European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011...

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European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners Goal:

Transcript of European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011...

Page 1: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

• Goal:

Page 2: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

• Goal: LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATASETS + ASSESSMENTS OF CHANGE

Page 3: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring

• Project of EU-FP7-SPACE, April 2010 – March 2014, 9 partners

• Goal: LONG-TERM CLIMATE DATASETS + ASSESSMENTS OF CHANGE …describing climate variability and change at the European scale …placing high-impact extreme events in a historical context

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Which variables of the climate system do we include?

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

EURO4M

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

EURO4M

ESA-CCI

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• What do the 9 partners in the project actually do?

(some examples)

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

UEA-CRU contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Satellite era

Satellite era

UEA-CRU contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Precipitation but also other CM-SAF datasets(radiation, clouds)

DWD contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

KNMI contribution

http://eca.knmi.nl

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

KNMI contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

KNMI contribution

• E-OBS gridded dataset

• Haylock et al., JGR, 2008Van den Besselaar et al.,

JGR, 2011

• v5.0 released one week ago

• 1950-now (daily, 25km)

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Status 10 yr ago

KNMI contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Work with others on data improvements, e.g.SunCloud project (ETH-Zurich) for sunshine / surface solar radiation

KNMI contribution

Page 17: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Work with others on data improvements, e.g.SunCloud project (ETH-Zurich) for sunshine / surface solar radiation

KNMI contribution

Page 18: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Data rescue and digitization

URV and NMA contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

UK Met Office contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km) HIRLAM (20 km) MESAN/SAFRAN (5 km)

2m Temperature 2m Temperature 2m Temperature

SMHI and Météo France contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km) HIRLAM (20 km) MESAN/SAFRAN (5 km)

2m Temperature 2m Temperature 2m Temperature

SMHI and Météo France contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

ECMWF-ERA Interim (80 km) HIRLAM (20 km) MESAN/SAFRAN (5 km)

2m Temperature 2m Temperature 2m Temperature

SMHI and Météo France contribution

• >25 yr period

• UK Met Office will explore 3km reanalysis using their NAE NWP model (4D-Var)

• <5 yr period only

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Meteo Swiss contribution

Alpine gridded precipitation dataset(updating Frei and Schär, 1998)

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Meteo Swiss contribution

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• In summary, we develop:

1) in-situ observations (CRU, GPCC, ECA&D)

2) satellite CDRs (CM-SAF)

3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)

Reference historical databases

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• In summary, we develop:

1) in-situ observations (CRU, GPCC, ECA&D)

long-term records but sparse

2) satellite CDRs (CM-SAF)

spatially extensive but short

3) regional reanalysis of past weather (new!)

complete but expensive and some bias

Reference historical databases

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• How do we bring all these different data sources togetherand communicate our results to the users in a meaningful way?

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• User-consultations by:JRC/EEA, EUMETNET, WMO-GFCSongoing EU-projects such as ECLISE, IS-ENES, etcnational examples of good user liaison practicesplus our own Climate Liaison Team (led by DWD)

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• From data to services:

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

In-situNOAA

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

ERA-InterimECMWF

MSUUAH

Courtesy: John Christy (top), Adrian Simmons (bottom)

In-situNOAA

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Assessment requiresimpact relevant indicators

In-situNOAA

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

31 days withT-max > 25°C against 9.5 days in a normal July

Source: ECA&D http://eca.knmi.nl

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

16 nights with T-min > 20°C against 0.5 night in a normal July

Source: ECA&D http://eca.knmi.nl

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Source: Alexander et al., JGR, 2006; also in IPCC-AR4, 2007

Example: Russian heat wave, July 2010

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Worldwide climate indicatoractivities (ETCCDI)

Working together

GH Africa Workshop(WCRP/World Bank)

04/2010

Indonesia, Malaysia,Thailand, Philippines

(NL) 12/2009

Southeast Asia (USA)

12/2007

Mexico (UK)03/2009

West IndianOcean (France)

09/2009

Central Africa (USA) 4/2007

South America (Ecuador) 01/2011

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

Reference historical databases Climate Indicator Bulletins

focus on trends and variability in impact relevant indicators (extremes)

include uncertainty estimates

first bulletin on EU-temperaturedue in March 2012

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Future perspective: EURO4M is an essential building blockfor a future Climate Service for Europe

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Future perspective: EURO4M is an essential building blockfor a future Climate Service for Europe

Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (EC/ESA)

Page 40: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring EMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011 EURO4M: European Reanalysis and Observations for Monitoring.

European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Future perspective: EURO4M is an essential building blockfor a future Climate Service for Europe

Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (EC/ESA)

GEOLAND2 MyOcean MACC SAFER G-Mosaic EURO4M ?

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Thank you for your attention!

• Visit www.EURO4M.eu or mailto: Albert.Klein.Tank @ KNMI.nl

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European Reanalysis and Observations for MonitoringEMS/ECAM, Berlin, Germany, 14 September 2011

• Final announcement:

• What? Special workshop on the WMO PilotRegional Climate Centre (RCC) Network for Europe

• Where? Room Stanford

• When? Thursday morning 8.30 – 13.00

• Who? Those who registered, plus others interested