Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

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DAILY REPORT 26 th OCTOBER 2016 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 Global markets at a glance European shares turned lower after a strongly start on Tuesday, with Germany's DAX briefly touching a new peak for 2016, after sentiment was knocked by mixed earnings on Wall Street and in Europe. The pan-European STOXX 600 index ended down 0.4 percent. Germany's DAX ended flat after earlier touching a new peak for 2016 of 10,827.72 points. The German stock market outperformed after Ifo data showed that German business morale had improved unexpectedly in October, suggesting company executives have become more optimistic about the growth prospects for Europe's largest economy. But other parts of the mar- ket were more volatile. Italy's Banca Monte Paschi dei Siena ended 15 percent lower, having at one stage been 25 percent higher, after it announced a new strategic plan. Asian shares tumbled in early trade on Wednesday, follow- ing in the footsteps of Wall Street, which pulled back on disappointing earnings, while the dollar inched down from a seven-month high and oil prices slid. MSCI's broadest in- dex of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.3 percent. Japan's Nikkei lost 0.2 percent, while South Korea's KOSPI dropped 0.8 percent and Australia fell 1.4 percent. US stocks ended Tuesday down between 0.3 and 0.5 percent, as results and forecasts from companies in sectors includ- ing housing and consumer products missed expectations. The US declines followed a mixed performance in Europe, with British shares closing up 0.45 percent, Germany flat after hitting its highest level this year, and France down 0.3 percent. The broader European STOXX 600 fell 0.3 percent. Previous day Roundup Equity benchmarks erased some previous day's gains on Tuesday, with the Nifty slipping below 8700 level amid mixed set of earnings and ambiguity over Tata-Mistry issue. FMCG, IT, HDFC and Tata Group stocks kept the market in negative terrain. The 30-share BSE Sensex was down 87.66 points at 28091.42 and the 50-share NSE Nifty declined 17.65 points to 8691.30. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 58.44 pts], Capital Goods [down 79.33pts], PSU [down 22.27pts], FMCG [down 70.56 pts], Realty [down 3.78 pts], Power [down 1.69 pts], Auto [down 95.55pts], Healthcare [up 75.66pts], IT[down 86.18 pts], Metals [down 42.35 pts], TECK [down 31.43pts], Oil& Gas [down 59.13pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change DJI 18169.27 -0.30 S&P500 2143.16 -0.38 NASDAQ 5283.40 -0.50 FTSE100 70147.64 -0.45 NIKKEI 17331.49 -0.19 HANG SENG 23373.15 -0.81 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg ADANIPORTS 310.65 25 8.75 DRREDDY 3,198.00 108.75 3.52 INFRATEL 378.85 9.05 2.45 ASIANPAINT 1,153.15 25.65 2.27 ICICIBANK 290.30 5.75 2.02 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg TATASTEEL 414.75 -11.30 -2.65 M&M 1,304.00 -35.25 -2.63 IDEA 75.20 -1.20 -2.08 GAIL 435.00 -9.05 -2.04 HINDUNILVR 831.50 -16.85 -1.99 Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg AARTIIND 760.00 24.25 3.30 ABAN 277.30 -1.70 -0.61 ADANIPORTS 310.65 25.00 8.75 ADI 510.00 7.40 1.47 ADVENZYMES 2,359.00 61.90 2.69 AIFL 431.55 -2.85 -0.66 ALBERTDAVD 395.00 -2.70 -0.68 Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 8691.30 -17.65 -0.20 SENSEX 28091.42 -87.66 -0.31 Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg BIRLACOT 0.05 0.00 0.00 GROBTEA 247.00 -13.00 -5.00 KSERASERA 0.20 0.00 0.00

Transcript of Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

Page 1: Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

DAILY REPORT 26

th OCTOBER 2016

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

Global markets at a glance

European shares turned lower after a strongly start on Tuesday, with Germany's DAX briefly touching a new peak for 2016, after sentiment was knocked by mixed earnings on Wall Street and in Europe. The pan-European STOXX 600 index ended down 0.4 percent. Germany's DAX ended flat after earlier touching a new peak for 2016 of 10,827.72 points. The German stock market outperformed after Ifo data showed that German business morale had improved unexpectedly in October, suggesting company executives have become more optimistic about the growth prospects for Europe's largest economy. But other parts of the mar-ket were more volatile. Italy's Banca Monte Paschi dei Siena ended 15 percent lower, having at one stage been 25 percent higher, after it announced a new strategic plan.

Asian shares tumbled in early trade on Wednesday, follow-ing in the footsteps of Wall Street, which pulled back on disappointing earnings, while the dollar inched down from a seven-month high and oil prices slid. MSCI's broadest in-dex of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.3 percent. Japan's Nikkei lost 0.2 percent, while South Korea's KOSPI dropped 0.8 percent and Australia fell 1.4 percent. US stocks ended Tuesday down between 0.3 and 0.5 percent, as results and forecasts from companies in sectors includ-ing housing and consumer products missed expectations. The US declines followed a mixed performance in Europe, with British shares closing up 0.45 percent, Germany flat after hitting its highest level this year, and France down 0.3 percent. The broader European STOXX 600 fell 0.3 percent.

Previous day Roundup

Equity benchmarks erased some previous day's gains on Tuesday, with the Nifty slipping below 8700 level amid mixed set of earnings and ambiguity over Tata-Mistry issue. FMCG, IT, HDFC and Tata Group stocks kept the market in negative terrain. The 30-share BSE Sensex was down 87.66 points at 28091.42 and the 50-share NSE Nifty declined 17.65 points to 8691.30.

Index stats

The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 58.44 pts], Capital Goods [down 79.33pts], PSU [down 22.27pts], FMCG [down 70.56 pts], Realty [down 3.78 pts], Power [down 1.69 pts], Auto [down 95.55pts], Healthcare [up 75.66pts], IT[down 86.18 pts], Metals [down 42.35 pts], TECK [down 31.43pts], Oil& Gas [down 59.13pts].

World Indices

Index Value % Change

DJI 18169.27 -0.30

S&P500 2143.16 -0.38

NASDAQ 5283.40 -0.50

FTSE100 70147.64 -0.45

NIKKEI 17331.49 -0.19

HANG SENG 23373.15 -0.81

Top Gainers

Company CMP Change % Chg

ADANIPORTS 310.65 25 8.75

DRREDDY 3,198.00 108.75 3.52

INFRATEL 378.85 9.05 2.45

ASIANPAINT 1,153.15 25.65 2.27

ICICIBANK 290.30 5.75 2.02

Top Losers

Company CMP Change % Chg

TATASTEEL 414.75 -11.30 -2.65

M&M 1,304.00 -35.25 -2.63

IDEA 75.20 -1.20 -2.08

GAIL 435.00 -9.05 -2.04

HINDUNILVR 831.50 -16.85 -1.99

Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

AARTIIND 760.00 24.25 3.30

ABAN 277.30 -1.70 -0.61

ADANIPORTS 310.65 25.00 8.75

ADI 510.00 7.40 1.47

ADVENZYMES 2,359.00 61.90 2.69

AIFL 431.55 -2.85 -0.66

ALBERTDAVD 395.00 -2.70 -0.68

Indian Indices

Company CMP Change % Chg

NIFTY 8691.30 -17.65 -0.20

SENSEX 28091.42 -87.66 -0.31

Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

BIRLACOT 0.05 0.00 0.00

GROBTEA 247.00 -13.00 -5.00

KSERASERA 0.20 0.00 0.00

Page 2: Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

DAILY REPORT 26

th OCTOBER 2016

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STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]

INDIA CEMENTS [CASH]

On the daily chart the stock is forming double bottom pat-ter and is closed near breakout level with bullish candle-stick thus above 159.50 level the stock will give good up-side move also bullish movement is supported by positive RSI signal and high volume participation, thus its looking attractive to give upside targets of 161-164 with SL of 155.

MACRO NEWS

Results today: HUL, ITC, HDFC, Hero Motocorp, Dabur India, Jubilant Foodworks, Just Dial, Exide Ind, JSW En-ergy, Canara Bank, Syndicate Bank, Ajanta Pharma, Cadila Healthcare, Coromandel International, Cummins India, Dalmia Bharat, IIFL Holdings, Raymond, State Bank Of Travancore, Thomas Cook, Torrent Pharma

HDFC Bank Q2 profit rises 20% to Rs 3455cr, asset qual-ity stable

Poor sales in North America plunge Dr Reddy's Q2 profit; down 60% to Rs 31 cr

ICICI Pru Life Q2 net flat at Rs 419 cr

Kotak Mahindra Bank Q2 cons net up 28% at Rs 1202 cr

Arvind Ltd posts 20% jump in net profit at Rs 78 crore before exceptional items

Alembic Q2 net dips 58%to Rs 119 crore

Zydus Wellness Q2 Net up 10.2% to Rs 32 crore

Symphony Ltd reports 36.58% rise in standalone profit in Q2FY17

Thyrocare Tech Q2 net rises 22% at Rs 20.23 cr

Bharti Airtel Q2 profit seen down 28%, India volumes may decline

Arvind Ltd divests 10% in brand arm to Renuka Ram-nath's PE firm

Prudential Financial, Inc hikes stake to 49% in DHFL Pramerica Life Insurance

Axis Bank Q2 profit sinks 83% to Rs 319 cr, provisions up 5-fold

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]

1.M&M [FUTURE]

Last trading session M&M Future shown under pressure dur-ing the day. And break major support level with bearish can-dlestick on daily chart,while before last session stock it rose with rising OI in short side, we may seen sharp fall this stock ahead,we will advise to sell around 1313-1315 for the target of 1302-1290 with stop loss of 1325.

2.TVS MOTORS [FUTURE]

Last trading session TVSMOTOR future shown positive strength and crossed major resistance level and made a new 52 week high and ended above this level with bullish caldle-stick on daily chart and since last session it rose with rising OI in long side in next series of month. It’s indicate stock bullish ahead. So we may see sharp rise for that it will be good to buy around 401-402 for the target of 406-410 with SL of 397.

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DAILY REPORT 26

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FUTURES & OPTIONS

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION

Symbol Op-

tion

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY CE 8,700 37.35 4,22,437 43,06,200

NIFTY CE 8,800 6.85 3,77,631 60,57,900

NIFTY CE 8,900 1.25 2,63,421 42,19,050

ARVIND CE 400 8.00 9,137 11,40,000

DRREDDY CE 3,200 39.00 9,026 1,98,200

ARVIND CE 390 16.30 5,752 4,56,000

ICICIBANK CE 290 4.00 5,576 31,87,500

ADANIPORTS CE 300 13.20 5,549 8,67,500

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION

Symbol Op-

tion

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY PE 8,700 35.80 3,91,425 42,28,800

NIFTY PE 8,600 10.20 3,25,451 57,85,200

NIFTY PE 8,500 3.65 1,52,131 55,33,275

ICICIBANK PE 280 0.60 4,824 34,47,500

ARVIND PE 360 0.30 4,466 11,48,000

DRREDDY PE 3,000 3.80 4,218 1,90,400

ARVIND PE 350 0.20 4,027 12,08,000

DRREDDY PE 3,100 8.55 3,856 1,07,400

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS

BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY SELL

No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES 99004 6741.64 110682 7505.19 278263 18874.08 -763.56

INDEX OPTIONS 485207 34311.86 497882 35147.70 1152710 77022.93 -835.83

STOCK FUTURES 340208 23061.07 336771 22871.92 956904 64424.20 189.16

STOCK OPTIONS 92256 6661.71 93717 6744.91 127264 8752.15 -83.19

TOTAL -1493.43

STOCKS IN NEWS Tata Power to invest in renewable energy sector in

India Foodpanda raises close to Rs 10 crore from parent

Jade Gmbh Reliance Cap to list housing finance biz by April 2017 Bharti Q2 profit beats estimates at Rs 1461 cr, margin

expands further Indian economy can reach $6-8 trillion mark in 15 year RIL raises $573 mn loan for 6 large ethane carriers IDFC Bank Q2 profit soars over six times HUL Q2 profit may rise 7%, volume growth seen

around 3% NIFTY FUTURE

NIFTY in last trading session opened with bearish candle and made a low of 8661 it’s very strong support range and nifty future closed in red amid volatility with a bear-ish candlestick in daily chart. And since last session it rose with highest OI in 8700 call. It indicates nifty spot 8700 is major resistance. We may see sharp fall for that it will be good to sell below 8690 for the target of 8640-8580 with SL of 8750.

INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2

NIFTY 8751.60 8721.40 8692.40 8662.20 8633.20

BANKNIFTY 20033.00 19933.00 19822.00 19722.00 19611.00

Page 4: Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

DAILY REPORT 26

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COMMODITY ROUNDUP

Global oil demand will rise by 1.2 million barrels per day

(bpd) in 2017, compared with oil demand growth this year

of 1.8 million bpd, International Energy Agency (IEA) Execu-

tive Director Fatih Birol told reporters on Tuesday. Birol also

said he was expecting global oil markets to rebalance in the

second half of next year, unless there is a supply interven-

tion that raises prices and draws suppliers back into produc-

tion earlier than that. Organization of the Petroleum Export-

ing Countries (OPEC) members and other producers such as

Russia have been discussing for some months cooperation

on cutting back on crude supplies to support prices that are

still less than 50 per cent of levels two years ago.

Indian Copper prices charged higher as a bottom fishing

rally assisted the metal. The traders sitting on the sidelines

lashed onto the opportunity and took Copper away from a

very strong resistance zone of Rs 310. When last checked,

Copper exchanged hands at Rs 316.8 per kg, up 1.80%. From

a technical perspective, copper is consolidating in a sym-

metrical triangle pattern on COMEX. The pattern itself looks

suspiciously like a bear market consolidation before a move

down when viewed on a weekly chart.

COMEX Copper was trading at $ 2.13 per pound, up 1.86%.

In another news, Copper bulls might be tempted to place

buy orders after a protest at a Peruvian mine turned ugly

about 10 days ago. Las Bambas produced 35,000 tonnes of

the red metal in August, or almost a fifth of Peru's overall

output, official data shows. The operation is set to deliver

400,000 tonnes of copper per year during the first five years

of production

Gold rose today as a drop in the last session triggered some

bargain buying. The metal has from a two week high and

tested lows near $1260 per ounce levels amid sizable uptick

in equities and a firm undertone in US dollar. US stocks ral-

lied Monday following by a flurry of merger announce-

ments. Major averages have hit two-week highs following

the spurt. The commodity edged up today and currently

trades $1269 per ounce, 0.44% on the day. MCX Gold fu-

tures are trading at Rs 29825 per 10 grams, up 0.21% on the

day.

RECOMMENDATIONS

GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY GOLD ABOVE 29990 TGT 30090 30190 SL 29890

SELL GOLD BELOW 29880 TGT 29780 29580 SL 30080

SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY SILVER ABOVE 42600 TGT 42800 43400 SL 42400

SELL SILVER BELOW 41800 TGT 41700 41100 SL 42000

MCX

Page 5: Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

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th OCTOBER 2016

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NCDEX

NCDEX INDICES

Index Value % Change

BARLEY 1693.50 +1.04

CORIANDER 7300 +0.68

COTTON SEED 1920 +0.37

GUAR SEED 3447 -0.40

JEERA 17310 -0.55

MUSTARDSEED 4508 -0.66

SOYA BEAN 3098 -0.77

SUGAR M GRADE 3488 +0.26

TURMERIC 7192 -0.44

WHEAT 1901 +1.66

RECOMMENDATIONS

DHANIYA

BUY CORIANDER NOV ABOVE 7350 TARGET 7395 7495 SL

BELOW 7285

SELL CORIANDER NOV BELOW 7251 TARGET 7206 7106 SL

ABOVE 7316

GUARGUM

BUY GUARGUM5 NOV ABOVE 6515 TARGET 6565 6635 SL BELOW 6445

SELL GUARGUM5 NOV BELOW 6464 TARGET 6414 6344 SL ABOVE 6534

Not much buying was seen in turmeric market as prices shrugged off their morning gains and settled in red on the account of strong production estimates coupled with hefty carryover stocks in local mandies. The market sources stated that total production in the current year is estimated at 88-90 lakh bags against 60 lakh bags of the last year due to strong production in Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh. The total production in Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh is estimated at 27-28 lakh bags respectively. Moreover, heavy stocks of 26 lakh bags in local mandies against 17 lakh bags of the last year in the same period have also added selling pressure in turmeric market. The NCDEX October futures pared 0.30 percent to close Rs 7202 per quintal.

As per official data, the area under paddy in Andhra Pradesh has been progressively decreasing over the last few years. Paddy cultivation declined 10% in 2015-16 after dip-ping 7% in the previous year, mostly in coastal districts. The main reason is that farmers in coastal areas of India are abandoning rice cultivation and moving to farming (vannamei) shrimp. In Andhra Pradesh, the expansion of shrimp farming has triggered a boom that saw the state grab a 45% share of Indian seafood exports, which have escalated to USD 44.9 billion.

Cotton output in 2016-17 is likely to rise by 3.8 per cent in from a year ago due to a sharp increase in yield following a favourable monsoon. The Cotton Advisory Board in its meeting held on Monday estimated cotton output at 35.1 million bales of 170 kg each for the cotton year 2016-17 that started on October 1. The cotton output was 33.8 mil-lion bales in 2015-16. Area under Bt cotton has fallen from 10.68 mn hectares in 2015-16 to 8.61 mn h in 2016-17. There was an increase in the area under non-Bt cotton from 1.19 mn h in 2015-16 to 1.89 mn h in 2016-17.

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RBI Reference Rate

Currency Rate Currency Rate

Rupee- $ 66.877 Yen 64.060

Euro 72.789 GBP 81.771

CURRENCY

USD/INR

BUY USD/INR OCT ABOVE 66.9 TARGET 67.02 67.17 SL BE-

LOW 66.72

SELL USD/INR OCT BELOW 66.8 TARGET 66.68 66.53 SL

ABOVE 67

EUR/INR

BUY EUR/INR OCT ABOVE 72.9 TARGET 73.02 73.22 SL BE-

LOW 72.72

SELL EUR/INR OCT BELOW 72.74 TARGET 72.62 72.42 SL

ABOVE 72.94

CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:

The dollar took a breather in early Asia trading on Wednes-

day, but was still not far from a nearly nine-month peak

against a currency basket as expectations for a year-end

rate hike by the Federal Reserve remained intact. The dol-

lar index, which tracks the greenback against six major ri-

vals, stood at 98.721 after rising as high as 99.119 over-

night, its highest level since February 1. The US currency

has been held up by growing expectations the Fed is on

track to raise rates by year-end, and even a somewhat

weak consumer confidence reading did little to dent those

views. US data released on Tuesday by the Conference

Board showed the consumer confidence index dropped to

98.6 in October from a downwardly revised 103.5 in Sep-

tember.

The market was pricing in a greater than 78 percent chance

that the Fed would raise rates in December, according to

CME Group's FedWatch programme. Given the recent

strength of the US currency on a dollar index basis, "it will

be interesting to note whether the Fed makes any ac-

knowledgment of the amount of financial tightening that

has occurred through dollar strengthening," said Bill

Northey, chief investment officer of the private client

group at US Bank in Helena, Montana.

The euro was steady at USD 1.0886, after slipping to an

almost eight-month low of USD 1.0848 on Tuesday. Against

the yen, the dollar crept lower 0.1 percent to 104.13, down

from a roughly three-month high of 104.87 yen touched in

overnight US trading. Sterling, meanwhile, edged down 0.1

percent to USD 1.2177, pressured by comments from Bank

of England Governor Mark Carney. The governor cast

doubt on expectations for more monetary stimulus in

Europe, saying that the BoE would "undoubtedly" take

sterling's weakness into account at its rate-setting meeting

next week. Carney's comments helped send the pound to a

two-week low of USD 1.2082.

Page 7: Epic research special stock market report 26th oct 2016

DAILY REPORT 26

th OCTOBER 2016

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Date Commodity/ Currency

Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

25/10/16 NCDEX DHANIYA NOV. BUY 7270 7315-7415 7205 1ST TARGET

25/10/16 NCDEX DHANIYA NOV. SELL 7170 7125-7025 7235 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 NCDEX GUARGUM OCT. BUY 6595 6645-6715 6525 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 NCDEX GUARGUM OCT. SELL 6555 6505-6435 6625 1ST TARGET

25/10/16 MCX GOLD DEC. BUY 29980 30080-30180 29850 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 MCX GOLD DEC. SELL 29700 29600-29500 29800 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 MCX SILVER DEC. BUY 42580 42780-43380 42380 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 MCX SILVER DEC. SELL 42050 41850-41350 42250 NOT EXECUTED

Date Scrip

CASH/

FUTURE/

OPTION

Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

25/10/16 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 8650 8730-8800 8450 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 DHFL FUTURE SELL 326.50 323.50-320 333 OPEN

25/10/16 TATAMOTORS FUTURE SELL 560 565-570 554 NOT EXECUTED

25/10/16 MANALIPETRO CASH BUY 47.60 48.60-50 46 NOT EXECUTED

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NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

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TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS

FORECAST PREVIOUS

MONDAY, OCT. 24

8:30 AM CHICAGO FED NATIONAL ACTIVITY INDEX SEPT. -- -0.55

9:45 AM MARKIT PMI (FLASH) OCT. -- 51.5

TUESDAY, OCT. 25

9 AM CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX AUG. -- 5.1%

10 AM CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX OCT. -- 104.1

WEDNESDAY, OCT. 26

8:30 AM ADVANCE TRADE IN GOODS SEPT. -- -$58.4BLN

9:45 AM MARKIT SERVICES PMI (FLASH) OCT. -- 52.3

10 AM NEW HOME SALES SEPT. -- 609,000

THURSDAY, OCT. 27

8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 10/22 N/A N/A

8:30 AM DURABLE GOODS ORDERS SEPT. -- 0.1%

8:30 AM CORE CAPITAL GOODS ORDERS SEPT. -- 0.9%

10 AM PENDING HOME SALES INDEX SEPT. -- -2.4%

THURSDAY, OCT. 28

8:30 AM GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT Q3 2.8% 1.4%

8:30 AM EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX Q3 -- 0.6%

10 AM CONSUMER SENTIMENT OCT. -- 87.9