Humanity 2020: The Next 10 Years of Human Development - Ramez Naam - H+ Summit @ Harvard
exponential energy and the preferred future · ramez naam 41. exponential energy Solar R D B A T T...
Transcript of exponential energy and the preferred future · ramez naam 41. exponential energy Solar R D B A T T...
✦so you must ✦ look for disruptive changes ✦see Preferred Future
directions as early as possible
when we ignore disruptions
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✦ generations, in cities ✦ intelligent systems ✦ environment imperatives ✦ emerging electric century ✦ reinvented energy
longtermfuture
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✦ global population growth from 7.6 billion to ~ 9.8 billion....
✦ with 80% living in cities / metro areas
✦ requires energy transition
genera&onsinci&es
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✦ in the next 30 years we have to produce about 50% more food annually than we do today
globalfoodchallenge
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sky greens urban farm, Singapore Mithun Architects 23 story proposal for Seattle, 300 residences, 1.35 acres crops, chicken farm, cafe, etc.
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how will we power a smarter future?
We're coupling the price of energy to the ever-declining cost of technology.
Ramez Naam
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UScentsp
erkwh
1
10
100
1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
57₵/kwh
4₵/kwh
15xPriceDeclineWindPowerCost–USInterior(Unsubsidized)
courtesy ramez naam
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$0.10
$1.00
$10.00
$100.00
1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017
cost of solar power$77.00
$0.30
250x price decline
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GlobalPipelineofNewCoalPowerPlantsShrinkingFast
Planned coal power capacity in pre-construction status has declined from 1,090GW in 2015 to 364GW in July 2018, with the biggest drops in China (light blue) and India (dark blue). Source: Global Coal Plant Tracker, July 2018.
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“It’s a solar roof, as opposed to modules on a roof” Musk said during the earnings call. “I think this is really a fundamental part of achieving a differentiated product strategy, where you have a beautiful roof. It’s not a thing on the roof. It is the roof.”
http://www.digitaltrends.com/home/elon-musk-solar-roof/#ixzz4HhUDQApB
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www.futurist.com
twitter.com/glenhiemstra
linkedin.com/glenhiemstra
thank you for your time
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