Vlerick Alumni: 5th Edition of the Vlerick Chief Economists Debate
Experience Vlerick Day - Mathieu Luypaert Brussels
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Transcript of Experience Vlerick Day - Mathieu Luypaert Brussels
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#experiencevlerick1 © Vlerick Business School
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FINANCE IN THE NEWS
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#experiencevlerick3 © Vlerick Business School
STOCK MARKET EVOLUTION (S&P 500)
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#experiencevlerick4 © Vlerick Business School
STOCK MARKET EVOLUTION (EUROSTOXX 50)
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#experiencevlerick5 © Vlerick Business School
UNREST IN MIDDLE EAST
Stock market reaction January-February 2011
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#experiencevlerick6 © Vlerick Business School
IMPACT EARTHQUAKE JAPAN
Hurricane Katarina (S&P 500), 2005
Tsunami (Sri Lanka All Share), 2004
Pearl Harbour (DJI), 1941
Earthquake Kobe (Nikkey 225), 1995
September 11 2001 (S&P 500)
Recent earthquake (Nikkey 225), 2011
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#experiencevlerick7 © Vlerick Business School
EUROPEAN PUBLIC DEBT LEVELS
Public debt 2012 (%GDP)
EU (27 ) 85.3Belgium 99.6Germany 81.9Ireland 117.6Greece 156.9Spain 84.2France 90.2Italy 127.0Luxembourg 20.8Netherlands 71.2Austria 73.4Poland 55.6Portugal 123.6United Kingdom 90.0
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#experiencevlerick8 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick9 © Vlerick Business School
BELGIAN GOVERNMENT BONDS 10Y
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#experiencevlerick10 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick11 © Vlerick Business School
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CONFIDENCE LEVELS REMAIN LOW
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#experiencevlerick13 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick14 © Vlerick Business School
RAISING EQUITY: IPOS Fashion:
Samsonite (Hong Kong): $1.25 bio
Prada (Hong Kong): $2.14 bio
Internet/Social media: Linkedin (NYSE): $405 mio
Groupon (Nasdaq): $700 mio
Facebook (Nasdaq): $16 bio
Zynga – Farm Ville (Nasdaq): $1 bio
Workday (NYSE): $637 mio
Bankia (Madrid): € 3.1 bio
Japan Airlines (Tokyo): € 6.3 bio
Evonik (Frankfurt): € 2 bio
Seaworld (NYSE): $700 mio
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#experiencevlerick15 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick16 © Vlerick Business School
FACEBOOK IPO
Amount raised: $ 16 bio ($38 x 421 mio)
Total Valuation: $104 bio
Dual-class shares
Zuckerberg has 18% ownership but 57% of voting rights
At market value of $104 bio: 900 mio users $115/user
Revenues: $ 4.04 bio P/S= 26
Profit: $ 720 mio P/E= 144
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#experiencevlerick17 © Vlerick Business School
FACEBOOK IPO
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© Vlerick Business School #experiencevlerick18
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© Vlerick Business School #experiencevlerick19
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© Vlerick Business School #experiencevlerick20
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© Vlerick Business School #experiencevlerick21
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#experiencevlerick22 © Vlerick Business School
B-POST FIRST IPO IN BRUSSELS IN MORE THAN THREE YEARS
Exit of CVC (25%-30% shares)
CVC will keep 15%
Belgian government: 50% + 1 share
Value estimted around €3 bio
Syndicate of banks responsible for IPO:
JP Morgan, Nomura, BNP Paribas Fortis, Morgan Stanley, UBS, KBC, ING, Belfius and Royal Bank of Canada
High dividend yield (6-8%)
26000 FTE
10.5 letters a day
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#experiencevlerick23 © Vlerick Business School
TOP IPOS IN BRUSSELS AND THEIR PERFORMANCE Source: De Tijd
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#experiencevlerick24 © Vlerick Business School
HOLLYWOOD DISCOVERS CROWDFUNDING
CANNES, France--The Cannes Film Festival can sometimes make room for someone a little different. Someone, say, like Jeremy Saulnier, a little-known director who, at 36, has used a little pluck and plenty of Kickstarter to defy the stereotypes of the world's most prestigious (and expensive) festival.
Thanks to the democratizing advantages of crowdfunding, Saulnier is showing an alternative path to the normally elite precincts of the Cannes Film Festival. Saulnier’s film "Blue Ruin" isn't like most here, which are financed lavishly by foreign distributors, Hollywood studios or government film funds.
Saulnier and his wife liquidated their retirement accounts, refinanced their home and ran up well over a $100,000 in credit-card debt to make the movie. But the real key came when, needing tens of thousands of dollars to trigger cast and crew deals, Saulnier put his project on Kickstarter. He raised the necessary $35,000 in a matter of weeks.
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RAISING DEBT: RECENT BOND ISSUES
IBM (AA-): July 2012 $1 bio (1.875% - 10 years)
Walt Disney (A): February, 2012 $1 bio (1.25% - 3 years)
$0.4 bio (2.55% - 10 years)
Dr Pepper (BBB): $500 mio (2.7% - 10 years)
MGM Resorts International (B-): March, 2012 $1 bio (7.75% - 10 years)
Very succesful recent issues by Belgian companies (Roularta, ETEX, AB Inbev, Kinepolis, CFE, Arseus, Omega Pharma, Fluxis, DEME, Vandemoortele, Eandis, DEME, Delhaize,…)
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#experiencevlerick26 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick27 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick28 © Vlerick Business School
!
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© Vlerick Business School #experiencevlerick29
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#experiencevlerick30 © Vlerick Business School
Largest company ever according to market cap!
30 |
Jump of $ 50 bio!!
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#experiencevlerick31 © Vlerick Business School
CASH GIANTS S&P500 STOXX600 Source: De Tijd
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#experiencevlerick32 © Vlerick Business School
EVOLUTION INTEREST RATES
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#experiencevlerick34 © Vlerick Business School
EVOLUTION INFLATION
“Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten-dollar haircut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair. “
Sam Ewing
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#experiencevlerick35 © Vlerick Business School
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RECENT TRANSACTIONS
Universal - EMI ($1.9 bio)
Berkshire Hathaway/3G – Heinz ($23 bio)
AB Inbev – Modelo ($20.1 bio)
UPS - TNT Express ($7 bio)
Dell buyout ($24.4 bio)
Liberty Global – Virgin Media ($16 bio)
American Airlines – US Airways (stock swap- combined market cap of $10 bio)
Yahoo - Tumblr
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#experiencevlerick37 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick38 © Vlerick Business School
€ 9.5
Source: Bloomberg
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#experiencevlerick39 © Vlerick Business School
DELL BUYOUT
24.4 bio USD (13.65 per share) Michael Dell: 15% + 700 mio USD Silver Lake: 1 bio USD Microsoft: 2 bio USD subordinated loan Syndicated bank loan: 15 bio USD
Rival offer Carl Icahn and Southeastern Asset Management!
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#experiencevlerick40 © Vlerick Business School
MEDIAN WEALTH PER HOUSEHOLD Source: De Tijd
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#experiencevlerick41 © Vlerick Business School
HOW LONG TO BE A MILLIONAIRE?
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#experiencevlerick42 © Vlerick Business School
EU AGREES TO LIMIT BANKER BONUSES
File - In this Sept. 7, 2010 file photo, members of Oxfam are dressed as bankers during a demonstration outside of a meeting of EU finance ministers at the EU Council building in Brussels. Top European Union officials late Wednesday, Feb. 27, 2013 struck an agreement on a package of financial laws that includes capping bankers' bonus payments at a maximum of one year's base salary. The bonuses will only be allowed to reach twice the annual fixed salary if a large majority of a bank's shareholders agrees. (AP Photo/Virginia Mayo, File)(Credit: AP)
www.salon.com
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#experiencevlerick43 © Vlerick Business School
Do you see the link?
43 |
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#experiencevlerick45 © Vlerick Business School
WHO MASTERS THE FIELD OF FINANCE?
FORBES: World’s Billionaires
Rank Name CitizenshipNet Worth
($bil)
1 Carlos Slim Helu Mexico 73
2 William Gates III United States 67
3 Amancio Ortega Spain 57
4 Warren Buffett United States 53.5
5 Lawrence Ellison United States 43
6 Charles Koch United States 34
7 David Koch United States 34
8 Li Ka-shing Hong Kong 31
9 Liliane Bettencourt France 30
10 Bernard Arnault France 29
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#experiencevlerick46 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick47 © Vlerick Business School
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#experiencevlerick48 © Vlerick Business School
FEEL LIKE SOME MORE?
Executive Master Class Corporate Finance (Fall 2013)
Executive Master Class Controllership (spring 2014)
Financial Management for Non-Financial Managers (September 2013)
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