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Transcript of Example -BB Powertrain
V2008 R2 - 1
Sponsor Peter Zhou
Champion XXXXXX
Leader XXXXXX
TeamMember
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Front Cover Inlet Deformation Issue Improvement
July, 2009
V2008 R2 - 2
Zhaoqing Power - Chrysler AM I CD
XXX Power Accessories Co., Ltd.
Production of Aluminum Casting Front Cover – Timing Chain Case
Chrysler Mack Engine Plant
Annual Volume: 200,000 units
V2008 R2 - 3
Big Y Drill DownReduce the Overall Process
Defect Rate (25%) for Chrysler Products
Casting(70%)
Heat Treatment (20%)
Others (Deburring & Machining)
(10%)
Poor Fluidity15%
Inlet Deforming
45%
2) Identify / quantify the inputs
1) Start with business goal
3) Drill down again
Others (10%)
Inlet Deforming
(90%)
Porosity30%
Others10%
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 4
CTQ & CTP Chart
CTQ CCR Customer Issues
VOC
Reduced external defect rate of Inlet Deforming
No quality issue of inlet deforming in Chrysler plant.
The quality issue of inlet deforming will case production line problem in Chrysler Engine Plant.
Chrysler is not satisfied with the current quality issue of inlet deforming. Improvement should be made to reduce defect rate.
VOB Business Issues
CBR CTP
The process internal scrap rate is too high, customer is not happy with our performance and the profit is lossing.
Low output rate with high scrap cost
Substantially reduce the defect rate of inlet deforming, ideally “0”
Reduce the defect rate of inlet deforming with cost saved.
Remark1. Voice of customer and voice of business to be prioritized to those which are related to project objective2. Use VOB or VOC or both depending on the project objectives
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 5
Process Flow
Insert sand coreClose mold and hold pressure (parameter set)
Take out parts & appearance Check
Dimension Inspection by sampling
Degating & Deburring
Set parts ready in fixture and Heat treating process
Shot blasting Dimension Inspection by sampling
Shipping good parts to machining
Inlet Deforming Related Process
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 6
Quick Win Analysis
f
i
Proces
sNo.
Quick Win OpportunityFast to
Implement ()
Easy to Implement
()
Cheap to Implemen
t ()
Within the Team’s Control
()
Easily Reversible
()
Implement
(Yes/No)
Adjust the casting parameters No No Yes Yes Yes No
Adjust the heat treatment settings No No Yes Yes Yes No
Add heating insert to help heating around mold inlet section
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Add injection pin around mold inlet section for even distribution of force
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Adjust the chemical composition of Sr Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
RemarkQW Opportunity Sources from Process Analysis, Brainstorming, Process walk through…
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 7
Quick Win Analysis
f
i
Add heating insert to help heating around mold inlet area. Add injection pin around mold inlet area for even distribution of force. Adjust the chemical content of Sr to the lower limit of Chrysler specification.
Heating Insert Injection Pin
Defect rate reduced from 12% to 10% by implementing the above 3 Quick Wins.
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 8
Inlet Position Output Indicator
Input / Process Indicator Correlation between Input & Output PriorityInsufficient Training 1 1
Insufficient Experience 1 1Poor Accountability 1 1
Incorrect Tooling Design 1 1Inlet Cooling too quick 9 9Injection Pin Location 9 9
Insufficient Oil Pressure 1 1High Content of Strontium 3 3
Material Impurity 1 1
Hardness not even 1 1Setting of Melting Aluminum Temperature 9 9
Setting of Pressure 9 9Part Placement Orientation during HT 9 9
No Standard W.I. 1 1No Quick Inspection Gage 1 1
Noise 1 1Insufficient Lighting 1 1
Floor Temperature Change 1 1
Environment
Operator
Machine
Material
Process
Fishbone Diagram
5 high affected inputs and 1 medium affected inputs to Inlet Position have been identified by Cause & Effect Matrix.
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 9
Data Collection Plan - 1
Key Indicator Operation Definition
Sl. No. Performance Indicator (Y) Operational definitionY Inlet Deforming Inlet Position Misalignment Measured by CMM (+/- 1.25 mm)
AM I CD
Performance measure
(Y)
Operational definition
Data source and
location
Sample
size
Who will collect the
data
When will data be
collected
How will data be
collected
Other data that should be
collected at the same time
Inlet Deforming
Inlet Position Misalignment Measured by
CMM (+/- 1.25 mm)
CMM Tester 60 QA/ Zhu Jie 10 pcs each lot
CMM
V2008 R2 - 10
Data Collection Plan - 2
Remarks:Other data refers to additional information from stratification perspective.
We will collect the Inlet Position Data under current process setting of identified key inputs (Melting aluminum temperature, Filling pressure phase I, Filling pressure phase II, Filling pressure phase III).
The current settings are:Melting aluminum temperature (T): 695 °CFilling pressure phase I (P1): 0.14 MPaFilling pressure phase II (P2): 0.20 MPaFilling pressure phase III (P3): 0.29 MPa P1 P3
充型充满升液箱
充满升液管保压
加压曲线及说明
时间P2
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 11
MSA Plan
尺寸连续型
特性Y1:Inlet Deforming
測試人員3 persons
測試設備CMM 三坐标
進行方法 編號 1~10 給 3 位進行 判定,循環 3 次
判定方法 共取得 90 個資料 , 依 Gage R&R 計算之數值判定
Sampling
Mesurement Methods
GR&R Plan
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 12
MSA Data
评价人: 3 零件数: 10试验次数: 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 平均值
1评价人 1试验人 -0. 16 -0. 41 -0. 36 -0. 19 -0. 32 -0. 14 -0. 09 -0. 26 -0. 36 0. 45 -0. 18452试验人 -0. 17 -0. 41 -0. 36 -0. 17 -0. 32 -0. 16 -0. 10 -0. 26 -0. 36 0. 46 -0. 18493试验人 -0. 17 -0. 41 -0. 37 -0. 18 -0. 32 -0. 13 -0. 10 -0. 28 -0. 37 0. 45 -0. 1868
平均值 -0. 16567 -0. 40833 -0. 36067 -0. 18033 -0. 319 -0. 14367 -0. 09533 -0. 27033 -0. 36333333 0. 452666667 -0. 1854极差 0. 011 0. 004 0. 009 0. 025 0. 007 0. 027 0. 009 0. 019 0. 006 0. 014 0. 0131
2评价人 1试验人 -0. 13 -0. 41 -0. 36 -0. 18 -0. 29 -0. 13 -0. 08 -0. 26 -0. 36 0. 43 -0. 17672试验人 -0. 13 -0. 40 -0. 35 -0. 19 -0. 30 -0. 13 -0. 08 -0. 26 -0. 35 0. 43 -0. 17593试验人 -0. 13 -0. 40 -0. 35 -0. 19 -0. 32 -0. 15 -0. 08 -0. 26 -0. 35 0. 46 -0. 178
平均值 -0. 131 -0. 406 -0. 35367 -0. 18633 -0. 30333 -0. 13767 -0. 082 -0. 26033 -0. 35033333 0. 442 -0. 176866667极差 0. 003 0. 014 0. 01 0. 012 0. 029 0. 025 0. 004 0. 005 0. 015 0. 031 0. 0148
3评价人 1试验人 -0. 13 -0. 41 -0. 35 -0. 17 -0. 31 -0. 14 -0. 09 -0. 25 -0. 33 0. 45 -0. 17212试验人 -0. 13 -0. 39 -0. 36 -0. 17 -0. 30 -0. 13 -0. 10 -0. 26 -0. 33 0. 45 -0. 17263试验人 -0. 13 -0. 40 -0. 35 -0. 16 -0. 31 -0. 14 -0. 06 -0. 24 -0. 35 0. 45 -0. 1678
平均值 -0. 13067 -0. 40067 -0. 35 -0. 16667 -0. 307 -0. 13533 -0. 08333 -0. 248 -0. 33666667 0. 45 -0. 170833333极差 0. 007 0. 017 0. 009 0. 007 0. 007 0. 004 0. 038 0. 018 0. 014 0. 007 0. 0128
量具重复性和再现性数据收集表零件
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 13
MSA ResultsP
erce
nt
Part-to-PartReprodRepeatGage R&R
100
50
0
% Contribution%?Study?Var
Sam
ple
Ran
ge
0.04
0.02
0.00
_R=0.01267
UCL=0.03261
LCL=0
A B C
Sam
ple
Mea
n
0.5
0.0
-0.5
__X=-0.178UCL=-0.165LCL=-0.191
A B C
Part10987654321
0.5
0.0
-0.5
OperatorCBA
0.5
0.0
-0.5
Part
Ave
rage
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
0.5
0.0
-0.5
OperatorABC
Gage name:Date of study:
Reported by:Tolerance:Misc:
Components of Variation
R Chart by Operator
Xbar Chart by Operator
Y by Part
Y by Operator
Operator * Part Interaction
Gage R&R (ANOVA) for Y
1
1
2
3
4
2
3
4
Biggest variance is from Part-to-Part.
Repeatability is acceptable.
Reproducibility is acceptable.
No Interaction between operator and part.
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 14
MSA Results
Total Gauge R&R% = 5.16% < 10%
GR&R% is Acceptable.
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 15
Capability Analysis
Y Y Y Y Y Y
1 -1.16 11 -1.23 21 -1.13 31 -1.24 41 -1.14 51 -1.052 -1.22 12 -0.89 22 -1.15 32 -1.17 42 -1.45 52 -0.943 -1.19 13 -1.38 23 -1.48 33 -0.95 43 -1.14 53 -1.104 -0.82 14 -0.99 24 -1.24 34 -1.17 44 -1.25 54 -1.065 -1.16 15 -1.23 25 -1.04 35 -1.19 45 -1.19 55 -0.996 -1.20 16 -1.45 26 -1.23 36 -1.07 46 -0.89 56 -1.247 -1.25 17 -1.18 27 -1.02 37 -1.23 47 -1.23 57 -1.118 -1.18 18 -1.31 28 -1.14 38 -0.97 48 -1.09 58 -1.009 -1.35 19 -1.18 29 -1.19 39 -1.00 49 -1.09 59 -0.98
10 -1.25 20 -0.84 30 -1.16 40 -0.92 50 -1.11 60 -0.95
Using the CMM tester to collect the Inlet Position data.
The settings are: Melting aluminum temperature (T): 695 °CFilling pressure phase I (P1): 0.14 MPaFilling pressure phase II (P2): 0.20 MPaFilling pressure phase III (P3): 0.29 MPa
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 16
Indi
vidu
al V
alue
60544842363024181261
-0.8
-1.2
-1.6
_X=-1.1358
UCL=-0.7062
LCL=-1.5654
Mov
ing
Ran
ge
60544842363024181261
0.4
0.2
0.0
__MR=0.1615
UCL=0.5277
LCL=0
Observation
Valu
es
6055504540
-1.0
-1.2
-1.4
-0.80-0.96-1.12-1.28-1.44
-0.5-1.0-1.5
Within
Overall
Specs
WithinStDev 0.14320Cp 2.91Cpk 0.27CCpk 2.91
OverallStDev 0.14565Pp 2.86Ppk 0.26Cpm *
Process Capability Sixpack of Inlet DeformingI Chart
Moving Range Chart
Last 25 Observations
Capability Histogram
Normal Prob PlotAD: 0.612, P: 0.106
Capability Plot
Capability Analysis
Data Analysis result:P value is greater than 0.05, the data are normal distributed.
Cp = 2.91Cpk = 0.27
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 17
Capability Analysis
Output indicator
Average Standard deviation
Cp Cpk Sigma Level
Y -1.14 0.14 2.91 0.27 2.3
Current Baseline Performance:Mean: -1.14 Standard Deviation: s =0.14 Distribution Shape : Shift too muchConclusion: variance is Ok but mean shifted, mean need to be improved
1.20.80.40.0-0.4-0.8-1.2
LSL USLProcess Data
Sample?N 60StDev(Within) 0.14320StDev(Overall) 0.14565
LSL -1.25000Target *USL 1.25000Sample Mean -1.13583
Potential (Within) Capability
CCpk 2.91Overall Capability
Pp 2.86PPL 0.26PPU 5.46Ppk
Cp
0.26Cpm *
2.91CPL 0.27CPU 5.55Cpk 0.27
Observed PerformancePPM?<?LSL 100000.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 100000.00
Exp. Within PerformancePPM?<?LSL 212646.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 212646.00
Exp. Overall PerformancePPM?<?LSL 216566.12PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 216566.12
WithinOverall
Process Capability of Inlet Deforming
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 18
Station1 Measurement_Casting Station2 Measurement_Deburing Station3 Measurement_HTCasting -1.16 Deburring -1.07 HT -1.58Casting -1.20 Deburring -1.21 HT -1.47Casting -1.19 Deburring -1.14 HT -1.58Casting -1.16 Deburring -1.19 HT -1.67Casting -1.20 Deburring -1.13 HT -1.32Casting -1.22 Deburring -1.15 HT -1.51Casting -1.18 Deburring -1.14 HT -1.57Casting -1.26 Deburring -1.32 HT -1.42Casting -1.35 Deburring -1.22 HT -1.73Casting -1.20 Deburring -1.35 HT -1.56Casting -1.23 Deburring -1.12 HT -1.43Casting -1.21 Deburring -1.12 HT -1.39Casting -1.38 Deburring -1.11 HT -1.47Casting -1.18 Deburring -1.08 HT -1.63Casting -1.31 Deburring -1.10 HT -1.75Casting -1.18 Deburring -1.06 HT -1.54Casting -1.09 Deburring -0.99 HT -1.56Casting -1.29 Deburring -1.20 HT -1.49Casting -1.36 Deburring -1.11 HT -1.57Casting -1.32 Deburring -1.09 HT -1.64Casting -1.04 Deburring -1.19 HT -1.49Casting -1.23 Deburring -1.16 HT -1.53Casting -1.02 Deburring -1.25 HT -1.43Casting -1.14 Deburring -1.08 HT -1.37Casting -1.19 Deburring -1.20 HT -1.55Casting -1.16 Deburring -1.22 HT -1.66Casting -1.22 Deburring -1.21 HT -1.70Casting -1.17 Deburring -1.18 HT -1.69Casting -1.03 Deburring -1.26 HT -1.45Casting -1.17 Deburring -1.16 HT -1.62
-1.0-1.1-1.2-1.3
Median
Mean
-1.12-1.14-1.16-1.18-1.20
Anderson-Darling Normality Test
Variance 0.0061Skewness -0.370835Kurtosis 0.478176N 30Minimum -1.3500
A-Squared
1st Quartile -1.2100Median -1.15503rd Quartile -1.1075Maximum -0.9900
95% Confidence I nterval for Mean-1.1894
0.25
-1.131395% Confidence Interval for Median
-1.1977 -1.120095% Confidence Interval for StDev
0.0620 0.1046
P-Value 0.732Mean -1.1603StDev 0.0778
95% Confidence Intervals
Summary for Measurement_Deburing
AM I CD
-1.0-1.1-1.2-1.3-1.4
Median
Mean
-1.16-1.18-1.20-1.22-1.24
Anderson-Darling Normality Test
Variance 0.0080Skewness 0.010839Kurtosis 0.212838N 30Minimum -1.3800
A-Squared
1st Quartile -1.2375Median -1.19503rd Quartile -1.1600Maximum -1.0200
95% Confidence Interval for Mean-1.2347
0.69
-1.167995% Confidence Interval for Median
-1.2200 -1.172395% Confidence Interval for StDev
0.0712 0.1202
P-Value 0.065Mean -1.2013StDev 0.0894
95% Confidence Intervals
Summary for Measurement_Casting
-1.3-1.4-1.5-1.6-1.7
Median
Mean
-1.50-1.52-1.54-1.56-1.58-1.60
Anderson-Darling Normality Test
Variance 0.0122Skewness 0.024626Kurtosis -0.647635N 30Minimum -1.7500
A-Squared
1st Quartile -1.6290Median -1.55203rd Quartile -1.4608Maximum -1.3210
95% Confidence I nterval for Mean-1.5863
0.14
-1.503795% Confidence I nterval for Median
-1.5828 -1.487295% Confidence Interval for StDev
0.0881 0.1487
P-Value 0.967Mean -1.5450StDev 0.1106
95% Confidence Intervals
Summary for Measurement_HT
Observation
Mea
sure
men
t_De
burin
g
30282624222018161412108642
-1.0
-1.1
-1.2
-1.3
-1.4
Number of runs about median:
0.93142
12Expected number of runs: 16.00000Longest run about median: 7Approx P-Value for Clustering: 0.06858Approx P-Value for Mixtures:
Number of runs up or down:
0.02645
24Expected number of runs: 19.66667Longest run up or down: 2Approx P-Value for Trends: 0.97355Approx P-Value for Oscillation:
Run Chart of Measurement_Deburing
Observation
Mea
sure
men
t_Ca
stin
g
30282624222018161412108642
-1.0
-1.1
-1.2
-1.3
-1.4
Number of runs about median:
0.64491
15Expected number of runs: 16.00000Longest run about median: 6Approx P-Value for Clustering: 0.35509Approx P-Value for Mixtures:
Number of runs up or down:
0.27571
21Expected number of runs: 19.66667Longest run up or down: 2Approx P-Value for Trends: 0.72429Approx P-Value for Oscillation:
Run Chart of Measurement_Casting
Observation
Mea
sure
men
t_HT
30282624222018161412108642
-1.3
-1.4
-1.5
-1.6
-1.7
-1.8
Number of runs about median:
0.35509
17Expected number of runs: 16.00000Longest run about median: 5Approx P-Value for Clustering: 0.64491Approx P-Value for Mixtures:
Number of runs up or down:
0.77172
18Expected number of runs: 19.66667Longest run up or down: 3Approx P-Value for Trends: 0.22828Approx P-Value for Oscillation:
Run Chart of Measurement_ HT
ANOVA Analysis
30 Inlet Deforming data were collected for each process station from Casting to Heat Treating, all data are independent and normal distributed (P>0.05).
V2008 R2 - 19
Stations
Mea
sure
men
ts
HTDeburringCasting
-0.9
-1.0
-1.1
-1.2
-1.3
-1.4
-1.5
-1.6
-1.7
-1.8
Boxplot of Measurements by Stations
ANOVA Analysis AM I CD
No big difference observed between the measurement data after Deburring station and data after Casting station. So the Degating/Deburring process Does Not Cause Difference to the part inlet position.
The measurement data after Heat Treating station are obviously different with those after Casting and Degating/Deburing station. The Heat Treating process Causes Difference to the part inlet position.
V2008 R2 - 20
Data
VerticalHorizontal
0.50
0.25
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
Boxplot of Horizontal, Vertical
2 Sample T-Test AM I CD
Compared with the horizontal placement, the inlet position difference of vertical placement is much better (mean 0.115 vs. mean -0.390), so we will use this placement method, and the part fixture will be designed accordingly.
V2008 R2 - 21
AM I CDSOV Analysis
Mold Mold 1 Mold 2
Machine Setting 1 2 1 2
SOV is conducted to verify which factor in the casting process to cause the biggest variance.
In this study, 2 duplicated molds from 2 suppliers were used. 2 machine settings (different temperature, 3 pressures) were applied to verify the largest variance.
V2008 R2 - 22
Mold
Measu
rem
ent
21
-0.9
-1.0
-1.1
-1.2
-1.3
-1.4
-1.5
-1.6
MachineSetting
12
Multi-Vari Chart for Measurement by Machine Setting - Mold
AM I CDSOV Analysis
In the Casting Process, The Largest Variance is From the Machine Setting.
V2008 R2 - 23
Summary Table of Validated X’s
Y’s X’s X’s Identified from FMEA / CE Matrix/CE
Diagram/5 Why’s
X’s Validated from Hypothesis
Test/Corr/Regression/Plot/Chart
Conclusion Remarks (attach Minitab output)
Inlet Deformation
X1: Inlet cooling too quick
C&E MatrixFishbone Diagram
Quick Win Implementation
Important (Defect rate lowered 2%)
X2: Injection pin location not even
C&E MatrixFishbone Diagram
Quick Win Implementation
Important (Defect rate lowered 2%)
X3: High content of strontium
C&E MatrixFishbone Diagram
Quick Win Implementation
Important (Defect rate lowered 2%)
X4: Part placement orientation in HT furnace
C&E MatrixFishbone Diagram
ANOVA and 2 Sample T-Test
Significant (P<0.05)
X5: Melting aluminum temperature
C&E MatrixFishbone Diagram
SOV Analysis Variance components percentage 70%
X6: Casting filling pressures
C&E MatrixFishbone Diagram
SOV Analysis Variance components percentage 70%
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 24
Improve Phase Planning
Y Variable, X’s Improve Methods Status
Y: Inlet Deformation
X1: Melting Aluminum Temperature
DOE On-goingX2: P1 X3: P2X4: P3
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 25
DOE Plan
Y Factors Defination Levels
X1: Temperature Temperature of Melting Aluminum Ready for Casting 2
X2: P1 Tube Pressure 2X3: P2 Tank Pressure 2X4: P3 Molding Pressure 2
Inlet Deformation
AM I CD
Factors Level 1 Level 2
Temperature 685 °C 705 °C
P1 0.1 Mpa 0.2 Mpa
P2 0.1 Mpa 0.22 Mpa
P3 0.23 Mpa 0.35 Mpa
V2008 R2 - 26
Step 1 View the Data – Graphical Summary
Data is normally distributed without outlier points
DOE Analysis AM I CD
-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8-1.0-1.2-1.4
Median
Mean
-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.9
Anderson-Darling Normality Test
Variance 0.10171Skewness -0.574826Kurtosis 0.008989N 20Minimum -1.42000
A-Squared
1st Quartile -0.91500Median -0.660003rd Quartile -0.47500Maximum -0.17000
95% Confidence Interval for Mean-0.86276
0.31
-0.5642495% Confidence Interval for Median
-0.81000 -0.4994195% Confidence I nterval for StDev
0.24253 0.46580
P-Value 0.522Mean -0.71350StDev 0.31892
95% Confidence Intervals
Summary for Inlet Deformation
V2008 R2 - 27
DOE Analysis AM I CD
Step 2 Create the Model – All terms are included in the initial model
V2008 R2 - 28
AM I CD
Estimated effects and coefficients indicate that Temperature, P2, P3 and
interaction between Temperature*P3 are significant at a = 0.05. R-Sq = 99.22% R-Sq(adj) = 96.27% Curvature is not significant.
DOE AnalysisStep 3 Fit the Model – Effects Estimation
V2008 R2 - 29
Standardized Effect
Perc
ent
1050-5-10-15
99
9590
80706050403020
105
1
Factor
P3
NameA TemperatureB P1C P2D
Effect TypeNot SignificantSignificant
ADD
C
A
Normal Probability Plot of the Standardized Effects(response is Inlet Deformation, Alpha = .05)
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 3 Fit the Model – Probability Plot of Effects
Normal Probability Plot of Effects also shows that Temperature, P2, P3 and interaction between Temperature*P3 are significant at a = 0.05.
V2008 R2 - 30
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Term
Standardized Effect
ACDBD
BABCBCDABD
ABCDABCDBCACAD
CDA
181614121086420
2.78Factor
P3
NameA TemperatureB P1C P2D
Pareto Chart of the Standardized Effects(response is Inlet Deformation, Alpha = .05)
Step 3 Fit the Model – Pareto Plot of Effects Pareto Plot of Effects shows the same result.
V2008 R2 - 31
AM I CD
Step 3 Fit the Model - Main Effects and Interaction Effects Plots
The significant effects can also be verified through the Main Effect Plot and Interaction Effect Plot.
DOE AnalysisM
ean
of In
let D
efor
mat
ion
705695685
-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.9
0.200.150.10
0.220.160.10
-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.9
0.350.290.23
Temperature P1
P2 P3
Point TypeCornerCenter
Main Effects Plot (data means) for Inlet Deformation
Temperature
0.200.150.10 0.220.160.10 0.350.290.23
-0.4
-0.8
-1.2
P1
-0.4
-0.8
-1.2
P2
-0.4
-0.8
-1.2
P3
Temperature
Center705 Corner
Point Type685 Corner695
P1
Center0.20 Corner
Point Type0.10 Corner0.15
P2
Center0.22 Corner
Point Type0.10 Corner0.16
Interaction Plot (data means) for Inlet Deformation
V2008 R2 - 32
AM I CDDOE AnalysisStep 4 Perform Residual Diagnostics
The residuals are not normally distributed. The residuals are not randomly centered around zero in the plot of Residuals vs. Fitted Values. The residuals are not randomly centered around zero in the plot of Residuals vs. Run Order.
Standardized Residual
Perc
ent
3210-1
99
90
50
10
1
Fitted Value
Stan
dard
ized
Resi
dual
0.0-0.4-0.8-1.2-1.6
2
1
0
-1
-2
Standardized Residual
Freq
uenc
y
1.51.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5
16
12
8
4
0
Observation Order
Stan
dard
ized
Resi
dual
2018161412108642
2
1
0
-1
-2
Normal Probability Plot of the Residuals Residuals Versus the Fitted Values
Histogram of the Residuals Residuals Versus the Order of the Data
Residual Plots for Inlet Deformation
V2008 R2 - 33
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 4 Perform Residual Diagnostics
The residuals show non-random pattern in the plots of Residuals vs. each Input Factors.
Temperature
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
705700695690685
2
1
0
-1
-2
P1
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
0.2000.1750.1500.1250.100
2
1
0
-1
-2
P2
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
0.200.150.10
2
1
0
-1
-2
P3
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
0.350.300.25
2
1
0
-1
-2
Residuals Versus Temperature(response is Inlet Deformation)
Residuals Versus P1(response is Inlet Deformation)
Residuals Versus P2(response is Inlet Deformation)
Residuals Versus P3(response is Inlet Deformation)
V2008 R2 - 34
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 5 Check for Possible Transformation
A Transformation is not necessary since the SSE for Lambda=1 is below the 95% confidence line.
lambda
Resid
ual S
um o
f Squ
ares
210-1-2
1.00
0.10
0.01
0.020
Box-Cox TransformationsWith approximate 95 % confidence interval for the transformation parameter
V2008 R2 - 35
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 6 Remove Non-significant Terms / Refit Reduced Model - Non-significant terms are removed
V2008 R2 - 36
AM I CD
All terms are significant. R-Sq = 94.21% R-Sq(adj) = 92.67% Curvature is not significant.
DOE Analysis
Step 6 Remove Non-significant Terms / Refit Reduced Model
V2008 R2 - 37
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 6 Remove Non-significant Terms / Refit Reduced Model
Normal Probability Plot and Pareto Plot of Effects also show that all terms are significant at a = 0.05.
V2008 R2 - 38
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 6 Remove Non-significant Terms / Refit Reduced Model
The significant effects can also be verified through the Main Effect Plot and Interaction Effect Plot.
Mea
n of
Inle
t De
form
atio
n
705695685
-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.9
0.220.160.10
0.350.290.23
-0.5-0.6-0.7-0.8-0.9
Temperature P2
P3
Point TypeCornerCenter
Main Effects Plot (data means) for Inlet Deformation
Temperature
0.220.160.10 0.350.290.23
-0.4
-0.8
-1.2
P2
-0.4
-0.8
-1.2
P3
Temperature
Center705 Corner
Point Type685 Corner695
P2
Center0.22 Corner
Point Type0.10 Corner0.16
Interaction Plot (data means) for Inlet Deformation
V2008 R2 - 39
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 6 Residual Diagnostics for Reduced Model
The residuals are not normally distributed. The plot of Residuals vs. Fitted Values and Residuals vs. Run Order do not show any non-random patterns.
Standardized Residual
Perc
ent
210-1-2
99
90
50
10
1
Fitted Value
Stan
dard
ized
Resid
ual
-0.3-0.6-0.9-1.2
2
1
0
-1
-2
Standardized Residual
Freq
uenc
y
2.01.51.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5
4.8
3.6
2.4
1.2
0.0
Observation Order
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
2018161412108642
2
1
0
-1
-2
Normal Probability Plot of the Residuals Residuals Versus the Fitted Values
Histogram of the Residuals Residuals Versus the Order of the Data
Residual Plots for Inlet Deformation
V2008 R2 - 40
AM I CD
The residuals do not show any non-random pattern in the plots of Residuals vs. each Input Factors.
DOE Analysis
Temperature
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
705700695690685
2
1
0
-1
-2
P1
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
0.2000.1750.1500.1250.100
2
1
0
-1
-2
P2
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
0.200.150.10
2
1
0
-1
-2
P3
Stan
dard
ized
Res
idua
l
0.350.300.25
2
1
0
-1
-2
Residuals Versus Temperature(response is Inlet Deformation)
Residuals Versus P1(response is Inlet Deformation)
Residuals Versus P2(response is Inlet Deformation)
Residuals Versus P3(response is Inlet Deformation)
V2008 R2 - 41
Y (Inlet Deformation) = -6.9454 + 0.0098 (Temperature) + 1.8524 (P2) + 80.9792 (P3) - 0.1208 (Temperature)*(P3)
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 7 Choose Improved Model & Predict Response
The reduced model is acceptable and thus the chosen model is as below:
V2008 R2 - 42
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 7 Choose Improved Model & Predict Response
Predict Inlet Deformation at the following settings of factors: Temperature = 685 °C P2 = 0.22 MPa P3 = 0.23 MPa
V2008 R2 - 43
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 8 Interpret Chosen Model
The Contour Plot and Surface Plot show the basic changing direction of factors to meet target Y.
Temperature
P3
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
-0.7
-0.8
-0.9
-1.0
704702700698696694692690688686
0.34
0.32
0.30
0.28
0.26
0.24
Hold ValuesP2 0.22
Contour Plot of Inlet Deformation vs P3, Temperature
0.35
I nlet Deformation
-1.2 0.30
-0.9
-0.6
P3
-0.3
684 0.25690 696 702Temperature
Hold ValuesP2 0.22
Surface Plot of Inlet Deformation vs P3, Temperature
V2008 R2 - 44
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 8 Interpret Chosen Model
V2008 R2 - 45
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 8 Interpret Chosen Model
Optimal Y value -0.2422 can be reached at the following settings of Xs: Temperature = 685 °C P2 = 0.22 MPa P3 = 0.23 MPa
V2008 R2 - 46
AM I CDDOE Analysis
Step 9 Make Confirmation Runs
Will conduct 10 confirmation runs at the optimal settings above. Calculate the confidence interval of prediction based on the number of confirmation test run. 10 confirmation runs conducted. The mean (-0.2387) of the 10 confirmation runs falls within the calculated confidence interval. Thus we can finally draw the conclusion that the model is acceptable.
V2008 R2 - 47
AM I CDPilot Run
Data Analysis result:P value is greater than 0.05, the data are normal distributed.Cp=3.09, Cpk=2.17
Indi
vidu
al V
alue
30272421181512963
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
_X=-0.2970
UCL=0.0262
LCL=-0.6203
Mov
ing
Rang
e
30272421181512963
0.4
0.2
0.0
__MR=0.1216
UCL=0.3971
LCL=0
Observation
Valu
es
3025201510
-0.15
-0.30
-0.45
-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.5
0.0-0.2-0.4-0.6
Within
Overall
Specs
WithinStDev 0.10776Cp 3.09Cpk 2.17CCpk 3.09
OverallStDev 0.09132Pp 3.65Ppk 2.57Cpm *
Process Capability Sixpack of Inlet DeformationI Chart
Moving Range Chart
Last 25 Observations
Capability Histogram
Normal Prob PlotAD: 0.423, P: 0.300
Capability Plot
V2008 R2 - 48
AM I CDPilot Run
1.20.80.40.0-0.4-0.8-1.2
LSL USLProcess Data
Sample?N 60StDev(Within) 0.14320StDev(Overall) 0.14565
LSL -1.25000Target *USL 1.25000Sample Mean -1.13583
Potential (Within) Capability
CCpk 2.91Overall Capability
Pp 2.86PPL 0.26PPU 5.46Ppk
Cp
0.26Cpm *
2.91CPL 0.27CPU 5.55Cpk 0.27
Observed PerformancePPM?<?LSL 100000.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 100000.00
Exp. Within PerformancePPM?<?LSL 212646.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 212646.00
Exp. Overall PerformancePPM?<?LSL 216566.12PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 216566.12
WithinOverall
Process Capability of Inlet Deforming
Cp=2.91Cpk=0.27
Cp=3.09Cpk=2.17
Current Performance:Mean: -0.29 Standard Deviation: s =0.10 Conclusion: variance is Ok and mean improved, successful improvement
0.90.60.30.0-0.3-0.6-0.9
LSL USLProcess Data
Sample?N 30StDev(Within) 0.10776StDev(Overall) 0.09132
LSL -1.00000Target *USL 1.00000Sample Mean -0.29703
Potential (Within) Capability
CCpk 3.09Overall Capability
Pp 3.65PPL 2.57PPU 4.73Ppk
Cp
2.57Cpm *
3.09CPL 2.17CPU 4.01Cpk 2.17
Observed PerformancePPM?<?LSL 0.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 0.00
Exp. Within PerformancePPM?<?LSL 0.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 0.00
Exp. Overall PerformancePPM?<?LSL 0.00PPM?>?USL 0.00PPM?Total 0.00
WithinOverall
Process Capability of Inlet Deformation
V2008 R2 - 49
AM I CDSolution Summary
X1: Cooling rate at inlet position
Solution: Add heating insert to help heating around mold inlet area
X2: Injection pin location
Solution: Add injection pin around mold inlet area for even distribution of force
X3: Content of Strontium (Sr)
Solution: Lower the Strontium content to the lower limit of Chrysler specification
X4: Part placement orientation HT in furnace
Solution: Vertical placement in HT furnace
X5: Melting aluminum temperature
Solution: Adjust the temperature setting
X6: Casting filling 3 pressures
Solution: Adjust the 3 pressures setting
V2008 R2 - 50
Full Scale Implementation Plan
Tasks Activities Responsible person
Start Date Due Date Status and Actions
WI Definition Re-develop the new working instruction for
affected process
XXX May 5 April 8 Closed
Staff Training Train related operators and line supervisors
XXX May 5 May 8 Closed
Machine parameter adjustment
Set the machine conditions XXX May 10 May 12 Closed
Data collection Collect the data on time, 5 pcs/shift
XXX May 15 June 15 On-going
Implementation strategy
Define the WI and set the selected pressure/temperature in parallelThen collect the data for 5 pcs per shift
Time line: May 15 ~ June 15
AM I CD
V2008 R2 - 51
AM I CDSPC Control Chart
Sample
Sam
ple
Mea
n
60544842363024181261
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-1.0
-1.2
-1.4
-1.6
__X=-0.268
UCL=-0.040
LCL=-0.496
Before AfterXbar Chart of Inlet Deformation by Stage
V2008 R2 - 52
Replication Standardization Solution Focus Pilot Site Company-wide Similar process
Casting & HT process
Yes Exhaust Manifold Line Aluminum Workshop
Exhaust manifold line and other lines involving casting &
HT process
AM I CD
Replication Opportunity
Standardization and Documentation
V2008 R2 - 53
Financial Impact
Project Benefit: Initial estimate / COPQ: $264,000
Project Name Front Cover Inlet Deformation Issue Improvement
Project Leader Ling Hang
Financial Benefits 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total
Direct savings 48,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 $192,000
Cost avoidance (3CPR avoidance)
35,000 $35,000
Total $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $227,000
Non-Financial Benefits
Potential more business with Chrysler
Signature
Approvals MBB Name
Date
Champion Name
Date
Finance Name
Date
AM I CD