ELECTRICITY · ELECTRICITY 101 The following slide deck contains data and information about CEA and...
Transcript of ELECTRICITY · ELECTRICITY 101 The following slide deck contains data and information about CEA and...
2
ELECTRICITY
101The following slide deck contains data and
information about CEA and the Canadian Electricity
Industry. The data is derived from 3rd party sources
(i.e., World Bank, StatsCan, IEA, Environment
Canada) and has been visualized by CEA.
Table of Contents
Canadian Electricity Association
L E A R N M O R E A B O U T T H E N A T I O N A L V O I C E O F
C A N A D I A N E L E C T R I C I T Y .
• Vision and Mission
• Strategic Goals
• CEA Councils
• Energy Efficiency
• Smart Grid
• Human Resources
• Sustainable Electricity
• Vision 2050
4
Canadian Electricity
Association (CEA)
Founded in 1891, the Canadian Electricity
Association is the national forum and voice of the
evolving electricity business sector in Canada.
Vision: CEA will be the leading energy association, indispensable to the regional, national, and international success of its
members, ensuring they remain at the forefront of customer service, sustainability , and technological innovation.
Mission: CEA is the national voice for safe, secure and sustainable electricity for all Canadians, and provides its members with
value-added products and services to advance the strategic interests of Canada’s electricity industry.
5
Scenarios and Issues CEA and the
Industry
Effectiveness
Member Services
Canadian Electricity
Association
Through scenarios identify emerging trends and issues, and promote the interests of members accordingly.
Business Scenarios and Emerging Issues
Ensure the appropriate positioning of electricity, CEA and the industry.
CEA and the Industry
Create and share knowledge to mitigate members’ business risk, and provide the services and support that members need.
Member Services
Ensure the efficiency and effectiveness of the organization.
Association Effectiveness
Canadian Electricity Association Strategic Goals
6
CEA Councils
The story of our industry is told through our councils and committees
Seeks to increase the value of electricity service to Canadians.
Customer
Promotes competitive and efficient electricity markets in Canada and the United States.
Power Marketers
Focuses on technological and regulatory developments associated with smart grid development and deployment, advanced meter performance, power quality issues, and national trends in provincial distribution utility regulation.
Distribution
Formulates positions on transmission, including cross border reliability, electric and magnetic fields and utility properties.
Transmission
Develops and Influences policy associated with investment in electricity generation infrastructure as well as manages environmental and health impacts related to generation.
Generation
7
Energy Efficiency and Conservation Demand Management
The Canadian Electricity Association (CEA) will facilitate the development of key Energy Efficiency & Conservation Demand Management (EE&CDM) messages to be used on a national basis and for policy advocacy. The main objective is to consistently convey the cost/benefits of EE&CDM to key stakeholders and member customers.
EE and CDM is a cost-effective option that contributes to meeting climate change targets.
Encouraging EE and CDM is good for utility business and the economy.
EE and CDM is a cost effective and complementary alternative to address infrastructure constraints.
Electric Utilities are leaders in EE and CDM and are well positioned to design, deliver education and programs to customers.
EE and CDM initiatives can be maximized through an integrated and collaborated approach between government and utilities.
8
EE and CDM initiatives respond to needs of utility customers.
• A suite of information-based applications through increased automation of the electricity grid and the underlying
automation and communication infrastructure itself
• Smart grid is posed to deliver grid resilience, environmental performance, and/or operational efficiencies
• Design and implementation of the smart grid integrated system aims to achieve desired customer priorities,
interoperability with legacy infrastructure, and be appropriate for use with respect to geographical location and
other needs
• Key characteristics or capabilities:
• Demand response, facilitation of distributed generation, facilitation of electric vehicles, optimization of asset
use, and problem detection and mitigation
• Capabilities supported by development of hard infrastructure, soft infrastructure through stakeholder
engagement
• Expected results in new service offerings, reduced delivery charges, and faster response time
• Security, privacy, implementation cost, and stakeholder engagement requires collaborationamong vendors, policy-makers, regulators and utilities
Smart Grid
9
• Providing a safe environment for general public as well as ensuring the health and safety of employees and contractors in the workplace,
• Support a fair, respectful and diverse workplace for our employees and contractors, and investing in human resources
• Partnering with communities and stakeholders, communicating and engaging in a transparent and timely manner
• Engaging Aboriginal Communities while respecting their culture and traditions
Human Resources
10
Commitment by CEA Member Utilities
Sustainable Electricity Program
11
LOW-CARBON FUTURE
Climate change management and mitigation
Internal energy efficiency and customer conservation programs
Electrification of transportation, buildings and processes
INFRASTRUCTURE RENEWAL AND MODERNIZATION
Investments in new and refurbished infrastructure
Integration of renewable energy
System reliability and resiliency against severe weather impacts
BUILDING RELATIONSHIPS
Early engagement and consultation with local communities, stakeholders and Aboriginal Peoples
Enhancement of the customer experience
Support for low-income customers
RISK-MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
Environmental stewardship
Employee, contractor and public health and safety
Security management systems and standards
BUSINESSINNOVATION
Investments in innovation and technology advancement
Engagement of regulators, supply chain partners and other stakeholders
Employee recruitment, training and retention
In 2016, the CEA Sustainable Electricity Program adopted a new set of strategic
pillars and performance indicators to better communicate the electricity sector’s
sustainability goals and commitments:
Vision for Canada’s Electricity Sector
The four key recommendations of Vision 2050 include:
• Accelerating customer innovation and management of energy;
• Implementing financial instruments for carbon reduction,
including a North American carbon price that is implemented
across the economy;
• Enabling electric vehicles; and,
• Expanding collaboration with the U.S. to optimize electricity
assets while expanding opportunities for electricity storage and
the export of low-carbon electricity.
Vision 2050
12
Regulatory
C A N A D A H A S A S T R O N G R E G U L A T O R Y E N V I R O N M E N T .
• Canada’s Multi-Jurisdictional
Environment
• Electricity Structures Market in
Canada
• Canada’s Regulatory Regime
• The Integrated North-American Grid
• NERC Regions
• Regulations to Address GHG
13
Jurisdictional Division of Responsibility
Provincial/Territorial Governments Federal Government
• Resource management within provincial
boundaries
• Intra-provincial trade and commerce
• Intra-provincial environmental impacts
• Generation and transmission of electrical
energy
• Conservation and demand response policies
• Resource management on frontier lands
• Nuclear safety
• Inter-provincial and international trade
• Trans-boundary environmental impacts
• Environmental impacts where federal lands,
investment or powers apply
• Codes, standards and labeling relating to conservation
and demand
• Other policies of national interest
Canada’s Multi-Jurisdictional Environment
14
• Vertically-integrated Crown Corporation.
Nunavut
NWT
Yukon
BC
Alberta
Saskatchewan
Newfoundland
Nova Scotia
PEI
• Vertically-integrated Crown Corporation.
• Investor-owned distribution utility provides service in several communities.
• Vertically-integrated Crown Corporation and investor-owned distribution utility.
• Procures electricity from New England market and long-term contracts with New Brunswick.
• Wholesale open access
• Investor-owned utility regulated on cost-of-service
New Brunswick• Wholesale open access
• Vertically-integrated Crown corporation
Québec• Wholesale open access
• Vertically-integrated Crown corporation
• Expanding IPP development
Ontario
• Industry unbundling (1998)
• Wholesale & retail open
• access (2002)
• Hybrid regulation and competition model
Manitoba• Wholesale open access
• Vertically-integrated Crown corporation
• Wholesale open access
• Vertically-integrated Crown corporation
• Vertically-integrated Crown Corporation.
• Investor-owned distribution utility provides service in several communities.
• Wholesale and industrial open access
• Vertically-integrated Crown Corporation serves 94% of customers
• Mandatory Power Pool
• Wholesale & retail open access (2001)
• Fully competitive wholesale market
Electricity Market Structure in Canada
15
Canada’s Regulatory Regime for Large Energy Projects
Environmental Assessment Process PermittingPlanning Follow-up
Species at Risk Act - EC/DFO
Canadian Environmental Assessment Act - CEA Agency*
Explosives Act - NRCan
Fisheries Act - DFO
NWPA - TC
Metal Mining Effluent Regulations - EC/DFO
National Energy Board Act - NEB*
Nuclear Safety and Control Act - CNSC*
Impact reviews (YESAA, MVRMA Land Claim / CEAA)
Innuvialuit Final Agreement - INAC* Management Boards
Territorial Lands / Water ActLand use plans
Others: MBCA / IBWTA / CPRA / Offshore Accords / CEPA
* Permits required under other Acts trigger CEAA OGD participants | Illustrative – some components would not apply to same project NWPA – Navigable Waters Protection Act / YESAA – Yukon Environmental and Socio-Economic Assessment ActMVRMA – Mackenzie Valley Resource Management Act / MBCA - Migratory Birds Convention Act / IBWTA – International Boundary Waters Treaty Act / CPRA – Canadian Petroleum Resource Act / Offshore Accords – Canada - NS and NFLD Offshore Accords / CEPA – Canadian Environmental Protection Act16
17
The Integrated North American Grid
Details: Lines shown are 345kV and
above. Transmission Lines under
345KV do not appear on this map.
18
North American Electric Reliability
Corporation Regions (NERC)
Source: NERC
19
Regulations to Address GHG emissions from
Coal-fired Electricity (2012)
Source: Environment Canada
• Establish an emissions performance standard of 420 tonnes of CO2 per gigawatt hour of electricity produced for new coal-fired electricity generation units (those commissioned after July 1,2015), and units that have reached the end of their life.
• The proposed Regulations are to be promulgated under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act (CEPA) and are set to come into effect on July 1, 2015.
• Existing and new units may apply for a deferral in meeting the performance standard until January 1, 2025, if the technology for Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is incorporated.
• The regulation will be effective only if compliance is achievable.
• Compliance will contribute to clarity and stability for industry that will enable investment in electricity infrastructure to flow.
• Cumulative reduction in GHG emissions of approximately 214 megatonnes and cumulative health benefits of $4.2 billion expected in the first 21 years.
• Some jurisdictions will be more heavily impacted than others.
Industry
T H I S I N D U S T R Y E M P L O Y S O V E R 8 0 , 0 0 0 P E O P L E .
• Industry Overview
• Labour Statistics
• Customer Reliability
• Electricity Consumption with
Human Development Index
20
62.8 TW.hNet Exports
648 TW.hGeneration
99.91% Customer Reliability
80,730 Employed
$31.2 Billion GDP
Electricity supports quality of life, economic well-being, and a clean environment.
Electricity
CANADIAN
ELECTRICI
TY
INDUSTRY2.69 Billion Trade Revenue
39.16% CO2 Eq. Reduction Since 2000
Over 80% Non-Emitting
CO2
Industry Overview
21
22
Industry Labour Statistics in Canada
Source: StatsCan, CANSIM Table 383-0031 | Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Excludes contractors, consultants, vendors and related manufacturers dedicated to the industry.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Peo
ple
Electric Power (Generation, Transmission and Distribution)
2017: 80,730
23
Customer Reliability in Canada
Source: Canadian Electricity Association, Service Continuity Committee
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
99.84%
99.86%
99.88%
99.90%
99.92%
99.94%
99.96%
99.98%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Canadian Index of Reliability (IoR)
IOR (All Events) IoR (Sig events removed)
2013 Ice Storm, 2013 Alberta and Toronto Floods,
2015 BC Windstorm
2010 Hurricane Igor and Earl
24
Electricity Consumption Benefit
Data Source: HDI data, HDI Definition: United Nations; and Energy Consumption: Open Data Portal, World Bank
Data Retrieved: August 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
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Trade
E L E C T R I C I T Y T R A D I N G B E T W E E N C A N A D A A N D
T H E U S A B E G A N I N 1 9 0 1 .
• Major Canada-US Transmission
Interconnections
• Canadian Electricity Exports/Imports
by Province
• National Trade Volume Trends
• Trade Prices Trends
• Trade Revenue Trends
26
Major Canada-U.S.
Transmission Interconnections
Source: National Energy Board
Data Retrieved: July 2016; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
27
Canadian Electricity Imports and Exports by Region (2016)
Data displayed are in gigawatt-hours. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.Source: National Energy Board, Electricity Exports and Imports, 2016.
28
Canadian Electricity Imports and Exports by Region (2017)
Data displayed are in gigawatt-hours. Numbers may not sum due to rounding.Source: National Energy Board, Electricity Exports and Imports, 2017.
BCEXP 13,975IMP 8,597NET 5,378 AB
EXP 622IMP 578NET 44
SKEXP 266IMP 35
NET 231
MBEXP 9,951IMP 161
NET 9,790ON
EXP 16,967IMP 206
NET 16,761
QCEXP 27,250
IMP 125NET 27,125
NBEXP 1,233IMP 202
NET 1,031
NSEXP 79IMP 0
NET 79
NLEXP 1,399
IMP 0NET 1,399
CANADAEXP 72,141IMP 9,904
NET 62,237
29
Trade Volume
Data Source: National Energy Board (NEB) and Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 176-0064
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Terr
awat
t.h
ou
rs (
TW.h
)
Canada-U.S. Electricity Trade Volume (1990-2017)
Exports (TW.h) Imports (TW.h) Net Exports (TW.h)
30
Trade Prices
Data Source: National Energy Board (NEB).
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0
20
40
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100
120
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CD
N$
/MW
.h
Canada - U.S. Electricity Trade Prices (1997-2017)
Exports (CDN$/MW.h) Imports (CDN$/MW.h)
0.00
1.00
2.00
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4.00
5.00
6.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Bill
ion
CD
N$
Canada - U.S. Trade Revenue (1990 -2017)
Exports Imports Net
31
Trade Revenue
Data Source: National Energy Board (NEB).
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
California Energy Crisis (2000 – 2001)
Global Financial Crisis(2009)
32
Supply & Demand
A R E S U M E O F A N A L Y T I C S F R O M M A Y 2 0 1 4 T O M A Y 2 0 1 5
• Generation Capacity (US and Canada)
• Electricity Demand in Canada (1 year)
• Electricity Demand in Canada (1990-2015)
• Electricity Generation by Fuel (1995-
2015)
• Electricity Generation Outlook (2040)
• Electricity Generation Breakdown
Comparison (2015)
Generation by Province (2016)
• Canada’s Wind Capacity (2016)
33 Data Source: U.S. Data from Energy Information Administration, 2016; Canada Data from StastCan,CANSIM Table 127-0009
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Generating Capacity143.44 GW
Generating Capacity 1,177.18 GW
Canada United States
Generating Capacity (US. & Canada, 2017)
Conventional Steam Turbine
14.49%
Combustion Turbine8.66%
Internal Combustion
Turbine0.94%
Nuclear9.78%
Hydro56.36%
Wind8.35%
Solar/Tidal1.43%
Coal24.67%
Petroleum3.35%
Natural Gas43.54%
Nuclear8.90%
Hydro8.58%
Wind6.97%
Solar1.88%
Biomass1.36%
Geothermal0.32%
Other0.42%
34
Electricity Demand
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 128-0016
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Total Electricity Demand in Canada for 2016 = 501.90 TWh
Industrial41%
Transportation1%
Residential33%
Public Administration3%
Agriculture2%
Commercial and Institutional20%
ELECTRICITY DEMAND BY SECTOR IN CANADA (2016)
35
Electricity Demand by Sector (Trend)
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 128-0016
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Total Electricity Demand in Canada for 2016 = 501.90 TWh0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TWh
Electricity Demand by Sector in Canada (1990-2016)
Industrial Transportation Residential Public Administration Agriculture Commercial & Institutional
36
Electricity Generation by Fuel
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 127-0001, Table 127-0002, 128-0014
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Total Electricity Generation by Utilities & Industry in Canada, 2015 = 640.43 TWh
0.00
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1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Twh
Generation by Fuel (1995-2016)
Hydro Nuclear Coal and Coke Natural Gas Oil and Diesel Biomass Solar Wind Tidal Steam from Waste Heat
Total Electricity Generation by Utilities & Industry in Canada, 2016 = 648.11TWh
37
Electricity Generation Outlook by Fuel Type
Source: NEB, https://www.neb-one.gc.ca/nrg/ntgrtd/ftr/2016/index-eng.html#s8
Data Retrieved: June 2018;
2040
38 Data Source: Statistics Canada CANSIM Table 127-0001, 128-0014, Table 25-10-0019-01
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Generated587.91 TWh
Generated648.29 TWh
Electricity Generation Breakdown
Hydro, 60.82%
Nuclear, 16.45%
Coal and Coke, 10.55%
Natural Gas, 7.19%
Oil and Diesel, 0.59%
Biomass, 0.38%
Solar, 0.30%
Wind, 5.06%
Tidal, 0.00%
Steam from Waste Heat, 0.02%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Generation by Fuel - Utilities Only (2016)
Hydro Nuclear Coal and Coke Natural Gas Oil and Diesel Biomass Solar Wind Tidal Steam from Waste Heat
Hydro, 59.55%
Nuclear, 14.82%
Coal and Coke, 9.50%
Natural Gas, 9.88%
Oil and Diesel, 0.62%
Biomass, 1.24%Solar, 0.31%
Wind, 4.73%
Tidal, 0.00%
Steam from Waste Heat, 0.04%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Generation by Fuel Industry and Electric Utilities (2016)
Hydro Nuclear Coal and Coke Natural Gas Oil and Diesel Biomass Solar Wind Tidal Steam from Waste Heat
39
Supply Industries and Utilities by Province
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 127-0001, 128-0014, 127-0007
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
40
Canada’s Wind Capacity (2017)
Data Source: CANWEA (as of December 2017)
Data Retrieved: February 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Province/Territory Capacity (MW)
Yukon 0.8
NWT 9.2
Nunavut 0
British Columbia 698
Alberta 1,479
Saskatchewan 221
Manitoba 258
Ontario 4,900
Québec 3,510
New Brunswick 294
PEI 204
Nova Scotia 610
Newfoundland 55
12,239 MW
41
Environmental Sustainability
T H E E N V I R O N M E N T I S E V E R Y T H I N G T H A T I S N ’ T M E .
A L B E R T E I N S T E I N
• Low Emissions and Sustainable
Technologies
• Emissions - Sulphur Oxide
• Emissions - Nitrogen Oxide
• Emissions – Mercury
• Emissions – Particulate Matter
• Emissions Trends (previous 4 trends)
• Emissions – Carbon Dioxide Equivalent
• CO2 source by Economic Sector Trend
• Factors on the Change in GHG Emissions
• Coal Fleet Profile
• NOx and Sox Reductions from CO2 regulation
• GHG Emissions in the US (1990-2015)
• GHG Emissions by Sector
Canada with US
Low Emission and Sustainable Technologies Used
for Electricity Generation in Canada
Resource Advantages Challenges
Wind Power No fuel cost, no emissions or waste, renewable source of
energy, commercially viable source of power
Less cost competitive than conventional energy source, variable
energy resource, transmission issues, environmental concerns with
regards to noise and interaction with birds, land use issues
Small Hydro
Low capital costs, many potential sites in Canada, well
established technology, able to meet small incremental
capacity needs, reduction in GHG emissions
Regulatory approval can be costly and time consuming, access to
grid, local opposition to new development
BiomassUses landfill gas, wood pellets, and waste products to create
electricity, reduces greenhouse gas, high availability of sites
High capital equipment and fuel costs; produces some emissions;
access to transmission, competition for biomass materials use
Geothermal Energy
Reliable source of power, low fuel and operating costs, clean
and renewable source of energy
High capital costs, connecting to the grid can be difficult, few
potential sites in Canada
Solar PV
Reliable, renewable energy source with zero emissions and
silent operation, fuel is free, suitable for areas where fossil
fuels are expensive or where there is no connection to the
grid
Restrictive and lack of grid connection for remote areas, not cost
competitive, sun does not always shine and potential varies across
regions
Ocean Energy Costs are expected to decline as technology develops,
intermittent, but predictable source of green energy
Potentially intrusive to marine life, investment is needed to
promote research and development
Clean Coal Highly efficient, potential for reduced greenhouse gas
emissions High capital costs, lengthy start-up period
42
43
Sulphur Oxide Emissions
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Since 2000, the Canadian electricity sector has reduced its SOxEmissions by 59.12%
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700.00
Kilo
ton
ne(
Kt)
Electricity Sector in Canada Sulphur Oxide (SOx) Emissions (1990-2016)
44Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
In 2016, in Canada Sulphur Oxide emissions were measured at 1,066.63 kilotonnes
Sulphur Oxide Emissions
Total Ores and Mineral Industries
45%
Total Oil and Gas Industry23%
Total Electric Power Generation
24%
Total Manufacturing4%
Total Transportation2%
Total Agriculture1%
Total Commercial/Residential/Institutional
1%
2016 Sulphur Oxide Emissions in Canada by Sources
45
Nitrogen Oxide Emissions
Since 2000, The Canadian electricity sector has reduced its NOx Emissions by 50.54%
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0.00
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ton
ne
(kt)
Electricity Sector in Canada Nitrogen Oxide (NOx) Emissions (1990-2016)
46Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
In 2016, in Canada Nitrogen Oxide emissions were measured at 1,813.72 kilotons
Nitrogen Oxide Emissions
Total Ores and Mineral Industries
4%
Total Oil and Gas Industry
27%
Total Electric Power Generation
9%
Total Manufacturing
4%
Total Transportation52%
Total Commercial/Residential/In
stitutional4%
2016 Nitrogen Oxide Emissions in Canada by Source
47
Mercury Emissions
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Since 2000, the Canadian electricity sector has reduced its Hg Emissions by 66.7%
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gram
s (k
g)
Electricity Sector in Canada Mercury Emissions (1990-2016)
48Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
In 2016, in Canada Mercury emissions were measured at 4,280.80 kg
Mercury Emissions
Total Ores and Mineral Industries
33%
Total Oil and Gas Industry
2%
Total Electric Power Generation
17%
Total Manufacturing3%
Total Transportation2%
Total Commercial/Residential/I
nstitutional13%
Total Incineration and Waste30%
2016 Mercury Emissions in Canada by Source
49Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Since 2000, the Canadian electricity sector has reduced its PM2.5 emissions by 85.25%
Particulate Matter Emissions
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(kt
)
Electricity Sector in Canada PM2.5 Emissions (kt)
50Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
In 2016, in Canada PM2.5 emissions were measured at 1,605.81 kilotonnes
Particulate Matter Emissions
Ores and Mineral Industries
2.06%
Oil and Gas Industry0.70%
Electric Power Generation0.21%
Manufacturing1.09%
Transportation2.27%
Agriculture19.19%
Commercial/Residential/Institutional
11.43%
Dust62.32%
Fires0.56%
2016 Particulate Mattr Emissions by Source in Canada
51
Emissions Trends (1990-2016)
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
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1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
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ton
nes
(kt
)
Electricity Sector in Canada PM2.5 Emissions (kt)
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Electricity Sector in Canada Sulphur Oxide (SOx) Emissions
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19901992199419961998200020022004200620082010201220142016
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gram
s (k
g)
Electricity Sector in Canada Mercury Emissions
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ton
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Electricity Sector in Canada Nitrogen Oxide (NOx) Emissions (1990-2016)
52Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Since 2000, the Canadian electricity sector has reduced its CO2 Eq. Emissions by 39.16%
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions
0
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Meg
ato
nn
es o
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02
Eq.
Electricity Sector Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Canada (1990-2016)
Coal Natural gas Other
53Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
In 2016, in Canada CO2
Eq. emissions were measured at 704 Megatonnes
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions
Oil and Gas 26%
Electricity 11%
Transportation25%
Heavy Industry11%
Buildings11%
Agriculture10%
Waste & Others6%
2016 CO2 Equivalent Emissions by Economic Sector in Canada
54
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Air Pollutant Emissions Database
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1990-2016 Trend of CO2 Eq. Emissions by Economic Sector
Oil and gas
Transportation
Buildings
Electricity
Heavy industry
Agriculture
Waste and others
55
Electricity Sector Leads In CO2 Eq. Reduction
Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada, Canada‘s Emissions Trends 2014
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Electricity Transportation Oil & Gas BuildingsEmissions-
intensive & Tradeexposed
Agriculture Waste and Others
2005 121 168 159 84 89 68 47
2012 86 165 173 80 78 69 47
2020 71 167 204 98 90 70 46
Change 2005 to 2020 -50 -1 45 14 1 2 -1
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
Mt
CO
2Eq
Forecasted Change in Emissions by Sector 2005-2020
56
Factors on the Change in GHG Emissions
Source: UNFCCC, National Inventory Report for Canada, for 1990-2015
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
1990 - 2015 2005 - 2015
Notes:
Demand – the level of electricity generation activity in the sector and consists of generation from combustion and non-combustion sources. Generation mix – the relative share of combustion and non-combustion sources in generation activity.Fuel mix (combustion generation) – the relative share of each fuel used to generate electricity. Energy efficiency – the efficiency of the equipment used in combustion related generation of electricity. Emission factors – The emission factor effect reflects changes to fuel energy content over time.
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
Cap
acit
y (M
W)
Coal Capacity Reduction - Retirement as per the Proposed Amendment to the Coal Regulation (2018)
57
Coal Fleet Profile (MW)
Source: NPRI data
Data Retrieved June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
58
NOx and SO2 Reductions from CO2 Regulation
Source and assumptions: NPRI data was used for existing unit emissions, forecast based on 2009-2011 operation, coal unit retirement from 45-50 years as outlined in the 2012 Reduction of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Coal-Fired Generation of Electricity Regulations
Source: NPRI data
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Reduction in NOx emissions from 2002 levels:
• 50% reduction by 2020
• 80% reduction by 2030
Reduction in SO2 emission from 2002 levels:
• 54% reduction by 2020
• 84% reduction by 2030
59
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trends (1990-2016)
Source: Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks (1990-2016), Figure ES-14
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
60
U.S./Canada Greenhouse Gas Emissions (2016)
Source: Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks (1990-2016), Figure ES-14; Environment Canada, National Inventory Report (1990-2016) Table S-3,
Data Retrieved: July 2018; Visual Created by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Emission Total –Canada: 704 Mt CO2 Eq.
Emission Total –United States: 6,511 Mt CO2 Eq.
Electricity Generation, 28.03%
Transportation, 28.15% Industry, 21.34%
Agriculture, 9.29%
Commercial, 6.30%
Residential, 5.04%
U.S. Territories, 0.71%
2016
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
U.S. GHG Emissions by Economic Sector (2016)
Oil and Gas , 25.94% Electricity , 11.16%Transportation, 24.62%
Heavy Industry, 10.61%
Buildings, 11.56%
Agriculture, 10.22%
Waste & Others, 5.88%
2016
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
GHG Emissions in Canada by Sector (2016)
61
• Canada’s Future Residential
Electricity Needs
• Population Growth and Residential
Needs (BAU)
• Population Growth and Residential
Needs (Economic)
• Household Spending
(1999-2015: Cumulative Change)
• Household Spending 1999 vs. 2015
• Household Spending 2010 vs. 2015
• Multinational Comparisons
Residential Pricing (Bar chart)
• Multinational Comparisons
Residential Pricing (Bubble Chart)
• Pricing Canadian Urban Centres
– Residential
• Multinational Comparisons
Industrial Pricing (Bar chart)
• Multinational Comparisons
Industrial Pricing (Bubble Chart)
• Electric Vehicle Penetration (Canada)
• Electric Vehicle Penetration (World)
Price & Customers
T H E R E I S A F U N D A M E N T A L C O S T I N P R O V I S I O N I N G
E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A N A T I O N .
62
Canada’s Future Residential Electricity Needs
Data Source: StatsCan, CANSIM Table 052-0005; Moderate Growth from Canada’s Energy Future 2016, Open Data Portal
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
RESIDENTIAL USAGE129,831 GWh/yr
POPULATION27.79 Million
2015
POPULATION35.85 Million
RESIDENTIAL USAGE207,668 GWh/yr
2040
POPULATION44.05 Million
2050
POPULATION46.87 Million
RESIDENTIAL USAGE220,953 GWh/yr
B U S I N E S S A S U S U A L S C E N A R I O
Demand with Moderate Economic Growth Residential Usage350,660 GWh/yr
Residential Usage373,092 GWh/yr
1990
RESIDENTIAL USAGE169,016 GWh/yr
Population Growth and Residential Needs
Data Source: StatsCan, CANSIM Table 052-0005
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
Elec
tric
ity
Nee
ds
(GW
.h/y
r)
Per
son
s (x
1,0
00
)
Forecasted Population Growth in Canada (2025 - 2055)
Electricity Needs Low Growth Moderate Growth High Growth
Business as usual scenario. Electricity Needs based on Moderate Population Growth.
63
64Data Source: StatsCan, CANSIM Table 052-0005 , Moderate Growth from Canada’s Energy Future 2016, Open Data Portal
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
Elec
tric
ity
Nee
ds
(GW
.h/y
r)
Per
son
s (x
1,0
00
)
Forecasted Population Growth in Canada (2025 - 2055)
Electricity Needs With Moderate Economic Growth Electricity Needs (BAU) Low Growth Moderate Growth High Growth
Moderate Economic and Population Growth and Energy prices. Electricity needs are far superior.
Population Growth and Residential Needs
65Data Source: StatsCan, Table: 11-10-0222-01 (formerly CANSIM 203-0021)Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Electricity47.04%
Cumulative changes per Household from 1999-2016.
Internet Services235.79%
Household Spending (1999 - 2016)
73.8%
760.9%
58.6%74.8%
756.6%
140.4%
Percentage increase in 2015 comparing against 1999 household spending levels.
Data Description
Property Taxes
Internet Services
Electricity Public Transit
Cell Phone Services
Waterand Sewage
133.5 TW.hResidential Demand in 1999
164.2 TW.hResidential Demand in 2016
Data Source: StatsCan, CANSIM Table 203-0021
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association66
Household Spending (1999 vs. 2015)
67Data Source: StatsCan, CANSIM Table 203-0021
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Spending Increases Per Household Comparing 2016 to 2010.
Property Taxes18.12%
Electricity18.22%
Internet Services53.09%
Cell Phone Services51.16%
Public Transit9.72%
Water and Sewage28.57%
Household Spending (2010 vs. 2016)
68
Multinational Comparison (Residential Pricing)
Data Source: World Energy Statistics 2016, IEA
Data Retrieved: July 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
69Data Source: World Energy Statistics 2017, IEA, and Open Data Portal, World Bank
Data Retrieved: July 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Multinational Comparison (Residential Pricing)
Shaded area indicates top
quartile.
70
Canadian Urban Centres Comparison
(Residential Pricing)
Data Source: 2017 Edition Comparison of Electricity Prices in North America in Major North American Cities, Hydro-Québec
Data Retrieved: May 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Pricing is impacted by time-of-use rates, consumption patterns, adjustment clauses. This data is taken from Hydro-Québec price comparison study and is calculated according to base rates.
71
Multinational Comparison (Industrial Pricing)
Data Source: World Energy Statistics 2016, IEA
Data Retrieved: July 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
72Data Source: World Energy Statistics 2016, IEA, and Open Data Portal, World Bank
Data Retrieved: July 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Multinational Comparison (Industrial Pricing)
Shaded area indicates top
quartile.
73
Electric Vehicle Sales (Canada)
Data Source: World EV Outlook 2017, IEA,
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
In 2016 Canada sold a total of 11.58 Thousand EV’s
74
Electric Vehicle Penetration (World)
Data Source: World EV Outlook 2017, IEA,
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
75
Financials
I N 2 0 1 6 T H E E L E C T R I C I T Y I N D U S T R Y R E P R E S E N T E D
1 . 7 % O F T H E N A T I O N A L G D P .
• GDP Contribution • Utility Investments • Utility Investments (with
Conference Board of Canada
reference)
76
GDP Contribution
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 379-0031
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Bill
ion
s
Electric Power(Generation, Transmission, Distribution) to Canada's GDP (2000-2017)
Electricity GDP (2007 Chained Dollars)
30.6 Billion CDN$
31.2 Billion CDN$
77
Utility Investments
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 029-0050, Annual Capital and Repair Expenditures Survey
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CD
N d
olla
rs (
x 1
,00
0,0
00
)
Annual Capital and Repair Expenditures
Power distribution networks Electric power infrastructure
78
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 029-0050, Annual Capital and Repair Expenditures Survey; Conference Board of Canada, Shedding Light on the Economic Impact of Investing in Electricity Infrastructure, 2012
Data Retrieved: June 2018; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Or 17.38 Billion CDN$ annually from 2010 to 2030
Conference Board of Canada: Total Investment Required by 2030 = 347.5 Billion CDN$
Utility Investments
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CD
N d
olla
rs (
x 1
,00
0,0
00
)
Annual Capital and Repair Expenditures
Power distribution networks Electric power infrastructure Annual Spending Requirements
79
Infrastructure Projects
I N F R A S T R U C T U R E I S C R I T I C A L T O N A T I O N A L
S E C U R I T Y A N D L O N G E V I T Y .
• Known Generating Stations (Renew/MPMO) Slide 1
• Known Generating Stations (Renew/MPMO) Slide 2
• Manitoba-Minnesota Transmission Project
• Known Transmission Projects (Renew/MPMO)
80
Known Generation Projects (Renew/MPMO)
Data Source: MPMO Tracker, (Major Project Management Office), Renew Magazine Top 100 Projects List
Data Retrieved: May 2018,; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Project Name Description ProponentProject
TypeLocation Value ($)
Estimated Completion
Amisk Hydroelectric Project 330 MW AHP Development Corp Hydro AB TBD TBD
Beauharnois Station RenovationsRefurbishment
Hydro-Quebec Hydro QC 1.6 2019
Bruce Power Nuclear Refurbishment
6,300 MW Bruce Power Nuclear ON 13B 2030
Chinook Power Station 350 MW SaskPower Natural Gas SK 0.68B 2019
Darlington Nuclear Refurbishment 3,512 MW OPG Nuclear ON 12.8B 2025
Genesee 4 and 5 Generation Units 1060 MW ENMAX, Capital Power Natural Gas AB 1.4B 2019
Gordon Shrum Power Station Refurbishment
Refurbishment BCHydro Hydro BC 0.6B 2022
Great Spirit Power Project 930 MW Focus Energy GroupNatural Gas
AB 1.5B TBD
John Hart Generating Station Replacement Project
Refurbishment BCHydro Hydro BC 1.093B 2019
81
Project Name Description Proponent Project Type Location Value ($) Source
Keeyask Hydroelectric Generation
695 MWKeeyask Hydropower Limited Partnership
Hydro MB 8.7B 2020
Lower Churchill Hydroelectric Generation
3,074 MW Nalcor Energy Hydro NL TBD TBD
Milner Energy Centre520 MW
ExpansionMaxim Power Natural Gas AB 1B 2020
Muskrat Falls Project 824 MWNalcor Energy ,
EmeraHydro NL 12.7B 2020
Naikun Offshore Wind Energy 396 MW Naikun Wind Energy Wind BC TBD TBD
Rehabilitation of Robert Bourassa Generating Units
Refurbishment Hydro-Quebec Hydro QC 0.743B TBD
Romaine Complex 1,550 MW Hydro Quebec Hydro QC 6.5B 2020
Site C Clean Energy Hydroelectric Generation
1,100 MW BC Hydro Hydro BC 9.385B 2024
Tazi Twe HydroelectricGeneration
50 MWSaskatchewan Power
Corp.Hydro SK 0.5B 2019
Known Generation Projects (Renew/MPMO)
Data Source: MPMO Tracker, (Major Project Management Office), Renew Magazine Top 100 Projects List
Data Retrieved: May 2018,; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
82
MPMO Project Name Description Proponent Location Value ($)Estimated
Completion
Bipole III Transmission Line 1,384 km line Manitoba Hydro MB 5.04B 2018
Chamouchouane-Bout-de-l’IleTransmission Line
735 kV line (406 km) Hydro-Quebec QC 1.4B 2018
East-West Transmission Tie 230kV line NextEra Energy Canada/ Enbridge ON 0.6B 2020
Fort McMurray Transmission Line500 kV AC line (over
900km)AESO AB 1.43B 2019
ITC Lake Erie Connector50 kV International Power
Line (IPL)ITC Holdings Coporation ON TBD TBD
Juan de Fuca Power Cable 550 MW line Sea Breeze Power BC 0.665B TBD
Manitoba-Minnesota Transmission Project
500 kV AC line Manitoba Hydro MB TBD TBD
Maritime Link Transmission500-MW, +/- 200 to
250-kV HVDC & HVACENL Maritime Link Inc. NL/NS 1.577B 2018
Romaine 315kV and 735kV lines Hydro Quebec QC 1.3B 2020
Wakaynikaneyap Transmission Project
1,800 km line FortisOntario ON 1.35B 2024
Major Transmission Projects (MPMO/Renew)
Data Source: MPMO Tracker, (Major Project Management Office), Renew Magazine Top 100 Projects List
Data Retrieved: May 2018,; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
83
Manitoba-Minnesota Transmission Project
Data Source: StatsCan CANSIM Table 128-0016
Data Retrieved: July 2017; Visual Created by the Canadian Electricity Association
Winnipeg
HVDC Line +/- 500kV(600 miles)
HVDC Line +/- 500kV(850 miles)
Manitoba Hydro
Minnesota
Power
• Manitoba Hydro (MH): 500 kV line to U.S. border.
• Minnesota Power (MP): 500 kV line from border to Duluth.
• “Hydro by wire” from Manitoba enables “wind by wire” from NorthDakota.
• Overall project enhances regional reliability and provides energy market benefits.
• 2020 expected in-service date.
New Line
Existing Line
84
FOR MORE INFORMATIONCONTACT US
Canadian Electricity Association
275 Slater Street, Suite 1500
Ottawa, Ontario, K1P 5H9
613.230.9263
Twitter: @CDNElectricity
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