BU Finance & Investment Club Joseph McNiff & Xun Yao Chen Spring 2013 Introduction to Valuation.
EVDORO WATER SPRING | VALUATION REPORT
-
Upload
dr-kiriakos-tobras- -
Category
Documents
-
view
98 -
download
4
description
Transcript of EVDORO WATER SPRING | VALUATION REPORT
VALUATION REPORT
OF THE FAIR VALUE OF THE PROPERTY ASSET – WATER SPRING
"EVDORO",
CURRENTLY BEING EXPLOITED BY THE COMPANY STYLED
"LAVE S.A."
AS OF AUGUST 31, 2011
VALUATION STUDY
CONTENTS
1. Instructions and object of study.............................................................................................32. Constraints and necessary clarifications................................................................................43. Data on which the valuation was based.................................................................................45. Choice of approaches and valuation methods........................................................................76. Average capital cost...............................................................................................................87. Assessment of the fair commercial value of the property asset "EVDORO"........................98. Final Valuation – Conclusion...............................................................................................12
CONFIDENTIAL
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.2
VALUATION STUDY
To: the company "LAVE S.A."
Attention Mr. Ioannou
Athens, October 13, 2011
VALUATION REPORT
OF THE FAIR VALUE OF THE PROPERTY ASSET – WATER SPRING
"EVDORO",
CURRENTLY BEING EXPLOITED BY THE COMPANY STYLED
"LAVE S.A."
AS OF AUGUST 31, 2011
1. Instructions and object of study
The present valuation study was prepared pursuant to instructions of the Management of
the Company "LAVE S.A." to [the company] "HELLENIC AUDITING S.A." for the purpose of
assessing the fair market value of the property asset – water spring “EVDORO” as of
31.8.2011.
For the purposes of the present study, the term fair market value is defined as the price
at which the lawful possessors of the property asset in question will transfer ownership and
exploitation thereof to the Purchaser, none of whom, however, would be under a
constraint to sell or purchase, while every one of them would have full knowledge of the
relevant data for the evaluation thereof. Accordingly, the fair market value constitutes a
reasonable assessment of the price at which ownership and exploitation of the intangible
property asset would be transferred.
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.3
VALUATION STUDY
It should, however, be pointed out that the actual price at which the agreement would be
implemented might differ from the assessed value for various reasons, as, for instance, the
motives of the contracting parties, the form of the transaction (e.g. the modalities οf
payment, the manner of acquisition of possession etc) as well as for other reasons that
might affect exclusively the particular agreement.
2. Constraints and necessary clarifications
The result of the valuation, as hereinabove calculated, is subject to the following
constraints:
The valuation of the fair market value of the property asset was carried out in
accordance with the internationally accepted methodology, based on which the
assessed fair market value thereof on as "as is" basis resulted.
In our opinion, to the extent the foregoing clarifications and constraints are taken into
account, the final assessed fair market value of the water spring "EVDORO" as of
31.8.2011 is considered reasonable and just.
3. Data on which the valuation was based
The data on which the valuation of the assessed fair value of the property asset of the
company was based, are the following:
o The Business Plan prepared by the Company's Management showing the projected
financial results of the business year which are expected to derive from the
exploitation of the trademark over the period 1.9.2011 – 31.12.2016.
o The financial and business information, the hypotheses and assumptions as well as the
forecasts provided by the Management of the Company with respect to their future
course, which we considered as sound and complete and therefore abstained from
conducting an independent validation, survey, audit or confirmation thereof or from
issuing any certificate in relation thereto. The Company bears the full responsibility
regarding the validity of the financial and other information pertaining to the Company,
which were provided to us.
o It was assumed that the totality of the necessary permits and certifications which are
required for the function and the achievement of the financial forecasts of the
Company (e.g. License to operate by legislative or administrative authorities and
organizations), on which the value assessed by the present study is based, have already
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.4
VALUATION STUDY
been acquired and are renewable in the future.
We point out, however, that certain assumptions that were adopted might conceivably be
modified, resulting in a modification of the relevant results of this study. Therefore, we
may not be held liable for any divergence from the hypotheses mentioned in this study or
for any omissions.
4. Valuation Methodologies
The following chart presents the main and more widely accepted and disseminated
methods of valuation of intangible property assets as well as their main respective
advantages and disadvantages.
4.1 Cost Approach
The Cost Approach is based on the principle of substitution. For the acquisition of an
intangible property asset, a purchaser will pay a consideration not greater than the cost
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.5
VALUATION STUDY
required for the reproduction of such a property asset or for its substitution by a readily
available replacement.
The Cost Approach effectively comprises two kinds of cost which are considered as
determinant of value, namely the reproduction cost and the substitution cost. The
difference between the two relates to the influence of time on the factors affecting the
cost during the period between the moment of production of the property asset and the
moment of its valuation. Further to the assessment of the reproduction cost and the
substitution cost, the influence of the amortization and of the physical, functional or
financial devaluation of the intangible property asset are taken into account.
4.2 Income Approach
On the basis of this approach, the value of an intangible property asset is determined by
the future or expected income to be generated by the asset in question, which might
relate to the following: net income before and after taxes, net operational result, income
from royalties, net or free cash flow. A further set of assumptions that need to be defined
relate to the operational cost, the maintenance cost and the warehousing cost of the asset
in question during the period in which the property asset will generate income (value
creating life) as well as to an appropriate discount coëfficient.
Depending upon the selected income index we can define two particular valuation methods
based on the Income Approach: the multi-period excess earnings method) and the relief
from royalty method. According to the first method, the value of the intangible
commercial asset is defined by the present value of future cash flows that shall be
generated in the remainder of its value creating life.
As related to the other method, its basic tenet consists in the assumption that a business
would be obliged to pay royalties to the possessor of the property asset under valuation for
the concession of the right of use thereof, in case [said business] did not hold the lawful
right of such use. Usually, the relevant royalties are computed as a percentage of the
income before taxes generated by the use of said property asset. According to this
method, the fair value of a property asset is equal to the present value of the right of its
use, which shall not be paid by the company during its value creating life, i.e. during the
period in which it is estimated that the use of the property asset shall contribute financial
benefits to the business.
4.3 Market Approach
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.6
VALUATION STUDY
The Market Approach determines the value of a property asset in comparison to sale and
purchase agreement or to agreements for the provision of rights upon similar property
assets in the relevant primary or secondary market. This approach is based almost
exclusively on the availability and comparability of relevant commercial transactions.
Other factors that should be examined pertain to the moment in time of completion of the
selected comparable transactions as related to the valuation date, to the selected
comparability unit which shall yield the multiplication coëfficient of the property asset
being valuated, to the devaluation adaptations of both the property asset being valuated
and the comparable property assets as well as to any adaptations that are necessary,
according to the assessor's judgment, so as to allow comparability between the property
asset being valuated and the comparable property assets.
The valuation of the fair market value of the intangible property assets comprises,
depending upon the selected methodology, the following particular stages:
Computation of tax effect;
Computation of the contribution debit to other property assets (contributory asset
charges).
5. Choice of approaches and valuation methods
For the determination of the assessed value of the property asset – water spring
“EVDORO”, the Income Approach was adopted. The valuation of the property asset in
question shall be based on the assumption that the water spring constitutes an intangible
immovable property. As intangible immovable property are considered the intangible legal
claims in immovable property, such as sale-leasing rights, rights of possession of property
assets, exploration rights, airline rights [?], water rights etc.
As mentioned in a preceding paragraph, the approach in question constitutes a method of
appraisal of the value of an intangible property asset and is founded upon the discount of
the future income. As income, within the context of the present method, may be
considered the profits after taxes, the income from lease or rental, the royalties and the
cash flows generated by the operation of a company.
As a result of the particularity of the property asset – water source, in order for its value
to be assessed, the profits after taxes shall be used, as such profits are generated from the
exploitation of the water source and the sale of the products that derive from the bottling
of the water to be pumped in the period from 1.9.2011 to 31.12.2016, as computed in the
business plan of the company according to the assumptions of its Management.
The valuation of the commercial value of the property asset – water source “EVDORO”
was made as of 31.8.2011.
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.7
VALUATION STUDY
6. Average capital cost
The average capital cost calculates the capital cost of a company by a proportional
averaging of each category of capital (own funds and borrowed funds). The average capital
cost comprises (1) the part of the short term debt being used as a source of continuous
financing, (2) the aggregate long term debt, (3) the aggregate preferred stock and (4) the
aggregate of common stock of the company and results from the following formula:
WACC = Kd (I – Tc ) B/V + Kps P/V + Ks S/V
where :
Kd = Expected debt liabilities of the Company before taxesTc = Tax coëfficient in force applying to the profits of the CompanyB = Current value of all of Company's loansV = Current value of the Company under valuation (V = B+P+S)Kps = After tax cost of capital held by preferred shareholders of the CompanyP = Current value of preferred stock in the Company
Ks = Opportunity cost, as determined by the market, of common stock in the Company
S = Current value of common stock in the Company
Additionally, for the calculation of the cost of own funds, which, in the case on hand,
pertains to the common stock cost of each Company being acquired, the CAPM model was
applied (Capital Asset Pricing Model), according to which the formula or the calculation of
the cost of own funds is expressed as follows:
KS = KRF + (Km – KRF ) x bi
where :
KS = Own funds cost
KRF = Risk free ratio
Km – KRF = Expected difference between the yield of the portfolio of the capital market as a whole (Km) and the risk free ratio(KRF)
bi = Beta coëfficient the dependance of yield (variability) of its share in relation to an average (stable) share and in relation, at all times, to the yield (variability) of the aggregate capital market, i.e. the share's systemic risk.
For the purposes of the present valuation of the fair market price, the average capital cost
based on [available] data for the Utilities branch (water) was used as discount interest rate
for the calculation of the amortization benefit. The following data were used for its
assessment:
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.8
VALUATION STUDY
(a) as risk-free interest rate, the yield before taxes of the fifteen-year bond (August 2011)
which is 15.90%, and the net yield which was 9.67 % (Statistical Bulletin of Economic
Conjecture, issue 138, July – August 2011),
(b) as market risk premium, the assessment of the aggregate risk coëfficient for the Greek
capital market, which amounted to 15.50 % (New York University, Leonard N. Stern School
of Business),
(c) as beta coëfficient, which is used for the calculation of the opportunity cost of common
stock, the average of beta coëfficients for the Utilities branch (Water) was used; it
amounted to 0.32 (Source: New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business).
Based on the foregoing analysis, the common stock cost, as results from the formula (2), is
expected to evolve, in the course of the period from 1.9.2011 to 31.12.2016 according to
the data of the following table:
Ks = KRF + (Km – KRF) x bi
2011 20.60= 15.58 + (15.50) x 0.324
2012 20.04 = 15.27 + (14.73) x 0.324
2013 19.49 = 14.96 + (13.99) x 0.324
2014 18.97 = 14.67 + (13.29) x 0.324
2015 18.46 = 14.37 + (12.62) x 0.324
2016 17.97 = 14.08 + (11.99) x 0.324
Therefore, the average capital cost of the Company is expected to amount to 4.26 % for
the period 1.9-31.12.2011, to 12.51 % on 31.12.2012, to 12.26 % on 31.12.2013, to
12.02% on 31.12.2014, to 11.78 % on 31.12.2015 and to 11.55 % on 31.12.2016.
7. Assessment of the fair commercial value of the property asset "EVDORO"
As mentioned previously, the water source of the Company is a property asset representing
a certain value and, based on the [valuation] method used, said value is equal to the
present value of future profits which shall be generated by the particular property asset in
the course of its value-creating life.
According to the data and assumptions communicated by the Management of the Company,
it ensued that almost the total turnover of the Company, pursuant to the pumping of the
water from the source and its bottling by the Company itself, was realized through
agreements with commercial agents and wholesalers with whom the Company maintains a
long-standing relationship. Accordingly, the expected turnover for each financial year was
calculated by taking into account the cubic [meters] of water expected to be pumped by
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.9
VALUATION STUDY
the Company in each financial year in the period from 1.9.2011 to 31.12.2016, always
according to the historical data of the Company, the capabilities of yearly pumping as well
as the market share of the Company, and according to the assumptions of the Company on
the evolution of such data per financial year. Furthermore, according to the business plan
of the Company as relates to the evolution of the expenses and of the Management's plans
over above period, estimates of projected profits after taxes were made possible.
The table on the following page presents the calculation of the market value of the water
spring named "EVDORO", exploited by the company "LAVE S.A.", as of August 31, 2011:
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.10
VALUATION STUDY
Based on the Method of Discounted Cash Flow, the projections for income generated by the property asset "EVDORO" and after taking into
account the capital cost estimate and the tax influences, the fair market value [of the asset] amounts to € 7,170.3 thousand
approximately (for a more detailed analysis, see Attachment):
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.11
VALUATION STUDY
8. Final Valuation – Conclusion
The method used for the assessment of the fair market price of the property asset – water
spring “EVDORO” as of 31.8.2011 was discussed in detail In the preceding chapters.
Based on the expositions in the preceding pages of this study, the final assessment of the
fair market value of the property asset – water spring "EVDORO" as of 31.8.2011,
amounts to € 7,170,346.06.
The Assessor,
Agape Koussi
Chartered Auditor- Accountant
Registry Number SOEL 26731
It is hereby certified that this is a complete and accurate
translation of the attached Greek original into English.
Athens, March 8, 2012
The Translator
HELLENIC AUDITING S.A.12
VASSILIS D. ΜAROULISATTORNEY AT LAW
4, LYCAVITTOU STR • 10671 ATHENSTEL. 2103637775, 2103630821
FAX 2103636479 • ATHENS BAR 12868VAT NO. 026990656