South Asia-Central Asia regional Connectivity: Prospects ...
ENERGY CONNECTIVITY IN SOUTH ASIA
Transcript of ENERGY CONNECTIVITY IN SOUTH ASIA
ENERGY CONNECTIVITY IN SOUTH ASIA: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
SANJAY KUMARExecutive Dircetor, Climate Parliament
SOUTH ASIA: A REGION OF HIGH POVERTY, BUT STABLE GROWTH
NUMBER AND PERCENTAGE OF POOR PEOPLE
Electrification Rate
Mil. People without Electric
HVDC Links & Interconnections
SEASONAL COMPLEMENTARITY IN POWER SYSTEMS IN SOUTH ASIA – MONTHLY ELECTRICITY LOAD PROFILES ACROSS SOUTH ASIAN GRIDSTIMILSINA ET AL 2015
BASELINE INSTALLED GENERATION CAPACITY (GW)
CUMULATIVE CHANGE IN TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY RELATIVE TO REGIONAL COOPERATION AND TRADE OVER THE 2015-2040 PERIOD, BY COUNTRY (GW)
Cumulative Change In Total Installed Capacity Relative To Baseline With RegionalCooperation And Trade Over The 2015-2040 Period, By Type Of Generation Technology (GW)
Change In Cumulative Costs From The Baseline Due To Regional Trade Over The 2015- 2040 Period (Billion US$)
PERCENTAGE SHARE OF FUEL (BY TYPE) AND CHANGES
Type of Fuel Baseline Share in Total Installed Capacity
Change with Regional trade at fixed Capital Cost
Change with trade @ lower Capital Cost **
Diesel 0.6% 0% 0%
Gas 5.7% -15.4% -18.8%
Hydro 15.9% 42.1% 42.2%
Solar 2.3% 0% 98.3%
Coal 54.3% -9.4% -11.4%
Wind 10.3% -5.9% 26%
Combined Cycle 5.1% 6.2% 4.7%
Biomass 2.2% 0% 0%
Nuclear 3.4% 0% 0%** Baseline Capital Cost of Solar and Wind plants respectively US$ 2200/Kw and US$ 1900/Kw.
Reduction in cost as per IEA estimate of 32% in Solar and 24% in Wind by 2020
PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN ESTIMATED DISCOUNTED COSTS DURING 2015-40 FROM BASELINE
Regional Trade at Fixed Capital Costs
Regional Trade at Reduced Capital Costs of Solar , Wind
Total Investment (Generation + Transmission/ Distribution)
3.5% 5.1%
Total Fuel Cost -8.7% -11.9%
Total Electric Supply Cost -4.8% -6.5%
ANNUAL SOLAR PERFORMANCE MAPANNUAL SOLAR PERFORMANCE MAP
SOLAR IRRIGATION PUMP PROGRAMME - INDIA
THE BIG PICTURE:Needs Political Mobilisation on Sharing Resources …
… OVER SIX TIME ZONES IN SOUTH ASIA ALONE,
…....... and, Institutional Capacity Building
Progress from Bilateral trade agreements to a Multi-lateral Trade Institution
EstablishRegional Power Market Build upon the experiences of the 2 power exchanges (IEX and PEI)
Thank You for Kind Attention!