ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX...2016 Jun 2017 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING...

June 2017ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

Contacts: [email protected]

[email protected]

020 7347 3000

2

Issues Facing Britain – June

Base: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017

What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

54%

42%

29%

27%

26%

25%

18%

18%

17%

13%

NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare

Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe

Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism

Education

Immigration/immigrants

Economy

Ageing population/social care

Poverty/Inequality

Housing

Crime/Law and Order/ASB

-7

-3

0

+19

+1

+5

+6

+3

+3

+2

%

Change since May:

Position

Top mentions %

+8

-1

-1

-1

+1

-2

-2

3

Issues Facing Britain – JuneWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


54%

42%

29%

27%

26%

25%

18%

18%

17%

13%

17%

25%

9%

4%

11%

6%

2%

4%

2%

1%




Education/Schools


Economy

Ageing population/Social care

Poverty/Inequality

Housing


Top mentions %

MOST/OTHER

IMPORTANT ISSUES

MOST IMPORTANT

ISSUE


4

Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home



0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

NHS UNEMPLOYMENTCRIME/LAW &

ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT

5

Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Jun2007

Jun2008

Jun2009

Jun2010

Jun2011

Jun2012

Jun2013

Jun2014

Jun2015

Jun2016

Jun2017

NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT

6


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

May-10 Nov-10 May-11 Nov-11 May-12 Nov-12 May-13 Nov-13 May-14 Nov-14 May-15 Nov-15 May-16 Nov-16 May-17

Single biggest issue: Trend 2010 - 2017What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today?


NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY

DEFENCE/

TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT

7

GE 2017Vote for Brexit;

Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM

Issues Facing Britain:

NHS / Hospitals / HealthcareWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Report says waiting lists have

doubled under Labour

Lowest score since

December 1985 (12%)

Highest score since April 2002

(61%)

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home

8


Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM


Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU / BrexitWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Treaty of Accession: 10 new

EU Member States

France and Holland reject

ratification of EU constitution

Lowest score

recorded (1%)


51%: Highest recorded score

(since September 1974)

9


Cameron resigns

Cameron becomes PM


Immigration / Immigrants


NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU

Countries (Poland, etc.)


EU Border controls

relaxed for Romanians

and Bulgarians

Highest concern

ever recorded (56%)

10




Economy / Economic situationWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Global recession

and Russian

Financial crisis

Highest score since 1992;

Most important issue for

the first time

Sub-prime mortgage

crisis in the US


Lowest score since

February 2008 (19%)

Northern Rock

nationalised

11


Cameron resigns

Cameron becomes PM


Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industryWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?

0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years

Minimum wage

introduced

Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5%

Lowest ever score(5%)

Youth unemployment reaches 1 million

Lowest score since September

2008 (11%)

Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index

12




Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB




0

10

20

30

40

50

60

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

May day riots

Riots across

England

9/11Lowest score since

March 1991 (8%)

13




Education / SchoolsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Introduction of means-tested tuition

fees. Education most important issue.

First City Academies

introduced

Lowest score since

Dec 1985 (9%)

Labour’s second term - pledge to

improve failing secondary schools

Highest score since

September 2006 (27%)


14




Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorismWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

9/11 “7/7” London

Bombing

Invasion of Iraq

Failed terror

attacks in London

and Glasgow

UK withdraws

from Iraq

War in

Kosovo

Parliamentary vote

against action in Syria

NATO bombing

in Libya

Rise

of IS


Paris attacks and

Parliamentary vote for

action against IS in Syria

London

Bridge

attack

15




Poverty/inequalityWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Sept 1999:

Alastair Darling – “one child in

three” living in poverty

December 2016:

highest score

recorded (20%)

January 2005:

Make Poverty History campaign

launched on New Year’s Day


16




Inflation/PricesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%)

Inflation rate hits 16 year peak

Inflation rises to 3.4%


17




HousingWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Highest score since

October 1974 (22%)


18




Pensions/Social Security/BenefitsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Equitable Life sells

its non-profit

pension annuities

Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to

exclude the well-off from state

benefits

Gordon Brown unveils

pension credits Pensions commission report –

“more than 12 million working

people are not saving enough for

their retirement”

Lowest ever

score (3%)


19




Pollution / EnvironmentWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1997

May1998

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017

Wettest Autumn since

records began –

widespread flooding

across the UK

EC proposes carbon emission

cuts of 20% by 2020

Winter flooding

and storms


20




Low pay/minimum wage/fair wagesWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


0

5

10

15

20

May1999

May2000

May2001

May2002

May2003

May2004

May2005

May2006

May2007

May2008

May2009

May2010

May2011

May2012

May2013

May2014

May2015

May2016

May2017


Highest recorded

score (15%)

21

Top issues – concern by party support

Base: 205 Conservative and 428 Labour supporters aged 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017



46%

59%

36%

24%

45%

32%

24%

10%

16%

15%

61%

38%

25%

31%

17%

24%

16%

22%

19%

12%




Education/Schools


Economy

Ageing population/social care

Poverty/Inequality

Housing


Top mentions %

CONSERVATIVE

SUPPORTERS

LABOUR

SUPPORTERS

22

The NHS is the biggest concern amongst all socio-

demographic groupsWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade

Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 965 British adults 18+, 9 – 20 June 2017

58%

57%

30%

NHS

EU/Brexit

Immigration

60%

50%

42%

NHS

EU/Brexit

Economy

57%

39%

33%

NHS

EU/Brexit

Education/…

53%

40%

35%

NHS

Immigration

EU/Brexit

47%

30%

26%

NHS

Defence/Ter…

EU/Educati…

48%

34%

29%

NHS

EU/Brexit

Defence

18

-34

35

-54

55

+

ABC1 C2DE

Social grade

Ag

e b

rac

ke

t

Defence/

Terrorism

Brexit/Immigration

Economy/Education

Defence/Terrorism

Education/

Defence

23

Concern about EU/Brexit by subgroup


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group:

53%

33%

37%

52%

Concern by region:

42% 39% 41%48%

59%

38%

54%

45%39%

27%

Overall

Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups:

45%

35% 37% 48% 40% 52%34%

Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeLocale Party support

Sub-urban

24

Concern about the NHS by subgroup


What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS

Ipsos MORI Issues Index

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

Concern about the NHS by age group:

54%

50%

53%

66%

Concern by region:

54%

43%

59% 60%

46%

61% 60% 57%49% 50%

Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE

Social GradeLocale Party support

Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups:

44%

52% 52% 58% 62% 51%52%

Sub-urban

June 2017ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX

For more information contact:

[email protected]

[email protected]

ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX...2016 Jun 2017 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING...

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