Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case:...

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Exhibit 9.01

Transcript of Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case:...

Page 1: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.01

Page 2: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.02

Page 3: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.03

Page 4: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.04

Page 5: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.05

Page 6: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.06

Page 7: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.07

Page 8: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.08

Page 9: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.09

Page 10: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.10

Page 11: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.11

Page 12: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.12

Page 13: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.13

Page 14: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.14

Page 15: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.15

Page 16: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.16

Page 17: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.17

Page 18: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.18

Page 19: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.19

Page 20: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.20

Page 21: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.21

Page 22: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.22

Page 23: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.23

Page 24: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.24

Page 25: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.25

Page 26: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.26

Page 27: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.27

Page 28: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.28

Page 29: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.29

Page 30: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.30

Page 31: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.31

Page 32: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.32

Page 33: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.33

Page 34: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.34

Page 35: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.35

Page 36: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.36

Page 37: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.37

Mean: 112.28 MMDthMedian: 112.35 MMDthNormal Case: 111.75 MMDth

Page 38: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.38

Page 39: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.39

Page 40: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.40

Page 41: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.41

Page 42: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.42

Page 43: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.43

Page 44: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.44

Page 45: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.45

Page 46: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.46

Page 47: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.47

Page 48: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.48

Page 49: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.49

Page 50: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.50

Mean: 5570.37 HDDMedian: 5579.16 HDDNormal Case: 5535.27 HDD

Page 51: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

0.000

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1000.000

1200.000

1400.000

1

Spot

Peaking Purchase

Cost-of-service

Aquifers

Baseload Purchase

Clay Basin

Ryckman Storage

2014 - 2015 Sources for Peak Day1.285 MMDth

Exhibit 9.51

Page 52: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.52

Mean: 0.961 MMDthMedian: 0.957 MMDthNormal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Page 53: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.53

Page 54: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.54

Page 55: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.55

Page 56: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.56

Page 57: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.57

Page 58: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.58

Page 59: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.59

Page 60: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.60

Page 61: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.61

Page 62: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.62

Page 63: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.63

Page 64: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.64

Page 65: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.65

Mean: 44.43 MMDthMedian: 44.44 MMDthNormal Case: 43.22 MMDth

Page 66: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Monthly Gas Purchase Distribution2014 Plan Year

Scenario 1001 : 1705 DrawsMMDth

year month mean max p95 p90 med p10 p5 min

2014 6 0.02 0.16 0.12 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002014 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002014 8 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002014 9 0.19 2.18 0.58 0.42 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.002014 10 3.18 6.66 4.65 4.41 3.21 2.03 1.41 0.142014 11 4.64 7.65 5.85 5.59 4.73 3.63 2.78 1.402014 12 6.47 11.39 8.03 7.61 6.41 5.37 5.11 4.142015 1 9.91 17.68 13.18 12.38 9.77 7.65 7.10 5.362015 2 9.79 15.39 12.59 12.03 9.78 7.57 7.07 4.032015 3 6.45 9.56 8.22 7.84 6.47 5.04 4.72 2.752015 4 3.65 8.31 5.82 5.34 3.66 1.95 1.41 0.002015 5 0.13 2.21 0.68 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Exhibit 9.66

Page 67: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.67

Page 68: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.68

Page 69: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.69

Page 70: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.70

Page 71: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.71

Page 72: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.72

Page 73: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.73

Page 74: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.74

Page 75: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.75

Page 76: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.76

Page 77: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.77

Page 78: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.78

Page 79: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.79

Mean: 71.67 MMDthMedian: 71.69 MMDthNormal Case: 71.98 MMDth

Page 80: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Monthly Cost-of-Service Gas Distribution2014 Plan Year

Scenario 1001 : 1705 DrawsMMDth

year month mean max p95 p90 med p10 p5 min

2014 6 5.92 6.14 6.14 6.14 5.94 5.65 5.65 5.622014 7 5.71 5.82 5.76 5.75 5.70 5.69 5.68 5.682014 8 5.49 5.59 5.53 5.52 5.48 5.46 5.46 5.462014 9 5.60 5.82 5.81 5.81 5.67 5.33 5.13 5.072014 10 5.88 5.89 5.89 5.89 5.88 5.86 5.84 5.772014 11 5.99 5.99 5.99 5.99 5.99 5.99 5.99 5.952014 12 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.012015 1 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.86 5.862015 2 5.17 5.17 5.17 5.17 5.17 5.17 5.17 5.172015 3 5.61 5.61 5.61 5.61 5.61 5.61 5.60 5.592015 4 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.41 5.412015 5 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56

Exhibit 9.80

Page 81: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.81

Mean: 675.627 Million DollarsMedian: 675.580 Million DollarsNormal Case: 671.080 Million Dollars

Page 82: Exhibit 9 · 2014. 6. 11. · Exhibit 9.52. Mean: 0.961 MMDth. Median: 0.957 MMDth. Normal Case: 0.693 MMDth

Exhibit 9.82

Mean: 11.927 Billion DollarsMedian: 11.959 Billion DollarsNormal Case: 12.023 Billion Dollars