Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions
Transcript of Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions
Clean Space industrial Days, October 25th 2017
Speaker: Augustin Chanoine, Deloitte Sustainability
Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions
Environmental impacts of launchers
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 2Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Outline
1. Context & objectives 2. Overview of calculation methodology3. Results4. Key methodological points5. Conclusions & recommendations
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 3Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Why study the environmental impacts of launchers?
Context
• Growing public awareness on the impacts of human activities on our ecosystem
• More and more stringent public environmental legislation & increasing public pressure
• ESA, as a public sector intergovernmental organisation, has put the environmental concern as a priority in all its activities
• The first step in this direction was a deeper analysis and understanding of the environmental aspects of space programmes. ESA wanted to get the know-how:
• to be more active in facing legislation on this topic, and
• to drive technical and scientific innovation in European space industry.
• Among all European space related activities, a particular attention needed to be paid on the environmental impacts of launchers since the launcher vehicles’ production and operation are core activities of the European space industry.
• First impression: launch event is the main contributor to the environmental impacts of a launcher… What does science say?
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 4Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Study objectives
• Main objectives:
1. To test the applicability and relevance of Life Cycle Assessment for the environmental analysis of space launchers
2. To better understand the environmental impacts of launchers (Ariane 5, Vega and Soyuz ST) and the sources of these impacts
3. To identify possible actions of environmental impacts mitigation
4. To set recommendations for further analysis and next steps of the environmental impact assessment of launchers
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Life Cycle Assessment is a comprehensive, objective and science-based methodology to assess the environmental footprint of a system over its life-cycle
Overview of calculation methodology
• LCA is a standardised approach (by ISO) which is:
• multi-step, assessing potential impacts of a product all along its whole life cycle
• multi-criteria, taking into account all environmental issues
• General principle: avoid burden shifting
• For the case of launchers: LCA needs to be complemented for the assessment of the atmospheric emissions during launch event
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 6Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Launcher integration
Launch base preparation
Fuelling
People transportation
Component & stage
transport
Component assembly Propellant and
consumables production
Stage production
Propellant burning
Stage disposal
Accompanying activities
Launch campaign
Production & assembly
Launch event
Qualification flights
R&D & Infrastructures
People transportation
Testing
Office work & travelling
Infrastructures
Mineral resource depletion
Energy consumption
Global warming
Ozone depletion
Air pollution
Water pollution
Disposal
R&D & infrastructures
Production & assembly
Launch campaign
Launch event
Life cycle breakdown
Overview of calculation methodology
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Satellite integration and final launcher
integration (BAF for A5)
Launch base preparation (incl. ground stations)
Fuelling
Launch Campaign
People travelling
Transport of the stages
Transport of the components
Production of the components
Production & Assembly
Stage assembly
Production of the propellants
Transport of the propellants
Propellant burning Stage disposal
Launch Event
R&D
Office work and travelling
Testing
Qualification flights
Infrastructures
Infrastructures
Satellite integration (EPCU)
Launcher integration (BIL for A5)
Accompanying activities
Stage production
Propellants & consumables production Transport
Accompanying activities
With some exceptionsMain contributors are stage production, propellants & consumables production and launch campaign…
LCA results of Ariane 5 ECA
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 8Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Launcher integration > Electricity consumption
Propellant burning > HCl emissions
EAP > MPS > CPN > stainless steel production >
Molybdenum production
EAP > MPS > CPP > Electricity and heat
consumption
EPC disposal > Nickel, ion emissions
UPG activities > Electricity
consumption
EAP > MPS > CPN > stainless steel production
> Molybdenum consumption
EAP > MPS > CPP > Natural gas consumption
during production
Ammonium perchlorate production > sodium chlorate production >
Cr VI emissions in water
Ammonium perchlorate production > Platinum
consumption
LH2 production > Methanol production >
natural gas consumption
Ammonium perchlorate production > sodium chlorate production > French electricity
consumption
Boat transport > SO2 and NOx
emissions
EAP > MPS > CPN > direct water consumptionEPC > Propulsion >
Vulcain 2 > French electricity for acceptance test
EPC > Propulsion > Vulcain 2 > French
electricity for acceptance test and
assembly
Ammonium perchlorate production > sodium chlorate production > water consumption
EAP > MPS > CPN > German
electricity mix
UPG activities > Electricity consumption >
NOx
Boat transport > NOx
emissions
Carbon footprint: first 10 contributors < 50% of total carbon footprint (CF) of Ariane 5: CF distributed homogeneously among numerous contributors => many improvement areas
LCA results of Ariane 5 ECA
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Material production
Energy consumption
Transport
8,7%
6,5%6,2%
5,7%
5,1%
4,1%
3,5%
2,9%
2,4% 2,3%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
5,0%
6,0%
7,0%
8,0%
9,0%
10,0%
Electricity production <
Solid propellant
at UPG
Electricity consumption <
Launcher
integration (Arianespace)
GHG emissions < Boat transport
Electricity consumption <
Launch base
preparation (CNES)
Aluminium production <
aluminium
powder production
Electricity consumption < LH2 production
Electricity consumption at MT < MPS -CPN
< EAP
Electricity consumption
for LN2
production < Consumables
production
Methanol production <
LH2 production
Electricity and heat
consumption at
Avio, Colleferro < MPS -CPP <
EAP
First contributors to total Ariane 5 impacts for Global Warming PotentialFU: 1 launch of Ariane 5 ECA
Energy consumption: same contributors and ranking as for the carbon footprint, except activities in metropolitan France and French Guiana
LCA results of Ariane 5 ECA
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 10Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Material production
Energy consumption
Transport6,3%6,1%
5,3%
4,7%
4,2%4,0% 3,9%
3,7%
3,0%2,8%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
5,0%
6,0%
7,0%
Electricity production <
Solid propellant
at UPG
Sodium chlorate production < ammonium
perchlorate production
Methanol production <
LH2 production
Electricity consumption <
Launcher
integration (Arianespace)
Electricity consumption <
Launch base
preparation (CNES)
Aluminium production <
aluminium
powder production
Electricity consumption at
Astrium, Les
Mureaux < EPC assembly < EPC
Boat transport Electricity consumption < LH2 production
Electricity consumption at
SNECMA,
Vernon < propulsion -
Vulcain 2 acceptance
tests < EPC
First contributors to total Ariane 5 impacts for Primary Energy ConsumptionFU: 1 launch of Ariane 5 ECA
47% renewable primary energy(Guianese mix)
4% renewable primary energy(French mix)
This is a typical example of why a
multi-criteria analysis is important
Focus on stage production
LCA results of Ariane 5 ECA
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 11Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mass breakdown
Global Warming Potential
Photochemical Oxidant Formation Potential
Ozone Depletion Potential
Air Acidification Potential
Marine Ecotoxicity Potential
Human Toxicity Potential
Freshwater Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential
Metal Depletion Potential
Abiotic Depletion Potential
Primary Energy Consumption Potential
Gross Water Consumption Potential
Freshwater Eutrophication Potential
Marine Eutrophication Potential
Ionising Radiation Potential
Environmental impacts of Ariane 5 ECA - Stage productionFU: 1 launch of Ariane 5 ECA
EAP production EPC production ESC-A production VEB production Upper section production
EAP and EPC production: most impacting sub-steps for all environmental impacts: 85-90% of the total impacts of stage production
For Metal Depletion, the mass breakdown gives a relatively good idea of the contribution of each stage but for the other indicators this “rule of thumb” does not reflect reality: EPC more impacting than EAP while 15% (vs. 75%) dry mass
Focus on propellants & consumables production
LCA results of Ariane 5 ECA
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 12Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Mass breakdown (quantities loaded in the launcher)
Mass breakdown (quantities produced)
Global Warming Potential
Photochemical Oxidant Formation Potential
Ozone Depletion Potential
Air Acidification Potential
Marine Ecotoxicity Potential
Human Toxicity Potential
Freshwater Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential
Metal Depletion Potential
Abiotic Depletion Potential
Primary Energy Consumption Potential
Gross Water Consumption Potential
Freshwater Eutrophication Potential
Marine Eutrophication Potential
Ionising Radiation Potential
Environmental impacts of Ariane 5 ECA - Propellants & Consumables productionFU: 1 launch of Ariane 5 ECA
Solid propellant production LOX production LH2 production Consumables production
• Mass breakdown of quantities of propellants produced per launch: not representative of breakdown of impacts
• Notably because huge amount of N2 produced in CSG (for ground facilities mainly)
• N2 production impacts are low:
produced from air distillation, which requires only a relatively small amount of electricity (15x less than H2
from methanol) Elec. from the
network in Guiana (with a high % of hydro)
What about R&D & infrastructures? Difficult to assess: data accessibility and allocation
LCA results of Ariane 5 ECA
R&D and infrastructures could be an important issue, to be further analysed in the future
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 14Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
R&D
ScopeDue to limited data availability, only R&D office work (no testing and qualification activities) and carbon footprint
DataNumber of man.years for the development of A5: provided by ESACarbon footprint of R&D centre used as a proxy for impact of 1 man.year
Results60 A5 launches:
R&D office work = 45% of CF of 1 launch= production & assembly
100 A5 launches:R&D office work = 33% of CF of 1 launch
Infrastructures
Scope
All infrastructures included in the assessment
Data
• Specific infrastructures @CSG
• W/o specific data for Production & Assembly,
infrastructures of car manufacturing used as a lower
limit for dry mass
Results
200 Ariane launches:
Infrastructures = 5% of A5 carbon footprint
= 25% of A5 metal depletion
Key methodological points
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 15Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
First LCA of space launchers: no prior knowledge of the environmental hotspots
1. Iterative approach (4 iterations for A5):• LCA model refined progressively, prioritising on
the main hotspots
2. In-depth review:• Independent review performed by external LCA
expert to ensure LCA compliant w/ ISO standards
• Internal review by ESA experts to check data and assumptions on space-specific activities
3. In-depth analysis of the robustness of the model:• Data quality assessment• Sensitivity analyses on input parameters with
high uncertainty• Uncertainty analysis
Low level of availability of data representative of the space sector• Specific materials, manufacturing &
assembly processes• Specific production chain: little
recurrent production
Intensive data collection process on most space-specific activities:
• More than 40 companies contacted • 15 participated in data collection
Methodology
Data
Industry has a major role to play!
Focus on industry data collection
Key methodological points
• More than 40 companies contacted
• 15 participated in data collection
• Data collected on all parts of the launchers
• Several types of data collected:
• Consumptions:
− Raw materials
− Water
− Energy
− Auxiliary materials
• Emissions:
− Waste of raw materials
− Waste of auxiliary materials
− Specific emissions: in air, in water, in ground
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 16Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Avio, Europropulsion,MT Aerospace, SPS,
Regulus, Alpoco
EAP
EPC
Air Liquide (Kourou et Sassenage),
Astrium (FR), Astrium (GER), Cryospace, MT
Aerospace, Snecma, Volvo
ESC-A
Air Liquide (Kourou et Sassenage), Astrium (GER), Cryospace, MT Aerospace, Snecma
VEB
Fairing
Ruag
Astrium (GER)
Sylda 5
Astrium (FR)
Ariane 5 ECA double launch
Analysis of the robustness of the model
Key methodological points
1. Data quality assessment
2. Sensitivity analyses
3. Uncertainty analysis
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 17Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
How?Assessment of representativeness, precision and completeness of each individual input data (scoring of quality from 1 to 3)
What for?Shows the weaknesses of the input dataset (and priorities for improvement)
How?Assesses results sensitivity to the variation of one key parameter/assumption (all other key parameters are kept constant)
What for?Shows the relative importance of the choice of one specific key parameter/assumption
How?Assesses the uncertainty of the outputs by propagating the uncertainty of the input data (all data vary at the same time)Monte-Carlo analysis
What for?Shows the overall robustness of the outputs
Which parameters were tested through sensitivity analysis?
Key methodological points
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 18Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Launcher(s) Sensitivity analysis Main results
A5 / Vega Rejection rate for metallic parts Metal depletion: increase of 15% of rejection rate > 13% (8.5%) of increase of stage production impact for A5 (Vega)
A5 / Vega Emissions during manufacturing processes of metallic parts
Not critical for the LCA of launchers
A5 / Vega Emissions during the production of hydrazine
Not critical for the LCA of launchers
A5 / Vega People travelling during Production & Assembly
~10% of launchers carbon footprint
A5 / Vega Losses during solid propellant precursors production
Key parameter!
Vega Use rate of ground stations Significant influence on Launch Campaign, not the total impacts of the launcher
Soyuz ST Energy efficiency of Russian processes
Results are sensitive to this assumption (it only impacts dry-mass production)
Soyuz ST Electricity mix for aluminium production
No sensitivity, mainly because impacts stem from component manufacturing steps, not aluminium production
Soyuz ST Use of CFC-113 ODP highly sensitive (almost only CFC plays a role)
Uncertainty analysis is key to understand the robustness of the model
Key methodological points
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 19Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300%
Global Warming Potential
Photochemical Oxidant Formation Potential
Ozone Depletion Potential
Air Acidification Potential
Marine Ecotoxicity Potential
Human Toxicity Potential
Freshwater Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential
Metal Depletion Potential
Abiotic Depletion Potential
Freshwater Eutrophication Potential
Marine Eutrophication Potential
Ionising Radiation Potential
Primary Energy Consumption Potential
Water Depletion Potential
Results of uncertainty analysis on LCA results of Ariane 5
Conclusions & recommendations (1/2)
• Life Cycle Assessment proved to be both applicable and relevant for the study of the environmental performance of launchers
• The study allowed ESA to have an in-depth understanding of the environmental hotspots and impact sources of launchers, and areas where more focus should be put
• Having robust industry data is key. At the same time, industry can get much benefit from inititiating an LCA approach:
• To communicate results and approach to clients
• To gain knowledge on the environmental impacts of products
• To identify mitigation measures (e.g. ISO14001:2015)
• From a methodological standpoint, LCA is the first step towards an ecodesign approach
• LCA increasingly becoming a standard tool in industry, e.g. Product Environmental Footprint initiative of the European Commission
• The life-cycle approach could even be mandatory in the future, so anticipating this a wise choice
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 20Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Conclusions & recommendations (2/2)
Recommendations for future work:
• Most of the data on manufacturing processes, materials and propellants not specific to space
Need to develop a space-specific LCA database
• In this LCA:
− More robust calculation needed for ozone depletion (Al2O3 and chlorine)
− Effect of H2O, O3 and Al2O3 on global warming was excluded from the scope: only the GWP of carbon compounds (CO2 and CO), which has a lower level of uncertainty, is included.
In-depth study needed on impact of atmospheric emissions
• W/o precise knowledge of the toxic impact of falling launcher stages, a crude model was used
In-depth study also needed on this particular aspect
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 21Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Thank you for your attention!
Any questions?
Contact:
Augustin [email protected]+33 1 55 61 68 85
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 22Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Environmental impacts of space missions
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 23Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Outline
1. Context2. Objectives3. Scope4. Results5. Key methodological points6. Conclusions
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 24Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Launchers are only a part of space programmes
Context
• ESA wanted to extend the use of LCA to whole space projects:
• To foster technical and scientific innovation by integrating environment as a decision criterion in the design of space missions
• (possibly) to allow the comparison with other sectors
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 25Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
From launchers… … To space missions
To provide ESA with the necessary tools to design future space missions in a more environmentally friendly way
Objective of the project:
• In this presentation, we will focus on step 2. You are welcome to the presentation of the eco-design tool (step 3) this afternoon
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 26Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
• To assess the environmental impacts of space projects
2 case studies selected:
• To develop and test the LCA methodology for space projects to be implemented in the tool
Earth observation Communication
1. Scoping
2. Pilot Life-Cycle Assessments
3. Development of eco-design tool
• To better understand the technical specificities of space projects• To analyse the state-of-the-art in terms of environmental analysis of such
systems
Phases Objectives
• To develop an enhanced software tool and database adapted to space projects, to be integrated in the Open Concurrent Design Tool (OCDT) at ESA’s Concurrent Design Facility (CDF), ESTEC
The entire life-cycle of space missions was covered
Scope of the assessment
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 27Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
A + BFeasibility +
Preliminary definition
Office work and travelling
C + DDetailed definition
+ Qualification and production AIT
Office work and travelling
Production
FDisposal Re-entry
E2Utilisation
phaseRoutine phase
Payload + TT&C
E1Launch and
commissioning Launch campaign Launch
Ground Stations,Control centres
Design facilities
Infrastructures
Production and testing facilities
CSG
Control centres (Flight and
payload data)
Ground stations (Flight and payload
data)
Where do the impacts come from? > Breakdown per life cycle step
Results of the LCA of space missions
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 29Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Energy consumption for the operation of the buildings (CC,
GS)
Energy consumption for the operation of
the buildings(Design facilities)
All impacts related to launcher (production,
launch campaign, launch event)
EO mission
What is the impact ratio between the S/C and the launcher?
Results of the LCA of space missions
• Mass ratios:
• EO: The dry mass of the S/C is about 1% of launcher’s liftoff mass (1.4 t vs. 137 t)
• Com: the dry mass of the S/C is about 0.3% of launcher’s liftoff mass (2.2 t vs. 780 t)
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EO mission
EO mission Com mission
Com mission
EO: phase C+D accounts for 20 to 40% (even 100% for mineral depletion potential) while dry mass of the spacecraft ~ 1% of Vega liftoff mass
Results of the LCA of space missions
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 31Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Sentinel 3 dry mass Vega liftoff mass
t
Vega liftoffmass
EM, QM,STM
FM
Spacecraft dry mass
137t
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
1,4
1,6
Sentinel 3 dry mass
t
EM, QM, STM
FM
Spacecraft dry mass
This is due to:• Different composition• Several S/C built for testing purposes• More office work & travelling
Focus on phase C+D: while office work is the main contributor to phase C+D, spacecraft components also contribute significantly to some impact categories
Results of the LCA of space missions
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 32Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Environmental impacts of Earth observation missionFocus on phase C+D
Use of germanium in Solar cells
Energy consumption (both electricity and
natural gas) consumed in the buildings
Production of electronic components
What are the key findings?
Results of the LCA of space missions
• Launcher-related activities (phase E1b): main contributor to most environmental impacts of space missions.
• Other life-cycle steps also have significant contributions to the environmental impacts:
• Definition, qualification and production of the spacecraft (phase C+D)(raw material extraction, production, testing and transport of S/C models, office work and business travels):
• main contributor on mineral resource depletion, due to the use of scarce materials.
• Office work: also important contributor within this phase, due to the energy consumption of design buildings (office work)
• The utilisation phase (phase E2), which covers ground segment activities performed during the routine phase, is also a major contributor on certain indicators, due to the electricity consumption of:
• either control centres (case of the EO mission), or
• ground stations for broadcast (case of the communication mission).
• Feasibility + Preliminary definition (phase A+B) is also an significant contributor to the impacts of space missions.
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 33Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Main challenges and how we addressed them
Key methodological points
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 34Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
First LCAs covering the entire life-cycle of space missions: no prior knowledge of the environmental hotspots
Iterative approach (4 iterations):The LCA model was refined progressively, prioritising on the main hotspots
Low level of availability of data representative of the space sector• Specific materials, manufacturing &
assembly processes• Specific production chain: little recurrent
production, almost “handmade”!
Collaboration with numerous experts (ESA and external):e.g. definition of a “technical mapping”: identification of the existing technological alternatives for each life-cycle step and subsystem of the spacecraft
Methodology
Data
Industry has a major role to play!
How to populate an LCA database representative of a wide variety of space missions?As many activities as possible had to be covered
In parallel, ESA launched of a project dedicated to the development of an enhanced environmental database on space-specific activities (materials, processes and propellants)
Model philosophy for the EO mission
Key methodological points
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 35Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
SLSTR
MWR
SRAL
OLCI
STM
Platform
Satellite
FMEM EQM PFMP
aylo
adSM
Production of structure & thermal elements
Production of electronics elements
Production of the full equipment
Test of equimpent
Conclusions
• Life Cycle Assessment is a relevant and efficient method for assessing the environmental performance of space activities: space launchers and space missions.
• The quality of environmental footprinting results (and thus the robustness of eco-design choices) will be improved with the development of the environmental database specific to the space sector.
• Data quality can be improved with the implication of industry
• LCA is applicable to the entire life-cycle of a space mission in a cost-effective way!
• LCA can be used for the eco-design of space activities and can help anticipate future clients’ requests, stakeholders’ expectations and future environmental legislation
> Please come to the presentation of the eco-design tool this afternoon!
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 36Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
Thank you for your attention!
Any questions?
Contact:
Augustin [email protected]+33 1 55 61 68 85
© 2017 Deloitte Conseil 37Environmental impacts of launchers and space missions - Clean Space Industrial Days, 2017
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