Energy Vision 2050 Harry Lehmann -...

Energy Vision 2050 - Green Week 2009 - Harry Lehmann

Energy Vision 2050

Harry Lehmann

Source: Harry Lehmann, 1994


Energy Vision 2050

Harry Lehmann

Source: Harry Lehmann, 1994Use of resources (60-80 tons cap and year)Landuse (100 ha/per day)

1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 2025

20

40

60

80

100

120

Oilproduc

20

40

60

80

100

120Legend

Transition EconomiesAfricaLatin AmericaMiddle EastEast AsiaSouth AsiaChinaOECD PacificOECD EuropeOECD North America

WEO 2006

OECD North America

Middle East

Transition Economies

2006

Africa

OECD Europa

Latin America

East AsiaChina


Energy System based on renewable Sources


Energy System based on renewable Sources

EfficiencyDemand ManagementSupply Management


Germany



German Bundestag Enquete - LT Scenarios - 2050

Reg / Ren Offensive (100%) - IER

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

1998 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Prim

ären

ergi

ever

brau

ch in

PJ

Importsaldo Stromsonst. Erneuerbare, H2Wasser-/Windkraft, Photovolt.KernenergieNaturgaseMineralöleBraunkohlenSteinkohlen


UBA Long Term Scenarios - Electricity

20002005201020152020202520302035204020452050

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

33

55

80

108

134152

182

212

244

272

307 ImportREGPhotovoltaikWind, einschl.Off-shoreGeothermieBiomasse,BiogaseLaufwasser

200200201201202202203203204204205

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

33

53

76

100117

127141

151162 169 175

St

Uba-2\strosze.pre; 18.12.01

Effizienzszenario Nachhaltigkeitsszenario

Stromerzeugung aus erneuerbaren Energien

Quelle : DLR und Wuppertal Institut


UBA Long Term Scenarios

Langfristige Entwicklungstendenzen von REN und REG

1999 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 21000

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

Endenergi

REG -"NACH-HALTIGKEIT"

REG"MAXIMAL"

UBA-2/vision2.pre; 7.2.02

Referenz (Enquete)

Effizienz

Nachhaltigkeit

Status Quo


UBA LT Scenarios


1999 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 21000

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

Endenergi


REG"MAXIMAL"


Referenz (Enquete)

Effizienz

Nachhaltigkeit

Status QuoEfficiency

Renewables


UBA LT Scenarios


1999 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 21000

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

Endenergi


REG"MAXIMAL"


Referenz (Enquete)

Effizienz

Nachhaltigkeit

Status QuoEfficiency

Renewables

100%Renewable Supply


Europe


LTI Scenarios Europe - 100%

Source: LTI Group - Lehmann et.al.


LTI Scenarios Europe - 100%

Efficiency

Renewables

100%Renewable Supply


Quelle : LTI Research und H.Lehmann et. al. 1996 und 1998

LTI Scenarios Europe - 2050 - 100%


EURO-MED

possible further interconnections

SolarWindHydroGeothermal

Biomass

Gas pipelines used for Hydrogen

Trans Med Renewable Energy Coll. - TREC


Renewable Energy Outlook 2030

World



Renewable Energy Outlook 2030 High

Stefan Peter, Harry Lehmann)www.solarmissionpossible.info


Dynamic

of a 100% Systemor

Does

it

work

?


Japan

Hokuriku

ChubuShikoku

エナジー・リッチ・ジャパン

Energy Supply in the ERJ Scenarios

Source: ERJ, [email protected]


Results: Week 3


Source: ERJ, [email protected]


Costs



100% is possible !

Contact: [email protected]


Info:

www.umweltbundesamt.de

www.solarmissionpossible.info

http://www.solarmissionpossible.info


Thank you.

100% is possible !

Contact: [email protected]


Info:

www.umweltbundesamt.de

www.solarmissionpossible.info

http://www.solarmissionpossible.info

Energy Vision 2050 Harry Lehmann -...

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