EXTREME HEAT: B- C+ A B DROUGHT: WILDFIRE: C INLAND...
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NORTH DAKOTA SOME ACTIONS ALREADY TAKEN WEAKNESSES • The state’s Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, technical assistance programs, disaster response plans, emergency communications and preparedness materials, and sector-specific programs help the state address its current climate risks. • The North Dakota State Wildlife Action Plan: Planning for Climate Change in North Dakota was funded by a North Dakota State Wildlife Grant and outlines projected precipitation and temperature trends for mid- and end-of-century timescales throughout the state. • No evidence of a detailed, statewide climate change vulnerability assessments across the sectors examined. • No evidence of detailed, statewide climate change adaptation plans across the sectors examined. • No evidence of official state funding, policies, or guidelines to improve resilience against climate change-related extreme heat or inland flooding. • No evidence of action to incorporate future projections associated with extreme heat or inland flooding into state-level programs, investments, and activities. Implementing Resilience Actions Addressing Current Risks Conducting Vulnerability Assessments Planning for Adaptation Extensive Strong Limited Fair None ACTION TAKEN: Extreme Heat Drought Wildfire Inland Flooding Coastal Flooding EXTREME HEAT: DROUGHT: WILDFIRE: INLAND FLOODING: COASTAL FLOODING: OVERALL: C+ B- — — C+ — A B C D F OVERALL GRADE: C+ North Dakota faces considerable and significantly increasing threats from extreme heat and inland flooding between now and 2050. It scores an overall grade of C+ on the Report Card, with a B- for extreme heat and a C+ for inland flooding. The grades are relative to other states, and relative to the magnitude of the climate threats themselves. Although North Dakota has taken extensive action to address its current inland flooding risks and strong action to address it current extreme heat risks, it has taken only limited action to develop or fund studies, programs, plans, or climate change adaptation measures intended to address its future climate risks.
Transcript of EXTREME HEAT: B- C+ A B DROUGHT: WILDFIRE: C INLAND...
NORTH DAKOTA
SOME ACTIONS ALREADY TAKEN
WEAKNESSES
• The state’s Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, technical assistance programs, disaster response plans, emergency communications and preparedness materials, and sector-specific programs help the state address its current climate risks.
• The North Dakota State Wildlife Action Plan: Planning for Climate Change in North Dakota was funded by a North Dakota State Wildlife Grant and outlines projected precipitation and temperature trends for mid- and end-of-century timescales throughout the state.
• No evidence of a detailed, statewide climate change vulnerability assessments across the sectors examined.
• No evidence of detailed, statewide climate change adaptation plans across the sectors examined.
• No evidence of official state funding, policies, or guidelines to improve resilience against climate change-related extreme heat or inland flooding.
• No evidence of action to incorporate future projections associated with extreme heat or inland flooding into state-level programs, investments, and activities.
Implementing Resilience Actions
Addressing Current Risks
Conducting VulnerabilityAssessments
Planning for Adaptation
Extensive
Strong
Limited
Fair
None
ACTION TAKEN:
Extreme Heat
Drought
Wildfire
Inland Flooding
Coastal Flooding
EXTREME HEAT:
DROUGHT:
WILDFIRE:
INLAND FLOODING:
COASTAL FLOODING:
OVERALL: C+B-
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C+
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ABCDF
OVERALL GRADE:
C+North Dakota faces considerable and significantly increasing threats from extreme heat and inland flooding between now and 2050. It scores an overall grade of C+ on the Report Card, with a B- for extreme heat and a C+ for inland flooding. The grades are relative to other states, and relative to the magnitude of the climate threats themselves. Although North Dakota has taken extensive action to address its current inland flooding risks and strong action to address it current extreme heat risks, it has taken only limited action to develop or fund studies, programs, plans, or climate change adaptation measures intended to address its future climate risks.
0.00.20.40.60.81.0 million
OVERALL:
DROUGHT:
WILDFIRE:
INLAND FLOODING:
EXTREME HEAT:
COASTAL FLOODING:
EXTREME HEAT: B-C+
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C+
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B-
KEY FINDINGS:
Lowest Highest
BELOW AVERAGE
THREAT LEVEL:
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AVERAGE
PREPAREDNESS LEVEL:
The preparedness grade represents how well a state is preparing for its threat level, relative to all states evaluated for that threat. It compares a state’s position in the distribution of threat levels to its position in the distribution of preparedness scores. Thus two states with the same absolute preparedness score might receive different grades, depending on their levels of threat—a state with a higher threat level would receive a lower grade. For details, see the methodology.
North Dakota earns a B- for its average level of preparedness in the face of a below average overall extreme heat threat. Currently, North Dakota faces a below average threat among the lower 48 states, and the state has taken extensive action, more than the majority of states, to prepare for its current heat risks. The state includes extreme heat in its Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, and the North Dakota Department of Health’s Emergency Preparedness and Response Section works to improve the preparedness of the state’s public health system during extreme heat events. By 2050, North Dakota is projected to continue to face a below average threat, and has taken limited action to prepare for its future heat risks. North Dakota does not have an adaptation plan addressing heat impacts on the sectors examined, and it has taken no action to implement any programs or actions that address its future heat risks.
ABCDF
NORTH DAKOTA COMPARED TO OTHER STATES:
EXTREME HEAT THREAT DID YOU KNOW?Extreme Heat Threat to Vulnerable Populations†
Rank(among states) 44th 32nd
† Average number of heat wave days per year times total vulnerable popula-tion. A score of 1 represents 1 vulnerable person exposed to 1 heat wave day.
32nd
• Currently, North Dakota averages fewer than 5 days a year classified as dangerous or extremely dangerous, according to the NWS Heat Index. By 2050, the state is projected to see this number quadruple to 20 such days a year.
• By 2050, the typical number of heat wave days in North Dakota is projected to increase five-fold from 10 to almost 50 days a year.
• North Dakota has more than 15,000 people aged 65 and older, or under 5 years old, living below the poverty line, which is below average among the lower 48 states. These groups are considered to be especially vulnerable to extreme heat.
Average annual number of heat wave days: Average number of days each year on which the maximum temperature exceeds the 95th percentile of daily maximum temperature in the baseline period (1991-2010) for at least three consecutive days.
NORTH DAKOTA
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EXTREME HEAT:EXAMPLE CRITERIA
B-A subset of the criteria used to develop North Dakota’s extreme heat preparedness grade.
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Does the State Hazard Mitigation Plan cover extreme heat?
Does the state have an extreme heat emergency response plan that is updated routinely?
Does the state provide extreme heat emergency communication materials for citizens?
Has the state published information on how the frequency or severity of extreme heat events may change in the future?
Has the state conducted extreme heat vulnerability assessments for each sector?
Is the state tracking extreme heat impacts?
Is there a statewide climate change adaptation plan covering extreme heat?
Is there a statewide implementation plan for climate change adaptation?
Does the state have sector-specific extreme heat adaptation plans?
Are there optional state guidelines for resilient activities (e.g., construction)?
Are there state requirements for resilient activities (e.g., construction)?
Is there evidence that the state is implementing extreme heat adaptation policy/guidelines?
ADDRESSING CURRENT RISKS
IMPLEMENTING RESILIENCE ACTIONS
PLANNING FOR ADAPTATION
CONDUCTING VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS
“n/a” indicates that the sector is either insensitive to the threat or the state does not have a significant role.
NORTH DAKOTA
OVERALL:
DROUGHT:
WILDFIRE:
INLAND FLOODING:
COASTAL FLOODING:
EXTREME HEAT: B-
C+
—
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C+—
NORTH DAKOTA
INLAND FLOODING: C+
Lowest Highest
BELOW AVERAGE
THREAT LEVEL:
0% 100%
AVERAGE
PREPAREDNESS LEVEL:
The preparedness grade represents how well a state is preparing for its threat level, relative to all states evaluated for that threat. It compares a state’s position in the distribution of threat levels to its position in the distribution of preparedness scores. Thus two states with the same absolute preparedness score might receive different grades, depending on their levels of threat—a state with a higher threat level would receive a lower grade. For details, see the methodology.
North Dakota earns a C+ for its average level of preparedness in the face of a below average overall inland flooding threat. Currently, the state’s threat level is below average among the 32 states assessed for inland flooding. Much of North Dakota’s inland flooding occurs on main-stem rivers heavily affected by precipitation and runoff from other states, compounding the state’s challenge in addressing inland flooding risks. North Dakota has taken extensive action to address its current inland flooding risks through its Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan and State Emergency Operations Plan. Additionally, the state’s Community Assistance Program—State Support Services Element helps communities adopt, administer, and enforce floodplain management ordinances. By 2050, North Dakota is projected to continue to face a below average threat and it has taken limited action to prepare for its future inland flooding risks. For example, the state has not conducted climate change vulnerability assessments regarding future inland flooding risks, nor has it developed an adaptation plan across state agencies.
ABCDF
NORTH DAKOTA COMPARED TO OTHER STATES:
KEY FINDINGS:
0.05.8
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INLAND FLOODING THREATInland Flooding Threat Weighted by Vulnerable Populations (Index)
Rank(among states) 27th 27th
Average annual severity of high flow events weighted by total vulner-able population and vulnerable population as a percentage of state population.
31st
• More than 50,000 people in North Dakota’s population are living in flood prone areas (defined as FEMA’s 100-year floodplain), which is below average among the 32 assessed for inland flooding. However, this represents more than 7 percent of the state’s total population, which is above average and ranks in the top 5 states.
• The severity of North Dakota’s high runoff events, weighted by vulnerable population, is currently below average.
• By 2050, North Dakota’s inland flooding threat is projected to increase less than 10 percent, which is a below average increase—the smallest among the 32 states.
DID YOU KNOW?
Average annual severity of high flow events: Sum of runoff volume per year that exceeds the 95th percentile of daily total runoff in the baseline (1991-2010) period.
2000 2030 2050
NORTH DAKOTA
INLAND FLOODING: C+EXAMPLE CRITERIAA subset of the criteria used to develop North Dakota’s inland flooding preparedness grade.
“n/a” indicates that the sector is either insensitive to the threat or the state does not have a significant role.
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Tran
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Wat
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Health
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Does the State Hazard Mitigation Plan cover inland flooding?
Does the state have an inland flooding emergency response plan that is updated routinely?
Does the state provide inland flooding emergency communication materials for citizens?
Has the state published information on how the frequency or severity of inland flooding may change in the future?
Has the state conducted inland flooding vulnerability assessments for each sector?
Is the state tracking inland flooding impacts?
Is there a statewide climate change adaptation plan covering inland flooding?
Is there a statewide implementation plan for climate change adaptation?
Does the state have sector-specific inland flooding adaptation plans?
Are there optional state guidelines for resilient activities (e.g., construction)?
Are there state requirements for resilient activities (e.g., construction)?
Is there evidence that the state is implementing inland flooding adaptation policy/guidelines?
ADDRESSING CURRENT RISKS
IMPLEMENTING RESILIENCE ACTIONS
PLANNING FOR ADAPTATION
CONDUCTING VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENTS
