EU Barley Exports Start Strong - Cornell University...Russia Exports 34,000 35,000 1,000 Large...

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Grain: World Markets and Trade

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March 2020

EU Barley Exports Start Strong

With larger production, the European Union has exported more barley in the first quarter of 2019/20 than the previous trade year. France and Germany are major exporters within the EU, shipping primarily to Saudi Arabia, China, and Iran. Greater exportable supplies have pressured barley prices which, in turn, have provided an advantage to EU barley exports. In addition, strong exports are attributed to reduced competition from Australia and Russia. In the last 2 decades, the EU and Australia have been the top two barley exporters. However, Australia’s recent drought has affected production and substantially squeezed exports on sky-high prices and Russia’s exports have slowed as the country attempts to expand domestic use. The EU has primarily raised its exports to China, becoming the top supplier. Previously, Australia held a 70-percent share of China’s barley trade. However, in November 2019, China announced it would extend the antidumping and countervailing duty investigation of Australian barley. The Chinese government’s action likely has influenced buyers to seek supplies elsewhere.

For 2019/20, EU exports are currently forecast up 8 percent to 6.6 million tons. Australia’s prices have begun to ease closer to EU prices due to recent rainfall which has alleviated some concerns over drought and has reduced feed demand for livestock. Although EU prices remain competitive, questions remain over whether it will hold its position in China or look to other markets such as the Middle East to maintain its strong exports.

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Source: International Grains Council

Barley Export Prices

Australia EU (France)

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Source: TDM

EU Barley Exports to the World

Quarter 1 (Oct-Dec) Jan-Sept

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commodities and Data WHEAT ....................................................................................................... 3 RICE ........................................................................................................... 8 COARSE GRAINS .................................................................................... 13 ENDNOTES .............................................................................................. 16 DATA TABLES ......................................................................................... 19 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): scroll down to Reports, and then click Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Archived World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online) Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports) Export Sales Report Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports) Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Economic Research Service National Agricultural Statistics Service

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 March 2020Global Market Analysis

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/zs25x844t?locale=enhttps://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/5q47rn72z?locale=enhttps://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/homehttps://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspxhttps://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/https://gain.fas.usda.gov/http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/cropshttp://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

WHEAT

WHEAT PRICES Domestic: Prices for all U.S. wheat classes were down during the month of February, pressured by competitor prices and losses in other markets related to the widening spread of COVID-19. Hard Red Winter (HRW) dropped $8/ton to $222 and Soft Red Winter (SRW) fell $13/ton to $239. Soft White Winter (SWW) lost $8/ton to $233 and Hard Red Spring (HRS) eased $3/ton to $256.

OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global production is marginally higher as upward revisions for Argentina and India more than offset reductions for Australia and Turkey. Global trade is raised slightly with much larger imports for Turkey. Higher exports for Argentina and Russia more than offset lower projected shipments from Canada and Australia. The projected U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $4.55 per bushel.

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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


Global: Exporter prices generally trended lower during the month of February, following other markets lower on rising concerns related to the spread of COVID-19. Russia’s prices dropped significantly on favorable new-crop growing conditions. EU prices also trended lower. U.S. HRW weakened slightly but still maintains a premium to EU and Russia. Canada and Australia both saw prices ease in the last month but are still relatively expensive. On the other hand, Argentina’s price increased even further with tightening domestic supplies amid a frenetic pace of exports.

Month Ending Argentina Australia Russia EU US Canada December $208 $286 $218 $217 $237 $263 January $240 $282 $228 $217 $230 $248 February $245 $266 $214 $209 $222 $238

Month Ending Prices for Major Wheat Exporters Source: IGC *Note on FOB prices: Argentina- 12.0%, up river; Australia- average of APW; Fremantle, Newcastle, and Port Adelaide; Russia - Black Sea- milling; EU- France grade 1, Rouen; US- HRW 11.5% Gulf; Canada- CWRS (13.5%), Vancouver

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International Daily FOB Export Bids

Argentina Australia Russia Canada EU United States


MARKET FEATURE Argentina Exports Soar to Start New Marketing Year

Argentina’s exports are off to a blazing start in the 2019/20 marketing year. Typically, Argentina’s largest export months are December through March; the pace this year is even faster than normal with exports totaling more than 6 million tons, a record for December and January combined. Exporters were motivated to move wheat quickly based on expectations of looming policy changes. In December, Argentina’s newly elected government raised the export tax for wheat from approximately 7 percent to 12 percent.1 Before the crop was harvested, however, exporters had already aggressively sold much of the projected exportable supplies, anticipating the higher tax rate. Once the sales were made and the supplies procured from producers, the export tax was fixed in advance of shipping the product. With such a large supply sold in advance, shipments surged once the supplies became available.2 Given that nearly all of Argentina’s 2019/20 wheat shipments had already been committed before the December tax increase, that action is expected to have little effect on 2019/20 exports. Early indications are that February shipments are back to seasonally normal levels. Over the next few months, exports seem likely to wane seasonally. Argentina exports wheat to a variety of markets. Brazil is a year-round destination for Argentina, buying consistently to fulfill its needs. The United States and other suppliers may make some inroads into Brazil with the newly applied 750,000-ton tariff-rate quota in place, but Argentina is set to continue as the dominant supplier. In peak export months, Argentine wheat is competitive enough to reach a variety of other markets in Africa and Asia. Recently, Argentine exports to Southeast Asia (particularly Indonesia, Thailand, and Bangladesh) have flourished in light of tight Australian supplies.

1 Note that the previous export tax was pegged to the exchange rate. As of late 2019, the rate of 4 pesos per USD equated to about 7 percent tax. The new export tax is a flat 12 percent. Similarly, corn was raised from about 7 percent to 12 percent; soy raised from approximately 25 percent to 30 percent (and subsequently to 33 percent). For more detail, see the January Argentina Grain and Feed Update located here. 2 Similar to wheat, large advance sales were also made for corn and soybeans.

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Argentina Marketing Year (Dec-Nov) Wheat Exports

2019/20 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Grain%20and%20Feed%20Update_Buenos%20Aires_Argentina_01-16-2020

Russia: Third Year as Leading Wheat Exporter

For the third year in a row, Russia remains the leading global wheat exporter. With 3 consecutive bumper crops, Russia continues to export large volumes and is now seeking new market opportunities. Favorable weather, combined with improved production technology, has improved yields and quality. With larger supplies, Russia has become increasingly competitive, gaining market share in price-sensitive importing countries. Demand for Russian wheat is strong in price-sensitive markets. Currently, Egypt is the largest global importer, sourcing much of its demand from Russia. Russia typically dominates Turkey’s market, supplying more than two-thirds of its imports. Furthermore, a recent surge in Turkey’s imports has benefitted Russia’s exports. Turkey’s domestic grain board (TMO) has been authorized to import additional quantities of wheat duty-free in order to stabilize domestic prices. Egypt and Turkey together account for over one-third of Russia’s exports due to price competitiveness and logistics. Distant, price-sensitive markets are also responding to Russia’s competitive pricing, causing a surge in shipments to markets such as Bangladesh, Nigeria, and Indonesia. Increased demand for feed-quality wheat in the Philippines has also created a spike in its overall wheat imports, with Russia as a major supplier. In addition, improving quality and large supplies have led Russia to seek additional market opportunities, such as quality-sensitive markets where it had previously been limited. For example, Russia has gained access to Algeria and Brazil and aims to enter the Iraqi market in the near future. Improvements in Russian wheat quality have also stimulated recent discussions with the Philippines, a market that has generally purchased most of its milling wheat from the United States. As it expands its scope and seeks new market opportunities, Russia is expected to remain a formidable export competitor.

*Bars are total trade year imports. Darker shaded bars denote imports from Russia.

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Russia Dominates Export Markets

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Russia's Share of its Top Markets*

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TRADE CHANGES IN 2019/20 (1,000 MT) Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Argentina Exports 13,000 13,500 500 Larger crop

Australia Exports 8,400 8,200 -200 Smaller crop3

Canada Exports 23,500 23,000 -500 Slow pace of shipments in light of transportation delays

Russia Exports 34,000 35,000 1,000 Large demand from Turkey; continued competitive pricing4

Algeria Imports 7,000 6,500 -500 Slow trade to date

Bangladesh Imports 6,000 6,500 500 Fast pace of trade

Brazil Imports 7,500 7,300 -200 Adjustment on pace

European Union Imports 5,300 4,800 -500 Slow trade to date

Iraq Imports 3,000 2,500 -500 Slow pace of trade; the majority of imports this year are flour

Lebanon Imports 1,575 1,350 -225 Slow pace of trade indicating smaller consumption

Turkey Imports 8,500 10,500 2,000 Fast pace of trade as government allows additional duty-free imports5

3 For more details on Australia’s wheat production, see this month’s World Agricultural Production report. 4 Russia is also raised with competitive price dynamics as shown on global price section on page 5. 5 This month, upward revisions were also made to consumption for the years 2017/18 through 2019/20. Production for 2019/20 was revised lower by 1.0 million tons.


RICE

RICE PRICES Global: Since the February WASDE, Thai 100B quotes once again rose to $451/ton, reflecting concerns about exportable supplies amid drought. Vietnamese prices strengthened to $380/ton reflecting harvest delays and strong demand from Southeast Asian buyers. Meanwhile, Indian quotes were steady at $363/ton, while Pakistani quotes strengthened to $381/ton on steady exports to core African markets. U.S. quotes have risen to $615/ton on tightening supplies. Uruguayan quotes have remained at $516/ton as South American harvests are beginning.

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Weekly FOB Long Grain Rice Export Quotes: Last 12 Months

United States Thailand Vietnam

India Pakistan Uruguay

OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global rice production is raised this month primarily on a larger crop in India. Global trade is down, with lower imports forecast for several African countries including Nigeria. Exports are revised lower for India, despite its larger crop.


MARKET FEATURE Western Hemisphere Paddy Rice Trade Overview Most of global rice trade is milled rice, while paddy (rough) rice represents only about 5 percent of global rice exports. However, paddy accounts for approximately one-third of rice trade in the Western Hemisphere. Countries surrounding the Caribbean basin are the primary paddy buyers, with the United States and Southern Hemisphere exporters competing for market share. Importers The major Western Hemisphere paddy importers are Mexico, Venezuela, Colombia, and Central American countries.6 These countries produce rice, have their own milling industries (that they seek to protect) and prefer to capture the value-added by milling in-country. Mexico is the top global importer of paddy rice. Over the years, consumption has grown and been supplied by larger imports, especially of paddy rice. Duty-free access granted under the North American Free Trade Agreement and maintained with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement has provided a competitive advantage for U.S. rice. In addition, geographic proximity and favorable logistics facilitate a majority market share. However, U.S. market share waned in 2017 when Mexico established an annual tariff-rate quota (TRQ), of up to 150,000 tons, allowing duty-free imports from other suppliers including Guyana and Uruguay. Although the TRQ was extended through 2019, the United States regained market share from Guyana last year with more competitive prices. Meanwhile, Uruguay’s access to the Mexican market is currently constrained by phytosanitary issues. Although Central American countries produce rice, consumption growth is leading to rising imports. The Dominican Republic-Central America Free Trade Agreement (FTA) has provided opportunities to U.S. exporters. Over the phase-in period, TRQ volumes for paddy rice are expanding while tariffs decline. Colombia is another market where an FTA has opened new opportunities to U.S. rice. The TRQ volume is rising each year and is consistently filled. In 2017, Colombia granted access for the United States to ship paddy to all ports. This expanded port access has resulted in Colombia shifting from primarily importing milled rice to mainly paddy rice. Venezuela has been a significant paddy importer, but unlike the other regional importers, its volumes have fluctuated significantly in recent years due to its political and economic turmoil. Notably, imports

6 Central American countries include: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Panama

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Western Hemisphere Paddy Rice Importers

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fell sharply in 2019, with further reductions likely in 2020. Amid the economic constraints, Venezuela has shifted its suppliers over time to access the lowest-price option. Exporters The Western Hemisphere rice market has evolved to include several suppliers willing to export paddy to these markets. The United States is the top supplier, accounting for over half of global paddy exports. FTAs and logistical advantages have enabled a majority market share throughout Mexico, Central America, and Colombia. However, its dominance was threatened by South America in 2018 particularly as Brazil’s exports to Venezuela increased sharply. Other South American exporters include Guyana, Paraguay, and Uruguay. In 2019, overall South American exports declined, although record Uruguayan shipments partially offset some of the Brazilian and Paraguayan decline. The United States regained market share in 2019, a trend that is expected to continue into 2020 due to the tight supplies of Western Hemisphere competitors. Thus far, U.S. export sales have remained strong across the region. While U.S. supplies are expected to tighten over the summer months, prospects are favorable for increased U.S. supplies after the harvest of the 2020 crop.

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Western Hemisphere Paddy Rice Exporters

United States South America


MARKET FEATURE India Rice Exports to Rebound India has been the leading rice exporter since 2012. It continued to maintain its overall position as top exporter in 2019, but its volume fell in line with overall reduced global trade. Although the forecast is lowered this month, exports are expected to rebound in 2020 on its relatively abundant supply situation and reduced competition. In 2019, India exports fell to 9.8 million tons, the lowest in 8 years. Non-parboiled, non-basmati white rice exports fell sharply, with less buying from Bangladesh and Indonesia. Similarly, Indian parboiled trade was negatively affected by Bangladesh’s absence from the market. Broken rice exports plummeted to West African buyers, especially Senegal. Paddy rice sales to neighboring Nepal have remained steady. Among the various rice categories, basmati was the only category with significant gains, buoyed particularly by large shipments to Iran. In 2020, there are several factors pointing to promising exports for India, enabling it to maintain its dominant position. The 2019/20 Indian rice crop is now estimated at a record 118.0 million tons. In addition to this new crop, the stocks situation is abundant, with the government food security reserves swelling to record levels. Although the stocks in India are not at the extraordinary quantities seen in China, both countries are expected to show export gains in 2020, supported by overall abundant supplies and current low prices. In addition, reduced export competition from Thailand due to ongoing drought will expand India’s export prospects, especially for parboiled and white rice. Likewise, Pakistan has tighter beginning stocks which more than offset a larger crop, offering improved prospects for India’s basmati trade. There are several wild cards that have the potential to impact the export forecast. Domestic use for rice remains strong and government procurement for stockholding has been robust so far. Burma is providing additional export competition for white rice as it continues to expand its sales beyond China and Europe, with a focus on Africa. Whereas Indian export prices are low relative to the other major Asian suppliers, such as Thailand, the overall increase in global rice prices has the potential to dampen global imports. The strength of the rupee is another factor to consider. Overall performance of parboiled trade depends largely on import demand from Nigeria and neighboring countries, currently constrained by a border closure in Nigeria.

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India Rice Export by Type

Basmati Parboiled

Other White Rice Broken Rice

Paddy Rice


TRADE CHANGES IN 2020 (1,000 MT) Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Korea, South Imports 410 550 140 Timing of imports under new import regime

Nigeria Imports 1,800

1,500 -300 Parboiled trade lagging amid challenges to access the market with border closure

Senegal Imports 1,200

1,050 -150 Lower consumption and tighter stocks

Burma Exports 2,600

2,700 100 Improved competitiveness in Southeast Asian and African markets

India Exports

11,500

10,500 -1,000 Reduced demand particularly from African markets

TRADE CHANGES IN 2019 (1,000 MT) Based on trade data Country Attribute Previous Current Change

Cameroon Imports 700 600 -100

Indonesia Imports 500 600 100

Senegal Imports 1,100

1,000 -100

India Exports

10,000

9,790 -210

Vietnam Exports 6,850

6,581 -269


COARSE GRAINS

CORN PRICES Global: Since the February WASDE, major bids have drifted lower, weighted by COVID-19 uncertainty and benign weather in South America. Argentine bids are down $9/ton to $172 and Black Sea bids are down $5/ton to $178. U.S. bids are little changed overall, down just $1/ton to $177. Brazilian bids remain seasonally unavailable.

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Selected Export Bids

Argentina Brazil US Black Sea Source: IGC

OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global corn production is forecast up marginally with a larger crop in South Africa more than offsetting reductions for India, Peru, and Russia. Global trade is up marginally from last month with higher imports for Canada and Peru. Revisions for exporting countries are largely offsetting. The U.S. season-average farm price is down $0.05 to $3.80 per bushel.


MARKET FEATURE Corn Demand Drives Feed Grain Consumption Higher in the Middle East

Most countries in the Middle East7 depend on imported grains, primarily barley and corn, to satisfy demand for feed. The region has been the largest importer and the second-largest consumer of barley, which is often mixed with forages and used for sheep, goats, and camels. As barley prices at world levels have remained relatively strong8 in recent years, price-sensitive buyers in the region have turned to corn as a more competitively priced feed grain.

Middle East corn imports have grown sizably led by Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Israel, and Jordan. These countries account for 90 percent of regional corn imports. Corn consumption has steadily moved up over the years and is currently forecast to account for more than half of total feed grain use. Demand for corn is expected to strengthen as poultry production continues to expand in Turkey and Saudi Arabia. Ongoing efforts by Saudi Arabia to improve feed efficiency and to use more compound feed also boosts corn consumption, as corn is typically considered to have a higher energy value than competing grains.

7 Includes Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. 8 Larger exportable supplies have dampened barley prices at world levels from a year ago. However, feed barley continues to be more expensive relative to corn.

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Feed and Residual Use in the Middle East2011/12 to 2019/20

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TRADE CHANGES IN 2019/20 (1,000 MT)

Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Argentina Barley Exports 3,200 2,800 -400 Smaller crop

Argentina Corn Exports 33,500 34,500 1,000 Strong shipments for Oct 2019 - Feb 2020 Australia Barley Exports 3,800 4,000 200 Larger crop

Brazil Corn Exports 39,500 39,000 -500 Revised data for Oct 2019 - Feb 2020 Canada Corn Imports 1,000 1,500 500 Large purchases to date

Canada Corn Exports 1,300 900 -400 Higher domestic feed use

China Sorghum Imports 900 1,300 400 U.S. sales and shipments

Iran Barley Imports 3,200 3,000 -200 Slow purchases from Russia Jordan Barley Imports 1,100 900 -200 Trade to date Peru Corn Imports 3,600 4,000 400 Smaller crop Philippines Corn Imports 700 500 -200 Trade to date

Russia Barley Exports 5,600 4,600 -1,000 Slow pace of trade Corn Exports 5,700 4,700 -1,000 Slow pace of trade

Saudi Arabia Barley Imports 8,500 7,500 -1,000 Slow purchases from the Black Sea South Africa Corn Exports 2,000 2,500 500 Large crop

Ukraine Barley Exports 5,000 4,700 -300 Slow pace of trade Corn Exports 31,000 32,000 1,000 Strong pace of exports

United States Sorghum Exports 3,000 3,400 400 Sales and shipments to date


ENDNOTES REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela EU: includes countries in the customs union, including the UK (Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom) Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea


OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2019/20 starts in 2019); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2019/20 starts in 2020). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Russia (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) Ukraine (Oct/Sep) Russia (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) Kazakhstan (Sep/Aug) United States (Jun/May) Russia (Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/): go to Reports, Reference Data, and then Data Availability. Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (EU27 plus UK) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Global Market Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this publication. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production March 2020. This publication is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Jennifer Boun (202) 690-2208 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Wheat/Rice Jane Luxner (202) 720-8252 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Kevin Min (202) 720-0626 [email protected] Coarse Grains Jenny Morgan (202) 720-1743 [email protected] Coarse Grains


https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/world-agricultural-productionhttp://www.fas.usda.gov/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]

DATA TABLES

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All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/18

Production

United States (Jun-May) 47.4 51.3 52.3 5.7 7.1 5.9 371.1 364.3 347.8

Other 715.5 680.2 712.2 489.1 492.3 493.4 709.0 759.0 764.2

World Total 762.9 731.5 764.5 494.8 499.4 499.3 1,080.1 1,123.3 1,112.0

Domestic Consumption


Other 711.1 704.3 720.4 477.2 481.6 485.9 778.1 816.1 824.7

World Total 740.4 734.3 752.1 481.5 486.2 490.1 1,092.1 1,126.6 1,138.3

Ending Stocks


Other 253.6 248.2 261.5 161.7 173.9 181.3 287.2 264.4 249.2

World Total 283.5 277.6 287.1 162.6 175.3 182.3 341.6 320.8 297.3

TY Imports


Other 175.8 167.1 177.8 44.5 40.1 40.7 148.2 163.5 168.0

World Total 180.2 170.6 180.7 45.4 41.1 41.7 149.0 164.3 169.3

TY Exports


Other 160.8 149.3 156.6 44.9 40.2 41.3 89.1 122.7 126.5

World Total 184.0 175.4 184.1 47.7 43.3 44.5 152.8 171.9 173.5

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

TY Exports

13,50013,00012,68014,00012,2758,750 Argentina

8,2008,4009,83515,51222,06115,780 Australia

23,00023,50024,47622,01920,29722,099 Canada

1,1001,1001,0061,004748729 China

32,00032,00023,31023,38327,43934,760 European Union

6,0006,0008,7808,5197,2577,413 Kazakhstan

1,1001,0005261,1471,1191,568 Mexico

35,00034,00035,83841,43127,81525,546 Russia

6,8006,8006,2156,2186,1775,605 Turkey

20,50020,50016,01917,77518,10717,431 Ukraine

9,4069,50610,6189,7669,82310,246 Others

156,606155,806149,303160,774153,118149,927 Subtotal

27,50027,50026,06923,22629,31821,817 United States

184,106183,306175,372184,000182,436171,744 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,0003,0003,7003,3002,7002,700 Afghanistan

6,5007,0007,5158,1728,4148,153 Algeria

6,5006,0005,1006,4725,5564,720 Bangladesh

7,3007,5007,4426,7027,7885,922 Brazil

4,0004,0003,1453,9374,4103,476 China

2,0002,0001,7031,9572,1102,032 Colombia

12,50012,50012,34712,40711,17511,925 Egypt

4,8005,3005,7625,8245,2996,928 European Union

11,00011,00010,93410,76310,19010,045 Indonesia

2,5003,0003,9154,1582,4742,248 Iraq

5,9005,9005,7265,8765,9115,715 Japan

2,3002,3002,0002,1581,7741,634 Kenya

4,1004,1003,9084,2694,6674,420 Korea, South

5,2005,2004,8615,2455,3704,805 Mexico

4,8004,8003,7243,6725,3444,496 Morocco

5,1005,1004,5855,1624,9724,410 Nigeria

2,1002,1002,1092,0301,9611,879 Peru

7,3007,3007,5466,0595,7084,919 Philippines

3,2003,2002,8983,4493,7162,931 Saudi Arabia

2,6002,6002,2222,5802,4582,022 Sudan

3,3003,3002,8993,1734,0644,691 Thailand

10,5008,5006,4945,9164,5533,979 Turkey

3,0003,0002,8373,1192,5962,662 Uzbekistan

3,5003,5003,1494,7095,5353,069 Vietnam

3,8003,8003,6753,0103,2783,332 Yemen

50,95651,03646,93451,69554,23951,676 Others

177,756177,036167,130175,814176,262164,789 Subtotal

3,4503,3704,7393,8112,8813,900 Unaccounted

2,9002,9003,5034,3753,2933,055 United States

184,106183,306175,372184,000182,436171,744 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

Production

19,50019,00019,50018,50018,40011,300 Argentina

15,20015,60017,29820,94131,81922,275 Australia

5,2005,2005,4284,2646,7305,540 Brazil

32,35032,35032,20130,37732,14027,647 Canada

133,590133,590131,430134,334133,271132,639 China

8,7708,7708,4508,4508,1008,100 Egypt

154,000154,000136,863151,125145,369160,480 European Union

103,600102,19099,87098,51087,00086,527 India

16,80016,80014,50014,00014,50014,500 Iran

11,45211,50013,94714,80214,98513,748 Kazakhstan

25,60025,60025,10026,60025,63325,086 Pakistan

73,61073,50071,68585,16772,52961,044 Russia

18,00019,00019,00021,00017,25019,500 Turkey

29,00029,00025,05726,98126,79127,274 Ukraine

6,8006,8006,0006,9416,9406,965 Uzbekistan

58,76358,79353,82553,51251,98759,402 Others

712,235711,693680,154715,504693,444682,027 Subtotal

52,25852,25851,30647,38062,83256,117 United States

764,493763,951731,460762,884756,276738,144 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,85010,85010,75010,45010,35010,250 Algeria

12,10012,10012,10012,00012,20011,100 Brazil

9,9009,7008,9719,02910,6717,987 Canada

128,000128,000125,000121,000119,000117,500 China

20,40020,40020,10019,80019,40019,200 Egypt

126,500127,000123,200130,400128,000129,850 European Union

98,00098,00095,62995,67797,23488,548 India

10,70010,70010,60010,60010,0009,100 Indonesia

16,40016,40016,10015,90016,25016,100 Iran

10,80010,80010,70010,50010,2009,800 Morocco

25,40025,40025,30025,00024,50024,400 Pakistan

39,50039,50040,50043,00040,00037,000 Russia

19,70018,60018,80018,50017,40018,000 Turkey

8,9008,9008,8009,80010,30012,200 Ukraine

9,6009,6009,6009,7009,3009,350 Uzbekistan

173,662173,807168,126169,829167,897160,563 Others

723,220722,485707,399712,796706,568684,112 Subtotal

31,70631,70630,02429,25031,86531,943 United States

754,926754,191737,423742,046738,433716,055 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,9905,6406,0406,7326,9315,178 Canada

148,255148,255139,765131,196114,92996,996 China

10,30010,30010,00013,88510,71915,490 European Union

22,11220,70216,99213,2309,80014,540 India

6,1366,1366,2368,06610,41611,166 Iran

7,4048,2947,81912,02610,8235,604 Russia

5,8546,6543,8543,6381,2893,100 Turkey

55,50756,47157,47964,85465,65866,227 Others

261,558262,452248,185253,627230,565218,301 Subtotal

25,58025,58029,38629,90732,13126,552 United States

287,138288,032277,571283,534262,696244,853 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Feb

2019/20

Mar

2019/20

TY Imports none

8,370 North America 9,169 10,071 8,842 8,550 8,600

1,832 Central America 1,995 1,910 1,911 2,015 2,005

13,419 South America 16,277 15,325 14,923 15,630 15,430

6,928 European Union - 28 5,299 5,824 5,762 5,300 4,800

1,896 Other Europe 2,047 1,931 1,905 1,910 1,800

7,166 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,035 7,862 7,828 7,960 8,060

24,141 Middle East 22,814 25,163 24,529 26,830 28,105

27,866 North Africa 28,426 27,441 26,949 27,400 26,900

22,724 Sub-Saharan Africa 22,089 25,412 22,196 26,045 26,195

16,225 East Asia 17,356 16,599 15,087 16,425 16,425

8,823 South Asia 15,565 11,932 9,960 10,121 10,621

25,307 Southeast Asia 28,219 27,255 27,381 27,935 27,935

3,147 Others 3,264 3,464 3,360 3,815 3,780

167,844 Total 179,555 180,189 170,633 179,936 180,656

Production none

87,475 North America 98,837 81,251 86,507 87,823 87,823

21,584 South America 28,737 26,202 28,804 28,081 28,551

160,480 European Union - 28 145,369 151,125 136,863 154,000 154,000

4,324 Other Europe 4,737 4,005 4,510 4,445 4,445


42,406 Middle East 38,814 41,560 39,365 46,480 45,480

19,987 North Africa 13,958 19,245 21,000 18,470 18,470


133,972 East Asia 134,738 135,645 132,823 135,007 135,007

119,660 South Asia 120,837 132,344 131,476 135,796 137,206

22,689 Oceania 32,278 21,346 17,668 16,010 15,610

199 Others 181 136 131 101 101

738,144 Total 756,276 762,884 731,460 763,951 764,493

Domestic Consumption none

46,930 North America 50,436 45,979 46,495 48,906 49,106

27,715 South America 28,565 29,008 28,820 29,325 29,325

129,850 European Union - 28 128,000 130,400 123,200 127,000 126,500

4,920 Other Europe 5,035 5,010 5,235 5,180 5,270


58,427 Middle East 58,517 59,955 60,139 62,280 62,880

43,666 North Africa 44,550 45,225 46,150 46,750 46,750


130,782 East Asia 132,915 134,401 138,081 141,120 141,120

129,112 South Asia 139,258 138,139 138,450 141,127 141,327

22,955 Southeast Asia 26,725 26,385 26,325 26,675 26,675

8,500 Oceania 8,835 8,905 10,600 10,165 10,165

3,582 Others 3,834 3,821 3,633 3,880 3,845

712,891 Total 734,567 740,435 734,300 751,463 752,118

Ending Stocks none

32,390 North America 39,938 37,407 36,029 31,738 31,988

3,956 South America 4,688 4,113 4,862 4,922 4,667

15,490 European Union - 28 10,719 13,885 10,000 10,300 10,300

1,632 Other Europe 2,002 1,945 1,924 2,139 2,044


22,614 Middle East 19,587 19,401 16,112 20,272 19,247

16,848 North Africa 14,277 14,864 15,471 13,606 13,106


100,357 East Asia 118,154 134,301 142,408 150,910 150,910

20,826 South Asia 16,530 21,116 21,537 25,237 26,947

5,379 Southeast Asia 5,920 5,694 5,662 5,882 5,882

4,133 Oceania 6,005 5,856 5,230 4,455 4,255

416 Others 438 397 399 420 410

244,853 Total 262,696 283,534 277,571 288,032 287,138

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

TY Exports

330330388375391527 Argentina

5005009531,245594641 Brazil

2,7002,6002,5002,7503,3501,300 Burma

1,4001,4001,3501,3001,1501,050 Cambodia

3,4003,4002,7202,0591,173368 China

300300292308372270 European Union

510510496414455431 Guyana

10,50011,5009,79011,79112,57310,062 India

4,4004,4004,6003,9133,6474,100 Pakistan

600600689653538556 Paraguay

140140153139175198 Russia

125125111113109145 South Africa

7,5007,5007,56211,05611,6159,867 Thailand

800800816799982996 Uruguay

7,0007,0006,5816,5906,4885,088 Vietnam

1,0809971,1371,3911,1941,293 Others

41,28542,10240,13844,89644,80636,892 Subtotal

3,2253,2253,1352,7803,3493,343 United States

44,51045,32743,27347,67648,15540,235 World Total

none

TY Imports

600635550625550450 Benin

900900770537758786 Brazil

620620600550500420 Burkina

650725600650600500 Cameroon

2,3002,3002,6004,5005,9004,600 China

1,4501,4501,4001,5001,3501,300 Cote d'Ivoire

600600460499429546 Cuba

2,2002,2002,1591,9221,9901,816 European Union

950950950830650700 Ghana

650650510865600650 Guinea

1,0001,0006002,3503501,050 Indonesia

1,0501,0501,2001,2501,4001,100 Iran

1,1501,1501,2201,2001,060930 Iraq

685685678670678685 Japan

700700575600625500 Kenya

1,0001,0001,000800900823 Malaysia

785785730776913731 Mexico

650730620550710625 Mozambique

800800600700535530 Nepal

1,5001,8001,8002,1002,5002,100 Nigeria

2,5002,5002,9002,5001,200800 Philippines

1,4501,3751,4251,2901,1951,260 Saudi Arabia

1,0501,2001,0001,1001,100980 Senegal

1,0501,0509661,0711,054958 South Africa

925925850775700670 United Arab Emirates

13,44813,56813,31014,31315,68311,367 Others

40,66341,34840,07344,52343,93036,877 Subtotal

2,8222,9542,2192,2373,4382,591 Unaccounted

1,0251,025981916787767 United States

44,51045,32743,27347,67648,15540,235 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

Milled Production

35,85035,85034,90932,65034,57834,500 Bangladesh

7,1407,1407,1408,2048,3837,210 Brazil

13,30013,30013,17513,20012,65012,160 Burma

5,6885,6885,7425,5545,2564,931 Cambodia

146,730146,730148,490148,873147,766148,499 China

4,3004,3002,8004,3004,8004,000 Egypt

118,000115,000116,480112,760109,698104,408 India

36,50036,50036,70037,00036,85836,200 Indonesia

7,8007,8007,6577,7877,9297,876 Japan

3,7443,7443,8683,9724,1974,327 Korea, South

4,9004,9004,7884,7254,5363,941 Nigeria

7,5007,5007,3007,5006,8496,802 Pakistan

12,00012,00011,73212,23511,68611,008 Philippines

18,50018,50020,34020,57719,20015,800 Thailand

28,30028,30027,76727,65727,40027,584 Vietnam

43,19343,10043,37742,18242,09341,361 Others

493,445490,352492,265489,176483,879470,607 Subtotal

5,8645,8647,1075,6597,1176,131 United States

499,309496,216499,372494,835490,996476,738 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,80035,80035,40035,20035,00035,100 Bangladesh

7,5007,5007,4707,7507,8507,900 Brazil

10,55010,55010,40010,20010,00010,400 Burma

4,3004,3004,3004,2004,0003,900 Cambodia

142,930142,930142,720142,509141,761141,028 China

4,3504,3504,1504,2004,3003,900 Egypt

102,000102,50099,16098,66995,83893,451 India

37,80037,70038,10038,10037,80037,850 Indonesia

8,4008,4008,5008,6008,7308,806 Japan

4,4504,4004,7124,7464,4354,212 Korea, South

4,2804,2804,3603,9804,0103,353 Nepal

6,8007,0007,0006,9006,7006,400 Nigeria

14,40014,40014,10013,25012,90012,900 Philippines

11,70011,70011,80011,00012,0009,100 Thailand

21,50021,50021,50021,50022,00022,500 Vietnam

69,09869,46567,94266,40165,35062,884 Others

488,101488,902482,057477,868479,257465,847 Subtotal

4,2244,2244,5654,2984,2303,590 United States

492,325493,126486,622482,166483,487469,437 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,5111,5111,4051,5008541,205 Bangladesh

118,000118,000115,000109,00098,50088,000 China

35,00030,80029,50022,60020,55018,400 India

3,0593,0593,3614,1632,9153,509 Indonesia

1,9711,9711,9512,2232,4102,552 Japan

3,7203,7203,5202,2882,0032,117 Philippines

3,7873,7874,2373,0094,2388,403 Thailand

14,30214,28914,92116,85316,96816,730 Others

181,350177,137173,895161,636148,438140,916 Subtotal

9539531,4249331,4621,475 United States

182,303178,090175,319162,569149,900142,391 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Feb

2019/20

Mar

2019/20

TY Imports none

1,854 North America 2,056 2,075 2,132 2,210 2,235

1,109 Caribbean 1,153 1,068 1,079 1,257 1,257

2,015 South America 1,900 1,967 2,060 2,209 2,124

138 Other Europe 124 111 119 130 130

457 Former Soviet Union - 12 538 551 544 537 542

5,686 Middle East 6,219 6,432 6,616 6,460 6,540

483 North Africa 459 598 1,007 600 550


6,097 East Asia 7,486 6,015 4,197 4,065 4,185

945 South Asia 4,057 2,635 964 1,210 1,160

3,911 Southeast Asia 3,666 6,797 5,721 5,570 5,570

1,816 European Union 1,990 1,922 2,159 2,200 2,200

37,644 Total 44,717 45,439 41,054 42,373 41,688

Production none

6,287 North America 7,292 5,842 7,297 6,039 6,039

851 Caribbean 989 932 963 918 918

15,763 South America 16,790 16,834 15,751 15,423 15,463

2,050 European Union - 28 2,087 2,030 1,958 1,968 1,968


2,160 Middle East 2,549 2,743 2,623 2,903 2,903

4,044 North Africa 4,837 4,340 2,844 4,339 4,339


163,729 East Asia 162,710 163,567 162,556 160,770 160,770

152,133 South Asia 156,871 158,688 165,779 164,977 167,977

111,409 Southeast Asia 116,821 120,044 118,962 118,164 118,164

476,738 Total 490,996 494,835 499,372 496,216 499,309


4,817 North America 5,499 5,576 5,890 5,534 5,559

1,276 Central America 1,295 1,321 1,334 1,358 1,358

1,980 Caribbean 2,079 1,957 2,083 2,095 2,095

14,990 South America 14,894 15,024 14,912 14,875 14,873

3,550 European Union - 28 3,600 3,700 3,800 3,900 3,900


8,352 Middle East 8,654 9,087 9,285 9,490 9,575

4,279 North Africa 4,724 4,620 4,521 4,789 4,739


157,483 East Asia 158,111 158,948 158,959 158,800 158,810

138,570 South Asia 141,556 144,599 145,657 149,387 148,837

101,770 Southeast Asia 103,895 103,424 105,252 105,276 105,376

467,274 Total 476,904 481,503 486,179 490,999 490,082

Ending Stocks none

1,602 North America 1,634 1,084 1,563 1,117 1,117

318 Central America 348 302 280 250 249

277 Caribbean 330 363 373 399 393

1,781 South America 2,047 2,047 1,660 1,498 1,578

1,183 European Union - 28 1,188 1,176 1,182 1,150 1,150

1,082 Middle East 1,129 1,129 1,012 864 955

924 North Africa 1,426 1,563 999 1,049 1,049


92,626 East Asia 103,262 113,388 118,555 121,404 121,430

21,576 South Asia 23,171 25,840 32,345 33,516 37,716

17,959 Southeast Asia 11,774 12,189 14,245 14,002 14,021

77 Oceania 208 217 41 27 35

142,391 Total 149,900 162,569 175,319 178,090 182,303




World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

TY Exports

37,50536,90536,07627,06426,10525,291 Argentina

4,3504,1604,0497,15610,2586,389 Australia

39,01039,51038,84625,12119,79735,415 Brazil

5,3505,7505,8055,7535,0424,693 Canada

9,8279,6309,8067,8288,19210,979 European Union

2,5152,5152,5741,4851,7602,663 Paraguay

9,43511,4657,40211,3799,2588,465 Russia

2,2612,2712,9068782,4491,594 Serbia

2,5102,0051,1902,3681,820775 South Africa

36,84036,16034,87421,39226,86821,456 Ukraine

7,5777,8208,39210,0148,8818,365 Others

157,180158,191151,920120,438120,430126,085 Subtotal

50,55050,15051,80468,64461,82259,178 United States

207,730208,341203,724189,082182,252185,263 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,6204,6205,2844,4924,5335,224 Algeria

2,2502,2501,7971,5273,1772,123 Brazil

1,5621,0322,6721,8377781,106 Canada

2,7202,7202,3902,0001,5801,721 Chile

15,00014,60010,54016,42516,05517,499 China

6,6056,6056,3945,5825,0414,824 Colombia

1,5001,5001,5361,3291,2941,351 Dominican Republic

9,9209,9209,5689,5418,7958,795 Egypt

21,73021,80526,66419,32315,63314,490 European Union

1,4001,4001,2241,0919511,027 Guatemala

13,00013,20012,20011,60010,0008,300 Iran

2,3402,3401,8982,1451,9401,509 Israel

17,77017,77017,72617,58017,00017,073 Japan

1,9001,9501,6661,4221,5881,713 Jordan

1,4501,4502591,0411,146258 Kenya

10,91010,91010,96410,1929,30810,213 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,6743,6453,5314,122 Malaysia

18,40018,40017,46516,39615,28314,827 Mexico

4,0024,0023,0292,6482,6323,182 Morocco

4,1603,7603,8023,4583,4383,083 Peru

11,51012,5109,36811,69211,82513,992 Saudi Arabia

4,3854,4004,6104,5134,2674,781 Taiwan

1,6001,6001,4181,6351,7451,713 Tunisia

3,7053,7053,2543,3131,712714 Turkey

11,65011,65011,1339,5778,6618,179 Vietnam

21,15121,34020,66318,75022,65924,181 Others

199,240199,439191,198182,754174,572176,000 Subtotal

5,0895,5019,9023,4024,2665,282 Unaccounted

3,4013,4012,6242,9263,4143,981 United States

207,730208,341203,724189,082182,252185,263 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

Production

56,75457,50959,22339,32048,56938,436 Argentina

10,5619,96110,93412,19117,26712,550 Australia

104,349104,349104,33485,058101,57568,649 Brazil

28,55528,55526,20326,24326,62325,769 Canada

268,195268,195264,512265,719269,895271,076 China

17,00017,00016,70016,68015,64115,731 Ethiopia

159,040159,040148,185152,104152,829152,665 European Union

45,43345,95043,20746,94343,46638,698 India

12,70012,70012,00011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia

30,60030,60033,39933,19133,26232,378 Mexico

19,90019,90019,91918,85920,65719,052 Nigeria

40,49540,77034,99841,71540,76537,427 Russia

16,52815,02812,41713,55218,1178,658 South Africa

14,45114,45113,25112,27110,77614,181 Turkey

46,43046,43044,50334,07139,21733,387 Ukraine

170,568171,075174,365167,344167,226157,550 Others

1,041,5591,041,5131,018,150977,1611,016,785936,707 Subtotal

361,188361,188377,905384,387402,607367,007 United States

1,402,7471,402,7011,396,0551,361,5481,419,3921,303,714 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

19,29419,34918,34117,61316,04414,218 Argentina

71,00270,50270,98367,18164,03259,823 Brazil

23,85523,42524,14623,20021,97120,909 Canada

294,250293,950287,370282,598274,640249,620 China

17,75817,75817,13616,77916,02715,803 Egypt

17,02517,02516,77516,60315,64215,715 Ethiopia

168,470168,520168,570162,370160,840157,150 European Union

45,62046,12044,57144,76942,37540,201 India

17,82017,82016,52015,82014,52014,020 Iran

18,07118,07117,87517,65917,25217,258 Japan

51,14051,14050,50548,41046,84544,715 Mexico

20,20020,20020,16919,55020,30318,990 Nigeria

30,38728,94027,36731,01532,07529,715 Russia

17,96117,96116,45115,23112,89114,021 Turkey

15,55015,55014,53313,77713,15012,279 Vietnam

271,140272,438266,391261,663259,826250,647 Others

1,097,1481,097,0441,096,2561,051,7321,054,993957,850 Subtotal

326,242326,496323,045324,407327,519312,598 United States

1,423,3901,423,5401,419,3011,376,1391,382,5121,270,448 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,9186,0843,9583,5046,6983,268 Argentina

4,7874,6775,5509,67214,4927,010 Brazil

4,2543,7543,3424,5675,5624,971 Canada

199,477199,377210,592222,978223,494212,295 China

16,10416,32613,53116,33215,11415,651 European Union

3,0233,0235,7636,1815,9995,835 Mexico

3,0132,3622,1632,9093,9421,323 South Africa

40,33939,48242,60347,15748,34150,465 Others

275,915275,085287,502313,300323,642300,818 Subtotal

51,41551,54260,47157,91962,16848,112 United States

327,330326,627347,973371,219385,810348,930 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Feb

2019/20

Mar

2019/20

TY Imports none

19,914 North America 19,475 21,159 22,761 22,833 23,363

3,938 Central America 3,799 4,001 4,352 4,550 4,550

2,597 Caribbean 2,659 2,446 2,529 2,640 2,640

13,855 South America 15,087 14,830 15,578 16,700 17,100

14,490 European Union - 28 15,633 19,323 26,664 21,805 21,730

546 Former Soviet Union - 12 827 700 1,025 878 861

29,735 Middle East 30,541 33,556 31,434 36,966 35,616

20,819 North Africa 19,468 19,246 20,876 21,392 21,392


49,600 East Asia 46,723 48,757 43,903 47,730 48,115

15,395 Southeast Asia 14,169 15,529 17,638 18,375 18,255

3,035 Others 2,938 2,910 3,623 3,705 3,593

179,981 Total 177,986 185,680 193,822 202,840 202,641

Production none

425,154 North America 462,492 443,821 437,507 420,343 420,343

122,022 South America 164,208 138,829 177,854 176,374 175,279

152,665 European Union - 28 152,829 152,104 148,185 159,040 159,040

9,294 Other Europe 11,535 7,245 10,322 10,384 10,384


21,738 Middle East 19,047 19,400 19,565 24,183 24,183

12,269 North Africa 9,163 11,463 13,257 11,534 11,534


273,808 East Asia 272,535 268,381 267,226 270,927 270,927

50,626 South Asia 56,497 59,976 56,696 60,372 59,855

32,045 Southeast Asia 34,197 34,945 34,680 35,723 35,723

13,242 Oceania 17,884 12,700 11,526 10,584 11,184

4,265 Others 5,089 4,997 4,754 4,724 4,689

1,303,714 Total 1,419,392 1,361,548 1,396,055 1,402,701 1,402,747


378,222 North America 396,335 396,017 397,696 401,061 401,237

98,447 South America 104,336 110,691 115,378 116,700 117,155

157,150 European Union - 28 160,840 162,370 168,570 168,520 168,470

8,575 Other Europe 9,050 7,890 8,230 8,561 8,558


51,831 Middle East 51,015 53,349 52,988 59,716 58,516

31,981 North Africa 31,040 31,665 32,607 33,565 33,565


283,996 East Asia 308,094 317,296 323,389 330,209 330,494

53,847 South Asia 56,578 60,415 60,209 62,720 62,220

43,988 Southeast Asia 45,679 47,457 48,383 51,108 50,988

6,435 Oceania 6,760 6,482 7,644 6,916 7,116

10,704 Others 11,377 11,482 11,740 12,166 12,156

1,287,682 Total 1,355,952 1,378,645 1,400,748 1,425,265 1,425,785

Ending Stocks none

58,918 North America 73,729 68,667 69,576 58,319 58,692

13,619 South America 24,304 16,675 11,964 13,223 12,098

15,651 European Union - 28 15,114 16,332 13,531 16,326 16,104

963 Other Europe 1,713 886 958 1,264 1,267


9,156 Middle East 6,232 6,701 5,238 6,441 6,291

5,982 North Africa 3,715 3,321 3,798 3,429 3,429


216,657 East Asia 227,633 227,443 215,108 203,496 203,596

3,101 South Asia 4,185 4,981 3,247 2,760 3,029

5,183 Southeast Asia 4,107 3,135 3,267 3,257 3,475

1,619 Oceania 2,746 2,391 2,420 2,168 2,360

1,240 Others 1,410 1,320 1,249 982 957

348,930 Total 385,810 371,219 347,973 326,627 327,330




World Corn Trade


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

TY Exports

34,50033,50032,87924,19822,95121,679 Argentina

39,00039,50038,80725,11619,79435,382 Brazil

1,4001,4001,5001,4001,5001,050 Burma

9001,3001,7191,9731,5441,767 Canada

2,9002,8003,6291,7492,1891,953 European Union

2,5002,5002,5591,4761,7572,662 Paraguay

4,7005,7002,7705,5325,5894,691 Russia

2,2002,2002,8368192,4141,560 Serbia

2,5002,0001,1832,3611,816759 South Africa

32,00031,00030,32118,03621,33416,595 Ukraine

3,9074,0604,5216,4735,7546,079 Others

126,507125,960122,72489,13386,64294,177 Subtotal

47,00047,00049,19463,66855,61851,056 United States

173,507172,960171,918152,801142,260145,233 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,5004,5004,8164,0463,9894,329 Algeria

1,4001,4001,3581,1451,1811,036 Bangladesh

1,5001,5001,1899432,4391,566 Brazil

1,5001,0002,6231,767686958 Canada

2,6002,6002,2921,8931,4841,539 Chile

7,0007,0004,4833,4562,4643,174 China

6,2006,2006,0485,2014,7544,458 Colombia

1,5001,5001,5361,3291,2941,351 Dominican Republic

9,9009,9009,3679,4648,7738,722 Egypt

21,00021,00025,20918,46514,97314,008 European Union

1,4001,4001,2241,0919511,027 Guatemala

10,00010,0009,0008,9007,8006,600 Iran

2,0002,0001,6111,8611,5391,156 Israel

16,00016,00016,04715,66815,16915,204 Japan

1,3001,3001509001,000200 Kenya

10,80010,80010,85610,0189,22010,121 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,6743,6453,5314,122 Malaysia

17,50017,50016,65816,12914,61413,957 Mexico

3,0003,0002,7282,2832,2212,224 Morocco

4,0003,6003,6943,4023,2692,985 Peru

4,0004,0003,6623,9833,4213,583 Saudi Arabia

4,3004,3004,5084,4104,1634,656 Taiwan

1,1001,1009319611,2441,017 Tunisia

3,0003,0002,9322,7151,421567 Turkey

11,50011,50011,0009,4008,5008,100 Vietnam

16,97517,00215,91215,13117,88019,748 Others

167,975167,102163,508148,206137,980136,408 Subtotal

4,2324,5587,6133,7572,8297,043 Unaccounted

1,3001,3007978381,4511,782 United States

173,507172,960171,918152,801142,260145,233 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

Production

50,00050,00051,00032,00041,00029,500 Argentina

101,000101,000101,00082,00098,50067,000 Brazil

13,40013,40013,88514,09513,88913,680 Canada

260,770260,770257,330259,071263,613264,992 China

8,4008,4008,3508,4007,8477,882 Ethiopia

65,00065,00064,44062,00761,88458,748 European Union

28,50029,00027,71528,75325,90022,567 India

12,70012,70012,00011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia

25,00025,00027,60027,56927,57525,971 Mexico

11,00011,00011,00010,42011,54810,562 Nigeria

8,1008,1007,6088,0848,0876,966 Philippines

14,27514,50011,41513,20115,30513,168 Russia

6,7506,7507,0004,0007,6006,000 Serbia

16,00014,50011,82413,10417,5518,214 South Africa

35,80035,80035,80524,11527,96923,333 Ukraine

107,529107,883111,098110,280103,894100,513 Others

764,224763,803759,070708,999743,062669,596 Subtotal

347,782347,782364,262371,096384,778345,506 United States

1,112,0061,111,5851,123,3321,080,0951,127,8401,015,102 World Total

none

Total Consumption

15,00015,00013,80012,40011,2009,300 Argentina

67,00066,50067,00063,50060,50057,500 Brazil

13,90013,50015,15813,98512,94912,029 Canada

279,000279,000274,000263,000255,000229,000 China

16,70016,70016,20015,90015,10014,850 Egypt

82,50082,50088,00076,50074,00073,500 European Union

28,70029,00028,50026,70024,90023,550 India

13,40013,40012,90012,40012,30012,100 Indonesia

11,40011,40010,3009,8009,3008,800 Iran

16,10016,10016,00015,60015,20015,200 Japan

10,90010,90010,85010,0009,43510,123 Korea, South

44,50044,50044,10042,50040,40037,300 Mexico

11,40011,40011,30011,10011,40010,600 Nigeria

12,60012,30012,10012,23012,66310,970 South Africa

15,40015,40014,40013,60013,00012,200 Vietnam

186,179186,259181,476178,947171,703165,790 Others

821,893821,639833,655776,470774,040683,740 Subtotal

313,578313,578310,472313,981313,828298,845 United States

1,135,4711,135,2171,144,1271,090,4511,087,868982,585 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,1175,1172,6122,4075,2731,448 Argentina

4,3904,2805,1909,28014,0196,769 Brazil

2,0801,5801,9802,4172,5742,450 Canada

199,069199,069210,319222,525223,017212,017 China

8,4408,5407,8409,8207,5976,929 European Union

2,3892,3895,0895,6495,4095,159 Mexico

2,7262,0721,8262,6723,6951,096 South Africa

26,06325,72129,54032,46432,12031,994 Others

249,274248,768264,396287,234293,704267,862 Subtotal

48,06748,06756,41054,36758,25344,123 United States

297,341296,835320,806341,601351,957311,985 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Feb

2019/20

Mar

2019/20

TY Imports none

16,697 North America 16,751 18,734 20,078 19,800 20,300

3,938 Central America 3,799 4,001 4,352 4,550 4,550

12,462 South America 13,719 13,567 14,317 15,155 15,555

14,008 European Union - 28 14,973 18,465 25,209 21,000 21,000


14,890 Middle East 16,944 20,417 19,824 22,000 22,150

16,873 North Africa 16,906 17,246 18,531 19,100 19,100


33,189 East Asia 31,109 33,599 35,957 38,150 38,150

15,281 Southeast Asia 13,968 15,183 17,263 18,005 17,785

2,597 Caribbean 2,657 2,446 2,527 2,640 2,640

2,491 Others 2,336 2,530 2,945 3,192 3,092

138,190 Total 139,431 149,044 164,305 168,402 169,275

Production none

385,157 North America 426,242 412,760 405,747 386,182 386,182

108,879 South America 150,860 125,744 163,683 162,876 162,536

58,748 European Union - 28 61,884 62,007 64,440 65,000 65,000

7,447 Other Europe 9,452 5,376 8,663 8,370 8,370


7,789 Middle East 7,283 7,028 7,457 8,012 8,012

6,096 North Africa 6,130 6,523 6,951 6,521 6,521


267,431 East Asia 265,949 261,417 259,739 263,177 263,177

33,218 South Asia 37,764 40,797 40,286 42,321 41,821

3,336 Central America 3,911 3,878 3,598 3,598 3,563

31,750 Southeast Asia 33,907 34,655 34,390 35,433 35,433

1,148 Others 1,398 1,310 1,357 1,333 1,333

1,015,102 Total 1,127,840 1,080,095 1,123,332 1,111,585 1,112,006


348,174 North America 367,177 370,466 369,730 371,578 371,978

87,971 South America 92,928 98,348 103,726 105,130 105,630

73,500 European Union - 28 74,000 76,500 88,000 82,500 82,500

6,542 Other Europe 6,947 5,857 6,300 6,460 6,460


23,522 Middle East 24,513 27,036 27,243 29,690 29,840

22,990 North Africa 23,290 24,400 24,600 26,000 26,000


260,967 East Asia 286,087 295,227 307,806 312,950 312,950

35,634 South Asia 37,897 41,226 43,179 44,445 44,155

43,584 Southeast Asia 45,197 46,827 47,719 50,450 50,230

7,180 Central America 7,540 7,830 8,070 8,340 8,330

3,769 Others 3,989 3,911 4,052 4,180 4,180

1,001,657 Total 1,062,878 1,092,143 1,126,556 1,137,437 1,138,257

Ending Stocks none

51,732 North America 66,236 62,433 63,479 52,036 52,536

11,256 South America 22,066 14,827 9,907 11,492 10,518

6,929 European Union - 28 7,597 9,820 7,840 8,540 8,440

849 Other Europe 1,464 689 775 1,045 1,038


2,729 Middle East 2,325 2,675 2,543 2,675 2,675

2,988 North Africa 2,555 2,462 2,505 2,116 2,116


215,956 East Asia 226,775 226,575 214,439 202,796 202,796

2,388 South Asia 3,149 3,767 2,507 1,978 2,063

5,177 Southeast Asia 4,096 3,124 3,256 3,246 3,464

889 Central America 1,056 1,060 988 781 756

437 Others 447 354 350 290 280

311,985 Total 351,957 341,601 320,806 296,835 297,341




World Barley Trade


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

TY Exports

2,8003,2003,0012,5372,6962,836 Argentina

4,0003,8003,6666,0889,1925,401 Australia

2,5002,5002,2691,8681,8091,147 Canada

6,6006,5005,8775,8575,6838,644 European Union

1,7001,8001,7621,411821776 Kazakhstan

6060538514859 Moldova

4,6005,6004,3205,6613,6263,735 Russia

607067573333 Serbia

4,7005,0004,4073,1885,3374,673 Ukraine

100100621211142 Uruguay

785859293452 Others

27,19828,68825,54326,79329,49027,398 Subtotal

115115101102125161 United States

27,31328,80325,64426,89529,61527,559 World Total

none

TY Imports

175150210541137 Belarus

750750608584737551 Brazil

6,5006,5005,1818,1448,1045,869 China

350350341324286301 Colombia

500500553231447315 European Union

2002002588932567 India

3,0003,2003,2002,7002,2001,700 Iran

300300236234376319 Israel

1,2001,2001,1581,2531,1971,154 Japan

9001,100928788759902 Jordan

400400474521569511 Kuwait

200200156199262132 Lebanon

6506508884381,0841,324 Libya

1,0001,000299363407958 Morocco

1501501085616998 Peru

7,5008,5005,7007,7008,40010,400 Saudi Arabia

3002002061472119 Thailand

500500487674501696 Tunisia

700700322598291146 Turkey

400500476263501668 United Arab Emirates

1,0251,0201,6061,3911,8061,944 Others

26,70028,07023,39526,75128,55528,081 Subtotal

4635832,115-26843-874 Unaccounted

150150134170217352 United States

27,31328,80325,64426,89529,61527,559 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Feb

2019/20

Mar

none

Production

2,0502,0501,9509681,0001,300 Algeria

3,8004,6005,0603,7403,3004,940 Argentina

8,8008,2008,3109,25413,5068,993 Australia

1,4001,4009441,4201,2531,849 Belarus

10,40010,4008,3807,8918,8398,257 Canada

2,3002,3002,2002,0322,0252,047 Ethiopia

62,75062,75055,94758,65459,86662,095 European Union

1,6331,7501,7811,7471,4381,613 India

3,6003,6002,8003,1003,7243,200 Iran

1,6001,6007809751,5501,550 Iraq

3,8303,9003,9713,3053,2312,675 Kazakhstan

19,93920,00016,73720,21117,54717,083 Russia

2,0002,000400777720637 Syria

7,9007,9007,0006,4004,7507,400 Turkey

9,5009,5007,6048,6959,8748,751 Ukraine

10,47610,47711,55710,82810,05612,317 Others

151,978152,427135,421139,997142,679144,707 Subtotal

3,6923,6923,3433,1194,3534,750 United States

155,670156,119138,764143,116147,032149,457 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,1002,1002,0001,8502,0502,150 Algeria

4,7004,5004,5003,7003,5003,300 Australia

1,5751,5501,1501,4501,4001,850 Belarus

7,4307,4006,5006,7996,7606,960 Canada

7,4007,4006,2009,3009,2007,500 China

2,3252,3252,2252,2252,0251,990 Ethiopia

55,30055,30051,60054,00055,10051,400 European Union

1,9002,0001,9001,9501,6501,520 India

6,4006,4006,2006,0005,2005,200 Iran

2,2002,2002,1502,1502,2002,000 Kazakhstan

2,4002,4002,9002,8002,4003,200 Morocco

15,00014,10012,20014,50014,70013,700 Russia

7,4258,5257,0258,5259,82510,225 Saudi Arabia

8,5008,5007,5006,7005,5006,900 Turkey

4,7004,5004,1004,5004,9004,300 Ukraine

19,57319,96417,54616,88618,66518,648 Others

148,869149,225136,760142,722146,065142,901 Subtotal

3,7233,7233,5373,4664,3754,408 United States

152,592152,948140,297146,188150,440147,309 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

9409407905178771,291 Algeria

1,9991,7991,8991,7761,8841,068 Australia

1,3971,3978771,2502,1201,523 Canada

5,6655,7654,2154,6275,4215,924 European Union

1,029990640750839729 Russia

1,3991,2991,3141,8292,3444,059 Saudi Arabia

1,2151,1151,1101,1491,2371,609 Ukraine

5,3705,7595,1255,4325,4217,441 Others

19,01419,06415,97017,33020,14323,644 Subtotal

1,9181,9181,8842,0572,3162,223 United States

20,93220,98217,85419,38722,45925,867 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Feb

2019/20

Mar

2019/20

TY Imports none

615 North America 293 227 254 270 300

1,133 South America 1,277 1,082 1,167 1,330 1,330

315 European Union - 28 447 231 553 500 500

81 Other Europe 124 80 175 98 98


14,798 Middle East 13,563 13,077 11,552 14,910 13,410

3,914 North Africa 2,542 1,990 2,342 2,270 2,270

40 Sub-Saharan Africa 112 49 28 40 50

7,136 East Asia 9,413 9,499 6,441 7,825 7,810

134 South Asia 346 114 269 227 217

7 Oceania 31 19 14 25 25

28,433 Total 28,772 26,921 23,529 28,220 26,850

Production none

13,742 North America 14,170 12,015 12,719 15,102 15,102

5,925 South America 4,714 4,815 6,492 6,054 5,254

62,095 European Union - 28 59,866 58,654 55,947 62,750 62,750

1,258 Other Europe 1,451 1,290 1,253 1,407 1,407


12,880 Middle East 10,831 11,333 11,061 15,183 15,183

5,266 North Africa 2,156 4,041 5,378 4,108 4,108


1,700 East Asia 1,492 1,397 1,258 1,221 1,221

2,121 South Asia 1,843 1,942 1,945 2,105 1,988

9,430 Oceania 13,870 9,552 8,690 8,580 9,180

149,457 Total 147,032 143,116 138,764 156,119 155,670


12,293 North America 12,085 11,275 11,087 12,323 12,353

3,523 South America 3,467 3,742 3,995 4,217 4,027

51,400 European Union - 28 55,100 54,000 51,600 55,300 55,300

1,373 Other Europe 1,451 1,354 1,343 1,398 1,398


27,160 Middle East 25,523 25,226 24,637 28,977 27,627

8,053 North Africa 6,847 6,359 7,076 6,638 6,638


9,082 East Asia 10,846 10,934 7,777 9,050 9,035

2,093 South Asia 2,078 2,213 2,078 2,384 2,274

3,750 Oceania 3,900 4,050 4,885 4,900 5,100

145,251 Total 149,450 146,801 139,233 152,887 152,651

Ending Stocks none

4,132 North America 4,851 3,722 3,123 3,687 3,687

1,128 South America 835 696 1,098 890 705

5,924 European Union - 28 5,421 4,627 4,215 5,765 5,665

79 Other Europe 167 135 133 168 178


6,392 Middle East 3,887 3,996 2,665 3,741 3,591

2,945 North Africa 1,106 802 1,236 1,256 1,256

436 Sub-Saharan Africa 488 308 375 318 315

445 East Asia 504 466 388 384 384

275 South Asia 293 253 269 262 245

1,140 Oceania 1,942 1,813 1,937 1,840 2,042

25,867 Total 22,459 19,387 17,854 20,982 20,932


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EU Barley Exports Start Strong - Cornell University...Russia Exports 34,000 35,000 1,000 Large...

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Transcript of EU Barley Exports Start Strong - Cornell University...Russia Exports 34,000 35,000 1,000 Large...