Expectation for Dawei Development Project · 2015-07-06 · hinterland > Myanmar labor cost is USD...
Transcript of Expectation for Dawei Development Project · 2015-07-06 · hinterland > Myanmar labor cost is USD...
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Tokyo, July 3, 2015
Expectation for Dawei Development Project
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Introduction
Multidimensional Reforms
Import substitution
Exports
Employment opportunities
Increased income
Various economic
sectors
Investment sector
Increased consumption
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Promoting the Investment Sector
Favorable Hard Infrastructures
Soft Infrastructures
Predictable
Friendly
Investment Climate
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Special Economic Zones in Myanmar
Thilawa SEZ
Dawei SEZ
Kyaukphyu SEZ
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The Strengths of Dawei SEZ
Key drivers to attract investors to Dawei SEZ
Rationale Value proposition
> 132 km from Thai border, 300 km from Bangkok and 450 km from Eastern Seaboard > Dawei SEZ completes GMS Southern Economic Corridor with Bangkok – Phnom Penh – Ho Chi Minh
EASTERN SEABOARD
300 km
138 km
450 km
Proximity to Eastern Seaboard and completion of GMS Southern Economic Corridor
> Gateway to the West linking SE-Asia with South Asia (India), Middle East, Europe and Africa > Providing alternative trade route aside from that through the Strait of Malacca – time & cost
savings on logistics (reduction of 3 days of shipment / 2,000 km from Thailand to Chennai, India)
Gateway to the West
> Abundant supply of local resources > Tin / tungsten (730 k tons deposits) > Aquaculture / fisheries
Supply of local resources in hinterland
> Myanmar labor cost is USD ~3 per day > Compared to USD ~18 in Thailand and USD ~5 in Vietnam
Competitive labor cost
> GDP growth of ~8% per year in 2015-2020 > Population of 52 m
Myanmar market growth
> Myanmar duty free exports to EU and other preferential tariff treatments e.g. Canada's GPT Import duty exemption (GSP)
> Oil palm (99% in Myanmar), rubber (#2 region in Myanmar)
> Forest (8% of Myanmar's forested area)
Source: Roland Berger
> Fast growing demand, e.g. plastics, cement, steel, pharma, automotive
> Myanmar enjoys EBA's duty-free and quota-free export
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Based on GSP's classification, Myanmar is among the 3 ASEAN countries to enjoy EBA's duty-free and quota-free export to EU
ASEAN
Other key markets
GSP (General scheme) Everything But Arms (EBA)
Graduated from GSP (Graduation date)
Singapore
(1 May 1998)
Brunei
(1 January 2014)
Malaysia
(1 January 2014)
GSP schemes's classification by country
Thailand
(1 January 2015)
China
(1 January 2015)
Cambodia
Lao
Myanmar
Bangladesh India
Philippines
Indonesia
Vietnam
Source: European Commission; Roland Berger
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Myanmar will continue to have its exports to EU duty-free until 2033, based on the World Bank's GNI per Capita
Source: World Bank, European Commission; Roland Berger
Forecasted years until EBA is ceased
Forecasted years until GSP is ceased
2021 (+7 years)
Vietnam
Cambodia Myanmar
2023 (+9 years)
Lao PDR
2015 (+1 year) 2033 (+19 years)
Thailand
End of 2014
Today
Forecasted remaining EBA and GSP years for ASEAN countries
1) Least Developed Countries; 2) $1,045 or less: Low-income economies, $1,046-4,125: Lower-middle-income economies, $4,126-12,745: Upper-middle-income countries, $12,746 or more: High-income economies
> The World Bank's GNI per
capita is used to classified
economies by income
> Once a LDC1) reaches $1,046
GNI per capita, it becomes
lower-middle-income
economies and ceases its EBA
status
> Once a lower-middle-income
country reaches $4,126, it
becomes upper-middle-income
economies and ceases its GSP
status2)
> Countries which cease EBA or
GSP status have a three year
transition period where they
continue to enjoy EBA
treatment
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Initiatives to Develop Dawei Special Economic Zone
Legal Framework
Government Commitment
• Joint High-level Committee • Joint Coordinating Committee • Sectoral Sub-committees • Joint Coordinating Taskforce
Myanmar Special Economic Zone Law
Governance Structure
Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV)
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Considering Phase-by-Phase Development Plan
Initial township
Small water
reservoir
Industrial estate
Temporary power plant
Small port LNG
Terminal
Small power plant
Boil off gas power plant
2-lane Road
Telecom Landline
Source: Roland Berger
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Making Initial-phase Project Development more Transparent and Predictable
Strong performance monitoring
> Corporate + bank guarantee during the construction period
> Penalties up to 5% of revenues after construction works
Gradual & conditional land allocation
> Allocation of 7 km2 upon Notice to Proceed
> Additional allocation only gradually and conditionally if either of two conditions are fulfilled:
– 65% occupancy rate (with factories that are operational) or
– 60,000 jobs created
Detailed technical commitments
Clear consequences in case of default
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Expectations
• Initial-phase development – To get local people benefited – To make it attractive for full-phase
• Full-phase development
– To serve as a bridge between the East and the West – To contribute towards regional connectivity
• Expectations from the SEZs
– Conventional expectations (i.e. increased investment, trade, job opportunities, income, consumption, etc.)
– To serve as a successful pilot project where favorable, predictable and friendly investment climate can be created with international standard policies and procedures.
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Expectations (Cont’d)
Delay for some reasons in the past
Three Engines
Sharing the same objective of Enhancing Regional Connectivity & Sustainable
Development
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Expectations (Cont’d)
Strengthening friendship between the three countries & beyond
Becoming a responsible country in the region by contributing towards regional connectivity
Sharing the responsibility and growing together towards the equitable, inclusive and sustainable development
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“If you can't fly, then run; If you can't run, then walk; If you can't walk, then crawl; but whatever you do, you have to keep moving forward.” ― Martin Luther King Jr.
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Thank you for your attention