Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal...

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@spsw spsw.yor k Department of Social Policy and Social Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? John Hudson University of York, UK Nam K. Jo SungKongHoe University, South Korea Antonia Keung University of York, UK Award ES/J00460X/1

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Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? John Hudson*, Nam Jo** and Antonia Keung* Abstract Though culture is often suggested to be central to the understanding of cross-national differences in welfare state activity (Castles 1994, for instance, identified families of nations partly on this basis), there are few studies that have attempted to systematically analyse the influence of culture on welfare state types empirically. In part this is because both an absence of data and clear conceptions of culture have hampered such analyses. However, successive waves of both the European Values Survey and World Values Survey now provide us with detailed data on societal values stretching back over several decades. Moreover, recent debates about how this data might be used to identify stable societal values as a proxy measure of national culture (Jo, 2011) have provided us with the methodological and conceptual tools required to advance our understanding of the links between culture and welfare using cross-national quantitative data sets. This paper reports on the second stage of a project that builds on these advances in order to further our understanding of the links between culture and welfare. The first stage of the project (the main results of which are summarised here) used successive waves of the EVS and WVS to identify stable societal values in a sample of 59 countries from 1981 to the present. Using principal components analysis 10 societal values were identified in this phase of the analysis. The second stage, which forms the core focus of this paper, explores how far these cross national differences in societal values can be used help us understand how culture relates to the different typologies of welfare that have been at the heart of comparative social policy analysis since the publication of Esping-Andersen's ground breaking work (1990). Using a mixture of quantitative and fuzzy set methods (Ragin, 2000), we explore whether culture can be usefully incorporated within typologies of welfare both as one key aspect differentiating welfare systems cross-nationally and as one of the causal factors underpinning the development of distinctive long run path dependent trajectories of welfare states. Acknowledgement: This research is supported by the UK Economic Social Research Council award ES/J00460X/1. * = University of York, UK ** = Sungkonghoe University, South Korea

Transcript of Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal...

Page 1: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity?

John Hudson University of York, UKNam K. Jo SungKongHoe University, South KoreaAntonia Keung University of York, UK

Award ES/J00460X/1

Page 2: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

1. Background

Explore ‘culture matters’ for welfare thesis Often cited as important, typically in a loose manner

‘Macro’ perspective Broad conception, dominant beliefs, often post hoc explanations

‘Micro’ perspective Public opinion, specific issues, unstable

Much debate; advances in data, concepts and method

Page 3: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Jo (2011) culture as stable societal values More concrete than macro More enduring than micro

Cultural context of social policy making Avoid cultural determinism Interplay of politics, economics, institutions and culture Not a decisive influence, but a significant one

1. Background

Page 4: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

2. Societal Values

Extract examples of societal values: Data from successive waves EVS/WVS data 1981-2009 173 societal cases • 59 countries x max 4 time points • 243,975 responses Factor analysis of pooled data • manual inspection and reanalysis End goal: identify stable and distinct examples of societal values Built on work of Hofstede, Jo, Schwartz, van de Vijver et al

Page 5: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

2. Societal Values

Societal Value Example Survey Item

Relgiosity God is important in my life

Conservative Social Norms Is divorce permissible?

Permissive Values on Adherence to Laws Justifiable to cheat on taxes?

Optimistic Values Satisfied with your life?

Traditional Family Values Is marriage an out-dated institution?

Interpersonal tolerance Would you not like heavy drinkers as your neigbours?

Political Activeness Do you participate in lawful demonstrations?

Political Orientedness Do you regularly discuss politics with friends?

Page 6: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Independent variables Societal values Economic context (GDP per capita, growth, unemployment) Political context (cabinet composition) Historical Institutional context (welfare regime)

Dependent Variables: unemployment spending family policy spending maternity leave policy structures

Medium term averages

3. Regression Analysis

Page 7: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

3. Regression Analysis

Unemp Exp (% PE)

Unemp Exp (% GDP)

Fam Pol Exp (% PE)

Fam Pol Exp (% GDP)

Maternity Leave (FTE)

Culture Matters?

✔✔ ✔✔

Any Key Values?

- Perm Laws+ Toler

- Perm Laws+ Toler

Other Factors? Regime (SE)Economy

Regime (SE)Economy

Page 8: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

3. Regression Analysis

Unemp Exp (% PE)

Unemp Exp (% GDP)

Fam Pol Exp (% PE)

Fam Pol Exp (% GDP)

Maternity Leave (FTE)

Culture Matters?

✔✔ ✔✔ ✔ ✔ ✔✔

Any Key Values?

- Perm Laws+ Toler

- Perm Laws+ Toler

- Religiosity+ Con Norms

- Religiosity - Religiosity+ Con Norms

+ Toler+ Perm Laws+ Opt Val

Other Factors? Regime (SE)Economy

Regime (SE)Economy

Regime Regime (SD)

RegimeLeft Cabinet

Page 9: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Good degree of support for culture matters thesis Some interesting findings

Interpersonal tolerance, religiosity Some important limits

Data driven, intepretation, gaps in data Only examples of societal values

Puzzle around family policy spending Impact of culture less clear in models Could be a DV issue? Influence of traditional family values absent?

3. Regression Analysis

Page 10: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Small but growing body of fsQCA rooted work

Key features: Case based analysis Membership of conceptually rooted, researcher determined, (fuzzy) sets Not linear

Key principles include: Conjunctural causation Equifinality

4. fsQCA Analysis

Page 11: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

‘[QCA views] causal conditions not as adversaries in the struggle to explain variation in dependent variables, but as potential collaborators in the production of outcomes. The key issue is not which variable is the strongest (i.e., has the biggest net effect), but how different conditions combine and whether there is only one or several different combinations of conditions (causal “recipes”) capable of generating the same outcome.’

Ragin, 2008

4. fsQCA Analysis

Page 12: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Debate in QCA literature around time cf. Institutionalist debates (e.g. Pierson, 2004 – time matters) Schneider and Waggeman – two-step approach

Remote and proximate factors

Adapted here into a three-step approach Remote, proximate and intermediate factors

Visualises influence of societal values in different ‘pathways’ Reflect on cases

4. fsQCA Analysis

Page 13: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Build directly on regression models

Family policy spending (% GDP) Least clear explanation Puzzling role of traditional family values Take significant elements from regression + TFV

Set memberships mainly determined arithmetically

Somewhat tentative and experimental

4. fsQCA Analysis

Page 14: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Intermediate Factors

Proximate Factors

Remote Factors

No clear impacts

conservative social norms AND religiosity

Consistency with HIGH SPENDING of 1.000 and

coverage of 0.776

SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC

Consistency with HIGH SPENDING of 0.886

Note: differences on traditional family values

Page 15: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Intermediate Factors

Proximate Factors

No theoretically important impacts

Remote Factors

CONSERVATIVE SOCIAL NORMS AND RELIGIOSITY

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 1.000 and

coverage of 0.814

SOUTHERN EUROPEAN

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.966

Note: differences on traditional family values

Page 16: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Proximate Factors

Remote Factors

Two routes with combined coverage of 0.773 and consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.901

growth

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.946 and raw coverage of 0.328

left government AND growth

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.957 and raw coverage of 0.670

LEFT GOVERNMENT

Consistency with HIGH SPENDING of 0.813 and raw coverage of 0.265

EXIT ROUTE

Intermediate Factors

LIBERAL

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.753

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.942 and raw

coverage of 0.613

TRADITIONAL FAMILY VALUES AND RELIGIOSITY

LEFT GOVERNMENT

Consistency with HIGH SPENDING of 0.901 and raw coverage of 0.315

EXIT ROUTE

TRADITIONAL FAMILY VALUES AND conservative social norms

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.913 and raw

coverage of 0.503

Page 17: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

No clear impacts Counterfactual?GROWTH + LEFT

Intermediate Factors

Proximate Factors

Remote Factors

CONSERVATIVE/CORPORATIST

Consistency with NEITHER outcome

TRADITIONAL FAMILY VALUES

Consistency with LOW SPENDING of 0.968 and raw coverage of 0.590

Page 18: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Regime effects strong? Path dependency usually evident?

Left politics in liberal regime? (EU?) Conservative/corporatist regime a puzzle

Conflicted response to the new social risks? (esp in EU?) Role of religion? Some cultural variables operate differently in different regimes

e.g. traditional family values: no bearing in SD/SE but act against high family spending elsewhere. In Liberal regime interact with a high degree of religiosity

Culture and regime interact not a simple linear link, configurations matter?

4. fsQCA Analysis

Page 19: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Shown value of in-between concept of culture? Facilitates empirical investigation of culture matters thesis

Added support to culture matters thesis? Suggests regimes and values interact or overlap?

Tentative findings – refinements, more tests to follow Limits to approach here:

Data driven • Examples of societal values • Weaknesses in models

Further exploration: key cases, dynamic cases

5. Conclusion

Page 20: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

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Page 21: Exploring Culture and Welfare Regimes: Can the examination of cross-national differences in societal values help us to understand differences in welfare state activity? - Presentation

@spswspsw.york

Department of Social Policy and Social Work

Summary Of Solution Pathways

SOCIAL DEMOCRATICconservative normsreligiosity HIGH FAMILY SPENDING

SOUTHERN EUROPEANCONSERVATIVE NORMSRELIGIOSITY LOW FAMILY SPENDING

LIBERALFAMLY VALUESRELIGIOSTY LOW FAMILY SPENDING

LIBERALFAMLY VALUESRELIGIOSTYgrowth LOW FAMILY SPENDING

LIBERALFAMLY VALUES conservative normsgrowthleft LOW FAMILY SPENDING

LIBERALFAMLY VALUES conservative normsLEFT HIGH FAMILY SPENDING

LIBERALLEFT HIGH FAMILY SPENDING

CONSERVATIVE/CORPORATISTFAMLY VALUES LOW FAMILY SPENDING