Eesti Energia Investor Presentation · Nordic and Baltic power market with added value from unique...
Transcript of Eesti Energia Investor Presentation · Nordic and Baltic power market with added value from unique...
Eesti EnergiaInvestor Presentation
22 August 2012
This presentation and any materials distributed or made available in connection herewith (collectively, the “presentation”) have been prepared by Eesti Energia AS (the “Company”) solely for your use and benefit for information purposes only. By accessing, downloading, reading or otherwise making available to yourself any content of the presentation, in whole or in part, you hereby agree to be bound by the following limitations and accept the terms and conditions as set out below.
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The presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer, solicitation or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company or any member of its group nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company or any member of its group, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. Any person considering the purchase of any securities of the Company must inform himself or herself independently before taking any investment decision. The presentation has been provided to you solely for your information and background and is subject to amendment. Further, the information in this presentation has been compiled based on information from a number of sources and reflects prevailing conditions as of its date, which are subject to change.
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Disclaimer
2
Margus KaasikChief Financial Officer
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone: +372 715 2203
Veiko RäimHead of Investor Relations and Treasury
E-mail: [email protected]: +372 715 2884Mobile: +372 5668 1568
Presenting Today
3
• Leading oil-shale-to-energy company, 100% owned by the Republic of Estonia
• Integrated utility operating on converging Nordic and Baltic power market with added value from unique shale oil business
• Total revenues and other operating income €858m, assets of €2bn and EBITDA of €265m in 2011
• 40% of revenues and EBIT from regulated activities in 2011
• Rated Baa1 / BBB+ from Moody's and S&P with stable outlook
• Reasonable leverage with long term maturity profile
Introducing Eesti Energia
4
• Preliminary reading of Q2 GDP growth at 2% y-o-y (0.4% q-o-q)
– Mainly IT and construction contributing to the expansion
– Growth nevertheless slower than in Q1 2012 (3.4% y-o-y)
• June exports increased by 7% in current prices (1H 2012 average 3%)
• Most recently credit ratings affirmed by Fitch (01 June 2012, A+, stable outlook) and Moody´s (30 July 2012, A1, stable outlook)
• Economic outlook dominated by moderate growth expectations, while unemployment expected to continue trending lower
2011 2012E
GDP change (%) 7.6 2.6*
Inflation change (%) 5.1 3.9*
Unemployment (%) 12.5 10.5*
Government surplus/ deficit as % of GDP 1.0 -1.5*
Government gross debt as % of GDP 6.0 n.a.
Current account balance / GDP (%) 3.2 -2.6*
Estonia's Export Partners June 2012
Sources: Statistics Estonia, Eurostat,* Forecast Source: Bank of Estonia
19%
16%
13%9%
5%4%
4%4%
14%
12%Sweden
Finland
Russia
Latvia
Lithuania
Germany
USA
Norway
Rest of EU
Rest of World
Source: Statistics Estonia
Update on Estonian Economy
5
• 350 MW Estlink 1 power cable between Estonia and Finland operational from 2007
• Nord Pool Spot power market established in Estonia in April 2010
• In 2011 prices in Estonia and Finland equal ca 50% of hours
• Integration to Nord Pool to be improved with 650 MW Estlink 2 cable (expected commissioning in 2014)
• 700MW Nordbalt cable between Lithuania and Sweden potentially commissioned by 2016
• Most recently NordPool Lithuania price area established on 18 June 2012
RUSSIA
FINLAND
SWEDEN
ESTONIA
Moscow
St. Petersburg
Murmansk
WHITESEA
BARENTSSEA
RUSSIA
NORWAY
LITHUANIA
LATVIA
DENMARK
BELARUS
UKRAINE
Gotland
Oland
Minsk
Riga
Stockholm
Oslo
Copenhagen
Goteborg
Stavanger
Kaliningrad
BALTICSEA
NORTHSEA
POLAND
Vilnius
GERMANY
NETHERLANDS
GULFOF BOTHNIA
Tallinn
Helsinki138
TWh
137TWh
26TWh
81TWh
Planned interconnectors Existing interconnectors Nordpool Spot member
Source: Eurelectric, data for 2009
Estonia is Part of
6
Quarterly Power Price and Spread dynamics
NordPool Estonia Price Higher than in Finland
• Average quarterly price in Nord Pool Estonian price area 34.6 €/MWh -23.3%), in the Finnish price area 32.4 €/MWh -37.7%)
• Hourly prices in Estonian and Finnish price areas equal 57.2% of the time in Q2 2012
• Estonian hourly prices higher than Finnish prices 38.8% in Q2 2012
• Despite reduced power prices, EE dark clean spread (excl. oil shale and CO2costs) was higher than in year 2011 (12.5 €/MWh, +22.9% y-o-y)
7
1 2 413 10 13 12
2013
36
48 5047 45 44
3843
35
-20
0
20
40
60
2Q
2010
3Q
2010
4Q
2010
1Q
2011
2Q
2011
3Q
2011
4Q
2011
1Q
2012
2Q
2012
€/MWh
Nord Pool Estonia price areaDark Clean SpreadSpread between Nord Pool Estonia and Hels inki
Revenues
43
132
95
0
30
60
90
120
150
Q2 2010 Q2 2011 Q2 2012
m€
-27.9%
Investments
69
26
47
0
20
40
60
80
Q2 2010 Q2 2011 Q2 2012
m€
+82.2%
EBIT
38 3742
0
10
20
30
40
50
Q2 2010 Q2 2011 Q2 2012
m€
+13.5%
Operating cash flow
Higher EBIT and Cash Flow in Q2 2012
170206 177
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q2 2010 Q2 2011 Q2 2012
m€
-14.1%
8
Revenues 14% below Q2´2011
Breakdown of Revenues Q2 2012Change of Group Revenues by Products
37
5650
5
6
1210 1
Electricity sales at regulated pricesElectricity sales at non-regulated pricesSales of network servicesSales of heatSales of oil shaleSales of liquid fuelsOther services and productsOther income
m€
9
177
+1 -9 +10 -3-27
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
Revenues Q22011
Electricitysales at
regulatedprices
Electricitysales at non-
regulatedprices
Sales ofnetworkservices
Sales of liquidfuels
Otherrevenues
Revenues Q22012
m€
206
Non-recurring revenue from sale of 11% stake in Jordanian subsidiary €16.2m
10
Free CO2 allowance and Higher Network Service Margins Behind Growing EBIT
Impact on Group’s profitability:
37 42+8
+7+3 +2 (4)
(3)(8)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
EBIT
Q2 2011
Higher
profitability
of
Distribution
Network
Higher
profitability
of
electricity
sales
Lower
repair
expenses
Higher
renewable
energy
production
Higher
depreciation
Lower
oil
sales
profitability
Lower
impact
from
non-
recurring
items
EBIT
Q2 2012
m€
Investment Project
Capex up to 30 June
2012 (EUR million)
Expected Future Capex (EUR
million)Expected
completion Expected result
Distribution networks 2011-2014
78 222 2014 Reduced network losses, smart metering
Desulphurisation equipment in Narva Power Plant
105 12 2012 Compliance of existing 800 MW of (gross) installed capacity with lower SO2emission limits
Narva wind park 55 4 2012 New wind park with 39 MW capacity
Paldiski wind park
26 6 2012 New wind park with 22.5 MW capacity
Iru waste-to-energy plant
45 60 2013 New CHP plant with capacity of 17 MWe and 50 MWh
New CFB powerplant in Auvere
147 491 2016 New biomass / oil shale fired CFB power plant with 300 MW (gross) generating capacity
Investment Plan and Key Projects
11
Investment Plan and Key Projects (Cont’d)
Investment Project
Capex up to 30 June 2012 (EUR
million)
Expected Future Capex (EUR
million)
Expected Comple-
tion Expected Result
Enefit-280 oil plant
182 33 2012 Additional annual oil production capacity of up to 290,000 tons of shale oil, additional products up to 78 m3 of high calorific value retort gas and up to 307 GWh of electricity
Development of oil shale industry infrastucture
16 9 2012 Infrastructure development for potential oil industry expansion and new CFB power unit in Estonia
Predevelopment of liquid fuels industry in USA
33 37 Development up to 2016
Opportunity to invest in an oil project with planned capacity of producing50,000bbl of oil per day in the US
Predevelopment of liquid fuels and electricity industry in Jordan
7 23 Development up to 2016
Opportunity to invest in oil project (planned capacity of producing38,000bbl of oil per day) and power project (oil shale power plant with 500MW capacity) in Jordan
12
New Enefit280 Oil Plant
• Designed based on the process in existing oil plant with added features and increased capacity
• EPC agreement signed in July 2009
• Hot commissioning started on 26 July 2012
• Successful launch of the plant a prerequisite for potential further investments in oil sector
13
Long Term Funding by Bond Issue and Equity Injection
• Liquid assets 144 million euros at 30 June 2012
• Issue of 300 million euro 4.25% notes due in 2018 to finance capex program
• Equity injection of 150 million euros on 10 July 2012
• EUR 595m unused credit lines as of 30 June 2012
14
* (excl. Deposits and other financial assets)
Liquidity Comments
Net debt* / EBITDA**
1.0
1.6
2.1
0
1
2
3
Q2 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012
* Net debt = borrowings at nominal value – cash and cash equivalents (incl. deposits with maturities more than 3-months)
** EBITDA – rolling 12 months
12
+207
719
47-131
9
65
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Liquidity31.03.2012
Operatingcash flows
Investmentcash flows*
Financingcash flows
Liquidity30.06.2012
m€
Other financial assets
Deposits with maturities of more than 3 months
Cash and cash equivalents
Outlook for FY2012
15
EBIT and EBITDA outlook
168265
050
100150200250300
2011 2012 2011 2012
EBIT EBITDA
m€
Revenue Outlook
• Revenue outlook changes:
� Lower electricity prices and related lower electricity sales
• EBIT and EBITDA outlook changes :
� Lower opex including CO2 costs
858
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2011 2012
m€
Stable
Comment
GrowthGrowth
• Eesti Energia (Baa1/BBB+, both with stable outlook) is an integrated utility active in the converging Nordic and Baltic power market, 100% owned by the Republic of Estonia (A1/AA-(n)/A+)
• Approximately 40% of the Group’s revenues and EBIT from regulated activities in 2011, final step of power market deregulation in 2013
• Long term funding consisting of EUR 150m equity increase and EUR 300m new Eurobond completed in 2012ytd
• Comfortable liquidity position (EUR 740m) as of end Q2 2012
• 2H 2012 focus on the new Enefit280 oil factory commissioning
Summary
16
Eesti Energia Results in Q2´2012
Appendix 1
37 37
Revenues (m€)
1195 1222
Volume (GWh)
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Electricity Market Full Opening in 2013
CommentsElectricity Sales at Regulated Prices
+2.3% +1.1%
• Average sales price in the regulated market 30.4 €/MWh (-1.1%)
• Upon joining the EU, Estonia agreed to open its electricity market to competition
– Estonian Parliament approved corresponding amendment to Electricity Market Act on 6 June
• Law enacts public supply conditions
– Distribution Network is obliged to supply consumers who have not chosen electricity supplier on average monthly NordPool Estonia spot price
18
1267
922
Volume (GWh)
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
65
56
Revenues (m€)
CommentsGroup Electricity Sales at Unregulated Prices
24% Retail Market Share in Baltics
• Retail sales 591 GWh (+87 GWh), with average Q2 open market shares 68% in Estonia, 20% in Latvia and 7% in Lithuania
– Largest y-o-y sales growth from Latvia to 184 GWh (+83 GWh, +82%)
• Sales on power exchanges and to wholesale buyers reduced to 331GWh (-432 GWh) due to low wholesale prices
• Average open market sales price 48.7 €/MWh (+3.0% y-o-y, excluding renewable energy subsidies)
• Renewable energy subsidies grew to 11.3 mln euros (+105.3%) due to increased generation
19
-27,2% -14,0%
1376 1414
Volume (GWh)
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
24% Increase in Distribution Revenues
CommentsSales of Network Services
• Average Q2 2012 network tariff of32.7 €/MWh (+18.5%)
• Q2 network losses were at 4.1% (-0.2 percentage points)
– 12-month average network losses at 5.8%
20
40
50
Revenues (m€)
+2,8% +24,4%
42
34
Sales volume (th tonnes)
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
16
12
Revenues (m€)
CommentsSales of Liquid Fuels
-19.6%
-21.9%
Lower Production Impacting Oil Sales
• Lower production volume decreased liquid fuels sales
• Average sales price 364 €/t(-3.0% y-o-y)
– Excluding price hedges average sales price 461 €/t (+9.0%)
– Average price of heavy fuel oil, the reference product, 517 €/t
• As at end of June 2012, 2H 2012 sales hedged against price risk amounted to 67.2 thousand tonnes with an average price of 451 €/t
21
74
45
96
5
4
6
3
16
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
m€
Sale of businessSales of electrical equipmentSales of repair and construction servicesSales of oil shaleSales of heatOther revenues
48
21
• Non-recurring revenue from the sale of 11% stake in Jordanian business and revaluation of remaining stake in Q2 2011 (-16.2 million euros)
• Sales of electrical equipment and repair and construction services decreased due to commissioning of new Enefit280 oil plant (-4.5 million euros)
• Reduction in telecommunication revenues (-2.9 million euros) due to sale of subsidiary in Q1 2012
• Reduction in sales of oil shale (-2.9million euros) due to lower miningvolume
CommentsOther Revenues
Decline in Non-recurring Revenues
-55.5%
22
Retail Profitability – Higher Electricity Sales Volume and Margin
� +1.0 million euros due to higher electricity sales
� +0.6 million euros due to higher electricity sales margin
� -1.1 million euros due to sale of telecommunication subsidiary
Impact on Retail division profitability:Retail Division
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Electricity sales (GWh) 1725 1783
71
2
69
0
20
40
60
80
Revenue Opex EBIT
m€
74
1
73
0
20
40
60
80
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
23
Distribution Network ROIC at 7.4%
Impact on Distribution Profitability:Distribution Network subsidiary
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Electricity distributed (GWh) 1444 1477
Distribution network ROIC 4.9% 7.4%
� +6.7 million euros due to increase in network service margin
� +0.9 million euros due to increase in network service sales volume
� +0.9 million euros due tochanges of amortization period ofconnection fees
� +0.8 million euros due to lower network losses
� -0.7 million euros due to increase in depreciation
� -0.6 million euros due to increase in maintenance and fixed costs
52
15
37
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
42
7
35
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
24
100
20
80
0
30
60
90
120
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
� +15.5 million euros due toincrease in electricity salesmargin
� +8.7 million euros due to lowerenvironmental provisions
� +4.4 million euros due to lower fixed costs
� +1.8 million euros due to higher renewable energy production
� -6.8 million euros due to decrease in electricity sales volume
� -3.1 million euros due to increasein depreciation
Impact on Generations Profitability:Electricity and Heat Generation Division
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Electricity sales (GWh) 2527 2238
Electricity generation (GWh) 2316 2049
Electricity purchase (GWh) 213 192
Heat sales (GWh) 132 143
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
110
2
109
0
30
60
90
120
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
Free CO2 allowances Boost Generation Division EBIT
25
� +3.0 million euros due to lower fixed costs
� –16.2 million euros non-recurring revenue from the sale of 11% stake in Jordanian subsidiary and revaluation of remaining stake in Q2 2011
� -3.6 million euros due to decline in the variable profit of oil shale mining
� -3.1 million euros due to decrease in oil profitability
Impact on Fuels (excl Mining) division:Fuels Division
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
Shale oil sales (th tonnes) 43 36
Q2 2011 Q2 2012
59
6
53
0
20
40
60
80
100
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
Non-Recurring Revenues in Q2 2011 Weigh on Fuels Division
26
76
27
16
65
0
20
40
60
80
100
Revenues Opex EBIT
m€
92
€ 23 mln
€ 42 mln
€ 23 mln
€ 7 mln
Distrubution NetworkGenerationFuelsOther
Capex at €95m in Q2 2012
Major projectsCapex divisional breakdown Q2 2012
• Distribution networks 23 million euros
• Paldiski wind park 18 million euros
• New CFB power plant 14 million euros
• New Enefit280 shale oil plant 14 million euros
• Desulphurisation equipment in Narvapower plant 6 million euros
• Iru waste-to-energy plant 5 million euros
• Oil shale mining equipment 4 million euros
Capex€95m
27
Profit and Loss Statement
Q2 Change 6 months Change
million euros 2012 2011 % 2012 2011 %
Revenues 177.1 206.0 -14.0% 412.9 443.0 -6.8%
Expenses 134.8 168.7 -20.1% 314.2 361.6 -13.1%
EBITDA 69.7 60.7 14.9% 152.1 127.2 19.5%
Depreciation 27.4 23.3 17.2% 53.3 45.8 16.3%
EBIT 42.3 37.3 13.4% 98.8 81.4 21.3%
Net financial income /(-expenses) -0.8 -1.5 -46.5% -1.2 -3.2 -65.0%
Income tax on dividends 16.9 14.6 16.3% 16.9 14.6 16.2%
Net profit 24.6 21.2 15.7% 80.7 63.6 26.9%
28
Balance Sheetmillion euros 30 June 2012 30 June 2011
Changemillion euros
Total current assets incl. 335.6 296.4 39.2Cash and cash equivalents 70.6 87.3 -16.7Deposits with maturity of more than 3 months 65.0 55.0 10Trade receivables 77.2 99.8 -22.6Inventories 55.8 34.7 21.1Other 66.9 19.6 47.3
Total non-current assets 1939.7 1525.8 413.9Total assets 2275.3 1822.2 453.1
Total liabilities, incl. 1017.6 684.3 333.3Trade payables 54.4 125.5 -71.1Other 195.4 134.3 61.1Borrowings 732.5 357.4 375.1Current liabilities 1.4 26.8 -25.4Long-term liabilities 731.1 330.6 400.5
Provisions 35.3 67.1 -31.8Equity 1257.7 1137.9 119.8Total liabilities and equity 2275.3 1822.2 453.1
29
Cash flow statementQ2 Change 6 months Change
million euros 2012 2011 % 2012 2011 %
Net cash from operating activities 47.0 25.9 81.7% 106.0 130.8 -18.9%
Purchase of fixed assets 120.7 117.3 2.9% 266.1 189.2 40.7%
Net change in deposits with maturities greater than 3 months -65.0 143.0 -145.5% -65 126.4 -151.4%
Received long-term bank loans 0.0 1.3 -100.0% 26.3 1.5 1701.1%
Repayment of bank loans 25.0 1.1 2235.8% 25.7 1.9 1230.0%
Dividend payment 65.2 56.1 56.1% 65.2 56.1 16.3%
Other adjustments 287.8 17.3 1563.7% 319.6 21.7 1372.1%
Net cash flows 58.8 13.0 351.7% 29.8 33.2 -10.2%
30
Detailed Business Overview
Appendix 2
Distribution
� Improvement of the distribution network� €300m investment plan for 2011-14 regulatory period
on the back of 7.83% WACC on RAB� Reduction of network losses and provision of reliable
service to clients
Power Generation and Supply
� Refurbishment of existing generation portfolio to maintain compliance with more stringent regulation
� Investment into new generation capacity with lower CO2 footprint
� Maintaining significant market share in Baltic retail market to hedge generation portfolio
Shale Oil
� Expansion of shale oil production in Estonia with Enefit 280 plant expected operational in 2012
� Exploring shale oil upgrading into lighter products� Exploiting shale oil production expertise and proprietary
technology internationally
Eesti Energia Business Strategy
32
10.4 TWh of powergenerated in 2011
6.2 TWh of power distributed to clients in 2011
18m tonnesof oil shalesold in 2011
164 thousand tonnesof shale oil sold to clients in 2011
10.7 TWh ofpower sold in 2011
Deregulated Retail Sales in Baltics
Unregulated
Regulated
Shale Oil Production
Power Sales
Shale Oil Sales
Oil Shale Mining
Power and Heat Generation
14.3
1.6 2.1
Power Oil Externalclients
0
5
10
15
20
5.5
2.0
3.2
Regulated Retailderegulated
Wholesalederegulated
0
2
4
6
89.9
0.4 0.1
Oil shale Renewable Gas0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Distribution networkRegulated Power Sales in Estonia
Power Sales on Nord Pool Spot
Eesti Energia Business Model in Brief
33
Power GenerationMining Distribution1 2� Group holds licenses for
559m tons of geological oil shale as of 31 December 2011 (ca 465m tonnes of saleable oil shale)
� Annual mining limit of 15m tonnes of geologic oil shale (ca 17.8m tonnes of saleable oil shale)
� Regulated price of oil shale €10.5 / tonne in 2011
� Oil shale pricing regulation expected to be revised after full retail power market deregulation in 2013
� Price of power generated in Narva Power Plants for Estonian regulated retail market is set by Estonian Competition Authority (“ECA“)
� The last approval came into force from October 2009 when the price limit was confirmed at 29.4 €/MWh
� Regulation expected to end alongside retail market deregulation at the beginning of 2013
� Distribution of electricity is fully regulated by the ECA
� Allowed return regulated to equal WACC earned onRegulatory Asset Base (RAB)
� Current WACC 7.83%, RAB €559m
� Current 3-year regulatory period August 2011 – 2014
� Main driver for business is general economic environment and power consumption growth in Estonia
Regulated Supply3� Average price of
electricity on the regulated retail market was 30.8 €/MWh during 2011
� Estonian retail market to be fully deregulated at the beginning of 2013
Oil Shale Mining
Distribution network
Power and Heat Generation
Power Sales
Regulated Power Sales in Estonia
1
4
3
2
4
Regulated Business Drivers
34
Deregulated Retail Sales in Baltics
Mining
Shale Oil Sales
Power and Heat Generation
Shale Oil Production
Power Sales
Power Sales on Nord Pool Spot
5
6
7
5
Power Sales on Nord Pool Spot5
-20.0-10.0
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.0
Jan-
11F
eb-1
1M
ar-1
1
Apr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11Ju
l-11
Aug
-11
Sep
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12
Feb
-12
Mar
-12
Nord Pool Estonia EE Dark Clean Spread
€ / MWh
Shale Oil Sales
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan-
06Ju
l-06
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10Ju
l-10
Jan-
11Ju
l-11
Jan-
12
$/bbl€/t
Fuel oil 1% ARA (€/t)
Brent crude oil ($/barrel)
2011 Open Retail Market Sales in Baltics6
72%
15%7%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
Estonia Latvia Lithuania
Eesti Energia sales Other sales
EE market share
Source: Reuters, Eesti Energia Source: Reuters,
7
Unregulated Business Drivers
35
Overview Regulation
� Mining licence provides exclusive right to mine oil shale within defined area
� Exception to the auction process for new licences applied to companies with reserves depleting within five years
� Price limit on sales to generation plants with capacity in excess of 500MW approved by ECA
� Under the current regulation, the approved weighted average price of oil shale is €10.55/tonne
� Regulation expected to be revised or ended after full electricity market opening in 2013
Eesti Energia Mining Operation
Mine TypeGeological oil shale resource
(mt) 31/12/2011Saleable oil shale sales
in 2011 (mt) (1)
Estonia Underground 230.6 7.0
Viru Underground 7.7 2.2
Narva Open-pit 104.8 5.6
Aidu Open-pit 2.7 2.7
Uus Kiviõli Underground 207.8 (2) –
Tammiku Opencast 5.6
Total 559.2 17.5 (3)
(1) Saleable oil shale – i.e. includes limestone
(2) Uus-Kiviõli license issued in October 2011(3) Does not include: (a) change in inventory; or (b) sales, of oil shale where such oil shale has been purchased from mines outside the Group.
Source: Company information
Mining — Business Overview
36
� Process fines – all mined oil shale can be processed� Energy self sufficient� No water required for processing� Retort gas can be used as fuel for power generation
and as a source for hydrogen production that can be used in shale oil upgrader
Overview Benefits of Enefit Technology
� The Narva oil plant currently has two Enefit 140 units, each of which has the installed capacity to process 140 tons of oil shale per hour
� The plants were commissioned in 1980, but to date, 80% of the plant’s equipment has been replaced and improved by Eesti Energia’s engineers
� The shale oil produced comprises three fractions:– shale heavy fuel oil (78% by mass)– shale gasoline (18-20% by mass)– shale light fuel oil (2-4% by mass)
� Shale heavy fuel oil can be sold as standalone product; other products are blend of the three fractions and sold by Eesti Energia at a similar price
� The key customer segments are bunkering and heating sectors
� The Narva oil plant also produced approximately 58m m3 of retort gas1 in 2011 that was used for electricity generation in the Narva Power Plants
� New Enefit280 unit expected to be commissioned in 2012
(1) Calorific value 46 MJ/Nm3
Narva Oil Plant — Enefit 140 Units
Shale Oil — Business Overview
37
Existing Generation Portfolio (as at 31 December 20 11)
Plant Net MW e
Electricity generated
(GWh, 2011) Net MW h
Heat generated (GWh, 2011) Built Fuel
Eesti pulverisedCFB
1,187
1945,6831,440
84
–
97–
1963-73
2005Oil ShaleOil Shale, biomass
Baltipulverised*CFB
Gas boiler house
462
192
–
1,7931,278
–
–160
240
–43418
1956-66
2005
2005
Oil Shale
Oil Shale
Gas
Iru (CHP) 156 129 764 593 1980-82 Gas
Aulepa 48 90 – – 2009 Wind
Other 5 13 62 41 n/a Renewables / Diesel
Total 2,244 10,426 1,310 1,183
*The pulverised blocks in the Balti power station will be put in reserve from 31 March 2012 due to new restrictions on SO2 emissions from 2012.
Source: Company information
Generation — Business Overview
38
Overview Map of Operations
� The Group is the largest distributor of electricity in Estonia, having distributed around 6.2 TWh of power in 2011
� Distribution area covers ca 42,400 km2, which contains c. 92% of Estonia’s population
� The network operates over 60,000 km of overhead and underground cables
� RAB (as at 31 December 2011): €559m� Number of connections: ca 655,000� Allowed pre-tax return WACC 7.83% from
1 August 2011
Distribution — Business Overview
39
Regulatory Framework Regulatory Building Blocks
� Regulated Asset Base (RAB), calculated at book value
– RAB1 is calculated as RAB0 plus capex less regulatory depreciation
� Allowed pre-tax return (WACC)– applied on RAB plus expected working capital
requirement (ca.5% of the expected revenue)� Regulatory depreciation of average 35 years (with
some exceptions) — different from actual accounting depreciation
� Allowed operating costs of the company are subject to annual cost escalation by CPI-1.5%, agreed with ECA for 2012-14
� Regulation is in place from 2005
CAPEX
RAB
Return oncapital
Return ofcapital
OPEX
DepreciationAllowed
pre-tax return
Allowed Revenue
Distribution — Regulatory Overview
40
Domestic Market International Markets
� Eesti Energia is dominant player in the domestic market
� The Group operates out of 14 customer service offices in Estonia and relies heavily on electronic channels (internet, call centre)
� Regulated supply margin is 1.3 EUR/MWh� Estonian regulated electricity market to liberalise
fully in 2013� 24% Baltic retail market share in Q2 2012
Latvia � Operates through 100%-owned subsidiary SIA
Enefit� Started business in 2008.Lithuania� Operates through 100%-owned subsidiary UAB
Enefit� Started active business in 2010
Market Shares in Estonian Market (Q2 2012) Market Shares in Baltic Markets (Q2 2012)
Other, 8%
Eesti Energia, 92%
Regu-lated
Other, 32%
Eesti Energia, 68%
Unre-gulated
Other, 80%
SIA Enefit20%
Latvia
Other, 92%
UAB Enefit
8%
Lit-huania
Supply — Business Overview
41
Concession Area in Jordan� The Group has entered into a 44 year concession agreement in the Attarat region in Jordan
� Pre-development of 38,000 bbl/d shale oil industry ongoing and to last until at least 2016.
� Development of a project for constructing and operating 500 MW oil shale fired power station could enter construction phase in 2013
– Most recently a tender for EPC contract announced
� Additional investment during the pre-development phase of the two projects estimated at €27 million.
� The Group may reduce its holding and engage additional capital to finance the projects beyond the pre-development phase.
� Total oil shale resource ca 2.3 billion tonnes based on 44 year concession agreement
� Pre-development of an oil project and power project� The Group has 65% ownership in the Jordan
projects while YTL Power International Berhad controls another 30%
Development Projects in Jordan
42
Resource in USA, Utah� In March 2011, the Group acquired 100% of Enefit American Oil Co. (formerly known as Oil Shale Exploration Company)
� Pre-development of shale oil industry (including mines and processing facilities) ongoing and to last at least until 2016
� Additional investment during the pre-development phase estimated at €39 million
� Oil shale resource in Utah, approximately 300 km east of Salt Lake City
� Access to 3.8 billion tonnes of oil shale� Pre-development of shale oil industry with capacity
of up to 50,000 bbl/d
Development Project in USA
43