Environmental Protest and Policy Change in Korea
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Transcript of Environmental Protest and Policy Change in Korea
Environmental Protest and Policy Change in Korea
Sunhyuk KimDept of Public Administration, Korea Univ
Seongeun ChoInstitute of Governmental Studies, Korea Univ
Contents
Introduction
Theoretical Overview & Methodology
Analysis: Environmental Protest and Policy Change
Ⅰ
Ⅱ
Ⅲ
C ConclusionⅣ
Introduction
Environmental Governance ▪ Growth of environmental movement →Rethinking of the developmental paradigm →Considerable impact on policy, such as cancelling planned construction
Since 1990
Democratic Transition ▪ Relative attention to environmental issues.1987
Rapid Economic Development ▪ Policy of “growth-first, environmental degradation later” ▪ Absence of attention to the environment1960s-80sDemocratic
Transition (1987)
Environmental Governance
(1990-)
▣ Historical trajectory toward a environmental governance in South Korea
Introduction
To explain the relationship between environ-mental protests and policy changes
What effects did environmental protest have on the environmental policy? Which aspects of environmental protest led to environmental policy change?
Research questions
Aim of this research
Theoretical Overview & Methodology
1. Policy Change: A Theoretical Overview1) Determinants of policy change
Previous works
▪ have focused on institutional variables and policy entrepreneurs.
▪ however political and policy changes in Korea have been initiated and propelled by civic mobilization.
This research
▪ focuses on general public and civic groups.
Theoretical Overview & Methodology
1. Policy Change: A Theoretical Overview2) Social protest as a determinant of policy change
Previous works
▪ have been interested in the relationship between socialprotest and policy change
▪ however they have not yet reached a consensus onthe specific contents of which variables affect policy change
This research
▪focuses on different aspects of protest-scope, strategies and methods, the contents and number of demands/grievances, and analyzetheir effects on policy change.
Theoretical Overview & Methodology
2. The Dataset and Methodology1) Dataset: PEDAK(Protest Event Data Archive Korea)
▪ PEDAK is a database based on protest events that took place and were reported in newspapers between 1988 and 2007 in Korea.
▪ PEDAK collects the following data by analyzing and coding newspaper reports on post-transitional popular protests. -Number of protests per year -General measures of protest activities -Sociovocational category of protest participants -Repertoires of contention -Types and contents of protest goals, demands, grievances -Reactions to protest actions
Theoretical Overview & Methodology 2. The Dataset and Methodology2) Variables & Measurement
Variables Measurement
Dependentvariable Policy change No policy change, Policy modified, Policy changed
Independentvariables
Scope-Duration of protest-Number of protest participation
Strategy
Type Violent, Nonviolent but disruptive, Nondisruptive
Consistency/Continuity
No change, Original methods combined with new ones, Original methods replaced by new ones
Legality/Illegality
Legal(0), Illegal(1)
Participants SociovocationBlue-collar working, Unspecified, White-collar working
Demands ContentsEconomic, Political, Ecological , Economic/Politi-cal, Political/Ecological, Economic/Ecological, Economic/Political/Ecological
Number
Analysis: Simple Correlational Coefficients
Policy change
ScopeDuration .000Number of Participants .025
StrategyViolence -.059Consistency/Continuity .008Illegality -.197**
Participants Sociovocational Categories .153
Demands/Grievances
Contents
Political .058Economic .007Political/Ecological -.159*Economic/Ecological -.192*
Political/Economic/Ecological .100
Number .134
*p<0.1, **p<0.05, ***p<0.01
Analysis: Simple Correlational Coefficients
▣ DISCUSSION
Illegality of protest : Negatively correlated with policy change Contents of demand : Political or economic demands to ecological demands seem to be counterproductive in bringing policy change. Protest Scope: Positively correlated with policy change. Violent protest: Negatively correlated with policy change.
Analysis: Multiple Regression
Policy changeB(S.E) Beta
Constant .194(.822)
ScopeDuration -.105(.089) -.164Number of Participants .036(.069) .062
StrategyViolence .785(.439) .458Consistency/Continuity .109(.284) .047Illegality -1.278(.529)** -.613
Participants Sociovocational Categories .366(.198)* .225
Demands/Grievances
Contents
Political .125(.252) .068
Economic .109(.504) .027
Political/Ecological -1.455(.920) -.186
Economic/Ecological -1.311(.600)** -.328
Political/Economic/Ecological -.112(1.015) -.014Number .705(.350)** .287
F-ValueR2
1.733*0.264
Analysis: Multiple Regression
▣ DISCUSSION
R2 of model is 26.4%, Significance level is 0.1. Statistically significant variables: -Legality/illegality of the protest strategies :Illegal protest strategies are less likely to lead to policy change. -Economic/ecological demands/grievances : Ecological demands combined with economic demands seems to decrease the likelihood of policy change. -The number of demands/grievances : As the number of protest demands increase, likelihood of policy change increases.
Conclusion & Implication
Environmental policy change
Strategy
Demand/Grievances
Participants
Conclusion & Implication
▣ ConclusionEnvironmental policy change is significantly affected by protest strategies, demands/grievances, and not by protest scope.
▣ ImplicationIt is not the objective/absolute size of resource mobilization but the subjective/relative usage of strategies and framing of demands/grievances that are far more closely correlated with policy change.