Elections and Voting Behavior
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Transcript of Elections and Voting Behavior
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Elections and Voting BehaviorElections and Voting Behavior
Chapter 10
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How American Elections WorkHow American Elections WorkThree types of elections:
– Select party nominees (primary elections)– Select officeholders (general elections)– Select options on specific policies
Referendum:– State voters approve or disapprove proposed
legislation.– Often used for constitutional amendments.
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How American Elections WorkHow American Elections Work
Initiative petition:– Voters in some states propose legislation to be
voted on.– Requires a specific number of signatures to be
valid.– Usually the work of policy entrepreneurs.– Can still be voted down by the people.
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A Tale of Three ElectionsA Tale of Three Elections
1800: The First Electoral Transition of Power– No primaries, no conventions, no speeches– Newspapers were very partisan.– Campaigns focused on state legislatures - they
were the ones that chose the Electoral College.– After many votes in the House, power was
finally transferred to Jefferson peacefully.
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A Tale of Three ElectionsA Tale of Three Elections1896: A Bitter Fight over Economic
Interests– Democrat’s main issue: Unlimited coinage of
silver.– William Jennings Bryan won the Democratic
Party nomination with speeches about the virtues of silver.
– McKinley won the election, and the Republicans became the party of power.
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A Tale of Three ElectionsA Tale of Three Elections
2000: What a Mess!– In Florida, the difference was small enough to
have a recount.– Bush and Gore differed on which ballots to
count and how to count them.– Various legal disputes ensued, and the U.S.
Supreme Court let Bush’s election lead stand.– How big a factor was Nader?
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Figure 10.1
A Tale of Three ElectionsA Tale of Three Elections
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Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First ChoiceFirst Choice
Deciding Whether to Vote– U.S. typically has low voter turnouts.– Some argue it is a rational choice to not vote.– Political Efficacy: The belief that one’s political
participation really matters.– Civic Duty: The belief the in order to support
democratic government, a citizen should always vote.
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Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First ChoiceChoice
The Decline of Turnout: 1892-2000 (Figure 10.2)
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Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First ChoiceFirst Choice
Registering To Vote– Voter Registration: A system adopted by the
states that requires voters to register well in advance of the election day.
– Registration procedures differ from state to state.
– Motor Voter Act: Requires states to permit people to register to vote when the apply for their driver’s license.
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Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First ChoiceFirst Choice
Who Votes?– Education: More education = more likely to
vote. Most important factor.– Age: Older = more likely to vote.– Race: Caucasian = more likely to vote. BUT,
other ethnicities are higher with comparable education.
– Gender: Female = more likely to vote.
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Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First ChoiceFirst Choice
Who Votes? (continued)– Marital Status: Married = more likely to vote.– Union Membership: Union member = more
likely to vote.– Traits are cumulative - possessing several adds
up.
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Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First Whether to Vote: A Citizen’s First ChoiceChoice
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How Americans Vote:How Americans Vote:Explaining Citizens’ DecisionsExplaining Citizens’ DecisionsMandate Theory of Elections
– The idea that the winning candidate has a mandate from the people to carry out his or her platforms and politics.
– Politicians like the theory better than political scientists do.
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How Americans Vote: How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizen's DecisionsExplaining Citizen's DecisionsParty Identification
– People generally vote for a party they agree with.
– Rise of candidate-centered politics has changed this view.
– Now many voters are individualistic.– Characteristics of each candidate have become
more important than party.
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How Americans Vote: Explaining How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizen’s DecisionsCitizen’s Decisions
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How Americans Vote: How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizen's DecisionsExplaining Citizen's DecisionsCandidate Evaluations: How Americans See
the Candidates– Candidates want a good visual image.– Most important dimensions are integrity,
reliability and competence.– Personality still plays a role.
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How Americans Vote: How Americans Vote: Explaining Citizen's DecisionsExplaining Citizen's Decisions
Policy Voting– Basing your vote choice on issue preferences.– Must know where they and the candidates stand on
issues and see differences between candidates.– Candidates can be ambiguous on the issues.– The press tends to focus on the “horse race” not the
issues.– Today candidates are forced to take a clear stand in the
party primaries.
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The Last Battle: The Electoral The Last Battle: The Electoral CollegeCollege
Electoral College actually elects the President - founders wanted him chosen by the elite of the country
States choose the electorsWinner-Take-All system gives bigger
emphasis to more populated states
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The Last Battle: The Electoral The Last Battle: The Electoral CollegeCollege
How it works today:– Each state has as many votes as it does Representatives
and Senators.– Winner of popular vote typically gets ALL the Electoral
College votes.– Electors meet in December, votes are reported by the
vice president in January.– If no candidate gets 270 votes (a majority), the House of
Representatives votes for president, with each state getting ONE vote.
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The Last Battle: The Electoral The Last Battle: The Electoral CollegeCollege
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Understanding Elections and Understanding Elections and Voting BehaviorVoting Behavior
Democracy and Elections– Voters can steer government only when there
are noticeable policy differences between the candidates.
– Candidates who vow to continue popular policies are more likely to win elections.
– Policies affect voting behavior through retrospective voting .
– Bad economies make politicians nervous.
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Understanding Elections and Understanding Elections and Voting BehaviorVoting Behavior
Elections and the Scope of Government– Elections generally support government
policies and power.– Voters feel they are sending a message to
government to accomplish something.– Thus, the government expands to fill the needs
of the voters.