Environment and sustainable development in the Baltic Sea regionEnvironment and sustainable development in the Baltic Sea region

VidZ1000

Doc. Jānis Za ļoksnis

WHAT LIVING HAS BEEN PROVIDED FOR US IN 1900

Today's technology development it is so fast that it can be argued that we are already living in the future. But it hasn’t been always. So it is interesting to look what future was foresaw for

the people who lived 100 years ago. One of these “prophet” was a French artist Jean - Marc Kote with card series “Life in 2000”.

Electric brush, which itself cleaning the floor. This prediction is true now.

The farmer only using the buttons, but the mechanized units harvesting cereals.

For our time was intendedvery undergrown helicopters.

How convenient if the whole house is running on wheels !

Something unthinkable, is not it ?

Russian " Nostradamus “, proved to be very innovative - they provided devices at the same time will be able to transmit both

sound and image !

Books contained information is feed in by wire into the brain. Isn’t it the dream of each student ?

Sustainable Sustainable developmentdevelopment

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CLIMATE CHANGESCLIMATE CHANGES

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CLIMATE CHANGESCLIMATE CHANGES

Ships emission clouds at the US east coast from spa ce

Sustainable development

scenario

Technological

POSSIBLE CLIMATE CHANGES IN FUTUREPOSSIBLE CLIMATE CHANGES IN FUTURE

Technological progress scenario

“Bussiness as usual” scenario

oC

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PROVED FACTS…PROVED FACTS…

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Information

Date: 29 Nov.–10 Dec. 2010

Location: Cancún, Mexico

Participants: UNFCCC member countries

Date:28 November 2011 –11 December 2011

Location: Durban, South Africa

Webpage cop17-cmp7durban.com

10 million Facebook likes

for continuation of the

Kyoto protocol up to 2020

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(Warsaw, 23 November 2013) The UN Climate Change Co nference in Warsaw ended on Saturday, keeping governments on a track towards a universal climate agreement in 2015 and including significant new decisions tha t will cut emissions from deforestation and on loss and damage.

The Club of RomeThe Club of Rome

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Hans-Peter Durr (1929), German physicist Mikhail Gorbatchev (1931) , former President of the USSR

Ernesto Zedillo, former president of MexicoDr. Bohdan Hawrylyshyn (1926) – Chairman, International Management Institute – Kyiv, Ukraine

Mugur Isarescu (1949), the Governor of the National Bank of Romania Erich Jantsch, author of Technological Forecasting (†)

Derrick de Kerckhove, author of “The Skin of Culture and Connected Intelligence” Vaclav Havel (†), former President of the Czech Republic

Alexandr King (†), founder of the Club of RomeMax Kohnstamm (Netherlands), former Secretary General of the Europen Coal and Steel Community (†)

Queen Beatrix of the NetherlandsDavid Korten , author of the “Agenda for a New Economy”

Dennis Meadows , author of the “Limits to Growth”Donella Meadows (†) , author of the “Limits to Growth”

Mihajlo D. Mesarovic, UNESCO Scientific Advisor on Global change

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Mihajlo D. Mesarovic, UNESCO Scientific Advisor on Global changeGeorge P. Mitchell , American businessman, real estate developer and philanthropist

Aurelio Peccei (†), founder of the Club of RomeJohn R. Platt (†), American physicist and biophysicist

Jean Saint-Geours , Ministry of Finance in Paris Hugo Thiemann (†), Swiss founding member

Jacques Delors , former President of the European CommissionPierre Elliott Trudeau (†), former prime minister of Canada

Robert Uffen (†), Canadian research geophysicist Koichiro Matsuura , Japan, Director General of the UNESCO

Frederic Vester (†), German biochemist,and an expert in the field of ecologyIvo Slaus , Croatian nuclear, member of the Board of Trustees of World Academy of Art & Science

B.F.Paton , President of the Natiobnal Academy of Sciences of UkraineManmonah Singh , Prime minister ot the Republic of India

Wangari Maathai , founder of the Green Belt Movement, recipient of the Nobel PrizeMahdi Elmandjra , Morroccan futurist, economist and sociologist

Prince Hassan bin Talal , JordaniaJuan Carlos I , King of Spain

Prince Phillipe , Crown Prince of Belgium

Club of Rome Global Assembly 2009Club of Rome Global Assembly 2009

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Amsterdam DeclarationAmsterdam Declarationof the Global Assembly of the Club of Romeof the Global Assembly of the Club of Rome

…The goals of concerted international climate action must be:to adopt, at the UN Climate Conference in Copenhagen, legally

binding agreements that will initiate immediate action to

achieve a stable climate with

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achieve a stable climate with

atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 not exceeding 350 ppm

…

Dr. Dr. DennisDennis MeadowsMeadowsDennis Meadows (born June 7, 1942) is an American Dennis Meadows (born June 7, 1942) is an American

scientist and Emeritus Professor of Systems scientist and Emeritus Professor of Systems Management, and former director of the Institute for Management, and former director of the Institute for Policy and Social Science Research at the University of Policy and Social Science Research at the University of New Hampshire. New Hampshire.

Dennis Meadows Dennis Meadows isis widely known as the cowidely known as the co--author of author of ““The The Limits to GrowthLimits to Growth””..

He started working at the faculty of the Massachusetts He started working at the faculty of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in the late 1960s. Institute of Technology in the late 1960s.

From 1970 to 1972 at MIT he was director of the "Club of From 1970 to 1972 at MIT he was director of the "Club of Rome Project on the Predicament of Mankind".Rome Project on the Predicament of Mankind".

He has facilitated workshops and developed innovative and He has facilitated workshops and developed innovative and complex strategic games all over the world for decades. complex strategic games all over the world for decades. complex strategic games all over the world for decades. complex strategic games all over the world for decades.

In addition, Dr. Meadows has lectured in over 50 countries, In addition, Dr. Meadows has lectured in over 50 countries, also in Latvia.also in Latvia.

He is the Past President of the International System He is the Past President of the International System Dynamics Society and the International Simulation and Dynamics Society and the International Simulation and Games Association.Games Association.

He has been a corporate board member and a consultant for He has been a corporate board member and a consultant for government, industry and nongovernment, industry and non--profit groups in the U.S. profit groups in the U.S. and many countries abroad. and many countries abroad.

He coHe co--founded the Balaton Group, a network of ca. 300 founded the Balaton Group, a network of ca. 300 professionals in over 30 nations involved in systems professionals in over 30 nations involved in systems science, public policy and sustainable development. science, public policy and sustainable development.

He has received numerous international awards for his work, He has received numerous international awards for his work, including the Japan Prize in April 2009.including the Japan Prize in April 2009.

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Scenario for world developmentScenario for world development

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WORLD POPULATIONWORLD POPULATION

212121

Mechanism of feedback POPULATION; INDUSTRIAL CAPITAL

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TENDENCIES OF WORLD POPULATIONTENDENCIES OF WORLD POPULATION

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Population of the World, billions

No. Country 1990 2008 2025*

1. China 1,141 1,333 1,458

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1. China 1,141 1,333 1,458

2. India 0,849 1,140 1,398

3. USA 0,250 0,304 0,352

4. Indonesia 0,178 0,228 0,273

5. Brazil 0,150 0,192 0,223

6. Pakistan 0,108 0,166 0,226

7. Bangladesh 0,116 0,160 0,198

8. Nigeria 0,094 0,151 0,208

9. Russia 0,148 0,142 0,137

10. Japan 0,124 0,128 0,126

World, total 5,265 6,688 8,004

Oil resources

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World oil reservesWorld oil reserves

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Rate of the world consumption of natural gas

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2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250

No. CountryNatural gas approved

stocks, m³% of total

in the World

NATURAL GAS

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stocks, m³ in the WorldWorld , total 300,000,000,000,000 100%

1. Russia 55,000,000,000,000 18,3%2. Iran 33,500,000,000,000 11,1%3. Turkmenistan 26,200,000,000,000 8,73%4. Quatar 25,470,000,000,000 8,5%5. USA 9,000,000,000,000 3,0%6. Saudi Arabia 8,200,000,000,000 2,73%7. Azerbaijan 6,071,000,000,000 2,02%8. Venecuela 5,524,500,000,000 1,84%9. Nigeria 5,246,000,000,000 1,75%10. Algeria 4,502,000,000,000 1,37%

WORLD FORESTS

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Exploitation of forestsExploitation of forests

Costa Rica Latvia 30

Oxidazingsubstance

Irritant(kairinoša) substance

Combustible orflammablesubstance

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substance substance

Toxicsubstance

Dangerous forenvironment

Pungent(kodīga)

substance

Eexplosivesubstance

Environmental pollutionEnvironmental pollution andand healthhealth

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Sustainable developmentSustainable development

“Sustainable development “Sustainable development meets the needs of the meets the needs of the

present generations present generations present generations present generations without compromising without compromising

the ability of future the ability of future generations to meet their generations to meet their

own needs."own needs."

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1987Gro Harlem Bruntland

DEVELOPMENT NEEDED FOR THE WORLDDEVELOPMENT NEEDED FOR THE WORLD

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Sustainable Development Strategy of Latvia up to 20 30.Sustainable Development Strategy of Latvia up to 20 30.

In the 20th century Latvia had several great intent ions - establishment of an independent country and its reconstruction, integra tion into the European

Union and to the NATO. Now these plans have been ful filled, and the time has come to decide on what kind of Latvia do we want ou r children and the next

generations to live

Key principles of the strategy are happy people in a prosperous country, sustainable and healthy way of life, creative and t olerant society, cooperation-

based competitiveness and country as a "fastability " partner.based competitiveness and country as a "fastability " partner.

Then four development scenarios were elaborated and discussed in five regional forums. Based on this stage, now the first draft of the strategy is

being developed.

After approval in the parliament (Saeima), the strate gy became the main planning document of the country with legal force. All other strategic planning

documents will be developed or modified according to the directions and priorities set out in this strategy.

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The World history in 12 hours. Now is 11:59:59

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RADIOACTIVE SUBSTANCESRADIOACTIVE SUBSTANCES

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Maria SklodowskaMaria Sklodowska--CurieCurie

Antoine Henri BecquerelAntoine Henri Becquerel

Nuclear Nuclear weaponsweapons

A nuclear weapon is an explosive device that derives its destructive force from nuclear reaction, either fission. Both reactions release vast quantities of energy from relatively small amounts of matter.

The first fission ("atomic") bomb test released the same amount of energy as approximately 20,000 tons of TNT. The first

thermonuclear ("hydrogen") bomb test released the same amount of energy as approximately 10,000,000 tons of TNT.

A modern thermonuclear weapon weighing little more than 1.100 kg can produce an explosive force comparable to the detonation of more than 1.2 million tons (1.1 million metric tons) of TNT. Thus, even a small nuclear device no larger than traditional bombs can

devastate an entire city by blast, fire and radiation. Nuclear weapons are considered weapons of mass destruction, and

their use control has been a major focus of international relations policy since their debut.

Only two nuclear weapons have been used in the course of warfare, both by the United States near the end of World War II. On 6 August 1945, a uranium gun-type device code-named “Little Boy"

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6 August 1945, a uranium gun-type device code-named “Little Boy" was detonated over the Japanese city of Hiroshima.

Three days later, on 9 August, a plutonium implosion-type device code-named “Fat Man" was exploded over Nagasaki, Japan. These two bombings resulted in the deaths of approximately

200,000 Japanese people—mostly civilians—from acute injuries sustained from the explosions.

Only a few nations possess such weapons or are suspected of seeking them. The only countries known to have detonated nuclear weapons—and that acknowledge possessing such weapons—are the United States, the Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, and North Korea. In addition, Israel is also widely

believed to possess nuclear weapons, though it does not acknowledge having them.

Radiation sensitivity of the different Radiation sensitivity of the different speciesspecies

Species LD50 Species LD50

Sheep 1,5 – 2,5 Gy Rabbits 9,0 – 10,0 Gy

Dogs 2,5 – 3,0 Gy Birds 8,0 – 20,0 Gy

People 2,5 – 5,5 Gy Fishes 8,0 – 20,0 Gy

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People 2,5 – 5,5 Gy Fishes 8,0 – 20,0 Gy

Monkeys 2,5 – 6,0 Gy Insects 10,0 – 100,0 Gy

Mousses 6,0 – 15,0 Gy Snakes 8,.0 –200,0 Gy

Rats 7,0 – 9,0 Gy Plants 10,0 –1500,0 Gy

Principles of the nuclear reactorPrinciples of the nuclear reactor

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The Chernobyl disaster was a nuclear accident that occurred on 26 April 1986 at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant in Ukraine. It is considered the worst nuclear power plant accident in history, and is one of only two classified as a level 7 event on the International Nuclear Event Scale (the other being is the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster). The battle to contain the contamination and avert a greater catastrophe ultimately involved over 500,000 workers and cost an estimated 18 billion rubles, crippling the Soviet economy.

CHERNOBYL DISASTER

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FORMATION OF THE OZONE HOLESFORMATION OF THE OZONE HOLES

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DOCUMENTS ABOUT ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOP MENTDOCUMENTS ABOUT ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOP MENT

LISBON TREATYTITLE I

COMMON PROVISIONS ...

Article B

The Union shall set itself the following objectives:

to promote economic and social progress which is balanced and

sustainable

Stockholm (1972 )- United Nations Conference on the Human Environment

United Nations Environmental and Development commission– „Our Common Future”

Rio De Janeiro (1992)

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sustainable

UN Decade on Education for SustainableDevelopment (2005-2014)

Rio De Janeiro (1992)-United Nations Conference on the Environmental and Development

- Rio+20

COUNCIL OFCOUNCIL OFTTHE EUROPEAN UNIONHE EUROPEAN UNION

Brussels, 26 June 2006Brussels, 26 June 200610917/0610917/06

From: General Secretariat

To: Delegations of MS of the EU

Subject: Review of the EU Sustainable Development Strategy (EU SDS) Renewed Strategy

KEY CHALLENGESKEY CHALLENGESClimate Change and clean energyTo limit climate change and its costs and negative effects to society and the environment

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To limit climate change and its costs and negative effects to society and the environment Sustainable TransportTo ensure that our transport systems meet society’s economic, social and environmental needs whilst minimising their undesirable impacts on the economy, society and the environmentSustainable consumption and productionTo promote sustainable consumption and production patterns Conservation and management of natural resourcesTo improve management and avoid overexploitation of natural resources, recognising the value of ecosystem services Public HealthTo promote good public health on equal conditions and improve protection against health threatsSocial inclusion, demography and migrationTo create a socially inclusive society by taking into account solidarity between and within generations and to secure and increase the quality of life of citizens as a precondition for lasting individual well-beingGlobal poverty and sustainable development challengesTo actively promote sustainable development worldwide and ensure that the European Union’s internal and external policies are consistent with global sustainable development and its international commitments

EU EnvironmentalEnvironmentalCommissionerCommissioner

EU Climate limate CommissionerCommissioner

Connie Hedegaard

EU DevelopmentDevelopmentCommissionerCommissioner

Andris Piebalgs

Commissioners of the EUCommissioners of the EU

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Karmenu Vella, Malta Environment, maritime affairs

and fishery

Miguel Arias Cañete, Spain Climate changes and energy

Neven Mimica, Horv ātijaInternational cooperation and

development

CommissionerCommissionerJanez Poto čnik

ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT AND ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT AND SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTIONSUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION

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WORLD MAP BY ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT OF THE WORLD MAP BY ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT OF THE COUNTRIESCOUNTRIES

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People are using resources and ecosystem’s services from different countries of the world. Their ecological footprint is the sum of these different territories ,

independently of their home country. Largest ecolog ical footprint is for US, China and India. Largest ecological footprint per person is in US, but in China and India it

is three times smaller comparing with word’s averag e ecological footprint.

PUBLIC DISCUSSION ON THE INTERNET PUBLIC DISCUSSION ON THE INTERNET PORTAL IN THE LATVIAPORTAL IN THE LATVIA

www.politika.lvwww.politika.lv

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WATER USE FOR THE ONE CUP OF COFFE

Coffe-Latte

COVERWATER

SUGARCUP

208 litres/cup

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PACKAGINGCOFFE

ENERGY

= 1 litre

SUGAR

142.8 litres

MILK