Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

21
the institute for employment stud Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets Nick Jagger

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Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets. Nick Jagger. Objectives. Establish a 2008 baseline for FE colleges using emandate Construct a reasonable 1999 baseline Establish the requirements to achieve differing levels of carbon reduction - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Page 1: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

the institute for employment studies

Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Nick Jagger

Page 2: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Objectives

Establish a 2008 baseline for FE colleges using emandate

Construct a reasonable 1999 baselineEstablish the requirements to achieve

differing levels of carbon reductionAdvise on elements of a carbon strategy

for the sectorAdvise on additional data collection

needed to monitor progress

Page 3: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Current CO2 Emissions by Source

Natural Gas 32.4%

Oil 4.1%

LPG 0.7%

Solid Fosil fuels 0.6%

Communal Non-electical Energy 0.7%Electricity 61.6%

Page 4: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Backcasting Assumptions

Scope 1 emissions largely driven by heat demand and in turn driven by age of building stock

Scope 2 emissions, from electricity, more variable●influenced by learner numbers●efficiency and number of electrical

appliances●carbon content of grid electricity

Page 5: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Backcasting Emissions

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Scope 1 Scope 2

Page 6: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Base Forecasting Assumptions

Scope 1 emissions continues to be driven by refurbishment and new build

Scope 2, electrical, emissions driven: ●by learner numbers, driven in turn by

demographics●increased electrical efficiency●grid decarbonisation

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Baseline Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity efficiency

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 8: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Baseline Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity efficiency

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 9: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Baseline Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity efficiency

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 10: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Baseline Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity efficiency

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 11: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Baseline Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity efficiency

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

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Further Options

Renewable/low carbon heat: ●solar thermal●biomass CHP●gas powered CHP●Anaerobic digester CHP

Renewable/low carbon electricity:●gains from CHP●wind and solar

Page 13: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

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Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 15: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

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Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 17: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

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Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

Page 19: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

Central Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Grid decarbonistion

Electricity from CHP

Electricity efficiency

Renewable heat

New build & refurb

Residual Scope 2

Residual Scope 1

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Reporting Options

Use eMandate to report energy usage and other emissions to be consistent with CRC and DECC requirements:●Scope 1: Gas, Oil, LPG, Coal, Biomass,

Vehicle fuels●Scope 2: Grid electricity●Scope 3: Mains Water, Waste to Landfill,

Waste to Recycling

Page 21: Establishing FE college emissions and potential targets

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