$0.46 $0.30
Afghanistan 1 7 7 ► ▲ ▲3 7 12 ► ▲ ▲
8 3 ► ▲ ►
▲
4 2 5 ► ► ► 1
► 1 17 7 ► ▲
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
4 10 2 ► ▲
3 12 12 ► ▲ ▲0 -3 7 ► ► ▲ Pakistan
0 0 -7 ► ► ▼0 -11 -12 ► ▼ ▼
3 -1 -11 ► ► ▼
Afghanistan
0 13 4 ► ▲ ►
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
Afghanistan
0 6 9 ► ▲ ▲6 4 10 ▲ ► ▲
0 0 -2 ► ► ►
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
7 7 6 ▲ ▲ ▲
3 8 -3 ► ▲ ►0 3 -8 ► ► ▼
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
Afghanistan
0 5 9 ► ► ▲10 4 6 ▲ ► ▲
3 0 1 ► ► ►
Afghanistan
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
3 6 -6 ► ▲ ▼
1 6 -3 ► ▲ ►-2 14 28 ► ▲ ▲
-13 -8 ► ▼ ▼
▼Afghanistan
2 -2 3 ► ► ► 0
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
3 3 -15 ► ►
► ► ►Afghanistan
7 0 -6 ▲ ►
► ►
0 0 3 ► ► ►
► ► 6 -3 -4 ▲
► ► ►Afghanistan Afghanistan
Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
-2 -4 -3 ►
▲
Cen
tral A
sia
Kandahar Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
5 -3 -3
0 5 2
▼
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Cen
tral A
sia
2 2 17 ► ►
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
21
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Lahore Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)
PKR 57.00
$0.46
Wheat Flour Gulf of Mexico Maize
PKR 38.54 United States (Yellow No. 2)
$0.31 USD 0.16
Wheat Grain $0.16
PKR 34.00 Randfontein Maize
$0.28 South Africa (Yellow)
Multan Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) (SAFEX) ZAR 2.42
PKR 87.50 $0.16
$0.71 Maize
Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) (White)
PKR 51.25 ZAR 2.38
$0.42 $0.16
Wheat Flour Up River Maize
PKR 37.00 Argentina ARS 6.13
$0.30 $0.16
Wheat Grain
PKR 32.56
$0.26
Peshawar Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) Bangkok Rice
PKR 82.33 Thailand (100% B)
$0.67 THB 13.89
Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) $0.43
PKR 59.90 Rice
$0.49 (A1 Super)
Wheat Flour THB 11.45
PKR 39.17 $0.35
$0.32 Hanoi Rice
Wheat Grain Vietnam (5% broken)
PKR 35.00 VND 9,616
$0.28 $0.38
Quetta Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)
PKR 50.00
$0.41
Wheat Flour Gulf of Mexico Sorghum (Yellow No. 2)
PKR 40.00 United States USD 0.17
$0.32 $0.17
Gulf of Mexico Soybeans
United States USD 0.29
$0.29
Caribbean Sugar (Raw)
(Average) USD 0.25
$0.25
► ►
SORGHUM
SOYBEANS
SUGAR
▲ ▼
RICE
-1 6 3 ► ▲ ►
MAIZE
-4 11 -6 ► ▲ ▼
4
3 -21 -30 ► ▼ ▼
-4 36 27 ► ▲ ▲
0 0 -6 ► ► ▼0 0 0 ► ► ►
0 0 3 ► ► ►Pakistan
-4 1 4 ►0 9 3 ► ▲ ►
0 4 0 ►
0 8 1 ► ▲ ►
► ►
17 26 27 ▲ ▲ ▲
0 12 12 ► ▲ ▲Pakistan
0 8 1 ► ▲ ►
-5 7 -8 ▼ ▲ ▼0 8 -1 ► ▲ ►
5 30 -8 ▲-1 28 24 ► ▲ ▲
24 2 ► ▲
0 9 17 ► ▲ ▲Pakistan
►
1 8 -1 ► ▲ ►
Pakistan
1 4 0 ► ► ►
►
Inte
rnati
on
al
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Cen
tral A
sia
0 0 -4 ► ►
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
22
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 31, 2018
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Saryagash Milling Wheat
Kazakhstan KZT 64.10
$0.18
Black Sea Milling Wheat
(Average) USD 0.22
$0.22
Eastern States Wheat
Australia (ASW)
(standard) AUD 0.41
$0.29
Gulf of Mexico Wheat
United States No. 2, Hard Red Winter
USD 0.24
$0.24
Gulf of Mexico Wheat
United States No. 2, Soft Red Winter
USD 0.20
$0.20
Randfontein Wheat Grain
South Africa ZAR 4.36
(SAFEX) $0.30
Rouën Wheat
France (Grade 1)
EUR 0.20
$0.24
St. Lawrence Wheat
Canada (CWRS)
CAD 0.34
$0.26
Up River Wheat
Argentina (Trigo Pan)
ARS 8.99
$0.23
WTI Crude Oil*
United States USD 70.21
$70.21
Brent Crude Oil*
Northern Sea USD 78.86
$78.86
Dubai Crude Oil*
Persian Gulf USD 77.02
$77.02
*reported in $/bbl
► ►
-3 29 2 ► ▲ ►
▲ ►
-3 25 16 ► ▲ ▲
▲ ▲
-3 27 2 ► ▲ ►
WHEAT
7 43 10 ▲ ▲ ▲
8 43 10 ▲ ▲ ▲
3 41 3 ► ▲ ►
CRUDE OIL
0 -1 0 ►
3 5 12 ► ▲ ▲
-6 22 4 ▼
-4 36 27 ►
-3 19 8 ► ▲ ▲
3 12 34 ► ▲ ▲
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Inte
rnati
on
al
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
______________________________
23
FEWS NET
www.fews.net
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 September 2018 prices October 31, 2018
We
st A
fric
a
Figure 1. Millet prices in West Africa (2012 - 2018) Figure 2. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2012 - 2018)
Figure 3. Maize prices in West Africa (2012 - 2018) Figure 4. Rice prices in West Africa (2012 - 2018)
East
Afr
ica
Figure 5. Dry bean prices in East Africa (2012 - 2018) Figure 6. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2012 - 2018)
Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System
market (SIM) in Senegal and FEWS NET.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides
prices trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all
reported prices are retail.
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
____________________* imported rice
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Moundou, Chad Solenzo, Burkina FasoSegou, Segou centre, Mali Maradi, NigerKaolak, Senegal
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Maradi, Niger Moundou, Chad
Segou, Segou centre, Mali Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
Kano, Nigeria (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Bol, Chad Malanville, Benin
Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso Kano, Nigeria (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Bamako, Mali Dakar, Tilène, Senegal
Monrovia, Red Light, Liberia
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Kigali City, Rwanda
Eldoret, Kenya (W) Masindi, Uganda (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Al Qadarif, Sudan Baidoa, Somalia
Kampala, Uganda (W) Juba, South Sudan
USD/kg
*
*
PRICE WATCH ANNEX
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
Figure 11. Imported rice prices in Southern Africa (2012 - 2018)
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
25
Figure 9. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2012 - 2018) Figure 10. Bean and cowpea prices in Southern Africa (2012 - 2018)
East
Afr
ica
Figure 7. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2012 - 2018) Figure 8. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2012 - 2018)
October 2018
Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of
Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM
Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Observatoire
du Riz of Madagascar, Ministry of Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.
____________________* dry beans** cowpeas
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Lilongwe, Malawi Lusaka, Zambia
Harare, Zimbabwe Maputo, Mozambique
Mbeya, Tanzania (W) Randfontein, South Africa
USD/kgUSD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Dodoma, Tanzania (W)
Maputo, Mozambique Nampula, Mozambique
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W)Eldoret, Kenya (W) Kampala, Uganda (W)Qorioley, Somalia Songea, Tanzania (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Jamame, SomaliaJijiga, Ethiopia Juba, South SudanNairobi, Kenya (W)
USD/kg
* *
** **
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Maputo, Mozambique National Average, Madagascar
USD/kg
PRICE WATCH ANNEX October 2018
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 26
Cen
tral A
sia
Figure 16. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (2011 - 2018) Figure 17. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2011 - 2018)
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
Figure 14. Imported Rice Prices in Haiti (2011 - 2018) Figure 15. Black bean prices in Haiti (2011 - 2018)
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
Figure 12. White maize prices in Central America (2011 - 2018) Figure 13. Dry bean prices in Central America (2011 - 2018)
**
****
*
Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria
(DGEA), Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion
de Guatemala (MAGA).
____________________* black beans** red beans
Sources of prices in Central Asia: Afghanistan, WFP and FEWS NET.
0.00
0.40
0.80
1.20
1.60
2.00
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Guatemala City, Guatemala (W) Managua, NicaraguaSan Salvador, El Salvador San Jose, Costa Rica (W)Tegucigalpa, Honduras
USD/kg
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Guatemala City, Guatemala Managua, Nicaragua (W)
San Salvador, El Salvador Mexico City, Mexico (W)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, Haiti
Jacmel, Haiti Jérémie, Haiti
Port-au-Prince, Haiti
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Dushanbe, Tajikistan Kabul, Afghanistan
Lahore, Pakistan Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan
Saryagash, Kazakhstan
USD/kg
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Jan
-12
Ap
r-1
2Ju
l-1
2O
ct-1
2Ja
n-1
3A
pr-
13
Jul-
13
Oct
-13
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8
Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan Kabul, Afghanistan
Faizabad, Afghanistan National Average, Tajikistan
USD/kg
**
* ****