Europeans and populism

39
Europeans and populism COMPAR

Transcript of Europeans and populism

Page 1: Europeans and populism

Europeans and populism

COMPAR

Page 2: Europeans and populism

Methodology

2

GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

Fieldwork June 19th - 22nd From 21th to 26nd June 2017

Interviewing was conducted

by online self-completion from

20th - 22nd June 2017

16-20 June

Sample

1.000 persons randomly

selected from the universe

(=persons entitled to vote in

federal elections in Germany

(Germans 18+)).

Sample weighted on age, sex,

and level of education.

A sample of 1524 French

adults aged 18+ were

interviewed.

A sample of 1229 UK adults

aged 18+ were interviewed.n=1.059

MethodCATI (Dual-Frame: 70%

landline and 30% mobile

numbers).

CAWI

This study was conducted in

The UK via OnLineBus, an

Internet omnibus survey

Online, CAWI

Page 3: Europeans and populism

Satisfaction with the way democracy works

3

Q1 All in all, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied

with the way democracy works in (COUNTRY)?

7

57

28

8Total SatisfiedTotal Not satisfied

36% 64%

Not at all satisfied

Fairly satisfied

Not very satisfied

Don’t know

Very satisfied

GERMANY

Page 4: Europeans and populism

Satisfaction with the way democracy works

4

Q1 All in all, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied

with the way democracy works in (COUNTRY)?

6

45

30

15

4Total SatisfiedTotal Not satisfied

45% 51%

Not at all satisfied

Fairly satisfied

Not very satisfied

Don’t know

Very satisfied

FRANCE

Page 5: Europeans and populism

Satisfaction with the way democracy works

5

Q1 All in all, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied

with the way democracy works in (COUNTRY)?

9

38

30

11

12Total SatisfiedTotal Not satisfied

41% 47%

Not at all satisfied

Fairly satisfied

Not very satisfied

Don’t know

Very satisfied

UK

Page 6: Europeans and populism

Satisfaction with the way democracy works

6

Q1 All in all, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied

with the way democracy works in (COUNTRY)?

7

52

24

11

5Total SatisfiedTotal Not satisfied

35% 60%

Not at all satisfied

Fairly satisfied

Not very satisfied

Don’t know

Very satisfied

NETHERLANDS

Page 7: Europeans and populism

Satisfaction with the way democracy works

7

GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

Very satisfied 7% 6% 9% 7%

Fairly satisfied 57% 45% 38% 52%

Total Satisfied 64% 51% 47% 60%

Not very satisfied 28% 30% 30% 24%

Not at all satisfied 8% 15% 11% 11%

Total Not satisfied 36% 45% 41% 35%

Don’t know 0% 4% 12% 5%

Q1 All in all, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied

with the way democracy works in (COUNTRY)?

ALL COUNTRIES

Page 8: Europeans and populism

Don’t know

NOT SATISFIED

SATISFIED

64

36

0

GERMANY

51 45

4

France

60

35

5

NL

47 41

12

UK

8

All in all, are you very satisfied, fairly

satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all

satisfied with the way democracy works in

(COUNTRY)?

Satisfaction with the way democracy works

Page 9: Europeans and populism

Feelings toward different terms

9

5

11

47

45

45

49

49

53

54

43

54

48

42

35

1

3

3

7

11

8

12

13

13

32

25

33

47

55

29

49

37

31

31

31

31

26

25

17

15

13

9

7

63

28

8

10

6

8

3

5

5

7

2

4

1

2

2

9

5

7

7

4

5

3

3

1

4

2

1

1Democracy

Elections

European Union

Trade unions

The Euro

Media

Globalisation

Political Parties

Immigration

Multinationals

Refugees

Political leaders

Brexit

Donald Trump

90

89

81

79

75

67

66

61

57

56

52

50

14

6

Total Positive

Q2 Could you please tell me for each of the following, whether the term brings to mind

something very positive, fairly positive, fairly negative or very negative?

Very positiveFairly negative Fairly positiveDon’t know Very negative

GERMANY

Page 10: Europeans and populism

Feelings toward different terms

10

45

48

45

43

43

33

31

33

19

19

18

16

16

8

22

12

11

9

4

3

5

2

6

2

1

2

1

2

20

22

25

27

31

36

34

40

33

32

45

35

47

22

8

11

14

15

12

19

23

20

25

38

30

36

30

61

5

7

5

6

10

9

7

5

17

9

6

11

6

7

FRANCE

Democracy

The Euro

European Union

Elections

Multinationals

Globalisation

Trade unions

Media

Brexit

Immigration

Political leaders

Refugees

Political parties

Donald Trump

67

60

56

52

47

36

36

35

25

21

19

18

17

10

Total Positive

Q2 Could you please tell me for each of the following, whether the term brings to mind

something very positive, fairly positive, fairly negative or very negative?

Very positiveFairly negative Fairly positiveDon’t know Very negative

Page 11: Europeans and populism

Feelings toward different terms

11

41

23

33

29

31

31

24

27

25

22

22

20

18

16

13

16

6

8

4

4

10

6

6

6

5

3

2

4

28

26

37

33

40

37

33

37

39

38

37

43

45

23

8

27

17

17

19

14

23

15

20

23

26

26

27

49

10

8

7

13

6

14

10

15

10

11

10

8

8

8

UK

Democracy

Brexit

Elections

Trade Unions

Media

Globalisation

The European Union

Multinationals

The Euro

Refugees

Immigration

Political parties

Political leaders

Donald Trump

54

39

39

37

35

35

34

33

31

28

27

23

20

20

Total Positive

Q2 Could you please tell me for each of the following, whether the term brings to mind

something very positive, fairly positive, fairly negative or very negative?

Very positiveFairly negative Fairly positiveDon’t know Very negative

Page 12: Europeans and populism

Feelings toward different terms

12

20

21

26

26

31

35

29

39

39

34

38

37

33

22

4

8

13

7

9

6

6

11

14

20

14

19

30

67

8

8

10

15

10

9

25

10

10

10

18

13

20

6

49

49

44

46

41

47

37

37

35

33

29

28

12

4

19

15

8

5

9

3

3

1

1

2

2

3

5

1

NETHERLANDS

68

63

52

52

50

50

39

40

36

35

31

31

17

5

Total Positive

Q2 Could you please tell me for each of the following, whether the term brings to mind

something very positive, fairly positive, fairly negative or very negative?

Very positiveFairly negative Fairly positiveDon’t know Very negative

Democracy

The Euro

European Union

Trade unions

Elections

Media

Globalisation

Political parties

Political leaders

Refugees

Multinationals

Immigration

Brexit

Donald Trump

Page 13: Europeans and populism

Feelings toward different terms

13

ALL COUNTRIES

Total Positive GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

Political parties 61% 17% 23% 39%

Media 67% 35% 35% 50%

Globalisation 66% 36% 35% 40%

Immigration 57% 21% 27% 31%

Refugees 52% 18% 28% 35%

Elections 89% 52% 39% 50%

European Union 81% 56% 34% 52%

The Euro 75% 60% 31% 63%

Donald Trump 6% 10% 20% 5%

Brexit 14% 25% 39% 17%

Political leaders 50% 19% 20% 39%

Democracy 90% 67% 54% 68%

Multinationals 56% 47% 33% 31%

Trade unions 79% 36% 37% 52%

Q2 Could you please tell me for each of the following, whether the term brings to mind

something very positive, fairly positive, fairly negative or very negative?

Page 14: Europeans and populism

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31

27

34

35

33

33

11

28

26

39

45

54

45

36

28

19

18

9

10

8

8

3

3

2

3

1

4

4

1

2The politicians in the German parliament

need to follow the will of the people

Elected officials talk too much and take too

little action

The elite has a totally different view on

political issues than the people

I would rather be represented by a citizen

than by a professional politician

The people and not politicians should make

our most important policy decisions

If politicians accept a compromise, they are

selling out on their principles

87

78

74

60

55

42

Statements related to populism (1/3)

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

GERMANY

Total agree

Page 15: Europeans and populism

15

47

41

48

43

39

37

42

47

37

31

34

20

6

7

9

14

17

27

1

1

1

3

3

7

4

4

5

9

7

9

Total agree

The politicians in the French parliament need

to follow the will of the people

Elected officials talk too much and take too

little action

The elite has a totally different view on

political issues than the people

I would rather be represented by a citizen

than by a professional politician

The people and not politicians should make

our most important policy decisions

If politicians accept a compromise, they are

selling out on their principles

89

88

85

74

73

57

Statements related to populism (1/3)FRANCE

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Page 16: Europeans and populism

16

43

46

42

40

39

34

36

33

33

19

19

11

9

11

11

23

25

36

2

2

3

3

4

4

10

8

11

15

13

15

The politicians in the UK parliament need to

follow the will of the people.

Elected officials talk too much and take too

little action.

The elite has a totally different view on

political issues than the people

I would rather be represented by a citizen

than by a professional politician

The people and not politicians should make

our most important policy decisions

If politicians accept a compromise, they are

selling out on their principles.

79

79

75

59

58

45

Statements related to populism (1/3)UK

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Total agree

Page 17: Europeans and populism

17

11

20

16

35

36

36

2

4

2

4

11

12

5

11

15

16

9

18

61

51

49

38

32

27

21

15

17

7

12

8

82

67

66

45

44

35

Statements related to populism (1/3)NETHERLANDS

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Total agree

The politicians in the Dutch parliament need

to follow the will of the people

Elected officials talk too much and take too

little action

The elite has a totally different view on

political issues than the people

If politicians accept a compromise, they are

selling out on their principles

The people and not politicians should make

our most important policy decisions

I would rather be represented by a citizen

than by a professional politician

Page 18: Europeans and populism

Statements related to populism (1/3)

18

ALL COUNTRIES

Total agree GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

The politicians in our parliament need

to follow the will of the people87% 89% 79% 82%

The people and not politicians should

make our most important policy

decisions

55% 73% 58% 44%

The elite has a totally different view on

political issues than the people74% 85% 75% 67%

I would rather be represented by a

citizen than by a professional politician60% 74% 59% 35%

Elected officials talk too much and take

too little action78% 88% 79% 66%

If politicians accept a compromise, they

are selling out on their principles42% 57% 45% 45%

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Page 19: Europeans and populism

19

11

20

17

33

29

13

8

20

4

32

30

49

39

45

33

44

16

23

14

5

2

7

1

4

1Most politicians do not understand the

problems of people like us

Most political leaders are honest

Nowadays in our country more is done for

foreigners than for German people

For more than twenty years, the elites in

Germany have completely failed

What we need in Germany is a strong leader

who restores order

Statements related to populism (2/3)

61

37

37

28

24

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

GERMANY

Total agree

Page 20: Europeans and populism

20

43

44

41

32

24

43

37

36

28

4

9

10

12

21

34

1

2

5

12

31

4

7

6

7

7

FRANCE

Total agree

Most politicians do not understand the

problems of people like us

For more than twenty years, the elites in

France have completely failed

What we need in France is a strong leader who

restores order

Nowadays in our country more is done for

foreigners than for French people

Most political leaders are honest

Statements related to populism (2/3)

86

81

77

60

28

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Page 21: Europeans and populism

21

40

44

34

29

24

38

30

23

24

4

10

14

18

23

38

3

4

3

11

23

9

8

22

13

11

UK

Total agree

What we need in the UK is a strong leader

who restores order

Most politicians do not understand the

problems of people

For more than twenty years, the elites in the

UK have completely failed

Nowadays in the United Kingdom more is

done for foreigners than for British people

Most political leaders are honest

Statements related to populism (2/3)

78

74

57

53

28

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Page 22: Europeans and populism

22

18

33

27

26

42

5

3

12

5

14

9

9

11

26

16

48

42

35

31

27

19

13

15

12

1

NETHERLANDS

Statements related to populism (2/3)

67

55

50

43

28

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

What we need in Netherlands is a strong

leader who restores order

Most politicians do not understand the

problems of people like us

Nowadays in our country more is done for

foreigners than for the Dutch people

For more than twenty years, the elites in

Netherlands have completely failed

Most political leaders are honest

Total agree

Page 23: Europeans and populism

Statements related to populism (2/3)

23

ALL COUNTRIES

Total agree GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

Most political leaders are honest 37% 28% 28% 28%

Nowadays in our country more is done

for foreigners than for the

German/French/Dutch/British

37% 60% 53% 50%

Most politicians do not understand the

problems of people like us61% 86% 74% 55%

For more than twenty years, the elites in

our country have completely failed 28% 81% 57% 43%

What we need in our country is a strong

leader who restores order 24% 77% 78% 67%

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Page 24: Europeans and populism

24

9

19

18

25

24

50

8

8

9

6

20

32

36

49

51

42

37

13

46

21

18

13

14

2

1

3

4

14

5

3

Total agree

Globalisation is an opportunity for our

economy

Germany is a better place to live than 10

years ago

Germany will be a better place to live in 10

years from now

Globalisation threatens our social and welfare

systems

Globalisation threatens Germany's identity

You feel marginalised in your own country

82

44

31

27

27

17

Statements related to populism (3/3)

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

GERMANY

Page 25: Europeans and populism

25

36

46

34

23

25

21

19

9

16

11

4

3

30

26

31

33

22

40

5

9

9

24

19

22

10

10

10

9

30

14

Total agree

Globalisation threatens our social and

welfare systems

Globalisation is an opportunity for our

economy

Globalisation threatens France's identity

You feel marginalised in your own country

France will be a better place to live in 10

years from now

France is a better place to live than 10 years

ago

55

55

50

34

29

24

Statements related to populism (3/3) FRANCE

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Page 26: Europeans and populism

26

40

30

32

30

25

23

10

16

11

11

6

6

24

29

31

33

32

38

6

9

6

6

13

19

20

16

21

20

24

14

Total agree

Globalisation is an opportunity for our

economy

You feel marginalised in your own country

Globalisation threatens the United

Kingdom's identity

Globalisation threatens our social and

welfare systems

The United Kingdom will be a better place to

live in 10 years from now

The United Kingdom is a better place to live

than 10 years ago

50

46

42

41

31

29

Statements related to populism (3/3) UK

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Page 27: Europeans and populism

27

18

32

33

43

39

26

3

6

6

21

10

10

29

27

31

10

27

44

43

29

24

21

21

17

7

6

6

5

3

3

Total agree

49

35

30

26

24

20

Statements related to populism (3/3) NETHERLANDS

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Totally agreeTend to disagree Tend to agreeDon’t know Totally disagree

Globalisation is an opportunity for our

economy

Globalisation threatens Netherlands' identity

Globalisation threatens our social and welfare

systems

You feel marginalised in your own country

Netherlands are a better place to live than 10

years ago

Netherlands will be a better place to live in 10

years from now

Page 28: Europeans and populism

Statements related to populism (3/3)

28

ALL COUNTRIES

Total agree GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

Globalisation threatens our country's

identity27% 50% 42% 35%

Globalisation is an opportunity for our

economy82% 55% 50% 49%

Globalisation threatens our social and

welfare systems27% 55% 41% 30%

You feel marginalised in your own

country17% 34% 46% 26%

Our country is a better place to live than

10 years ago44% 24% 29% 24%

Our country will be a better place to live

in 10 years from now31% 29% 31% 20%

Q3 To what extent do you agree with each of the following statements :

Page 29: Europeans and populism

Opinion about political leaders

29

25

27

31

33

32

45

41

50

48

52

52

55

62

64

65

68

4

6

4

3

9

6

11

8

10

10

13

12

11

15

16

15

58

48

54

48

43

40

40

34

32

30

29

29

20

16

12

13

11

16

8

14

10

5

7

7

6

5

4

3

3

1

2

2

2

3

3

2

6

4

1

1

4

3

2

1

4

4

5

2Growing our country’s economy

Strengthening the role and influence of our country in the

world

Developing our country’s relations with the European Union

Preserving our country’s patrimony and culture

Caring for the environment and climate change issues

Providing good Health care and social security

Fighting unemployment

Fighting terrorism

Fighting crime and improving security

Ensuring good education

Fighting discrimination

Fighting corruption

Regulating immigration and integration

Reducing inequalities

Securing pensions

Fighting poverty and exclusion

Very goodRather bad Rather goodDon’t know Very bad

Q4 Would you say that political leaders are very good, rather good, rather bad or very bad in

dealing with these issues:

83

81

79

73

67

65

62

58

58

52

51

41

36

35

33

29

GERMANY

Total Good

Page 30: Europeans and populism

Opinion about political leaders

30

48

45

42

38

36

30

29

27

24

22

20

16

14

14

13

10

5

4

4

2

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

2

1

2

1

26

26

32

35

31

40

37

44

44

48

41

39

35

47

48

48

12

19

18

16

26

22

27

23

23

22

32

39

43

34

33

38

9

6

4

9

4

6

5

4

7

7

6

5

6

4

4

3

FRANCE

Developing our country’s relations with the European Union

Preserving our country’s patrimony and culture

Providing good Health care and social security

Strengthening the role and influence of our country in the world

Fighting terrorism

Caring for the environment and climate change issues

Fighting crime and improving security

Ensuring good education

Fighting discrimination

Growing our country’s economy

Securing pensions

Fighting corruption

Regulating immigration and integration

Reducing inequalities

Fighting poverty and exclusion

Fighting unemployment

Very goodRather bad Rather goodDon’t know Very bad

Q4 Would you say that political leaders are very good, rather good, rather bad or very bad in

dealing with these issues:

53

49

46

40

39

32

31

29

26

23

21

17

16

15

15

11

Total Good

Page 31: Europeans and populism

Opinion about political leaders

31

30

31

33

30

29

29

30

29

28

26

23

22

22

21

19

16

9

7

5

6

7

5

4

4

5

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

31

38

40

37

37

38

37

38

34

40

40

40

41

41

44

42

19

13

12

17

14

19

15

16

18

14

17

20

18

17

21

28

11

11

10

11

14

9

14

13

15

14

15

13

14

16

12

10

UK

Fighting terrorism

Fighting crime and improving security

Ensuring good education

Fighting unemployment

Growing our country’s economy

Providing good health care and social security

Strengthening the role and influence of our country in the world

Caring for the environment and climate change issues

Preserving our country’s patrimony and culture

Fighting discrimination

Reducing inequality

Fighting corruption

Securing pensions

Developing our country’s relations with the European Union

Fighting poverty and exclusion

Regulating immigration and integration

Very goodRather bad Rather goodDon’t know Very bad

Q4 Would you say that political leaders are very good, rather good, rather bad or very bad in

dealing with these issues:

39

38

38

36

36

34

34

33

33

32

28

27

27

26

23

20

Total Good

Page 32: Europeans and populism

Opinion about political leaders

32

16

19

22

20

23

31

37

36

37

40

38

42

44

45

45

50

5

9

7

5

5

10

13

8

17

12

15

11

16

17

20

13

14

16

17

23

26

16

9

15

7

10

15

13

12

14

13

15

59

52

48

49

44

41

37

39

35

36

29

31

25

23

19

21

6

3

6

3

2

2

4

2

4

2

4

2

3

1

3

1

NETHERLANDS

Very goodRather bad Rather goodDon’t know Very bad

Q4 Would you say that political leaders are very good, rather good, rather bad or very bad in

dealing with these issues:

65

56

53

52

46

43

41

41

39

39

33

33

28

24

23

22

Growing our country’s economy

Preserving our country’s patrimony and culture

Fighting terrorism

Developing our country’s relations with the European Union

Strengthening the role and influence of our country in the world

Caring for the environment and climate change issues

Ensuring good education

Fighting unemployment

Providing good Health care and social security

Fighting crime and improving security

Fighting corruption

Fighting discrimination

Fighting poverty and exclusion

Regulating immigration and integration

Securing pensions

Reducing inequalities

Total Good

Page 33: Europeans and populism

33

ALL COUNTRIES

Total Good GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

Fighting unemployment 62% 11% 36% 41%

Fighting crime and improving security 58% 31% 38% 39%

Regulating immigration and integration 36% 16% 20% 24%

Reducing inequalities 35% 15% 28% 22%

Fighting discrimination 51% 26% 32% 33%

Fighting corruption 41% 17% 27% 33%

Ensuring good education 52% 29% 38% 41%

Providing good Health care and social security 65% 46% 34% 39%

Securing pensions 33% 21% 27% 23%

Fighting poverty and exclusion 29% 15% 23% 28%

Caring for the environment and climate change issues 67% 32% 33% 43%

Strengthening the role and influence of our country in the

world81% 40% 34% 46%

Developing our country’s relations with the European

Union79% 53% 26% 52%

Fighting terrorism 58% 39% 39% 53%

Preserving our country’s patrimony and culture 73% 49% 33% 56%

Growing our country’s economy 83% 23% 36% 65%

Opinion about political leaders

Q4 Would you say that political leaders are very good, rather good, rather bad or very bad in

dealing with these issues:

Page 34: Europeans and populism

Voter’s motivation

34

50

41

9

Don’t know

Q5 For the last/next election, did you/will you vote for a party/candidate mainly because:

GERMANY

You share their views

You are frustrated with others

Page 35: Europeans and populism

Voter’s motivation

35

5537

8

You share their views

You are frustrated with others

Don’t know

Q5 For the last/next election, did you/will you vote for a party/candidate mainly because:

FRANCE

Page 36: Europeans and populism

Voter’s motivation

36

43

23

34

You share their views

You are frustrated with others

Don’t know

Q5 For the last/next election, did you/will you vote for a party/candidate mainly because:

UK

Page 37: Europeans and populism

Voter’s motivation

37

6215

23 You share their views

You are frustrated with others

Don’t know

Q5 For the last/next election, did you/will you vote for a party/candidate mainly because:

NETHERLANDS

Page 38: Europeans and populism

Voter’s motivation

38

GERMANY FRANCE UK THE NETHERLANDS

You share their views 50% 55% 43% 62%

You are frustrated with

others41% 37% 23% 15%

Don’t know 9% 8% 34% 23%

Q5 For the last/next election, did you/will you vote for a party/candidate mainly because:

ALL COUNTRIES

Page 39: Europeans and populism

Don’t know

You are frustrated with others

You share their views

50 41

9

GERMANY

5537

8

France

62

15 23

NL

4323

34

UK

39

For the last/next election, did you/will you

vote for a party/candidate mainly because:

Voter’s motivation