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Research
Contributor
Raghu Ramachandran
Head of Insurance Asset
Channel
raghu.ramachandran@
spglobal.com
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 INTRODUCTION
In our first report in 2015, we used historical trends to project that insurance
companies would double their use of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in five
years. Now five years later, usage of ETFs in insurance general accounts
has indeed doubled since 2015. In the one-year period ending Dec. 31,
2019, insurance companies increased their ETF assets under management
(AUM) by 16% to reach USD 31.2 billion. We saw companies increase
their use of Equity and Fixed Income ETFs. While the overall use of ETFs
increased, we did observe some parts of the industry that had been active
in using ETFs pull away. Although the use of Fixed Income ETFs
increased, the use of Systematic Valuation (SV) declined.1
OVERVIEW
As of year-end 2019, U.S. insurance companies had USD 31.2 billion
invested in ETFs. This represents a tiny fraction of the USD 4.4 trillion of
ETF AUM and an even smaller portion of the USD 6.7 trillion in admitted
assets of U.S. insurance companies. Exhibit 1 shows the use of ETFs by
U.S. insurance companies over the past 16 years.
Exhibit 1: ETF AUM Growth
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
1 This report is presented as of year-end 2019. As the markets have changed dramatically in the Q1 2020, we will publish a report analyzing
the Q1 2020 transactions once the data is processed.
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ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 2
After declining slightly in 2018, insurance ETF usage grew by 16% in 2019.
Indeed, the growth in usage had consistently remained in the mid-teens for
the past decade, as seen by the compound annual growth rate (CAGR)
over 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods (see Exhibit 2). This roughly equates to
the doubling of ETF AUM every 4.5 years.
Exhibit 2: CAGR of ETF AUM
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Unlike ETF AUM, the amount of ETF shares held by insurance companies
declined—albeit by only 0.6%—for the first time since 2007. However, as
Exhibit 3 shows, the number of ETF shares used by insurance companies
has grown substantially over the past 16 years.
Exhibit 3: ETF Share Growth
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
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After declining slightly in 2018, insurance ETF usage grew by 16% in 2019. Unlike ETF AUM, the amount of ETF shares held by insurance companies declined by 0.6%.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 3
The growth in ETF usage exceeded the growth in admitted assets, even
though admitted assets in insurance general accounts grew by 6.8%. Over
the past 16 years, ETF usage growth has significantly exceeded admitted
asset growth (see Exhibit 4).
Exhibit 4: Historical Growth of Admitted Assets and ETF AUM
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
We used a linear regression to model the growth of ETF AUM and shares
in insurance general accounts.2 These models accurately fit the historical
growth of ETFs by insurance companies (see Exhibits 5 and 6).
Exhibit 5: Linear Regression of ETF AUM
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
2 See Appendix 2.
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The growth in ETF usage exceeded the growth in admitted assets… …even though admitted assets in insurance general accounts grew by 6.8%.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 4
Exhibit 6: Actual and Modeled ETF Shares
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
We used these regression models to estimate the trended growth of ETFs.
If insurance companies continue to invest according to trend, the use of
ETFs by insurance companies could once again almost double in five
years—using both AUM and share trends. This is substantially faster than
the expected growth of admitted assets (see Exhibit 7).
Exhibit 7: Projected Growth of Admitted Assets, ETF AUM, and ETF Shares
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence and Cerulli Associates. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
The number of ETFs used by the insurance industry increased to 479 in
2019. While the number of insurance companies using ETFs declined, the
number of insurance companies extant also declined, making the
percentage of insurance companies using ETFs increase slightly to 35%
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To model the growth of ETF AUM and shares held by insurance companies, we used linear regressions. If insurance companies continue to invest according to trend, the use of ETFs by insurance companies could once again almost double in five years.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 5
(see Exhibit 8). Overall, ETFs represented only 0.46% of total admitted
assets.
Exhibit 8: ETF Usage
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
ANALYSIS BY SIZE, OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE, AND
COMPANY TYPE
In this section, we analyzed the use of ETFs by different groupings of
insurance companies. In particular, we looked at whether size, ownership
structure, or types of insurance underwritten affect the use of ETFs.3
Mega insurance companies owned most of the assets belonging to
insurance companies, but only held about one-third of the insurance ETF
holdings (see Exhibit 9).
Exhibit 9: ETF AUM and Admitted Assets by Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
3 See Appendix 1.1 for definitions of size and ownership structure.
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Overall, ETFs represented only 0.46% of total admitted assets. Mega insurance companies owned most of the admitted assets… …but only held about one-third of the insurance ETF holdings.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 6
In 2018, we observed Large companies exit ETFs. While ETF AUM
increased for companies of all sizes in 2019 (see Exhibit 10), Large and
Small companies continued to sell ETF shares (see Exhibit 11).
Exhibit 10: ETF AUM by Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Exhibit 11: CAGR of ETF AUM and Shares by Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Interestingly, Small companies sold ETFs broadly in 2019, while Large
companies added Fixed Income ETFs (dark blue) and sold Equity ETFs
(yellow) (see Exhibit 12).
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ETF AUM increased for companies of all sizes in 2019. Large and Small companies continued to sell ETF shares.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 7
Exhibit 12: Change in ETF Shares Held by Small and Large Companies
Small Companies Large Companies
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
While Large companies have historically had the largest number of ETFs in
the industry, in 2019, Mega companies surpassed them in terms of AUM.
However, as a percentage of admitted assets, the use of ETFs remained
inversely proportional to size (see Exhibit 13).
Exhibit 13: ETF AUM and ETFs as a Percentage of Admitted Assets by Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of company type, Life companies had the most admitted assets,
but P&C companies had the most ETFs (see Exhibit 14).
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Interestingly, Small companies sold broadly in 2019, while Large companies added Fixed Income ETFs and sold Equity ETFs. While Large companies have historically had the largest number of ETFs in the industry… …Mega companies surpassed them in terms of AUM in 2019.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 8
Exhibit 14: ETF AUM and Admitted Assets by Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
ETF AUM held by P&C and Health companies increased in 2019, while
AUM for Life companies was relatively flat (see Exhibit 15).
Exhibit 15: ETF AUM by Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
However, Life companies sold a little over 16% of their ETF shares in 2019.
Health companies had the greatest increase in their usage of ETFs—both
in terms of AUM and shares (see Exhibit 16).
P&CLife
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In terms of company type, Life companies had the most admitted assets, but P&C companies had the most ETFs. ETF AUM held by P&C and Health companies increased in 2019… …while AUM for Life companies was relatively flat.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 9
Exhibit 16: CAGR for ETF AUM and Shares by Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
But the ETF sales by Life companies were not across the board. Indeed,
these companies even added Equity ETFs (dark blue). The sales of non-
core ETFs (yellow) accounted for almost all of the sales by Life companies
(see Exhibit 17).
Exhibit 17: Change in ETF Shares held by Life Companies
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Not surprisingly, Life companies had the least amount of ETFs as a
percentage of admitted assets (see Exhibit 18).
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Health companies had the greatest increase in their usage of ETFs—both in terms of AUM and shares. Life companies sold a little over 16% of their ETF shares in 2019. However, the sales of non-core ETFs accounted for almost all of the sales by Life companies.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 10
Exhibit 18: ETF AUM and ETFs as a Percentage of Admitted Assets by Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Stock companies had the most admitted assets and the most ETFs (see
Exhibit 19).
Exhibit 19: ETF AUM and Admitted Assets by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart are provided for illustrative purposes.
After declining in 2018, ETF AUM held by Stock companies was relatively
flat in 2019—while AUM held by Mutual and Other companies increased
(see Exhibit 20).
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Not surprisingly, Life companies had the least amount of ETFs as a percentage of admitted assets. Stock companies had the most admitted assets and the most ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 11
Exhibit 20: ETF AUM by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
This is because Stock companies sold ETFs, while Mutual and Other
companies added to their holdings (see Exhibit 21).
Exhibit 21: CAGR of ETF AUM and Shares by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
As a result, Stock companies had the largest share of insurance ETF AUM,
but the lowest as a percentage of admitted assets (see Exhibit 22).
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After declining in 2018, ETF AUM held by Stock companies was relatively flat in 2019—while AUM held by Mutual and Other increased. This is because Stock companies sold ETFs, while Mutual and Other companies added to their holdings.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 12
Exhibit 22: ETF AUM and ETFs as a Percentage of Admitted Assets by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
ANALYSIS BY BUSINESS FOCUS
To see if the use of ETFs varied by the type of underwriting done by an
insurance company, we analyzed ETF investments by business focus.
For P&C companies, the use of ETFs is roughly in proportion with admitted
assets (see Exhibit 23).
Exhibit 23: ETF AUM and Admitted Assets by P&C Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
While Personal and Commercial companies increased their use of ETFs in
2019, Reinsurance companies greatly reduced their holdings, and the
amount held by Other P&C types is de minimis (see Exhibit 24).
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Admitted Assets
As a result, Stock companies had the largest share of insurance ETF AUM, but the lowest as a percentage of admitted assets. For P&C companies, the use of ETFs is roughly in proportion with admitted assets.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 13
Exhibit 24: ETF AUM by P&C Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Even though the ETF AUM in Commercial and Personal companies
increased by roughly the same percentage (23% and 22%, respectively),
the number of ETF shares held by Personal lines writers was relatively flat,
while the number of shares held by Commercial writers increased 11% (see
Exhibit 25).
Exhibit 25: CAGR of ETF AUM and Share by P&C Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Despite this increase, ETF AUM as a percentage of admitted assets was
the lowest for Commercial writers (see Exhibit 26).
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While Personal and Commercial companies increased their use of ETFs, Reinsurance companies greatly reduced their holdings. Even though the ETF AUM in Commercial and Personal companies increased by roughly the same percentage… …the number of shares held by Personal companies was relatively flat, while Commercial companies increased them by 11%.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 14
Exhibit 26: ETF AUM and ETFs as a Percentage of Admitted Assets by P&C Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
As shown in Exhibit 18, Life companies held less than half as many ETFs
as P&C companies, and the number of companies (both in absolute terms
and as a percentage of the total) was smaller for Life insurance. Thus, the
average holding per company was almost twice that of P&C companies.
While Annuity writers had the bulk of the admitted assets for Life
companies, the use of ETFs was more diversified (see Exhibit 27).
Exhibit 27: ETF AUM and Admitted Assets by Life Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
After increasing the ETF usage by seven times from 2008 to 2016, Life &
Health companies have halved it in the past three years. Annuity
companies have kept their ETF allocation roughly the same for the past two
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Despite this increase, ETF AUM as a percentage of admitted assets was the lowest for Commercial writers. While Annuity writers had the bulk of the admitted assets for Life companies, the use of ETFs was more diversified.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 15
years. However, Life companies and, more recently, Life & Annuity
companies have increased their ETF allocation (see Exhibit 28).
Exhibit 28: ETF AUM by Life Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
As a percentage of admitted assets, Life companies had the most allocated
to ETFs (see Exhibit 29).
Exhibit 29: ETF AUM and ETFs as a Percentage of Admitted Assets by Life Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In Health, the use of ETFs and the growth in ETF usage was nearly all in
Comprehensive Health companies (see Exhibit 30).
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After increasing the ETF usage by seven times from 2008 to 2016, Life & Health companies have halved it in the past three years. Life companies and, more recently, Life & Annuity companies have increased their ETF allocation. As a percentage of admitted assets, Life companies had the most allocated to ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 16
Exhibit 30: ETF AUM by Health Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In 2019, the growth in ETF shares was primarily in Fixed Income ETFs (see
Exhibit 31).
Exhibit 31: Change in ETF AUM and Shares for Health Companies
ETF AUM ETF Shares
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
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In Health, the use of ETFs and the growth in ETF usage was nearly all in Comprehensive Health companies. In 2019, the growth in ETF shares for Health companies was primarily in Fixed Income ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 17
ANALYSIS BY ASSET CLASS
In 2019, the amount of ETF assets held by insurance companies increased
for Equity and Fixed Income ETFs. Equity ETF AUM increased by 20%,
while Fixed Income ETF AUM increased by 13% (see Exhibit 32).4
Exhibit 32: ETF AUM by Asset Class
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
As shown in Exhibit 33, overall ETF shares held by insurance companies
only declined because of Other asset classes.
Exhibit 33: Change in ETF Shares by Asset Class
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
4 See Appendix 1.2 for definitions of asset classes.
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In 2019, Equity ETF AUM increased by 20%, while Fixed Income ETFs increased by 13%. Overall ETF shares held by insurance companies only declined because of Other asset classes.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 18
Over the past 10 years, insurance companies have increased the use of
Fixed Income ETFs and, as a percentage of the total, held more Fixed
Income ETFs than the overall U.S. ETF market (see Exhibit 34).
Exhibit 34: Insurance and U.S. Market ETF AUM by Asset Class
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of company type, Health companies held the most Fixed Income
ETFs, and P&C companies held the least (see Exhibit 35).
Exhibit 35: Asset Allocation by Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
After significantly increasing Fixed Income ETF usage in 2016 and 2017,
Life companies—especially Large Life companies—have reduced their
Fixed Income allocation over the past two years (see Exhibit 36).
Equity
Fixed Income
Other
Insurance
Equity
Fixed Income
Other
U.S. Market
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
P&C Life Health
Allo
catio
n
Equity Fixed Income Other
Insurance companies held more Fixed Income ETFs than the overall U.S. ETF market. In terms of company type, Health companies held the most Fixed Income ETFs, and P&C companies held the least.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 19
Exhibit 36: Life Company ETF AUM by Asset Class
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
For P&C companies, Commercial companies held a higher percentage of
Fixed Income ETFs, as Personal companies reduced their Fixed Income
ETF allocation over the past two years (see Exhibit 37).
Exhibit 37: Fixed Income ETF AUM by P&C Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In Life insurance, even though companies focused on Life insurance and
companies focused on Annuity had roughly the same ETF AUM, Annuity
writers had a higher allocation to Fixed Income ETFs (see Exhibit 38).
0
1
2
3
4
5
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Equity Fixed Income Other
0
1
2
3
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Commercial Personal
After increasing Fixed Income ETF AUM in 2016 and 2017, Life companies reduced it over the past two years. Commercial companies held a higher percentage of Fixed Income ETFs than Personal companies.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 20
Exhibit 38: ETF AUM by Life Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of size, Mega, Large, and Medium companies had about the same
allocation, but Small companies had half as much allocated to Fixed
Income ETFs (see Exhibit 39).
Exhibit 39: Asset Allocation by Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of ownership structure, Stock companies had higher Fixed Income
ETF allocation, as they increased Fixed Income ETFs and sold Equity
ETFs. Mutual companies had less Fixed Income, but they increased both
Fixed Income and Equity holdings in ETFs. Other companies increased
Equity holdings and greatly reduced Fixed Income holdings and thus had
the lowest Fixed Income allocation (see Exhibit 40).
Fixed Income
EquityOther
Life
Equity
Fixed Income
Other
Annuity
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Small Medium Large Mega
Allo
catio
n
Equity Fixed Income Other
Annuity companies had a higher allocation to Fixed Income ETFs than Life companies. Small companies had almost half the allocation to Fixed Income ETFs as Mega, Large, and Medium companies.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 21
Exhibit 40: Asset Allocation by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Analysis of Equity ETFs
Most of the Equity ETF allocation were split between Blend and Large Cap
companies, with Mid Cap and Small Cap having similar allocations. The
insurance distribution broadly replicated the overall U.S. ETF market (see
Exhibit 41).
Exhibit 41: Insurance and U.S. Market Equity ETF AUM by Market Capitalization
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
The allocation varied little in terms of size, company type or ownership
structure. However, the allocation varied vastly by business focus (see
Exhibits 42 and 43).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stock Mutual Other
Allo
catio
n
Equity Fixed Income Other
Blend
Small CapMid Cap
Large Cap
Insurance
Blend
Small CapMid Cap
Large Cap
U.S. Market
Stock had a higher Fixed Income allocation, as they increased Fixed Income ETFs and sold Equity ETFs. Most of the Equity ETF allocation were split between Blend and Large Cap companies.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 22
Exhibit 42: Equity Market Capitalization Allocation by Size, Ownership
Structure, and Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Exhibit 43: Equity Market Capitalization Allocation by Select Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of Growth and Value, most insurance ETF assets were Blend (see
Exhibit 44).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Small Medium Large Mega Stock Mutual Other P&C Life Health
Allo
catio
n
Blend Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Annuity Life Commercial Personal
Allo
catio
n
Blend Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap
The allocation varied little in terms of size, company type or ownership structure. However, the allocation varied vastly by business focus.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 23
Exhibit 44: Insurance ETF AUM by Style
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
The allocation to Sector ETFs by insurance companies was lower than that
of the overall U.S. ETF market (see Exhibit 45).
Exhibit 45: Insurance and U.S. Market ETF AUM by Sector Status
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Further, insurance companies have been reducing their holdings in sector-
specific ETFs (see Exhibit 46).
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Blend Value Growth
Sector
Not Sector
Insurance
Sector
Not Sector
U.S. Market
In terms of Growth and Value, most insurance ETF assets were Blend. The allocation to Sector ETFs by insurance companies was lower than that of the overall U.S. ETF market.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 24
Exhibit 46: CAGR of ETF AUM and Shares by Sector Status
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Interestingly, the allocation of sector ETFs by insurance companies varied
markedly from the U.S. market sector allocation, which in turn varied from
the sector allocation of the large-cap market—as represented by the S&P
500® (see Exhibit 47).
Exhibit 47: Sector Allocation of Insurance and U.S. Markets
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Sector Not Sector
CA
GR
ETF AUM
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Sector Not Sector
CA
GR
ETF Shares
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
CommunicationServices
ConsumerDiscretionary
ConsumerStaples
Energy
Financials
Health CareIndustrials
Materials
Real Estate
InformationTechnology
Utilities
U.S. ETF Market
Insurance
S&P 500
Insurance companies have been reducing their holdings in sector-specific ETFs. Insurance sector allocation varied markedly from the U.S. market, which in turn varied from the S&P 500.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 25
Analysis of Fixed Income ETFs
While the U.S. Fixed Income ETF market was broadly diversified, the
insurance market focused mainly on Corporate ETFs (see Exhibit 48).
Exhibit 48: Insurance and U.S. Market ETF AUM by Bond Category
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Insurance companies moved significantly into Fixed Income ETFs roughly
in line with regulatory changes (see Exhibit 49).
Exhibit 49: Fixed Income ETF AUM by Bond Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
While companies added to Corporate ETFs in the past one-year period,
they retrenched from Treasury ETFs (see Exhibit 50)
Broad Market
Corporate
TreasuryOther
Insurance
Broad Market
Corporate
Treasury
Other
U.S. Market
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Broad Market Corporate Treasury Other
While the U.S. Fixed Income ETF market was broadly diversified, the insurance market focused mainly on Corporate ETFs. Insurance companies moved significantly into Fixed Income ETFs roughly in line with regulatory changes.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 26
Exhibit 50: CAGR of ETF AUM and Shares by Fixed Income Credit
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Life companies invested more in Corporate ETFs, while Health companies
preferred Broad Market ETFs (see Exhibit 51).
Exhibit 51: Bond Type Allocation by Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Differences in allocation persisted across business lines, with Annuity
companies investing almost exclusively in Corporate ETFs. In the P&C
sector, Commercial writers had broader Fixed Income ETF allocations
relative to Personal carriers (see Exhibit 52).
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
BroadMarket
Corporate Treasury Other
CA
GR
ETF AUM
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
BroadMarket
Corporate Treasury Other
CA
GR
ETF Shares
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
P&C Life Health
Allo
catio
n
Broad Market Corporate Treasury Other
While insurance companies added to Corporate ETFs in the past one-year period, they retrenched from Treasury ETFs. Life companies invested more in Corporate ETFs, while Health companies preferred Broad Market ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 27
Exhibit 52: Bond Type Allocation by Life and P&C Business Focuses
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Corporate allocation increased with company size, and Broad Market
allocation decreased (see Exhibit 53).
Exhibit 53: Bond Type Allocation by Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Stock companies had the least allocation to Broad Market ETFs and the
highest allocation to Corporate ETFs (see Exhibit 54).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Annuity Life Commercial Personal
Allo
catio
n
Broad Market Corporate Treasury Other
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Small Medium Large Mega
Allo
catio
n
Broad Market Corporate Treasury Other
Differences in allocation persisted across business lines, with Annuity companies investing almost exclusively in Corporate ETFs. Corporate allocation increased with company size, and Broad Market allocation decreased.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 28
Exhibit 54: Bond Type Allocation by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Although insurance companies invested mostly in Investment Grade ETFs,
they had a higher proportion of High Yield ETFs, relative to the U.S. ETF
Market (see Exhibit 55).
Exhibit 55: Insurance and U.S. Market ETF AUM by Credit Quality
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Insurance companies continued to increase their allocation to High Yield
and Investment Grade ETFs, while pulling back from Blend ETFs (see
Exhibit 56).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stock Mutual Other
Allo
catio
n
Broad Market Corporate Treasury Other
Blend
Investment Grade
High Yield
Insurance
Blend
Investment Grade
High Yield
U.S. Market
Stock companies had the least allocation to Broad Market ETFs and the highest allocation to Corporate ETFs. Although insurance companies invested mostly in Investment Grade ETFs… …they had a higher proportion of High Yield ETFs than the U.S. Market.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 29
Exhibit 56: Fixed Income ETF AUM by Credit Quality
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Over the past few years, the growth in High Yield ETFs has been faster
than Investment Grade ETFs (see Exhibit 57).
Exhibit 57: CAGR of Fixed Income ETF AUM and Shares by Credit Quality
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Stock companies had a larger allocation to High Yield ETFs than any other
type of insurance company. The allocation to High Yield ETFs also
increased with the size of the company (see Exhibit 58).
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Blend Investment Grade High Yield
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Blend InvestmentGrade
High Yield
CA
GR
ETF AUM
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Blend InvestmentGrade
High Yield
CA
GR
ETF Shares
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
Insurance companies continued to increase their allocation to High Yield and Investment Grade ETFs, while pulling back from Blend ETFs. Over the past few years, the growth in High Yield ETFs has been faster than Investment Grade ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 30
Exhibit 58: Credit Quality Allocation by Ownership Structure and Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
P&C companies had the highest High Yield allocation, with Personal writers
having almost 50% of their Fixed Income ETFs in High Yield (see Exhibit
59).
Exhibit 59: Credit Quality Allocation by Company Type and Life and P&C Business Focuses
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of maturity, insurance companies mostly invested in Blend ETFs
(see Exhibit 60).
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stock Mutual Other Small Medium Large Mega
Allo
catio
n
Blend Investment Grade High Yield
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Health
Life
P&
C
An
nuity
Life
Com
merc
ial
Pe
rsonal
Allo
catio
n
Blend Investment Grade High Yield
Stock companies had a larger allocation to High Yield ETFs than any other type of insurance company. P&C companies had the highest High Yield allocation.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 31
Exhibit 60: Fixed Income ETF AUM by Maturity
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
However, in recent years, companies have begun to diversify into more
specific maturity buckets (see Exhibit 61).
Exhibit 61: CAGR of Fixed Income ETF AUM and Shares by Maturity
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Mutual companies used more Ultra Short and Short ETFs than any other
ownership structure, while Mega companies rarely used anything other
than Blend ETFs (see Exhibit 62).
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
BlendShortIntermediateLongSpecific YearUltra Short
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
Ble
nd
Ultra
Short
Sh
ort
Inte
rme
dia
te
Long
Sp
ecific
Ye
ar
CA
GR
ETF AUM
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
Ble
nd
Ultra
Short
Sh
ort
Inte
rme
dia
te
Long
Sp
ecific
Ye
ar
CA
GR
ETF Shares
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
In terms of maturity, insurance companies mostly invested in Blend ETFs… …however, in recent years, companies have begun to diversify into more specific maturity buckets.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 32
Exhibit 62: Fixed Income Maturity Allocation by Ownership Structure and Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Life insurance companies tended to stick to Blend ETFs relative to other
company types, but Life writers did have significantly higher allocation to
Long duration ETFs (see Exhibit 63).
Exhibit 63: Fixed Income Maturity Allocation by Company Type and Life and P&C Business Focuses
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stock Mutual Other Small Medium Large Mega
Allo
catio
n
Blend Ultra Short Short Intermediate Long Specific Year
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
P&
C
Life
Health
An
nuity
Life
Com
merc
ial
Pe
rsonal
Allo
catio
n
Blend Ultra Short Short Intermediate Long Specific Year
Mutual companies used more Ultra Short and Short ETFs than any other ownership structure… …while Mega companies rarely used anything other than Blend ETFs. Life insurance companies tended to stick to Blend ETFs relative to other company types.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 33
Systematic Valuation
Systematic valuation (SV) is a book-value-like accounting treatment that
has the potential to reduce income volatility in statutory filings. Of the USD
8.5 billion in Fixed Income ETFs, insurance companies designated 19% as
SV (see Exhibit 64).
Exhibit 64: SV Designation for Fixed Income ETFs
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
In 2019, SV designation decreased from 2017 and 2018 (see Exhibit 65).
Exhibit 65: Historical SV Designation for Fixed Income ETFs
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
SV
Not SV
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2017
2018
2019
SV
Desig
natio
n
Of the USD 8.5 billion in Fixed Income ETFs, insurance companies designated 19% as SV. In 2019, SV designation decreased from 2017 and 2018.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 34
Life companies used more SV ETFs than Health or P&C companies.
Medium and Mega companies were the biggest SV users. Stock
companies designated funds as SV more often than other company types
(see Exhibit 66).
Exhibit 66: SV Designation for Fixed Income ETFs by Company Type, Ownership Structure, and Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
ETFs with a specific year maturity were the only maturity type to have a
majority of the holdings designated as SV. Investment Grade ETFs had a
higher use of SV than High Yield and Blend ETFs. Finally, Broad Market
ETFs had the least SV designation, while Other ETFs had the most (see
Exhibit 67).
Exhibit 67: SV Designation Allocation by Maturity, Credit Quality, and Bond Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
P&C Life Health Stock Mutual Other Small Medium Large Mega
Allo
catio
n
SV Not SV
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ble
nd
Ultra
Short
Sh
ort
Inte
rme
dia
te
Long
Sp
ecific
Ye
ar
Ble
nd
Hig
h Y
ield
Investm
ent
Gra
de
Bro
ad M
ark
et
Corp
ora
te
Tre
asu
ry
Oth
er
Allo
catio
n
SV Not SV
Life companies used more SV ETFs than Health or P&C companies. Absent the decline in Smart Beta ETFs, the use of ETFs by insurance companies grew on ETF AUM and share bases.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 35
ANALYSIS OF SMART BETA ETFS
The majority of ETF investments by U.S. insurance companies were
Traditional Beta ETFs. The insurance industry allocated to different beta
types in a similar manner to the overall U.S. ETF market. While about
12.4% of the U.S. market invested in Smart Beta ETFs, insurance
companies only allocated 10.7% of AUM to Smart Beta strategies (see
Exhibit 68).
Exhibit 68: Insurance and U.S. Market ETF AUM by Beta Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Smart Beta usage varied little by size—with Small and Mega companies
being slightly larger users. However, by company type, P&C companies
used more Smart Beta ETFs, and by ownership structure, Other companies
used more Smart Beta ETFs (see Exhibit 69).
Exhibit 69: Beta Type Allocation by Size, Company Type, and Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Traditional Beta
Smart Beta
Active Beta
Insurance
Traditional Beta
Smart Beta
Active Beta Leveraged/Inverse
U.S. Market
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Small Medium Large Mega P&C Life Health Stock Mutual Other
Allo
catio
n
Traditional Beta Smart Beta Active Beta Leveraged/Inverse Proprietary Model
The majority of ETF investments by U.S. insurance companies were Traditional Beta ETFs. The insurance industry allocated to different beta types in a similar manner to the overall U.S. ETF market. By company type and ownership structure, P&C and Other companies used more Smart Beta ETFs, respectively.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 36
In a reversal of 2018, companies added alternate beta types, while selling
Traditional Beta ETFs (see Exhibit 70).
Exhibit 70: CAGR of ETF AUM and Shares by Beta Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Within Smart Beta ETFs, insurance companies favored Dividend ETFs, with
AUM almost doubling in 2019. Quality ETFs had a material increase in
allocation over the past two years (see Exhibit 71).
Exhibit 71: ETF AUM by Smart Beta Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Tra
ditio
nal B
eta
Sm
art
Beta
Active
Beta
Levera
ged/Invers
e
Pro
prie
tary
Model
CA
GR
ETF AUM1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Tra
ditio
nal B
eta
Sm
art
Beta
Active
Levera
ged/Invers
e
Pro
prie
tary
Model
CA
GR
ETF Shares 1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Mill
ions)
Dividend
Multi Factor
Low Volatility
Quality
Equal Weighted
Growth/Value
Thematic
Other
In a reversal of 2018, companies added alternate beta types, while selling Traditional Beta ETFs. Within Smart Beta ETFs, insurance companies favored Dividend ETFs, with AUM almost doubling in 2019.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 37
MISCELLANEOUS ANALYSIS
Insurance companies invested mostly in Domestic ETFs; this was truer for
Fixed Income ETFs than Equity ETFs (see Exhibit 72).
Exhibit 72: Insurance Equity and Fixed Income ETF AUM by Region
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
However, over the past three years, the growth rate of International ETFs
has been triple that of Domestic ETFs (see Exhibit 73).
Exhibit 73: Insurance ETF AUM by Region
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
While the topic of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) as a
controlling factor in investment decisions is widely discussed, neither the
U.S. ETF market nor insurance companies using ETFs have greatly
Domestic
International
Global
Equity
Domestic
InternationalGlobal
Fixed Income
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Domestic International Global
Insurance companies invested mostly in Domestic ETFs… …this was truer for Fixed Income ETFs than Equity ETFs. Over the past three years, the growth rate of International ETFs has been triple that of Domestic ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 38
adopted ESG ETFs. The overall U.S. ETF market only had 0.45%
allocated to ESG ETFs. In the insurance space, seven insurance
companies had about USD 100 million invested in ESG ETFs—
representing 0.32% of all insurance ETF usage and a negligible percentage
of admitted assets.
Looking at the geographical distribution of insurance companies using
ETFs, companies located in Illinois, New York, and Texas were the leading
users of ETFs (see Exhibit 74). However, relative to the amount of
admitted assets, companies in New York had a lower allocation to ETFs
(see Exhibit 75).
Exhibit 74: Insurance ETF AUM by Domicile
Fewer ETFs More ETFs Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
While ESG is a widely discussed topic, the U.S. ETF market and insurance companies only allocated 0.45% and 0.32%, respectively, in ESG ETFs. Companies located in Illinois, New York, and Texas were the leading users of ETFs.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 39
Exhibit 75: ETF Overweight and Underweight Relative to Admitted Assets by Domicile
Underweight Overweight Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
However, companies in New York increased their ETF allocation by nearly
5.5 times in the past five years (see Exhibit 76).
Exhibit 76: ETF Usage by New York-Domiciled Companies
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
The geographic distribution of companies using ETFs varied by both type of
insurance company (see Exhibit 77) and by asset class (see Exhibit 78).
0
1
2
3
4
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Relative to the amount of admitted assets, companies in New York had a lower allocation to ETFs. However, companies in New York increased their ETF allocation by nearly 5.5 times in the past five years.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 40
Exhibit 77: Geographic Distribution of ETFs by Company Type
COMPANY TYPE
GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF ETFS
P&C
Fewer ETFs More ETFs
Life
Fewer ETFs More ETFs
Health
Fewer ETFs More ETFs Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Table is provided for illustrative purposes.
Geographic distribution of ETF investments varied by company type.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 41
Exhibit 74: Geographic Distribution of ETFs by Asset Class
ASSET CLASS
GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF ETFS
Equity
Fewer ETFs More ETFs
Fixed Income
Fewer ETFs More ETFs
Other
Fewer ETFs More ETFs Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Table is provided for illustrative purposes.
Geographic distribution varied by asset class.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 42
APPENDIX 1: METHODOLOGY
The National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) requires all U.S. insurance companies to
file an annual statement with state regulators. This filing includes a detailed holdings list of all
securities held by insurance companies. S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI) compiles this data
from the NAIC and makes it available in a usable format. We use this database to extract all insurance
ETF holdings, both current and historical. In addition, Frist Bridge, a CFRA company, which is an ETF
data and analytics company, provides a list of U.S. ETFs, as well as characteristics of each ETF—such
as asset class, stock strategy, bond credit quality, etc. We combine First Bridge ETF classifications
with SPGMI statutory filing data to gain insight into how insurance companies use ETFs.
Appendix 1.1: S&P Global Market Intelligence Data
For all U.S. insurance companies, we used NAIC data as compiled by SPGMI. U.S. insurance
companies filed the data with the NAIC at the end of February 2020. SPGMI retrieved the data and
loaded it into its database. The completeness of the database depended on the timeliness of SPGMI
receiving the data from the NAIC and the amount of quality control SPGMI performs. To get timely yet
complete information, we retrieved the data for this analysis on April 13, 2020.
SPGMI classifies companies in various ways. For companies that are members of a group, we
classified all companies the same way as a group. For example, if a group contained individual
companies of various ownership structures (Stock, Reciprocal Exchange, Lloyd’s Syndicate, etc.), the
group would be classified as a Stock company. For this analysis, we assigned the ownership structure
of the parent organization to all the subsidiaries. We did a similar assignment across all the features in
this report.
In 2019, the SPGMI database contained 7,568 individual entities. Of these, 1,530 had no reported
assets for the period from 2004 to 2019; therefore, we removed these companies from the analysis,
leaving us with 6,038 entities. Most of these (3,849 or 64%) belonged to one of 625 insurance groups,
which left 2,189 stand-alone insurance entities. For this analysis, we referred to “companies” as the
combination of the 625 groups and 2,189 individual entities, giving us 2,814 companies in our analysis
(see Exhibit 79).
Exhibit 79: Companies and Groups
TYPE OF COMPANY
INDIVIDUAL COMPANIES
STAND-ALONE COMPANIES
COMPANIES PART OF A GROUP
NUMBER OF GROUPS
GROUPS PLUS STAND-ALONE COMPANIES
P&C 3,432 1,329 2,103 327 1,656
Life 1,069 403 666 145 548
Health 1,537 457 1,080 153 610
Total 6,038 2,189 3,849 625 2,814
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Table is provided for illustrative purposes.
It is possible that some companies have not filed their financials, or that the NAIC has not reported
these to SPGMI, or that data had not made it into the SPGMI database by April 13, 2020. To test for
completeness of the data, we compared the reported assets for the 6,038 companies in 2018 versus
2019. Of the 6,038 entities, 163 had assets in 2018 but not in 2019. However, these only represented
0.33% of total 2018 admitted assets (see Exhibit 80). A further breakdown by company type revealed
that the largest number of late filers as a percentage of admitted assets were Health companies.
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 43
Exhibit 80: Companies without Filing Data
TYPE OF COMPANY NUMBER OF COMPANIES ADMITTED ASSETS (%)
P&C 80 0.29
Life 24 0.27
Health 59 1.82
Total 163 0.33
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Table is provided for illustrative purposes.
As of December 2019, the U.S. insurance industry had USD 6.7 trillion in admitted assets (see Exhibit
81).
Exhibit 81: Historical Admitted Assets
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
For the insurance industry as a whole, admitted assets grew by 6.8% in 2019. This was well above the
long-term average of 3.57% (see Exhibit 82).
Exhibit 82: Admitted Asset Growth Rate
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Adm
itte
d A
ssets
(U
SD
Trilli
ons)
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Adm
itte
d A
sset G
row
th R
ate
Admitted Asset Growth Rate Average
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 44
We segregated the companies by size, based on their admitted assets, as of Dec. 31, 2019.
• Small: Admitted Assets < USD 500 million
• Medium: USD 500 million ≤ Admitted Assets < USD 5 billion
• Large: USD 5 billion ≤ Admitted Assets < USD 50 billion
• Mega: Admitted Assets ≥ USD 50 billion
Over the past 16 years, admitted assets have been concentrated in Mega companies. As of 2019,
Mega companies represented 63% of all the industry’s admitted assets (see Exhibit 83).
Exhibit 83: Admitted Assets by Company Size
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Life companies represented approximately 66% of all the admitted assets in the insurance industry (see
Exhibit 84). This value has remained consistent for the last 16 years.
Exhibit 84: Admitted Assets by Company Type
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
SmallMedium
Large
Mega
P&C
Life
Health
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 45
SPGMI classifies the ownership of each company in 14 different ways, which we condensed this into
three ownership structures.
• Stock: Stock Companies
• Mutual: Mutual Companies
• Other: BC/BS Not for Profit BC/BS Stock, Limited Liability Corporation, Lloyd’s
Organization, Non-Profit, Partnership (All Types), Proprietorship, Reciprocal
Exchange, Risk Retention Group, Syndicate, U.S. Branch of Alien Insurer, Other
Stock companies held the vast majority of admitted assets, with Mutual companies holding just 22% of
admitted assets (see Exhibit 85).
Exhibit 85: Admitted Assets by Ownership Structure
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
SPGMI data also allowed us to classify companies by business focus. For compactness, we grouped
the data differently from SPGMI.
Stock
Mutual
Other
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 46
Exhibit 86: Number of Companies by Business Focus
LIFE COMPANIES NUMBER OF COMPANIES
P&C COMPANIES NUMBER OF COMPANIES
HEALTH COMPANIES NUMBER OF COMPANIES
Individual Life Focus 134 P&C Minimum NPW 539 Comprehensive Health 169
Life Minimum NPW 87 Personal Lines Focus 315 Health Minimum NPW 148
Annuity Focus 63 Commercial Property Focus
195 Dental/Vision 85
Group A&H Focus 54 Commercial Medical Malpractice Focus
150 Medicare Provider 78
Specialty A&H Focus 51 Commercial Workers Compensation Focus
108 Medicaid Provider 55
Other Life 39 Commercial Lines Focus 102 Other Health 48
Credit Insurance Focus 38 Other P&C 88 Health-Other Focus 27
Life Insurance Focus 29 Commercial General Liability Focus
81
Life & Annuities Focus 26 Commercial Financial Lines Focus
42
Individual Life and A&H Focus
13 Reinsurance Focus 18
Life and A&H Focus 8 Large Reinsurance Focus 10
Annuity and A&H Focus 6 Accident & Health Lines Focus
7
Personal Property Focus 1
Total 548 Total 1,656 Total 610
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Table is provided for illustrative purposes.
SPGMI had 13 classifications for P&C companies (see Exhibit 86). We collapsed these into the
following four groups.
• Commercial: Commercial Financial Lines Focus, Commercial General Liability Focus,
Commercial Lines Focus, Commercial Medical Malpractice Focus, Commercial
Property Focus, and Commercial Workers Compensation Focus
• Personal: Personal Lines Focus and Personal Property Focus
• Reinsurance: Large Reinsurance Focus and Reinsurance Focus
• Other: Accident & Health Lines Focus, P&C Minimum NPW, and Other P&C
Commercial and Personal companies had approximately the same amount of assets (see Exhibit 87).
Exhibit 87: Admitted Assets by P&C Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Personal
Commercial
ReinsuranceOther P&C
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 47
As Exhibit 86 shows, SPGMI had 12 classifications for Life companies; we collapsed these into the
following five groups.
• Annuity: Annuity Focus and Annuity and A&H Focus
• Life: Individual Life Focus, Life Insurance Focus, and Life Minimum NPW
• Life & Health: Life and A&H Focus, Group A&H Focus, Specialty A&H Focus, and Individual
Life and A&H Focus
• Life & Annuities: Life & Annuities Focus
• Other: Credit Insurance Focus and Other Life
For Life insurance companies, Annuity companies had approximately one-half of the admitted assets
(see Exhibit 88).
Exhibit 88: Admitted Assets by Life Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
As shown in Exhibit 86, Health companies had seven areas of business focus, which we collapsed into
four groups.
• Comprehensive Health: Comprehensive Health
• Dental/Vision: Dental/Vision
• Medicaid/Medicare: Medicaid Provider and Medicare Provider
• Other: Health-Other Focus, Health Minimum NPW, and Other Health
Comprehensive Health companies had a clear majority of the Comprehensive Health admitted assets
(see Exhibit 89).
Annuity
Life & Annuities
Life
Life & HealthOther Life
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 48
Exhibit 89: Admitted Assets by Health Business Focus
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
From the SPGMI database, we extracted a list of all ETFs held by insurance companies. We did this
by matching both the tickers and CUSIP numbers of the holdings against a master ETF list. Where the
CUSIP and ticker numbers did not both match exactly, we employed a manual method to identify the
correct ETF. In spite of error-checking, insurance companies did not always file complete or correct
information. In as much as the underlying data had errors, this analysis contains errors.
Appendix 1.2: First Bridge Data
From 2015 to 2017, we used First Bridge as the source of ETF data in this analysis, in 2018, we used
Morningstar, and now the data from 2019 is from First Bridge again. To the extent that some of the
classifications are different between these sources, this analysis will vary from prior reports. We used
the categorization labels developed by First Bridge rather than developing separate definitions. For
example, we used First Bridge’s definition of Smart Beta. As before, we assumed the consistency and
completeness of the data provided by First Bridge.
For year-end 2019, First Bridge provided us with a list of 2,344 funds. We note that insurance
companies did not invest in a vast majority of these funds. While we referred to these as ETFs, the
funds had varying legal structures. The vast majority of the funds in the list were open-ended ETFs.
However, a few large funds have a Unit Investment Trust structure. The list had 168 Exchange Traded
Notes, which we excluded from the analysis. The remaining legal structures did not represent a
material amount of assets (see Exhibit 90). For this reason, we did not further analyze usage by legal
structure and referred to all these funds as ETFs.
Comprehensive Health
Medicare/Medicaid
Dental/Vision Other Health
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 49
Exhibit 90: ETF AUM by Legal Structure
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Similarly, the CFRA data also differentiates between active funds and passive funds. While there has
been an increase in the use of Active ETFs, the amount invested was small (see Exhibit 91). Thus, we
did not perform any analysis on active versus passive funds.
Exhibit 91: ETF AUM by Active versus Passive
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
First Bridge provides the AUM and price for each fund. By dividing the AUM by price, we can
approximate the number of shares outstanding at any period. We analyzed share growth as a proxy to
identify how much of the AUM growth was due to price appreciation in the securities and how much
was due to an actual increase in investments. This analysis was not perfect. Unlike AUM analysis,
share splits would affect these values. Also, ETFs trading at a discount or premium would affect the
share calculation. However, at an aggregate level, share analysis was directionally useful.
ETF
Unit Investment TrustGrantor Trust
Passive
Active
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 50
For the first time in 2019, ETF AUM exceeded USD 4 trillion (see Exhibit 92). Over the past 10 years,
ETF AUM increased at an annualized rate of 19%. This increase was not just because of the extended
rally in equity markets, as the number of shares outstanding also increased over the period on an
annual basis of 12% (see Exhibit 93).
Exhibit 92: ETF AUM and Shares Growth
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Exhibit 93: CAGR of ETF AUM and Shares Growth
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Often, First Bridge classified ETFs in more granular detail was needed for this analysis. In these
instances, we combined fields to make our analysis more meaningful.
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F S
hare
s (
Bill
ions)
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
ETF AUM ETF Shares
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
ETF AUM ETF Shares
CA
GR
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 51
For example, the First Bridge field of Asset Class contained six different categories. We collapsed
these into three.
• Equity: Equities
• Fixed Income: Bonds
• Other: Commodities & Metals, Currency, Target Date/Multi Asset, and Other Asset
Types.
The vast majority of U.S. ETFs were Equity ETFs. Fixed Income ETFs have grown considerably in
recent years and comprised 18% of the ETF market as of year-end 2019 (see Exhibit 94).
Exhibit 94: ETF AUM by Asset Class
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
First Bridge segregated Equity ETFs into eight buckets by Market Capitalization. We consolidated
these into four buckets.
• Blend: Broad Market/Multi Cap
• Large Cap: Large Cap and Mega Cap
• Mid Cap: Mid Cap, Large & Mid Cap, and Small & Mid Cap
• Small Cap: Small Cap and Micro Cap
The majority of the Equity ETF AUM were split roughly between Large Cap and Blend ETFs with Mid
Cap and Small Cap evenly sharing the remainder. In terms of style, Blend ETFs had the highest
allocation (see Exhibit 95).
Equity
Fixed Income
Other
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 52
Exhibit 95: ETF AUM by Market Capitalization and Style
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31/2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
First Bridge classified individual sector fields for Equity ETFs, identifying the sector of the ETF
investments. It also had a field for if the fund was not sector specific or rotated through different
sectors. Using this, we created two categories to identify whether the ETF was a sector ETF.
• Not Sector: Not Applicable, Sector Rotation/Combination
• Sector: All other
Although investments in Sector ETFs grew 25% in 2019, the number of shares in these ETFs
decreased by 2.5%—indicating the market was not actively growing its investment in Sector ETFs.
Sector ETFs only represented 13% of the equity allocation (see Exhibit 96)
Exhibit 96: Equity Sector ETF AUM and Shares and CAGR Growth
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Large Cap
Blend
Mid Cap
Small Cap
Market Capitalization
Blend
Value
Growth
Style
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
ETF AUM ETF Shares
CA
GR
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
Not Sector
Sector
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 53
We compared the ETF market allocation to various sectors relative to the sector allocation within the
S&P 500 and noted that ETF investors did not replicate the sector weights of the broader market (see
Exhibit 97).
Exhibit 97: ETF Sector Allocation versus S&P 500 Sector Allocation
Source: First Bridge and S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
First Bridge classified Bond ETFs into eight types. We narrowed this to the six Bond types.
• Broad Market: Broad Market
• Corporate: Corporate
• Treasury: Treasury & Government
• Municipal: Municipal
• Inflation Protected: Inflation Protected
• Other: Convertible, Mortgages, and Not Applicable
The largest allocation was to Broad Market ETFs. Investors pulled back from Corporate ETFs in 2018;
while they increased the allocation by 40% in 2019, the allocation did not return to prior levels (see
Exhibit 98).
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%Communication Services
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Energy
Financials
Health CareIndustrials
Materials
Real Estate
Information Technology
Utilities
S&P 500
Sector ETF
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 54
Exhibit 98: Fixed Income ETF AUM by Bond Type
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
In terms of credit quality, First Bridge classified Bond ETFs as Investment Grade, High Yield, Blend, or
Not Applicable. Investment Grade ETFs comprised the majority of Bond ETFs. In terms of maturity,
First Bridge classified Bond ETFs into six buckets: < 1 Year, 1-3 Years, 3-10 Years, 10+ Years, Blend,
and Specific Year. We labeled these duration buckets Ultra Short, Short, Intermediate, and Long,
respectively. The majority of Bond ETFs had a Blend maturity (see Exhibit 99).
Exhibit 99: Fixed Income ETF AUM by Credit Quality and Maturity
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes only
Most ETF AUM and shares had market-capitalization weights. Index providers and ETF sponsors have
created new indices and ETFs that formulaically model some of the methodology of active managers.
The earliest attempt classified stocks by their price to earnings (P/E) ratio. A “Value” bucket contained
low P/E stocks, while a “Growth” bucket contained stocks with a high P/E ratio. First Bridge classified
Broad Market
Corporate
Treasury
Municipal
Inflation Protected Other
Investment Grade
High Yield
Blend N/A
Credit Quality
Ultra Short
Short
Intermediate
Long
Blend
Specific Year
Maturity
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 55
portfolio weighting in six ways: Traditional Beta, Smart Beta, Active Beta, Leveraged/Inverse, and
Proprietary Model.5 The vast majority of U.S. ETF used Traditional Beta, or market-capitalization
weighting. Investors have allocated a little over 12% to Smart Beta ETFs (see Exhibit 100).
Exhibit 100: ETF AUM by Beta Type
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Of those ETFs using Smart Beta, 98% were Equity ETFs. For these ETFs, First Bridge had 15
classifications of Smart Beta. We condensed these into the following five types.
• Dividend: Dividend
• Low Volatility: Low Volatility
• Multi-Factor: Multi-Factor
• Thematic: Thematic
• Other: Factor Weighted Growth/Value, Cap Weighted Growth/Value, Hedge Fund
Replication, High/Low Beta, Options Overlay, Revenue Weighted, Strategy,
VIX/Risk Control, Quality, Momentum, and Equal Weighted
Dividend ETFs were the most prevalent. However, since its introduction in 2011, allocation to Low
Volatility ETFs has increased substantially (see Exhibit 101).
5 See detailed descriptions of Smart Beta at First Bridge:
https://www.firstbridgedata.com/smartbetadefinitions/Smart%20Beta%20Definition%20Framework.pdf.
Traditional Beta
Smart Beta
Active Beta
Leveraged/Inverse
Proprietary Model
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 56
Exhibit 101: Equity ETF AUM by Smart Beta Type
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Most insurance companies (72%) invested in the domestic ETF market, with 19% investing in
international markets and 9% investing global markets (see Exhibit 102).
Exhibit 102: ETF AUM by Region
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Geographically, investors allocated Equity ETFs in a similar fashion to the overall ETF market, but
Fixed Income ETFs had a larger domestic focus (see Exhibit 103).
-
50
100
150
200
250
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Dividend Low Volatility Multi Factor Thematic Other
Domestic
International
Global
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 57
Exhibit 103: Equity and Fixed Income ETF AUM by Region
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Insurance companies did not invest much in ESG ETFs, but the investments in these funds have grown
rapidly. In 2019, investors increased the use of ESG ETFs by 155%. When investors did invest in
ESG ETFs, they invested mostly in broadly diversified ESG ETFs̵—as opposed to specific ESG types
(see Exhibit 104).
Exhibit 104: ESG ETFs
Source: First Bridge. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Charts are provided for illustrative purposes.
Domestic
International
Global
Equity ETF AUM
Domestic
InternationalGlobal
Fixed Income ETF AUM
Not ESG
ESG
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
ES
G
Cle
an E
nerg
y
Corp
ora
te G
overn
ance
Fa
ith B
ased
Low
Carb
on
Fo
otp
rin
t
Waste
Managem
ent
Sh
aria
h
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
ESG Type
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 58
APPENDIX 2: LINEAR REGRESSION
To model the growth of ETF AUM, we applied a linear regression to the data (see Exhibit 105).
Exhibit 105: Linear Regression of ln(ETF AUM)
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Based on the data, the following equation shows the trend of ETF AUM as a function of year.
ln(ETF AUM) = 0.1420 × Year − 262.5194
This model had a coefficient of determination of 96.33%. The coefficient of determination explains how
well the model explains the actual results. This value can range from 0% to 100%. A value of 0%
implies that the independent variable (year) cannot explain the dependent variable (AUM). A value of
100% implies that the model explains the dependent variable exactly. Using this model, we can
estimate future AUM, assuming the growth continues according to the historical trend.
We performed a similar exercise with the number of shares held by insurance companies (see Exhibit
106).
Exhibit 106: Linear Regression of ln(ETF Shares)
Source: NAIC via S&P Global Market Intelligence. Data as of Dec. 31, 2019. Chart is provided for illustrative purposes.
Based on the data, the following equation shows the trend of ETF shares as a function of year.
ln(ETF Shares) = 0.1167 × Year − 215.5730
This model has a coefficient of determination of 94.48%. We can use this model to estimate future
share growth, assuming growth continues according to its historical trend.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F A
UM
(U
SD
Bill
ions)
Actual Modeled
0
100
200
300
400
500
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
ET
F S
hare
s (
Mill
ions)
Actual Modeled
ETFs in Insurance General Accounts – 2020 May 2020
RESEARCH | Insurance 59
GENERAL DISCLAIMER
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