"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in...

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"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1 Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings Marc Delghust [email protected] --- Research group on Building Physics, Construction & Climate Control Department of Architecture & Urban Planning (va&s) // Faculty of Engineering and Architecture Ghent University (UGent) VITO Ph.D.-Fellow, FWO-VITO-scholarship ( Prof. A. Janssens [UGent], Yves Deweerdt [Vito] )

Transcript of "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in...

Page 1: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust1

Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings

Marc [email protected]

---Research group on Building Physics, Construction & Climate Control

Department of Architecture & Urban Planning (va&s) // Faculty of Engineering and Architecture

Ghent University (UGent)VITO

Ph.D.-Fellow, FWO-VITO-scholarship( Prof. A. Janssens [UGent], Yves Deweerdt [Vito] )

Page 2: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust

[background – problem]

ENERGY USE in DWELLINGS

75%space

heating

EPB … EPC ... EAP

Standardised calculation modelsVery fast calculation

Ease of use

...widely spread, used, known

+compulsory

Page 3: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust3

boundary conditions3. exterior4. interior

CALCULATED ENERGY USE

building1. envelope2. techniques

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default values + detailed overrides

standardized average

! interacting

user behaviour !

qualitative quantitative√ X

default valuesstandardized average

[background – problem]

Page 4: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust4

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sure

d: Q

H,re

al [k

Wh/

(m².

a)]

calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]

CS1_EPBD CS3_EPBD

theoretical gain

real gain ?

energy use: heating

[background – problem]

??

Page 5: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust5

a comprehensive approachon complementary case-studies

buildings

users

performance

measurements

surveys

models

reality

Page 6: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust6

a comprehensive approachon complementary case-studies

Different houses:• clusters of nearly identical houses• different clusters: neighbourhoods

buildings users

Different households• within a neighbourhood• between neighbourhoods

Page 7: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust7

[building – user – performance]

different housesmeasurements

Page 8: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust8

different ways of living and thinking

Who?households & individuals

How?use & interaction

Happy?appreciation & aspirations

Why?

Do they know?...

What if?

[building – user – performance]

surveys

Page 9: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust9

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bedr. 1 bedr. 2 bedr. 3 bathroom kitchen living room

Probability of opening a window

surveys

[building – user – performance]

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bedrooms bathroom kitchen living room

Probability of heating

user + building = interaction in space & time

Page 10: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust10

100%

75%

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25%

0

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0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

mea

sure

d: Q

H,re

al [k

Wh/

(m².

a)]

calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]

CS1_EPBD

100%

75%

50%

25%

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mea

sure

d: Q

H,re

al [k

Wh/

(m².

a)]

calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]

CS1_EPBD EPBD_adapted

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y = 0.5939x - 0.3125R² = 0.5621

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mea

sure

d: Q

H,re

al [k

Wh/

(m².

a)]

calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]

CS1_EPBD 8-zone Linear (8-zone)

+

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y = 0.7158x + 2.5044R² = 0.6369

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mea

sure

d: Q

H,re

al [k

Wh/

(m².

a)]

calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]

CS1_EPBD 8-zone detail Linear (8-zone detail)

+

[building + user = performance]

Page 11: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust11

[conclusions & challenges]

importance of user behaviour

… but don’t blame the user for everything

• complex human beings• comfort expectation• living interaction• evolving reality• …

• models: • uncertainties: model + input• applicability: label <> real energy use• practicality: work + calculation time, …• validation: different houses & users

100%

75%

50%

25%

0

50

100

150

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300

350

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0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

mea

sure

d: Q

H,r

eal [k

Wh/

(m².

a)]

calculated: QH,model [kWh/(m².a)]

CS1_EPBD CS3_EPBD

Page 12: "Energy renovation and occupant behaviour: towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012) Marc Delghust 1.

"Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings” (FEA-PhD-symp. 05/12/2012)

Marc Delghust12

Energy renovation and occupant behaviour:towards a correct prediction of real energy savings in dwellings

Marc [email protected]

---Research group on Building Physics, Construction & Climate Control

Department of Architecture & Urban Planning (va&s) // Faculty of Engineering and Architecture

Ghent University (UGent)

Ph.D.-Fellow, FWO-VITO-scholarship( Prof. A. Janssens [UGent], Yves Deweerdt [Vito] )