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"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust1
Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings
Marc [email protected]
---Research group on Building Physics, Construction & Climate Control
Department of Architecture & Urban Planning (va&s) // Faculty of Engineering and Architecture
Ghent University (UGent)VITO
Ph.D.-Fellow, FWO-VITO-scholarship( Prof. A. Janssens [UGent], Yves Deweerdt [Vito] )
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust
[background – problem]
ENERGY USE in DWELLINGS
75%space
heating
EPB … EPC ... EAP
Standardised calculation modelsVery fast calculation
Ease of use
...widely spread, used, known
+compulsory
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust3
boundary conditions3. exterior4. interior
CALCULATED ENERGY USE
building1. envelope2. techniques
1
3
4
2
default values + detailed overrides
standardized average
! interacting
user behaviour !
qualitative quantitative√ X
default valuesstandardized average
[background – problem]
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust4
100%
75%
50%
25%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
mea
sure
d: Q
H,re
al [k
Wh/
(m².
a)]
calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]
CS1_EPBD CS3_EPBD
theoretical gain
real gain ?
energy use: heating
[background – problem]
??
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust5
a comprehensive approachon complementary case-studies
buildings
users
performance
measurements
surveys
models
reality
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust6
a comprehensive approachon complementary case-studies
Different houses:• clusters of nearly identical houses• different clusters: neighbourhoods
buildings users
Different households• within a neighbourhood• between neighbourhoods
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust7
[building – user – performance]
different housesmeasurements
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust8
different ways of living and thinking
Who?households & individuals
How?use & interaction
Happy?appreciation & aspirations
Why?
Do they know?...
What if?
[building – user – performance]
surveys
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust9
0.0
0.1
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1.0
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00:00
bedr. 1 bedr. 2 bedr. 3 bathroom kitchen living room
Probability of opening a window
surveys
[building – user – performance]
0.0
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bedrooms bathroom kitchen living room
Probability of heating
user + building = interaction in space & time
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust10
100%
75%
50%
25%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
mea
sure
d: Q
H,re
al [k
Wh/
(m².
a)]
calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]
CS1_EPBD
100%
75%
50%
25%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
mea
sure
d: Q
H,re
al [k
Wh/
(m².
a)]
calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]
CS1_EPBD EPBD_adapted
100%
75%
50%
25%
y = 0.5939x - 0.3125R² = 0.5621
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
mea
sure
d: Q
H,re
al [k
Wh/
(m².
a)]
calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]
CS1_EPBD 8-zone Linear (8-zone)
+
100%
75%
50%
25%
y = 0.7158x + 2.5044R² = 0.6369
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
mea
sure
d: Q
H,re
al [k
Wh/
(m².
a)]
calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]
CS1_EPBD 8-zone detail Linear (8-zone detail)
+
[building + user = performance]
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust11
[conclusions & challenges]
importance of user behaviour
… but don’t blame the user for everything
• complex human beings• comfort expectation• living interaction• evolving reality• …
• models: • uncertainties: model + input• applicability: label <> real energy use• practicality: work + calculation time, …• validation: different houses & users
100%
75%
50%
25%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
mea
sure
d: Q
H,r
eal [k
Wh/
(m².
a)]
calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]
CS1_EPBD CS3_EPBD
"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)
Marc Delghust12
Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings
Marc [email protected]
---Research group on Building Physics, Construction & Climate Control
Department of Architecture & Urban Planning (va&s) // Faculty of Engineering and Architecture
Ghent University (UGent)
Ph.D.-Fellow, FWO-VITO-scholarship( Prof. A. Janssens [UGent], Yves Deweerdt [Vito] )