Electricity for a Better Life - Indonesia Power Generation...• Along with the government policy,...

Electricity for a Better Life

INDONESIA STATE OWNED ELECTRICITY CORP. ( PLN )

PLANS FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT

Presented by:Presented by:NASRI SEBAYANG DIRECTOR OF CONSTRUCTION PT PLN ( PERSERO )

THE 2nd CLEAN POWER ASIA CONFERENCE & EXPO 2012BALI INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE CENTRE

May 14-16, 2012 , Bali , Indonesia


CURRENT CONDITIONCURRENT CONDITION

Hal 2


ENERGY PRODUCTION ENERGY PRODUCTION 20112011

1. ENERGY PRODUCTION COMPOTITION BASED ON POWER SOURCES

Lease Gas; 0,98%

IPP; 20,86%

2 ENERGY PRODUCTION COMPOTITION BASED ON PRIMARY ENERGY

Owned ; 71,34%

Lease Fuel Oil; 6,82%

2. ENERGY PRODUCTION COMPOTITION BASED ON PRIMARY ENERGYFuel oil, 23.%Geothermal

and other, 5.%

BBM

Hydro, 7%Coal, 44%

Air

Gas Alam

Batubara

PB + LL

Hal 3

Nat.Gas, 21%

Disajikan terbatas untuk RDP Komisi VII DPR RI - PLN, 7 Maret 2012


Generation Capacity (type and ownership)

Existing Total Capacity 34,928 MW

440695Geothermal

Operational Data 2008 12,170

3,503

3,142

347

Coal STPP

HEPP

Operational Data 2008

2,871

8,112

477

285

GTPP

CCPP

2,756130

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000

Diesel PP

Hal 4

IPP (MW) PLN (MW)

Electricity for a Better LifeNAD

89,79% SumutK lti

Kategori :

> 60 %Kepri

ELEELECCTRIFITRIFICCAATTIION RATIO ON RATIO 20122012

84,41%

Riau 80,16% Kalbar

76,32%

Kalteng77,37%

Kaltim70,92%

Sulut83,36%Gorontalo

66 50%

Malut75,84%

41 - 60 %

20 - 40 %

93,98%

Sumbar81,85%

Sumsel74,95%

66,50%

Sulteng73 99%

Sulbar74,60%

Papua Barat65,17%

Bengkulu

Babel89,71%

Jakarta

Jambi86,22%

BaliKalsel

73,99%

Sultra68,12% MalukuBengkulu

77,38%

Lampung76,75%

100%

Banten69,81%

Bali76,90%

83,44%Sulsel78,77%

a u u78,76%

Papua34,64%

RENCANA (Tahun)REALISASI (Tahun)

Jabar70,82%

Jateng77,85%

DIY75,98%

Jatim72,32%

NTB57,50%

NTT45,47%

Hal 5

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Rasio Elektrif ikasi

63% 64,3% 65,15% 65,79% 67,15% 72,95% 75,30% 77,65% 80,0%


FUTURE CONDITIONFUTURE CONDITION

Hal 6

Electricity for a Better Life350 000 300 000

ELECTRIC DEMAND PROJECTION 2011-2020 (GWh)

I d t i200 000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Indonesia

200,000

250,000

300,000

Jawa‐Bali

Residensial

BisnisPublik

Industri

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

Residensial

BisnisPublik

Industri

50,000

100,000

150,000

0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Residensial

0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

35,00060,000

PublikIndustri20,000

25,000

30,000

Indonesia Timur

blikIndustri

30 000

40,000

50,000

Indonesia Barat

Residensial

Bisnis

Publik

5,000

10,000

15,000

Residensial

BisnisPublik

10,000

20,000

30,000

Hal 7

0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


Target of National Energy Mix -2025

• Presidential Decree No 5/2006 regarding National Energy Policy

Bio-fuel 5 %

Coal 33 %

N&REGeothermal 5 %

OilOil

Gas 30 %Gas 30 %N&RE17 %

Biomass, Nuclear,Hydro Solar Power

20 %20 %Hydro, Solar Power,Wind Power 5 %

Coal Liquefaction 2 %

Hal 8


Projected Demand : 2011-2020

IB 10 2%

24 TWh

55 TWh

IB : 10,2%

13 TWh

31 TWh

IT : 10,8%

125 TWh

241 TWh

JB : 7,9%

Average growht of Indonesia Electricity demand 8,46% annually2011 2020

Hal 9


Fuel Mix Indonesia 2011-2020

G

LNGHSD

21% 19% 17% 15% 12% 8% 8% 8%4%

3%5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 9% 8%

2%

1.1%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

16.12%8.57%

3.93%1.81% 0.99% 0.88% 0.77% 0.70% 0.70% 0.71%

90%

100%

Gas

MFO 17%21%

21% 19%

0%

5%

60%

70%

80%

Coal

61% 63%63% 64% 64% 65% 64% 64%

40%

50%

60%

50% 54%

20%

30%

Geothermal

Hydro

6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%

5% 4% 4% 5% 8% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12%

0%

10%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Hal 10

Hydro

Share of RE plan to increase from 11 % (2011) to 18 % ( 2020 )

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Impor Biomass Surya/Hybrid HSD MFO LNG Gas Batubara Geothermal Hydro


Plan of Additional Plants Expansion

5,583

6,877

5,941

7,164

6,436

6,000

7,000

8,000

4,971

4,271 4,181

5,034 4,882

3 000

4,000

5,000

1,000

2,000

3,000

‐

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

PLTU PLTA PLTP PLTGU PLTG PLT Lain Total

New Plants Expansion up to 2020: 55,3 GW• Coal : 35,6 GW• Hydro : 5,7 GW

• Geothermal:: 6,2 GW

Hal 11

• Combine Cycle: 3,3 GW• Gas Turbine: 4,1 GW

• Others: 0.4 GW


RENEWABLE (GREEN ) AND NEW ENERGY OUTLOOKRENEWABLE (GREEN ) AND NEW ENERGY OUTLOOK

Hal 12

Electricity for a Better LifePLN h l d h d it l hi t i i f it

Green Energy in PLN Perspective

• PLN has already had a quite long history in using green energy for itselectricity generation,

• The use of green and new energy is further encouraged since theThe use of green and new energy is further encouraged since theenactment of Presidential Decree No.5/2006 regarding the NationalEnergy Policy,

P id ti l D N 5/2006 t t th t t f d• Presidential Decree No.5/2006 sets out the target of green and newenergy mix in 2025 to be 17% (from ~ 5% in 2006) of the total energyconsumption in the country.

• Along with the government policy, PLN keeps seeking to increase itsgreen energy mix for electricity generation by including the scenario inits General Plan of Electricity Facility Development (RUPTL) for 2011‐2020.

• Development of Green energy will be progressed intensively depend ontechnology development and economic viability .

Hal 13


ALTERNATIVE & RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCE POTENTIAL

No RESOURCES Potential

1 Hydro 75,000 MWy ,

2 Biomass 50 GW

3 Mini/Microhydro 500 MW

4 S l 4 8 kWh/ 2/d4 Solar 4,8 kWh/m2/day

5 Wind 3 - 5 m/s

6 Geothermal 29,000 MW

7 N l 3 GW i 11

Hal 14

7 Nuclear 3 GW in 11 year


RENEWABLE ENERGY MIX ROADMAP

2010Non-ReNEW Hydro Geothermal

12%

2020Non-ReNEW Hydro Geothermal

12% 3%6%

12%

85% 82%

• The development of Green Energy Power Plants is part of PLN scenario for securing the electricity supply for the country which as a whole will require huge financing capability.

• 18 % green energy mix will improve National Average Grid Emission Factor

Hal 15

from 0.778 kgCO2/kWh in 2011 to 0.756 kgCO2/kWh in 2020.


DEVELOPMENT PLAN OF POWER GENERATION CAPACITY (INCL. GREEN & NEW ENERGY DEVELOPMENT)

Tahun 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 TotalPLN

Coal STPP 3,774 4,112 2,971 1,426 1,570 250 1,110 898 1,404 1,522 19,036 Comb. Cy. PP 444 743 116 - - - - - 750 750 2,803 Gas TPP 222 405 1,030 790 140 30 85 480 75 630 3,887 Diesel PP - 1 33 41 41 22 - 22 17 18 194 Geo. PP 24 63 55 13 235 83 20 20 20 220 752 Mi i HEPP 4 17 30 49 7 3 5 5 2 2 123

PLN

Mini HEPP 4 17 30 49 7 3 5 5 2 2 123 HEPP 8 20 - 4 242 1,598 541 279 744 950 4,385

Total PLN 4,477 5,360 4,234 2,323 2,234 1,985 1,761 1,704 3,012 4,092 31,179

Coal STPP 924 1,029 102 1,521 2,719 4,582 3,675 1,110 425 450 16,537 Comb. Cy. PP 150 130 180 - - - - - - - 460

IPP

Gas TPP - 104 102 - - - - - - - 206 Diesel PP - - - - - - - - - - - Geo. PP - - 60 245 855 343 937 1,270 1,590 195 5,495 Mini HEPP 16 22 204 90 44 1 1 - - - 378 HEPP 10 200 8 45 70 246 40 83 - 135 837

Total IPP 1,100 1,485 656 1,901 3,688 5,172 4,653 2,463 2,015 780 23,913

Coal STPP 4,698 5,141 3,073 2,947 4,289 4,832 4,785 2,008 1,829 1,972 35,573 Comb. Cy. PP 594 873 296 - - - - - 750 750 3,263 Gas TPP 222 509 1,132 790 140 30 85 480 75 630 4,093 Diesel PP - 1 33 41 41 22 - 22 17 18 194 Geo. PP 24 63 115 258 1,090 426 957 1,290 1,610 415 6,247

PLN+IPP

Mini HEPP 20 38 234 139 51 4 6 5 2 2 501 HEPP 18 220 8 49 312 1,844 581 362 744 1,085 5,222

Total PLN+IPP 5,577 6,844 4,890 4,224 5,922 7,157 6,414 4,167 5,027 4,872 55,092 SMALL SCALE GREEN & NEW ENERGY PP

7 32 81 51 22 7 23 14 7 10 253

Hal 16

• Total Capacity of Green & New Energy PP to be built in the period is 12,222 MW(total capacity of Geothermal PPs, Hydro Electric PPs-HEPP, Mini HEPPs, and Small Scale Green & New Energy PP)

• 55% of the total capacity of Green Energy PP will be expected from IPPs


DEVELOPMENT PLAN OF SMALL SCALE POWER GENERATION UTILIZING GREEN & NEW ENERGY

No RE Plant unit

Year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 TOTAL

1 Mini Hydro MW 23 37 198 126 46 193 203 214 225 235 1500

2 Solar PV MWp*) 2 30 50 60 70 70 75 75 80 80 5922 Solar PV MWp ) 2 30 50 60 70 70 75 75 80 80 5923 Wind Power MW 0 0 10 10 15 15 20 20 25 25 1404 Biomass MW 16 33 35 35 35 40 40 45 45 50 3745 Sea Current MW 0 0 2 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 276 Bi F l MW**) 10 1 1 14 8 8 96 Bio-Fuel MW**) - 10 15 15 14 8 7 7 8 9 93

7 Coal Gassification MW 6 32 81 43 22 7 22 14 6 10 243

TOTAL MW 47 142 391 289 202 338 372 380 394 414 2 969TOTAL MW 47 142 391 289 202 338 372 380 394 414 2,969

Hal 17


CURRENT INTENSIVE RE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM

2nd FAST TRACK PROGRAM

PV 100 ISLANDS

3967 Mw of Geothermal and 1200 Mw HydroIn year 2016

20 Mwp capacity operated in 2012

PV 1000 ISLANDS

p p y p

225 Mwp capacity between 2013-2015

SOLAR HOME SYSTEM

SOLAR THERMAL 5 Mw capacity in 2015 ( R & D )

400 000 Houses on 2014SOLAR HOME SYSTEM

MICRO AND MINIHYDRO Currently 163 IPPs, 665 Mw (operating 36 Mw )

400.000 Houses on 2014

BIO MASS Currently 19 Projects, 91 Mw ( operate 61 Mw )

Hal 18

SEA CURRENT 2 Mw in planning ( R & D )


MAJOR CHALLENGES OF GREEN ENERGY DEVELOPMENT

Major Challenges faced by PLN in utilizing green & new energy for electricity generation, i.e.:

1 The Electricity demand grow fast while about 1/3 of1. The Electricity demand grow fast while about 1/3 of the country is not yet electrified,

2. The country needs relatively low electricity price to be able to support economic growth,

3. Electricity price from Green Energy PP still relatively higher than Conventional Energy PPhigher than Conventional Energy PP,

4. The limited financing capability of PLN,

5. Providing attractively cooperative schemes to encourage5. Providing attractively cooperative schemes to encourage participation of private investor in Green Energy Development.

Hal 19


IPP SCHEME FOR GREEN ENERGY DEVELOPMENT

• PLN as a electricity single buyer from IPP Power Plant

• PLN concern to capacity, energy production, energyPLN concern to capacity, energy production, energyprice, availability and continuity

• IPP Provider/Developer responsible to the Power• IPP Provider/Developer responsible to the PowerPlant, the Technology of PP, O&M

• As far as no other developer at a certain proposed PP• As far as no other developer at a certain proposed PPlocation, bidding process by direct appointment (for up to25 MW)

• Great opportunity for private to make a Power PurchaseAgreement with PLN in IPP Scheme

Hal 20


CONCLUSION

• Electricity demand in Indonesia is growing fast to cope withthe economic growth and the effort for electrifying entireareas of Indonesia,

• Utilization of Green Energy in Power Generation has beenconsidered to be part of PLN scenario in securing electricityp g ysupply for the country, and also for PLN becoming anenviromentally friendly enterprise,

• Government of Indonesia plays very essential role forencouraging optimum utilization of Green Energy for PowerGeneration.

• Green energy is and will develop intensively and playing thevital role as an future energy sources in Indonesia

Hal 21

gy


Hal 22TerimaTerima kasihkasih

Electricity for a Better Life - Indonesia Power Generation...• Along with the government policy,...

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