EMERGING NEW MOBILITY VENTURES IN URBAN · PDF fileEMERGING NEW MOBILITY VENTURES IN URBAN...

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1 WRI ROSS CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE CITIES • APRIL. 4, 2016 EMERGING NEW MOBILITY VENTURES IN URBAN INDIA PAWAN MULUKUTLA, TRANSPORT, WRI INDIA

Transcript of EMERGING NEW MOBILITY VENTURES IN URBAN · PDF fileEMERGING NEW MOBILITY VENTURES IN URBAN...

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WRI ROSS CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE CITIES • APRIL. 4, 2016

EMERGING NEW MOBILITY VENTURES IN URBAN INDIA

PAWAN MULUKUTLA, TRANSPORT, WRI INDIA

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Photo credits: (left) WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities, (Mexico, center) Pablo Lopez Luz, (Mexico, right) Ruimc77/FlickR

SprawlCongestion Inefficiency

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NEW TRENDS PICKING UP: NEW TRENDS PICKING UP: NEW TRENDS PICKING UP: NEW TRENDS PICKING UP:

Sustainable Sustainable Sustainable Sustainable Transport Adoption CurveTransport Adoption CurveTransport Adoption CurveTransport Adoption Curve

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What are the trends in new mobility ventures in India?What are the trends in new mobility ventures in India?What are the trends in new mobility ventures in India?What are the trends in new mobility ventures in India?

Shared Mobility

is creating new markets

• Ride Share / Car Pool

• Vehicle Share

• Park Share

Ride-sourcing Platforms

are disrupting informal markets

• Car

• Auto rickshaw

• Van/Bus

Commuter Experience

is driving new businesses

• Driver Training

• Transit Apps

• Easy Payments

Product Innovation

is changing human behavior

• Vehicle Design

• E-Mobility

Data Driven Decision Making

is optimizing systems and

processes

• Fleet Management and Vehicle Tracking

• Connected Cars / IOT

market potential | stakeholder analysis | business model | barriers| enablers| impact analysis

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Trend 1: Shared Mobility is creating new markets.

Ride Share Car Share Park Share

P2P P2P B2C P2P B2C

Indian company

Ride Sharing is evolving but continues

to have low ridership. Global

companies BlaBla Car and Tripda have

entered India.

The global B2C space is growing with entry by

Hertz, Enterprise Rent-A-Car, Avis, Daimler,

BMW and U-Haul. This market is still nascent

in India. However, the self drive car rental

place is an upcoming one.

Park Sharing is in early stages in India. While

there are some B2C models aggregating

parking spaces and offering on demand

valet, there are currently no P2P models.

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Trend 2: Ride-sourcing Platformsare disrupting informal markets.

Car / Taxi Auto Rickshaw

Indian company

Though mired in regulatory issues, P2P models are

well developed in India. Ola Cabs bought

TaxiForSure for $200 million in a cash and stock

deal— the second-biggest ever in India’s fledgling

startup world in 2014.

Auto Rickshaw aggregation is still

in early stages in India but is

gaining scale via growing startups

and inclusion of rickshaws on the

Ola and Uber platforms.

P2P B2C Auto rickshaw Booking (P2P)

Taxi Booking Taxi Rental Car Rental

Bus

B2C

Bus aggregation is an upcoming

space which has attracted the

attention of entrepreneurs and

investors alike.

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Trend 3: Commuter Experienceis driving new businesses.

Driver Training Transit Apps Easy Payments

Driving Schools Trip Planning &

Schedules

Aggregator of

Aggregators

Traffic

Indian company

Driving Programmes

Automotive companies like Maruti, Toyota etc.

have their own driving schools. In PPP models

with the government, these offer most of the

driver training in the country.

Transit Apps are growing at an phenomenal pace

globally and in India. With open data, smartphone

penetration, and technological advancement, this

area will see a lot of activity.

IPT providers like Ola

Cabs, Uber are at the

forefront with offering

commuters to pay

through mobile wallets.

Banks are also joining

hands with PPP projects

to provide payment

cards, which can also

function as debit cards.

However, no startups

have emerged in this area

to really facilitate

seamless payments.

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Trend 4: Production Innovation is changing human behaviour.

Vehicle Design E-Mobility

Conversion Kits 2-wheelers 2/3/4 wheelers

Indian company

With new design and materials being used in

bicycles, helmets, cars and new technology like

autonomous cars, self parking etc. being

integrated in cars, this space will grow slowly

but surely.

Though there are no Indian startups working in

vehicle and accessory design in India yet, with

the Government’s focus on smart cities and

road safety, one should see growth in this

space.

It is estimated that if India's electric vehicle market takes off, INR 40,000 crore

worth of fuel will be saved. The Government’s Mission Plan 2020 envisages

demand incentive scheme for faster adoption of Electric Vehicles which makes

this space worth looking out for.

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Trend 5: Data Driven Decision Making is optimising systems and processes.

Fleet Management &

Vehicle Tracking

Connected Cars / IOT

B2B B2C

The government’s focus on smart cities and

private sector engagement like Mahindra

collaborating Vodafone, to create M2M-enabled

e2o electric car is changing the landscape of IOT.

There are very few startups in this space.

Fleet Management is one of biggest

opportunities thanks to policy initiatives by

central and local government and demands

for improved security in public transport. This

space is, however, still evolving.

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Challenges and barriers include

Regulation and policy issues

Lack of open data

High cost of technology and research

Access to seed funding

How are these trends evolving in India?How are these trends evolving in India?How are these trends evolving in India?How are these trends evolving in India?

Idea

stage

Growth

stageConnected Cars/

IOT

Fleet Management

& Vehicle Tracking

Easy

Payments

Vehicle

Design

Transit

Apps

Driver

Training

Car / Taxi

aggregators

Auto rickshaw

aggregators

Ride

Share

Car

Share

Park

Share

Indian mobility businesses raised $365 million in 2014. 60%

was raised by taxi aggregators.

Only a miniscule number of mobility businesses in other

segments have been able to raise funding.

Bus

aggregators

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Case Study- Mumbai

Key findings (customer perspective)

• High Quality of Service

• Switching from all modes to On-demand cabs

• Usage for personal trips and to major destinations

• Parking -issue for using personal vehicles

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Key findings (driver perspective)

• On-demand cab drivers are satisfied• High number of trips with potential for incentives

• Able to rate customers

• Increase in income levels

• Impact on the current players• Reduction in number of trips and income levels

• Need to transition to demand responsive

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Customer perspective

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Survey details

• Sample Size- 246

• Online survey

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

36%

64%

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Age group

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

55%

28%

10% 7%

Less than 25 yrs 25 to 35 yrs 35 to 45yrs Above 45yrs

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Income levels in mumbai

Source: MMRDA HH Survey

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240

10

5

0

% H

ou

seh

old

sChart covers 95% households in Mumbai

Monthly Household Income Rs ‘000 in 2015

(assuming hh income distribution as in 2005)

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Income levels

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

Less than5 lacs 5 - 10 lacs

10 - 15lacs 15 -20 lacs

Above 20lacs Cannot

disclose

15%

21%

17%

13%

28%

5%

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Less than Rs 50 Rs 50-100 Rs 100-250 Rs 250-350 Rs 350-500 >Rs 500

Expenditure on daily commute

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

49%

30%

10%

8%

14%

34%

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Vehicle ownership

35 %Do NOT have a vehicle

& have income >10 lacs

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

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On-demand cabs

80 %Have used the service at least once

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

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Service quality

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

Reliability

Comfort

Convenience of Booking

Driver Interaction

Safety & Security

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Reason for the usage

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

Unavailability of PT public

transport

Ease of travel, comfort, hassle-free

Low Fares

Parking

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Frequency of use

Rarely/Monthly once or twice

Once a Week

Twice or Thrice a week

Daily

40%

36%

17%

8%

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

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Trip purpose

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

64% 65%

21%47%

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Prior mode of travel

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

31%

35%

57%

69%

Trains/Buses

Regular cabs

Auto-rickshaws

Personal vehicle

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Surge pricing

20%

24%

36%

14%

6%No

35%

Sometimes

40%

Yes

25%

100%

1.1 times

1.3 times

1.5 times

2 times

Will take the service irrespective

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Driver perspective

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Black and yellow taxis

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

Rs.1200

/day

Rs.600/

day

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Cool-cabs

• 50-70% reduction in Income

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

6

2

Trips per dayTrips per day

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Comparison of CAB SERVICES

Source: WRI India- EMBARQ Survey

• Have to pay for permits, license,

badge and fines

• Focused on NRI and out of

station passengers

• Operate for 4hr/8hr shift

• Expensive compared to on-

demand cabs

• No panic button

• No driver training

• Permits are rented out

illegally

• Avg Income Rs. 500/day

• Operate mainly in the island

city

• Operate for 10-12 hours,

30days/month

• No panic button

• No driver training

• Police verification includes

license, Aadhar card, ration card

• Avg income 18000 Rs/month

• Operate for 12 hrs shift

• Panic button

• Driver training includes app

usage, behavior towards

customer and 80km/hr speed

limit

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City Wide Impact

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Mode Share

-0.6%

-0.3% -0.4%-0.2%

1.4%

REGULAR CAB Δ IN MODE

SHARE

AUTO-RICKSHAW Δ IN

MODE SHARE

PERSONAL VEHICLES Δ IN

MODE SHARE

TRAINS + BUS Δ IN MODE

SHARE

RIDE HAIL CABS Δ IN

MODE SHARE

Change in mode share with introduction of ride-hail cabs

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Mode Shift

40%

24%

25%

11%

From Regular

CabsFrom Personal

Vehicles

From Public

Transport

From Autos

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Travel Costs

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Potential Car ownership in the city

2-3 Lac CarsIn the next 5 years (Age group 25-45 yrs)

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DELAY IN VEHICLE OWNERSHIP (per 1000 population)

910

13

17

23

35

17

19

25

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2030

Current Trend Proposed Trend

55 % increase in vehicles in last 7 years ( Total- 23.4 lacs)

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On-demand bus

63% “YES”

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Key findings (city-wide)

• Potential to delay personal vehicle ownership

• On-demand services is a growing mobility trend and a solution

• Need a governance system to facilitate the management of these trends

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Current regulatory framework

Fare structure

Vehicle and fuel

Permit and driver

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Key metrics for ipt in mumbai

Availability

Efficiency

Driver income

Coverage

Quality

Affordability

Safety

Environment

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