EXPORT OF TECHNICAL CONSULTANCY SERVICES fileStrengths&Weaknesses (a) Transport Studies (b) Water...
Transcript of EXPORT OF TECHNICAL CONSULTANCY SERVICES fileStrengths&Weaknesses (a) Transport Studies (b) Water...
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EXPORT OF TECHNICAL CONSULTANCY SERVICES
Entrance to Global Markets of the Consultancy Sector in Emerging Economies / Difficulties + Models
By Reinhard HONERT
[email protected] Skype: honert
VOIP: 0049-2375-612360Eg.-Mob.: 0020- 1-9813-0535
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Free Lancer
1. Free Lancing in Consulting?2. How to find Free Lancer?3. Pros and Contras4. Aspects of Working in Malta
5. Arab Upraising and Strategic Aspects
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1. Free Lancing in Consulting?
• Company can’t hold all Experts in-house(In financial terms Experts allow Leverage)
• Subcontracting is closest to free lancing• Partners want their own share in a project• Sometimes better than outsourcing (India)• Typical FL fields: journalism, editing, event
planning +management, proofreading, computer progr., web +graphic design, tour guiding, translating, etc. (International FL is relat. new)
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2. How to find Free Lancer?
• Your own network, your association• Martin Güldner (GOPA) and Thomas
Gonzales (IDOM) use in-house Databases
• International firms offer access to DB via internet e.g.: http://www.~~.~
– devex.com/en/groups/89 ; ce-lob.de/Projects/ ; connect-eu.eu/– xing.com/net/en-it-freelancers-searching-for-projects/europe-aid/– ageg.de/project_jobs/individual_consultants_lot_2/– developmentaid.org/viewjob-62884-Short-Term-Freelance-Consultant
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3. Pros and Contras
• Pros: specialized experts are expensive to entertain in-house;
• Gain more mobility; without fix employees• Optimize workload; optimize proposal• Contras: reliability, integration in the own
team and corporation / identity• F.L. may have their own agenda• To which degree are they loyal
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4. Aspects of Working in Malta
• With 20 years free lanceing I was Team Leader of the PMT for WWTP (95 Mio €)
• Mt is a small market; no follow-up project• EU Member State with own agenda; I was
loyal to company values + to client ideas• Most southern EU state off Africa’s coast• My wife heads UNDP’s Arab Governance
Dept. with many insights into Arab world
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Morocco: AlgeriaTunesia: LibyaEgypt
JordanPalestinaIsraelSyriaLebanonSaudi ArabiaYemen
OmanQatarUAEBahrainIran
Sum of Arab: States (Indicators)
In Mediterraneanin EU Mem.StatesIn Germanyin GreeceIn Malta
5. Arab Upraising and Strategic Aspects
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Sum of Arab States Indicators
CountryTot. Population
+Non-nationals
Un-employ-ment
unem-ployed under 25
Below poverty line
GDP per capita
Years in power
Dic-ta-tors
Infra-struct. invest.
Infra. invest. abroad
GDP in Bn.
Morocco 34,000,000 10.0% 31.8% 15.0% 4,900$ 12 167$ Algeria 35,000,000 4,435$ 155$ Tunesia: 10,434,400 13.0% 3.8% 9,500$ 24 24 99$ Libya 5,770,585 350,000 14.0% 7.0% 13,800$ 42 42 84$ Egypt 80,000,000 8.9% 49.3% 20.0% 6,200$ 30 59 60 496$ 3Saudi A. 21,560,901 5,576,076 10.0% 23,701$ 1 48 643$ 1Yemen 20,975,000 10.0% 14.0% 45.0% 2,600$ 33 33 55$ UAE 995,119 3,980,474 4.0% 47,407$ 9.6 14.174 236$ 4Jordan 6,407,085 11.9% 13.3% 4,435$ 28$ Palestine 4,000,000 high high 2,900$ 12$ Israel 7,653,600 26,796$ 205$ 5Syria 22,457,763 high high high 2,958$ 11 41 66$ Lebanon 3,849,000 375,000 OK go abroad 9,479$ 40$ Oman 3,655,000 569,000 18,013$ 76$ Qatar 3,884,687 339,313 81,963$ 346$ 2Bahrain 3,977,081 246,919 5-9% 0.0% 40,000$ 12 12 169$ Iran 68,278,826 14.6% 18.0% 11,200$ 765$
332,899,047Sources http://www.oasiscenter.eu/it/node/6784
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/world/middle-east-protests/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page
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Selected Arab Countries
Country
Tot. Pop. In Mio.
+Non-nation. Mio.
Unem Tot.
ployed >25 y
<po-verty line
GDP / capita US$
Infra-struct. invest.
GDP in Bn.
Qatar 3.885 0.339 81,963 346 UAE 0.995 3.980 4% 47,407 9.6 236 Saudi A. 21.561 5.576 10% 23,701 643 Libya 5.771 0.350 14% 7% 13,800 war 84 Iran 68.279 15% 18% 11,200 765 Egypt 80.000 9% 49% 20% 6,200 60.0 496 Yemen 20.975 10% 14% 45% 2,600 55
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Discussion: projecting / investing; “Hinterland” / other synergies? In Mediterranean Countries: • EU e.g. Italy, Malta?• North Africa Arabic speaking countries?• Sub-Saharan Africa?
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1st C
riter
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2nd
Crit
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(A) S
WO
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(B)
Stre
ngth
s&W
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(a) T
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Stu
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(b) W
ater
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(c) E
nviro
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t Stu
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(d)
Pro
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Man
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(C)
Opp
ortu
nitie
s&Th
reat
s(a
) Tar
get
(b) 2
nd T
arge
t Asi
a+S
A+E
U(c
) No
Targ
et A
frica
New Challenges(1) Financial Crisis
(1.1) Infrastructure Investment(1.2) Inefficient Administration(1.3) Corrupt Administration
(2) Climate Change(2.1) Mitigation (Energy, Water)(2.2) Adaptation (Energy, Water)(2.3) Conservation (Water)
(3) Arab World (Uprising)(3.1) Oil Rich Countries(3.2) Mid-Income Countries(3.3) Least Developed Countries
The table serves to chritalize ideasIt is not: to calculate chances!
not even to grade (like in school)!a probability exercise!
Standard Biz = get more and more competition = competition on prices only = markets are saturated
New Biz = offers specialities, new chances, new profiles = new experts, new distinction = new spaces among firms of the "old boys"
Swot Analysis is a needed pre-requisitStrengths = only strong sides can be sold!Weaknesses = many weaknssses block the sell of services! (->partnering!)Opportunities = opportunities are always needed! (Fast follow-up is needed!)Threats = may spoil the business! (misunderstandings, etc.)
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In Sum: know your strength + partner, select market + staff + free lancer,
win the tender + profit from the project
Recommendations:1st years go with intenational partner firmThen go with one (or some) of the Constructorsafter 5 years office in a new country (with 2-3 projects); persue with local firms
--> own opportunities (with local partner) --> own studies, planning, supervision --> invite Contractors of your own choice
Threats: Stay out of "Conflict of interests in single cases"Language - misunderstandings (never without local partner)Different Culture, Laws, Taxes, Insurances, Systems, etc.
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In the Mediterranen
in North Africa:- Egypt- Moroccoin EU Member States:- Germany- Greece- Malta
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MoroccoAfter thousands of protesters demanded a new government and a constitutional monarchy, King Mohammed VI promised to reform them.• Population: 34 million• Unemployment: 10%; under-25: 31.80%• Below poverty line: 15%• GDP per capita: $4.900King Mohammed VI followed his father in 1999 His father Hasan II’s died in 1999. In power more than 12 years (incl. his father >xx years)
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TunisiaPresident Ben Ali was in power since 1987. The Country is since in a difficult post-revolutionary transition.• Population: 10.434.400• Unemployment: 13%• Below poverty line: 3.8%• Per capita income: $ 9.500In power since more than 24 years.
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LibyaColonel Muammar Gaddafi’s militias respondedwith violence to the people’s protests in Tripoli and Benghazi.• Population: 6.120.585• Unemployment: 14 %• Below poverty line: 7%• GDP per capita: $ 13.800Gaddafi has been in power since 1969. 42 years.
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EgyptPresident Mubarak resigned after 30 years in
power. The Country is controlled by the the army and an interim government.
• Population: 80 millions• Unemployment: 8.9 %; under-25: 49.3%• Below poverty line: 20%• GDP per capita $6.200In power 30 years (dictators since 1952; 59 years)
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Saudi ArabiaIn early 2011, King Abdullah answered the Arab upraising by giving asylum to President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali of Tunisia. To protests in S.A., King Abdullah gave benefits • for citizens amounting to $10.7 Bn. • (offset high inflation; aid to young unemployed; • aid to Saudi citizens studying abroad; • writing off some loans; state employ’s incomes increased • by 15 %, +cash for housing loans). • No political reforms were announced • Some prisoners (financial crimes) were pardoned.The royal family is in power since 48 years.
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YemenPresident Ali Abdullah Saleh offered after many days of protests and after many deaths to resign in 30 days, if he would get immunity. • Population: 20.975.000• Unemployment 10-14 %• Below poverty line: 45%• GDP per capita $ 2.600President Ali Abdullah Saleh is in power since 1978. Until 1990 Yemen was divided. He governed 33 years.
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UAEThe UAE has a constitution and a president, but itis neither a constitutional monarchy nor a republic. It is a federation of seven monarchies, whose rulers retain absolute power within their emirates. • Population nationals: 995,119• Population non-nationals: 3,980,474• The IMF determined a GDP of US$47,407• Unemployment 4%• Infrastructure investment 9.6 Bn US$• Infrastructure investment abroad 14.174 Bn US$
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SyriaThe Arab uprising sparked Syrian protests.Since 1963 Syria suffers emergency laws. President Bashar al-Assad mobilized the military
against protesters. • Population: 22,457,763• Unemployment: high• Per capita income: $2,958 Railway to Turkey has relat. good infrastructure
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Bahrain• The opposition takes advantage of the Shi’ite
protest to force the king to dissolve the government.
• Population: 1.234.596• Unemployment: 5-9%• Per capita income: $ 40.000King Hamad Bin Isa Al-Khalifa is since 1999 in power. More than 12 years.
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IranAn Islamic Republic since 1979 (the Shah’s expulsion).Demonstraters clashed with the police. The Foreign Affairs Minister condemned Libya’s “massacre of the innocents”.• Population: 68.278.826• Unemployment: 14.6%• Below poverty line: 18%• GDP per capita: $ 11.200Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is President since 2005; Imam Khamenei has been Supreme Leader since 1989. Since imam Khomeini’s death.
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Thank youTeşekkür
Reinhard HONERT
[email protected] Skype: honert, VOIP: 0049-2375-612360
Eg.-Mob.: 0020- 1-9813-0535