Education and Economic Development: A Framework for Analysis and Development

Presentation to Kingston CollegeAugust 4, 2006

By Dr. Gervan FearonYork University, Toronto, Ontario

Education and Economic Growth

Economics context: Overall government expenditures Overall economic activity (GDP) Individual household expenditures Capital stock per person Solow Model of Economic Growth

Social – cultural context: Cultural priority and focus Social capital Authur Lewis – Human Capital Endogenous Economic Growth Evolutionary Economics

Industrialized, Centrally Planned, LDCs – Per Capita GDP

M ean G DP P er C api ta

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1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994T i me

Selected Per Capita GDP

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Mexico

J amaica

Hong Kong

J apan

Capital Stock per Person - Jamaica

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Time

  Group Average, 2004          

           

  1995 2000 2004 LCRLower middle

income

           

 Socio-economic context          

    Per capita GNI (US$) 2,140 2,940 3,300 3,576 1,686

    Adult literacy rate (%), (age 15 +) .. .. 79.9   90.2     89.4

 Structure and coverage of the system          

    Gross enrollment ratio (%)          

    Primary level 101.5 94.7 95.3 119.3 113.6

    Secondary level 65.7 86.3 88.1 84.7 73.8

    Tertiary level 7.8 15.4 19 27.5 22.8

 Student flow--secondary level          

    Progression to secondary level (%) .. 94.4 97.1 ..          ..

 Public expenditure on education          

    Total spending as a % of GDP 5.1 6.1 4.9 4.3 3.5

           

 Ratio of pupils to teachers          

    Primary level 32.5 33.6 27.5 23.9 21.7

    Secondary level .. 18.9 19.1 18 18.7

           

 Private sector enrollment share          

    Primary level (%) .. 5.2 8 12.4 ..

    Secondary level (%) .. 2.4 5.8 16.3 ..

Education

Observations – economics growth and capital stock in Jamaica has been outpaced by developments in Industrialized Countries.

Economic and Social Progress must focus on: Human Capital Social Capital

Kingston College How can Kingston College play its role in the

economic and social progress of the nation. Strategic Planning and Operational Framework

Strategic Planning and Operational Framework

Situation analysis

Logic Model

Implementation plan and evaluation

Translating Concept into Action

Overcoming Inertia

Taking Ownership

Celebrating Success and Continuous Learning

Situation Analysis

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach - Overview

Problem Definition• Desired situation• Existing situation• Problematic gap• Strategic and operational plan for closing the

problematic gap• Resource utilization and capacity• Measurement of success• Implication for problematic gap and

communication to stakeholders

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach – Desired situation

• Desired situation• Value, vision and mission• Clients and Stakeholders• Products and Services• Resources and Capacity• Expected outcomes and measurements of

success

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach – Existing Situation

• Existing situation• Value, vision and mission• Clients and Stakeholders• Products and Services• Resources and Capacity• Expected outcomes and measurements of

success

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach – Problematic Gap

• Problematic gap• SWOT analysis

• Strengthens, weaknesses, opportunities and threats

• 360 Degree Analysis• Clients and Stakeholders

• Governance and organizational analysis

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach – Strategic Options

• Strategic Options• Description of the option

• Impact analysis• Impact on clients and stakeholders• Impact on product and services• Impact on unit and organization• Impact on value, mission and vision• Impact on resources and capacity

• Strategic and operational plan for implementing option

• Expected outcomes and measurements

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach - Resource utilization and capacity

• Human Resources• Administrative support and structure• Governance mechanism and procedures• Computer and information technology• Financial resources and physical capacity• Institutional framework• Environmental capacity

Situation AnalysisA Problem Analysis Approach - Measurement of success

• Expected outcomes• Actual outcomes• Five key measures of success

• Four common to all units and departments and one unique

Outcome Measurement and Evaluation

Time

Metric of Success

Existing Situation

DesiredSituation

Option 1Option 2

Option 3

Option 4

Option 5

Option Analysis Problematic

Gap

Problem

Complainants Dreamers

Problem Analysis - Reality

Inertia

Time

Metric of Success

Existing Situation

DesiredSituation

Today InterimEvaluation

Final Evaluation

StrategicOption

SelectedProblematic

Gap

Problem Analysis - Static

Evolved

Problem Analysis - Dynamic

Time

Metric of Success

Existing Situation I

Existing Situation II

DesiredSituation II

DesiredSituation I

2006 2007 2008 2010

Logic Model

Logic Model

Implementation plan and evaluation

Objective Performance Criteria for Assessment

       

  Objective Performance Indicator Criteria for Assessment

School level      

Teacher level      

Learner level      

Staff level      

Community level      

Concept into Action

Tradition vs Continuous Learning Environments

Overcoming Inertia

Taking Ownership

Celebrating Success and Continuous Learning

Kingston College

Time

Metric of Success

Existing Situation I

Existing Situation II

DesiredSituation II

DesiredSituation I

2006 2007 2008 2010

Next Steps

Strategic Planning and Operational Framework

Action Plan

Conducting strategic and operational planning

Implementing planning

Learning by doing

Evaluating and innovating