EURIMA May 31, 2007 Budapest WBCSD Project: Energy Efficiency in Buildings.
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Transcript of EURIMA May 31, 2007 Budapest WBCSD Project: Energy Efficiency in Buildings.
World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
EURIMA
May 31, 2007Budapest
WBCSD Project:Energy Efficiency in Buildings
2World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Talking points
A few words about WBCSD Energy and Climate change Building Project - EEB Questions
3World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
WBCSD
Coalition of 190 leading companies 112 headquartered in EU and G8 countries
Market capitalization: USD 6 trillion
Regional network partners in 60 countries
4World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
WBCSD Member Companies
Who are we?
5World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Geographic Overview of WBCSD Members
Europe-EU
North America (incl. Mexico)
Asia (Japan & Korea)
Europe - Other
Latin America
Central & Eastern Europe
Oceania
Asia - Other
Africa
Middle East
49
65
32
6World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Providing a business vision on Sustainable Development(SD)An antennae for emerging issues and trends
Advocating the business case for SDInfluencing the debate and public policy
Bringing a collective business voice“We can punch above our weight”
Providing a platform for leading companies and senior level decision makers
Delivers learning by doing and by sharing
Why do companies join?
7World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Talking points
A few words about WBCSD Energy and Climate change Building Project - EEB Questions & discussion
8World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Climate change
“It’s show time for climate change” Public opinion is at “a tipping point” A growing sense of urgency in society ….but no strong actions…..
9World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
A carbon constrained world
September 2006
10World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
The Context
Challenges We do need energy….more energy..much more… Strong growth in demand and investments
• Developing countries : new capacity• OECD: replacements
Climate Change messages:• Don’t go over 2Co global warming• Stay within the range of 450 – 550 ppm carbon
concentration by 2050• “Cheaper to act now than wait” (Stern)
Next 10 years of actions and investments crucial
11World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
High and low carbon pathways
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2010 2020 2040 2050
Glo
ba
l Ca
rbo
n E
mis
sio
ns,
GT
2030
WRE 450 (IPCC)
WRE 550 (IPCC)
WRE 1000 (IPCC)
Theoretical carbon emissions profiles published in IPCC 3rd Assessment Report
Theoretical carbon emissions profiles published in IPCC 3rd Assessment Report
12World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Oil Biomass Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables
Primary Energy
Liquids
Direct combustionIndustry and
Manufacturing
Mobility
Final Energy
Consumer Choices
Energy
En
erg
y
En
erg
y
Buildings
Power Generation
« Five ” in our energy system
13World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
A further shift to natural gas Nuclear
power
Renewables Bio-products Carbon capture and storage
Mass transportation
BuildingsLow energy appliances
Doing things differently
Energy conservation and efficiencyEnergy conservation and efficiency
Emission reductionEmission reduction
Road transport
Options for change – technological and behavioural
14World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Can all that change tomorrow??
Many advocate that a much more rapid change in our energy infrastructure is the only solution to the threat of climate change. However:
Major transitions at the global level will take time to implement
The speed with which new technologies diffuse depends on many factors.
15World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Size and lifetime matter !!
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 ++
The rate of technological change is closely related to the lifetime of the relevant capital stock and equipment
Nuclear 30 – 60 years
Motor vehicles 12 – 20 years
Coal power 45+ years
Hydro 75+ years
Gas turbines 25+ years
Buildings 45+++ years
16World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2005 2050
Target Mobility - FuelsVehicle Efficiency Mobility ChoiceRenewable Power CCSBuildings IndustryDomestic Other Actions
Opportunity starts at the national / sectoral level
A. Opportunity Wedges (National)(Developed Country Example)
B. National/Sectoral Goals & Targets
Efficiency BuildingsIndustry xx % p.a. Domestic through to 20xx
Power Renewables xx MW p.a. by 20xxGeneration CCS xx tonnes CO2 p.a.
Mobility Bio-fuels xx litres p.a. by 20xxEfficiency xx mpg by 20xxChoice Hybrid / Diesel uptake
Mass transit
C. National Policies
Buildings – adopt new country building standards, design awareness
Industry – Sectoral agreements, emissions trading, technology standards
Domestic – carbon labeling, increased product standards (e.g. standby energy)
Renewable Energy – renewables targets.
CCS – funding for infrastructure, tax cuts on capital investments, price signals for carbon via emissions trading
Biofuels – targets, support for manufacturing, CO2 labeling
Vehicle Efficiency - support technology, incentives, sectoral agreements
Mobility Choice - consumer incentives, promote public/private partnerships for transport networks
National CO2 trajectory
CO
2 E
mis
sio
ns,
MT
pe
r a
nn
um
17World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
We need a global framework…
Two key intergovernmental processes
Formal climate negotiations / UNFCCC• Stalled at present
G8 + 5 Gleneagles Plan of Action• Can help bring the UNFCCC negotiations “back to
life”
18World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
The Complimentary Roles of Business and Governments
Two key questions from governments on business and climate change
• How far can business go on its own, based on the normal operations and investments?
• How can governments facilitate and enhance further actions by business?
Not good enough answers provided by Business
19World Business Council for
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A new direction is needed
20World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Talking points
A few words about WBCSD Energy and Climate change Building Project - EEB Questions & discussion
21World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Project Vision
A world where buildings consume zero net energyA world where buildings consume zero net energy
22World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Our “argument”
climate change is urgent
there are barriers preventing progress
building energy use can be cut dramatically now
there are business opportunities
buildings can and should be zero net energy
these barriers can be overcome
23World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
CONTRIBUTING ORGANIZATIONS
Co-Chairs
Lafarge
UTC
Core
DuPont
EDF
Philips
TEPCO
Sonae Sierra
Core
CEMEX
GDF
Kansai
Sponsoring
Arcelor
BP
ITT
RioTinto
Approached: Arup, GE, IKEA, JCI, Nexity, OwensCorning, WalMart, Allianz, Shell, Skanska, Swiss Re …
Institutions: Int’l Energy Agency, UN Environment Program, Lawrence Berkeley National Labs, Int’l Institute for Energy Efficiency Economy, PassivHaus, Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership, China MOC…
Secretariat
WBCSD
24World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Detailed Work Plan
2006 2007 2008
Formally Announce
Project (Beijing)
2009
Final (Action Plan)
Report
Setting Direction Report
Facts & Trends Report
Assurance Group
Industry Response
Report
CEO Gate CEO Gate CEO Gate
Detail work plan and commitment in place
Opportunity Design/Develop Validation
Assurance Group Assurance Group
Local EEB with the Regional Network
25World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
BUILDING SECTOR, BY REGION
Buildings' Floor Space, 2003
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
China EU-15 Japan US
Flo
or
Sp
ac
e (
bill
ion
m2 )
Commercial
Residential
Buildings' Floor Space per Capita, 2003
0
10
2030
40
50
6070
80
90
China EU-15 Japan US
Flo
or
Sp
ac
e (
m2 )
Commercial
Residential
Total area
Area per capita
Source: WBCSD EEB Phase I Facts & Trends Equipment Sector Report
26World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
ENERGY CONSUMPTION, SOURCES
Buildings' Site Energy by Fuel, 2003
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Brazil China India EU-15 Japan US
heat
electricity
biomass
natural gas
petroleum
coal
Buildings' Primary Energy Consumption, 2003
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Brazil China India EU-15 Japan US
Pri
ma
ry A
EC
(T
Wh
)
Commercial
Residential
Buildings' Site Energy Consumption, 2003
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Brazil China India EU-15 Japan US
Sit
e A
EC
(T
Wh
)
Commercial
Residential
Source: WBCSD EEB Phase I Facts & Trends Equipment Sector Report
Commercial Buildings' Site Energy by Fuel
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Brazil China India EU-15 Japan US
Sit
e A
EC
(%
)
heat
electricity
biomass
natural gas
petroleum
coal
27World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
CONSUMPTION FORECAST
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
'02 '25 '02 '25 '02 '25 '02 '25 '02 '25 '02 '25
CommercialResidential
TWh
USA Western Europe
FSU/ Eastern Europe
China Japan Other Emerging
Residential67%
Commercial33%
200221.3 TWh
Worldwide Building Energy Consumption
Building Energy Consumption by Region
Source: International Energy Outlook, EIA, 2005
Source: International Energy Outlook, EIA, 2005Note: Canada, Mexico, Australia and New Zealand not represented in
the chart; they add up to 1.2 TWh in 2002
51%
25%
14%
-4%
32%
30%114%
120%4%
0%
130%
98%
28World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Energy Intensity (per unit area) vs. Total Energy UsageUS Commercial Buildings
Education
Food Sales
Food Service
Public Order and Safety
Religious Worship
Service
Warehouse and Storage
Other
Vacant
Health Care
Lodging Mercantile (incl mall)
OfficePublic Assembly
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Total Usage, TW-hr
Are
a In
tens
ity, k
W-h
r/m
2
DEMAND BY SUBMARKET
Source: Energy Information Agency, 2003 Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey
Incr
easi
ng I
nten
sity
Increasing Consumption
29World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
ESTABLISH BASELINE FACTS
BrazilChinaIndiaJapanEuropeUS
Availability
Consistency
StatisticsCountArea
Population
No. FloorsConstruction
Window EfficiencyWall Efficiency
HeatingCooling
VentilationWater Heat
LightingCooking
RefrigerationOffice Equip
ElectricityNat GasFuel Oil
KeroseneLPG
DistrictBiomass
SolarWind
Fuel CellCHP
Short TermLong TermBldg SizeBldg Count
Growth Rates Carbon OutputSuppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type & Efficiency
Growth Rates Carbon OutputSuppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type & Efficiency
Growth Rates Carbon OutputSuppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type & Efficiency
Growth Rates Carbon OutputSuppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type & Efficiency
Growth Rates Carbon OutputSuppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type & Efficiency
Tot DemandAreal Intensity
Per Capita IntensityGDP Intensity
TotalPer Bldg
Per Capita
Growth Rates Carbon OutputSuppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Submarkets
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type &
EfficiencyGrowth Rates Carbon Output
Suppy Type &
Efficiency
Residential
Commercial
Submarkets
CharacterizationGross Demand &
IntensityEnvelope
Demand Type &
Efficiency
Detail Matrix: Work in Progress
30World Business Council for
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Energy and people
What people think they spend energy (Germany)Think Reality
Car 14 % 31 %
Hot water 18 % 8 %
Heating 25 % 53 %
El.Equip 39 % 8 %
Don’t know 3 % n.a
Source: PassivHaus
31World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Objectives for Market Research study
To measure, in different regions of the world – specifically Japan, China, India, Brazil, the US, and EU (Spain, France and Germany):
• The perception of sustainable buildings
• The level of understanding and level of maturity of this new concept
• The readiness to adopt sustainable buildings and the constraints faced by investors, architects and contractors
32World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Households Non-professional landlords; domestic owners
We used qualitative then quantitative interviews for different audiences
• 45 interviews• In-depth face-to-face and telephone interviews
• 150-200 interviews per market (total = 1423)• 15 minute telephone questionnaire
Excluded
Corporate property managers
Real estate agents
Professional landlords
Architects and engineers
Specifiers and developers
Builders and contractors
Corporate Owners and Tenants
Agents and Landlords
Specifiers and Developers
Policy makers
Politicians Regulators
Regulators
Investment bank construction-industry analysts
Investment bank real estate financiers
Property investment companies
Architects Journalists NGOs Academics
Finance community
Opinion leaders
Quantitative researchQualitative research
Focus of this presentationQualitative research helped us to optimise the quantitative research design
33World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
EXPERIENCE BY COUNTRY
3%5%13%
5%13%64%
10%28%79%
9%27%82%
16%43%83%
9%28%87%
45%67%98%
8%27%83%
50%
39%
34%
35%
36%
33%
67%
30%
50%
39%
34%
35%
36%
33%
67%
30%
40%
21%
36%
33%
51%
32%
69%
32%
40%
21%
36%
33%
51%
32%
69%
32%
Been involvedConsideredAware
Japan
India
China
Brazil
USA
Spain
Germany
France
Source: WBCSD EEB Market Research, 2007
34World Business Council for
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EXPERIENCE BY SECTOR
Source: WBCSD EEB Market Research, 2007
35World Business Council for
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When asked about their role in driving change, very few of our decision-makers see their role as leading the move to sustainable building
All respondents
Q16. What do you see as the role of your company in the adoption of sustainable building practices
Percentage of respondents
Specifiers/ developers
Agents/ owners/ landlords
Corporate tenants
0% 25% 50%
Driving/ leading adoption
Adopting practices incrementally, as soon
they are tried and tested
Adopting practices incrementally, as they
become industry standard
Only adopting practices as clients require it
Only adopting practices as regulations require it
0% 25% 50% 0% 25% 50% 0% 25% 50%
N/A
Source: WBCSD EEB Quantitative Research
36World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Some of our findings
Low awareness of environmental impact & cost of green
Low leadership actions, sector is complex & fragmented
Know-how and experience is lacking
Holistic approach is key
Lack of financial instruments
Energy efficiency is not an investment criteria
Behavior and cultural lifestyles are key factors
As it relates to energy efficiency and buildings …
Market Perceptions
Business Levers
37World Business Council for
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Cross sector factors for industry transformation
Finance, Design,
Ops
Finance, Design,
Ops
MaterialsMaterials
EquipmentEquipment
EnergyEnergy
FINANCINGINTEGRATION
& INNOVATION
POLICY &
REGULATION
BEHAVIORS
38World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Project Vision
A world where buildings consume zero net energyA world where buildings consume zero net energy
39World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
EEB contacts
WWW.wbcsd.org/web/eeb
WWW.eeb-blog.org
World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Staff meeting EEB project
April 17, 2007Geneva
WBCSD Project:Energy Efficiency in Buildings