Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis Yet another measure of investment...

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Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis Yet another measure of investment worth Many consider rate of return more intuitive (15% vs NPW of $10,000) Agenda concepts calculation development of an internal rate of return criterion comparison of mutually exclusive alternatives based on rate of return

Transcript of Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis Yet another measure of investment...

Page 1: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis Yet another measure of investment

worth Many consider rate of return more

intuitive (15% vs NPW of $10,000)

Agenda concepts calculation development of an internal rate of return

criterion comparison of mutually exclusive

alternatives based on rate of return

Page 2: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Return on Investment (def #1)

Definition 1 - interest rate earned on the unpaid balance of an amortized loan

Bank lends $10,000 - you pay $4021 at end of each year for 3 years

$10,000 = $4021(P/A,i,3)

solve for i, i = 10%

so, the three annual payments repay the loan and provide a return of 10% on the outstanding balance

Page 3: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Return on Investment (def #2)

the breakeven interest rate, i*, which equates PW of outflows to inflows

i* = rate of interest that PW, FW, and AE all equal 0.

Page 4: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Return on Investment (def #3)

invested capital interest rate charged on the

unrecovered project balance of the investment (so the unrecovered balance equals zero.)

Frequently referred to as IRR (internal rate of return)

kind of a payback period with time value of money (can payback costs and provide the firm with a return of i)

Page 5: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

How to do it (simple vs nonsimple) simple - only one sign change in net cash

flow nonsimple - more than one sign change

table in example 6.1

fig 6.1

Page 6: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

How to do it (methods of finding i*)

direct solution - only for very simple simple problems

trial and error

computer solutions

Page 7: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

methods of finding i* - trial and error just example 6.3

Page 8: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

IRR Criterion - Relationship to PW

fig 6.1 a 6.1 b

Page 9: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Good or bad?

If IRR > MARR, accept

If IRR = MARR, indifferent

If IRR < MARR, reject

single project only!!!!! not comparing alternatives

Page 10: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

IRR Criterion - Accept/Reject for Simple

Example 6.5 draw the cash flow diagram determine sign change (simple) set up with factors PW(i) = -1,250,000 + 731,500(P/A,i,15) + 80,000(P/F,i,15) = 0

trial and error PW(50%) = -1,250,000 + 731,500(P/A,i,15) + 80,000(P/F,i,15) =

209,842 PW(60%) = -1,250,000 + 731,500(P/A,i,15) + 80,000(P/F,i,15) = -

31,822

i=58.71%

accept IRR > MARR

Page 11: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

IRR Criterion -Accept/Reject for nonsimple

figure 6.5

Page 12: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Mutually Exclusive Alternatives Flaws!

cannot rank projects using IRR IRR is relative, NPW, FW, and AE are

absolute! to compare, need to do IRR

incrementally!

table on page 317

Page 13: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Good or bad? to compare, a new rule If IRRB-A > MARR, select B

If IRRB-A = MARR, indifferent, select either one

If IRRB-A < MARR, select A

B is the more costly investment option

don’t forget “do nothing” alternative

Page 14: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

example 6.7

comments

table through a and b

Page 15: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

example 6.8, 6.9, and 6.10

Page 16: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

Incremental Borrowing Approach If BRRB-A < MARR, select B

If BRRB-A = MARR, indifferent, select either one

If BRRB-A > MARR, select A

B is the least costly investment option

is it cheaper than our own money?

Page 17: Engineering Economy IEN255 Chapter 6 - Rate of Return Analysis  Yet another measure of investment worth  Many consider rate of return more intuitive.

Engineering Economy

IEN255 Summer’99 Chapter 6 HW#3

Homework Assignment:Chapter 6#’s 6.1; 6.5; 6.7a,c; 6.11; 6.20; 6.28

Due with chapter 7 homework (likely Tues July 13)