Enel Américas · Colombia Peru 41.0 TWh Enel Américas today 2018E Generation and I&N Net...
Transcript of Enel Américas · Colombia Peru 41.0 TWh Enel Américas today 2018E Generation and I&N Net...
Enel Américas Strategic Plan 2019-21
Maurizio BezzeccheriCEO
Aurelio BustilhoCFO
Enel Américas’ Strategic Plan
2
Agenda
Delivery 2016-18
Enel Américas today
Energy transition and new opportunities in LatAm: our vision
Strategic Plan 2019-21
Closing remarks
Maurizio Bezzeccheri
Maurizio Bezzeccheri and Aurelio Bustilho
Maurizio Bezzeccheri
Delivery 2016-18
Delivery 2016-18Main milestones in the period
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
4Q
16
1Q
17
2Q
17
3Q
17
4Q
17
1Q
18
2Q
18
3Q
18
4Q
18
First phase of the
Reorganization completed
(the “Spin-offs”)
Second phase of the
Reorganization completed
(the “Merger”)
Enel Dx Goiás (Celg)
consolidation
Purchase of 7.5% stake in
Enel Dx Perú from
minorities
Volta Grande
consolidationEletropaulo acquisition
Total investments of US$3.5 bn in acquisitions
Capacity to add
value
Stable and
attractive
Regulation
ProfitabilityCapacity to add
new businessesSimplification
Key Drivers
Creating value in every transaction completed since 2016
1. Stake in Enel Dx Perú after the 7.5% acquisition.
1
4
Delivery 2016-18
5
Sustainability, growth, efficiencies and value creation
Index Member
People benefited1
I&N End users
Gx Energy sales
Group simplification
Cumulated
efficiencies4
Gross Margin
Shareholder return
Sustainability
commitment
Growth
Value creation
Thousand (cumulated)
Number of indexes
Million
TWh
Number of companies
US$ m
US$ bn
DPADR5 US$
2016 2018E
0
2,687
42
24.5
50.6
43
~ 130
3.8
0.25
14.1
64.9
323
~ 420
5.0
0.42
1,437
1. Base year 2015. 2. Enel Américas is member of 4: DJSI (Chile, EM and MILA) and FTSE4Good. 3. Not included acquired companies. 4. Base year 2015. 5. Dividend per ADR (1 ADR = 50 shares of Enel Américas).
Opex reduction
2016 2018E2016 2018E
Delivery 2016-18Financial highlights (US$ bn)
Gross Capex
Net Income
EBITDA
Opex evolution
1.21.7
+ 42% + 42%
2.4
3.4
+ 70%
0.6
1.2
Financial results significantly improved since 2016
2016 2018E
0.6
0.41.2
0.51.0
1.7Attributable
Minorities
1.31.1
1.6
0.1 (0.3)0.5
2016 Fx & CPI Efficiencies 2018E withoutperimeter
Perimeter 2018E
3.4
2.4
E: Expected6
Fx & Opex CPI
- 15%
0.30.4
0.5
2016 2017 2018E
0.25
0.31
0.42
2016 2017 2018E
Delivery 2016-18
7
Shareholders return
Earnings per ADR1 (US$) Dividend per ADR1 (US$)
1. 1 ADR = 50 shares of Enel Américas.
Total Dividend (US$ bn)
Total dividend has increased by about 70% since 2016
+ 68% + US$ 0.2 bn+ 112%
E: Expected
0.490.62
1.04
2016 2017 2018E
Enel Américas today
42%
51%
7%
Generation
Infrastructure & Networks
Retail and Enel X
13%
28%
6%
37%
16%
Enel Américas today2018E KPIs and Financial numbers (US$ bn)
EBITDA by business EBITDA by country I&N:
24.5 m end users
US$ 11.8 bn RAB6
Large hydro generation:
6.2 GW capacity
55% of total Enel Américas’ capacity
Thermal generation:
5.0 GW capacity
Highly flexible and efficient assets
Free market:
1.6 k free customers
17 TWh energy sales
Enel X:
421 k Public lighting
105 Charging infrastructure
US$ 3.4 bn US$ 3.4 bn
Enel Américas is the largest private utility company in LatAm
1. Retail includes free market business. 2. Capex related to investments for recurring asset maintenance. 3. Growth investments in generation and networks (quality programs & smart metering)
4. Capex related to customers (Retail, Enel X (e-Home, e-Industries), Network connections). 5. As of November 23rd, 2018. 6. VNR in Peru.
Argentina
Brazil
Colombia
Peru
Eletropaulo
Opex 1.6
Asset Management2 0.7
Asset Development3 0.6
Attributable Net Income 1.2
Net Debt 7.0
Market Cap5 9.5Customers4 0.4
Total Net Income 1.7
9
1
18%
36%24%
14%
8%
10%
41%29%
14%
6%
59%
6%
34%
1%
Hydro
Oil & Gas
CCGT
Coal
34%
10%36%
20%
Argentina
Brazil
Colombia
Peru
41.0 TWh
Enel Américas today2018E Generation and I&N
Net production by technology
Net production by country
End users by country
Distributed energy by country
Almost 60% of our generation mix is hydro
Brazil represents 70% in terms of end users and 60% of the total distributed energy
41.0 TWh
24.5 m
101 TWh
Argentina
Brazil
Colombia
Peru
Eletropaulo
Argentina
Brazil
Colombia
Peru
Eletropaulo
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Energy transition and new
opportunities in LatAm: our vision
Energy transition and new opportunitiesThe role of Enel Américas
UrbanizationConcentration in urban areas
Demand growth
Grid development and automation
Interconnections
Communities & PeopleAccess to affordable energy
Emission reduction
Energy efficiency
Corporate governance
New businessese-City
e-Industries
e-Home
e-Mobility
Market CompetitionLiberalization
Enel Américas is ready to capture new opportunities in LatAm
1 2
3 4
12
Energy transition and new opportunitiesUrbanization
A Region in continuous development; population concentrated in megacities and a trend of energy demand increase
1
Asia
Africa
Latam & Caribe
.
30% 54% 66%
1970 2014 2050
% of people living in urban areas1
India
453269
Southeast
Asia
China
1888
United
States
-73Japan
-94
EU
-89
242Latin America
296
Africa
106 Eurasia
388Middle
East
Latam & Caribe
Change in primary energy demand 2000-20162
1. United Nations 2014. 2. Source: IEA, WEO 2017, Enerdata, EC statistics. 3. Source: RED 2017 CAF-banco de desarrollo de América Latina. 4. Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent
Mtoe 4
Emerging economies have increased their energy
demand as opposed to mature economies
3
13
year
Energy transition and new opportunitiesCommunities and people
2020
Access to affordable and clean energy mainly in Africa, Asia and Latin America
2.22
2018E1
Employment and sustainable and inclusive economic growth 1.8
Engaging local communities (m beneficiaries)
High-quality, inclusive and fair education 0.9
Reduction of CO2 specific emissions (kg/kWheq) 0.39
Climate change 2018E
3.0
3.0
0.8
<0.35
2.0
2018E1
0.3
0.3
0.21
2018E
Enel
Américas
Enel Group
92%
% Enel
Américas
/ Group
18%
38%
54%
2018E
1. Cumulated figures since 2015. 2. In the whole Group perimeter, 4.9 m beneficiaries were reached.
Target
2020
Sustainability commitment is present along the whole business value chain
Enel Américas is
a constituent of:
2
14Target already achieved before 2020
51%47%
2%
81%
19%
Asset Development
Customers
Energy transition and new opportunitiesEnel X
Growing contribution of Enel X and Retail businesses in Enel Américas’ 2019-21 Strategic Plan
3 Market competition4
Low availability of energy for the
free market
Commercial strategy redefinition to
develop the business
Market growth and development
of gas free market
Increase of power sales plan and
start of gas sales plan
Energy market liberalization Starting over sales in the free market
Uncertanty in power prices due
to the situation of Ituango P.P.Opportunities in the new scenario and
potential development of gas sales
Smart lighting for cities
Electric mobility in LatAm Energy efficiency solutions
Demand response and storage solutions
for C&I1 customers
Enel X Gross capex 2019-21 (US$ m)
~ 350
Brazil
Colombia
Rest of countries
17.3
32.0
2018E 2021
~ 2x
~ 350
Energy sales (TWh)
151. Consumer and industrial.
Strategic Plan 2019-21
Strategic Plan 2019-21
Strategic Pillars
Industrial
growth
+ 68% EBITDA
growth1 - 2
Efficiencies
US$ 285 m
Opex Saving1
Shareholders
return
+97% DPS
growth1
1. Base year 2018E.
2. M&A not included.
Sustainability
commitment
Sustainable
long-term value
creation
A sustainable and solid growth to increase shareholders return17
77 84
25
4718
2018E 2021
24.1 27.6
16.917.1
2018E 2021
17.3
32.0
2018E 2021
1.61.9
2018E 2021
17.3 17.9
7.2 7.6
2018E 2021
6.2 6.2
5.0 5.0
2018E 2021
Industrial growth: Organic growthOperational targets by business
Infrastructure &
Networks
Distributed energy (TWh)
Thermal Installed Capacity (GW)
Hydro Installed Capacity (GW)
Thermal Generation (TWh)
Free customers power & gas (k)
Electricity sales in free market (TWh)
x
End users (m)
Hydro Generation (TWh)
Generation
59%
emission
free
62%
emission
free
Hydro generation will increase during the period reaching 62% of our total production
Solid increase in our I&N business, close to double in Retail and relevant expansion of Enel X business in LatAm
Free market
11.3 11.3
41.044.6
Enel X
0.4
0.8
2018E 2021
Public lighting (m#)
0.1
12.0
2018E 2021
Charging stations (k#)
ELPL ELPL
24.5 25.5
ELPL1ELPL
120131
18
4%19%0%
~115x
100%
9%9% 85%
1. 120 TWh includes annualized proforma distributed energy of Eletropaulo.
1.6
3.6
0.2(0.2)
0.3
1.30.4 (0.1)
0.1
2018E Fx & OpexCPI
Efficiencies Tariff/RAB Demand Dx Other 2021
Industrial Growth: Organic growthInfrastructure & Networks evolution
RAB3 (US$ bn)WACC2EBITDA (US$ bn)
1. US$ 1.9 bn includes annualized proforma EBITDA of Eletropaulo. 2. WACC real before taxes. Peru considers ROA. 3. VNR in Peru.
20212018
Enel Dx Goiás
Edesur
Enel Dx Ceará
Enel Dx Perú
Enel Dx Rio
Eletropaulo
Enel Codensa
12.5%
12.3%
12.3%
12.3%
12.3%
12.0%
13.7%
12.5%
12.3%
12.3%
12.3%
12.3%
12.0%
11.8%
89%
1.6 1.6
2.7 3.3
2.02.5
2.0
2.10.9
0.91.0
1.31.7
3.1
2018E 2021
Enel Dx Perú Enel Codensa
Eletropaulo Enel Dx Río
Enel Dx Goiás Enel Dx Ceará
Edesur
11.8
14.7
25%
19
+89% of EBITDA growth and +25% of potential RAB increase
1.91
ELPL
Industrial growth: Non organic growthFocus Eletropaulo
RAB
Regulatory review
Efficiencies
EBITDA1
End users
@ 2017Key Drivers Plan 2021
Enel Dx
Ceará
Eletropaulo
Enel Dx Río
Enel Dx
Goiás
US$ 0.3 bn US$ 0.8 bn
US$ 2.0 bn US$ 2.5 bn
July 2019
- US$ 207 m
7.2 m 7.6 m
1: The average USD FX rate for FY 2017 equal to 3.19 BRL only for information purposes. Original data is in Brazilian reais.
Distributed Energy 43 TWh 47 TWh
20
Total capex invested during the period will amount to US$ 0.9 bn
0.2
0.8
0.1
0.2
0.3
2018E Efficiencies Operatingimprovement
2021
Industrial growth: Non organic growthFocus Eletropaulo
Eletropaulo operational KPIsEBITDA (US$ bn)
167%
2018E3 2021
43
42
77
47
108
46
Energy distributed (TWh)
EBITDA/Customer (US$)
OPEX/Customer (US$)
21
Financial and operational key drivers will improve over the period
0.31
1. US$ 0.3 bn includes annualized proforma EBITDA of Eletropaulo. 2. Net of Fx & Opex CPI. 3. Annualized values.
2
Industrial Growth: Organic growthGeneration evolution
EBITDA (US$ bn) Contracted Energy (TWh)
1. Power Purchase Agreement. 2. Volta Grande’s PPA duration: 30 years.
>
100%
>
100% 94%85%
>
100%>
100%>
100% 89%
PPAs1 average duration: 15-30 years2
PPAs1 average duration: 5-7 years
15.714.3
12.7
8.6
2018 2019 2020 2021
Colombia
>
100% 96%93%
74%
PPAs1 average duration: 2-4 years
10.611.0
10.7
9.8
2018 2019 2020 2021
Peru
90%91%
90%
81%
14%
93%
91% 92% 65%
22
Securing profitability through long-term PPAs
13.0
9.2 8.6 8.7
2018 2019 2020 2021
Brazil
>
100%
89% 70%>
100%
1.41.6
(0.1)0.3
2018E Fx & Opex CPI Volume 2021
Industrial Growth: Organic growthFree market: positioning & market liberalization
EBITDA evolution (US$ m) Enel Américas free energy sales (TWh)
0.0
6.1
2018E 2021
Argentina
5.2
12.0
2018E 2021
Brazil
5.2
7.0
2018E 2021
Colombia
6.9 6.9
2018E 2021
Peru
0% 18%Market
Share:3% 5%Market
Share:
20% 23%Market
Share:28% 25%
Market
Share:
64%
Market liberalization addressing our growth in the free market business23
44
72
1
9
12 23
2018E Fx &Opex CPI
Argentina Brazil Colombia Peru 2021
1.42.5
2018E 2021
Industrial Growth: Organic growthEnel X
4 128
e-City e-Industries
e-Home e-Mobility
0.4
0.8
2018E 2021
Public lighting(spots, m#)
Collection services
(transaction, m#)Financial services
(transaction, m#)
1.538.2
2018E 2021
0.91.9
2018E 2021
Credit card
Micro insurance
Demand response(MW delivered/year)
PV(MW installed/year)
0
253
2018E 2021
1
45
2018E 2021
Charging station(cumulated facilities, k#)
e-Buses(cumulated sales, #)
0
41
2018E 2021
EBITDA evolution (US$ m)
42
131
(3) 6
57
26 2
2018E Fx Argentina Brazil Colombia Peru 2021
212%
24Significant expansion of the Enel X business along the period
Fx &
Opex CPI
0.1
12.0
2018E 2021
11%
81%
2%
6%
Gx I&N Retail Enel X
14%
55%
21%
10%
Argentina Brazil Colombia Peru
US$ 5.3 bn
34%
37%
29%
Asset Development Asset Management Customers
Total capex
Industrial growth: Organic growthCapex plan 2019- 21
Total capex by country
US$ 5.3 bnUS$ 5.3 bn
I&N business captures more than 80% of total capex plan
Total capex by business
25
1
1. Retail includes free market business.
558
350
2018E 2021
EfficienciesFurther efficiencies 2019-211
New Strategic Plan envisages additional efficiencies for US$285 m
Enel Américas’ opex exc. Eletropaulo (US$ m) Eletropaulo’s opex (US$ m)
2
1. Values in real terms. 2. Annualized opex. 26
1,284
1,207
2018E 2021
Main initiatives
Digitalization
Apply Group standards in technical
maintenance
Efficiency in purchasing
Quality of service: Reduced costs due to
low quality
Technological and functional convergence
of systems
Reducing external costs, mainly services,
travel, introduction of surveillance
technology
Efficiencies at all levels
3.7
4.24.6
3.4
4.4
5.2
5.7
2018E 2019 2020 2021
Previous Plan New Plan 2018E
Financial targetsEBITDA1 (US$ bn): Guidance vs previous Strategic Plan
+68%
+5%+13%
-8%
+US$ ~0.2 bn Eletropaulo
- US$ ~0.1 bn Fortaleza
- US$ ~0.4 bn hyperinflation, Fx effect and
others
+ US$ ~0.6 bn Eletropaulo
- US$ ~0.4 bn Fx effect and others
+ US$ ~0.7 bn Eletropaulo
- US$ ~0.1bn Fx effect and others
271. Including Services and Holding costs.
2021
Improved EBITDA in the coming years mainly due to Eletropaulo’s contribution
8.9
5.4
3.5
0.7
FFO Assetmanagement
Customers FFO afterasset mgmt.
And cust.
AssetDeveloptment
FCF Dividendspaid
Net FCF
Financial targetsFFO1, capex and cash flow 2019-21
FFO and capex (US$ bn) Cash flow generation (US$ bn)2
+106%
1. Funds From Operations. 2. M&A and minorities opportunities not included. 3. Capex. 4. Free Cash Flow. 5. Including US$1.9 bn paid to shareholders of Enel Américas and US$0.8 bn
dividends distributed from subsidiaries to minorities.
1 4
1.7
2.3
3.13.5
1.71.8 1.9
1.6
2018E 2019 2020 2021
FFO Capex
-6%
Positive Net Free Cash Flow leaves room for a relevant capex plan and attractive dividend payout
28
33
3
(1.9)
(1.6)
(1.8)
(2.8)
1.9
5
0.9
Financial targetsNet debt evolution 2019-21
4.0
Net debt breakdown (US$ bn) Net financial expenses on debt (US$ bn)
29
6.9 7.3 6.6 5.8
0.1 0.30.5
0.6
2018E 2019 2020 2021
Countries Holding
7.0 7.67.1
6.4
- 9%
0.7 0.7
0.6
8.0 8.07.5
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
2019 2020 2021
Net Financial expenses Cost of gross debt (%)
Financial targetsGuidance 2019-21
3.4
4.4
5.25.7
1.2 1.31.6 1.9
2018E 2019 2020 2021
EBITDA Attributable Net Income
EBITDA and Net Income (US$ bn) Net Income evolution (US$ bn)
+68%
+58%
1.2
1.9
2.3 (0.2)(0.4)
(0.8)
(0.2)
2018E EBITDA D&A Financialcharges
Taxes Minorities 2021
+58%
30
Solid EBITDA and Net Income with a 50% Dividend Policy along the period
0.5
0.6
0.8
0.9
2018E 2019 2020 2021
+80%
Dividends paid (US$ bn)
Dividend policy: 40% 50% 50% 50%
Closing remarks
Closing remarks
1
2
3
4
5
Successful delivery in the period 2016-18
Enel Américas is now a stronger leader in the utilities sector in the Region
The Company is well positioned to face the energy transition and new opportunities in LatAm creating long term value
Financial targets reviewed upwards versus the previous plan
Relevant contribution to the people and communities where we operate with clear environmental, economic, and social goals
32
Exhibits
-1.8%
2.0%
2.8%
4.8%
-2.1%
2.3%
0.0%
6.9%
1.2%
3.4%
-2.7%
14.2%
Peru
Colombia
Brazil
Argentina
57
73
624
152
54
72
610
147
52
70
595
143
Peru
Colombia
Brazil
Argentina
ExhibitsMacro and energy scenario
CPI1
Energy demand (TWh) Enel Américas distributed energy (TWh)
2019
2020
2021
8.6
14.7
87.4
20.0
8.3
14.5
85.1
19.5
8.0
14.3
82.7
18.9
Enel DxPerú
Codensa
Brazil
Edesur
1. Consumer Price Index. 34
Local currency vs USD
2.5%
3.4%
4.2%
14.0%
2.6%
3.4%
4.2%
17.0%
2.5%
3.4%
4.0%
20.0%
Peru
Colombia
Brazil
Argentina
Exhibits
35
Regulatory cycle of Distribution Companies
Company Regulatory cycle Next regulatory cycle
Edesur 5 years 2022
Enel Dx Ceará 4 years 2019
Enel Dx Goiás 4 years 2023
Enel Dx Rio 5 years 2023
Eletropaulo 4 - 5 years 2019 (3Q)
Enel Codensa 5 years 2019 (1Q)
Enel Dx Perú 4 years 2022
Edesur
Clients: 2.5 m
Enel Dx Ceará
Clients: 4.0 m
Enel Dx Goiás
Clients: 3.0 mn
Enel Dx Rio
Clients: 3.0 m
Eletropaulo
Clients: 7.2 m
Codensa
Clients: 3.4 m
Enel Dx Perú
Clients: 1.4 m
Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell any securities and is not soliciting an offer to buy any securities in any jurisdiction.
This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” regarding anticipated financial and operating results and statistics and other future events relating to Enel Américas S.A. These
statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Enel Américas’ control or may be difficult to
predict. These statements may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The inclusion of these forward-
looking statements should not be regarded as an indication that Enel Américas or any other person considers such projections to be material or to be a reliable prediction of actual future results.
These forward-looking statements are subjective in many respects and there can be no assurance that they will be realized or that actual results will not be significantly higher or lower than
described. As a result, the inclusion of any forward-looking statements in this presentation should not be relied on as necessarily predictive of actual future events. The projections and other
forward-looking statements were based on numerous variables and assumptions that are inherently uncertain. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of such risks
and uncertainties. In addition, the financial projections do not necessarily reflect revised prospects, changes in general business or economic conditions, or any other transaction or event that has
occurred or that may occur and that was not anticipated at the time the projections were prepared.
Forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, information regarding: Enel Américas' business plans, Enel Américas' cost reduction plans, trends affecting Enel Américas' financial
condition or results of operations including market trends in the electricity sector in Chile or elsewhere, supervision and regulation of the electricity sector in Chile or elsewhere, and the future
effect of any changes in the laws and regulations applicable to Enel Américas' or its affiliates. The principal assumptions underlying these forecasts and targets relate to: Economic and Industry
Conditions, Commercial Factors, Political/Governmental Factors, Operating Factors, and Competitive Factors.
The following important factors, in addition to those discussed elsewhere in this presentation, could cause actual financial and operating results and statistics to differ materially from those
expressed in our forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: changes or developments regarding the applicable regulations (which may affect the investment plan of Enel Américas
regarding the regulated activities), legal restrictions applicable to the implementation of the dividends policy, environmental regulations and other legal issues; price of electricity; price and supply
of raw materials; interest rates or exchange rates; availability of fuel; ability to maintain relationship with suppliers, customers and consumer and user protection groups; changes in climate
conditions; widespread adoption energy efficiency measures; inherent risks in the construction of new power generation and distribution facilities; changes in general economic, political,
administrative and business conditions; operating hazards and risks; tax risks; loss of senior management and key personnel; insufficiency of insurance coverage or increase of insurance costs;
failure of systems and information technology and processing; inability to access the capital markets to refinance its debt and finance its capital expenditures; and other factors that could
adversely affect the business and financial results of the Company.
No assurance can be given that the forward-looking statements in this document will be realized. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward-looking statements, which
speak only as of the date of this presentation. Our independent registered public accounting firm has not audited, examined or compiled the forward-looking statements and, accordingly, does
not provide any assurance with respect to such statements. Neither Enel Américas nor any of its affiliates intends, nor undertakes any obligation, to update or revise the forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
35
Phone
+562 23534682
Rafael De La HazaHead of Investor Relations Enel Américas
Jorge VelisInvestor Relations Manager Enel Américas
Itziar LetzkusInvestor Relations Enel Américas
Javiera RubioInvestor Relations Enel Américas
Gonzalo JuárezIR New York Office
María Luz Muñoz
Executive Assistant
Strategic Plan 2019-21Contact us
Thank you.
Web site
www.enelamericas.com
38