EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision...

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EIDA EIDA Project Project ( Proposal ) ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Research and Technical Background E E mergency mergency I I ntelligent ntelligent D D ecision ecision A A ssistant: ssistant: Toolkit for Coordinated Emergency Toolkit for Coordinated Emergency Management Management by Claudio Balducelli Sandro Bologna , Adam Maria Gadomski ENEA, July 1995

Transcript of EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision...

Page 1: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDAEIDA Project Project ( Proposal )( Proposal )

Research and Technical BackgroundResearch and Technical Background

EEmergency mergency IIntelligent ntelligent DDecision ecision AAssistant:ssistant:

Toolkit for Coordinated Emergency ManagementToolkit for Coordinated Emergency Management

by Claudio Balducelli Sandro Bologna , Adam Maria Gadomski

ENEA, July 1995

Page 2: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA - Project (proposal)EIDA - Project (proposal)

SummarySummary

Project GoalsProject Methodologies and ToolsProject Realization

amg

Page 3: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Toolkit : 1) Domain problem conceptualization tools2) Modeling tools 3) Methodology, methods and techniques4) Software design tools 5) Software modules

Project Goals : Project Goals : Development of a domain-oriented toolkit and itsvalidation for a class of Emergency Managementactive Decision Support Systems.

amg

Page 4: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

active Decision Support Systems

Goal-driven decisional support which is basedon: user role-model domain model M-M cooperation model

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Page 5: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Project Methodology and Tools - TOGA Project Methodology and Tools - TOGA

Top-downObject-basedGoal-orientedApproach

Top-downObject-basedGoal-orientedApproach

Basic conceptual couple:

Basic paradigmes:

Environment Intelligent Agentinteraction

Page 6: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Top-down and Object-based : Top-down and Object-based :

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Object-basedObject-based

Top-downTop-down Structuraldecompositionof concepts

Representationof conceptsin term of objectsand relations

Page 7: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Goal-oriented (example): Goal-oriented (example):

E-M goal (losses, risk, intervention,..) ,

Domain( losses generation events, risk objects, ..)

search search

search

Maps (...)

search

Toxic substances risk model

support of

Page 8: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Project main phasesProject main phases

1 - User Requirement specification

2 - Modeling

3 - Tools prototyping and verification

4 - Demos (user oriented applications) validation

Page 9: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA ProjectEIDA Project

Generic Emergency Management ScenarioN-th Decompositon level:

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model n

Sub-Model 1

. . . .

Sub-Model 2. . . . Sub-Model m

Architecture of EIDA kernel

Architectureof an ideal emergencymanager

Verification

Validation

. . .

modification

modification

integration

integration

selection

. . .1

2

3 Prototype 1 Prototype mPrototype 2 . . .

User oriented demos4

Page 10: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Formalization of the Applicative Formalization of the Applicative DomainDomain

Wp1Wp1

SummarySummary

- Domain of EM Activity

- EM Activities and Tasks

- EM operators organizational structure

Page 11: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Formalization of the Applicative Formalization of the Applicative DomainDomain

Wp1 Wp1

- Domain of EM Activity -> Reusing Muster Model

- EM Activities and Tasks -> Use Task Analysis

- Agents organizational structure -> ISEM Model

Methods and ToolsMethods and Tools

Muster and ISEM are EU projects.

Page 12: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

SummarySummary

- Definition of a Common Terminology

- Single Agent Model

- Decisional Model Based on Agents Cooperation

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System Requirements Wp2Requirements Wp2

Page 13: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System Requirements Wp2Requirements Wp2

Methods and ToolsMethods and Tools

Single Agent Model ( TOGA Th.):

Physical Domain of Activity

ActionsData acquisition

NewInformation Decisions

Goals

AD

P K

AD

P

K

Abstract - Domain;a representation

of Physical Domainof Activity

Agent PreferenceSystem

Agent KnowledgeSystem

Page 14: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System RequirementsRequirements

Wp2Wp2

Methods and Tools -> GEMS top-activities loopMethods and Tools -> GEMS top-activities loop

Detecting/monitoring

Diagnostics Previsions Decision-Making

Domain models Emergency org. models What-if simul. Role-preferences

Informationacquisition:with/withoutrequest

Causesearching

Consequencesearching

Action / taskchoice

ComunicationAgent

DiagnosticAgent

EvaluatorAgent

Action SelectorAgent

Page 15: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Methods and ToolsMethods and Tools

Diagnostic agent structure:

Domain representation -> focused on the Causal Trees of the Emergency Events and Risk Objects

Preference System -> the agent goal is to send to the evaluator agent more and more precise informations about event causes and event characterization Knowledge System -> has the task to execute Cause Searching Process. It could be based on Case Based Reasoning approach

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System Requirements Wp2Requirements Wp2

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Methods and ToolsMethods and Tools

Evaluator agent structure:

Domain representation -> focused on Causal Trees of the Emergency Events and Risk Objects

Preference System -> the agent goal is to refine evaluations performing a Consequence Searching Process

Knowledge System -> is supported by Numerical Simulators and/or executes a qualitative Case Based Reasoning

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System Requirements Wp2Requirements Wp2

Page 17: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Emergency propagation mapEmergency propagation map

primary event

registrated event

cause searchingmodel

consequencesearchingmodel

Domainmodel

Domainmodel

- risk

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System Requirements Wp2Requirements Wp2

A.M.Gadomski, 1995

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Methods and ToolsMethods and ToolsAction selector agent structure:

Domain representation -> focused on organizational emergency structure, management resources and physical layout;

Preference System -> the agent goal is to choice the best recovery actions and procedures on the basis of evaluation results;

Knowledge System -> is composed by an action selector and an action executor. The action selector could be supported by a a Rule Based processing.

Definition of Models and System Definition of Models and System Requirements Wp2Requirements Wp2

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Specification of EIDA ToolKit KernelSpecification of EIDA ToolKit Kernel Wp3Wp3

Methods and ToolsMethods and Tools

- Choose of adeguate final software environment.

- Software functional Specification and Testing (for the different agents) using a Case Tool

- Design a Protocol for Data exchange between the agents

- Design the Users Interface architecture

Page 20: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

Implementation and Validation of Implementation and Validation of EIDA ToolKit KernelEIDA ToolKit Kernel

Wp4 -Wp5Wp4 -Wp5

Methods and ToolsMethods and Tools

- Incremental implementation of the EIDA software Agents

- Verification and Validation of the produced Kernel modules respect at least two different Users oriented prototypes.

- Generalization of the produced ToolKit to support its utilization in other application of the same class

Page 21: EIDA Project ( Proposal ) Research and Technical Background Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Emergency Intelligent Decision Assistant: Toolkit.

EIDA proposalEIDA proposal

Toolkit for Coordinated Emergency ManagementToolkit for Coordinated Emergency Management

Set of decision-support tools (agents)

Intelligent interface (agent)

EIDA System

Emergency manager

Coordinator