Economic Viability and Outlook of IGCC from a Gas Turbine ...
Transcript of Economic Viability and Outlook of IGCC from a Gas Turbine ...
Economic Viability and Outlookof IGCC from a Gas TurbineManufacturer Perspective
GE Power Systemse
GE Company Proprietary
2001 Gasification Technologies ConferenceSan Francisco, California, October 7–10
Klaus Brun, Ph.D.Manager Process Power Plant Market and Product Development
Robert M. JonesProcess Power Project Development Manager
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IGCC Market Outlook■ Forecast of 45-55 GW of New
Domestic IGCC Power Plants over theNext Ten (10) Years
GE IGCC Product Line■ 380,000 Hours of Syngas Experience
with Eight (8) Dedicated IGCCIndustrial Gas Turbine Models
eEarly 2001 - Record Natural Gas Prices
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Daily Southern California Natural Gas Spot Price ($/MMBTU)
General Electric Decided to QuestionGeneral Electric Decided to Questionthe Direction of U.S. Electric Power Marketthe Direction of U.S. Electric Power Market
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■ Nuclear, Wind, and Hydro■ Natural Gas■ Coal Steam-Boiler■ Coal IGCC
Forecast Demand for AdditionalU.S. Power Plants (2002-2012)
300 GW 300 GW (in orders)
ePower Plant Comparison
Primary Factors Considered
■ Economic Viability
■ Environmental Performance
■ Operational Characteristics
eIGCC or Natural Gas?
Combined Cycle Fuel Price [$/MMBTU]
IGC
C F
uel P
rice
[$/M
MB
TU]
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.41.2
1.0
0.80.6
0.4
0.2
1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.50
Combined Cycle Preferred
IGCC Preferred
Coal
Resid
ues
Pet C
oke
Economic Divide
IGCC Always Beats NGCC When Fuel PriceDifference is Above $2.50 / MMBTU
eU.S. Coal and Natural Gas Forecast
Real Price Forecast (Average Contract)Source: HH, DOE/EIA, PIRA, WSJ, EEA (1999 Dollars)
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6.00
2000
2001
2002
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2012
$/M
MB
TU
Coal
Natural Gas
$2.5/MMBTU
Coal: Superior Long Term Economics
e IGCC Turnkey Cost Currently $1050–1250per kW Installed
IGCC EPC Turnkey Costs Have Reached LevelsEquivalent or Below Steam-Boiler Plants . . .
3000
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
2500
2000
1500
1000
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US
$/K
W
YEAR
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■ Higher Efficiency ( 5%)
■ Environmental Performance
■ “Siteability” and Image
■ Experience
. . . But IGCC Beats Steam-Boiler Plants Because of . . .
~~
eSteam-Boiler Versus IGGC Plant Emissions
Particles
NOx
SOx
PC Boiler IGCCSO 0.05 0.017NO 0.15 0.028Particles 0.01 0.002
x
x
All Units lb/MMBTU*No SCR
*
• Mercury Removal• CO2 Sequestration
Upside Potential:
Superior Environmental StorySuperior Environmental Story
0.036
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Study Conclusions■ Equipment Orders for 45–55 GW of
New U.S. IGCC Plants ( 15% of TotalMarket)
■ Majority of IGCC Plants will be 500 MWor Greater of Base Load Electricity
2002–2012 Power Market Outlook
~~
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■ 24 Years Experience Testing Low BtuFuels
■ First IGCC Plant Commissioned in1984 (Cool Water)
■ 22 Syngas Gas Turbines in Operation
■ Over 380,000 Operating Hours onSynthetic Gas
■ Orders for 10 New Units Scheduled tobe Delivered in Next 3 Years
General Electric IGCC Product Line
e GE IGCC Gas Turbine and Combined-CycleProduct Line
IGCC 7FA
GAS TURBINESModel Syngas Power RatingGE10 10 MW (50/60 Hz)6B 40 MW (50/60 Hz)7EA 90 MW (60 Hz)9E 150 MW (50 Hz)9EC 215 MW (50 Hz)6FA 90 MW (50/60 Hz)7FA 197 MW (60 Hz)9FA 286 MW (50 Hz)
IGCCModel Net Plant Power Rating
106B 60 MW (50/60 Hz)107EA 130 MW (60 Hz)109E 210 MW (50 Hz)109EC 300 MW (50 Hz)106FA 130 MW (50/60 Hz)107FA 280 MW (60 Hz)9FA 420 MW (50 Hz)
Dedicated IGCC Gas Turbine Product LineDedicated IGCC Gas Turbine Product Line
e GE Gas Turbine Syngas ExperienceGE Syngas Hours of Operation
SyngasStartDate
Cool WaterPSITampaTexaco El DoradoSierra PacificSUV VresovaSchwarze PumpeShell PernisISE / ILVAFife EnergyMotiva DelawareSarluxPiombinoExxon Singapore
107E7FA
107FA6B
106FA209E
6B2x6B
3x109E6FA
2x6FA3x109E
109E2x6FA
120262250
40100350
4080
54080
240550150180
5/8411/959/969/96
- 12/96 9/9611/9711/96
-8/0010/0010/003/01
27,00020,40026,06024,080
071,76031,66050,370
114,5400
16011,970
3,850790
- 457
- 46,85940,0121,715
- 22,6874,461
10,560- -
2,8006,603
1,0004,1005,925
- - -
3,800- - -
2,89310,500
- 921
Customer
Totals 382,640
Type MW Hours of OperationSyngas N.G. Dist.
August 2001
IGCC Product Technology – ProvenIGCC Product Technology – ProvenThrough Operating ExperienceThrough Operating Experience
e GE Gas Turbine Syngas Capabilities
H2
CO
CH4
CO2
N2 + AR
H2O
LHV, - Btu/ft3
Syngas
37.2
46.6
0.1
13.3
2.5
0.3
253
Tampa
35.4
45.0
0.0
17.1
2.1
0.4
242
El Dorado
34.4
35.1
0.3
30.0
0.2
--
210
Pernis
14.5
23.6
1.3
5.6
49.3
5.7
128
SierraPacific
8.6
26.2
8.2
14.0
42.5
--
183
ILVA
61.9
26.2
6.9
2.8
1.8
--
317
SchwarzePumpe
22.7
30.6
0.2
5.6
1.1
39.8
163
SarluxPSI
24.8
39.5
1.5
9.3
2.3
22.7
209
34.4
55.4
5.1
1.6
3.1
--
319
Fife
44.5
35.4
0.5
17.9
1.4
0.1
241
ExxonSingapore
32.0
49.5
0.1
15.8
2.15
0.44
248
MotivaDelaware
33.34
42.44
0.06
17.76
5.72
0.08
230.4
New
42.3
47.77
0.08
8.01
2.05
0.15
270.4
PIEMSA
10.3
22.3
3.8
14.5
48.2
0.9
134.6
Tonghua
- kJ/m3 9962 9528 8274 5024 7191 12,492 64038224 12,568 9,477 9,768 9,079 10,655 5304
Tfuel F/C
H2/CO Ratio
Diluent
Equivalent LHV
700/371
.80
N2
250/121
.79
N2/Steam
200/98
.98
Steam
1000/538
.61
Steam
400/204
.33
--
100/38
2.36
Steam
392/200
.74
Moisture
570/300
.63
Steam
100/38
.62
H2O
350/177
1.26
Steam
570/299
.65
H2O/N2
300/149
.79
N2 / H2O
338/170
.89
N2
-
.46
n/a
* Always co-fired with 50% natural gas
- Btu/ft3
- kJ/m3
1184649
113*4452
1987801
1104334
----
2007880
----
1505910
*--
1164600
1505910
115.34543
1295083
134.65304
Demonstrated: 10% to 95% Hydrogen Demonstrated: 10% to 95% Hydrogen SyngasSyngas
e Example: GE 7FA Heavy-Duty Industrial Gas Turbine
7FA Natural Gas150–172 MW ISO
7FA+e IGCC197 MW ISO
192 MW ISO7FA IGCC Year 1995
Year 2000
Year 2004
– IGCC Combustor
– Higher Torque Rotor
– Higher Firing Temperature
– Modified Turbine Nozzle
– Combustor Developments
– Increased Pressure Ratio
7FA Advanced IGCC211 MW ISO
Continued Gas Turbine AdvancesContinued Gas Turbine Advancesto Enhance IGCC Plant Economicsto Enhance IGCC Plant Economics
e New Combustion Laboratory With Two DedicatedIGCC Full Scale Test Stands
Commitment to IGCC TechnologyCommitment to IGCC Technology
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■ The Cleanest Coal Power Option
■ Efficient ■ Competitive
■ Mature
IGCC is ...
Forecasted 45–55 GW of New Domestic IGCCForecasted 45–55 GW of New Domestic IGCCPower Plants Over the Next Ten (10) YearsPower Plants Over the Next Ten (10) Years