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FEWS NET Price Watch August 2020 Prices...There was also significant crossborder export -demand in...
Transcript of FEWS NET Price Watch August 2020 Prices...There was also significant crossborder export -demand in...
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FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
PRICE WATCH August 2020 Prices September 30, 2020
KEY MESSAGES
• In West Africa, market supplies were seasonally low in September during the lean season when household market reliance reaches its peak. Insecurity-related market disruptions persist in the Greater Lake Chad basin, the Tibesti region, and the Liptako-Gourma region. Coarse grain prices increased between July and August in the Sahel and were above average in areas experiencing deficit and trade flow disruptions. Food prices continued to increase atypically in Nigeria amidst reduced market supplies and macroeconomic downturn. Livestock market activities were below average throughout the region due to limited exports and/or insecurity, which has affected market access (Page 3).
• In East Africa, staple food price trends varied across the region. COVID-19 related movement restrictions continued to contribute to some atypical supply, demand, and price patterns. Maize prices declined in surplus-producing Uganda and Tanzania and in Kenya with the progression of May-to-August harvests and in a context of weak regional demand. Prices remained stable at elevated levels or increased seasonally in Ethiopia, South Sudan, Burundi, and Sudan as stocks tightened ahead of October-to-December harvests. Livestock prices remained stable at elevated levels due to good animal body conditions (Page 4).
• In Southern Africa, markets were well supplied with maize as the 2020/21 marketing year progressed in most countries of the region. Prices were stable or varied seasonally in many countries. South Africa continued exporting maize to structurally-deficit countries of the region, notably to Zimbabwe where local production deficits coupled with deteriorating macroeconomic conditions have led to persistently increasing prices. Zambia maintained a ban on formal maize exports but continued exporting via informal channels due to favorable prices in neighboring countries (Page 5).
• In Central America, maize and bean supplies were above average in August, supported by ongoing 2020 Primera season harvests as well as imports. Maize and bean prices were stable or decreasing on average. Bean prices exhibited mixed trends relative to 2019 levels. In Haiti, local and imported staple food supplies were at average to below-average levels in August. The Haitian gourde maintained relative stability against the USD (Page 6).
• In Central Asia, wheat prices were stable or decreasing on average in Afghanistan and Kazakhstan while wheat prices exhibited mixed trends in Pakistan. In Yemen, the broader conflict and macroeconomic context continued to disrupt overall market functioning and food access with staple food and fuel prices remaining above average (Page 7).
• International staple food markets are well supplied. Rice, wheat, and soybean prices were stable or increasing while maize prices exhibited mixed trends in August (Figure 2). Global crude oil prices increased further for a fourth consecutive month, although at a slower pace as economies continue to reopen. Global fertilizer prices similarly increased in August (Page 2).
Figure 1. FEWS NET market monitoring country coverage
Source: FEWS NET
FEWS NET monitors trends in staple food prices in countries at risk of food insecurity. The Price Watch provides an update on market and price trends in selected reference markets. Specific trends for key reference markets and commodities are available in the Price Watch Annexes 1 and 2. FEWS NET gratefully acknowledges partner organizations, ministries of agriculture, national market information systems, the Regional Agricultural Intelligence Network, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the World Food Programme (WFP), and others for their assistance in providing price data.
PRICE WATCH September 2020
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 2
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
Current situation (August 2020) • International rice prices were stable or increasing in
August on seasonally tighter supplies (InterRice). Prices were on average above pre-COVID-19 levels. Rice prices were above August 2019 and five-year average levels (Figure 2).
• Global maize price trends were mixed in August, increasing in Argentina and South Africa on strong export demand and decreasing in the U.S. Maize prices were below August 2019 and five-year average levels (FAO).
• International wheat prices increased marginally in August, as crop conditions remained mixed for the E.U., Russia and Ukraine (FAO and USDA). Wheat prices exhibited mixed trends relative to August 2019 and five-year average levels.
• Global soybean prices were stable or increasing in August on concerns over potential weather induced damage to U.S. crop (AMIS and IGC). Soybean prices were above August 2019 levels but remained close to five-year average levels.
• International crude oil prices increased moderately in August as global consumption continues to recover, while prices remained below average levels (U.S. Energy Information Administration). Global fertilizer prices were stable or increasing in August as energy markets recover and economies continue to reopen. Prices remained below August 2019 and five-year average levels (AMIS and WB).
Outlook (September 2020 onward) • Global rice production to increase year on year on
expectations for larger crop in China, Southeast Asia and the U.S. Rice production will continue to outpace consumption levels (Figure 3). Rice prices to remain above average levels in 2020 and increase marginally in 2021 (InterRice and WB).
• Global maize production is projected to increase in MY 2020/21 and exceed consumption for the first time in four years. Maize prices to remain below average levels in 2020 and increase marginally in 2021 (IGC and WB).
• Global wheat production is expected to increase in MY 2020/21 on expectations for larger crops in Australia and Canada. Wheat prices to remain below average levels in 2020 and increase marginally in 2021 (USDA and WB).
• Global soybean production is projected to increase above record set in 2018/19 while consumption will remain modest. Soybean prices to remain below average levels in 2020 and increase marginally in 2021 (USDA and WB).
• Crude oil inventories to fall through the end of 2021. High inventory levels and surplus production capacity to limit upward price pressures in the coming months (U.S. Energy Information Administration). Global fertilizer demand is expected to decline in 2020 while prices will likely follow energy market trends (AMIS and WB).
Figure 2. Food commodity prices in selected international markets, January 2014 – August 2020
Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO),
World Bank.
Figure 3. Global Market Indicators, 2020/21 compared to 2015-2019 average
Source: FEWS NET calculations based on USDA data
Staple food price trends across the countries monitored by FEWS NET will vary considerably in the coming months in response to local and regional market conditions; international market trends will play a more limited role in most countries (Figure 2). Fuel price trends in FEWS NET countries will depend on both international market conditions, the evolution of local exchange rates in relation to the USD, and the design and implementation of local fuel import and price policies.
PRICE WATCH September 2020
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 3
WEST AFRICA
Current situation (August 2020) • Market supplies were below average in deficit areas due to
below-average stocks, border restrictions, and limited trade flows from surplus-producing areas. August was marked by torrential rains and flooding in several countries, disrupting supply routes. Additionally, trade flows were disrupted between Mali and neighboring countries, following ECOWAS-led border closure after the coup d’état. Market functioning and access remained hampered by persisting insecurity in the Greater Lake Chad basin, the Liptako-Gourma region, the Tibesti region.
• Market demand increased seasonally across the region with typically elevated household reliance on markets, trader re-stocking, and the expansion of cash assistance programs. There was also significant cross-border export demand in the Central Basin from import-dependent Niger.
• In Nigeria, despite the easing of COVID-19 related restrictions, there was a reduction in market supply in August, as trader stocks depleted to below-average levels, while demand remained above average. Insecurity persisted in the northeast and conflict and banditry persisted in the northwest and central north, limiting food availability. The value of the NGN remained low and annual inflation reached 13 percent, the highest in over two years (NBS). There were also increases in the cost of fuel and electricity. Together, these factors contributed to additional transaction costs for goods and services, including staple food prices, which rose again sharply in August are well above above-average (Figure 4).
• In the Sahel, grain prices increased between July and August, especially in Niger and parts of Chad (Figure 5). Above-average prices were observed in areas affected by deficits and trade disruptions like Niger, Senegal, and Chad. In coastal countries, local and imported rice prices remained above average due to the macroeconomic downturn, especially in Liberia and Sierra Leone. In Cameroon, prices for most locally produced staple foods stabilized or decreased compared to previous months. However, prices remained above average in urban areas due to COVID-19 related restrictions, in the northwest and southwest due to conflict, and in the far north due to atypical stock depletion.
• Livestock market activities have declined since the Tabaski period in July due to limited exports and/or insecurity affecting market access. As a result, livestock prices have declined significantly since July. Cattle prices are below average.
Outlook (September 2020 onward) • In the Sahel, market supplies will remain sufficient until the end of the lean season and will increase with harvests from
September/October onward as traders and households release of stocks. Prices will decrease seasonally, but to a lesser extent compared to average as traders and institutions replenish their stocks. Prices will be above 2019 levels throughout the Sahel, and above average in areas experiencing deficits and/or limited domestic or cross border trade flows.
• In Nigeria, COVID-19 restrictions are expected to ease further, which will likely improve market supplies and trade flows, However, prices are expected to remain above average due to above average demand and persistent disruptions from the macroeconomic downturn and/or insecurity and conflict.
Figure 4. August 2020 imported rice prices in Nigeria compared to the five-year average (% change)
Source: FEWS NET
Figure 5. August 2020 millet prices in West Africa compared to the previous month (% change)
Source: FEWS NET
PRICE WATCH September 2020
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 4
EAST AFRICA
Current situation (August 2020) • Market and price trends varied across East Africa in August
(Figure 6 and Figure 7). Maize prices followed seasonal declining trends in Tanzania, Uganda, and Somalia because of increased supply from recent or ongoing harvests coupled with weak regional demand. Prices increased and stocks tightened seasonally in Sudan, South Sudan, Burundi and Ethiopia. Livestock prices remained elevated. Regional currencies have depreciated persistently in many countries of the region in recent years, both in terms of the official and parallel exchange rates. These trends put upward pressure on the cost of imported goods and contribute to the overall inflationary context observed in many parts of the region.
• COVID-19 related movement restrictions continue to have direct and indirect market impacts across the region. In Uganda, while many businesses have re-opened, activities have not fully resumed. Border screening delays and the availability of internationally imported maize in Kenya has slowed trade activities and led to some reduced regional demand. Locally produced maize and sorghum prices declined seasonally following June-to-July harvests in Somalia, trends that were supported by imports from Ethiopia. However, prices were stable in the main producing Baidoa and Qoryoley markets due to strong demand in the marketing basins they serve.
• Sudan is facing multiple market shocks this year. The 2019/20 import gap was above average. The global oil price slump has affected export earning opportunities and contributed to the persistent depreciation of the SDG and increasing the relative cost of imports. Local and imported commodity prices were already at elevated levels and increased further in August with the progression of the lean season. Typical rainy season price increases were accentuated in South Sudan because of relatively low pre-stocking linked to COVID-19 related movement restrictions earlier in the year. Prices were relatively stable in Juba in August due to ample supplies from neighboring Uganda. Prices remained stable at elevated levels in Ethiopia at the peak of the June-to-September lean season. In Burundi, grain prices increased marginally while roots and tuber prices remained seasonably stable across most markets as supplies started to tighten.
Outlook (September 2020 onward) • Staple food prices are expected to remain stable or decline in surplus-producing Uganda and Tanzania. Staple food prices
in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan will likely remain elevated and increase seasonally ahead of upcoming harvests. Despite reduced livestock demand in the Middle East, livestock demand across pastoral areas of East Africa is expected to remain stable at elevated levels due to favorable rangeland and body conditions and as households continue rebuilding their stocks, thereby reducing market supplies.
• COVID-19 related movement restrictions are expected to continue creating delays in commodity supply chains while simultaneously reducing household food access (including physical market access and effective demand). The global economic downturn attributed to COVID-19 will likely continue limiting foreign exchange reserves gained though export earnings (such as fuel and cash crops) and remittance flows. This will likely lead to further depreciation of local currencies and may contribute to elevated price trends for both imported commodities and their local substitutes.
Figure 6. August 2020 maize prices in East Africa compared to the previous year (% change)
Source: FEWS NET/FARMERS, EGTE, WFP, and, FSNAU and Oanda
Figure 7. August 2020 goat price trends in East Africa compared to the previous year (USD/head)
Source: FEWS NET/FARMERS, EGTE, WFP, and, FSNAU and Oanda
PRICE WATCH September 2020
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 5
SOUTHERN AFRICA
Current situation (August 2020) • In Southern Africa, markets were well supplied with maize
in August with the progression of the 2020/21 marketing year. Carryover stocks from the 2019/20 marketing year are estimated to be well below average, while recent regional harvests are estimated to be average to above average. Month-on-month trends were generally followed typical seasonal trends (Figure 8 and Figure 9).
• In South Africa, export parity prices increased by approximately 20 percent since the harvest period in May and are comparable to or above international reference prices. Despite ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, South Africa continued exporting maize grain and products to grain deficit countries within the regional and internationally. Monthly exports to Zimbabwe have expanded following changes to Zimbabwe’s phytosanitary (GMO) requirements (World Grain). Domestic maize supplies in South Africa in 2020/21 are expected to cover domestic consumption needs and exports to regional maize deficit countries.
• Tanzania’s maize supplies were at average to above-average levels, while maize grain prices varied seasonally across surplus and deficit areas. Cross-border movement restrictions have led to delays in exports to neighboring countries in East Africa, while Kenyan imports from international markets has reduced regional import demand. In Zambia prices were above their previous year levels as the currency continued to depreciate. Zambia’s formal maize export ban remains in place while informal exports to DRC and Malawi continue.
• In Zimbabwe, despite the availability of imports from South Africa, maize grain availability remained limited in August and only maize meal was available on some markets. Price trends varied depending on the currency used for transactions, remaining relatively stable for goods traded in USD and ZAR and continuing to increase for goods traded in ZWL. Government subsidized maize meal supplies remained limited. In Malawi, maize grain prices were largely stable at above average levels and remained below the ADMARC purchase prices of MWK 200/kg. In Mozambique, maize grain prices varied seasonally but remained significantly above average, while maize meal and rice prices were more stable and closer to average levels. In DRC, maize meal and cassava flour prices increased rapidly in the first weeks of March in response to panic purchases and stock retention linked to COVID-19 before declining in April and May and stabilizing between June and August. In Madagascar, local rice prices continued to increase in August. Recent harvests and ongoing food assistance activities have had localized market impacts, respectively.
Outlook (September 2020 onward) • Regional supplies for the 2020/21 marketing year are expected to be average to above average. South Africa is expected
to export average to above average volumes to maize deficit countries. Zambia’s maize grain export ban is expected to remain in place, although government to government exports are likely (especially with the DRC). Maize prices will likely remain stable before seasonally increasing in October onward, but will remain above average.
• COVID-19 related movement restrictions and social distancing measures will likely continue to affect regional labor markets and informal trade flows due to the more labor-intensive nature of this work. Export earnings are expected to decline across the region, resulting in further depreciation of local currencies and relatively higher import costs.
Figure 8. White maize grain prices in selected Southern Africa markets (USD/kg) April 2015- August 2020
Source: FEWS NET estimates based on data from SADC and government ministries
Figure 9. August 2020 maize grain prices in Southern Africa compared to the previous year (% change)
Source: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of
Malawi, Ministry of Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP, OdR, and FEWS NET
PRICE WATCH September 2020
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 6
CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
Current situation (August 2020) • In Central America, markets were being supplied with
maize and beans from ongoing 2020 Primera season harvest, along with regional and international imports. Stable regional supply will be supported by average level 2020 Primera harvest. Informal imports from Mexico to continue to support supplies in Guatemala (Figure 10). Demand is projected to decrease due to reduced employment and income earning opportunities and movement restrictions.
• Maize wholesale and retail prices decreased on average in August, as domestic supplies were augmented from ongoing 2020 Primera season harvest and from imports. Wholesale and retail prices were stable or lower than 2019 levels but were stable or higher than five-year average levels.
• Bean wholesale and retail prices decreased on average in August as stable regional trade flows facilitated the movement of supplies from anticipated average to above average 2020 Primera season harvest. Wholesale and retail prices were stable in Honduras and Nicaragua but higher in Guatemala and El Salvador relative to 2019 levels. Wholesale and retail prices were on average stable or lower relative to five-year average levels. Rice wholesale prices were on average stable in August but remained above 2019 and five-year average levels.
• In Haiti, local and imported staple food supplies were at average to below-average levels. Imported staple food prices were stable on average while local staple food prices were stable or increasing moderately in August. The value of the HTG remained relatively stable against the USD. Staple food prices remained significantly above their respective 2019 and five-year average levels (Figure 11).
Outlook (September 2020 onward) • In Central America, maize and bean prices are expected to continue decreasing seasonally in September and October.
Maize and black bean prices will likely remain above 2019 and five-year average levels, even with anticipated average to above-average Primera season harvest. Informal imports from Mexico will continue to complement national production in Guatemala and stabilize prices. Imported rice availability will remain adequate and rice prices are expected to be stable or decreasing due to average harvest forecast for the U.S., which is the region’s leading supplier. Easing of COVID-19 related restrictions in the coming months could allow many income-earning activities to resume and some recovery in household purchasing power.
• In Haiti, above average import requirements are anticipated for MY 2020/21. Access to imported staple foods from the Dominican Republic will continue to be influenced by COVID-19 related border restrictions. Local staple food prices will likely increase atypically in the coming months due to below average 2020 spring harvest, and particularly in the southeast region, where tropical storm Laura has resulted in crop loss and road access constraints. The below average 2020 spring season harvest is expected to negatively impact summer/fall and winter harvests, as farmers typically use income and seeds from the spring harvest as inputs for subsequent seasons.
Figure 10. August 2020 maize prices in Central America compared to the previous month (% change)
Source: FEWS NET
Figure 11. Average national staple food prices and exchange rate in Haiti, January 2015 – August 2020
Source: FEWS NET / CNSA
PRICE WATCH September 2020
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 7
CENTRAL ASIA AND YEMEN
Current situation (August 2020) • Regional wheat availability and price trends varied across
Central Asia in August (Figure 12). As detailed in the Central Asia Regional Wheat Supply and Market Outlook, localized wheat deficits are expected to be filled through intra-regional trade. In Yemen, markets remain severely disrupted by ongoing macroeconomic challenges, conflict and climate shocks.
• In Kazakhstan, the main 2020 wheat crop is progressing under generally favorable conditions. Wheat production is forecasted at 12.5 MMT or nine percent above previous year levels. Wheat flour exports for MY 2020/21, has been reduced by six percent compared to MY 2019/21 due to reduced demand from traditional buyers and increased competition from Russia and Ukraine (USDA). Wheat grain prices fell in August at the Saryagash Station market but remained above 2019 and five-year average levels.
• In Pakistan, MY 2020/21 wheat production is estimated at 25.7 MMT, a six percent increase from MY 2019/20. The government is continuing to implement measures to boost domestic availability and build strategic reserves, with wheat import forecast to be at their largest in the last decade (USDA). Wheat prices exhibited mixed trends across key reference markets in August and remained significantly above 2019 and five-year average levels.
• In Afghanistan, wheat prices were stable in urban areas and decreasing in rural areas in August as the wheat harvest progressed and COVID-19 restrictions were eased. Overall, wheat prices remained significantly above 2019 and five-year average levels.
• In Yemen, locally produced staple food prices were generally stable, while imported stable food prices were stable or increasing in August. Staple food prices remain significantly above five-year average levels (Figure 13). Fuel prices continue to increase across the country, particularly in northern governorates, and is contributing to rising food processing and transportation costs. The YER continues to depreciate against the USD with secondary exchange rates in northern governorates averaging over 20 percent above secondary exchange rates in southern governorates.
Outlook (September 2020 onward) • Border restrictions associated with the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic will continue to limit cross border trade flows and
influence the availability and prices of wheat and other imported staple foods. In Afghanistan, 2020/21 wheat harvest is expected to be near average, despite localized deficits due to plant diseases (FEWS NET). Wheat import gap will be filled by regional markets, mainly Kazakhstan and Ukraine. Pakistan is expected to import up to 1,000,000 MT of wheat to stabilize the local market and ease supply pressures during MY 2020/21 (USDA). In Kazakhstan, below average wheat flour export levels are anticipated for MY 2020/21 as production is projected at below the five-year average level (FAO).
• In Yemen, food prices are expected to continue increasing through December 2020 due to continued deterioration of macroeconomic condition including currency depreciation, supply chain delays and higher transport costs. Fuel prices will likely increase at above global fuel price recovery levels in the coming months.
Figure 12. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (USD/kg)
Source: WFP, VAM, APK Inform Agency, Kazakhstan
Figure 13. Average monthly secondary exchange rates and imported wheat flour price trends in Yemen (YER)
Source: FAO and WFP
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Bobo Dioulasso Maize Grain (White) Pouytenga Maize Grain (White)
XOF 167.00 XOF 143.00
$0.30 $0.26
Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)
XOF 245.00 XOF 233.00
$0.44 $0.42
Sorghum (White) Sorghum (White)
XOF 184.00 XOF 143.00
$0.33 $0.26
Djibo Maize Grain (White) Solenzo Maize Grain (White)
XOF 215.00 XOF 123.00
$0.39 $0.22
Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)
XOF 260.00 XOF 167.00
$0.47 $0.30
Sorghum (White) Sorghum (White)
XOF 214.00 XOF 122.00
$0.39 $0.22
Koudougou Maize Grain (White) Maroua Maize (Corn) (W)
XOF 165.00 XAF 235.00
$0.30 $0.42
Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (W)
XOF 233.00 XAF 200.00
$0.42 $0.36
Sorghum (White) Abeche Millet (Pearl)
XOF 160.00 XAF 260.00
$0.29 $0.47
Ouagadougou Gasoline Sorghum (Red)
XOF 615.00 XAF 207.50
$1.11 $0.37
Maize Grain (White) Bol Maize Grain (White)
XOF 184.00 XAF 315.00
$0.33 $0.57
Millet (Pearl) Mongo Millet (Pearl)
XOF 261.00 XAF 305.00
$0.47 $0.55
Refined Vegetable Oil Moundou Millet (Pearl)
XOF 1000.00 XAF 210.00
$1.80 $0.38
Sorghum (White) Sorghum (Red)
XOF 230.00 XAF 165.25
$0.41 $0.30
Whole milk powder Moussoro Maize Grain (White)
XOF 5350.00 XAF 360.00
$9.65 $0.65
FEWS NET
www.fews.net
▲ ▲ ▲Chad
▼
0 -2 -2 ► ► ► 10 84 41
▲ -10 24 -7 ▼ ▲
0 ► ▲ ►Chad
9 19 12 ▲ ▲
▲Chad
0 18 17 ► ▲ ▲ -5 31
▲ 4 69 31 ► ▲
41 ▼ ▲ ▲Chad
14 25 16 ▲ ▲
▲Burkina Faso
11 23 12 ▲ ▲ ▲ -11 90
► 7 56 20 ▲ ▲
24 ► ▲ ▲Chad
1 -6 -2 ► ▼
-13 ► ► ▼ 4 57
5 54 - ► ▲ -
Burkina Faso Cameroon
9 27 10 ▲ ▲ ▲
5 -5
7 57 12 ▲ ▲ ▲
0 ▲ ▲ ►
7 15 -2 ▲ ▲ ►
6 ▲ ▲ ▲ 12 58
8 55 7 ▲ ▲ ▲
Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
18 47 17 ▲ ▲ ▲
11 14
5 40 -4 ► ▲ ►
-3 ▲ ▲ ►
5 16 6 ► ▲ ▲
▲ ▲
12 17 3 ▲ ▲ ► 14 29
▲ ▼Burkina Faso Burkina Faso
9 26 8 ▲ ▲ ▲
►
West
Afr
ica
7 18 -7 ▲
14 38 11 ▲
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
6 20 3 ▲ ▲
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 1 August 2020 Prices September 30, 2020
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 1 provides prices and
price changes for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The prices are final monthly average prices for August 2020. Commodities included
in the Annex are the staples most often consumed by the poor in the indicated market. Additional commodities provided are important commodities consumed in the same areas or fuel
prices that affect food prices. Final monthly average prices are used. The symbols (▲►▼) depict the direction of price changes: the red upward-facing arrow denotes an increase of five
percent or greater. The blue horizontal arrow denotes no change or changes that are smaller than 5 percent, and the green downward-facing arrow denotes price decreases that are five
percent or greater. The three arrows respectively correspond to the percent change in prices this month compared to last month, last year, and the five-year average. The “-“ symbol
indicates that data are not available. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported prices are retail.
PRICE WATCH ANNEX
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Moussoro Millet (Pearl) Sikasso Millet (Pearl)
XAF 360.00 XOF 214.00
$0.65 $0.39
Rice (5% Broken) Timbuktu Rice (Milled)
XAF 600.00 XOF 287.00
$1.08 $0.52
N'Djamena Maize Grain (White) Agadez Millet (Pearl)
XAF 300.00 XOF 319.00
$0.54 $0.58
Millet (Pearl) Refined Vegetable Oil
XAF 300.00 XOF 875.00
$0.54 $1.58
Rice (5% Broken) Rice (5% Broken)
XAF 515.00 XOF 520.00
$0.93 $0.94
Rice (Milled) Whole milk powder
XAF 420.00 XOF 1463.00
$0.76 $2.64
Sorghum (Red) Diffa Cowpeas (Mixed)
XAF 200.00 XOF 429.00
$0.36 $0.77
Sarh Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)
XAF 240.00 XOF 297.00
$0.43 $0.54
Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (Mixed)
XAF 156.50 XOF 293.00
$0.28 $0.53
Bamako Millet (Pearl) Gaya Maize Grain (Mixed)
XOF 225.00 XOF 250.00
$0.41 $0.45
Rice (Gambiaca) Maradi Maize Grain (Mixed)
XOF 375.00 XOF 238.00
$0.68 $0.43
Gao Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl)
XOF 271.00 XOF 291.00
$0.49 $0.52
Kayes Millet (Pearl) Refined Vegetable Oil
XOF 274.00 XOF 750.00
$0.49 $1.35
Koulikoro Millet (Pearl) Sorghum (Mixed)
XOF 205.00 XOF 279.00
$0.37 $0.50
Mopti Millet (Pearl) Whole milk powder
XOF 213.00 XOF 1700.00
$0.38 $3.07
Segou Millet (Pearl) Niamey Diesel
XOF 205.00 XOF 538.00
$0.37 $0.97
Rice (Gambiaca) Gasoline
XOF 361.00 XOF 540.00
$0.65 $0.97
0 0 0 ► ► ►
►Mali Niger
3 3 -1 ► ► ►
0 0 0 ► ►13 37 9 ▲ ▲ ▲
6 -23 ► ▲ ▼Mali
▲Mali
7 7 -4 ▲ ▲ ► 0
-7 84 37 ▼ ▲3 3 -6 ► ► ▼
7 0 -3 ▲ ► ►
Mali
10 10 1 ▲ ▲Mali
3 68 33 ► ▲ ▲
Niger
8 15 11 ▲ ▲ ▲
►
7 45 13 ▲ ▲ ▲
►Mali Niger
0 0 -5 ► ► ►
6 42 5 ▲ ▲13 13 -1 ▲ ▲ ►
73 22 20 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲ ▲Chad
4 33 -8 ► ▲ ▼
▲ 25 34 19 ▲
0 ▲ ▲ ►Niger
1 74 14 ► ▲
▼
0 54 8 ► ▲ ▲ 98 51
10 -2 -35 ▲ ►
4 ▼ ► ►
0 5 -4 ► ► ►
▼
2 -2 2 ► ► ► -13 4
13 -10 -10 ▲ ▼
▲ ▲Chad Niger
1 50 11 ► ▲ ▲
▲ 4 44 18 ►
- ▲ ▼ -Mali
-7 50 20 ▼ ▲
▲ ▲ ►Chad Mali
0 -4 3 ► ►
▲
West
Afr
ica
10 12 -2
► 6 -17
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
13 75 38 ▲ ▲
September 30, 2020
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
9
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Niamey Maize Grain (Mixed) Ibadan Bread
XOF 220.00 NGN 390.63
$0.40 $1.02
Millet (Pearl) Diesel
XOF 307.00 NGN 194.10
$0.55 $0.51
Refined Vegetable Oil Gasoline
XOF 750.00 NGN 147.55
$1.35 $0.38
Rice (5% Broken) Maize Grain (White)
XOF 500.00 NGN 197.39
$0.90 $0.51
Sorghum (Mixed) Palm Oil (Refined)
XOF 282.00 NGN 509.33
$0.51 $1.33
Whole milk powder Sorghum (White)
XOF 1800.00 NGN 221.66
$3.25 $0.58
Ouallam Millet (Pearl) Ilela Millet (Pearl)
XOF 277.00 XOF 243.00
$0.50 $0.44
Sabon Machi Cowpeas (Mixed) Sorghum (Mixed)
XOF 273.00 XOF 224.00
$0.49 $0.40
Tahoua Millet (Pearl) Kano Diesel
XOF 359.00 NGN 199.75
$0.65 $0.52
Sorghum (Mixed) Gasoline
XOF 302.00 NGN 148.25
$0.54 $0.39
Tillabéri Millet (Pearl) Groundnuts (Shelled)
XOF 345.00 NGN 305.80
$0.62 $0.80
Sorghum (Mixed) Maize Grain (White) (W)
XOF 329.00 NGN 187.63
$0.59 $0.49
Dandume Millet (Pearl) Millet (Pearl) (W)
NGN 184.40 NGN 179.55
$0.48 $0.47
Rice (Milled) Sorghum (White) (W)
NGN 434.46 NGN 185.50
$1.13 $0.48
Sorghum (White) Kaura Namoda Maize Grain (White)
NGN 196.89 NGN 189.87
$0.51 $0.50
Giwa Maize Grain (White) Sorghum (White)
NGN 156.25 NGN 194.52
$0.41 $0.51
Sorghum (White) Lagos Yams
NGN 185.19 NGN 274.87
$0.48 $0.72
▲Nigeria▲ 9 41 55 ▲ ▲
Nigeria
11 169 86 ▲ ▲
12 124 79 ▲ ▲ ▲
Nigeria
18 127 42 ▲ ▲ ▲
13 146 79 ▲ ▲ ▲0 132 71 ► ▲ ▲
30 171 78 ▲ ▲ ▲
► ▲ ▲Nigeria
19 109 118 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲
8 72 54 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0 111 55
▲ 29 136 83 ▲ ▲
34 ▼ ▲ ▲Niger
12 42 23 ▲ ▲
28 ▲ ▲ ▲ -15 38
8 3 7 ▲ ► ▲
Niger Nigeria
12 49 21 ▲ ▲ ▲
13 33
-22 -19 -2 ▼ ▼ ►15 50 27 ▲ ▲ ▲
3 - - ► - -
Niger Nigeria
11 65 - ▲ ▲ -Niger
3 - - ► - --4 -2 - ► ► -
6 138 69 ▲ ▲ ▲13 31 -24 ▲ ▲ ▼
22 27 21 ▲ ▲ ▲13 32 15 ▲ ▲ ▲
10 110 77 ▲ ▲ ▲
10 ▲ ► ▲
0 11 19 ► ▲ ▲
▼ ►
7 -16 -14 ▲ ▼ ▼ 9 3
▲ ▲Niger Nigeria
11 40 16 ▲ ▲ ▲
►
West
Afr
ica
0 14 9 ►
-4 -13 0 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
3 15 3 ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
10
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Maiadua Millet (Pearl) Bujumbura Beans (Red) (W)
XOF 204.00 BIF 1340.00
$0.37 $0.70
Sorghum (Mixed) Maize Grain (White)
XOF 196.00 BIF 977.00
$0.35 $0.51
Saminaka Maize Grain (White) Rice (Milled)
NGN 219.67 BIF 1700.00
$0.57 $0.89
Sorghum (White) Addis Ababa Maize Grain (White) (W)
NGN 229.13 ETB 12.25
$0.60 $0.35
Dakar Millet Wheat Grain (W)
XOF 288.00 ETB 19.68
$0.52 $0.55
Rice (100% Broken) Bahir Dar Maize Grain (White) (W)
XOF 300.00 ETB 13.00
$0.54 $0.37
Kaolak Millet Dire Dawa Wheat Grain (W)
XOF 273.00 ETB 20.30
$0.49 $0.57
Rice (100% Broken) Eldoret Beans (Rosecoco) (W)
XOF 310.00 KES 156.50
$0.56 $1.46
Saint-Louis Millet Maize Grain (White) (W)
XOF 342.00 KES 35.56
$0.62 $0.33
Rice (100% Broken) Kisumu Beans (Rosecoco) (W)
XOF 303.00 KES 160.00
$0.55 $1.49
Tambacounda Millet Maize Grain (White) (W)
XOF 263.00 KES 35.00
$0.47 $0.33
Ziguinchor Rice (100% Broken) Kitui Potato (White) (W)
XOF 325.00 KES 40.91
$0.59 $0.38
Sorghum (Red) (W)
KES 44.44
$0.41
Mombasa Beans (Rosecoco) (W)
KES 74.44
$0.70
Maize Grain (White) (W)
KES 30.56
$0.29
Nairobi Beans (Rosecoco) (W)
KES 95.56
$0.89
Maize Grain (White) (W)
KES 33.26
$0.31
-24 -20 -6 ▼ ▼
7 26 ► ▲ ▲Kenya
▼
▼ ▼
3
-2 -25 -10 ►
9 ▲ ▼ ▲Kenya
▼
7 -14
- -11 -24 - ▼
▲ ▲Senegal Kenya▲ - 67 57 -
Senegal
0 8 14 ► ▲
-7 -27 -13 ▼ ▼11 0 24 ▲ ► ▲
57 98 ► ▲ ▲Kenya
▼
▲Senegal
-3 1 6 ► ► ▲ 3
0 0 8 ► ►10 43 36 ▲ ▲ ▲
-8 65 80 ▼ ▲ ▲
Senegal Ethiopia
-3 2 11 ► ► ▲ Kenya
2 16 50 ► ▲ ▲
▲ ▲Ethiopia
7 24 45 ▲ ▲ ▲
► - 27 85 -
Senegal
0 0 4 ► ►
- 7 55 - ▲7 15 16 ▲ ▲ ▲
15 63 - ▲ ▲Ethiopia
▲
-Nigeria
39 163 102 ▲ ▲ ▲ -
5 11 - ► ▲
- ▲ ▲ -
49 190 126 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲ ▲ ▲Nigeria Burundi
-1 50 8 ► ▲
►
West
Afr
ica
13 49 30
▲ 11 18
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
West
Afr
ica
-1 43 3 ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
11
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Nairobi Potato (White) (W) Beled Hawa Sorghum (Red)
KES 26.36 SOS 16600.00
$0.25 $0.65
Sorghum (Red) (W) Beled Weyn Sorghum (Red)
KES 57.85 SOS 11600.00
$0.54 $0.45
Gicumbi Beans (mixed) Bossaso Rice (Parboiled)
RWF 515.00 SOS 22000.00
$0.54 $0.86
Maize Grain (White) Buale Cowpeas (Red)
RWF 279.00 SOS 40000.00
$0.29 $1.56
Rice (Milled) Maize Grain (White)
RWF 885.00 SOS 17000.00
$0.93 $0.66
Kigali City Beans (mixed) Burao Diesel
RWF 526.00 SLS 4500.00
$0.55 $0.53
Maize Grain (White) Gasoline
RWF 336.00 SLS 5500.00
$0.35 $0.65
Rice (Milled) Maize Grain (White)
RWF 907.00 SLS 6000.00
$0.96 $0.71
Ruhengeri Beans (mixed) Refined Vegetable Oil
RWF 507.00 SLS 12000.00
$0.53 $1.41
Maize Grain (White) Rice (Parboiled)
RWF 283.00 SLS 5375.00
$0.30 $0.63
Rice (Milled) Sorghum (Red)
RWF 889.00 SLS 5000.00
$0.94 $0.59
Baidoa Diesel Dhusamareb Diesel
SOS 20000.00 SOS 17600.00
$0.78 $0.69
Gasoline Gasoline
SOS 17600.00 SOS 19600.00
$0.69 $0.77
Maize Grain (White) Refined Vegetable Oil
SOS 8260.00 SOS 46000.00
$0.32 $1.80
Refined Vegetable Oil Rice (Parboiled)
SOS 31200.00 SOS 20000.00
$1.22 $0.78
Rice (Parboiled) Sorghum (Red)
SOS 15600.00 SOS 14900.00
$0.61 $0.58
Sorghum (Red) El Dhere Cowpeas (Red)
SOS 6220.00 SOS 18600.00
$0.24 $0.73
3 -19 ▼ ► ▼Somalia
► ▼ ▼
7 -27 -2 ▲ ▼ ► -7
-
6 4 6 ▲ ► ▲ -4 -7 -6
▲ 0 0 - ► ►
15 -2 ▼ ▲ ►
1 29 23 ► ▲
► ► ▼
-17 -5 9 ▼ ► ▲ -8
► ▼ ▼ -2 -2 -23
-20 -23 ► ▼ ▼Somalia Somalia
-2 -28 -22
► ► ▲
0 -9 -1 ► ▼ ► -2
►
34 3 - ▲ ► - 0 0 25
- 5 8 3 ► ▲
Rwanda
7 -13 - ▲ ▼
0 0 3 ► ► ►
22 ► ► ▲
13 8 - ▲ ▲ -
- ► ► - 0 0
0 -31 -25 ► ▼ ▼
Rwanda Somalia
14 -10 - ▲ ▼ -
1 1
0 -34 -29 ► ▼ ▼5 5 - ► ► -
3 100 119 ► ▲ ▲
▲ ▲ ▲Somalia
4 11 - ► ▲ -
▲ ▼ - 10 111 57
10 36 ► ▲ ▲Rwanda Somalia
9 -13 -
▲ ▲Somalia
13 17 - ▲ ▲ - -1
► ▲Kenya Somalia
- -24 15 - ▼ ▲
▲
East
Afr
ica
3 -4 15 ►
-3 16 45 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
- 91 42 - ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
12
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Galkayo Cowpeas (Red) Qorioley Maize Grain (White)
SOS 45000.00 SOS 6750.00
$1.76 $0.26
Rice (Parboiled) Refined Vegetable Oil
SOS 22000.00 SOS 24500.00
$0.86 $0.96
Sorghum (Red) Rice (Parboiled)
SOS 12000.00 SOS 14000.00
$0.47 $0.55
Garowe Rice (Parboiled) Sorghum (Red)
SOS 22900.00 SOS 5125.00
$0.89 $0.20
Hargeisa Rice (Parboiled) Togwajale Sorghum (White)
SLS 7000.00 SLS 2000.00
$0.82 $0.24
Lugh Maize Grain (White) Aweil Maize Grain (White)
SOS 8000.00 SSP 300.00
$0.31 $1.80
Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (White)
SOS 8000.00 SSP 314.29
$0.31 $1.88
Merka Cowpeas (Red) Juba Maize Grain (White)
SOS 26000.00 SSP 157.14
$1.02 $0.94
Mogadishu Cowpeas (Red) Sorghum (White)
SOS 27150.00 SSP 142.86
$1.06 $0.86
Diesel Wheat Flour
SOS 12000.00 SSP 270.00
$0.47 $1.62
Gasoline Malakal Sorghum (White)
SOS 12250.00 SSP 342.86
$0.48 $2.06
Maize Grain (White) Wau Sorghum (White)
SOS 12000.00 SSP 314.29
$0.47 $1.88
Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Flour
SOS 20750.00 SSP 400.00
$0.81 $2.40
Rice (Parboiled) Ad Damazin Millet
SOS 11000.00 SDG 89.00
$0.43 $1.61
Sorghum (Red) Sorghum (Feterita)
SOS 8325.00 SDG 66.00
$0.33 $1.20
Qorioley Diesel Wheat Grain
SOS 16000.00 SDG 72.00
$0.63 $1.31
Gasoline Al Qadarif Millet
SOS 18000.00 SDG 92.26
$0.70 $1.67
Sudan 9 235 615 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲ ▲ ▲Somalia
0 -5 -14 ► ► ▼
► ▼ ▼ 7 73 294
20 193 548 ▲ ▲ ▲
Sudan
9 -4 12 ▲ ► ▲
0 -16 -12
16 167 - ▲ ▲ -
- ▲ ▲ -
0 0 -4 ► ► ►
-3 ► ► ► 22 33
22 214 - ▲ ▲ -
South Sudan
21 29 41 ▲ ▲ ▲ South Sudan
5 5
-8 - - ▼ - -0 -34 -29 ► ▼ ▼
-5 35 - ► ▲ -
▼ ▼ -Somalia
0 -28 -21 ► ▼ ▼
► ► ► -9 -17 -
-8 - ► ▼ -Somalia South Sudan
-4 -3 -2
▲ ▲ -
0 6 2 ► ▲ ► -4
▼ ▼ ▼ 11 94 -
54 - ▲ ▲ -Somalia South Sudan
-9 -26 -29
▼Somalia Somalia
-9 -30 -36 ▼ ▼ ▼ 8
▲ -6 -55 -48 ▼ ▼
Somalia
0 33 33 ► ▲
-13 -40 -33 ▼ ▼ ▼
-3 ▼ ► ►
3 27 33 ► ▲ ▲
▲ ►
0 -8 -8 ► ▼ ▼ -8 0
► ▲Somalia Somalia
-1 0 14 ► ► ▲
▲
East
Afr
ica
-4 5 23 ►
-2 11 4 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
1 25 7 ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
13
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Al Qadarif Sorghum (Feterita) Nyala Sorghum (Feterita)
SDG 83.55 SDG 48.30
$1.52 $0.88
Wheat Grain Wheat Grain
SDG 87.16 SDG 77.06
$1.58 $1.40
Dongola Millet Om Durman Millet
SDG 133.00 SDG 110.00
$2.41 $2.00
Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)
SDG 78.75 SDG 60.00
$1.43 $1.09
Wheat Grain Wheat Grain
SDG 52.25 SDG 60.00
$0.95 $1.09
El Fasher Millet Port Sudan Millet
SDG 73.25 SDG 100.00
$1.33 $1.81
Sorghum (Feterita) Sorghum (Feterita)
SDG 68.50 SDG 81.11
$1.24 $1.47
Wheat Grain Arusha Beans (mixed) (W)
SDG 117.00 TZS 1543.75
$2.12 $0.67
El Obeid Millet Maize Grain (White) (W)
SDG 93.55 TZS 532.50
$1.70 $0.23
Sorghum (Feterita) Rice (Milled) (W)
SDG 77.41 TZS 1620.00
$1.40 $0.70
Wheat Grain Dar es Salaam Beans (mixed) (W)
SDG 80.64 TZS 2250.00
$1.46 $0.97
Geneina Millet Maize Grain (White) (W)
SDG 90.00 TZS 636.25
$1.63 $0.27
Sorghum (Feterita) Rice (Milled) (W)
SDG 87.60 TZS 1625.00
$1.59 $0.70
Kadugli Millet Dodoma Beans (mixed) (W)
SDG 60.00 TZS 1722.50
$1.09 $0.74
Sorghum (Feterita) Maize Grain (White) (W)
SDG 43.30 TZS 614.38
$0.79 $0.27
Wheat Grain Rice (Milled) (W)
SDG 70.00 TZS 1406.25
$1.27 $0.61
Nyala Millet Iringa Maize Grain (White) (W)
SDG 99.30 TZS 491.25
$1.80 $0.21
Sudan Tanzania, United
Republic of
0 -2 - ► ► -
-17 ► ▼ ▼
26 252 567 ▲ ▲ ▲
395 ► ▲ ▲ 1 -22
4 -8 0 ► ▼ ►
Sudan Tanzania, United
Republic of
30 233 474 ▲ ▲ ▲
5 126
0 0 -3 ► ► ►0 114 329 ► ▲ ▲
-6 -4 -1 ▼ ► ►
Sudan
49 363 - ▲ ▲
-10 -23 5 ▼ ▼ ►
Tanzania, United
Republic of
41 346 - ▲ ▲ -
-
-4 15 19 ► ▲ ▲
-9 ► ▼ ▼
2 159 470 ► ▲ ▲
▼Sudan
25 227 701 ▲ ▲ ▲ -2 -19
▲ -8 -26 -6 ▼ ▼
11 ► ▲ ▲Tanzania, United
Republic of
-1 200 566 ► ▲
513 ► ▲ ▲ -3 6
23 253 - ▲ ▲ -
Sudan Sudan
29 211 573 ▲ ▲ ▲
-3 172
15 194 536 ▲ ▲ ▲
303 ► ▲ ▲
29 186 426 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲ ▲
5 109 - ► ▲ - 0 100
▲ - -2 216 519 ►
643 ▲ ▲ ▲Sudan Sudan
19 275 - ▲
▲ ▲
0 343 - ► ▲ - 10 267
▲ ▲Sudan Sudan
16 117 415 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲
East
Afr
ica
14 150 444 ▲
14 182 401 ▲
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
16 338 932 ▲ ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
14
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Iringa Rice (Milled) (W) Kampala Sorghum (Red) (W)
TZS 1600.00 USD 0.18
$0.69 $0.18
Kigoma Beans (mixed) (W) Lira Beans (K124/Nabe 4)
TZS 1833.33 UGX 3500.00
$0.79 $0.96
Maize Grain (White) (W) Masindi Beans (mixed) (W)
TZS 571.33 USD 0.63
$0.25 $0.63
Rice (Milled) (W) Maize Grain (White) (W)
TZS 1100.00 USD 0.14
$0.48 $0.14
Mbeya Beans (mixed) (W) Sorghum (Red) (W)
TZS 1800.00 USD 0.20
$0.78 $0.20
Maize Grain (White) (W) Mbarara Beans (K124/Nabe 4)
TZS 480.00 UGX 3500.00
$0.21 $0.96
Rice (Milled) (W) Cooking Banana (unspecified)
TZS 1600.00 UGX 575.25
$0.69 $0.16
Mtwara Maize Grain (White) (W) Soroti Millet (Finger)
TZS 600.00 UGX 1500.00
$0.26 $0.41
Mwanza Rice (Milled) (W)
TZS 1600.00
$0.69
Songea Beans (mixed) (W)
TZS 1900.00
$0.82
Maize Grain (White) (W)
TZS 491.88
$0.21
Tanga Rice (Milled) (W)
TZS 1600.00
$0.69
Arua Cassava Chips
UGX 800.00
$0.22
Gulu Beans (K124/Nabe 4)
UGX 3750.00
$1.02
Kampala Beans (mixed) (W)
USD 0.79
$0.79
Cooking Banana
(unspecified)UGX 656.81
$0.18
Maize Grain (White)
UGX 1393.75
$0.38
-6 11 3 ▼ ▲ ►
▼
Uganda
19 -18 -28 ▲ ▼
Uganda
15 12 30 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲
Uganda
7 27 53 ▲ ▲
Tanzania, United
Republic of
0 -6 -29 ► ▼ ▼
2 3 - ► ► -
-
Tanzania, United
Republic of
2 -2 - ► ►
4 23 - ► ▲ -
Tanzania, United
Republic of
Uganda
1 -12 11 ► ▼ ▲Tanzania, United
Republic of
7 13 -9 ▲ ▲ ▼2 -5 - ► ► -
15 -15 -26 ▲ ▼ ▼
Uganda
- 27 - - ▲ -
11 21 52 ▲ ▲ ▲
▼ ▼ ▼Tanzania, United
Republic of
- -20 - - ▼ -
- ▲ - -7 -27 -45
-13 -26 -24 ▼ ▼ ▼
Uganda
0 -32 - ► ▼ -
- 11 -
5 -8 0 ► ▼ ►
▲ ▲Tanzania, United
Republic of
Uganda
-8 -32 - ▼ ▼ -
▼ ▼Tanzania, United
Republic of
Uganda
1 26 - ► ▲ -
-
East
Afr
ica
-9 -26 -24 ▼
4 17 48 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
2 10 - ► ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
15
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Beni, Kilokwa Cassava Flour Uvira, Cassava Flour
CDF 872.50 CDF 800.00
$0.45 $0.41
Rice (Milled) Maize Meal (White)
CDF 1743.33 CDF 1000.00
$0.90 $0.52
Rice (Milled) Rice (Milled)
CDF 1814.29 CDF 1880.00
$0.94 $0.97
Bukavu, Kadutu Cassava Flour Rice (Milled)
CDF 940.00 CDF 1611.86
$0.49 $0.83
Maize Meal (White) Ambovombe Dried Cassava
CDF 986.67 MGA 1000.00
$0.51 $0.26
Rice (Milled) Rice (Gasy)
CDF 1800.00 MGA 2450.00
$0.93 $0.65
Rice (Milled) Antananarivo Rice (Gasy)
CDF 1870.00 MGA 1800.00
$0.96 $0.48
Goma, Virunga Cassava Flour Rice (Milled)
CDF 813.33 MGA 2000.00
$0.42 $0.53
Maize Meal (White) Fianarantsoa I Dried Cassava
CDF 1066.67 MGA 580.00
$0.55 $0.15
Rice (Milled) Rice (Gasy)
CDF 2600.00 MGA 2100.00
$1.34 $0.55
Rice (Milled) Toamasina I Rice (Gasy)
CDF 2500.00 MGA 1800.00
$1.29 $0.48
Kalemie, Lukuga Cassava Flour Toliara I (CL) Dried Cassava
CDF 737.50 MGA 600.00
$0.38 $0.16
Maize Meal (White) Rice (Gasy)
CDF 935.00 MGA 2300.00
$0.48 $0.61
Rice (Milled) Karonga Cassava
CDF 1912.50 MWK 187.18
$0.99 $0.26
Lubumbashi, Cassava Flour Maize Grain (White)
CDF 953.85 MWK 154.29
$0.49 $0.21
Maize Meal (White) Rice (Milled)
CDF 792.31 MWK 458.61
$0.41 $0.63
Rice (Milled) Lilongwe Cassava
CDF 900.00 MWK 600.00
$0.46 $0.82
Malawi 33 92 36 ▲ ▲ ▲
-7 ▲ ▼ ▼
-60 -46 - ▼ ▼ -
►Laurent Kabila
Congo, The
Democratic
Republic of the
3 -56 - ► ▼ - 17 -21
- 0 -14 4 ► ▼
71 ▲ ▲ ▲Malawi
9 -28 - ▲ ▼
- ▲ ▲ - 39 58
19 - - ▲ - -
Congo, The
Democratic
Republic of the
Madagascar
-28 23 - ▼ ▲ -
63 57
-14 - - ▼ - -
(CL)
Madagascar
-8 -1 - ▼ ► -
0 13 - ► ▲ -
- ▲ ▲ -
56 25 - ▲ ▲ -
-(CL)
Madagascar
30 86 - ▲ ▲ - 11 43
- -3 - - ► -
(Central)
Congo, The
Democratic
Republic of the
-36 2 - ▼ ►
2 14 - ► ▲ -
► ► -Average
Madagascar
-8 43 - ▼ ▲ -
-
12 - - ▲ - - 3 -5 -
- 0 31 - ► ▲
- - ▲ -Androy (CL)
Madagascar
-2 36 - ► ▲
-(Central)
Congo, The
Democratic
Republic of the
-10 -14 - ▼ ▼ - - 400
- -10 13 - ▼ ▲
36 - ▼ ▲ -
-9 32 - ▼ ▲
▲ ▲ -
-4 52 - ► ▲ - -17
▲ ▼ -Congo, The
Democratic
Republic of the
Maendeleo
Congo, The
Democratic
Republic of the
- 26 - - ▲
▲ -
East
Afr
ica
26 -22 -
- 33 6 -
one month,
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
East
Afr
ica
-11 69 - ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
16
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Lilongwe Maize Grain (White) Chókwe Rice (5% Broken)
MWK 150.00 MZN 50.00
$0.21 $0.71
Rice (Milled) Gorongosa Cowpeas (Mixed)
MWK 800.00 MZN 53.28
$1.10 $0.76
Lunzu Cassava Maize Grain (White)
MWK 400.00 MZN 17.66
$0.55 $0.25
Maize Grain (White) Maputo Cowpeas (Mixed)
MWK 182.50 MZN 54.34
$0.25 $0.77
Rice (Milled) Diesel
MWK 800.00 MZN 58.95
$1.10 $0.84
Mitundu Cassava Maize Grain (White)
MWK 192.98 MZN 27.62
$0.26 $0.39
Maize Grain (White) Maize Meal
MWK 160.33 MZN 40.83
$0.22 $0.58
Rice (Milled) Refined Vegetable Oil
MWK 737.50 MZN 85.42
$1.01 $1.21
Mzuzu Cassava Rice (5% Broken)
MWK 320.55 MZN 39.17
$0.44 $0.56
Maize Grain (White) Maxixe Rice (5% Broken)
MWK 160.00 MZN 51.25
$0.22 $0.73
Rice (Milled) Nampula Diesel
MWK 750.00 MZN 60.72
$1.03 $0.86
Nsanje Maize Grain (White) Xai-Xai Cowpeas (Mixed)
MWK 180.00 MZN 46.96
$0.25 $0.67
Salima Cassava Maize Grain (White)
MWK 162.50 MZN 25.71
$0.22 $0.36
Maize Grain (White) Rice (5% Broken)
MWK 180.00 MZN 48.75
$0.25 $0.69
Rice (Milled) Chipata Maize Grain (White)
MWK 650.00 ZMW 2.78
$0.89 $0.15
Chókwe Cowpeas (Mixed) Choma Maize Grain (White)
MZN 40.00 ZMW 2.78
$0.57 $0.15
Maize Grain (White) Roller Maize Meal
MZN 29.52 ZMW 3.84
$0.42 $0.21
-7 -10 50 ▼ ▼ ▲
▲Mozambique Zambia
15 29 - ▲ ▲ -
-9 0 61 ▼ ►0 0 - ► ► -
18 60 ► ▲ ▲Zambia
- -
8 -7 5 ▲ ▼ ► -2
▲ -19 - - ▼
- ▲ - -Malawi
0 -12 9 ► ▼
▼ ▼ ▼ 12 -
- - ▼ - -Malawi Mozambique
-13 -44 -25
-Mozambique
-4 -26 -2 ► ▼ ► -22
0 - - ► -0 0 20 ► ► ▲
3 - ▼ ► -Mozambique
▼Malawi
-2 -14 12 ► ▼ ▲ -6
-3 12 -12 ► ▲-1 26 21 ► ▲ ▲
-2 22 9 ► ▲ ▲
► ▲ ▼
2 1 11 ► ► ▲
▼ ▲ 2 11 -11
33 43 ► ▲ ▲Malawi
2 -21 13 ►
0 ► ▼ ► 3
0 -9 15 ► ▼ ▲
Mozambique
10 15 26 ▲ ▲ ▲
-1 -12
7 12 58 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲ -Malawi
7 -24 4 ▲ ▼ ►
▲ 12 42 - ▲
- ▲ ▲ -Mozambique
14 0 28 ▲ ►
► ► -Malawi Mozambique
-6 -16 14 ▼ ▼
▼
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
0 3 -
▲ 22 87
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
0 -34 -13 ► ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
17
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Kabwe Maize Grain (White) San Jose Beans (Black) (W)
ZMW 2.55 USD 1.89
$0.14 $1.89
Roller Maize Meal Beans (Red) (W)
ZMW 3.49 USD 2.07
$0.19 $2.07
Kasama Maize Grain (White) Maize Grain (White) (W)
ZMW 2.81 USD 0.52
$0.15 $0.52
Roller Maize Meal Refined sugar (W)
ZMW 3.29 USD 1.03
$0.18 $1.03
Kitwe Maize Grain (White) Ahuachapán Beans (Seda Red) (W)
ZMW 3.42 USD 1.25
$0.18 $1.25
Roller Maize Meal Maize Grain (White) (W)
ZMW 3.56 USD 0.34
$0.19 $0.34
Lusaka Diesel La Unión Beans (Seda Red) (W)
ZMW 15.59 USD 1.42
$0.83 $1.42
Maize Grain (White) Maize Grain (White) (W)
ZMW 3.33 USD 0.39
$0.18 $0.39
Roller Maize Meal San Miguel Beans (Red) (W)
ZMW 3.49 USD 1.20
$0.19 $1.20
Mansa Maize Grain (White) Beans (Seda Red) (W)
ZMW 2.44 USD 1.27
$0.13 $1.27
Roller Maize Meal Maize Grain (White) (W)
ZMW 3.78 USD 0.35
$0.20 $0.35
Mongu Maize Grain (White) San Salvador Beans (Red)
ZMW 3.60 USD 1.46
$0.19 $1.46
Roller Maize Meal Beans (Seda Red)
ZMW 4.82 USD 1.57
$0.26 $1.57
Solwezi Maize Grain (White) Maize Grain (White)
ZMW 2.57 USD 0.55
$0.14 $0.55
Roller Maize Meal Rice (10% Broken)
ZMW 3.80 USD 1.10
$0.20 $1.10
San Vicente Maize Grain (White) (W)
USD 0.32
$0.32
Santa Ana Beans (Seda Red) (W)
USD 1.23
$1.23
-22 7 -8 ▼ ▲ ▼
El Salvador
El Salvador
-12 -24 -22 ▼ ▼ ▼
0 11 10 ► ▲ ▲
► ► ▲Zambia
-1 -1 39 ► ► ▲
▼
0 18 44 ► ▲ ▲ 0 0 6
▲ -15 4 -6 ▼ ►
▼ ▲ ►Zambia El Salvador
1 2 54 ► ►
▼
-7 15 50 ▼ ▲ ▲ -16 14 0
▲ -8 -22 -20 ▼ ▼
Zambia
0 5 42 ► ►
-28 9 -4 ▼ ▲ ►
▼ ▲ ►El Salvador
0 22 45 ► ▲ ▲
▼
0 -11 38 ► ▼ ▲ -28 7 -5
▲ -4 -19 -16 ► ▼
▼ ▲ -Zambia El Salvador
0 -3 41 ► ►
▼
0 16 49 ► ▲ ▲ -26 13 -
▲ -7 -11 -13 ▼ ▼
▼ ▲ ▼Zambia El Salvador
0 -5 40 ► ►
►
- -6 38 - ▼ ▲ -24 8 -7
▲ -2 -4 -5 ► ►
-26 ▼ ▼ ▼Zambia
-26 -5 32 ▼ ►
► ▼
5 12 69 ► ▲ ▲ -9 -19
► ►Zambia Costa Rica
0 -8 43 ► ▼ ▲
▲
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
-2 3 5 ►
-1 -4 -9 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
0 -12 25 ► ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
18
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Santa Ana Maize Grain (White) (W) Cap Haitien Rice (4% Broken)
USD 0.35 HTG 110.23
$0.35 $0.99
Usulután Beans (Seda Red) (W) Hinche Beans (Black)
USD 1.45 HTG 257.21
$1.45 $2.32
Maize Grain (White) (W) Maize Meal
USD 0.38 HTG 68.89
$0.38 $0.62
Chiquimula (Eastern) Beans (Black) Refined Vegetable Oil
GTQ 13.23 HTG 184.09
$1.76 $1.66
Maize Grain (White) Refined sugar
GTQ 3.53 HTG 183.72
$0.47 $1.66
Guatemala City Beans (Black) Wheat Flour
GTQ 11.02 HTG 68.32
$1.46 $0.62
Diesel Jacmel Beans (Black)
GTQ 4.40 HTG 275.58
$0.58 $2.48
Gasoline Maize Meal
GTQ 5.39 HTG 90.02
$0.72 $0.81
Maize Grain (White) Refined Vegetable Oil
GTQ 3.31 HTG 198.13
$0.44 $1.79
Huehuetenango Beans (Black) Refined sugar
GTQ 13.23 HTG 137.79
$1.76 $1.24
Maize Grain (White) Rice (4% Broken)
GTQ 3.04 HTG 132.28
$0.40 $1.19
Peten La Beans (Black) Wheat Flour
GTQ 13.23 HTG 77.16
$1.76 $0.70
Maize Grain (White) Jeremie Beans (Black)
GTQ 3.09 HTG 266.39
$0.41 $2.40
Cap Haitien Beans (Black) Maize Meal
HTG 264.56 HTG 56.49
$2.38 $0.51
Maize Meal Refined Vegetable Oil
HTG 104.72 HTG 198.13
$0.94 $1.79
Refined Vegetable Oil Refined sugar
HTG 184.92 HTG 146.98
$1.67 $1.32
Refined sugar Rice (4% Broken)
HTG 121.25 HTG 110.23
$1.09 $0.99
0 - - ► - -20 38 54 ▲ ▲ ▲
0 60 76 ► ▲ ▲
0 50 68 ► ▲ ▲
Haiti
11 19 123 ▲ ▲
0 27 69 ►
-40 76 70 ▼ ▲ ▲
Haiti
14 71 107 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲
▲ ▲
1 120 130 ► ▲ ▲
► ▲ ▲Terminal (North)
Guatemala
1 -14 - ► ▼ -
▲
11 20 - ▲ ▲ - 0 17 13
► 0 50 97 ► ▲
(Western)
Guatemala
-1 0 4 ► ►
8 39 70 ▲ ▲ ▲2 33 25 ► ▲ ▲
0 25 83 ► ▲ ▲
109 ► ▲ ▲
0 - - ► - -
▲Haiti
-1 -15 -11 ► ▼ ▼ 4 36
▼ 0 92 116 ► ▲
Guatemala
2 -17 -11 ► ▼
2 38 62 ► ▲ ▲-6 11 - ▼ ▲ -
0 43 73 ► ▲ ▲
► ▲ ▲Guatemala
0 7 5 ► ▲ ►
▲
7 20 23 ▲ ▲ ▲ 2 27 79
▼ 3 0 53 ► ►
► ▲ ▲El Salvador Haiti
-5 -19 -16 ► ▼
► ▲ ▲El Salvador Haiti
-20 12 -2 ▼ ▲
▼
0
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
0 19 57
► 0 87 132
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
-6 -16 -16 ▼ ▼
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
19
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Jeremie Wheat Flour Managua Beans (Red) (W)
HTG 66.60 NIO 31.30
$0.60 $0.91
Port-au-Prince Beans (Black) Beans (Tinto) (W)
HTG 266.39 NIO 31.20
$2.40 $0.91
Maize Meal Maize Grain (White) (W)
HTG 91.86 NIO 11.90
$0.83 $0.35
Refined Vegetable Oil Rice (20% Broken) (W)
HTG 211.34 NIO 28.44
$1.90 $0.83
Refined sugar Rice (4% Broken) (W)
HTG 110.23 NIO 31.71
$0.99 $0.92
Rice (4% Broken) Sorghum (White) (W)
HTG 126.31 NIO 13.23
$1.14 $0.38
Wheat Flour
HTG 87.27
$0.79
Tegucigalpa Beans (Red)
HNL 27.78
$1.14
Maize Grain (White)
HNL 9.95
$0.41
Rice (4% Broken)
HNL 19.84
$0.82
Mexico City Beans (Black) (W)
MXN 25.00
$1.13
Beans (Red) (W)
MXN 31.50
$1.42
Eggs (Fresh, White) (W)
MXN 27.44
$1.24
Maize Grain (White) (W)
MXN 7.30
$0.33
Refined Vegetable Oil (W)
MXN 24.58
$1.11
Refined sugar (W)
MXN 18.68
$0.84
Rice (10% Broken) (W)
MXN 27.75
$1.25
35 59 84 ▲ ▲ ▲
0 24 37 ► ▲ ▲
▲-10 -9 11 ▼ ▼
16 10 24 ▲ ▲ ▲
-5 5 28 ► ► ▲
▲
Mexico
29 77 69 ▲ ▲
0 39 39 ► ▲ ▲
0 -3 -1 ► ► ►
Honduras
-12 -6 0 ▼ ▼ ►
-40 15 8 ▼ ▲ ▲
▲
-12 8 ► ▼ ▲
-5 56 92 ► ▲
► ▲ ▲
7 53 116 ▲ ▲ ▲ 0
-
-6 33 50 ▼ ▲ ▲ 1 7 12
▲ 0 3 - ► ►
-6 -12 ▼ ▼ ▼
2 42 95 ► ▲
► ►Haiti
3 44 111 ► ▲ ▲ -11
► ►Haiti Nicaragua
6 119 163 ▲ ▲ ▲
▲
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
-47 -5 -3 ▼
-47 -3 -1 ▼
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
14 13 37 ▲ ▲
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
20
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Faizabad Rice (Low Grade) Kandahar Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
AFN 66.00 AFN 30.00
$0.86 $0.39
Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Wheat Grain
AFN 36.70 AFN 30.00
$0.48 $0.39
Wheat Grain Maimana Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 27.10 AFN 45.00
$0.35 $0.59
Hirat Diesel Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
AFN 35.00 AFN 31.00
$0.46 $0.40
Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain
AFN 104.00 AFN 25.00
$1.36 $0.33
Rice (Low Grade) Mazar-e-Sharif Diesel
AFN 40.00 AFN 38.00
$0.52 $0.50
Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Refined Vegetable Oil
AFN 23.00 AFN 98.00
$0.30 $1.28
Wheat Grain Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 24.40 AFN 45.00
$0.32 $0.59
Jalalabad Rice (Low Grade) Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
AFN 32.00 AFN 31.00
$0.42 $0.40
Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Wheat Grain
AFN 31.00 AFN 26.00
$0.40 $0.34
Wheat Grain Nili Rice (Low Grade)
AFN 29.00 AFN 70.00
$0.38 $0.91
Kabul Diesel Wheat Flour (Low Quality)
AFN 33.00 AFN 36.00
$0.43 $0.47
Refined Vegetable Oil Wheat Grain
AFN 101.00 AFN 30.00
$1.32 $0.39
Rice (Low Grade) Karachi Rice (Long Grain, Basmati)
AFN 33.00 PKR 95.59
$0.43 $0.57
Wheat Flour (Low Quality) Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)
AFN 32.00 PKR 69.19
$0.42 $0.41
Wheat Grain Wheat Flour
AFN 30.00 PKR 67.64
$0.39 $0.40
Kandahar Rice (Low Grade) Lahore Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6)
AFN 43.00 PKR 57.50
$0.56 $0.34
1 2 ► ► ►Afghanistan Pakistan
▲ ▲ ▲
3 43 38 ► ▲ ▲ 1
► ▲ ▲ 10 40 57
0 14 40 ► ▲ ▲
Pakistan
-4 19 34 ► ▲ ▲
2 25 29
1 9 24 ► ▲ ▲
2 ▼ ► ►
-12 -38 -42 ▼ ▼ ▼
▲Afghanistan
0 51 35 ► ▲ ▲ -12 3
▼ -1 13 12 ► ▲
5 ► ► ►Afghanistan
-10 -30 -26 ▼ ▼
▲ ▲
4 12 26 ► ▲ ▲ -1 -1
▲ ▲ 2 30 29 ►
29 37 ► ▲ ▲Afghanistan
-4 11 27 ►
► ► ▲
-9 7 3 ▼ ▲ ► -3
► ▲ ▲ 0 2 13
-2 17 22 ► ▲ ▲
Afghanistan
0 8 -2 ► ▲ ►
-1 24 33
0 -21 -9 ► ▼ ▼
16 ► ▲ ▲
-4 24 26 ► ▲ ▲
▲Afghanistan
-1 38 43 ► ▲ ▲ 4 19
▼ 0 19 26 ► ▲
10 ► ► ▲Afghanistan
9 -24 -16 ▲ ▼
▲ ▲
-4 18 15 ► ▲ ▲ 0 0
▲ ▲Afghanistan Afghanistan
1 41 36 ► ▲ ▲
▲
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
-7 12 22 ▼
2 20 23 ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
0 14 27 ► ▲
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
21
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Lahore Wheat Flour Amran Wheat Flour
PKR 43.00 YER 312.50
$0.26 $1.25
Multan Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) Wheat Grain
PKR 93.75 YER 250.00
$0.56 $1.00
Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) Hajja Wheat Flour
PKR 66.18 YER 270.00
$0.40 $1.08
Wheat Flour Wheat Grain
PKR 44.99 YER 242.50
$0.27 $0.97
Peshawar Rice (Long Grain, Basmati) Sana'a Casual Labor (wage)
PKR 90.00 YER 6000.00
$0.54 $24.02
Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) Diesel
PKR 70.00 YER 497.50
$0.42 $1.99
Wheat Flour Rice (Milled)
PKR 54.89 YER 1000.00
$0.33 $4.00
Quetta Rice (Long Grain, IRRI-6) Wheat Flour
PKR 94.91 YER 300.00
$0.57 $1.20
Wheat Flour Wheat Grain
PKR 59.24 YER 300.00
$0.35 $1.20
Aden Wheat Flour
YER 350.00
$1.40
Wheat Grain
YER 350.00
$1.40
Al Hudaydah Casual Labor (wage)
YER 3500.00
$14.01
Diesel
YER 340.00
$1.36
Diesel
YER 652.60
$2.61
Rice (Milled)
YER 925.00
$3.70
Wheat Flour
YER 267.50
$1.07
Wheat Grain
YER 255.00
$1.02
2 -2 - ► ► -
▲7 7 31 ▲ ▲
3 54 - ► ▲ -
-17 51 109 ▼ ▲ ▲
▼
Yemen
-21 -24 -11 ▼ ▼
0 0 - ► ► -
Yemen
8 17 - ▲ ▲ -
-
4 40 78 ► ▲ ▲
▲ 0 20 - ► ▲
Pakistan
7 38 47 ▲ ▲
0 7 42 ► ▲ ▲
- ► ▲ -
0 18 69 ► ▲ ▲
▲ ▲
-4 28 43 ► ▲ ▲ 0 18
▲ ▲ -33 16 46 ▼
- ► ▲ -Pakistan Yemen
0 18 41 ►
► -
0 7 20 ► ▲ ▲ 0 50
0 11 23 ► ▲ ▲
-4 32 ► ► ▲Yemen
1 -3 - ►
▲ -Pakistan
2 13 42 ► ▲ ▲ 0
▲ ▲Pakistan Yemen
0 6 20 ► ▲ ▲
▲
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
12 19 64 ▲
0 12 - ►
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
-8 3 13 ▼ ►
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month, one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
22
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 30, 2020
Current Current
price/kg One One 5-year price/kg One One 5-year
Major markets US$ price month year avg. Major markets US$ price month year avg.
Gulf of Mexico Maize Saryagash Milling Wheat
United States (Yellow No. 2) Kazakhstan KZT 99.90
USD 0.15 $0.24
$0.15 Black Sea Milling Wheat
Randfontein Maize (Average) USD 0.20
South Africa (Yellow) $0.20
(SAFEX) ZAR 2.94 Eastern States Wheat (ASW)
$0.17 Australia AUD 0.30
Maize (standard) $0.22
(White) Gulf of Mexico Wheat
ZAR 2.93 United States No. 2, Hard Red Winter
$0.17 USD 0.22
Up River Maize $0.22
Argentina ARS 12.05 Gulf of Mexico Wheat
$0.16 United States No. 2, Soft Red Winter
USD 0.21
$0.21
Randfontein Wheat Grain
Bangkok Rice South Africa ZAR 5.71
Thailand (100% B) (SAFEX) $0.33
THB 16.23 Rouën Wheat
$0.52 France (Grade 1)
Rice EUR 0.19
(A1 Super) $0.22
THB 13.23 St. Lawrence Wheat
$0.42 Canada (CWRS)
Hanoi Rice CAD 0.31
Vietnam (5% broken) $0.23
VND 10,440 Up River Wheat
$0.45 Argentina (Trigo Pan)
ARS 17.55
$0.24
Gulf of Mexico Sorghum (Yellow No. 2)
United States USD 0.20
$0.20 WTI Crude Oil*
United States USD 42.36
$42.36
Brent Crude Oil*
Gulf of Mexico Soybeans Northern Sea USD 44.26
United States USD 0.22 $44.26
$0.22 Dubai Crude Oil*
Persian Gulf USD 43.71
$43.71
*reported in $/bbl
Caribbean* Sugar (Raw)
(Average) USD 0.37
$0.37
SUGAR
▼ ▼
3 -26 -20 ► ▼ ▼
▲
SORGHUM
CRUDE OIL
4 -23 -18 ► ▼ ▼
SOYBEANS
►
1 24 22 ► ▲ ▲
-2 1 8
▲
1 9 20 ► ▲ ▲
1 9 -1
▲
5 17 24 ▲ ▲ ▲
2 17 10
RICE
-1 24 33 ► ▲
▲ ►
-1 6 11 ► ▲ ▲
13 2 4 ▲ ► ►
10 7 14 ▲ ▲ ▲
MAIZE WHEAT
-2 -9 -6 ► ▼ ▼
►0 2 0 ► ►
3 6 -3 ► ▲ ►
3 -25 -20 ►
8 33 22 ▲ ▲ ▲
► ▲
► ►
► ▲
8 9 2 ▲ ▲ ►
0 9 4 ►
-5 -7 ► ▼ ▼
► ▲ ►
0
► ▲ ▲
-1
-1
Inte
rnati
on
al
26 60
5 4
one month,
one year, and one year, and
5-year avg. 5-year avg.
Inte
rnati
on
al
Food and Fuel Price Trends Food and Fuel Price Trends
% Change Over
Change over
% Change Over
Change over
one month,
___________________________________________________________________
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
_________________________________
23
FEWS NET
www.fews.net
PRICE WATCH ANNEX 2 August 2020 prices September 30, 2020
We
st A
fric
a
Figure 14. Millet prices in West Africa (2013 - 2020) Figure 15. Sorghum prices in West Africa (2014 - 2020)
Figure 16. Maize prices in West Africa (2014 - 2020) Figure 17. Rice prices in West Africa (2014 - 2020)
East
Afr
ica
Figure 18. Dry bean prices in East Africa (2014 - 2020) Figure 19. Sorghum prices in East Africa (2014 - 2020)
Sources of prices in West Africa: Information System on agricultural markets (SIMA) Niger, Agricultural Market Observatory (OMA) Mali, Burkina Faso SONAGESS, Information System market
(SIM) in Senegal and FEWS NET.
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. The Price Watch Annex 2 provides prices
trends for key markets and staple foods monitored across FEWS NET countries and regions. The commodities with a reference (W) are wholesale prices. Otherwise, all reported
prices are retail.
FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.
____________________* imported rice
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Moundou, Chad Solenzo, Burkina FasoSegou, Segou centre, Mali Maradi, NigerKaolak, Senegal
USD/kg
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Maradi, Niger Moundou, Chad
Segou, Segou centre, Mali Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso
Kano, Nigeria (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Bol, Chad Malanville, Benin
Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso Kano, Nigeria (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Bamako, Mali Dakar, Tilène, Senegal
Monrovia, Red Light, Liberia
USD/kg
0.00
0.40
0.80
1.20
1.60
2.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Kigali City, Rwanda
Eldoret, Kenya (W) Masindi, Uganda (W)
USD/kg
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Al Qadarif, Sudan Baidoa, Somalia
Kampala, Uganda (W) Juba, South Sudan
Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W)
USD/kg
*
*
PRICE WATCH ANNEX
Famine Early Warning Systems Network
East
Afr
ica
Figure 20. Maize prices in surplus areas of East Africa (2014 - 2020) Figure 21. Maize prices in deficit areas of East Africa (2013 - 2019)
Figure 24. Imported rice prices in Southern Africa (2014 - 2020)
So
uth
ern
Afr
ica
24
Figure 22. White maize prices in Southern Africa (2014 - 2020) Figure 23. Bean and cowpea prices in Southern Africa (2014 - 2020)
September 2020
Sources of prices in East Africa: Food and Agriculture Market Information System (FAMIS) FSTS/FEWS NET in Somalia, Uganda Bureau of Statistics and Farmgain, Tanzania Ministry of
Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM), Ethiopia Grain Trade Enterprise (EGTE), Ministry of Agriculture of Kenya, Arid Lands Resource Management Project (ALRMP), SIFSIA, WFP VAM and
Sources of prices in Southern Africa: Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development of Malawi, Ministry of Industry, Trade and Marketing (MITM)) of Tanzania, Observatoire du
Riz of Madagascar, Ministry of Agriculture of Mozambique, Central Statistics Office of Zambia, SAFEX, WFP and FEWS NET.
Government.
____________________* dry beans** cowpeas
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8O
ct-1
8Ja
n-1
9A
pr-
19
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0Ju
l-2
0
Lilongwe, Malawi Lusaka, Zambia
Maputo, Mozambique Mbeya, Tanzania (W)
Randfontein, South Africa
USD/kgUSD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Dodoma, Tanzania (W)
Maputo, Mozambique Nampula, Mozambique
USD/kg
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Arusha, Tanzania (W) Bahir Dar, Ethiopia (W)Eldoret, Kenya (W) Kampala, Uganda (W)Qorioley, Somalia Songea, Tanzania (W)
USD/kg
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Dire Dawa, Ethiopia (W) Jamame, Somalia
Jijiga, Ethiopia Juba, South Sudan
Nairobi, Kenya (W)
USD/kg
* *
** **
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8O
ct-1
8Ja
n-1
9A
pr-
19
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0Ju
l-2
0
Maputo, Mozambique Antananarivo, Madagascar
USD/kg
PRICE WATCH ANNEX September 2020
Government.
Famine Early Warning Systems Network 25
Cen
tral A
sia
Figure 29. Wheat grain prices in Central Asia (2014 - 2020) Figure 30. Wheat flour prices in Central Asia (2014 - 2020)
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
Figure 27. Imported rice prices in Haiti (2014 - 2020) Figure 28. Black bean prices in Haiti (2014 - 2020)
Cen
tral A
meri
ca a
nd
Cari
bb
ean
Figure 25. White maize prices in Central America (2014 - 2020) Figure 26. Dry bean prices in Central America (2014 - 2020)
**
**
**
*
Sources of prices in Central America and Caribbean: Coordination nationale de la sécurité alimentaire (CNSA) and FEWS NET, MAL, Dirección General de Economía Agropecuaria (DGEA),
Sistema de Información de Mercados Productos Agrícolas de Honduras (SIMPAH), Secretaria de Economia de Mexico, and Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganaderia y Alimentacion de Guatemala
(MAGA).
____________________* black beans ** red beans
Sources of prices in Central Asia: Afghanistan, WFP and FEWS NET.
0.00
0.40
0.80
1.20
1.60
2.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8O
ct-1
8Ja
n-1
9A
pr-
19
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0Ju
l-2
0
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, HaitiJacmel, Haiti Jérémie, HaitiPort-au-Prince, Haiti
USD/kg
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Guatemala City, Guatemala (W) Managua, NicaraguaSan Salvador, El Salvador San Jose, Costa Rica (W)Tegucigalpa, Honduras
USD/kg
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Guatemala City, Guatemala Managua, Nicaragua (W)
San Salvador, El Salvador Mexico City, Mexico (W)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras
USD/kg
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Cap Haïtien, Haiti Hinche, Haiti
Jacmel, Haiti Jérémie, Haiti
Port-au-Prince, Haiti
USD/kg
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4
Jul-
14
Oct
-14
Jan
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Jul-
16
Oct
-16
Jan
-17
Ap
r-1
7Ju
l-1
7
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8
Jul-
18
Oct
-18
Jan
-19
Ap
r-1
9Ju
l-1
9
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0
Jul-
20
Kabul, Afghanistan Lahore, Pakistan
Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan Saryagash, Kazakhstan
USD/kg
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
Jan
-14
Ap
r-1
4Ju
l-1
4O
ct-1
4Ja
n-1
5A
pr-
15
Jul-
15
Oct
-15
Jan
-16
Ap
r-1
6Ju
l-1
6O
ct-1
6Ja
n-1
7A
pr-
17
Jul-
17
Oct
-17
Jan
-18
Ap
r-1
8Ju
l-1
8O
ct-1
8Ja
n-1
9A
pr-
19
Jul-
19
Oct
-19
Jan
-20
Ap
r-2
0Ju
l-2
0
Mazar-e-Sharif, Afghanistan Kabul, Afghanistan
Faizabad, Afghanistan National Average, Tajikistan
USD/kg
**
* ****