CLEAResult CEO 2014 Keynote: Energy Efficiency: More than Impacts
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Energy Efficiency: an essential Strategy to address Climate Change
Primera Jornada Nacional de Eficiencia Energética Buenos-Aires, 16 December 2016
Benoit LEBOT, Executive Director
18%
1%
8%
14%
59%
Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions
CH4
N2O F Gas
CO2
From Combustion
CO2
From LUCF
1900 2000
Population Energy
X 4
X 16
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Ranking of the Warmest Years observed since 1880 (Ranked from the hottest record)
Source l’Union of Concerned Scientists (1) http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science/recordtemp2005.html
1 2015 11 2007
2 2014 12 2004
3 2010 13 2012 3 2005 14 2011 5 1998 15 2006 6 2013 16 2001 7 2003 17 2008 8 2002 18 1997 9 2006 19 1990
10 2009 20 1995
Source: James Hansen & al « A better Graph » September 2016
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Possible Evolution of Earth Average
Temperature over the next century
2000 2100
+5°C
+2°C
http://www.gouvernement.fr/cop21-fierte-et-responsabilite-une-victoire-pour-la-planete-3490
Context for Action: Paris Agreement
2007 2050
Today World
Average South
4.2 tCO2eq/Cap
North 16.1 tCO2eq/Cap
2050
Target
50%
Global
Emissions
CO2/Cap/year • In the north, - 80% in emissions
•In the south, - 20% in emissions
2020
Pathway towards a 2°C Global Warming
1
2
3
4
Today
Tomorrow
Four wedges for a low carbon development
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Note: estimates don’t include non-technical options such as lifestyle changes
All sectors and all regions have the potential to contribute
Global energy-related CO2 emissions abatement in the 450 Scenario
20 22
24 26
28 30
32 34
36 38
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Gt
450 Scenario
New Policies Scenario
CO2 abatement 2020 2035
Activity 2% 2%
End-use efficiency 18% 13%
Power plant efficiency 3% 2%
Electricity savings 50% 27%
Fuel and technology
switching in end-uses 2% 3%
Renewables 15% 23%
Biofuels 2% 4%
Nuclear 5% 8%
CCS 4% 17%
Total (Gt CO2) 3.1 15.0
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2012
End-use efficiency
Electricity savings
Energy Efficiency #1 in GHG Mitigation
*Source: IEA (2015) WEO Special Report on Energy and Climate Change
*Source: IEA (2015) WEO Special Report on Energy and Climate Change
Energy Efficiency #1 in GHG Mitigation
Energy efficiency potential remains untapped
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Industry Transport Power generation
Buildings
Realised energy efficiency potential
Unrealised energy efficiency potential
Two-thirds of the profitable investments to improve energy efficiency remain untapped in the period to 2035
Energy efficiency potential used by sector in the WEO 2012 New Policies Scenario
Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook
2012
Share of global mandatory efficiency regulation of final energy consumption
Energy efficiency policies are introduced in more countries and sectors; they continue to slow demand growth but more can be done
10%
20%
30%
40%
2005 2014 2040
Industry Steam boilers Process heat Motors
Buildings Heating/Cooling Lighting/Appliances
Transport Cars Trucks Ships
Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2015
…and the $ $ $ needed
*Source: IEA (2014) WEO
18 http://www.ipeec.org/
IPEEC Members are Major Economies
Australia
Brazil
Canada
European Union
France
Germany
India
Italy
Japan
Mexico
China
Republic of Korea
Russian Federation
South Africa
United Kingdom
United States of America
IPEEC Member Countries weight >75% of World Energy Consumption
Global Energy Consumption (Source: IPEEI)
Rest of world, 2887
China, 3041
USA, 2201
EU, 817
India, 751 Russia, 702
Japan, 450
Germany
Brazil
South Korea France
Canada UK
Mexico Italy South Africa Australia
IPEEC’s Vision
A world where key national policy makers view energy efficiency (EE) as a resource and implement cost effective policies to promote it.
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G20 Energy Efficiency Leading Programme
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© OECD/IEA 2016
Energy Efficiency – The 1st Fuel
*IEA-11: Australia, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden,
United Kingdom, United States
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
Mto
e
Savings
Oil
Gas
Coal
Electricity
Other
Total Final
Consumption
Hypothetical energy use
had there been no
energy efficiency
improvements
Source: IEA, Energy Efficiency Market Report 2014
EE
Security
Health
Jobs,
Productivity
Quality
Environment
Optimisation of Capital
Multiple Benefits of Energy Efficiency
Energy Efficiency needs access to:
1. Information 2. Technologies 3. Know how 4. Finance
Vision Dedicated Staff
Work Plan
Ingredients of an ideal EE policy package 1
• National Policy Framework (EE law);
• Dedicated human resources (institutions or existing departments);
• Dedicated financial resources;
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Ingredients of an ideal EE policy package 2
• Energy Efficiency is not only an energy policy
• Set level playing field (market price for energy, ruling utilities)
• EE needs time and lots of patience… 27
• Energy efficiency requires and consumes lots of data
• Significant investments is needed in data collection and analysis (setting the baseline)
• Governments to set metrics, data collection channels…
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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 3
• Energy bills reduction is just one of the benefits of energy efficiency
• Metrics & data collection to assess non energy benefits
• Energy Efficiency Targets
• Monitor progress: EE indicators
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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 4
• Minimum Energy performance standards on equipment, systems & buildings
• Labeling, rating, certification, codes
• New construction & existing buildings
• Include energy in land use & urban development
Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 5
GIS, ITC, Big Data, BIM = great opportunities
European Car Label
G
C
• Utility programs (DSM)
• Engage the finance community
• Set financial/fiscal measures
• MRV & Inspection scheme
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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 6
• Permanent communication on all levels
• Mainstream EE in all line Ministries
• Good balance between National & Local implementation (experiment).
• When appropriate, line up with international or regional dynamics.
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Ingredients for a ideal EE policy package 7
Conclusion: EE no longer an option
• All levels to be mobilized, in all economies;
• Significant public $ is necessary on EE fundamentals, but returns are high
• Green Climate Funds could finance EE
• National versus local: experiment, validate, raise EE ambition
• International Cooperation can enhance the deployment of Energy Efficiency.
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