Energy Efficiency: an essential Strategy to address ...€¦ · Energy efficiency policies are...

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Energy Efficiency: an essential Strategy to address Climate Change Primera Jornada Nacional de Eficiencia Energética Buenos-Aires, 16 December 2016 Benoit LEBOT, Executive Director

Transcript of Energy Efficiency: an essential Strategy to address ...€¦ · Energy efficiency policies are...

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Energy Efficiency: an essential Strategy to address Climate Change

Primera Jornada Nacional de Eficiencia Energética Buenos-Aires, 16 December 2016

Benoit LEBOT, Executive Director

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18%

1%

8%

14%

59%

Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions

CH4

N2O F Gas

CO2

From Combustion

CO2

From LUCF

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1900 2000

Population Energy

X 4

X 16

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Ranking of the Warmest Years observed since 1880 (Ranked from the hottest record)

Source l’Union of Concerned Scientists (1) http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science/recordtemp2005.html

1 2015 11 2007

2 2014 12 2004

3 2010 13 2012 3 2005 14 2011 5 1998 15 2006 6 2013 16 2001 7 2003 17 2008 8 2002 18 1997 9 2006 19 1990

10 2009 20 1995

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Source: James Hansen & al « A better Graph » September 2016

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Possible Evolution of Earth Average

Temperature over the next century

2000 2100

+5°C

+2°C

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http://www.gouvernement.fr/cop21-fierte-et-responsabilite-une-victoire-pour-la-planete-3490

Context for Action: Paris Agreement

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2007 2050

Today World

Average South

4.2 tCO2eq/Cap

North 16.1 tCO2eq/Cap

2050

Target

50%

Global

Emissions

CO2/Cap/year • In the north, - 80% in emissions

•In the south, - 20% in emissions

2020

Pathway towards a 2°C Global Warming

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1

2

3

4

Today

Tomorrow

Four wedges for a low carbon development

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Note: estimates don’t include non-technical options such as lifestyle changes

All sectors and all regions have the potential to contribute

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Global energy-related CO2 emissions abatement in the 450 Scenario

20 22

24 26

28 30

32 34

36 38

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Gt

450 Scenario

New Policies Scenario

CO2 abatement 2020 2035

Activity 2% 2%

End-use efficiency 18% 13%

Power plant efficiency 3% 2%

Electricity savings 50% 27%

Fuel and technology

switching in end-uses 2% 3%

Renewables 15% 23%

Biofuels 2% 4%

Nuclear 5% 8%

CCS 4% 17%

Total (Gt CO2) 3.1 15.0

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2012

End-use efficiency

Electricity savings

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Energy Efficiency #1 in GHG Mitigation

*Source: IEA (2015) WEO Special Report on Energy and Climate Change

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*Source: IEA (2015) WEO Special Report on Energy and Climate Change

Energy Efficiency #1 in GHG Mitigation

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Energy efficiency potential remains untapped

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Industry Transport Power generation

Buildings

Realised energy efficiency potential

Unrealised energy efficiency potential

Two-thirds of the profitable investments to improve energy efficiency remain untapped in the period to 2035

Energy efficiency potential used by sector in the WEO 2012 New Policies Scenario

Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook

2012

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Share of global mandatory efficiency regulation of final energy consumption

Energy efficiency policies are introduced in more countries and sectors; they continue to slow demand growth but more can be done

10%

20%

30%

40%

2005 2014 2040

Industry Steam boilers Process heat Motors

Buildings Heating/Cooling Lighting/Appliances

Transport Cars Trucks Ships

Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2015

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…and the $ $ $ needed

*Source: IEA (2014) WEO

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18 http://www.ipeec.org/

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IPEEC Members are Major Economies

Australia

Brazil

Canada

European Union

France

Germany

India

Italy

Japan

Mexico

China

Republic of Korea

Russian Federation

South Africa

United Kingdom

United States of America

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IPEEC Member Countries weight >75% of World Energy Consumption

Global Energy Consumption (Source: IPEEI)

Rest of world, 2887

China, 3041

USA, 2201

EU, 817

India, 751 Russia, 702

Japan, 450

Germany

Brazil

South Korea France

Canada UK

Mexico Italy South Africa Australia

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IPEEC’s Vision

A world where key national policy makers view energy efficiency (EE) as a resource and implement cost effective policies to promote it.

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G20 Energy Efficiency Leading Programme

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© OECD/IEA 2016

Energy Efficiency – The 1st Fuel

*IEA-11: Australia, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden,

United Kingdom, United States

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008

Mto

e

Savings

Oil

Gas

Coal

Electricity

Other

Total Final

Consumption

Hypothetical energy use

had there been no

energy efficiency

improvements

Source: IEA, Energy Efficiency Market Report 2014

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EE

Security

Health

Jobs,

Productivity

Quality

Environment

Optimisation of Capital

Multiple Benefits of Energy Efficiency

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Energy Efficiency needs access to:

1. Information 2. Technologies 3. Know how 4. Finance

Vision Dedicated Staff

Work Plan

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Ingredients of an ideal EE policy package 1

• National Policy Framework (EE law);

• Dedicated human resources (institutions or existing departments);

• Dedicated financial resources;

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Ingredients of an ideal EE policy package 2

• Energy Efficiency is not only an energy policy

• Set level playing field (market price for energy, ruling utilities)

• EE needs time and lots of patience… 27

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• Energy efficiency requires and consumes lots of data

• Significant investments is needed in data collection and analysis (setting the baseline)

• Governments to set metrics, data collection channels…

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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 3

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• Energy bills reduction is just one of the benefits of energy efficiency

• Metrics & data collection to assess non energy benefits

• Energy Efficiency Targets

• Monitor progress: EE indicators

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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 4

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• Minimum Energy performance standards on equipment, systems & buildings

• Labeling, rating, certification, codes

• New construction & existing buildings

• Include energy in land use & urban development

Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 5

GIS, ITC, Big Data, BIM = great opportunities

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European Car Label

G

C

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• Utility programs (DSM)

• Engage the finance community

• Set financial/fiscal measures

• MRV & Inspection scheme

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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 6

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• Permanent communication on all levels

• Mainstream EE in all line Ministries

• Good balance between National & Local implementation (experiment).

• When appropriate, line up with international or regional dynamics.

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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 7

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Conclusion: EE no longer an option

• All levels to be mobilized, in all economies;

• Significant public $ is necessary on EE fundamentals, but returns are high

• Green Climate Funds could finance EE

• National versus local: experiment, validate, raise EE ambition

• International Cooperation can enhance the deployment of Energy Efficiency.

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Thank You E-mail: [email protected]

Tel: +33 (0)1 40 57 67 89 www.ipeec.org/EEFTG

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