Experience - listed companyzen.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20200813-zen...2020/08/13  · -...

24
Zen Corporation Group Public Company Limited Opportunity Day 13 th August 2020 Experience Beyond Food

Transcript of Experience - listed companyzen.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20200813-zen...2020/08/13  · -...

  • Zen Corporation Group Public Company Limited

    Opportunity Day

    13th August 2020

    ExperienceBeyond Food

  • Agenda

    1. 2Q20 Overview

    2. 2Q20 Financial Performance

    3. Outlook

    2

  • 2Q20 Overview

    Agenda 1

  • Update Summary

    4

    COVID-19 Situation Improved but Some Risks Remain

    • April was low point due to shutdown for full month

    • Since re-opening in May, sales have recovered faster than expected

    • However, there is risk of second wave and business likely to be impacted for some time

    Actions Taken During Crisis to Increase Sales Channels, Manage Expenses

    • Expand to omni-channel to serve as many customers as possible

    • Drive sales in Delivery, Retail and Cloud Kitchens

    • Control all expenses with priority on Rent and Labor while managing cash flow

    Zen Well-Positioned for Recovery with Adjusted Business Plan

    • Sales continue to improve towards pre-COVID levels, profit has recovered

    • Lower equity branch expansion plan for rest of 2020, look for opportunity to expand franchise branches

    • Still invest in projects to improve efficiency

    • Expect actions taken during crisis to result in higher profitability going forward

  • 5

    Branch Sales Recover Back to Pre-Covid Levels

    WK1 WK2 WK3 WK4 WK5 WK6 WK7 WK8 WK9 WK10 WK11 WK12 WK13 WK14 WK15 WK16 WK17 WK18 WK19 WK20 WK21 WK22 WK23 WK24 WK25 WK26 WK27

    On 22 Mar, Lockdown Starts

    Wk2 of Mar, COVID-19 Outbreak

    in BKK-CBD

    On 3 Apr, Lockdown Curfew announcement,

    prohibit time 4 pm - 4 am.

    On 27 Mar, Emergency Decreeannouncement

    On 17 May, Easing Lockdown Phase 2 announcement, Shopping Malls Re-Open with strict social

    distancing

    On 1 June, Unlock Phase 3

    On 15 June, Unlock Phase 4

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

    Equity Branch Sales (THB Mn)

  • Zen Implement Omni-Channel Strategy During 2Q20

    6

    Contribute 30% sales during lockdown

    Developed and Deployed During Lockdown

    Sales Increase +100% YoY in 2Q20

    Delivery Sales +270% YoY in 2Q20

  • Delivery Sales Boosted During Lockdown

    7

    2.8 3.1 3.4 4.2 10.5

    18.3

    30.3

    42.5 49.1

    65.5

    1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20

    Zen Group Delivery Sales

    THB Million

    Growth 3.6x YoY

  • Retail Sales Jump While Consumers Stay at Home

    8

    Traditional Trade

    - General Market

    - Souvenir Shop

    - Export

    Modern Trade

    - Gourmet Market (The Mall Group)

    15 branches

    Modern Trade

    - Makro Wholesales 115 branches

    Modern Trade

    - Tesco Lotus 1500 branches

    Modern Trade

    - Tops Supermarket 200 branches

    Modern Trade

    - Big C Supercenter 800 branches

    1.5 1.4 1.62.7 3.4

    6.98.2

    9.8 10.4

    13.7

    1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20

    THB Million

    Zen Group Commercial Retail Sales

    Growth 2x YoY

  • 9

    Cloud Kitchens Help Expand Network Reach

    69 Active Cloud Kitchens

    1. 30 Musha operate by Zen

    2. 14 Chicken Z operate by Thai brands

    3. 16 Yummour operate by Thai brands

    4. 9 Khiang operate by Thai brands

  • Khiang Shophouse Model High Potential

    10

    • Shophouse model requires low

    investment of ~1.25Mn

    • High sales of both dine-in and delivery

    • Target 100 Khiang branches by end 2020

  • Cost Control and Cash Flow Management

    11

    • Reduce staffing levels during lower sales period, gradual resumption• Voluntary leave without pay program for remaining staff• Work from home program• Organisational re-structure

    Cost Reduction

    CAPEX Reduction

    Manage Cash Flow

    Staff

    Rent

    Suppliers

    Others

    • Negotiate with landlords on suitable rent during crisis, defer payments• Temporary close branches with low sales

    • Negotiate with suppliers for reduced prices, better payment terms

    • Reduced travel, staff training• Delayed marketing spend• Reduce / delay all non-critical expenses

    • Reduce equity branch expansion plan• Maintain projects critical to build future efficiency, CRM, HRIS, RPA

    • Conservative draw-down of working capital to maintain cash• More suitable dividend considering current situation (pending approval)

    • Reduce 2020 CAPEX by 120 Mn

    • Ensure strong liquidity position

    • Minimise loss during period of lowest sales

    • Actions taken will improve profit going forward

  • Restaurant Outlets as at 30 June 2020

    Type of Business Brand Equity FranchiseTotal

    Outlets

    Japanese

    Restaurant

    45 - 45

    25 3 28

    25 2 27

    Other Japanese

    8 - 8

    2 - 2

    Thai Restaurants

    Thai Traditional

    25 153 178

    Thai Street Food

    25 35 60

    Total 155 (45%) 193 (55%) 348

    Branches Expansion in 2Q20Demand for Khiang Strong even During Covid-19

    12

    13 New Branches Opened in 2Q20

    27 New Branches Opened in 1H20

    2Q20 3 New Equity

    • 1 On the Table, 1 Sushi Cyu, 1 Khiang

    2Q20 10 New Franchise

    • 3 Tummour, 7 Khiang (+ 4 Khiang

    convert from equity to franchise)

    2Q20 Close Underperform Stores

    • 2 Zen, 7 Khiang, 3 Musha, 4 Tummour

    • 1-time loss approx. 8 Mn

    • Improve profit going forward

    • Maintain sales by cloud kitchens

  • 2Q20 Financial Performance

    Agenda 2

  • Business Group Structure and Revenue Structure

    14

    I. Restaurant

    Business

    II. Franchise

    Business

    III. Other Food Related Business

    • Retail Products

    • Delivery & Catering

    Business Groups Revenue Structure

    * 2Q20 data

    Retail, 4.0%

    Restaurant, 63.5%

    Delivery , 20.0%

    Raw Material Sales, 5.2%

    Franchise Fees, 4.0%

    Other Income, 3.2%

    Franchise, 9.2%

    Major Changes YoY (partly due to Covid-19):

    • Restaurant decrease from 87% to 64%

    • Delivery increase from 2% to 20%

    • Retail increase from 1% to 4%

  • 81.177.8

    73.6

    69.4

    60.8

    48.2

    COVID-19 Impacts SSSG; Consumer Confidence PlummetsZEN SSSG in 2Q20 -58%, Bottoms out in April and Improves in May, June

    15

    -4.4% -1.3% -10.0% -3.0% -26.5% -58.3%

    1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20

    Consumer Confidence index

    1Q19-4Q19• CCI improves prior to general election but then resumes downward trend on

    political uncertainty and poor economic results e.g. export slowdown • Jan-Feb sales also impacted by air pollution in Bangkok• 2Q19 improves but impact by fire at Central World in April• 3Q-4Q consumer confidence continues to slide to lowest in 4 years

    1Q20-2Q20• COVID-19 Crisis results in shutdown• CCI lowest in many years

    3Q20 expect rebound

  • 1H20 Total Revenue and Net Profit

    16

    1,496

    982

    1H19 1H20

    Total Revenue

    65

    -125-170

    -120

    -70

    -20

    30

    80

    1H19 1H20

    %Net margin 4.4% -12.7%

    Net Profit

    THB Million

    THB Million

    ❖ Total revenue of 1H20 decreased by 34% YoY, drop by restaurant sales from COVID-19 pandemic

    ❖ Net Loss of THB 125Mn, dropped of 292% YoY. Net margin decreased from 4.4% to -12.7%

    YoY -34%

    YoY -292%

  • 2Q20 Total Revenue and Net Profit (YoY, QoQ Comparison)

    17

    Net Profit

    32

    -44

    33

    -81

    2019 2020

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20

    YoY -344%

    %Net margin 4.4% 4.3% -6.7% -23.9%

    731

    644

    765

    339

    2019 2020

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20

    YoY -56%

    QoQ -47%

    THB Million

    ❖ 2Q20, Total Revenue decreased by 56% YoY and 47% QoQ

    ❖ Net Loss of THB 81 Mn, Net Margin of -23.9%

    THB Million

    Total Revenue

  • 59 66 55

    31

    125

    86

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20

    Franchise Fee and Merchandise Sales

    662 684 568

    283

    1,345

    851

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20

    YoY -59%

    Restaurants & Delivery Revenue

    724 757 634328

    1,481

    961

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20

    37

    1014

    10

    24

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20

    Commercial Retail

    Business Impacted by Covid-19

    18

    THB Million

    Revenue from Main Businesses

    YoY -37%YoY -31% YoY +134%

    YoY -35%

    YoY -53%

    YoY +99%

    YoY -57%

    28%

    27%15%

    4%

    8%

    6%

    3%

    8%

    Merchandise

    and Retail Sales

    Franchise Fee

    *1H20 data

  • 343 364

    271

    127

    708

    398

    47.4% 48.2%42.8%

    38.8%47.8%

    41.4%

    -50%

    -30%

    -10%

    10%

    30%

    50%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20

    Gross Profit and Gross Profit Margin

    19

    Gross Profit

    • Gross Profit of 2Q20 decreased by 65% YoY, and Margin dropped from 48.2% to 38.8%

    • The major cause of the % increase was the decrease in sales from the restaurant business while delivery sales

    increased which led to higher packaging costs, including promotion discounts to stimulate consumption

    Food Cost, 67%

    Staff and Benefit, 17%

    Rent and Utilities, 5%

    Depreciation, 11%

    Cost of Sales & Service Breakdown

    YoY -65%

    * 2Q20 data

    YoY -44%

  • 313 333 328

    234

    646

    562

    43.2% 43.5%51.7%

    69.1%

    43.2%57.2%

    -200%

    -150%

    -100%

    -50%

    0%

    50%

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20

    SG&A Expenses

    20

    Staff & Benefit, 42%

    Rent and Utilities, 12%

    Depreciation, 22%

    Marketing, 3%

    Delivery Fees, 5%

    Others, 16%

    SG&A Expenses BreakdownSG&A Expense

    * Based on 2Q20 data

    • 2Q20 SG&A Expense decreased 30% YoY from cost savings measures especially in staff and rental

    • % Expenses to total revenue increased to 69% due to the falling restaurant sales as a result of COVID-19

    YoY -13%

    YoY -30%

    Major Changes YoY:

    • Staff & Benefit from 69% to 42%

    • Rental and Utilities from 39% to12%

  • Financial Ratios Liquidity Ratios dropped after adoption of New Accounting Policy

    21

    1.24

    0.7

    Dec 2019 Jun 2020

    610

    1,5111,4341,279

    0.431.18

    -12.00-11.50-11.00-10.50-10.00-9.50-9.00-8.50-8.00-7.50-7.00-6.50-6.00-5.50-5.00-4.50-4.00-3.50-3.00-2.50-2.00-1.50-1.00-0.500.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.004.505.00

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    Dec 2019 Jun 2020

    Liabilities Equity D/E Ratio

    Current Ratio Debt to Equity

    Liabilities

    Increase due

    to TFRS 16

    Current ratio = 1.1 if

    exclude TFRS Impact

  • Outlook

    Agenda 3

  • Positive Outlook for Remainder 2020

    23

    Outlook

    • COVID-19 will continue to be a risk

    • However, actions taken during 1H20 have successfully

    resulted in return to profit in June

    • Net profit break-even point has been lowered

    • Should result in better net margin going forward

    2H20 Key Targets

    • Open 2-3 new equity stores

    • 40 new franchise branches

    • Khiang to have 100 branches by end 2020

    • Continued focus on delivery, retail, cloud kitchens

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

    Q1 -44Mn Q2 -81Mn

    Jan-Jun 2020 Net Profit Trend