Experience - listed companyzen.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20200813-zen...2020/08/13 · -...
Transcript of Experience - listed companyzen.listedcompany.com/misc/presentation/20200813-zen...2020/08/13 · -...
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Zen Corporation Group Public Company Limited
Opportunity Day
13th August 2020
ExperienceBeyond Food
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Agenda
1. 2Q20 Overview
2. 2Q20 Financial Performance
3. Outlook
2
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2Q20 Overview
Agenda 1
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Update Summary
4
COVID-19 Situation Improved but Some Risks Remain
• April was low point due to shutdown for full month
• Since re-opening in May, sales have recovered faster than expected
• However, there is risk of second wave and business likely to be impacted for some time
Actions Taken During Crisis to Increase Sales Channels, Manage Expenses
• Expand to omni-channel to serve as many customers as possible
• Drive sales in Delivery, Retail and Cloud Kitchens
• Control all expenses with priority on Rent and Labor while managing cash flow
Zen Well-Positioned for Recovery with Adjusted Business Plan
• Sales continue to improve towards pre-COVID levels, profit has recovered
• Lower equity branch expansion plan for rest of 2020, look for opportunity to expand franchise branches
• Still invest in projects to improve efficiency
• Expect actions taken during crisis to result in higher profitability going forward
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5
Branch Sales Recover Back to Pre-Covid Levels
WK1 WK2 WK3 WK4 WK5 WK6 WK7 WK8 WK9 WK10 WK11 WK12 WK13 WK14 WK15 WK16 WK17 WK18 WK19 WK20 WK21 WK22 WK23 WK24 WK25 WK26 WK27
On 22 Mar, Lockdown Starts
Wk2 of Mar, COVID-19 Outbreak
in BKK-CBD
On 3 Apr, Lockdown Curfew announcement,
prohibit time 4 pm - 4 am.
On 27 Mar, Emergency Decreeannouncement
On 17 May, Easing Lockdown Phase 2 announcement, Shopping Malls Re-Open with strict social
distancing
On 1 June, Unlock Phase 3
On 15 June, Unlock Phase 4
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Equity Branch Sales (THB Mn)
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Zen Implement Omni-Channel Strategy During 2Q20
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Contribute 30% sales during lockdown
Developed and Deployed During Lockdown
Sales Increase +100% YoY in 2Q20
Delivery Sales +270% YoY in 2Q20
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Delivery Sales Boosted During Lockdown
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2.8 3.1 3.4 4.2 10.5
18.3
30.3
42.5 49.1
65.5
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
Zen Group Delivery Sales
THB Million
Growth 3.6x YoY
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Retail Sales Jump While Consumers Stay at Home
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Traditional Trade
- General Market
- Souvenir Shop
- Export
Modern Trade
- Gourmet Market (The Mall Group)
15 branches
Modern Trade
- Makro Wholesales 115 branches
Modern Trade
- Tesco Lotus 1500 branches
Modern Trade
- Tops Supermarket 200 branches
Modern Trade
- Big C Supercenter 800 branches
1.5 1.4 1.62.7 3.4
6.98.2
9.8 10.4
13.7
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20
THB Million
Zen Group Commercial Retail Sales
Growth 2x YoY
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9
Cloud Kitchens Help Expand Network Reach
69 Active Cloud Kitchens
1. 30 Musha operate by Zen
2. 14 Chicken Z operate by Thai brands
3. 16 Yummour operate by Thai brands
4. 9 Khiang operate by Thai brands
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Khiang Shophouse Model High Potential
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• Shophouse model requires low
investment of ~1.25Mn
• High sales of both dine-in and delivery
• Target 100 Khiang branches by end 2020
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Cost Control and Cash Flow Management
11
• Reduce staffing levels during lower sales period, gradual resumption• Voluntary leave without pay program for remaining staff• Work from home program• Organisational re-structure
Cost Reduction
CAPEX Reduction
Manage Cash Flow
Staff
Rent
Suppliers
Others
• Negotiate with landlords on suitable rent during crisis, defer payments• Temporary close branches with low sales
• Negotiate with suppliers for reduced prices, better payment terms
• Reduced travel, staff training• Delayed marketing spend• Reduce / delay all non-critical expenses
• Reduce equity branch expansion plan• Maintain projects critical to build future efficiency, CRM, HRIS, RPA
• Conservative draw-down of working capital to maintain cash• More suitable dividend considering current situation (pending approval)
• Reduce 2020 CAPEX by 120 Mn
• Ensure strong liquidity position
• Minimise loss during period of lowest sales
• Actions taken will improve profit going forward
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Restaurant Outlets as at 30 June 2020
Type of Business Brand Equity FranchiseTotal
Outlets
Japanese
Restaurant
45 - 45
25 3 28
25 2 27
Other Japanese
8 - 8
2 - 2
Thai Restaurants
Thai Traditional
25 153 178
Thai Street Food
25 35 60
Total 155 (45%) 193 (55%) 348
Branches Expansion in 2Q20Demand for Khiang Strong even During Covid-19
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13 New Branches Opened in 2Q20
27 New Branches Opened in 1H20
2Q20 3 New Equity
• 1 On the Table, 1 Sushi Cyu, 1 Khiang
2Q20 10 New Franchise
• 3 Tummour, 7 Khiang (+ 4 Khiang
convert from equity to franchise)
2Q20 Close Underperform Stores
• 2 Zen, 7 Khiang, 3 Musha, 4 Tummour
• 1-time loss approx. 8 Mn
• Improve profit going forward
• Maintain sales by cloud kitchens
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2Q20 Financial Performance
Agenda 2
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Business Group Structure and Revenue Structure
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I. Restaurant
Business
II. Franchise
Business
III. Other Food Related Business
• Retail Products
• Delivery & Catering
Business Groups Revenue Structure
* 2Q20 data
Retail, 4.0%
Restaurant, 63.5%
Delivery , 20.0%
Raw Material Sales, 5.2%
Franchise Fees, 4.0%
Other Income, 3.2%
Franchise, 9.2%
Major Changes YoY (partly due to Covid-19):
• Restaurant decrease from 87% to 64%
• Delivery increase from 2% to 20%
• Retail increase from 1% to 4%
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81.177.8
73.6
69.4
60.8
48.2
COVID-19 Impacts SSSG; Consumer Confidence PlummetsZEN SSSG in 2Q20 -58%, Bottoms out in April and Improves in May, June
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-4.4% -1.3% -10.0% -3.0% -26.5% -58.3%
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20
Consumer Confidence index
1Q19-4Q19• CCI improves prior to general election but then resumes downward trend on
political uncertainty and poor economic results e.g. export slowdown • Jan-Feb sales also impacted by air pollution in Bangkok• 2Q19 improves but impact by fire at Central World in April• 3Q-4Q consumer confidence continues to slide to lowest in 4 years
1Q20-2Q20• COVID-19 Crisis results in shutdown• CCI lowest in many years
3Q20 expect rebound
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1H20 Total Revenue and Net Profit
16
1,496
982
1H19 1H20
Total Revenue
65
-125-170
-120
-70
-20
30
80
1H19 1H20
%Net margin 4.4% -12.7%
Net Profit
THB Million
THB Million
❖ Total revenue of 1H20 decreased by 34% YoY, drop by restaurant sales from COVID-19 pandemic
❖ Net Loss of THB 125Mn, dropped of 292% YoY. Net margin decreased from 4.4% to -12.7%
YoY -34%
YoY -292%
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2Q20 Total Revenue and Net Profit (YoY, QoQ Comparison)
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Net Profit
32
-44
33
-81
2019 2020
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20
YoY -344%
%Net margin 4.4% 4.3% -6.7% -23.9%
731
644
765
339
2019 2020
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20
YoY -56%
QoQ -47%
THB Million
❖ 2Q20, Total Revenue decreased by 56% YoY and 47% QoQ
❖ Net Loss of THB 81 Mn, Net Margin of -23.9%
THB Million
Total Revenue
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59 66 55
31
125
86
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20
Franchise Fee and Merchandise Sales
662 684 568
283
1,345
851
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20
YoY -59%
Restaurants & Delivery Revenue
724 757 634328
1,481
961
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20
37
1014
10
24
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20
Commercial Retail
Business Impacted by Covid-19
18
THB Million
Revenue from Main Businesses
YoY -37%YoY -31% YoY +134%
YoY -35%
YoY -53%
YoY +99%
YoY -57%
28%
27%15%
4%
8%
6%
3%
8%
Merchandise
and Retail Sales
Franchise Fee
*1H20 data
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343 364
271
127
708
398
47.4% 48.2%42.8%
38.8%47.8%
41.4%
-50%
-30%
-10%
10%
30%
50%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20
Gross Profit and Gross Profit Margin
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Gross Profit
• Gross Profit of 2Q20 decreased by 65% YoY, and Margin dropped from 48.2% to 38.8%
• The major cause of the % increase was the decrease in sales from the restaurant business while delivery sales
increased which led to higher packaging costs, including promotion discounts to stimulate consumption
Food Cost, 67%
Staff and Benefit, 17%
Rent and Utilities, 5%
Depreciation, 11%
Cost of Sales & Service Breakdown
YoY -65%
* 2Q20 data
YoY -44%
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313 333 328
234
646
562
43.2% 43.5%51.7%
69.1%
43.2%57.2%
-200%
-150%
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1Q19 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 1H19 1H20
SG&A Expenses
20
Staff & Benefit, 42%
Rent and Utilities, 12%
Depreciation, 22%
Marketing, 3%
Delivery Fees, 5%
Others, 16%
SG&A Expenses BreakdownSG&A Expense
* Based on 2Q20 data
• 2Q20 SG&A Expense decreased 30% YoY from cost savings measures especially in staff and rental
• % Expenses to total revenue increased to 69% due to the falling restaurant sales as a result of COVID-19
YoY -13%
YoY -30%
Major Changes YoY:
• Staff & Benefit from 69% to 42%
• Rental and Utilities from 39% to12%
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Financial Ratios Liquidity Ratios dropped after adoption of New Accounting Policy
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1.24
0.7
Dec 2019 Jun 2020
610
1,5111,4341,279
0.431.18
-12.00-11.50-11.00-10.50-10.00-9.50-9.00-8.50-8.00-7.50-7.00-6.50-6.00-5.50-5.00-4.50-4.00-3.50-3.00-2.50-2.00-1.50-1.00-0.500.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.004.505.00
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Dec 2019 Jun 2020
Liabilities Equity D/E Ratio
Current Ratio Debt to Equity
Liabilities
Increase due
to TFRS 16
Current ratio = 1.1 if
exclude TFRS Impact
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Outlook
Agenda 3
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Positive Outlook for Remainder 2020
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Outlook
• COVID-19 will continue to be a risk
• However, actions taken during 1H20 have successfully
resulted in return to profit in June
• Net profit break-even point has been lowered
• Should result in better net margin going forward
2H20 Key Targets
• Open 2-3 new equity stores
• 40 new franchise branches
• Khiang to have 100 branches by end 2020
• Continued focus on delivery, retail, cloud kitchens
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Q1 -44Mn Q2 -81Mn
Jan-Jun 2020 Net Profit Trend