Electromagnetic Pulse Attack
Transcript of Electromagnetic Pulse Attack
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THINK AHEADPreparing for the Threat to Our Wired World
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An Electromagnetic Pulse EventCould Change Your Life in an Instant
An electromagnetic pulse (EMP) is a high-intensity burst of
electromagnetic energy caused by the rapid acceleration of
charged particles. An EMP event could disable the country’s
electrical grid—shutting down nearly all communication,
transportation, and service systems.
Nuclear weapons, radio-frequency weapons, or geomagnetic
storms (often called solar storms) can all cause EMPs or EMP-like effects. For terrorists or rogue states not as dependent on
electricity as the United States is, an EMP attack is a way to
cause devastating damage. And, as the solar system enters a
period of increased solar activity, it is really a question of when,
not if, the next geomagnetic storm will occur.1
Whether natural or man-made, an EMP event would have an
effect on the magnetic field in the Earth’s atmosphere that
could change the fabric of our society as we know it. We need
urgent action in the face of this threat.
HOW DOES AN EMP WORK
An EMP has three main components:
An electromagnetic shock disrupts electronics,
such as communication systems
An effect similar to lightning rapidly follows,
compounding the initial shock
This lightning-like pulse flows through electric
transmission lines, overloading and damaging
power lines, fuses, and transmission
distribution centers
In an EMP event, the damage to critical infrastructures
and electronic systems is compounded because the EMP’
components occur within split seconds of each other.2
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Why Is an EMP Attack a Problem?
In many respects, an EMP attack is a unique and unprecedented
threat to the United States. Our society depends on electricity
more today than it has at any point in history. An EMP would
irreparably damage many critical systems:
■ Food and water supplies would be disrupted
■ Communications, transportation, and emergency
services would be severely hindered
■ Banking, finance, and energy sectors would be crippled
■ Computers and electronics would not work
Disruption in these sectors would seriously complicate and
delay restoration efforts. It could take days, weeks, months, or
even years to restore the impacted systems to their original
performance, depending on the scale of the event. The federalgovernment and most states have not addressed the vulnerabilities
of our critical systems to EMP events.
EMP-LIKE EVENTS HAVE
HAPPENED BEFORE IN AMERICA
On July 13, 1977, two lightning strikes causedoverloading in the electric power substationsof the Con Edison power company in New York City. These
lightning strikes, together the equivalent of only a tiny fractio
of an EMP, caused a power failure throughout the New
York area. This blackout lasted only one day, yet resulted inwidespread looting and the breakdown of law throughout ma
New York neighborhoods.
The blackout cost approximately $346 million, and nearly
3,000 people were arrested during the 26-hour period. The
New York Police Department was completely overwhelmed
as it tried to preserve order. The social order degenerated so
quickly that Time magazine called it a “Night of Terror.” Imagi
what could happen in the aftermath of an EMP event, when
cities could lose power for weeks and even months.3
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On August 14, 2003, more than 200 powerplants were shut down as a result of an electricitycutoff caused by cascading failure—after a software bug in
computer systems in one of the Ohio’s power plants caused
an initial blackout. The Northeast blackout affected Ohio, NewYork, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and parts of Canada.
Affected communities were advised to boil drinking water due
to contamination from the failure of sewage systems and other
health threats caused by the loss of water pressure. Many
backup generators proved unable to manage the crisis.
Day one of the blackout brought massive traffic jams and
gridlock when people tried to get home without traffic lights.
Additional transportation problems arose when railways,
airlines, gas stations, and oil refineries halted operations.
Telephone lines were overwhelmed due to the high volume of
calls, while many radio and television stations went off-air.
Overall, the blackout’s economic cost was between $7 billion
and $10 billion due to food spoilage, lost production, overtimewages, and other related costs.4
EMPs IN POPULAR CULTUR
Creative producers in Hollywood imaga future that reveals some of the real riEMP presents:
American Blackout (Documentary, 2013)
National Geographic’s look at cyber-terror
and power-grid failure shows only one of t
many consequences a successful EMP atta
would have.
Red Dawn (Film Drama, 1984) This Cold W
era classic considers what resources do yo
need if society breaks down.
Revolution (TV Drama, 2012-2014) When
EMP event disables all electricity on Earth,
chaos ensues.
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6 Circuits blow and all electricity is down
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SAFETY THREATENEDIN THE HOME
Street lighting is dar
When burglar alarms are triggered,will anyone come to check them out?
Water and sewer service, which are runby computer systems, are unavailable
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With only limited backupstock of nonperishableitems, grocery storesare unable to meet thedemand for food
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Even if the EMP’s effect is localizto one city (such as New York), sto
close because of damage to financand telecommunications services
possibly for wee
ATM machines lose power, makingcash withdrawals impossible
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10 Surges following an EMP may cause electrical fires
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LIVES THREATENEDAT LOCAL HOSPITALS
Medical servicescollapse
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Most of America’s 130 million cars and 90 milliontrucks are immediately disabled
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Losing GPS, media, weather-tracking, andother systems affects not only citizens—it throws emergency dispatch and even
the military response into disarray
TRANSPORTATIONAND TRAVE
THREATENED
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“
”
Key Stats
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2
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The average U.S. city has only 3 days worth
of food and health care provisions. MostAmericans do not have enough batteries to
keep flashlights working for any period of
time, much less generator capabilities.5
The National Academy of Sciences
estimates the cost of damage from the most
extreme solar weather at $1 to $2 trillion,
with a recovery time of 4 to 10 years.6
The last major geomagnetic storm
occurred in 1921. Major storms are rare and
occur approximately once every hundred
years. If such a storm occurred today, it
could interrupt power to as many as 130
million Americans.7
Space weather can affect human safety
and economies anywhere on our vast wire
planet, and blasts of electrically-charged
gas traveling from the Sun at up to 5 millio
miles an hour can strike with little warnin
—Joint statement by John P. Holdren, science
and technology adviser to President Barack
Obama, and John Beddington, chief scienti
adviser to Prime Minister David Cameron8
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Our Adversaries Are Not Timid
Our enemies are developing (or already
have developed) capabilities that candeliver an EMP. The threat is real. Russian
nuclear weapons have been optimized to
generate enhanced EMP effects. Analysts
have also identified Chinese military
writings that discuss using EMP weapons in
international conflicts. Both of these states
have ballistic missiles of all ranges that
would allow them to deliver an EMP attack.
An EMP weapon would be advantageous forrogue states like Iran and North Korea as well as stateless
terrorist groups because they are less dependent on
modern technologies and electronics. Russian scientists
were reportedly helping North Korea develop an enhanced
EMP weapon, and North Korea has been advancing ballistic
missile technologies that could deliver an EMP attack.
The materials used to build non-nuclear EMP weaponscan be easily acquired or manufactured by moderately
developed terrorist groups with limited financial resources.
Although the potential impact is more limited than from a
nuclear weapons induced EMP, a non-nuclear EMP device
could still inflict major damage.
Such weapons are radio-frequency devices—easier tomaneuver, conceal, and deliver. A non-nuclear EMP device
must be detonated close to the target and affects only
localized areas. While it is difficult to estimate the damage of
an improvised attack, during a 1993 non-nuclear EMP device
test, the U.S. military shut down engine controls 300 meters
away at a contractor site.9
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Protecting America Againstthe EMP Threat
Local communities, states, and the federal government cantake important steps to mitigate the effects of an EMP event.
WHAT YOU CAN DO
■ Prepare at the family level. Ensure that your family knows and can recognize
the signs of an EMP event. Store emergency supplies including food, water, a
first-aid kit and manual, and medications.
■ Educate yourself and raise awareness of the EMP threat in your community.
Find out how an EMP event would affect your local infrastructure by meeting
with members of local industries and utilities. Raise questions about the
hazards of both natural and man-made EMP events.
■ Find out whether your state has an EMP emergency response plan. Many
states and even counties have established commissions that analyze thedangers of EMPs and develop plans to protect citizens, respond to the
aftermath, and recover after the event.
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WHAT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD DO
■ Add an EMP attack scenario to the official manual. The Department of Homeland Security’s 15 National Planning
Scenarios provide risk analysis for possible high-consequence threat scenarios, such as terrorist attacks or natural
disasters—but an EMP attack is not included today.10
■ Take all possible measures to protect and defend the nation against an EMP strike. On one side, it means taking
measures against rogue states to prevent them from developing nuclear weapons and the ballistic missiles to deliver the
It also means advancing U.S. missile defense programs that can intercept missiles, as well as reviving the development o
space-based interceptors. The U.S. should especially improve missile defense protection of the East Coast.
■ Provide resilience. The U.S.–Canadian electrical grid powers telecommunications nationwide. We must work to protec
the grid, identify means for the timely replacement of essential damaged parts and develop redundancy to better prepfor an EMP event.
■ Produce a national intelligence estimate on which countries are pursuing EMP weapons and associated delivery
systems—or are already capable of launching an EMP attack. Preparing for an attack means understanding one’s
opponents and how they are incorporating EMP weapons into their strategic postures.
It is essential that state and national leaders have the most recent intelligence—and real defense plans—at hand to determine ho
best to respond to EMP threats as they arise.
As families also take responsibility and prepare, America will be more safe and secure from an EMP crisis event.
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ENDNOTES
1. Dr. John Foster, Jr., et al., Report of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack: Volume 1: Executive Report,
report to Congress, 2004, http://www.empcommission.org/docs/empc_exec_rpt.pdf (accessed October 18, 2013).
2. James Jay Carafano, Baker Spring, and Richard Weitz, “Before the Lights Go Out: A Survey of EMP Preparedness Reveals Significant Shortfalls,” Heritage
Foundation Backgrounder No. 2596, August 15, 2011, http://www.heritage.org /research/reports/2011/08/before-the-lights-go-out-a-survey-of-emp-preparedness-reveals-significant-shortfalls.
3. James Jay Carafano and Richard Weitz, “EMP Attacks—What the U.S. Must Do Now,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2491, November 17, 2010,
http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2010/11/emp-attacks-what-the-us-must-do-now.
4. The Electricity Consumers Resource Council, “The Economic Impacts of the August 2003 Blackout,” February 9, 2004,
http://www.elcon.org/Documents/EconomicImpactsOfAugust2003Blackout.pdf (accessed October 18, 2013).
5. Jena Baker McNeill and Richard Weitz, “Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack: A Preventable Homeland Security Catastrophe,” Heritage Foundation Backgroun
No. 2199, October 20, 2008, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2008/10/electromagnetic-pulse-emp-attack-a-preventable-homeland-security-
catastrophe.
6. National Research Council of the National Academies, “Severe Space Weather Events—Understanding Societal and Economic Impacts,” 2008,
http://lasp.colorado.edu/home/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/lowres-Severe-Space-Weather-FINAL.pdf (accessed October 18, 2013).
7. Deborah Zabarenko, “Solar Superstorm Could Knock out US Power Grid—Experts,” Chicago Tribune, August 3, 2012, http://articles.chicagotribune.com/
2012-08-03/news/sns-rt-us-solar-superstormbre8721k8-20120803_1_power-grid-geomagnetic-transformers (accessed October 18, 2013).
8. Editorial, “Celestial Storm Warnings,” The New York Times, March 10, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/11/opinion/11iht-edholdren11.html
(accessed October 18, 2013).
9. McNeill and Weitz, “Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack.”
10. Michaela Dodge and Jessica Zuckerman, “EMP Awareness Day: The First Step to Averting Disaster,” Heritage Foundation Issue Brief No. 4016, August 15, 201
http://www.heritage.org /research/reports/2013/08/emp-awareness-day-the-first-step-to-averting-disaster.
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DISASTER HAS STRUCK BEFORE.
PREPARE FOR WHEN IT HAPPENS AGAIN.
Power plants shut down. Food and water become scarce. Riots consume
cities in blackout. This isn’t a Hollywood disaster movie: Such chaos has
happened before, right here in America. And if an electro-magnetic pulse
(EMP) weapon triggers the next calamity, the effects will be much worse.
Experts at The Heritage Foundation are analyzing this emerging threat.
In this booklet, learn the science behind EMP, the real-world effects you could
expect to see after a significant event … and what you can do now to prepare.
GET THE LATEST NEWS AND RESEARCH ON THIS ISSUE AT HERITAGE.ORG/EMP
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(202) 546-4400 | heritage.org