Evaluation of dry cooling option for parabolic trough (CSP) plants including … · 2012-04-16 ·...
Transcript of Evaluation of dry cooling option for parabolic trough (CSP) plants including … · 2012-04-16 ·...
Ahmad Liqreina
16.03.2012
“Evaluation of dry cooling option for parabolic
trough (CSP) plants including related technical
and economic assessment” case study 50MW plant in Ma’an/Jordan
Contents
1. Introduction
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
3. Cooling options
4. Planning of Ma’an Plant
5. Simulation and optimization
6. Comparison between wet/dry plants
7. Conclusions.
In the next 25 minutes, you will be sure
that dry cooling is not a scare option
for solar thermal power
www.themegallery.com
Source: http://www.desertec.org/
CSP showed attractive features to be
installed in large scale. It secure the
dispatchability of power.
CSP direct normal irradiation (DNI) is
very high in deserts, but no water
for cooling.
1. Introduction
Previous studies done by NREL and
DLR showed that dry cooled plants
- Could save water(more than 90%)
- The overall performance is reduced
- Have bigger solar field
- Higher investment costs.
1.1 Objectives
Evaluate the use of dry cooled CSP parabolic plants.
Technical performance and the economics of the plant options.
Show that high DNI could compensate for the defects of a dry plant.
Assessment for a dry cooled plant in Ma’an/Jordan.
1.2 Methodology
Literature review:
Cooling options for parabolic trough CSP plants/ assessment of power plants/ site selection
/metrological data.
Simulation tools:
Greenius (DLR) ,SAM(NREL)
Three steps:
Simulation of Andasol design in Spain and in Jordan as a reference
Optimization of wet/dry that made the design suitable to Ma’an site
Assessment of dry cooled plant in this location is resulted.
Contents
1. Introduction
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
3. Cooling options
4. Planning of Ma’an Plant
5. Simulation and optimization
6. Comparison between wet/dry plants
7. Conclusions.
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
Parabolic Trough (PSA) Solar Tower (SNL)
Linear Fresnel (Solarmundo) Parabolic Dish (SBP)
2.1 overview
2.2 Parabolic trough CSP plants-(Andasol)
Source: solar millennium
Andasol layout
Source: solar millennium
Table1: Andasol design parameters
Solar field
Aperture area ² m120,510
Solar multiplier 7.1
Collector Assembly (SKAL-ET 150)
Storage
Cold tank temperature 292 °C
Hot tank temperature: 386 °C
Flow rate 948 kg/s.
Hours 7.5
Size m diameter.38 m height, 14
Capacity tonnes500 .28=MWh 970
Power Block
Turbine SST-700
Nominal Capacity 50.0 MW
Conversion efficiency %38
Turbine Inlet Conditions
100 bar 370°C , reheat 16.5 bar 370°C
Nominal Steam Flow 59 kg/s
Cooling system wet
Design Back Pressure bar08 .0
Contents
1. Introduction
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
3. Cooling options
4. Planning of Ma’an Plant
5. Simulation and optimization
6. Comparison between wet/dry plants
7. Conclusions.
wet cooling
Efficient
Cheap
Compacted
Consumes huge amounts of water
3 Cooling options
Dry cooling Lower performance at high
ambient temperature
Expensive
Require large area
High parasitics loads (fans)
Requires very few amounts of water
Hybrid cooling
Very expensive
Moderate performance
Require large area
Moderate water consumption
Suitable for locations with high ambient temperatures
Contents
1. Introduction
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
3. Cooling options
4. Planning of Ma’an Plant
5. Simulation and optimization
6. Comparison between wet/dry plants
7. Conclusions.
4 Planning of Ma’an Plant 4.1 Location
Table2: Ma’an site characteristics Criteria Unit
Site name MDA
Region/Municipality Jordan/Ma'an
Latitude N 30.17°
Longitude E 35.78°
Elevation/altitude 1015 m
Time zone Hours GMT +3
Annual sum DNI 2802kWh/m²a
Topography Flat
Approx Land Size 7.5 km²
Soil sand and gravel
Land Ownership MDA
Flooding risk/Fire risk No
Armed/Social conflicts No
HV substation 33 kV
Availability of Water yes-few
Source of Water MDA-underground
Distance to source less than 1 km
Road/railway yes (highway)
Road/Railway 0.2km
Fossil Fuel Pipeline No
Telecom Yes
Minute ground data from the enerMENA high precision Meteo station in this site
4.2 Solar resource assessment
Diurnal of DNI, Meteonorm
Diurnal of DNI, enerMENA(DLR)
Ma’an is not an extremely hot area
It has very low probability of freezing hours
4.3 Study of Dry cooling option
Around 3050 hours with temperature 10-20 C
Around 2250 hours with temperature 20-30C
This situation is nearly excellent for the dry cooling option
Contents
1. Introduction
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
3. Cooling options
4. Planning of Ma’an Plant
5. Simulation and optimization
6. Comparison between wet/dry plants
7. Conclusions.
5.1 Simulation Inputs(Greenius)
5 Simulation and optimization
Project Site Nation: Jordan/Spain Location R
em
un
eratio
n
Tariffs
type flat
Geo
grap
hic
al
locatio
n Name Ma'an- MDA
year 2011 latitude 30.17 N
Electricity Jordan 0.084 €/kWh
longitude 35.78 E Spain 0.27 €/kWh
Heat/cooling 0 Altitude 1015
fuel usage 0 Time zone 3
Taxes
Income tax rate 0
Pro
pertie
s o
f G
ro
un
d Ground structure Clay
Property tax rate 0 Roughness length 0.03
Tax holidays 0 Albedo factor 0.2
loss forwarded 0 Average slope 0
Discount Rate
investment cost 6% specific land cost Jordan0.5€/m²
Spain 2€/m²
running costs 6% Load curve
Pric
es o
f D
eliv
ery
Fuel price 0.05€/kWht
Water price 0.5€/m3
undefined-free load purchased from the grid
/ €084.0Jordan ]1kWh[
Spain 0.15 €/kWh
year 2011 Metrological input Escala
tion
R
ate
s
Electricity 0% Typical Metrological year
O&M 0% Ma’an Airport
( Meteonorm )
Replacement 0%
Fuel Jordan 0% Spain 12%
Sp
ecific
R
efe
ren
ce
Valu
es
levelized electricity costs
0.050€/kWh
CO2 emissions -electricity
]2[632.0 One year ground data
levelized Heat costs 0 DLR
CO2 emissions -Heat 0.3
Table2: Project site simulation inputs
Technology Part 1
Collector Assembly Collector Field
Ge
ne
ral in
form
atio
n a
nd
dim
en
sio
ns
Length 148.5 m
Ge
ne
ral a
nd
dim
en
sio
ns
Name Andasol
Aperture width 5.75 m land use ²m1900000
Aperture area 817.5 m² Reference irradiation 800w/m²
Focal Length 1.71 m Orie
nta
tion
Distance between rows 17.3m
HCE Diameter 0.0655m Distance between
collectors 1m
Nominal optical efficiency 77.00% Tracking axis tilt angle 0
Th
erm
al P
ara
me
ters
Tracking axis Azimuth 0
Fie
ld p
ara
me
ters
Number of rows 156
No. of collectors/loop 4
Field size 510120
Total header length m6823
mean header diameter 381.0
Header specific mass 60.29kg/m
length fraction cold header 0.5
pipe length in loops m6807
Inc
ide
nc
e
An
gle
Mo
difie
r
Coefficient a1 0.000525
Coefficient a2 2.86E-05 pipe diameter in loops 0.0525m
Coefficient a3 0
Table3: Simulation inputs for solar field
Technology Part2
Thermal storage Power block
Name Andasol 50 MW
Type Two Tank Molten Salts
Tech
nic
al D
ata
Table4: Simulation inputs for storage and power block
Economics
Costs Financing major equipment costs minimum internal rate of return 12%
No
n-
Co
nve
ntio
na
l
Co
sts
Reference year 2011 Financing sources
specific costs ²/m€ 320 Grant Funding
none conventional parts 0%
specific O&M costs ²/m€ 4 conventional parts 0%
specific replacement costs 0.2%/a Dept funding 70%
Guarantee period 0 Equity Funding 30%
specific insurance cost 0%/a Dept financing
Co
nve
ntio
na
l
co
sts
-Po
wer
Blo
ck
Reference year 2009
A lo
an
with
po
rtfolio
Share 60%
land use ²m10000 Interest rate 5.40%
specific costs /kW€ 950 Dept term 10 years
specific O&M costs 3 €/m² Upfront fee 0%
specific replacement costs 0.2%/a Commitment fee 0.4% of the amount drown
Guarantee period 0 grace period 0
specific insurance cost 0%/a bridge loan No
Sto
rag
e
Reference year 2009
B lo
an
with
po
rtfolio
Share 40%
land use 7500 Interest rate 6.00%
specific costs 35 €/kWth Dept term 12 years
specific O&M costs 1 €/m² Upfront fee 0%
specific replacement costs 0.2%/a Commitment fee 0.5% of the amount drown
Guarantee period 0 grace period 0
specific insurance cost 0%/a bridge loan No Oth
er C
osts
infrastructure costs 0 Timing-(Project Schedule)
Project development 5% Reference year of discounting 2012
insurance during construction 1% Construction period 2
supervision and Startup 3% First year of operation 2014
contingencies 5% Operation period 30
Depreciation type linear
Depreciation period 15
Cost distribution during construction 25% per half year
Table7: Economic Simulation inputs for Spain (Costs, Financing, Timing)
Andasol in Spain Andasol in Ma'an
This simulation step is not enough for comparison because the base design is oversized
5.2 Simulation of base design (Andasol)
5.3 Optimization of wet plant(base)
Table5: simulation steps of wet optimization
Wet optimization
# run #
loops
Effective
mirror
area
[m²]
Thermal output of
solar filed
[MWht]
Energy
yield
[MWhe]
Investment
cost
[€]
LCOE
[€/kWhe]
1 156 510120 5.644378 9.198497 272 336 160 1305.0
2 152 497040 627918.6 196043.3 269 940 951 0.1298
3 148 483960 611435.2 193448.8 262 755 322 0.1292
4 144 470880 594963.5 190553 257 964 903 0.1287
5 140 457800 578498.8 187345.5 253 174 483 0.1285
6 138 451260 570268.8 185598.4 250 779 274 0.1285
7 136 444720 562028.1 183879.4 248 384 064 0.1284
8 134 438180 553796.4 182043.9 245 988 855 0.1285
9 132 431640 545583.8 180200.7 243 593 645 0.1285
10 130 425100 537345.0 178186.3 241 198 435 0.1287
Before optimization After optimization
5.4 Optimization of dry plant
Table6: Simulation steps of dry optimization
Dry optimization
# run #
loops
Effective
mirror
area
[m²]
Thermal output of
solar filed
[MWht]
Energy
yield
[MWhe]
Investment
cost
[€]
LCOE
[€/kWhe]
1 136 444720 6.562803 0.163431 265 209 798 1525.0
2 140 457800 579262.3 167801.6 270 000 217 0.1512
3 144 470880 595709.3 171846.3 274 790 637 0.1502
4 148 483960 612171.0 175639.8 279 581 056 0.1496
5 152 497040 628603.9 179071.8 284 371 475 0.1492
6 154 503580 636834.5 180652 286 766 685 0.1491
7 156 510120 645061.7 182173.5 289 161 894 0.1491
8 158 516660 653296.5 183657.2 291 557 104 0.1492
9 160 523200 661515.3 185109.8 293 952 313 0.1492
10 164 536280 677988.6 187874.3 298 742 733 0.1494
Before optimization After optimization
LCOE
Nominal Solar Multiple
[c€/kWhe] 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2 2.25 2.5 2.75 3 3.25
Fu
ll load
hou
rs of T
ES
0 14.05 13.77 14.32 15.08 15.98 16.98 17.97 18.99 20.05 21.22
1.5 15.05 13.79 13.95 14.49 15.12 15.91 16.74 17.60 18.51 19.53
3 16.38 14.43 14.01 14.28 14.78 15.36 16.02 16.74 17.46 18.32
4.5 17.70 15.46 14.26 14.25 14.52 14.98 15.49 16.06 16.68 17.39
6 19.04 16.52 14.80 14.35 14.43 14.74 15.16 15.64 16.14 16.72
5.7 35.20 58.17 64.15 63.14 49.14 65.14 93.14 31.15 72.15 21.16
9 21.67 18.65 16.52 15.13 14.65 14.59 14.78 15.08 15.43 15.85
10.5 22.99 19.71 17.39 15.85 15.00 14.72 14.74 14.97 15.23 15.59
12 24.29 20.78 18.26 16.59 15.64 14.96 14.77 14.85 15.05 15.36
Table7: LCOE at different TES hours and solar multiple, for dry cooled plant in Ma’an(SAM software)
Contents
1. Introduction
2. Concentrated Solar Power CSP
3. Cooling options
4. Planning of Ma’an Plant
5. Simulation and optimization
6. Comparison between wet/dry plants
7. Conclusions.
Optimized design for both plants
6.1 Technical Comparison between wet /dry power plants
Item Unit Wet Dry
General characteristics Direct normal irradiation [kWh/(m²·a)] 2802.2 2802.2
Annual Energy yield [GWhe] 183.8794 182.1735
Full load hours [h/a] 4162 4190
Capacity factor [%] 41.98 41.59
Plant area [m²] 1710000 2010000
Water consumption [m3/a] 717981 41820
Solar field Aperture area [m²] 444720 510120
Solar multiplier --- 1.74 2
Number of loops --- 136 156
Storage Cold tank temperature [C] 292 C 292 C
Hot tank temperature [C] 386 C 386 C
Full load hours hours 7.5 7.5
Capacity [MWht] 970 1100
Power Block Turbine --- SST-700 SST-700
Nominal Capacity [MW] 50.0 50.0
Conversion efficiency [%] 38 34
Design Back Pressure [bar] 0.08 0.144
Thermal Input [MWht] 129.2225 147.440
Table8: Technical comparison between expected plants in Ma’an
Number
of loops
Effective
mirror
area
Thermal
output of
solar filed
Energy
yield
Full load
hours
Capacity
factor
Investment
cost LCOE
------ [m²] [MWht] [MWhe] [Hours] [%] [€] [€/KWhe]
Optimized Wet/Ma’an
136 444720 1.562028 4.183879 4162 98.41 248 384 064 1284.0
Dry similar to Wet design/Ma’an
136 444720 563128.2 162310.3 3719 37.06 259 844 561 0.1514
Optimized Dry/Ma’an
156 510120 7.645061 5.182173 4190 59.41 289 161 894 1491.0
Andasol Wet/Spain
156 510120 3.442908 8.134715 3468 71.31 274 259 498 1967.0
Andasol Dry/Spain
156 510120 458833.01 126184.27 3175 28.81 282 859 352 0.2183
Andasol Wet/Ma’an
156 510120 625580.2 191999.2 4345 43.84 274 259 498 0.142
Andasol Dry/Ma’an
156 510120 626682.2 178232.3 4093 40.69 285 719 994 0.1587
Table9: Summary of the simulated cases
6.2 Economic Comparison between wet and dry power plants
Andasol in Spain Andasol in Ma'an Cooling type
Comparison element Wet Dry Wet Dry Unite
Electricity tariff Energy yield 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27
Minimum required IRR 12 12 12 12 % Simulation results
(IRR) on Equity 9.69 7.28 18.38 15.27 %
Net Present Value 109.11 59.32 295.79 238.68 €
Payback Period 12.35 13.96 6.31 8.33 yrs.
Minimum ADSCR 1.01 0.91 1.39 1.25
Required Tariff (LCOE) 0.301 0.341 0.211 0.236 €/kWh Calculation of LEC
Levelized Electricity Costs 0.2024 0.2293 0.142 0.1587 €/kWhe
NPV of Running Costs (OC) 74 320 528 75 473 190 74 320 528 75 856 614 €
Annuity of OC 0.0782 0.0782 0.0782 0.0782
Cooling type Comparison element
Wet Dry Unite
Electricity tariff 0.084 0.084 €/kWhe Minimum required IRR 6 6 %
Simulation results Internal Rate of Return (IRR) on Equity -0.31 -2.12 %
Net Present Value -109.41 -157.94 million € Payback Period 0 0 yrs.
Minimum ADSCR 0.35 0.28 Required Tariff (LCOE) 0.13 0.151 €/kWh
Calculation of LEC Levelized Electricity Costs (LEC) 0.1284 0.1491 €/kWhe
NPV of Running Costs (OC) 76 689 532 84 808 070 € Annuity of OC 0.0726 0.0726 O
pti
miz
ed
pla
nts
in
M
a’a
n w
ith
ou
t FIT
1. Minimum required tariff Cooling type
Comparison element Wet Dry Unite
Electricity tariff 0.152 0.170 €/kWhe
Minimum required IRR 6 6 % Dept term 15 15 years
interest rate 5.5 5.5 % Simulation results
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) on Equity 9.69 8.8 %
Net Present Value 57.91 51.26 million €
Payback Period 14.1 15.33 yrs.
Minimum ADSCR 1.05 1 Required Tariff (LCOE) 0.128 0.148 €/kWh
2. Minimum required grant Cooling type
Comparison element Wet Dry Unite
Electricity tariff 0.084 0.084 €/kWhe
Minimum required IRR 6 6 % Grant 123.81 163.2384 million €
Dept term 18 20 years
interest rate 5.5 5.3 % Simulation results
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) on Equity 7.63 6.36 %
Net Present Value 11.84 2.46 million €
Payback Period 16.56 18.41 yrs.
Minimum ADSCR 1.02 1 Required Tariff (LCOE) 0.079 0.083 €/kWh
Suggestions to make the plant in Ma’an feasible
3.a. Tariff and grant Cooling type
Comparison element Wet Dry Unite
Electricity tariff 0.130 0.146 €/kWhe
Minimum required IRR 6 6 % Grant 50 50 million €
Dept term 15 15 years
interest rate 5.5 5.5 % Simulation results
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) on Equity 10.17 8.73 % Net Present Value 52.17 41.33 million €
Payback Period 13.3 15.39 yrs.
Minimum ADSCR 1.08 1 Required Tariff (LCOE) 0.108 0.129 €/kWh
Cooling type Comparison element
Wet Dry Unite
Electricity tariff 0.10 0.13 €/kWhe
Minimum required IRR 6 6 % Grant 100 100 million €
Dept term 15 15 years
Interest rate 5.5 5.5 % Simulation results
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) on Equity 8.92 10.22 %
Net Present Value 27.42 50.32 million €
Payback Period 15.22 13.22 yrs.
Minimum ADSCR 1.01 1.08
Required Tariff (LCOE) 0.089 0.109 €/kWh
4.b. Tariff and grant
Investment cost and LCOE for different specific solar field cost
Specific solar filed
cost
Project
Period
Wet Dry
LCOE Investment cost LCOE Investment cost
[€/m²] years [€/kWhe] [€] [€/kWhe] [€]
320 Greenius 25 0.136 248 384 064 0.1580 289 161 894
320 This study 30 0.1284 248 384 064 0.1491 289 161 894
315 30 0.1273 245 839 154 0.1478 286 242 733
310 30 0.1261 243 294 244 0.1465 283 323 571
305 30 0.1249 240 749 334 0.1451 280 404 409
300 30 0.1238 238 204 423 0.1438 277 485 247
295 30 0.1226 235 659 513 0.1425 274 566 086
290 30 0.1214 233 114 603 0.1441 271 646 924
285 30 0.1202 230 569 693 0.1398 268 727 762
280 30 0.1191 228 024 783 0.1415 265 808 601
275 30 0.1179 225 479 872 0.1402 262 889 439
270 SAM 30 0.1167 222 934 962 0.1388 259 970 277
265 30 0.1156 220 390 052 0.1375 257 051 116
260 30 0.1144 217 845 142 0.1362 254 131 954
255 30 0.11.32 215 300 232 0.1348 251 212 792
250 30 0.1121 212 755 321 0.1335 248 293 630
245 30 0.1109 210 210 411 0.1322 245 374 469
240 30 0.1097 207 665 501 0.1308 242 455 307
237 DLR study(1) 30 0.1090 206 138 555 0.127 240 703 810
235 30 0.1085 205 120 591 0.1295 239 536 145
[1] EFCOOL- Wassereffiziente Kühlung solarthermischer Kraftwerke (p33)
Sensitivity
Investment cost Annual solar field
O&M costs Annual Energy Yield Percent
of base IC LCOE O&M LCOE EY LCOE
[€] [€/kWhe] [€] [€/kWhe] [MWhe ] [€/kWhe] [%]
346994272.8 0.1768 2448576 0.1514 218608.200 0.1290 120
332536178.1 0.1719 2346552 0.1508 209499.525 0.1361 115
318078083.4 0.1653 2244528 0.1503 200390.850 0.1411 110
303619988.7 0.1583 2142504 0.1497 191282.175 0.1433 105
289161894.0 0.1491 2040480 0.1491 182173.500 0.1491 100
274703799.3 0.1455 1938456 0.1486 173064.825 0.1528 95
260245704.6 0.1389 1836432 0.148 163956.150 0.1565 90
245787609.9 0.1323 1734408 0.1475 154847.475 0.1735 85
231329515.2 0.1257 1632384 0.1469 145738.800 0.1867 80
-5% change IC (-0.36c€/kWhe)
+/-5% change EY (+/-0.50c€/kWhe)
SWOT analysis table
Strengths:
•Clean energy at fixed costs
•Independent of fossil fuels
•Job creation
•Research and technology
•Development of Ma’an
•Low water consumption
Weaknesses:
•Low local know-how and operating
experience
•High electricity prices today
•Most products have to be imported
•2% lower efficiency than wet cooled plant
Opportunities:
•Development of new industry
•Reduction of imported energy
Threats:
•Cant compete with other alternatives now
•Can’t attract investors without feed in
tariff law
Conclusions The wet cooled plant in Ma’an :
- Effective solar field area 444720m²
- Annual energy yield 183.8794GWhe
- Operating hours 4162
- Annual mean overall efficiency 14.9%
- Capacity factor 41.98%
-Water consumption 717981m³/a.
-Investment cost 248 384 064 €
-Levelized cost of electricity 0.1284 €/kWhe
The Dry cooled plant in Ma’an : % of change
- Effective solar field area 523200m² (+17.64%)
- Annual energy yield 182.1735GWhe (- 0.93% )
- Operating hours 4190 (+0.67%)
- Annual mean overall efficiency 12.9% (- 2%)
- Capacity factor 41.59% (-0.39%)
-Water consumption 41820 m³/a (- 91% )
-Investment cost 289 161 894 € (+16.42%)
-Levelized cost of electricity 0.1491€/kWhe (+16.12%)
Comparison between Andasol and Dry cooled plant in Ma’an :
- Effective solar field area: same size
-Larger turbine /same capacity ,larger thermal storage/same full load hours
- Annual energy yield (+35.23%)
- Operating hours (+19.71%)
- Annual mean overall efficiency (+0.85% )
- Capacity factor (+31.16%)
-Water consumption (-91.00% )
-Investment cost (+10.17%)
From a technical point of view the dry cooling option in Ma’an is still very good, and high DNI compensated the defects of dry cooling
From the economical point of view the project is unfeasible without feed in tariff.
Different suggested financial incentives to make the project feasible
- Minimum required tariff 17 c€/kWhe
- Minimum required a grant 163.3 million €
- Tariff with grant (14.6 c€/kWhe ,50 million €), or ( 13 c€/kWhe ,100 million €).
Recommendations
Water availability is not a restriction factor against CSP in Ma’an
This results are site specific, for other locations with high ambient temperatures, improvements in the cooling system and re-optimization are essential.
Usage of soft loans and grants from international and regional donors
Sell electricity to neighbor countries that have high electricity prices
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